Jesus Coin (JESUS) Price Jumps Over 50% in a Week Jesus Coin (JESUS) has experienced notable price action this week, rising by 52.90% in the past seven days. At the time of writing, the token trades at $0.00000006999. Despite a -7.61% drop in the past 24 hours, the coin maintains momentum, supported by increased attention within its community.
The project holds a market capitalization of approximately $7.19 million, positioning it at rank #1101 in the crypto market. Daily trading volume has declined to $110.11K, showing a 61.50% drop, signaling reduced short-term interest despite recent price movements.
Jesus Coin was created as a decentralized, community-led initiative aimed at promoting generosity and faith-based values in crypto. It brands itself as an “anti-meme coin,” built to counter dishonest projects and scams that have plagued the space.
Unlike typical crypto ventures, Jesus Coin launched without a team allocation and functions entirely through community efforts. Its mission focuses on inspiring generosity and cultural transformation through blockchain.
From a technical perspective, Jesus Coin shows signs of renewed bullish activity after a prolonged consolidation phase. The 3-day candlestick chart highlights a recent push attempt. JESUS has also moved above the 50-day moving average (0.00000006201), suggesting short-term bullish momentum. However, it remains below the 200-day moving average, indicating that long-term sentiment has not yet flipped.
The token’s trading range remains tight, with historical support near 0.0000000513 and recent highs around 0.000000071. Trading volume remains modest, implying cautious interest from market participants.
With strong community involvement and recent technical signals, Jesus Coin may continue to draw attention. Watch for sustained volume and price movement above resistance for further confirmation of trend direction.
Tariffs
ECB lowers rates, Euro edges higherThe euro is showing little movement on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1369, up 0.09% on the day.
The ECB lowered its deposit facility rate on Thursday by a quarter-point, bring the rate to 2.25%. This marked the seventh rate cut since the ECB started its easing cycle in June 2024 and interest rates are now at their lowest since December 2022. The markets had expected the rate cut and the euro showed limited movement in response to the move.
The ECB's rate cut was largely a response to the chaos around US tariff policy. US President Donald Trump has sharply attacked the EU over its trade policy and slapped 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports into the US. The EU retaliated with counter-tariffs but suspended those measures for 90 days after Trump suspended a second round of tariffs on EU goods. The sides are negoatiating but the US has threatened new tariffs on pharmaceutical products and the EU-US trade war could escalate in the coming weeks.
The euro has benefited so far from the escalating trade tensions, as hit 1.1476 last week, its highest level since February 2022. The US dollar has sustained sharp losses against the major currencies as investors look for safer shores in the midst of the turmoil in the financial markets.
The ECB statement said that the inflation continues to ease but expressed concern over worsening trade tensions which have muddied the economic outlook. ECB President Lagarde said in her follow-up press conference that "downside risks to economic growth have increased" which would likely impact on exports, investment and consumption.
The Federal Reserve is prepared to lower rates if necesary but the markets have priced in a hold at 90% the May 7 meeting according to CME Fedwatch. A cut in June is much more likely, with a 60% probability.
Gold Price Rollercoaster: Is the Rally Just Beginning?The gold price has had a pretty crazy six days, jumping from 3,014 USD on April 9, 2025, to 3,357 USD on April 17 – that’s a solid 11%+ gain. So, what’s going on now? Is the gold rally over, or could we see even more upside? Let’s break it down.
🔥 What’s driving the gold price?
The big reason behind the recent surge is the trade war between the US and China. Trump has slapped new tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, which has shaken things up in the markets. The Fed has also warned that these tariffs are bigger than expected, and could slow down growth and increase inflation.
When things get uncertain, investors tend to rush to safe havens like gold, and that’s exactly what’s happening right now. The demand for gold is up, and so is the price.
📉 What does the ECB rate cut mean?
The European Central Bank (ECB) has lowered interest rates by 0.25% today, dropping from 4.5% to 4.25%. They’re trying to help the economy out and ease inflation.
Lower rates mean fixed-income investments aren’t as attractive, which makes gold a better option. But, the US Fed has made it clear they won’t cut rates before June 2025, which could strengthen the US dollar and make gold a little less appealing.
🕊️ What if there’s a trade deal?
Now, imagine there’s a breakthrough – a trade deal, fairer tariffs, and everyone’s calming down. That could change things for gold:
📉 Less risk = less demand for gold: If things chill out, less capital will flow into gold.
