TAO Takes the Lead: Shifting Focus to the Top AI RunnerI was hesitant to post this setup since it’s already done a 2x from the lows.
I completely overlooked GETTEX:TAO as a major runner in #AI, so I stuck with NYSE:FET instead. But now I see that GETTEX:TAO has a much stronger chart and greater potential.
Both the weekly and monthly charts show confirmations, with the monthly possibly reaching over $1500.
The daily just printed another trend, with $715 as the first target, and it’s likely to hit another ATH.
It’s clear that this one is the leading AI mover, so I’ll shift some funds into this. I plan to ladder in my buys and hope for a retest at $545.
TAO
10/4 Nice rebound. Can we crash now? Overview:
The AMEX:SPY opened Friday significantly higher than Thursday’s close, forming a bullish hammer candle and edging closer to its all-time high. This week closed higher than the previous week, though the previous week did see higher prices.
The NASDAQ:QQQ mirrored the S&P’s action, showing similar price movement. BlackRock continues dollar-cost averaging into its ETH ETF, while other major players remain on the sidelines.
One critical trend to monitor: Bitcoin has historically struggled to hit new all-time highs or maintain upward momentum when the Global Liquidity Index is in decline. Unfortunately, the index has been falling for the past 19 days.
You can learn more about Global Liquidity Index and add it to your chart:
The CME Fed Watch Tool has now removed the possibility of a half-percentage point rate cut in November, replacing it with a chance of no rate cut at all. Currently, 2.6% of traders believe there will be no rate cut in November, while 97.4% expect a 1 basis point cut. Even with a rate cut, it will take time for liquidity to flow back into markets. By the time that happens, Bitcoin may hit its bottom for this cycle, signaling the start of a new bullish phase. Be sure to have cash ready for that opportunity.
BTC Technical Analysis:
W: BTC’s price is nearing the Bollinger Band Moving Average (BB MA) at $62.6k. If Sunday’s price rises by $456, it would close at or above that level, offering temporary hope to bulls. However, a more critical level to watch is the previous weekly close at $64.1k.
D : After a significant pullback from the bull trap, daily resistance is set at $63.3k. Breaking that level will require significant momentum.
4h & 1h: No clear signals on these timeframes. In a limbo.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
APT and TAO have remained stable over the last 5 days, showing no significant declines after BTC’s bull trap. Shorting opportunities might arise soon.
Bull Case: Looking at the past 28 days, we see a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. As liquidity eventually enters the market, more capital could flow into crypto, pushing prices higher.
Bear Case: On a broader scale, since the start of the year, the market is still showing lower highs and lower lows, suggesting bearish risks are still present.
Fear and Greed Index: 40.78 – Back to neutral.
BitTensor (TAO) – Major Resistance at $683! Time to Reallocate?📊💥 BitTensor Soars – Profit-Taking Time? 🚀
Let’s take a look at BitTensor (TAO). We’ve been riding this wave since $83 and increased positions around $135. Now, with the price currently at $584, I’m eyeing my personal target of $683, where I’ll be taking at least half of my profits and reallocating to other promising projects.
BitTensor’s market cap is nearing $4.5 billion, ranked 25th overall, but its trading volume is slipping to 36th. I’m happy with the gains so far and see $683 as a key resistance level, perfect for profit-taking.
Once I’ve cashed out some gains, I'll look to reinvest into projects with more upside potential, such as Sui, Sei, Tia Celestia, CRGPT and AIOZ. It’s been a great run, but it’s time to plan the next move!
Let me know your thoughts and let’s continue to navigate these markets smartly.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
9/30 Market Surge: SP500, Crypto, and Whale AccumulationOverview:
The AMEX:SPY closed strongly today, spurred by dovish remarks from Jerome Powell during a press conference. Powell signaled that the economy is cooling and reiterated the Federal Reserve’s commitment to achieving 2% inflation. As a result, 61% of traders now anticipate a 1 basis point rate cut in November, while 39% expect a 2 basis point cut. The AMEX:SPY had been gradually sliding earlier in the day, but Powell’s comments fueled a rally, allowing the index to engulf Friday’s red candle. Trading volume for the SPY ETF more than tripled during the press conference, reaching levels similar to Wednesday, September 18, when the recent rate cut was announced. Bullish.
