With WTI declining nearly %30 in a short time span and global growth slowing. Investors are long US TBONDS as they are willing to tolerate lower yields from bonds in anticipation of lower inflation and slowing growth. Bonds rising will have a wide ranging market influence. From yields falling, to equities under performing to Japanese investors seeking domestic...
Most bullish commercials have been in 30 years
AB leg .618 satisified, CD 1.272 target AB leg .782 still possible, CD 1.618 target 9990 exceeded nullifies this study
Nothing huge here, just watching for this trend to break as many others have recently. Major trend breaks = regime change. If this falls out of the pattern here, I expect the yield curve to invert not all that long afterward.
Just another anecdote of how this trades much better using a log scale than a non-log scale. This will likely break out to the downside within the next few months. See my longer term chart for reference.
There have been a lot of talks of a bond bear market over the past year. That would be a big problem, but it's not here yet. The biggest problem is that too many chartists are using and circulating charts of trend resistance breaking in bonds that do not use log scales. I get that it seems intuitively dumb for a yield chart to use a log scale, but that's how this...
The NIKKEI is no exception to the crash that is coming to conventional financial markets. We've looked at the NASDAQ, DJI, SPX, US10Y, APPLE and others and they are all pointing down strong. Many are already crashing into correction levels. For the NIKKEI, we are seeing very strong bearish divergence showing up on the MACD and RSI. Each time this divergence...
I'll try to catch a bigger swing with Larry Williams on 30y US Bonds. He predicts bigger rally at around Xmas
US 10yr Bonds attempting a successful break out after completing a 'W' formation. Bullish T.K cross is in play now accompanied by a bullish green kumo cloud. Gonna need a full retest for further solid confirmation of future price action direction.
Recently USTs moved a lot lower as yields continued to push higher on inflation fears and hawkish guidance and communication from Fed. With investors and traders focusing on the 3.5% before any significant correction in stocks. However with the recent push hitting 3.23%, US stocks plunged sparking global risk off sentiment. As such USTs found support from safe...
$XJY Yen to possible resume downtrend with 30Y $TLT bonds. Tracking well together for October. $GLD $GDX $EURUSD $USDJPY
You can expect at least a 10% drop for the US10Y in the coming weeks and months, but most likely stronger. The bearish divergence is very strong and it is showing up on both the MACD and RSI. The decent has already started. Looks like the entire conventional market is about to have a massive crash. Time to move to crypto. Thanks a lot for reading. Namaste.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) is preparing for a huge drop, according to the chart above, let's take a quick look. On the chart: We can see that a new high was created on the 3rd October, which was quickly followed by a strong drop. Even though the Dow Jones created a new high, the MACD and RSI are going down, this is bearish divergence and a very...
OK, I am mildly drunk making this... I am new to social media lololol My current view on BTC and crypto, BTC is the organic, original form of crypto currency. NO ONE knows what crypto currency is (in an economic and global phenomenal sense) it could become a global reserve currency or it could become simply a "millennial fad." The truth is is has been growing...
U.S. equities bounce from initially being down 15 handles, but volatility is expected. However, is recent move expected? Yes, in my opinion, as markets are ultimately forced to re-price growth and inflation . Step back from the earnings headlines because that's literally old news. Although Q3-18 earnings growth is up nearly 20 percent, over 60 percent of...
In January this year a very significant historical event happened that not many financial experts even talk about. US10Y finally has taken over 30 year trend line. What is even more we can also see a trend reversal pattern which increases chances for bond to sell off! That 4% interest rates area I marked on my chart (monthly resistant level) is considered by...
Maybe up to 3.48 (Fib.expansion 127.2%) and 3.67 (Fib.expansion 138.2%)
=> Yields are creeping higher one more time and we are starting to see major moves across equity markets as a result. => Smart money is afraid of inflation returning and therefore selling bonds is the go-to. This is causing yields to rise and because we are reaching the end of the road on QE, Central banks won't be buying bonds anymore and want to diminish their...