Yields are still currently low based on the long-term regression trend. What does it imply for RMB bonds if we expect a rate increase in the mid-term (independently of exchange rate movements)? - Avoid long-duration RMB government bonds, - Prefer short duration or floating-rate ones.
This is a cross-asset analysis of the following instruments: XAUUSD (Gold), S&P500, U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), the U.S. 10Y Note and M1 Money Supply. The initial idea was in our attempts to determine basically what is driving Gold's price during this period of pandemic. This multi-dimensional work reaches some interesting conclusions. First we start with the week...
The daily chart of TLT, the Treasury Bond ETF had broken out of a triangle pattern two weeks ago, retested recently and started to take off. Global fund flows also corroborate inflows into bonds, even as the equity markets push higher and even historical highs for the Nasdaq. The rise in bond inflows is signaling an imminent bearish sentiment building up, and the...
Gold vs. Copper is diverging from T-Bond Futures. Quite the week so far for Gold.. and it's only Tuesday!
Looking at the yield spread between the German 10-year and US 10-year bonds, the Euro may be undervalued giving more potential to the upside. Though the correlation between the prices of EURUSD and the bond spreads may not be perfect, in hindsight we have seen prices trail this phenomenon. Asset managers and hedge funds have been placing big bets pushing net...
Description: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: Low-Volume Above $3,150; $3,200 Balance; Tech Overextension; Weakness In Financials, Energy. Technical: Broad-market equity indices one time framed higher last week, evidenced by the higher highs and lows on the daily time frame, and closed the week off near a resistive low-volume...
Here is what im thinking, we have another small crash in markets via my 10 yr yield analysis B4 the 10 yr pumps dollar dumps. Then sometime in late July the larger correction takes place and Dollar pumps.
Hi friends the daily chart of this market shows with a strong probability of an upward trend in the coming days but we must at the same time be vigilant of reversal of this market towards the opposite direction please subscribe for more information
Hi friends the daily chart of this market shows with a strong probability of a downward trend in the coming days but we must at the same time be vigilant of reversal of this market towards the opposite direction please subscribe for more information
Hi friends the daily chart of this market shows with a strong probability of a downward trend in the coming days but we must at the same time be vigilant of reversal of this market towards the opposite direction please subscribe for more information
Hi friends the daily chart of this market shows with a strong probability of a downward trend in the coming days but we must at the same time be vigilant of reversal of this market towards the opposite direction please subscribe for more information
Hi friends the daily chart of this market shows with a strong probability of a downward trend in the coming days but we must at the same time be vigilant of reversal of this market towards the opposite direction please subscribe for more information
Bonds just broke down from a bull wedge pattern. We emphasize in our courses that wedge patterns don't always break out in the direction they are supposed to. ZN has continued the retracement from the corrective Elliott Wave, which may suggest a complete trend reversal. Watch for 138'23 to confirm this. The Kovach Chande has turned bearish, and the Kovach OBV...
looks like another pull back coming today to the markets and next week will be a good week for the bulls. Buying swings today & tomorrow for next week could be a great long swing set up.
10 year US notes are progressing higher, but slowly above the triangle line, but still you have to be careful with stocks as fifth wave on 10 year can see much highers which can cause risk-off. Also, not sure how much interest is there in stocks at current prices, but I am sure that region around 2700/2800 is a lot more attractive. Take care, Grega
Description: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: Gap Above 78.6% Retracement; 100% Projection And VWAP Anchored From 3/23 At $2,850; Balance Below $2,975. Technical: Broad-market equity indices resolved a week-long balance area to the downside, albeit under weak selling. The S&P 500 managed to one time frame lower, as evidenced by the...
We are possibly looking at (and forecasting) a 3-touch sell-off on the US Government Bonds 30Y daily chart around resistance at 98'04'3. Sell-off in about 1-14 days time. R/R = 5.79% approx.