The tech ETF NASDAQ:QQQ didn’t manage to engulf Friday’s candle but still saw a solid rally, accompanied by trading volume that was 10x higher than usual.
BlackRock continued its buying spree, acquiring $72.2 million worth of BTC, which is below their usual $118 million purchases. Over the past six days, BlackRock has accumulated nearly half a billion dollars worth of BTC and an additional $100 million of ETH. Is this how whales are dollar-cost averaging into the market?
BTC TA:
W: BINANCE:BTCUSD saw a sharp sell-off originating from Asia early Monday. Despite this, it remains above the Bollinger Band MA at $62.8k. The point of control for the current bull move is at $63k, with key weekly and daily resistance at $64k. BTC must hold within the $63k-64k range to maintain the bullish trend; failing to do so could signal one of the year’s largest bull traps.
D: The recent correction has halted precisely at the point of control, where the most trading activity occurs. However, the RSI remains overbought at 73.4, and the MACD shows bearish histogram divergence. Bearish.
4h: On shorter timeframes, RSI has moved into oversold territory. Additionally, the VWAP oscillator has crossed above the 0 line, signaling short-term bullishness. A rebound to the $64.7k Fibonacci 0.618 level is possible. Bullish in the short term.
1h: Price broke through the weekly and monthly resistance at $64 k but is struggling to maintain this level due to significant selling pressure. Neutral to bearish.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
Top altcoins have started pumping again after Monday’s correction. Coins like SUI, APT, and FTM posted gains of more than 7% by early Tuesday. These altcoins have proven that the recent correction was not a bull trap and are leading the market in this cycle. Even if BTC remains range-bound, altcoins could continue to pump, interpreting the situation as a non-bear market scenario.
Bull Case:
The bull trap has been avoided, and the market has resumed its uptrend. With additional liquidity expected from future rate cuts, the correction is seen as a temporary pullback. The Federal Reserve's dovish stance increases the likelihood of more liquidity flowing into speculative assets like crypto.
Bear Case:
The market may still be caught in a massive bull trap. Altcoin buyers at these levels could find themselves overexposed if the broader market falters.
Fear and Greed Index:
Currently at 47.89, the index has pulled back from the "Greed" area and is now just below the midpoint of 50, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.
Prediction:
If BTC fails to reclaim $64 k , sentiment may shift bearish in the near term. Conversely, reclaiming this level could pave the way for further upside, with a first target of $67k.
TAO Bittensor, my revenge chart after my defeat.Project description:
Bittensor ( GETTEX:TAO ) is a decentralized machine learning protocol that incentivizes users to contribute computing power and train AI models on the blockchain. By leveraging a decentralized infrastructure, Bittensor aims to create an open, permissionless network for AI development.
Type of project:
Decentralized AI and machine learning protocol.
Is it under a block?:
Yes, Bittensor operates on its own blockchain, utilizing a decentralized network to facilitate AI model training and computation. GETTEX:TAO is used as the native token to reward participants who contribute to the network.
Latest update or news:
As of July 2024, Bittensor introduced Neuron Staking, allowing participants to stake their GETTEX:TAO tokens on AI models they believe will perform well, further aligning incentives within the network and driving improvements in model quality.
Narrative:
Decentralized AI, machine learning, blockchain infrastructure, and incentive-based computation.
Why is it a good investment?
Institutional Backers and Angel Investors:
1. Multicoin Capital:
Multicoin Capital has backed Bittensor due to its innovative approach to decentralized AI, seeing it as a key player in the future of decentralized machine learning networks.
Outlier Ventures:
Outlier Ventures, a venture capital firm known for supporting Web3 and AI projects, has invested in Bittensor, recognizing the importance of decentralized AI infrastructure.
KR1:
KR1, a European blockchain investment firm, has also supported Bittensor’s vision for open, permissionless AI model training on the blockchain, seeing it as a critical step toward decentralized AI systems.
