Target #1 is in the books but there was a nasty reversal and it looks like the rest of our trade is in jeopardy. We will honor the stops.
The Notes trigger short for us. We are keeping stops a little tight as rumors spread about the FED. Regardless of any rumors we will manage the trade like all others.
We are in the Trigger Zone on the Notes and will be watching short term time frames for a trigger short. If we get the trigger then our final target will be a break of the lower wedge. REMEMBER: NO TRIGGER, NO TRADE!
30 Year Bond Chart...see the Notes post. Link below.
The Notes had a nice fake break and are now wanting to test the lower part of the wedge. The Bonds broke their weekly wedge and closed on their Friday lows which tells us the Notes and Bonds are weak. We are looking for a short position on bounces in the Trigger Zone. This is a Weekly chart trade and we will be looking for huge break down on the Notes. ...
Junk bonds are typically just that - junk. But, the iShares High Yield Corporate has been one of those crowded trades that just do not die. After witnessing the immaculate short squeeze from 1,864, the SPX staged an impressive rebound. But as I mentioned earlier today (on my InvestFeed - link below), the SPY is looking weak, and the ADX, which measures trend...
Should silver price in retail demand or economic sentiment? Silver prices have rallied hard since the beginning of October, up almost 10.5 percent since the October 2 low. However, traders are now budded up against key technical resistance. Will traders’ sentiment reject silver’s upward momentum, as it has done seven times since 2013, or will demand spark higher...
In " Gold Leaps Higher as Worries Mount ," I briefly pointed out how those very same institutions that championed quantitative easing policies implemented by the Federal Reserve are now coming out to proclaim quantitative easing added no substantial benefit to the real economy . Gold was pushed lower on the assumption that central banking policy would all pan...
Some say this week's FOMC decision will be of historical proportions and be the first time the Federal Reserve will increase the Fed funds rate in almost a decade. The U.S. dollar index is in a descending trend. Price action is floating above the minor trend created by the top on April 13. The dollar has not been able to see any significant support higher,...
SPDR® Barclays Long Term Corporate Bond ETF (LWC) fell out from 1-st standard deviations of quarterly (66-day) and 1-year (264 day) means, thus entering a full-blown downtrend. This scenario is only cancelled if price gets back within 1-st standard deviation from 1-year mean (above 38.7) Traders can take short positions off 1st standard deviations from quarterly...
Following the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, gold has seen a massive two day move that brought the precious metal to five-week highs. Worries mount as market participants are beginning to realize that the Federal Reserve is stuck within a liquidity trap. The minutes statement indicated that the Fed saw risks to near-term inflation (as the five-year breakeven rate hit...
Sold short some TLT at the market close. Looking to add tomorrow right away if it gaps down. Aiming for 123.40 (1° target); 122.33 (2° target and out). RSI divs on 1hr usually work on this ETF. The only worrisome sign: SPY seems to be at a hard place and this is a 'risk-on' trade. Let's see how it goes. Best,
Running Alpha Capital Markets observes that higher rates are not always a headwind, as the not too distant record shows that the electric utilities group can outperform and offer a margin of safety. During the last period of higher rates, from mid 2004 to mid-2006, the FOMC hiked rates 16 times, and despite these incremental actions, electric utilities actually...
With speculation over interest rates, TLT is hitting a ceiling for a second time. The .382 Fib line (in yellow) is prominent and the presence of the 200-day moving average (black moving average) make up a double resistance level. For a little more analysis and news check out our website! ttp://ht.ly/QISg0 Cheers, Enhancing Capital Team
TLT is breaking higher from both it's descending channel off January 2015's high and the Right Angle Ascending Broadening Formation (RAABF) it has been consolidating H12015's slide since early June. This dual trend line breakout occurs after a pivot from the Potential Reversal Zone at 115.50-116 of TLT's 10-month Bullish Bat. On this basis, TLT is poised to...
The US dollar index was a thing of bubbly-beauty, gaining over 25 percent in a year. Traders thought that after seven years, it is now time for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Unfortunately, reality is set it. The Fed has always claimed to be data-dependent. First, the potential for a rate hike was when unemployment dropped to 6.5 percent. That came and went...
The ETF representing the Vanguard Total Market is down around 3% off 2015 highs, and about 4.5% off the highest point in 2012. First, the minor support level at 82.02 was broken, followed by the next minor support at 81.84. A move below the major support at 81.37 will break the rising channel going back to the September 2013 low, effectively breaking the...
For the big picture of gold, look at the monthly time frame. What is the story that the monthly chart is telling us? It is showing us that Gold has FAILED to make a new low after bottoming back in November at 109.67: December, January, February, March, April all failed to push new price lows and that is a sign that the sellers are not only extremely patient,...