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My bet against Yields and for the Stock MarketsThe US government bonds are currently on everyone's lips. Wherever you listen, you hear the word recession and people sometimes talk about the "big crash". This is due to the currently enormously rising interest rate curve. However, I think that we saw our peak in 10-year government bonds yesterday and I think that the 10-year yield curve will now start falling. This is all of a technical nature and should now lead to a sell off to the 61.8% Fibonacci level which should bring us back to the 1% levels. This is enormously good for the stock markets and especially for technology stocks. I think that we can still expect a big surprise from the central bank and that exactly what very few expect will happen. I'm betting against government bonds and for that I'm betting everything on growth stocks over the next 2 years. This is no financial advice.
TVC:US10YShort
by RT_Trading_
ARKK: V-Shaped Recovery OTW?When taking a glance at Ark's Innovation ETF, multiple indicators are signaling a potential bottom at these prices. 1.) On the weekly logarithmic chart, ARKK touched long-term support on March 14th @ ~ $55 and quickly bounced back to its 0.618 fib level. 2.) Since November 2021, ARKK has remained in a harsh downward channel and is finally showing signs of a possible break. 3.) When observing the MACD on the weekly chart, we see that it has printed a new bottom while the price makes a higher low on a 5-year basis. Given the right conditions, this is signaling bullish divergence and could result in a face-ripping move to the upside. For all of the reasons above, I believe ARKK has the possibility of breaking its 5-month downtrend and returning to the next significant resistance fib level @ $96. NFA, just my own opinion based on personal research.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by ClargyInvesting
Rangebound KPIT Tech will break the range ?The 16,000 cr. mid-cap IT company, KPIT - Technologies Ltd. is about to give a breakout. KPIT Tech is a fundamentally sound company, firsthand. In the recent few weeks, the share price of this mid-cap stock was trapped in a range shown in the chart below with blue lines. The higher range of this stock is 601. Two technical indicators signal that this range might be broken soon. Firstly, the stock may see Crossovers of 10, 20 & 50 EMA (Moving Average) soon. Secondly, the stock is not overbought as the RSI of the stock is at 52 points (approx). Also, the stock made an Inverted hammer candle at the closing of Thursday, once confirmed this might make the stock more attractive. The target is between 660 - 675. Moreover, a trailing stop loss is recommended. Also, please note that this information is only shared for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before entering into any trade. This trade might involve the risk of capital loss.
NSE:KPITTECHLong
by GautamNegi
NQ/MNQ Breakout or Breakdown?Bulls have had a nice and surprising push after fomc to the upside this week. Will be watching if price respects the DT line and will consider this an uptrend day in a bear market instead of an official uptrend reversal period until DT line is broken and value created above. I like longs above 500 as there is plenty of space for bulls to prop this up above there and short below 340, however, closed the day in key supply zone. Currently also sitting at 61% fib and will see if it can create value above 61% and push to 50% or reject below 61% going into next week. No bias, following the price/momentum and playing what the market gives us going into next week. With fomc, recent geo-political events and simply no news for this run-up, next week will should bring more volatility as well.
CME_MINI:MNQM2022
by Pham777
NASDAQ to break 13KJust an update that a few technical and correlation points suggest that the NSDAQ is likely to break down below 13K. First up, the breakdown from the consolidation zone was very strong with a gap down and runaway to form a long down candle. No lightening of momentum observed yet. Next, there appears to be a potential for crude oil price spike. In order for such a spike to occur, there must be a significant event expected to occur. Such an occurrence would also push the NASDAQ down below 13K. Noted that the lower Bollinger Band is also near 13K, so that may mitigate the downside... hopefully. Yesterday's close in the white rectangle box was indicative of downside momentum, and can expect some follow through. The yellow box is the projected extended downside expectation; which brings the possibility as low as 11,880. This is IF support breaks and close below 13K. 12,780 next immediate support below 13K.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Auguraltrader
Microanalysis of the NASDAQ 4HIn a follow up analysis of the recent favourite, the NASDAQ futures NQ1!, it appears that a possible higher low above 13K has been registered and it is now consolidating below 13,360 (yellow line). Any effort above has been met with swift downdrafts (red ellipse marking the upper tails). If this continues, a breakdown below 13K is expected, and currently is expected to 12,800 target. Alternatively, a 4H close above the yellow line would signal a breakout of the consolidation zone, and affirmation of a higher low near 13K support. Technically, 60/40 skewed towards the bears. Is this the calm before the storm? Asian into European opening hours would be interesting...