2. Angel Investors:
Trent McConaghy (Founder of Ocean Protocol):
While not directly invested, McConaghy has expressed strong support for decentralized AI projects like Bittensor that utilize blockchain technology to democratize access to AI resources and data.
Sandeep Nailwal (Co-founder of Polygon):
Nailwal, known for supporting decentralized infrastructure projects, has voiced interest in Bittensor’s approach to incentivizing AI model training through decentralized computation, though no confirmed direct investment.
Futuristic Use Case:
Decentralized machine learning model training:
Bittensor enables the training of AI models in a decentralized manner, allowing participants to contribute computational power and data, which is crucial for building AI models that are not dependent on centralized entities.
Incentivized AI development:
Bittensor’s tokenomics incentivize participants to stake GETTEX:TAO tokens on high-performing AI models, aligning incentives across the network and driving continuous improvements in the quality of AI outputs.
AI model sharing across industries:
Industries such as healthcare, finance, and research can benefit from Bittensor’s decentralized AI models, which allow for the sharing and optimization of AI models across sectors in a transparent and permissionless way.
Secure and transparent AI computation:
By leveraging blockchain’s security and transparency, Bittensor ensures that AI models and computations are performed in a trustless environment, reducing risks associated with centralized AI model training.
Why will it make a significant amount of profits?
Unique competitive edge:
Bittensor stands out from traditional AI platforms by decentralizing the training and development of machine learning models. This creates an open and permissionless ecosystem where anyone can contribute to AI development and be rewarded, giving it a unique position in the AI market.
Growing demand for decentralized AI models:
As the AI industry grows, the need for decentralized infrastructure that allows for transparent, secure, and scalable AI model training will increase. Bittensor’s approach of incentivizing contributors with GETTEX:TAO tokens will attract more participants and developers, driving demand for the token.
Neuron Staking and incentivization model:
Bittensor’s Neuron Staking system allows participants to earn rewards by staking GETTEX:TAO on AI models they believe will succeed. This creates a sustainable revenue model while encouraging continuous innovation in AI development.
Revenue from AI model training and computation:
Bittensor generates revenue by offering decentralized AI model training and computation services. As more businesses and developers use its infrastructure for AI model optimization, the value of GETTEX:TAO tokens will increase due to the growing demand for decentralized computation.
AIT Protocol; One Stop Shop under TAO Bittensor!Project description:
AIT Protocol is a decentralized AI infrastructure platform designed to enhance the development and deployment of AI-powered applications by leveraging blockchain technology for secure data sharing, decentralized computation, and AI-driven services.
Type of project:
AI infrastructure and decentralized computation protocol.
Is it under a block?:
Yes, AIT Protocol operates on Ethereum and other compatible blockchains, utilizing smart contracts to manage AI-driven services and secure data exchange across decentralized networks.
Latest update or news:
As of August 2024, AIT Protocol launched its AI-as-a-Service (AIaaS) feature, enabling developers to access decentralized AI models and computation resources for building and scaling AI-powered applications on the blockchain.
Narrative:
AI infrastructure, decentralized computation, AI-driven services, and blockchain-based AI applications.
Why is it a good investment?
1. Institutional Backers and Angel Investors:
Pantera Capital:
Pantera Capital has invested in AIT Protocol, recognizing its potential to bridge the gap between AI and blockchain, focusing on decentralized AI applications and services.
Framework Ventures:
Framework Ventures has also backed AIT Protocol due to its unique AI infrastructure approach, enabling decentralized computation and AI services in a secure and scalable manner.
Outlier Ventures:
Known for supporting Web3 and AI projects, Outlier Ventures has invested in AIT Protocol to push the boundaries of decentralized AI and its integration with blockchain ecosystems.
2. Angel Investors:
Ben Goertzel (Founder of SingularityNET):
While not directly confirmed, Goertzel has shown interest in projects like AIT Protocol that focus on decentralizing AI and integrating it with blockchain for secure and scalable solutions.
