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Market update: megacaps stay down, metals hold up $qqq $slvMega caps make large percentages in the indices now a days. So if mega caps sell off, you better be certain the rest of the market is going with it. this 5% ish drop in nasdaq and tech related stocks places some of the megacap at significant levels. I hope they can hold their support, or else bad things happen. And doesnt it make sense that if inflation theme is sticking around, that the precious metals do their job and keep up with inflation? I mean what a battle between interest rates rising and overall money supply, am i right :D Come one people, silver for example is in the same price range it was 2008 and still is below all time highs from the 70s and 80s. Precious metals havent done anything in a decade. Either precious metals dont work as inflation hedges, or the party is just getting started. Ill have the answer in a decade, cuz thats how long it takes historically to find out, (not a joke). META SLV PLTM AAPL QQQ
NASDAQ:META
by ValuePig
Apple AAPL - Looks Fine on the Outside, but Tastes WeirdAfter last year's massive heat damage to Canada's fruit crops , there were some cherries I bought at the farmer's market from British Columbia that looked totally fine by any reasonable inspection. Whether you squeezed it, touched it, looked at it, smelled it, or cut it open, everything appeared to be fine. But once you bit into it, it had this twisted, sour sort of taste with these fungal notes that was really not particularly pleasant. I've never experienced fruit with a characteristic like that, and made me not buy any this year. Apple AAPL's price action is very much analogous to last year's heat damaged fruit. What was Apple really doing over these last two months of going up in a straight line, and coming so close, yet so far, to making a new all time high? Apparently, it was merely filling the gap left behind from March and April when everything started dumping 20 or 30 percent. Note: the gap box was created based on daily candles, which likewise formed bodies which respected the space. Frankly speaking, this is anything but bullish. An expectation that Apple is going to turn around and break $180 during the next few months is curiously unrealistic and likely to be a leading cause of margin calls and liquidations. Even at prices as low as $152, Apple is still trading at a premium inside of this multi-month dealing range. So, if price action across indexes and markets really gives us the whipsaw effect I expect this week: SPX / ES - Bull Whips and Bear Saws Then Apple may very well give you a chance to fill in that August gap at $162. Many will see this as a buying opportunity, with the number $180 greedily illuminating their eyes. But the real numbers to keep an eye on is $149, and then $141, and then $133. Even if things aren't so bad for the bulls and there is no major market correction, one should really expect to see prices such as the above manifest before any further bull action, considering the fact Apple just went up in a straight line for two months with no challenge whatsoever. All of this means that, when looked at correctly, a revisitation of $162 gives a particularly pleasant short opportunity. And considering that Apple, which just keeps rehashing the same crappy phone with a really nice screen and the same super expensive desktop computer that runs OSX with a really nice monitor, more or less bolsters and drives the Nasdaq, and thereby all the languishing and floundering Big Tech meme stocks, life may not be so pleasant for those who have become fat and comfortable in the old paradigm. I've also forecasted that Tesla TSLA is also a legitimate canary in the coalmine, serving as a harbinger of the doom that lies ahead. Tesla TSLA - The Canary in the Coal Mine And that VIX is legit due to print a 72, just who knows when, exactly? VIX - 9x8 = 72 A question to bulls: why are you getting long on equities at high prices and refusing to sell at a profit when the world is in the shape it is in? Are you simply unwilling to let go of the delusion? Cash is King, and you at least need to hedge. Be careful. Gap downs today may become tomorrow's eternal losses.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by LordWrymouth
1
APPLE vs The Theory of Relativity My charting focus revolves around Elliot Waves with Fibonacci Relationship. We can clearly see a beautiful 5 wave impulse move from the low of 2019. This move should follow by a 3 wave correction of which we already have an ABC, the correction is good in price... but it's lacking in time. Too quick of a move down to correct a 3 year rise. Therefore I would expect another wave down to be in a form of a 5 wave impulse for C coming down to 50MA on monthly average, or in a form of a 3 wave move for a Y. The reason I mention the 50MA on a monthly timeframe (orange line for perspective on this daily chart) is because Apple has a tendency to retrace back to the 50MA every so often and hasn't done so in over 3 1/2, so I retest is coming due. A bounce or reversal in this area will be very likely. This is a bearish count; therefore would be invalidated if the dotted white line is broken to the upside. I lean bearish, supported by the overall outlook of indexes which I can see continue to the downside in months to come. The company can be great and it can make great products, but in the end... we all have to respect Gravity. Not a financial advice. Cheers,
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by Elliot618
1
$nvda Capitulation? Last line of support! NVIDIA$NVDA is on its last leg of support, if it loses this area we are looking at $115 as the next support level HOWEVER, I'm spotting signals of capitulation as I highlighted in yellow - steep decline with elevated volume. In the past NVIDIA usually bounces after this type of price action and we have now touched the bottom of this descending supportive channel that its respected since last summer. Fear is looming. Are you buying this blood?