💵 Stronger Dollar?: A trade deal could make the US dollar stronger, which isn’t necessarily great for gold. But Trump has made it clear that he doesn't want a strong dollar, since it makes US goods less competitive abroad. Even if the dollar does strengthen, it might put pressure on gold since it becomes more expensive for people using other currencies.
🔁 Money shifts: If things get calmer, investors might move away from gold and back into stocks or bonds for better returns.
So, a deal could definitely slow down or even end this gold rally.
🧭 What does this mean for investors?
Daytraders
For day traders, the current ups and downs can offer some good opportunities, but they also come with risks. The markets are super sensitive to news about the trade war and rate cuts. Quick gains are possible, but you’ve got to be careful. If a trade deal happens, expect the classic “Sell the News” scenario where the market cools off.
Medium-Term Investors (1 Month)
Over the next few weeks, we’ll see if more trade war news or central bank decisions impact the gold price. The rally could keep going, but nothing is guaranteed. If you’re in it for the medium-term, keep your positions flexible and manage risk closely. A trade deal could be bad news for gold, though.
Long-Term Investors
Long-term, gold is still a great way to hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks. The current trends could help gold prices, but keep in mind there could be some ups and downs. If the price drops due to a trade deal, it might actually be a good opportunity to buy.
📊 The Bottom Line
Gold has been on a hot streak lately, driven by the trade war and central bank moves. Whether this rally continues or cools down depends on what happens next. A trade deal could bring a correction. So, keep an eye on things and adjust your strategy accordingly.
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Netflix (NFLX) – A Safe Haven Amid Tariff UncertaintyKey Supporting Arguments
Amidst the unpredictability of Donald Trump's tariff policies, Netflix might serve as a defensive play.
Positive consumer sentiment, a surge in subscriber growth, and strategic hikes in subscription prices are poised to power robust results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025.
Investment Thesis
Netflix (NFLX) is a global leader in video streaming, offering a vast library of original and licensed content to subscribers worldwide. With over 95% of its revenue stream coming from subscriptions, the company secures a solid foundation against the whims of market volatility. NFLX’s nascent foray into advertising contributes a mere 3% to its revenue, ensuring that any tremors in the macroeconomic climate have a minimal ripple effect.
Netflix's business model, anchored in subscription revenue and expansive geographic diversification, shields the company from the whims of unpredictable tariff policies. Amidst the relentless cycle of tariffs being slapped on and lifted from a variety of products and the growing tide of protectionism, streaming platforms such as Netflix, which thrive on subscription-based models, emerge as devensive assets. This is largely because they steer clear of the tumultuous world of physical goods production, importation, and exportation. The sustainability of the company’s streaming empire is anchored in its formidable user engagement—clocking in at around 2 hours per household daily—paired with historically low subscriber churn and entertainment value that punches well above its price tag. These elements collectively mitigate NFLX’s risk profile in the face of a potential recession. While advertising revenue may take a hit if trade tensions intensify and trigger an economic downturn, it is worth noting that ads only contribute to about 3% of Netflix's total revenue. Despite its worldwide footprint, the company still rakes in a hefty slice of its revenue—around 40-45%—from the U.S. market, offering a protective buffer against possible international sanctions or restrictions. Meanwhile, its strategic geographic diversification across Europe, Latin America, Asia, and the Middle East not only mitigates risks but also fortifies the sustainability of its business model.
Netflix is poised to potentially exceed expectations in its Q1 2025 earnings report. In Q4 2024, the company shattered expectations by pulling in a recordbreaking 19 million new users, a surge we anticipate will roll into 2025, powered by its rich and diverse content lineup. By the year's end, Netflix strategically hiked prices in the U.S. and UK, a move poised to bolster its Q1 2025 revenue. With a bold target of 29% growth for 2025, the company is banking on buoyant consumer spending and these subscription price upticks to hit the mark. Netflix projects a free cash flow of no less than $8 billion, creating a strategic opportunity for potential share buybacks.
Our target price for NFLX over the next two months is pegged at $1,080, paired with a "Buy" recommendation. We suggest setting a stop-loss at $880.
Spotify (SPOT) – Sustainable Business Model Amid Tariff WarsKey Supporting Arguments
Spotify’s business model is resilient enough to rising tariff barriers between countries and economic downturns
Spotify and other music streaming platforms are undercapitalized and may demonstrate substantial growth in 2025, driven by increasing subscription prices.
