The chart speaks for itself. I expect higher prices in the future meaning negatives yields... Learn more about the Wyckoff Method : school.stockcharts.com As time goes by, I will keep you updated on the evolution of the chart, so make sure to follow me on Tradingview Disclaimer : This is not financial advice as I’m not a financial adviser. This is just my...
Here you can see where the money in the euro area flows. It is clear that a lot of money is flowing out of the euro area but within the euro area the safe havens are being sought. At the moment these are still the German government bonds and you can see that very nicely since March and yesterday's panic high of the Eurobund Futures. After a short consolidation, I...
AUD WEAKENS = AUD BONDS ARE SOLD = AUSTRALIAN CENTRAL BANK PRINTS MONEY TO PURCHASE AUD BONDS = AUD WEAKENS! THIS IS THE END GAME FOLKS! PREPARE YOURSELF!
I SEE MANY PEOPLE COMPLAINING ABOUT BAILOUTS FOR THE PRIVATE SECTOR! HOW ABOUT THE REAL PROBLEM: BAILOUTS FOR GOVERNMENTS! I WOULD BET MY LIFE SAVINGS THAT THE ECB WILL GUARANTEE THAT ITALIAN (AND EVERY OTHER EUROPEAN NATION'S) BOND YIELDS REMAIN SUPPRESSED BY SACRIFICING THE VALUE OF THE SAVINGS OF EVERY PERSON IN EUROPE! UNTIL GOVERNMENTS ARE ALLOWED TO...
BOND MARKETS SAVANTS CLAIM THAT THE DEEPER THE YIELD-CURVE INVERSION, THE DEEPER THE RECESSION! HOWEVER, VISIBLE INVERSIONS HAVE BEEN INCREASINGLY SHALLOW WHILE FOLLOWING RECESSIONS HAVE BEEN INCREASINGLY SEVERE, CULMINATING IN THE 2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS! BY THIS LOGIC, WILL THIS RECESSION BE MORE SEVERE THAN 2008?
I honestly think this is a BTFD here fam the 10 yr looks primed to reverse. And this implies the stock market will boom long term heading into 2021-2024 when the yield finally tests the 200 ema and probably fails leading to another big crash. I think a Trump victory in 2020 all but solidifies this narrative that I am looking at here with the 10 yr
In earlier published idea, I indicated that corporate spreads would widen and that indexes (and lower quality corporate bonds) heavily invested in corporate high-yield bonds would suffer. This has since occurred, and will continue.
With TLT showing signs of a top and gold on its march to lower lows I see a clear opportunity in TBT. Five impulsive waves up, followed by a 3 wave correction to the 61.8 Fibonacci and is poised to continue upwards... Excellent risk to reward here if you have a stop just below the retrace level... Feel free to hit me up with any questions! LIKE, COMMENT, FOLLOW
The bond bubble has been a bubble that has been long withstanding since the dawn of the stock market and it may finally be on the verge of collapse. After all, the stock market bubble is collapsing and Bitcoin will collapse to under 1000.00 so why not pop all the bubbles at once? While normally people equate yields rising (bonds falling) as a 'good thing', the...
Description: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: 200 weekly moving average; Friday’s low; trend line projected from 2009 and 2011 lows; the 2018 low, as well as 2015 and 2016 distribution area; 2720 balance area for retracement; cycle analysis. Technical: Broke out of a week long balance Thursday (i.e., cluster that included a 100.00%...
Thanks for viewing, I labelled this as "long" despite some as yet unexplained steep price reductions in the short to medium term. I did that because I saw that price drops were coming but that was just a signal to add to purchases, as opposed to sell. Why do I expect price drops in the short to medium term? 1. Elliot Wave seems to indicate the ending of wave (3)...
I may be jumping the gun here, but with the emergency rate cut. we are going to have to cut the rates some more next fomc meeting, and as the situation progress and with the way trump is whining about fed rate cuts. there a high chance of certainty that they will eventually cut the rate to 0%, especially as corona cases get serious and hits 1 million. it's...
What to do when all stock market falls apart??? The easiest option I guess is to short the market of course, but if you are a mid.term or long term portfolio investor, never forget about bonds. The main concern that I constantly hear is a low yield that barely covers inflation. Of course during the massive market expansion bonds do not appear solid. But...
Trump is meeting with bank CEOs today to discuss how to support small-cap companies with large debt burdens. The high-yield junk bond market has been bleeding lately because many of these bonds are expected to go into default later this year. However, if Trump's meeting produces some kind of stimulus or bailout, we might see this market rally. Cheap March 13 or...
The rally in the market's safest assets looks poised to continue as coronavirus spreads further. On Friday, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury fell to a new all-time low below 0.7% . New infections of COVID-19, the illness the virus causes, have sparked increased panic that an outbreak will hinder global growth. ES E-Mini S&P 500 Futures ; Temporary...
Wow! The last time there was as large a disconnect between gold and silver was never, the closest we have come is briefly in 1991-2, and again in 1941. The gold silver ratio has now seemingly surpassed those previous peaks. Over the previous few years, silver has loosely tracked the rise and fall of gold - while consistently under-performing. However, last week...