Not your blue chip tech company, that's the good thing!NYSE:PSTG in the data storage industry breaking out from a fisrt base after it bottom.
NASDAQ:SPSC in the computer software industry, specifically in supply chain solutions, breaking out from a fisrt base after the bottom.
Both are 1st in their IBD Industry Rank.
PSTG made a cup that could fuel a good move, and SPSC has its next resistance +25% away.
Which one do you like better?
TECH
GOOG: Inverted Cup with Handle Google is playing out an inverted cup and handle with a conservative price target of $73-76. The price target should be lower, around $71.50, but I shaved a little off because there is some old support from the Jul-Oct 2020 period that should buoy the price, at least for a bit.
The daily EMA ribbon flipped bearish in April and since then a precipitous 38% downslide has ensued, the most recent retest of the daily EMA on Oct 24th yielded another crushing rejection. Price should be ready to run again to the downside as it recently slipped through a support/resistance line unrelated to the pattern around $89.40 and has since completed a pullback and been rejected.
Tech will continue to rise and build baselooking for $xlk index to continue bullish momentum into next week and at least hit B leg. Notice the rising bear flag into the previous highs. I would like to be out before the apex complex and give way to another direction or even if a continuation direction. Price action expected to move to $140 area. There is a base building, and likely will need a handle to support. At that time, possible bearish position will be created.
Not trading or investment advice. Just for my education, learning, and trading experience.
$MIRM september accumulation 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Mirum Pharmaceuticals announced a shelf offering of $10 million today. This created an excellent buying opportunity which we used as our first entry. My team will be using the rest of September to build our position. We are expecting a bullish run before the end of the year, but if one happens sooner, we will of course act in our favor and do what we think is best.
Entry: $22.80
Take Profit: Somewhere above $32
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Apple - All eyes on the Apple earnings tonightAfter some other companies have already reported their earnings for the 3rd quarter of 2022, today, eyes are on Apple Inc. as it is poised to announce its own results after the market close. We do not know what the reaction will be; however, we do not think it really matters as the broad market is failing to deliver expectations. We believe it is just a matter of time until something breaks in the stock market, and with the FED decision coming out next Tuesday, that event might be around the corner. For that reason, we stay on the sidelines, as we outlined about two weeks ago, waiting for the right opportunity to get back into a short position.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of Apple stock. It bears a resemblance to the MSFT chart before the drop (after the earnings report). We would not be surprised to see Apple show a similar reaction to the earnings release. Therefore, we voice a word of caution to investors.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bullish. MACD is also bullish but stays in the bearish area. DM+ and DM- are neutral. Overall, the daily time frame is slightly bullish.
Illustration 1.02
The image above shows the daily chart of Microsoft stock.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Meta - Meta Platform joins the party! Yesterday, the price of Meta platform stock crashed nearly 20% after the close when the company reported its earnings for the third quarter of 2022. With its abysmal report, Meta joined the party of underperforming companies in the current earning season. Revenue was down 4% from a year earlier, while costs and expenses rose 19%.
Revenue = 27.71 billion USD (-4% YoY)
Costs and expenses = 22.05 billion USD (+19% YoY)
Revenue from the family of apps, including Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, Whatsapp, etc., decreased approximately 3.6%, while revenue from the reality labs fell by about 49%. That is no surprise to us since we warned about the earning season for the third quarter being weak. Indeed, we stated that downgrades in outlooks and misses in estimates would reinforce our thesis about the market progressing into the second phase of the bear market. With that being said, we believe Meta platforms Inc. still has a long way to go before reversing its primary trend to the upside.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of the Meta Platforms stock. The red arrow shows the price drop after the company published its earnings for the 3rd quarter of 2022.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The image above shows the resemblance between the current and previous earning seasons.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Alphabet - Earnings report sends shockwaves through the marketYesterday, Alphabet sent shockwaves through the stock market after the close when it published its earnings report for the third quarter. The revenue was up 6% from the year earlier, and earnings per share stood at 1.06 USD, missing analysts' estimates. This earnings report is yet another line to confirm our thesis about the market progressing into the second stage of the bear market, with companies warning about the slowdown and failing to deliver expectations.
We expect this trend to continue during the next earning season and slowly lead the market into the third phase of the bear market. The same view is supported by the fact that the FED is about to increase interest rates next week and further tighten economic conditions, making a primary trend reversal very unlikely.