Chris Dixon (a16z Crypto):
Dixon, a key figure in supporting blockchain and AI convergence, has expressed support for the type of decentralized AI services that AIT Protocol aims to provide, though no direct investment has been confirmed.
Futuristic Use Case:
Decentralized AI applications:
AIT Protocol enables developers to create AI-powered dApps that leverage decentralized computation and data storage, allowing for more secure and scalable AI models that can be accessed by a global user base.
AI-driven services for enterprises:
Enterprises can use AIT Protocol’s AI-as-a-Service (AIaaS) to integrate decentralized AI models into their business operations, providing automated insights, decision-making, and process optimization while maintaining data security.
Cross-chain AI integration:
AIT Protocol is designed to operate across multiple blockchains, enabling AI models to interact with different ecosystems and provide AI-driven services across various decentralized platforms and dApps.
Decentralized data sharing for AI training:
By leveraging blockchain technology, AIT Protocol allows secure, transparent data sharing for training AI models, solving critical issues related to data privacy and security in AI development.
Why will it make a significant amount of profits?
Unique competitive edge:
AIT Protocol’s focus on decentralized AI infrastructure gives it a competitive edge in both the blockchain and AI sectors, providing scalable AI solutions that are not tied to centralized entities, thus appealing to developers, enterprises, and AI enthusiasts alike.
Growing demand for AI services:
As the demand for AI-driven services continues to grow across industries, AIT Protocol’s decentralized AI infrastructure will attract more developers and enterprises looking for secure, scalable AI solutions, driving demand for NYSE:AIT tokens.
Revenue from AI-as-a-Service (AIaaS):
AIT Protocol’s AIaaS model creates a sustainable revenue stream by enabling developers and businesses to access decentralized AI models and computational power for a fee, which will drive the utility and value of the NYSE:AIT token.
Integration with Web3 and decentralized ecosystems:
As more decentralized applications and platforms seek to integrate AI capabilities, AIT Protocol will play a critical role in providing AI services across Web3 ecosystems, making it a key infrastructure player in the growing blockchain and AI intersection.
9/28 Huge trend reversal. Bullish on crypto. Overview:
Both the AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ closed with red candles, yet neither index dropped below the previous day's low. This, coupled with low trading volume, suggests the current price levels may hold for a while. Both indices display bearish divergences on the MACD histogram and lines, signaling potential weakness.
The Federal Reserve reported August’s core PCE at 2.7% y-o-y, aligning with expectations and slightly up from July's 2.6%. Speculation surrounds whether rate cuts are fueling inflation, though typically, it takes months for such measures to impact the economy. Next year’s CPI and PPI readings will be crucial.
ETF funds have been on a buying spree for seven consecutive days, with September 27th seeing record-high volumes—five times the average.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis:
W: BINANCE:BTCUSD remains above the Bollinger Bands’ MA, in line with the yearly bull-run volume point of control. After two months of bearish sentiment, signs of a trend reversal are emerging. Resistance is at $67.5k. Bullish.
D: BTC broke above $64 k on Thursday and has held above this key level. However, RSI is now at 66.57, approaching overbought territory.
4h: RSI is overbought at 73.28, showing a double peak. MACD’s bearish crossover suggests a pullback to support levels at $65.2k or $64.4k. We expect either a pullback or sideways trading, allowing the MA to catch up. Bearish to neutral.
1h: The lower timeframes indicate BTC is undergoing a correction phase. Neutral.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
No major divergences are observed. Unlike BTC, ETH and SOL have yet to reach their previous August 25th highs. Newer alts like SUI, TAO, and NEAR have surpassed their highs, showing strong performance.
Bullish Scenario:
With BTC holding above GETTEX:64K on the weekly chart, a bullish outlook is more plausible. Global rate cuts may inject liquidity into speculative assets, boosting crypto prices.
Bearish Scenario:
There’s a risk that the current rally is a bull trap, with a potential sharp reversal.
Fear and Greed Index:
The index is at 56.67, nearing the “greedy” zone, indicating growing optimism.
Prediction:
BTC may correct to $64 k before resuming its rally, with the next target being $67k.
