I expect that the price of Turkish bonds will continue decreasing even lower and lower. In few month or soon it could be invest-able as a market dip. That means there is a point where it can go down even more and then have a burst in price for a temporary period of time. Overall it is extremely high risk with the potential of some sustainable returns. If I was...
$TLT moved Higher after #Yellen hiked rates = divergence.
Although the fake news would have you believe that the Eurozone is fast on its way to recovery, it is still mired with issues and the failed Euro is taking its toll on German yields. There is still geopolitical tension, a migrant crisis, and a huge stagnation in inflation that extends to the entire developed world. The Kovach Chande is incredibly bearish and we...
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The yield curve (spread between the 30 year and 2 year spread) just broke below 1%. All indicators suggest this trend to continue. It has been encroaching the lower Bollinger Band of the Kovach Reversals Indicator, with no retracement in sight. A retracement will be confirmed by a green triangle, if an when it happens. The Federal reserve should be very ...
The yield curve struggles to come up for air as it hurdles toward zero. The slope of the trend is clearly decreasing, indicating that the flattening is accelerating. We've tested the lower bound of the Bollinger Band without a relief rally which is a very bearish sign. Also the Kovach Chande indicator is bearish and appears to be increasingly more so. If you...
As investors price in lower inflation and increased expectations for a Fed rate hike, the yield curve (between the 30 year bond and the two year note) is continuously making new lows. Typically, the flattening or steepening of the yield curve is led by one end, but in this case, both appear to be contributing equally. This presents a problem for the Fed as...
The spread between the 30 year US treasury bond and the 2 year bill has made new lows as the yield curve in the US continues to flatten. Anticipate a pullback at some point, but the curve will likely continue to flatten as investors price in a rate hike despite dovish comments from Bullard at the Fed. This pullback will be confirmed by a green triangle on the...
Teal and Yellow lines now may act as future support. $JNK $HYG #Trading #investing
As the markets price in the next interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, we see the spread between the 30 year and 2 year US treasuries continue to flatten. It is probably not coincidence that peaks in the Altcoin Index match up with with relative bottoms (especially recently) in the treasury spread. Also, although this is somewhat due to the Segwit2x drama...
high yield bond (HY), Emerging market bonds (EM), high grade bonds (LQD) vs Treasuries bonds...
Bonds back to reality, interest rates arn't going lwoer
The past 5 times JNK has dipped below its 200MA it has recovered. Also has support from trendline.
After the NFP data DX will power up. 10-year USYT can approach 2.40% levels. Gold can also react at $ 1267 - $ 1270. In addition, silver has a strong stance and is good for gold.
As Bitcoin and Stocks are pretty much overbought right now, it is maybe a good idea to sell some Bitcoin on the next ATH (maybe 6900 - 7200$) and get some german bonds, as they are pretty safe, looking good on the chart and have pretty low returns yet, which could increase after other markets crash and so increasing the price people would pay for them . Just a...
Junk bond yield spreads and implications for spx drops...
The WEEKLY time-frame shows a bear flag. Price is below the Ichimoku Cloud as well; signals a downtrend. Action plan: Sell call options (vertical spread) when there is a pullback i.e. when the price goes up. More trading resources: www.patreon.com