Bitcoin future price time pivots with Fibonacci CirclesNot financial advice. I’m not a financial advisor. I’m learning to trade. Learn to trade!
Fibonacci circles placed from December 2017 high to December 2018 low lines up with some key dates in bitcoins future.
1.618 circle calls the March 2019 breakout.
2.618 is in line with a theory used by @tone vays using a Martin Armstrong price prediction through time analysis. See tonevays.com & Tone vays daily YouTube vids.
4.236 Fibonacci circle lines up with the 2020 bitcoin halvening.
“mental masturbation” horoscope/astronomy/when full moon-esque TA but the coincidences with key dates is not to be discredited. If you are newb, like myself, I recommend Tone vays, and his interviews with traders; nick core, Willy woo, djthistle, sawcruhteez and, of course, OG Tyler Jenks. This was stumbled upon after an interview with venzen (second link, if you are interested in this kind of technical analysis)
tonevays.com
youtu.be
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Targets
BITCOIN retracement, support areas and potential reversal zoneThose are the resistance areas formed by Fibonacci retracement, psychological prices, pivot points on large TF's and ichimoku lines.
While bearish on the short term, there is a bullish on the long term bias, expecting a future break to higher (out of chart) prices after going to 9,200$ (the lower part of the triangle.
8,500$ would invalidate the hypothesis and consolidate a bearish trend on the long term.
#bitcoin - *Update* We need a green Thursday!Bitcoin has made all its way down in only two days and now hitting the formerly mentioned potential bullish triangle support. This is a very hard approach that needs to be smoothed by a green candle tomorrow otherwise, the next support target is around $9500, where it would be immensely important not to fall through to keep the bullish trend alive. The monthly Pivot has not even made Bitcoin rest a little, which is the reason the yellow box has been hit pre-maturely and caused a little bit lower values as expected yesterday. Please also watch the H1-H4 interval in order to keep an eye on bullish reversals here. For some people, this might look like a good entry, but it is very much needed to wait for those signs in order to be able to justify the risk-management, which currently could sit just below $10k as a stop.
Targets all remain the same.
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Warm regards,
Neru
4H 50 EMA broken - Time to sell old bags to buy new bags!!!Hat 's going on my people? How is everyone holding up?
Disclaimer, I am macro bullish on BTC, yet price action takes precedent over whatever I feel. I think that the test of 200 EMA & SMA on 4H is an incredibly bullish sign and also offers us an opportunity to exchange our old bags for new bags.
This move has been a long time coming and I think that we will see the continuation and culmination of it within upcoming says.
Downwards price pressure accelerates ever so slightly and this is visible on Volume Impact oscillator and on momentum oscillator as well.
Thinks to keep in mind:
- 50 EMA on 4H has been breached and this opens up the possibility to revisit 200 EMA -SMA stationed at 10600-10700 levels. The chance of reaching this area is roughly 85 % so be ready.
- There is a chance that we might continue below. If we overshoot our price targets and manage to close 4H under 10400 this will open up whole other can of worms and mandate continuation to 10.1-10.2 price levels in the upcoming week. Have to be honest though, I don't think that this is a reasonable scenario and holds significant merit until we close 4h dildo under 10.4.
To summarize:
General Trend: Upwards, sentiment bullish.
Testing 200 EMA SMA after the golden cross is incredibly bullish and most likely will result in a swift reversal upwards and acceleration of the price action.
I don't think that reaching 10.6-10.7 levels breaks the market structure, in fact, it reinforces the previously established rule. The fact that this move does not fit in your carefully drawn descending wedge, triangle or pendant means that you should probably not give too much of a significance to whatever you draw. (This applies to you too Mr Fib Circles of death and capitulation- thank you for your hard work and beautiful artwork).
Stay safe my people. have a successful as well as lucrative trading week and stay awesome!
Cheers
Archie
#bitcoin - Bullish "Symmetrical Triangle" on 240Good morning guys,
Bitcoin is still forming the symmetric triangle on H4, which naturally has better odds to break upwards, than downwards. The targets of this symmetric triangle are similar to the max-targets of the older bullish Adam & Eve to the top and if we break this down (possibly after a false break-out) our main target would be around $10750. You would be able to see false & valid break-outs in either direction when the red marked levels on top and below the symmetric triangles are broken or declined.
Generally, this is a bullish setup, saying that Bitcoin is very famous for its surprises, thinking about possible stop-runs after break-out.
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Warm redards,
Neru
#bitcoin - Bears be careful ...I am not convinced that we go down from here. I know many are calling the $8k again, but I would really be careful with shorting into this. This construct that we see here, looks at the moment more like a temporary retrace to satisfy profits and short scalpers, this does not look like a typical local high. The old A&E max-neckline was accepted as support and we have a new breakout-level, we are just now trying to get back over the R1-W Pivot, also sitting on a developing hidden bullish divergence.
