Here's your edge: the TLT blasts off when Government borrowing blasts off, a simple case of supply and demand. The Federal Government borrowed 2.2 Trillion USD in the last 12 months, data that has been added to Bloomberg Terminals but not here on Tradingview or on FRED. I bring you a piece of the cake, friends. SOURCE: x.com
TLT monthly candle matches the trend perfectly and is exactly at multiple strategic supports. This sort of perfection usually only occurs when the trend is long determined and the asset is simply dotting eyes and crossing tees on its way to a predetermined destination.
US10Y/US02Y vs TLT & US10Y Bonds tend to bottom at the same level of the ratio of 10 year yields to 2 year yields. Should we be using the ratio of long and short term yields instead of the difference to trade the Bond Market?
Daily RSI bullish divergence looks similar to the last two rallies
TLT at every support including the daily RSI. BBOT. Bond Blast Off Time.
TLT/SPX Monthly RSI (8 Period Close) It makes sense to analyze the most common institutional portfolio allocation (Equities and Bonds) rather than Equities or Bonds separately. Most investors focus on Fed Funds, unemployment, the business cycle, rates, to analyze the bond market. But those metrics are poorly correlated to returns at best. When you focus on...
Slope of the ratio between Bonds and US Rates looks like 2008 and 2019, right before blast off time.
The quarterly RSI of the ratio of Bond Yields to Equities has only reached the current level twice in the last 100 years, once during the Great Depression and once during the Nixon Shock years.
TLT seems to bottom at a consistent level of the ratio of bonds to energy represented by TLT/XLE. TLT is currently at the level associated with macro bottoms and the start of major bond market rallies.
The chart posted is the 1yr Tbill rate we seem to have a LOW in place This should be clear over the next 10 TD
Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis of T-BOND FUTURES. Within recent times momentous changes emerged within the whole global financial markets as determining factors such as increased consumer demand expenditure and a decreased U.S. CPI have confirmed an important strengthening of the DXY, the U.S.-Dollar Currency Index moving along together with a major...