Investment Thesis
Spotify (SPOT) stands as the world’s leading global audio streaming platform, boasting over 600 million active users, around 265 millions of whom are paying subscribers. The company’s primary revenue stream is derived from premium subscriptions, which constitute approximately 88% of its total revenue, with advertising revenue comprising the remaining 12%. This model offers the company relative stability amidst ongoing tariff tensions.
Amidst global economic instability and the threat of escalating trade wars, Spotify emerges as a safe haven for investors. Spotify’s audio streaming platform is not reliant on the supply of physical goods, rendering it immune to tariff barriers. The high entertainment value, the ingrained habit of daily usage, and the superior quality of the platform ensure a strong subscriber base, even during times of economic uncertainty. 88% of Spotify’s revenue is derived from paid subscribers, while advertising revenue accounts for only about 12%. This revenue structure makes the company more resilient to downturns in consumer demand and reduced advertising budgets. Approximately 40% of Spotify’s revenue is generated in the U.S. and 10% in the UK, with the remainder coming from other markets worldwide. This geographic diversification mitigates vulnerability to localized economic shocks.
The music streaming sector is undercapitalized. This industry is undergoing transformation. Initially, competition among music streaming platforms was centered on mass user acquisition, often keeping prices low to attract listeners away from piracy services. However, beginning in 2022 and through 2023, a wave of price increases was initiated by all major industry players, including Spotify, Apple, Amazon, and YouTube. As users have grown accustomed to paid subscriptions and their loyalty has increased due to enhanced user experiences, the cost of switching between platforms has risen substantially. This has empowered streaming services, particularly Spotify, to raise prices without experiencing significant audience loss. We anticipate that subscription price increases will be a primary driver of the company’s revenue and margin in 2025.
Our two-month price target for the SPOT stock is $650, with a “buy” rating. We recommend setting a stop-loss order at $500.
GBP/CAD at a crossroads: this key level could trigger the drop!My visual analysis highlights a strong multi-timeframe resistance zone (weekly and monthly) between 1.8662 and 1.8779, where price has reacted sharply multiple times. This area, marked in dark burgundy, signals a significant supply zone.
Currently, price is trading back in the 1.8350–1.8400 region. Based on my note on the chart ("Looking for a short opportunity on H1"), I’m anticipating a potential short entry from lower timeframes—likely triggered by a structural break or bearish candlestick confirmation.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If I get a short confirmation around the current area, I’ll be targeting the 1.7900–1.7677 demand zone (highlighted in deep blue), which has previously shown strong bullish reactions.
The RSI is also showing signs of potential divergence or overextension, adding weight to the bearish thesis.
🟢 Alternative Scenario:
If price decisively breaks above the 1.8780 monthly resistance, we could see an extended bullish move towards levels not currently visible on this chart.
📌 Operational Note:
I’ll be looking for entry confirmations on lower timeframes (like H1), with valid reversal patterns or price action triggers, and will manage the position dynamically depending on how price behaves around the 1.79 zone.
NZDCAD Discretionary Analysis: Bank Manipulation?The price just crashed into the distribution block, straight into that sellside liquidity order block like it knew exactly where it was going. Bank manipulation? It's all over this one. The institutional orderflow is running the show, and with a sharp liquidity spike followed by orders stacking up like a ticking time bomb, it's getting real... they are manipulating the price. The fair value gap is wide, and that uptrust into the distribution channel? That's the red flag that’s flashing "this is it." Everything is lined up for a big move, and I'm here for going on the lower timeframe and entering on that liquidity sweep from a NY Open manipulated candlestick.
Just kidding, I just think it's gonna go up.
SPY CRACK! WARNING!We are in the "honey" phase in Stocks.
This is the part where they tell you:
-Don't panic
-Stocks are cheap forward EPS
-Nible on the way down
-Diversified portfolio wins..
-It's a stock picker's market
-There is a lot of cash on the sidelines
-It's just a reset
-It's a correction
-We needed this to shake out the weak hands
-Buy when there is blood in the streets, even if it's yours
-There is a lot of value in...
-This is your last chance to...
-This and that stock are going to $1,000
-Stocks are the best investment over the course of time
The list is endless to get you to buy or stay in and suck up the pain. They will "Future Fuke" you the world.
I will remind you that you cannot buy unless you first sell! No one has endless money, and your 1% addition monthly will not lower your cost basis.
All I can tell you is what this chart shows! A BIG CRACK!
WARNING!!!
