3-year large head & shoulders top forming, with a minor H&S comprising the right shoulder (completed). The large pattern almost completed in February, but didn't. Has since reversed up to prior resistance. Entry now with a small position using a stop over last week's high. Or wait for the pattern to complete.
CBOT:ZN1! bonds are getting beat up and oversold. the world money system is based on these bonds as collateral, so unless the world will fall apart in turmoil, we must assume that investors will still be interested in lending to the US and buy bonds when oversold. I am specifically interested in the 10 year instead of the 5 year note or long term 20-30yr bond....
EMLC has just experienced a bullish breakout of a wedge pattern. That occurred above support (23.6% retracement of all-time high to all-time low), which lends to the bullish slant. It's also recently tested and held a rising channel bottom and had a bullish breakout in the RSI, further strengthening the bullish setup. Volume has been robust and accelerating, as...
LIBOR, the rate banks charge to borrow from each other, is a key measure of short-term borrowing costs that often serves as a gauge of financial distress. It's estimated that 50 trillion of assets are pegged to the LIBOR rate and lately it's been rising fast. Certainly a rise in LIBOR can be attributed to increases in the Fed Funds rate. But is that all, or...
With the increased volatility this year after such a long period without any significant declines has got some wondering if the market has peaked, or even about to crash. To get a better idea of what’s going on ‘under the hood’, we can study the high yield ‘junk credit’ market. High yield is also known as ‘junk credit’ for its higher risk of default and being...
US Bonds getting hot, not boring at all. Here 2, 5 and 10 Yr Yield comparison. Remember Tradingview followers have a half price on Professional Trading Course for the next one in April. Just 25 seats available Learn how to beat the market as Professional Trader with an ex-insider! Have a good Trading Week! Cream Live Trading, Best Regards!
Normally movement in the price of oil leads a move in the price of the 10 year note. The blue line is USOIL and it showed me a change in behavior that I couldn't trade. So I looked for shorts in the notes after It made a high . I am now expecting lower highs given how investors are long SPX after the dip
This might now be an exciting play, but we really like the play with the struggles that the bond market is showing. We have bought some puts on this Treasury Bond ETF TLT. We entered around $118.58 and this is what we're seeing: -Bond market is struggling overall as of late -Weekly Squeeze has fired to the downside, which can cause large moves -Volume has...
NASDAQ Eyes on Target 1 to the upside . JOIN THE TELEGRAM FOR EXCLUSIVE SIGNALS @ RSADVANTAGE Profit expectations: 15-30 day trade length expected before hitting profit target I will post exit strategy when signal receives a exit signal. Trading method: RSADVANTAGE Stage 5, accurate system manually forward tested over 3 years designed to stay out of ranging...
This chart shows the ML investment grade corporate bond index yield vs the trailing SPX earnings yield (E/P ratio). From 2004-2007 the investment grade bond index and SPX earnings yield appear balanced near equal valuation. The red box from 2007 to 2009 marks the peak of the market to 2009 when the SPX sunk to recession lows. Note the following period of QE when...
TLT treasury bonds are at a huge support, potentially forming a massive top... A break below the neckline would possibly have huge bearish implications.
Here is a trade based in 100% Fundamental approach. BUT: Always limit your risk regardless how strong your conviction is. ALWAYS! Trade safe, Trade well
Awaiting leg D to complete to 115 levels - Updates Soon
For those who trade more actively or have a lot of portfolio turnover, it’s easy to get immersed in the minutiae of the chart and lose sight of the important macroeconomic drivers of the market – i.e., growth, inflation, liquidity. All three – stable growth, low-to-moderate inflation, and ample liquidity all remain in place. At the moment, the US is... Full...
BTC needs a close on the daily above the downtrend line indicated on the chart. The Bull volume is picking back up and the MACD has crossed bullish at the 6k mark. The weekly RSI is the most oversold its been since 2015. Technically its not oversold but its the most oversold BTC Rsi has been for quite some time. Makes we wonder why i didn't jump in with a big...
If this support cracks it means the FED has lost control
PA indicating a reversal in interest rates from historical lows as inflation data solidifies.
EUR/USD Has seen it Exhausted 2000+ Pip Bull Run Come to A Halt. A double Top is Seen on the Daily Timeframe that is essentially mirrored inversaly on the DXY. Tommorows CPI numbers for the Euro could prove to be a catalsyst for a break of this structure. CBOT:TN1! Have been rising as well thus bringing the Dollar Strength narrative into play. When the Media...