As you can see, yields are poised to break above the bull flag; a convincing break would target 3% as a minimum. Time to buy some moon boots guys and ditch any $JNUG dreams.
Looks like the crowded bond short consensus/reflation trade is about to get smacked... Positions in stock and options between $TLH and $TLT. Extreme positioning usually does not end well for the herd. I wonder if people shorting when market rate for 10-Years was above 2.31% ever even knew that rates have been under pressure since peaking over 3 decades ago.......
Hello Traders, today we want to share with you the OANDA:XCUUSD as it seems to reach our next critical area. Looking at the long-term perspective, after the US elections in November 2016, the market broke out the consolidation phase around 2.0000 and initiated a long movement. Currently market consolidates again around 2.44-2.80 and on the H4-perspective...
entry 13.62 to 13, Stop 12.80, exit 15.50 to 15.68
entries from 11.44, stop at 10.71, exit 13.00 to 13.49
We find different trendlines and an important support at this point. If the stock market keeps rising we might have a lower price, also because commodities and bonds trend inversely (1) we could have a small change in the trend, because both oil and gold have fallen. 1. Murphy, J. J. (2015). Trading with Intermarket Analysis: A Visual Approach to Beating the...
Euro-Bund starts to have more corrective moves. The last week Euro-Bund correction add some strength to Euro against most of currencies. If the price of Euro-Bund continue to fall, we may see more strength in the Euro. Euro-Bund is challenging a major support levels. A bigger drop or a massive correction of Euro-Bund, may even put pressure on ECB to revise the ...
That's my plan for monetizing a bet on Marine Le Pen :p (also federal election in Germany in September, possibility of Grexit, hard Brexit and whatever you think may be wrong on the old continent)
Technically speaking The ~116 level contains a confluence of support. The trendline going back to 2011 and the low prints going back to 2015 should provide support. We shall see. On the updside, 128 is the first level of resistance. What to do? I will be looking to dips around the 116 level, targeting a move back toward 128. My willingness to buy will depend...
TLT ISHARES 20 REAR TREASURY BOND - potential long at green box
Hello Traders, Today we want to share with you the FX_IDC:NZDUSD as it currently flirts with a very decisive zone around 0.697! The current fall within the FX_IDC:NZDUSD is on one hand caused by the USD strengths, but more importantly because of the Commodity weakness which lead to the New Zealand Dollar weakness. Long-term sentiment within the NZD is more...
This is why the stock market has not crashed all this time since 2007-2008.
Hello Traders, Today we will share with you guys the FX_IDC:GBPUSD as it seems to show soon further depreciation towards 1.21. However, it currently seems that we see more inflow of captial as the USD as a whole lost some strengths after Yellen speech on Friday. Market will very closely watch next weeks NFP on Friday next week as key driver for March rate...
Gold is still falling DXY lose momentum. Wait for Gold to reverse DXY will fall.
Hello traders, Today we want to share with you our FX_IDC:EURUSD perspective as it currently flirts with a very decisive zone at 1.05. Currently market flirts again with the 1.05 level as it seems to be a very desicive level for the market weather new bearish sentiment will kick in or not. Current fundamental important facts to consider: France latest...
TBT PROSHARES ULTRASHORT 20 YEAR TREASURY - look for short at 40.60 levels