Targets remain. I won´t change anything for now, only if we get harshly rejected anytime soon in higher than an H4 candle formation or if we fail to overcome the R1-W Pivot.
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Warm regards,
Neru
#bitcoin - Now hitting last "H6-Diagonal" (A&E)After every single diagonal trendline resistance has been broken with no effort thanks to the Adam & Eve bullishness, the price just hits the last trendline resistance, that could end the A&E play-offs pre-mature, although Bitcoin looks very strong and I don´t really see why we should end this before max-targets. None of us knows currently, where the shorters will start to hop in and where the most targets are sitting. If you followed the development of the order books recently, you have noticed, that many resistances had sell-walls in play, that have been either eaten away like a pepper-steak for breakfast or moved higher (which is typical for a STRONG short-term-trend).
Current resistances are R2-W and the last Diagonal. Next ones coming up would be the R1-M and just after that the feared former high + the R1-Y in the area around $13k. I have labeled for you as usual.
Trade safely, set stops.
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Warm regards,
Neru
EOS/BTC going exactly like planned EOS/BTC went exactly like planned in the last post on EOS/BTC.
Resistance has never broken, therefore the bullish targets were never activated and we dumped to each important area mentioned in the previous post.
Right now we are about to hit my original long entry level.
If that holds, expect a big move up, however stopp losses can be adjusted (higher risk) to the second green square below or you can add long positions there.
FREE Telegram Chat: t.me/dccryptoacademyfreechat
TRX/BTC, big long or short opportunity TRX/BTC is currently sitting in a very important zone.
Depending on if 222sat or 240sat break first will decide in which direction we will be moving.
Now, how to trade this:
If 240 breaks: Go long, targets are lines of the red boxes.
If 222 breaks: Go short, targets are the lines of the green boxes.
Remember: At those levels a bounce/correction is expected, that's where you can switch your positions.
What can you do if you are long/short now?
Adjust stopp loss a little above/below those important levels, that should be enough, however, this is no financial advice!
BTT is getting more attention and a possible boom!BTT is getting more attention and a possible boom!
I have been following the BTT price movement for almost 6 months, here is part of my analysis in favor of a bullish move for BitTorrent.
As you can see BTT was independent of bitcoin moves and just recently shows a significant correlation (shaded area). This could mean that BTT is getting more attention from the traders in the crypto market and starting to sync its price moves with bitcoin. But this sync happened recently and because of its independent moves in the past, it seems that it might finish its correction before bitcoin.
BTT entered its corrective waves on May 27 while BTC did start its correction a month later on June 26. BTT has met its fib levels for the correction and it seems that it also completed a 5-3-5 zigzag correction pattern. On the other hand, bitcoin first wave had 3 sub-waves and this pushes bitcoin to complete a flat correction or a double three. the second wave in the bitcoin correction had 0.78 retracements which do not qualify the correction to be a flat correction. Wave B in flats usually retraces more than 90% and even more than 100%. Given that bitcoin failed to retest its last high at ~14000 suggests that bitcoin continued its correction as a double three and signaled a more bearish correction. The last 5-wave move downward in bitcoin could be a wave A of an ABC.
Looking at daily RSI for both coins indicates a bearish RSI divergence for bitcoin and a neutral or even slightly bullish RSI divergence for BTT. Just recently BTT formed a bullish RSI divergence in 30 min time frame while bitcoin failed to form a bullish divergence. Both coins are facing supports and resistants from moving averages right now.
Given all the information, it seems that BTT will start a bullish rally while bitcoin completes its downward corrective move toward 0.5 or 0.618 retracement levels and end its correction around 7000 - 8500.
What would this mean for BTTBTC?
BTTBTC will moon as a result and looking at the BTTBTC chart it shows that it just tested its 9 sat for the 3rd time and it held the support. BTTBTC did go to 8 sat which as a result a bullish RSI divergence was formed on the daily time frame. BTTBTC being around 9-10 sat its bullish moves will put it in the top of the green altcoin list and it might even attract more attention.
This analysis is focused on a bullish scenario and I would enjoy receiving counter-arguments from you guys.
XBTUSD 4H chart (7/23/2019)Good morning, traders. Yesterday I warned about initiating a position at the EQ of the local TR as it was unclear whether price was headed up or down. Price ended up heading down as we can see. I mentioned that, if price dropped, I would be looking for it to bounce out of the blue demand zone or, if strong volume came in with the supply, then I would be watching for a bounce at the S1 pivot. So far, price is in the blue demand zone, so we should be watching to see if it bounces from this area since volume, so far, hasn't been significant at all.