Click like, follow, subscribe, and let me help you navigate these crazy markets.
ASML Holding NV Falls Short on Q1 Orders Amid Tariff UncertaintyASML Holding NV reported weaker-than-expected first-quarter orders, citing growing global uncertainty due to fresh tariff announcements. The Dutch semiconductor equipment firm recorded €3.94 billion ($4.47 billion) in net bookings for Q1, well below the €4.82 billion anticipated by analysts, according to Bloomberg data.
The company supplies advanced chipmaking machinery to leading names like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Intel Corp. ASML’s CEO Christophe Fouquet acknowledged that the semiconductor industry is facing renewed pressure. He stated that tariffs are “creating a new uncertainty,” not only for global economic stability but also for future market demand.
Despite missing order expectations, ASML emphasized that bookings often fluctuate and may not fully reflect ongoing business momentum. Nevertheless, concerns persist over how geopolitical tensions and potential tariff measures—particularly from the U.S. government—might impact the broader semiconductor supply chain.
Technical Analysis
As of 2:53:28 PM EDT, stock is trading at $630.08, down $52.79 (-7.75%), following the earnings announcement. Technically, this is seen in a sharp selling pressure after the earnings miss. Current price action is now trading towards a key support zone around $578, which marks the recent low.
If the price faces rejection there, a potential retest of the $770 resistance remains likely.
Alternatively, a successful breakout above the resistance may drive a move toward $600 levels.
Nvidia : Should I be worried?Looking closely at Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , we can see that since March, the price has gravitated back to the Point of Control (POC) on the volume profile. From there, we’ve seen a solid reaction — up around 33%, after Nvidia had previously taken a sharp hit from its recent top.
In my view, it’s very possible that Wave 4 is now complete. It’s been a very complex, sideways consolidation, but that’s typical behavior for a fourth wave. Zoom out, and the bigger picture looks a lot cleaner — this whole range doesn’t seem nearly as messy on the higher timeframes.
That said, I’m not fully bullish yet. For me, $122 is the key level. Only once we break and hold above $122, I’ll shift into a more confidently bullish stance. Until then, it’s still possible we revisit the $80–$85 range, maybe even sweep the previous low. It doesn’t have to happen, but structurally, it’s still on the table.
Given the broader uncertainty — macroeconomic pressure, U.S.–China tensions, regulatory noise — I’m staying cautious. For now, I’m mainly focused on this from an 8-hour chart perspective. Until we get that confirmation above $122, I’m not rushing into any aggressive positions.
Bitcoin (BTC): Fake-out Above 200EMA | Sellers DominatingBitcoin had a nice rejection yesterday where we failed to form the BOS and break above the local highs, which resulted in a fakeout above the 200EMA and the price falling below that line.
As we see the demand in downward movement, we are keeping our sell target active as long as we are again below the local highs (at $85,750).
Markets sell exhausted, economy doomed....Be sure to have a tight stop-loss and small leverage on any position you would want to open. We expect to see a big liquidation hunting to happen soon thanks to the #China and #USA tariff war.
Swallow Academy
How to Trade the Tariff Turmoil: Markets Now Move on HeadlinesMarkets in 2025 have become increasingly unpredictable, largely driven by one factor: tariffs. President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policy has shaken investor confidence and turned global markets into a rollercoaster. The key to navigating this new environment? Understand that markets are no longer just reacting to economic data—they’re reacting to headlines.
The biggest shock came on April 2, when Trump announced a 145% tariff on all Chinese imports and “reciprocal” tariffs on dozens of other countries. The reaction was immediate: the S&P 500 dropped nearly 15% at its lowest point that week, and investors rushed to sell risk assets. Days later, markets sharply reversed after Trump temporarily suspended some tariffs. That sparked a rally—tech stocks soared, Apple rose 5%, and the Nasdaq gained over 2%.
But the relief was short-lived. Conflicting messages and partial rollbacks continued to send markets up and down. Earlier, on March 4, tariffs were placed on Canada and Mexico, while China’s rates were doubled. These moves led to more selling in stocks and a spike in demand for bonds. By mid-April, exemptions for electronics boosted tech names again, but overall market sentiment remained fragile.
How to Trade This New Market
The main lesson for traders and investors is clear:
We’re now in a headline-driven market. Traditional strategies that rely solely on fundamentals or economic cycles are being overshadowed by sudden political developments. Here’s how to adapt:
Stay Nimble and News-Aware
Be ready for fast moves. Market direction can flip in minutes based on a single press conference or tweet. Have alerts set for major geopolitical and tariff-related headlines. Reduce position sizes during uncertainty and avoid holding large trades through major announcements.