Therefore, we believe the reality will soon creep back into the market, and those who were buying the dip in hopes of catching a bottom will fulfill our prophecy once they sell those shares back to the market. As a result, we expect Alphabet to continue lower with the rest of the stock market.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of the Alphabet stock. The yellow arrow points to the price retracement toward the 50-day SMA, representing a strong correction; the same retracement can be observed on the daily chart of Apple, Microsoft, General Motors, etc.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. DM+ and DM- are also bullish. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish; however, the data does not reflect the drop after earnings. Therefore, we expect the daily time frame to turn bearish today.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows simple support and resistance levels for Alphabet stock on the daily graph.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are slightly bullish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Microsoft - Slammed after the earnings report Prior to the beginning of the current earnings season, we warned investors that this would be a volatile period preceding the ECB and FED meetings, characterized by companies narrowly beating market expectations or failing to fulfill them. We also stated that this would enforce our thesis about the second stage of the bear market and progression deeper into the recession.
It did not take long before earning season arrived, and companies started to prove our predictions true (Adidas, Alphabet, Mattel, etc.). Unfortunately, we expect this trend to continue in the next earning season; indeed, we believe it will be far worse than the current one.
Yesterday, Microsoft announced its earnings for the third quarter of 2022, in which it reported an 11% increase in revenue and a 6% increase in operating income. Additionally, the company reported a 14% decrease in net income and a 13% decrease in diluted earnings per share. That subsequently led to a drop in the price of MSFT stock by more than 6.5% after hours.
In our opinion, this merely highlights what we have been reiterating for a while. The market is in recession, and the recent bounce off the 2022 lows represents merely another bear market rally predestined to fall later. With that being said, we expect economic conditions to worsen next week with another FED rate hike.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of Microsoft stock. It can be seen closing at 250.66 USD yesterday; however, after the close and earnings report, it plunged more than 6.5% to 234 USD. This dramatic price action occurred despite Microsoft announcing an increase in revenue and operating expenses compared to the same period a year ago.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. DM+ and DM- are also bullish. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish; however, the data does not reflect the drop after earnings. Therefore, we expect the daily time frame to turn bearish today.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of MSFT stock and simple support/resistance levels.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are flattening, trying to reverse. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame remains bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
QQQ bounce off support of channel from 2009Here are the major channels that I am watching for QQQ. You can see that last week we had a strong bounce off the blue channel's support. The blue channel was formed off the low in 2008-2009 and the subsequent massive bull rally for the past 12 years. You can also see that QQQ lost the even stronger bull channel that started in 2016.
The question now becomes if the lack of QE from the fed and continued interest rate hikes will cause QQQ to test or even fallen into the green channel formed after the dot com crash and the recovery up to the crash in 2008. You can see that in both 2018 and 2020 that QQQ did exactly that. We could also trend sideways for 2023 and test the blue channel then, which would be lower but not by much.
Personally, I have started to be a bit more bullish and put a little money back in the market. This would be a good place to find support for QQQ. Looking at the 1 Week time scale, it is not clear that there is a lot of upside in the near future. As noted, we could still fall a lot, but you can't live in fear for ever. I don't think the economy is as bad as the media is making it out to be, but this may be a case of don't fight the fed on the way down.
#ARKK reversing off anchored VWAP & 50dmaARKK still stuck in range of this bearish channel since bottoming in May. If you follow the anchored vwap from the recent high of the most recent rally, we are also starting to reject this Vwap. Additionally the 50dma is acting as resistance. Big resistance evident at $46
I think this will work itself lower and possibly retest the big horizontal support zone at $32-$33 in the coming weeks...
SELL NASDAQ - BACK TO NORMAL BELOW 11kMost of Q3 stocks earning so far are green, maybe last positive earnings report if FED didn't cut interest rate, but food and energy crisis will drive prices higher and there will be no chance to decrease inflation other than rising interest rates to lower demand and so prices.
At this point, DXY strength will continue and US equities will bleed especially in tech sector.
$TECS a 50% gain? 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
My team entered $TECS today before market close at $39 per share in order to secure gains from the possible upcoming market downturn.
Our portfolio as of 7/20/22: $TECS
OUR ENTRY: $39
TAKE PROFIT: $58
STOP LOSS: $37
$MARA long entry 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
This afternoon my team purchased shares of digital mining bitcoin company Marathon digital $MARA at $10.75 per share. Our take profit is $24. We also have a stop loss at $9.75
This covers our crypto exposure for our portfolio which consists of the following stocks: $AERC, $MIRM, $BABA, $NIO, $TUP and now $MARA! We will likely be holding this bunch until our take profits are reached or the end of the year!
Our Entry: $10.75
Take Profit: $24
Stop Loss: $9.75
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
DXCM - growth play?Everything is red, especially after last weeks volatility. This stock here seems to be a tech company primarily focused on medical technology seemingly with target for our geriatric community here in the US. I haven't done much research but from a chart analysis I see the potentiality for this stock to play out strong in the future.