The previous 4H candle again shows you why dojis are merely pauses and not necessarily reversals. Dojis during a trend require the next candle to confirm continuation or reversal. Traders should be watching this candle for a large lower wick which would be bullish and would also print tweezer bottoms suggesting a reversal incoming. Currently, price has almost touched the 61.8% retracement of the most recent bounce. A touch of the S1 pivot would have price just beyond the 78.6% retracement. I have outlined a possible descending red wedge, however until price actually bounces off the wedge support and targets wedge resistance, it could still fall below it. RSI has almost reached oversold again but Stoch RSI is oversold and nearing bottoming out. The 4H volume has not been significant though it did rise through yesterday morning. Today we see the volume spikes near that same level but the candle spreads are much smaller which tells us demand is showing up at these lower levels. The question is, will there be enough to reverse price direction from this point?
The 1H RSI is printing bullish divergence at this time but we need to see price continuing higher to confirm it. The RSI resistance has been noted on the different TFs and should be watched. 1H volume has increased noticeably over the previous period but the candle spread remains small, again telling us that demand is attempting to overcome supply. Stoch RSI is nearing a possible bearish cross. The M30 RSI is printed bullish divergence and is currently attempting to confirm it as it nears a break of its resistance. While Stoch RSI is much higher on this shorter TF, it is curling up for a possible bullish cross.
My targets remain the green and orange boxes for now. With a clear ABC completion on the daily, we must now follow price action to see if that is the end of the correction or if we have a combo which will ultimately see price heading toward the mid-$8000s. However, we should generally expect price to target that ~$12000 level before doing so. The 3D chart shows multiple hidden bullish divergence following each other and RSI is retesting resistance as support. Stoch RSI on this large TF bounced in overbought and recently crossed bullishly. Price remains supported by the pivot.
I will be streaming on YouTube and Twitch at 10 a.m. CST/3 p.m. UTC and would love for you to join me if you have the chance. You can search TexasWestCapital on both platforms.
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Every day, we have a choice to act positively or negatively, so if you get a chance, do something decent for someone today which could be as simple as sharing a nice word with them. You just might change their day, or even their life.
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Symmetrical Wedge Pattern in BTC forming Predicting BTC will continue to move in wedge, flag, and pennant patterns by forming this giant symmetrical wedge. breakout of wedge either direction with volume and it should fly to retest the .618 retracement of all time high to recent low around 13400. Funny the timing of all this lines up perfectly with Iran, Facebook, the Fed, the uncertainty of money. Bullish bias but the lack of volume is pretty insane compared to what is happening in the crypto bubble. Don't worry, Facebook will be introducing it to billions in January, months before the halving. Earlier at bottom of the wedge volume came in out of nowhere to prop it up. Retesting here very soon.
new to annotating and goofed up thinking it saved snapshot. oh well here is my future doodle! makes alot of sense though. retest .618 and fail hard down to 9800 then wedge and climb to 16k then honor mirror of symmetrical wedge which takes it to key levels. was trying to stretch it out till it is testing all time high in december. 12500, 13400 (.618), 9800 fake out while setting up the timing for an end of the year rally into FB Libra 2020. By early 2020 100k price target.
LTC Long with Tragets and Invalidation-LevelIt's quite self explaining.
I'm looking for a long or short at breakout/breakdown-area.
Bull Targets = grren arrow
Bear Targets = red arrow
Always remember to be patient and let the chart show you the direction.
And super important: Always use stop losses .
If you have questions don't hesitate to ask.
Cheers
Darking Duck
BTC bellow 10000?!
I wasn’t satisfied with the 38% correction and here is a bearish scenario for bitcoin to complete a double three correction. The four last waves could be 1234 of a 5-wave move as sub-wave 1 of wave 3. A higher-high would signal a bullish scenario and lower-low signals the bearish scenario, simple as that. For the bearish scenario all three targets 0.38, 0.5, and 0.61 are equally likely right now and there is no significant accumulation of the fib levels around any of them. Fundamentally, BTC needs a bigger correction and reaching ATH this early is premature I guess. Breaking ATH in the last wave (2014-2018) resulted in a huge bullish move which is healthier if it happens in wave 3 or 5. Let me know what you think?!
2/3 bullbreakout targets hit; Is btc about to go hyperparabolic?We have finally hit both the purple descending channel's and the downward slant pink inverse head and shoulders' breakout targets and are currently consolidating just below the horizontal resistance at 13071. Our bigger green inverted h&s pattern's breakout target is still to come at 14400 but there is a chance we may find resistance on the way there at the potential 1day chart cup&handle's rimline around 13850 or so...however if once we reach the 14400 breakout target we can maintain price action there for a few consecutive 1day candle closes we should then trigger the cup and handle pattern in which case our next big pitstop would probably be at the ATH to form another handle while on our way to 25K correct a month or 3 then break that handle continuing our way to the 1st cup and handles target of 25-26k while simultaneous created a new bigger cup and handle breakout target around $36k. Sure sounds hyperparabolic to me let's see if it plays out like that. . . .Psychologically, right now everyone knows the 1st big correction of the new bull market is now officially over. I anticipate the wave of volume we will soon get as people who've been waiting on the sidelines this whole time finally reverse capitulate and flood the market will likely be at magnitudes unlike anything this market has ever seen before.