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ChaldeaCode
7
$MSFT - potential support in phase 4 $MSFT has been in selloff and it's been frequently discussed these days. If we break current level, there is not much demand down to $220 and $208, which would be about 36-40% down from ATH, respectively. I can see MSFT getting there if overall market is wacky. Chaikin Oscillator with Bollinger bands also generated sell signal on August 8th and since then it's been in an ugly downtrend. This also looks like a phase 4 - downtrend. I'll wait patiently and might start adding to my position around 220. Good old MSFT.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Liathetrader
NASDAQ continues tumble towards targetJust a quick review on the week after Powell's Pow Wow speech that sent markets off a cliff... The weekly NASDAQ futures chart had a rather uncommon gap down that failed a close attempt. The week closed down near the lows as well. MACD turned down and is about to cross under the MACD Signal, and well as into the bear territory. All these happening after a failure of the 55EMA three weeks ago. Taken together, it is not looking good at all, and the technical structure warns badly for the next 7 to 8 weeks. A target area of 11-11.5K is expected, but with such initial momentum, it appears that the NASDAQ is more likely to dip below 10K level within the next 8 weeks. This is observable only form the weekly chart itself! Turning to the daily chart, we can see that the last week had bulls struggling with an early but futile attempt to close the gap. This created top tails by mid-week which indicated more downside probability (as expected), and despite a rally on some good data later in the week, the bearishness overwhelmed into closing on Friday. The technical indicator RPM is showing a strong momentum, and the MACD signal is already in bearish territory. 11750 appears as an immediate support, which is not likely to hold out long, but is likely to offer a breather of the bear charge next week. The gap range formed in the week's opening is now a resistance zone. Overall, there is a strong bearish background, but the week incoming should offer a pause, and some sort of a muted technical bounce. Thus far, the modelling targets the NASDAQ below 10K. Until there is a clear break of this model projection, which might take at least a month to form, the NASDAQ is following the projection; heads up.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Auguraltrader
Updated Analysis on Tech (QQQ)This is the daily chart of SQQQ. SQQQ is the ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100 ETF ( QQQ ) inversely. When tech stocks fall, SQQQ rises. Traders, therefore, use SQQQ to short tech stocks, or to hedge against a collapse in tech prices. There are several bearish signals appearing in the daily chart of SQQQ, which hint that we may soon see bullish movement for QQQ and the Nasdaq. First, there is decreasing volume in the daily chart of SQQQ, which shows that fewer and fewer market participants are opening new short positions against the Nasdaq. This is occurring even while the price of SQQQ continues to move up. This divergence is bearish and is usually the earliest sign that a reversal is coming. Second, there are major gaps up appearing on the daily chart. Gaps to the upside on SQQQ have historically never failed to close back to the downside. Therefore these gaps should be viewed skeptically, as they fail to validate upward price action. Third, the upper limit of the Fibonacci Bollinger Band continues to act as strong resistance, continuing the more than a decade-long trend whereby price cannot sustain itself above this line on any sustained basis. This line has mathematical importance, it reflects a level of price deviation where, after being reached, price begins to show a mean-reverting tendency back to the downside. In this case, SQQQ's mean reversion would be bullish for QQQ and the Nasdaq. There are many other indications that are showing that SQQQ is too overextending, including the extremely over-heated Stochastic Heat Map. The NDTH is also indicating that a very significant bottom is forming for tech and the Nasdaq. In fact, the Nasdaq is so oversold that the current levels have not been seen this the market crash of 2008-2009. Therefore, SQQQ has effectively priced in a significant recession. While a significant recession might indeed be on the horizon, if a significant recession does not ensue, then we can be fairly certain that a major short squeeze for SQQQ will occur: However, the strongest bullish argument for SQQQ (bearish argument for the Nasdaq) is that weekly price broke through the Ichimoku Cloud for the first time ever. The only plus here is that the weekly candle is a spinning top and most oscillators are trending back down. Regardless, with SQQQ being this historically overextended, it can represent a rare opportunity to buy QQQ and tech stocks before a massive short squeeze occurs. While anything can happen, and one should always use stop losses, this chart does not convince me that SQQQ is about to breakout much higher to the upside. Therefore, I remain a holder of tech and growth stocks for the intermediate-term. Not financial advice. Anything can happen and trends can end.