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Auguraltrader
18
Is NVDA heading toward 162$?The past few weeks, the markets have been extremely volatile. Some are arguing we are in a bear marker, others still convinced on this being a correction. Regardless your side on that, NVDA is in a clear descending triangle, which is text book bearish, and you can argue almost every tech stock including qqq and spy have formed a major head and shoulders topping pattern. The sentiment is very bearish right now and today we closed in bear market territory(down 20% from the high). We also closed the day, on multiple tech stocks including the etfs, with a death cross on the daily. Textbook profit target based on the base of the triangle would be about a 50$ move to 162$. There are multiple stocks forming this pattern and I will upload some of them after this.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by anamaly
PALANTIR:New Beginnings On The Horizon NYSE:PLTR is now set for new beginnings as a major cycle has ended for this stock. Recently the price has been ranging in the the 8.6-11.4 area which is a high demand area ideal for the current accumulation phase .In fact there is a great probability for the bulls to take the lead and push the price significantly up , taking advantage of the nice potential of PLTR . Although many technical indicators are already anticipating a rally, it is more reasonable to wait for a close above the 12.6 as a confirmation before the entry . After the confirmation ,the price is likely to reach the first target ,and potentially the second and the third targets if PLTR succeeds to close significantly above the first and the second target areas successively. For the trade management It is advisable to : Close 50% of the position when the first target is hit and move the stop to the entry area . Close 25% when the second target is hit and move the stop to just below the first target area . Close the remaining 25% when the third target is hit . The 9.5 level would represent a reasonable stop level which has the advantage of being tighter than the 8 level despite the latter offering more freedom for the movement of price . FERVENTLY BROUGHT TO YOU BY MANHATTAN STOCKS . ALL REQUESTS ,SUGGESTIONS AND REMARKS ARE WELCOME .
PLong
by manhattanstocks
2
AAPL - Market Structure Shift a Bearish CaseApple has broken daily market structure at ~167$ and has been drifting lower since the start of the year. From a technical perspective, the asset appears to be heavy which is sweeping recent lows one by one. Downside targets I am looking at are: Target 1: $146.5 Target 2: $138.2 I am looking for a quick move lower to sweep these two lows. If Target 2 is swept then that opens up Targets 3-6. Over the longer term I am thinking the price will continue lower with the listed lows as targets. I am thinking the second half of the move lower is likely not going to be a straight shot down. Expect chop as the price continues to decline which will likely tempt buyers into the market as short term retraces higher occur. Target 3: $122.2 Target 4: $116.2 Target 5: $107.3 Target 6: $103.1
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by DenisRisticFX
SPY COULD FORM A MACRO WEDGE - INTEREST RATESGet your tin foil hats ready for this one folks. It's a long shot, but just throwing this perspective out there to see how it lands in a few weeks. SPY loves to form wedges, especially after the breakout of other patterns. In this case, SPY was forming quite the strong channel since September, until it broke out in January (see chart below) Now that it has broken out, and volatility is at its highest, one potential outcome is SPY / SPX forming a wedge to calm the storm. Here is where it gets interesting - charts also love symmetry. The price action on one side of a pattern often times matches the price action on the opposite side as well (time is a factor that affects how this looks on the chart, either squeezing or elongating the trends) Before SPY dumped in January, it had a stair stepping, wedge-like pattern on it's way up - which took 200 days to reach ATH from $415 (a key level). SEE BELOW Now here is where the tinfoil hat comes on. So far, SPY has mimicked the double bottom formation first seen on the left side. SEE BELOW Notice both form a 'W' shape, with the left side having less volatility, and therefore having more time to form price action (30 days) The right side having more volatility, formed a similar pattern in 10 days. 1/3 of the time This would make sense if we also look at the volume, which is on average 2.4x higher than last September / October. Following this same logic, we should reach 415 in approximately 1/3 the time it took for SPY to reach ATH from 415 (200 days mentioned previously.) That means it would take ROUGHLY 66 days to reach 415 from ATH -- March 11 -- The Friday before the first released rate hike and when the FED will release their interest rate plans. This would put the March 15 - 16 FOMC meeting right at the vertex of this wedge. The MACD also confirms this in a way. If SPY continues its current MACD trend on the Monthly, it should approach baseline in March, flipping red (Take a look at SPY chart, and what happens when the monthly MACD flips red without a catalyst like the FED meeting.) It also means we could see a more volatile spike to around 460 in the very short term (first week of February or so) and then a trend down from there. What are some problems with this perspective? It's based entirely off of connecting dots that may not even be there. Also, with all of the news and volatility happening right now, SPY could do something completely un-organized and un-predictable, but it doesn't hurt to try. This post was written largely for fun, and I'll keep the analysis in the back of my mind. However, I do not plan on basing any of my strategies or trades on the idea alone. Let's see how poorly this ages ;) - Thanks for reading!
AMEX:SPYShort
by SJ_CAP
3
$AAPL Key Levels, Analysis & Targets$AAPL Key Levels, Analysis & Targets Well, target 1 was hit this morning so I started a small position… I do believe we will see at least Target 2 & 3 also so I’m not going in too heavy at the moment… This is the first time that AAPL is under the 35EMA on the weekly since 2020, and 2019… I am very much looking forward to this swing… and I’ll be looking for around 25% when all 3 targets are hit… — IF YOU'RE ADDING TO LONG POSITIONS: ONLY ADD at support levels & FIB levels… labeled (most of the time) (Support=Green, Resistance=Red, Trendlines=Blue) Fib will be labeled if any and their colors will vary.) I start every position with .5 - 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible. --- I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed. GL and happy trading. IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
6
$SOFI is oversold 👁‍🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* Today my team entered digital finance company $SOFI at $10.25 per share. Our take profit is $12 with a stop loss at $9.75. Our Entry: $10.25 Take Profit: $12 Stop Loss: $9.75 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
3