Disaster cooking in Turkey=> For those who believe in the bearish Turkey story, we are in the early stages of a 5th wave which we mentioned in our previous ideas... it can be seen clearly here and shows how the floodgates for the highs are wide open.
From a technical perspective the 5th wave target, the first major target is 7.85 (assuming wave 5 is a 1.00 ratio in length of wave 1).
Given the nature of this rally so far there is a very large chance this can extend well beyond the initial targets as far as the 2.168 extension above the highs.
It is also worth noting for those following EW that the 5th wave usually marks new highs... confidence in this view will increase above the 161.8% so for those wanting a less aggressive entry you can sit tight and watch closely and good luck to those wanting to pull the trigger early for the next few Quarters in 2019.
This is going to be a monstrous move and worth tracking for those interested in watching the EM collapse continue.
Tcmb
USD/TRY potential LongThis potential Long entry point in the chart is based on multiple technical and fundamental confluences, most of which i'm not going to give out
Note that FX markets and Turkish lira movement is based on fundamental information as any breakout of technical levels happens for fundamental reasons so I highly advise you to be unbiased and watch topic related news and periodical economic releases.
My stance (long/short/TP/SL/entry point) might change anytime if some new crucial info would come out.
Note that Turkey has highest USD denominated corporate debt burden among emerging market countries, with maturities sharply rising from 2019 and peaking in 2022. Meaning any near/medium term USD strength will have negative Lira effect as USD strength will complicate Turkish foreign debt repayment and will have negative pressure on Lira (USD/TRY strength)
Stance of TCMB on any potential Lira weakness will be interesting to see as well as FED tightening
Greek philosopher Plato once said "Opinion is the medium between knowledge and ignorance"
Don't ignore anything and do your own research thoroughly before you commit any capital.
You can make money pretty quick in FX markets but you can lose them faster than anyone
Triangle breaking downside ? Lets see man...Lets see what happens. If it is breaking down triangle and impulsive move will begin there is a strong support level close levels. If it can break it also it will go to the 200 day average. Why not ?
Watching close and hoping for the best not for the worse..
Ultimate setup for me... I have been waiting this setup for 3 months. So today yes today it seen bottom line. And so far so nice reversal...
My target long term 1-2 years for upper side line top of this ABCD correction.
Best wishes to everyone...
Hey Guys.. Are you seeing this ! This is ultimate Setup...If price goes over rectangle my god... Correction over This is rally setup weekly. 1900 to 1045 correction means finished. And starts big rally.. Yes this f.ck is so simple...
26 MAV CROSSED 50.. 50 going to cross 200 mav..,
so what is missing?
only missing that price starts to go upsideeeeeeeeeeeeeee rectangle...
then big rallyy..
but how can we now that it won't go down ? Mannn that is the buying opportunity... Watch small time frames to see a buy setup... No one gives the offer....
Long term my view. IT came to upper band. amazing. I didnt thought that this will be that high... maybe over 3.10 3.15 that can be finished a small 5. wave. but the rally came to this area. amazing... dow jones rally all time... we crash. so. my view is like that. if it spikes over that trend line that will be cruel.. hope not. so .... shorting for long term from this prices will be great opportunity.. can be wrong of course.. but i am doing this.... so far i have loss..
Amazing rally amazing rsi.. Can't believe this ..itamazing rsi no sell only rally. amazing shit. i cant believe this... even central bank watchs this. 3.07 breakout thought rally but like this man..... no sell like 3 wave.. when this shit crack it will go down but when so far only support rsi line..