NASDAQ:SQQQ
by SpyMasterTrades
4
SPX SP500 Bottom predictionHere is my prediction of the SP market bottom. How do we get here. well currently the small and medium stocks that were overpriced have been smashed, I'm talking about all specs the poster child of the 2020 run, all speculation stocks lemonade, zoom, peloton and other retail favourites have been killed. Ive always said the market will bottom when the big names finally give way, I'm talking about apple Tesla Nvidia has already started. eventually the market masters want to buy at prices they always want to buy at, cheap. when Tesla finally comes from 100 PE ratio to 40, apple back to 20 nvidias down to 25 that's when the market bottoms. its always the big stocks that hold the market up last and right now we are in that phase. keep your eye on Apple its currently around 158/160. this could easily collapse to 130 again if not lower Tesla down to 180/200. this will be the time to load up for the next 5 -10 years. patience is key here don't fight the fed, trend is your friend and no real reversal is in play imo until demand destruction has happened, recession is here, unemployment comes up to 7/8%, interest rates continue to raise higher causing new mortgages to come to a stand still as people won't be able to afford to buy, housing starts coming down again all of this is definitely possible in my opinion. don't forget loads of other macro events too.
SP:SPXShort
by JamesFlem
3
Bull Signals for Apple StockBased on my calculations, the most distant point at the predictory period shown by the blue line is an ideal time to begin dollar cost averaging into AAPL stock; Based on Fibonacci calculations (with 10 week constraints ), a strong bullish sign is evident within the coming weeks. Now's the time to buy the dip. Apple Inc. (AAPL) is currently in a primary dip period, meaning it is a prime opportunity for the outlooked wealth transfer towards retail investors like us. AAPL has been on a tear since its lows in early 2016, and has more than doubled in price. However, the stock has pulled back in recent months and is now trading around its primary dip period lows. This could be a sign that the wealth is starting to transfer towards retail investors, and now may be a prime opportunity to buy AAPL. Apple is a technology giant and is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the global technology sector. The company has a strong brand and a loyal customer base, and is well-positioned to continue to grow in the years ahead. Apple is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18, which is a bit higher than the broader market, but the company is expected to grow at a rate of around 10% in the years ahead, which justifies the premium. Overall, Apple is a strong company with a bright future, and now may be a good time to buy the stock. The wealth appears to be transferring towards retail investors, and AAPL is trading at a discount to its fair value. Executing a long position with a minimum of a 6 month time-frame.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by trustneil
7
Tesla, Worst case scenario To some this may seem to be the worse case scenario, others it will be a dream come true. Take a look at the 2020 bottom and the major run Tesla had to the top, one could call it epic and yes it was. if you take a fib level from the bottom to the top of the run the 61 fib is within a very particular level. around the 180 level are various support and resistance levels which make it an interesting level for Tesla to come back to during a hard market crash. it'd around 30% drop from current levels but there would be heavy buying in here and I can't imagine Tesla going lower. I think it will get here if the labour market turns bad US currently has 3.5% which is a 50 year low. I see this increasing massively overt the next 6 months. energy will come back with vengeance causing inflation to peak back up again and agree it will remain sticky. the fed will have to do something like drastically increase rates or run the risk of hyper inflation in the US which for me cannot happen so they would rather deal with the induced recession. it will only happen when they have an agenda like mid terms, or china something they can blame the recession on. all this stems form the initial monetary policies pre and whilst covid gripped the world. overall im positive on Tesla and believe they are changing the world and I agree with buying companies that have a positive impact or a major impact on the world. IMO its joined the club of Microsoft, apple, google as one of the greats and will likely beat all of those in terms of market cap eventually. anywhere near 200 ill be buying in big amount. let me know your thoughts
NASDAQ:TSLA
by JamesFlem
5
NASDAQ - Powell Pow WowLast words from the last analysis were: " be cautious as volatility will spike! " And Powelll delivered a strong stance which blew volatility to a monthly high, up 17% for the VIX. The weekly NASDAQ chart completed the bearish candlestick pattern on a 55EMA failure, and sliced through the 13K support. This is totally not bullish for the next couple of weeks. Downside targets now appear the last low (in October) or a more ominous symmetry projection farther down at 9.5K. The weekly technical indicators currently do not suggest enough bearish power to reach there (yet) and 11.5K higher low appears plausible at the moment. Thing is... next month's Fed meet will firmly provide enough volatility for the next few weeks. The NASDAQ daily chart demonstrates how a reality statement could drive home a message. It can in the form of a Bearish Engulfing, that broke down the 13K support and 55EMA, forming a lower high. Bearish technical indicators have been suggesting this for the past week or two, so should not be much surprise here. Both daily and weekly charts are aligned in bearish tones (as expected earlier), so perhaps an early week technical bounce, and then later week, or the week after, push down is likely...
