10 year yield is dropping with a quickness to match only stock sell-offs. Might be a good time to look at some REITS? Rates look to me like they will decline for the next 2-3 years. Yields hit .382 fib support today and bounced very slightly higher. News of the end of the Gov shut down could provide the catalyst needed to send yields back to .236 level...
Russian GDP annual growth rate is expected to come out February 1 with an increase of 0,70% from 1,50% to 2,20% while GDP in April is expected to fall into a 2,10% growth rate, Agricultural GDP is almost at 2017 levels, and will likely contribute to a stronger ruble. Manufacturing and construction GDP is also inching for a strong growth rate this year. Exports is...
We broke and closed over the falling wedge. Expect bond prices to move higher.
After making a new bullish impulse have of the last month and a half we have settled down and formed a corrective wave. This corrective wave has formed a falling wedge pattern and we broke out. Look for a rise in Bond prices. If you guys enjoy the analysis leave a follow! :) - Much Love
The inverse correlation of Stocks and Bonds have been quite telling in the recent months of equity volatility. The 10Y yield went from 3.25% in early Nov to lows of 2.55% as participants flew to safety in treasuries. In the last couple weeks as equities have recovered from the Dec 24th meltdown, treasuries have been sold with yields resting now around...
US10Y has just broken out of the downtrend and the inverted Head and Shoulders. Cheers!
Good day folks, Just an idea; TLT looks like ready for a drop. I don't 120 support will hold in the short term. Descending triangle could break tomorrow.
After peaking in late December 2018, the price ratio between 7-10 year US Treasuries (IEF as proxy)(numerator) and US Stocks (SPY as Proxy)(denominator) has fallen since then. This is backed up by the fact that the US Treasuries/US Stock ratio fell below its 10 day EMA (Green) and failed to move higher. We believe that this indicates that “Risk-On” sentiment is...
It appears that once again the price was dumped into the psychological level: 1.8650 (in the midst of large fundamental talks) before price rallied 250 PIPS to the upside & potentially wiping out many traders short profits on the day. The price action is as clear as can be and for as long as the pair trades above 1.9208 (weekly SUPP) then I expect buyers to...
Breaking out of triangle which started on July 2016 Also a retest. Note: UK clients can't buy TMV due to new EU rules. :-(
Another idea of an ETF to hold this year. About 10% upside potential plus a 12 months trailing yield of 6.68%.
Trade: ES10Y LONG BUY: 1.444 - 1.452 TP1: 1.489 TP2. 1.581 TP3: 1.640 TP4: 1.798 S/L: 1.360 --- Trade done by request. Hit LIKE if you found this post useful. Thanks a lot for the support. Namaste.
Looking at Apple: Made a 618 retracement Volume building up Bullish divergence on histogram Willy stupidly over sold A bounce to the 382 or 618 is possible I would like to see a double bottom on the 618 to continue higher VPVR has a notch at 137 * Don't forget to hit that like button and follow me on Trading View for more chart analysis :)
Looking at the 30 years. There seems to be a lot of movement on the bond market that the financial media has been totally ignoring! The bond yields reached a high of 3.46 November 2 2018! These heights were broken when the price broke and Closed below the 3.4 level The current yield is showing an uptrend. The uptrend is an extension of the Fibonacci area.
Original charts of these trades available at thinkorswimTOOLKIT.com with #TradingViewTOOKIT link US10YR LONG YIELDS Short @ 3.11 targeting Jan 2018 levels 2.55 NOW LONG BIAS from 2.55 with Key Levels, MarketDEPTH, and proMETRICS Momentum Metric Reversal (thin histogram line with "The Great Gatsby" Alert and Cloud Oscillator) [ ] Price Action Metric Reversal is...
Fundamental and Technical reasons why GBPNZD could continue long this week, let me know what you think !
The last bond trade was perfect. Since my last post the futures have soared as well as the TLT etf. The 30 year yield fell as low as 2.90 percent. The yield curve inversion continues to stay towards the middle with the 2 and 5 year below the 1 year and 10 year. The long end has held its ground staying continuously higher. The bond looks as though it may have...