Rethink Your Safe Havens
The U.S. dollar is no longer acting like the safe haven it used to be. With rising fiscal concerns and volatile trade policy, investors are shifting toward alternatives. Gold and the Swiss franc (CHF) have become more reliable options during risk-off moments. If uncertainty spikes, these assets may offer better protection than the dollar.
Focus on Sectors Sensitive to Policy
Tech stocks have been among the most affected. Tariff exemptions caused sharp rallies, while new restrictions triggered big drops. If you trade sectors like tech, consumer goods, or industrials, stay especially alert for trade-related headlines.
Bottom line: In 2025, geopolitics is moving markets more than ever. The old playbook needs updating. By staying flexible, tracking headlines, and turning to traditional safe havens like gold and CHF, traders can better navigate the noise—and find opportunity in the chaos.
Front-loaded Exports has fuelled rally in Corn. Can it last?After President Trump instituted broad new tariffs on 2nd April 2025, corn futures initially wavered but then rallied sharply. While this may seem counterintuitive given tariffs' disruptive impact on trade, near-term support for corn comes from front-loaded U.S. exports, a weaker dollar, and lower-than-expected domestic supply.
However, prices are likely to face downward pressure as the U.S. harvest season approaches. This paper examines the short-term bullish factors, outlines the potential risks ahead, and presents a hypothetical trade setup involving a calendar spread on CME Micro Corn futures.
CME Corn futures gapped lower on 3rd April but quickly recovered, jumping 4.5% over the next three trading days to six-week highs by 9th April. This move aligns with the typical spring seasonal trend, as corn often firms in late spring during planting & strong demand season.
Surging Export Commitments Amid Tariffs
Export commitments have surged post-tariff announcement. USDA reports that U.S. exporters had already booked about 85% of the 2024/25 season target by early April, according to Reuters , well above the 5‐year average.
In the week ending 3rd April, net U.S. corn sales hit ~40.2 million bushels, reflecting heavy front-loading. Large private sales continue: for example, in early April exporters announced a 9.4-million-bushel sale of 2024/25 corn to Spain.
These front-loaded sales (especially to Mexico & Europe) suggest buyers are rushing to secure supply before possible trade disruptions. Overall, extraordinarily strong export pace and large “flash” sales are underpinning the market.
Supply is Weaker than Initially Thought
USDA’s April WASDE cut U.S. 2024/25 ending stocks to just 1.465 billion bushels – a 75 million bushels reduction – implying a stocks/use ratio around 9.6%. For context, that ratio is near multi-decade lows for corn. The USDA simultaneously raised exports to 2.55 billion bushels, a full 100 million bushels above the previous estimate.
On the supply side, USDA’s Prospective Plantings (March 2025) projected 95.3 million corn acres for 2025, roughly 5% higher than 2024, above expectations (highlighted by Mint Finance in a previous paper ). This suggests that while near-term stocks remain stressed the situation is likely to improve drastically following the harvest.
Weaker Dollar Supports Increased Corn Exports
A key bullish factor for U.S. corn exports is the recent weakness of the U.S. dollar. After the tariff announcement, the trade-weighted dollar tumbled – hitting fresh lows (e.g. a 10-year low versus the Swiss franc). Through April 10, the dollar was down ~2–3% on the week. A weaker dollar makes U.S. corn cheaper for overseas buyers, supporting export competitiveness. With dollar at multi-year lows, U.S. corn is more attractive globally, partly offsetting any Chinese retaliatory tariffs.
COT and Options Data
Managed-money funds have dramatically pared back their long corn bets since the beginning of March. CFTC COT data show net long positions peaking around 364,000 contracts in early February, then plunging to ~54,000 by the 8th April report. However, the pace of decline has slowed dramatically over the past few weeks and seems to be signalling an end of the cutback by asset managers.
Interestingly, despite the tariff introduction (2/April) and the WASDE release (10/April), implied volatility (IV) moderated. IV has since normalized from the spike observed in March. During this period, skew also declined, reaching a negative value on 8th April - indicating that put options briefly became more expensive than calls.
Although this trend has since reversed, skew remains near its lowest levels in 2025, suggesting sustained interest in put options among market participants.
Source: CME CVOL
OI shift over the past week also signals a cautious tone despite the rally. Near term options have seen an increase in put OI, suggesting participants remain cautious despite the rally.