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Auguraltrader
Paypal: Pay up for thisPayPal - Short Term - We look to Buy at 89.71 (stop at 84.43) Broken out of the channel formation to the upside. We have a Gap open at 89.63 from 02/08/2022 to 03/08/2022. We have a 38.2% Fibonacci pullback level of 89.84 from 103.03 to 68.51. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Our profit targets will be 116.91 and 152.00 Resistance: 103.03 / 117.20 / 122.92 Support: 89.84 / 80.22 / 76.71 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by Saxo
$NVDA Nvidia missed earnings! Next level of support has a gap.$NVDA has a very interesting chart. Today NVIDIA announces earnings, missed. The price plunged a bit after hours but not as bad imo. I see a solid accumulation/support near the $157-$161 level. NVDA previously broke out of a falling wedge on July 15th, however, it didn't back test the break-out zone afterwards, holding the support level this week would set up a textbook INVERSE Head & Shoulder pattern with a first target/resistance near the $190 level. Closing above the $190 neckline would open the door to more possibilities such as filling the gaps above (marked in red) created in APRIL 2022. Losing the $157 level would break it down to the low $140's setting up a possible double bottom pattern as a best case scenario. Gaming is a billion dollar industry and most of the crypto decline shock is priced in. NVIDIA is poised for continued upside in the coming years as we slowly enter the metaverse.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ChaldeaCode
2
$MIRM bear proof 👁‍🗨 *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management My team entered Mirum Pharmaceuticals $MIRM today at $25 per share. Our take profit is $30. We also have a stop less set at $24 OUR ENTRY: $25 FIRST TAKE PROFIT: $30 STOP LOSS: $24 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NASDAQ:MIRMLong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
4
Here's Why You Should Think Twice Before Selling TechThis is a 2-month chart of the Nasdaq US Composite Index (IXIC). At the bottom is the Stochastic RSI which oscillates up and down depending on how overbought or oversold the market is. There have only been a few times since its inception a half-century ago, that the Nasdaq Composite Index had a 2-month chart this overextended to the downside. The K value of the Stochastic RSI has actually reached zero. If the 2-month chart closes at that level, it will mark a super rare occurrence that has only occurred twice in the history of the Nasdaq (the last time being at the bottom of the Great Recession). I calculated the one-year returns for the Nasdaq one year (from low to high) after the K value of the Stoch RSI on the 2-month time frame dropped below the oversold line (to or nearly to 10). For the case of the Dotcom bust and the Great Recession, I selected the point when the Stoch RSI's K value first reached 0, which is its current reading and which is thus fairly comparable. Even during these significant economic downturns, buying at this oversold level produced decent returns one year out. Obviously, past price action does not guarantee future price action, but history does tend to repeat itself. Odds are that ten years from now you'll probably be wishing you had bought into this oversold level. Here are the one-year returns from the market bottom during the 2M period (when the Stoch RSI K value met the criteria listed above) to the market top of the 2M period one year later: +95.78% +36.47% +31.24% +78.89% +20.17% +69.50% +27.14% +52.36% Mean: +51.44% Not financial advice. As always anything can happen.
TVC:IXIC
by SpyMasterTrades
Tech is at a Significant BottomI'm surprised that no one on Trading View posted this chart today. The NDTH is a chart of the percentage of Nasdaq 100 stocks that are above their 200-day moving average. It dropped to 6.86 today. This means about 94% of Nasdaq 100 stocks were below their 200-day moving average. The last time this level was reached was in March 2020 right at the bottom of the COVID market crash. The NDTH has never dropped below 15 except during significant bottoms on the Nasdaq. While anything is possible, it's highly likely that we are seeing peak fear, peak inflation, and market capitulation currently. This extreme level makes for a very good risk-to-reward setup for going long. My strategy is to place a 2x daily ATR stop loss on QQQ or TQQQ. It's likely if we drop below this level then we're in for a deep recession. Whereas if this low holds, then this is a major bottom for tech.
INDEX:NDTHLong
by SpyMasterTrades
10