Apple - Will next earnings reinforce the selling pressure?After the 242% run-up from its lows during the 2020 crash to its high in January 2022, Apple gave up almost 20% in regard to the current value. In addition to that, the introduction of the new iPhone 14 has not created much hype among consumers and market participants. Since the release of the new product, the price has continued to be choppy and seemingly returning to its 2022 lows.
Because of that, we will continue to monitor the Apple stock in the coming weeks and provide a more detailed update on the price and its potential future direction. However, at the moment, we abstain from setting a price target for this stock title.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of Apple stock and two moving averages, 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA. In addition to that, two yellow arrows point to natural retracements toward the price's moving averages, acting as a correction of the downward move. If the price fails to break above the 20-day SMA and then subsequently above the 50-day SMA, then it will add to a bearish consensus.
Illustration 1.02
The picture above shows the weekly chart of Apple stock and two simple moving averages; now, 20-week SMA and 50-week SMA. The yellow arrow pinpoints the similar retracement toward (and even above) these SMAs; in this particular example, the retracement represents a strong correction of the downtrend.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Is #Bitcoin a leading asset?JC Parets is one of the few experts I follow closely. He's been saying that "cryptos are just riskier tech stocks" and I agree.
Just look how NASDAQ:IXIC , AMEX:XLK and INDEX:BTCUSD have bevahed for the las 5 years.
They are highly correlated, all have bottomed almost in tandem 3 times. But if you look in daily charts you'll see that Bitcoin actually bottoms a little bit earlier.
Now look at the tops. See how while the Nasdaq and the Tech ETF keeps going up while BTC diverges.
As a riskier asset BTC is sold earlier than stocks, but also is buyed earlier than stocks. At least that is what I see here.
Bitcoin and Ethereum haven't made new lows while SP:SPX , NASDAQ:IXIC and DJ:DJA have.
As JC Parets recently said, "Is Bitcoin finally going to decouple here, or is this just a temporary bout spurred on by unique conditions?"
Lets see what happens.
Apple in Historically Bullish Pattern for Bullish EOY RallyApple has been getting killed in recent trading days. Thursday going -5% and Friday -3%. In total, just this week Apple has declined roughly ten percent and evaporated roughly $200billion in value. Luckily, the selling is seemingly at its relative lowest as can be seen with the RSI divergence from its 50 day RSI to its 200 day. Shorter Duration RSI moving far ahead of the longer duration implies a very heavy move from the relative averages in recent trading days and suggests that sellers can be over-extended. This also leads us to the VIX which has greatly increased in value this week. Historically when the RSI divergence is to such a great depth with the VIX above thirty, this has led to significant gains in the following months (on average +40% in the following 6months.)
From a fundemental perspective: Iphone 14 is sold out everywhere. I can't get my hands on one. BOFA citing weaker consumer demand doesn't respect the cult like nature of apple users.
This is a buying opportunity in my book.
$META - FACEBOOK - FALLING WEDGE - CAPITULATION where to next?Still on track.
This chart has been the most requested in DMs for updates.
I believe META will continue its growth in the future as the METAVERSE expands and come out as a front runner in 2023.
For now we can see the declining selling volume.
Clear as day capitulation marked on the charts.
We will have it rough on the markets until the end of the year, I view this as huge OPPERTUNITY. NO FEAR!
$Meta will reduce its workforce for the first time since 2004 and it slashed the budget for its team salary.
Expanding their data center in UTAH.
Switched up their marketplace (more profits from ads from car dealers).
You can share NFTs on Facebook & Insta.
New android Chromium-web view.
New tools for creators.
I did SLIGHTLY (like barley) pivot the lower trend on the falling wedge - with more data printing daily it was necessary and now the line has been tapped multiple times for confidence.
Meta will be one of the top stocks ill be accumulating in my portfolio on the dips. This will be a long term hold for me, I will use options for day and swing trades.
If you do choose options please keep in mind to buy extended time (although more pricey) this chop is algorithmically created to burn Theta out of contracts.
(Full disclosure) If we do get a OCTOBER pump, not going to lie, I will probably sell out and buy the dip continuously afterwards.
NOBODY can predict every top and bottom, this is why the DCA (Dollar Cross Averaging) Method is widely used to ride the waves.
GOODLUCK traders!
XELA How To Read The Chart When A Company is Diluting...Use McapXELA is in a descending wedge looking for trade. The company keeps diluting so the chart is difficult to grasp therefore using mcap instead of price.