Opportunities:
Bearish: BNB is at monthly resistance, with MACD bearish divergence. NEAR, RNDR, TAO, FTM, and UNI have hit weekly resistance levels, suggesting potential trend reversals. FTM and UNI still haven’t completed their corrections, and MACD divergences may appear over the weekend.
Bullish: AR has rebounded from its weekly support level, indicating a strong recovery.
$TAO Bittensor to $5000Can TAO Bittensor hit $5k in the coming weeks?
We know that Bittensor is heavily focused on AI and machine learning models. It works and some of the incredible subnets that have been built out so far.
Bittensor is pumping aggressively, however it's now on key resistance.
If we can manage to hold $480 to $450, we can see it going to $650
The key support I'm watching to maintain its bullishness is around $370 area
I think when the alts season really kicks in, I don't think why TAO won't go hypothetically to the price of $5k
$TAO Bittensor Ascending Triangle .. SPOT ONLY!Bittensor price action is forming an Ascending Triangle
Current Price: $260
If GETTEX:TAO price continues to print higher lows then expect a journey to the horizontal resistance at $358
#TAO Up resistances: 285, 358!
A successful break out of the horizontal resistance will seek resistances at 437, 504
This idea is invalidated under 230!
TAO ANALYSIS (12H)It looks like a completed double correction which was our wave A and where we put the green arrow on the chart it looks like a bullish pattern has started on the chart.
The Boolean pattern appears to be a diametric. We are now in wave E of this diametric.
From the red range, the price can be rejected downwards.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate this analysis and view.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
#TAO/USDT Potential Rally Incoming!#TAO Price Update & Analysis
TAO is rallying as expected. It broke above the resistance trendline, retested the 35 EMA, and has recently rebounded.
- Breakout: Confirmed.
- Retest: Confirmed.
- Optimal Entry Range: $235 to $281 (Accumulated).
The strategy will remain the same:
- Accumulation: DCA every dip.
- Stop-loss: Not placing one—accumulating for long-term holding over the next few months.
- Key Profit Levels to Watch:
- $389
- $477
- $550
- $675
- $743
Do your own research (DYOR). This is not financial advice.
Thank you
#PEACE
#TAO #Crypto
9/13 Will BTC Hold the Line? Eyes on Rate Cut and Reversal!Overview:
Phone vibrates...
Voice: "Bogdanoff, he panic sold."
Bogdanoff: "Temporary bottom, reversal."
Voice: "He’s not biting."
Bogdanoff: "Pump it and paint a bull flag."
The VANTAGE:SP500 has posted five consecutive days of gains, stopping just 0.71% short of its all-time high. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:QQQ still needs to rise another 5.84% to match its previous peak. However, both indices have seen declining volume for the past three days, signaling that market participants are bracing for Wednesday’s rate cut. Whether it will impact crypto positively or negatively is the big question. Given the meteoric rise this week, Monday and Tuesday are expected to be flat or slightly negative as traders take profits ahead of anticipated volatility.
ETF flows are showing signs of divergence. On Friday, Fidelity retail traders loaded up on COINBASE:BTCUSD while Blackrock sat on the sidelines once again. Meanwhile, Ethereum continues to be ignored, with Grayscale Trust even selling. Are altcoins really that depressing?
W: Bitcoin broke through the $58.4K weekly level but still has a long way to go before signaling a trend reversal. BTC needs to cross and hold above the $63K level to confirm a weekly uptrend. This week will likely close with a solid green candle, although a Sunday evening sell-off could bring the price back to the moving average around $58K.
D: As we mentioned yesterday, "This is either a chance to enter at the beginning of a new bull wave or the highest BTC will be in a long time." BTC crossed the Bollinger Bands’ moving average and the weekly level, moving into a new range between $58.4K and $61.47K.
4h: The price is now at an overbought RSI level of 70.89, signaling short-term bearishness.
1h: RSI is even more overbought at 77.06.
Alts relative to BTC: As noted earlier, the BTC vs. alts divergence is currently unfolding. Of the major coins, only BINANCE:TAOUSDT has outpaced BTC’s 4% rise, with a 9% gain. Still, there's no sign of TAO being listed on Coinbase.