Source: CME QuikStrike
Hypothetical Trade Setup
While bullish factors have driven a sharp rally in corn prices over the past two weeks, there are dark clouds on the horizon. Tariffs risk disrupting trade and as most importers have already loaded up on US corn, they could slow the pace of future purchases.
Additionally, a downbeat seasonal trend along with an expected bumper harvest signal that prices could reverse sharply from here. On the technical front, momentum remains solidly bullish but approaching a potential overbought level amid a slowing bullish trend.
Corn prices remain pressured from a bumper harvest expected in September. Along with expected trade disruptions and a slowdown in the pace of US exports, prices are likely to decline during the summer. Regardless, prices remain bullish in the near term from a weakening dollar and near-term front loading.
To express views on these converging trends, investors can deploy a calendar spread on CME Micro Corn futures consisting of a long position on the near-term May contract (MZCK2025) and a short position on the September contract (MZCU2025). A hypothetical trade setup providing a reward to risk ratio of 1.8x is mentioned below:
A calendar spread on CME Micro Corn Futures is highly capital efficient with the above trade requiring maintenance margin of just USD 23 as of 15/April. The position remains protected from near-term price increase but benefits from the eventual price decline in September during harvest season.
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
DISCLAIMER
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Dell Technologies (NYSE: $DELL) Stock Gains on Tariff ReliefDell Technologies Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) rose sharply on Monday following the Trump administration’s temporary suspension of tariffs on smartphones, computers, and other electronics. The updated guidance from U.S. Customs and Border Protection late Friday excluded these items from the latest round of reciprocal tariffs, which had raised concerns among tech manufacturers.
Dell shares gained 4%, closing at $85.19, up $3.26 on the day, with a trading volume of 12.35 million shares. The stock had opened at $89.29 and reached a low of $84.01 during the session. The tariff pause, though potentially temporary, has eased pressure on companies that heavily rely on global supply chains. Dell, which produces most of its hardware outside the United States, stands to benefit significantly from the exemption.
JPMorgan analysts commented that the exemption highlights the strategic importance of electronics to American consumers and the economic weight of companies like Dell and Apple. While Apple is accelerating its manufacturing diversification into countries like India and Vietnam, Dell continues to leverage international production capacity to maintain its competitiveness.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, DELL is currently trading within a descending channel that started from its all-time high of $179.70. The recent bounce from a support zone indicates potential short-term support. The price action suggests two likely scenarios: a continued climb toward the upper boundary of the channel near $110, or a pullback to test lower levels around $42, aligned with the bottom of the channel.
The 200-day moving average (86.18) and 100-day (116.72)currently sit above the price, indicating a bearish medium-term trend. However, if DELL holds support around $85.11 and gains momentum, it could challenge the mid-channel resistance and eventually attempt a breakout.
Review and plan for 15th April 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NASDAQ Futures Long Setup: Pullback Entry After Tariff BoostMarket Outlook – April 13, 2025
Quick recap: In my last public analysis, I mentioned watching the 18,350–18,000 zone for signs of support — a level stacked with confluence (50–61.8% Fib, EMA, VWAP, pivot). Price broke down deeper than expected but responded beautifully:
✅ Tagged 18,000 almost to the tick
✅ Rejected hard at the 61.8 Fib
✅ Respected the 50 Fib on the way back up
All solid signs of strength.
Now with tariff exemptions announced today (bullish for tech/Nasdaq), I’m opening the door to more long setups this week.
Here’s What I’m Watching:
🔹 Scenario A: Pullback into the 18,575–18,500 zone (first dotted white line). If price reclaims structure or gives me something clean — EMA bounce, VWAP tag, candle pattern — I’ll look for longs.
🔹 Scenario B: If that level breaks or I miss the first shot, I’ll look for a second chance around 18,000–18,300. Same deal: not jumping in blindly, waiting for a setup to form.
To be clear — these are areas of interest, not automatic trades. I want clean structure and confirmation before entering.
Let’s see how it plays out. Will update if/when I take a position. Stay sharp. 📈
ECB decision shadowed by tariff risk Markets will be closely watching the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision on April 17, with expectations for a seventh consecutive rate cut.
Despite this expectation, the euro surged to a three-year high against the US dollar last week, as traders continued to pull away from US assets.
The dollar index has dropped 4% since President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcements on April 2, falling below the key 100 level too.
At this stage, market participants will be looking for any signals on how the ECB might respond to the potential spillover effects of President Trump’s tariff measures. While some guidance may emerge around already-announced policies, the risk of further unpredictability remains high.
Trump being Trump, it is perhaps unlikely we have seen the last of his volatility-inducing tariff announcements. This can weigh further on the dollar, eroding confidence in the world’s reserve currency.
Another market manipulation. It is spiraling out of control!I’m not here to express political opinions, but let’s be real—the Trump family launching meme coins, rugging retail investors, and manipulating markets is spiraling out of control.
💥 $TRUMP and $MELANIA were just the beginning.
Today, we witnessed what could be the biggest market manipulation in history, and it was executed with textbook precision:
Step one: float a fake news headline to test the market reaction.
Step two: publish a deliberately confusing statement where Trump says everything and its opposite.
Many misunderstood it as a “90-day tariff pause.”
🕛 The timing?
The announcement dropped at 12:30 PM EST—midnight in Asia, and 7 PM in Europe, when banks and institutions were closed.
🎯 Only the U.S. was awake and able to buy the pump.
Everyone else? Left sidelined.
No politician in modern history has manipulated global markets to this extent.
It’s turning Wall Street into a Las Vegas casino for the elite.
To make matters worse, Trump even tweeted a sarcastic:
“It’s a great day to buy stocks.”
🧨 Reality check:
He lowered current tariffs by just 10%
Hit China with a massive 125% tariff
Recession risk? Still on the table
Economic uncertainty? Worse than ever
You think China will just let this slide? Retaliation is coming.
What we're seeing is a nation burning its credibility while recklessly using financial power to create chaos.
🚨 If you think your money is safe in markets run by these people, think again.
This isn't trading anymore—it's Russian Roulette. Markets needs stability.
DYOR
Bitcoin Nears $85K as Strategic Talks Grow. Where To Next?Bitcoin, the king crypto, is currently trading at $84,848.36. It has gained 3.10% in the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $30.09 billion. Bitcoin’s market capitalization now stands at $1.68 trillion.
Globally, Bitcoin continues to gain attention at the policy level. In the U.S., there are growing discussions about recognizing Bitcoin as a national strategic asset. A U.S. Senator recently suggested the country acquire 1 million BTC, reinforcing the idea. Florida has introduced legislation allowing public funds to invest in Bitcoin.
North Carolina is considering recognizing Bitcoin as a legal payment method. Arizona’s Senate is evaluating the creation of a home-based Bitcoin activity policy and the possibility of a state reserve. Meanwhile, New Hampshire passed a bill allowing up to 10% of its state funds to be invested in Bitcoin. In Europe, Sweden is assessing the idea of adding Bitcoin to its national reserves for financial stability.
Technical Analysis
From a technical view, Bitcoin has been in a bearish phase since reaching its all-time high of $109,358 on January 19. Since then, the price has been forming an internal structure of lower highs and lower lows, a clear sign of a downtrend. It dropped to a low of $74K after Trump-era tariffs hit the market but has since rebounded to current levels.
The recent lower high stands at $88,996. The trend remains bearish until that level is broken with a strong candle close above it. If Bitcoin breaks and closes above this point, analysis show a potential move toward new highs. Without that breakout, bearish pressure may resume, possibly pushing the price back down to test support near $73K.
Electronic Arts Inc. Stock Sees Momentum Ahead of Earnings Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:EA ) is gaining attention as the gaming industry shows signs of recovery. The stock closed at $142.93 on April 11, 2025, reflecting a gain of $3.54( 2.54%) for the day. Its next earnings report is scheduled for May 6, 2025.
The gaming industry grew rapidly during the COVID-19 pandemic but saw a decline as restrictions lifted. In 2024, inflation and lower spending led to layoffs and studio closures, though upcoming game releases may support a recovery.
EA is a major player in digital entertainment. It develops and distributes games across platforms, including consoles, mobile, and PCs. Popular titles in its lineup include EA SPORTS FC, Battlefield, Apex Legends, The Sims, Madden NFL, Need for Speed, Dragon Age, and Plants vs. Zombies. Billionaire investors continue to show confidence in EA, placing it among the top gaming stocks.
Technical Analysis
EA recently bounced sharply from the support zone around $115. This level aligns with a previous support zone. A strong bullish candle followed, with high volume pushing the price above key moving averages. Currently, EA trades near $143. The 50-day moving average is at $144.38, the 100-day at $141.01, and the 200-day at $133.68. These are levels that are likely to support the price in case of further declines.