Bull case: If Jerome Powell manages a smooth landing, we could see gains from big tech stocks like Nvidia being recycled into small-cap tech and crypto. Following the first couple of rate cuts, if inflation remains under control and employment stable, the Fed could continue its policies, boosting global liquidity and fueling the final phase of the 2024 crypto bull run.
Bear case: ..phone vibrates.
Voice: "Bogdanoff, he bought."
Fear and Greed Index: 38.35, still in Fear territory. The last time BTC was at $60.3K, the Fear and Greed Index was between 43 and 55. Could this be another divergence?
Prediction: Expect a short-term correction to $58.4K, followed by rate cut-induced volatility next week.
#TAO/USDT 250%+ Potential Profit! Breaking Out!!#TAO : One of the Best-Looking Breakout Charts!
With only 1 million in supply, this coin has the potential to serve as a well-balanced asset to complement your more volatile investments.
- Breakout: Confirmed
- Retest: Currently in progress
- Optimal Entry Range: $235 to $281 (Accumulate)
- Target: Potential 250% gains as the altcoin market rallies!
- Key Profit Levels to Watch:
- $389
- $477
- $550
- $675
- $743
Stop-loss: Not placing one—accumulating for long-term holding over the next few months.
Note:
Do your own research (DYOR).
This is not financial advice.
Want more setups for spot and futures?
Follow me and like this post!
Thank you
#PEACE
TAO Bullish Inverse Head & Shoulders: Patience is Key!TAO has been forming a bullish head & shoulders pattern over the last couple of months. The pattern is still not complete, so be patient for it to complete.
If you're confident that this pattern will play out and the market will reverse, take a look at the higher risk trade I put on the right. Tighter stop, so higher potential profit!
Alikze »» FET | Bearish Flag🔍 Technical analysis: Bearish Flag
- In the analysis presented in the weekly Time, after a corrective trend up to the major ceiling area, it encountered demand, which led to a growth of more than 80%.
- Currently, in the 4H time frame in an ascending channel, in the middle area of the channel, as you can see in the chart, a bearish flag has been formed.
- Therefore, due to the failure of the supply zone, which is also recorded as a rejection candle, it can have a correction to the origin of movement after exiting the short-term ascending channel or the flag as high as the previous leg.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it can stabilize above the supply zone, the bearish flag pattern will be invalidated and it can continue up to the top of the growth channel.
🛑 Resistance: 1.172
🟢 Support: 0.78
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BINANCE:FETUSDT
TAO Update in a Daily TimeframeTAO is currently in a descending triangle pattern, forming a downtrend. After being rejected by the 100 EMA and the resistance trendline, TAO has dropped nearly 28% and is currently holding support at $260.
If TAO fails to hold the primary support, it is expected to find support at $212, followed by a potential rebound.
For a bullish rally, TAO must break out above the 100 EMA and the resistance trendline, either from the primary support or the lower support.
Note: Be sure to conduct your own research and analysis before investing.
Regards,
Team Dexter.
#Tao #Crypto
Alikze »» TAO | Retest the bottom of the ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Retest the bottom of the ascending channel
- In the 4H time frame, after a price pump in the range of $162, it has been moving in an upward channel for some time.
- In this ascending channel, after hitting the ceiling of the channel 3 times and not being able to break the range, it has faced selling pressure.
- Currently, in the middle of the channel, after suffering for a while, it has again faced selling pressure.
- According to the behavior and structure of this correction, it can extend to the area of $278, which is in the range of the bottom of the channel. After that, it can have a retest to Fibo 1.618 and neck line, and then continue the correction to the $250 area.
- In addition, if the $250 range is broken, the correction should continue until the origin of the downward movement.
💎 Alternative scenario: If in this ascending channel it can stabilize above the neckline after the pullback to the broken structure, there will be a retest to the top of the channel.
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MEXC:TAOUSDT
Aug 25Overview: The FRED:SP500 closed Monday with a red candle, erasing last week’s Friday gains. Durable goods orders were reported today, showing the highest increase since July 2020. This indicator reflects the amount of new orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods expected to last at least three years, such as automobiles, appliances, electronics, and machinery. An increase in durable goods orders typically signals business confidence and a willingness to invest in long-term assets. However, this rise was driven mainly by automobile purchases; excluding cars, the figure was down 0.2%.
Global liquidity has been increasing for the past 60 days. The last time we saw such a sustained rise was from the end of October 2023 to mid-January 2024, which marked the start of the current bull market. This is a bullish signal.
W: The BINANCE:BTCUSD price has reached the lower bound of the current range, 63k-64k.
D: Monday closed with a red candle. The lack of a lower wick is concerning, suggesting that bears pushed the price down throughout the day without giving bulls a chance to buy back. It closed slightly below the W level of 63k, at 62.8k.
4h: The price is at the bottom of the Bollinger Bands (BB). A rebound is needed, but it’s not happening yet. The price is trading below the W level. While this isn’t a significant issue for the W candle, it’s crucial for the 4h to stay above 63.1k.
1h: The RSI has touched the oversold level of 30. This is a bullish signal.
Alts Relative to BTC: There’s no significant divergence. Some altcoins corrected less ( BINANCE:SOLUSD , BINANCE:NEARUSD ) while others corrected more ( BINANCE:SUIUSD , BINANCE:FTMUSD ), but in the early hours of Tuesday, almost all have recovered to their highs after the recent pump.
Bull Case: This isn’t a bull trap, and we’ll see a climb on low trading volume. Whales might hold on, waiting for interest rate cuts, or they could start selling just before the cuts.
Bear Case: This is a bull trap unfolding, with fewer bulls willing to hold this price level.
Fear and Greed Index: 53.61. This is a 'no trade' zone if you prefer to buy low and sell high with the highest conviction.
Prediction: Undecided.
Opportunities:
BINANCE:AAVEUSD : At W level $128. Bullish.
BINANCE:MKRUSD and BINANCE:UNIUSD : Both are holding strong W levels that predate BTC ETF demand. Bullish.
BINANCE:TAOUSD : Drawing a MACD divergence on D and 1h, with the W level of $361 being rejected for the third time. Bearish.
Aug 21Overview:
There were no surprises in the Fed’s meeting minutes. "Officials were confident about the direction of inflation and are ready to start easing policy if the data continues to cooperate." However, too many traders are interpreting this as “on September 18th, my $stonks go up.” Don’t be one of them.
VANTAGE:SP500 posted another green candle, but momentum is slowing as it approaches its ALH, now just 0.82% away. We might see it by the end of the week, reducing the chances of $ BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC crashing this weekend.
$63.2k is still a possibility for BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC as it slowly inches closer, needing only a 4.28% increase over the next 2-3 weeks.
W: Heading to close this week green. No divergences.
D: Finished Wednesday strong, posting a green candle, solidifying the BB MA breakout, and escaping the $60.2k level, which should now turn into support. Expecting to close the week between $60.2k and $63.2k.
4h: No divergences. Range trading.
1h: No divergences. Range trading.
Alts Relative to BTC: No divergence relative to BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC.
Bull Case: Same as yesterday. We’ve likely passed the bottom (or an intermediate bottom), and with the booming VANTAGE:SP500 , expected rate cuts each month, and more institutional money flowing into risky assets in September, we should continue marching up. IPO stocks, small-cap tech stocks, and crypto are poised to benefit.
Bear Case: Same as yesterday.
Fear and Greed Index: Slowly trending higher, now almost exactly in the middle at 49.59. Untradeable.
Prediction: Close this week green, then grow to $63k next week before a drop.
Opportunities:
BINANCE:UNIUSDT UNI Expected to complete its move to $7.52, offering a 7.87% gain.
BINANCE:ARUSDT AR, BINANCE:APTUSDT APT, BINANCE:TAOUSDT TAO Have shown better price action in the last couple of days and may continue trading higher next week, as BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC stays within its range. These moves are not indicator-driven, so proceed with extreme caution and tight stop-losses.