The RSI stands at 52.41, showing neutral momentum. Next potential move suggests a short-term pullback before continuation. If the stock breaks above the immediate target and ascending trendline resistance, the next target lies near $168.50 previous high. EA is showing strength both fundamentally and technically as it approaches its next earnings release.
DoorDash (NASDAQ: $DASH) Gains Strength Ahead of May EarningsDoorDash, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DASH ) is showing strong momentum in a volatile market. As of April 11, DASH closed at $180.49, up 1.10% for the day. The stock has risen about 9% year-to-date, while the overall Computer and Technology sector has dropped around 11.8%. This places DoorDash ahead of many of its peers.
DoorDash belongs to the Computer and Technology group, which ranks #6 out of 16 sectors based on the Zacks Sector Rank. The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), signaling positive analyst sentiment. Over the last three months, analysts have revised DoorDash's full-year earnings estimate up by 14.7%. This indicates growing confidence in the company’s future performance.
Investors are now watching closely as DoorDash prepares to release its earnings report on May 7, 2025. The stock's upward trend and revised estimates may influence how it reacts to the upcoming results.
Technical Analysis
The daily chart shows that DASH recently bounced off a strong support zone around $162. This zone has acted as a demand area before, pushing the price higher in past sessions. Currently, DASH is approaching key resistance level at $200. A break above these could lead the stock toward the recent high at $215.25. The chart also suggests a possible retracement before a new leg up, reflecting a bullish continuation structure.
Volume increased during the bounce, indicating strong buying interest. RSI is at 48.16, which suggests neutral momentum with room for further upside. DoorDash remains one to watch heading into earnings season.
Netflix Earnings Growth Expected As It Prepares For Q125 ResultsNetflix (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) is set to report its earnings for the quarter ending March 2025 on April 17. Analysts expect year-over-year growth in both revenue and earnings. However, consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been revised down slightly by 0.07% over the past 30 days. This suggests a cautious outlook among analysts.
At the close on April 11, Netflix stock traded at $918.29, down by 0.31%. In after-hours trading, the price edged slightly higher to $919.80. The stock traded with a volume of 4.07 million shares. RSI stands at 47.76, reflecting neutral momentum.
The final result could trigger a sharp price move. A positive earnings surprise might push the stock higher. On the other hand, a miss could lead to a decline. The outcome will also depend on management’s commentary during the earnings call.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, Netflix recently bounced off a key demand zone near the $820–$830 range. This zone had previously served as a strong support area. After touching this level, the price formed a reversal candle, signaling potential buying interest.
The stock is now hovering around $918.29, near the 50-day and 100-day moving averages at $961.61 and $931.24, respectively. If the price clears these levels, it may aim for the recent high of $1,064.50. A short-term retracement could occur before a possible continuation higher.
Volume analysis shows a spike during the bounce from support, indicating accumulation. The price pattern suggests a bullish structure is forming. Overall, eyes remain on the April 17 earnings report for the next major move, which might see Netflix surge to a new all-time high.
BlackRock Beats EPS Estimates Despite Revenue Miss in Q1 2025 BlackRock Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:BLK ) reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $11.30 for Q1 2025. This beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.25, marking a 10.24% surprise. In the same quarter last year, EPS was $9.81.
Revenue came in at $5.28 billion, missing the estimate of $5.33 billion by 1%. However, it rose from $4.73 billion a year earlier. The company has surpassed EPS estimates in all four of the last quarters and has topped consensus estimates twice in that span. In the previous quarter, BlackRock posted EPS of $11.93, beating the $11.27 estimate. That represented a surprise of 5.86%.
BlackRock operates in the Financial - Investment Management industry. The market now awaits management’s outlook for future earnings. This will shape short-term price direction. So far in 2025, BlackRock shares have dropped 16.2%. In comparison, the S&P 500 has declined 10.4%.
Technical Analysis
BlackRock rebounded from a strong support zone near $780. This level aligns with the long-term horizontal support level that has held for over 3 years now. The RSI sits at 41, indicating it is nearly oversold. However, a bullish reversal momentum is forming around the support zone.
If the price continues to rise, resistance and target lie at the $1,084.22 recent high. A break above $950 may trigger a run toward the $1,000–$1,084 range. If the price is rejected, it could revisit the $780 support or possibly the ascending trendline sitting below the horizontal support.