Earnings Strength before Slight PullbackHello everyone, happy Monday. Here I am presenting my idea of a strong bullish continuation by NASDAQ:AMD going into tomorrow's earnings. Despite the already strong momentum upwards, I believe we see further buying action after tomorrow's earnings into the lower $200s along with strong buying action across broader tech in $PYTH:QQQ. I believe both these securities will top out short-term in the upcoming 4-6 weeks before a brief pullback to the $149 price point before a further continuation upwards.
Position: Shares (added between 2018-2020); holding long-term.
Please let me know your thoughts and feedback and happy trading!
TECH
Are #Stocks expensive? No measured against M2 money supplyThe 2000 Top was still the "real" peak of the US stock market
Built obviously on the expectation that the internet would change the world and teh global economy.
This highlights how the market foresees the future and how market participants are forward looking.
The #DownJones index is still 50% down form that peak
on this chart you can multiple chart patterns tat have played out previously
HVF's, double top, head & shoulder tops, and inv H&S bottoms
currently in a 22 year continuation inv head and shoulders which is still in progress
my stance is Top in April/May 24 .... downdraft into the election and a run up for 2/3 years into the Giga Uber TOP
Tessy for the Win ($TSLA)Need above 176 to confirm move up. Looks to potentially be in a 5 wave move up.
If we reject 176 to 180 expect lower to come
if not this is upside just about
Looks to be in five wave like apple
Sub waves so within next few weeks to week
If not though probably lower than last low coming for sure. We need to break trend
Update as we go
www.tradingview.com
Apple sees drop in revenue and net incomeApple delivered its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2024. According to the report, the company generated revenue worth $90.753 billion, down 4.3% YoY, and net income of $23.636 billion, representing a decrease of 2.16% YoY. Operating income amounted to $27.9 billion for the same period, falling 1.5% YoY. In addition to that, Apple announced the largest share buyback program in the company’s history, amounting to $110 billion.
Net revenue = $90.7 billion (-4.3% YoY) vs. $94.8 billion in FY2Q23
Net income = $23.6 billion (-2.16% YoY) vs. $24.1 billion in FY2Q23
Operating income = $27.9 billion (-1.5% YoY) vs. $28.3 billion in FY2Q23
Earnings per share = $1.53 (0% YoY) vs. $1.53 in FY2Q23
Illustration 1.01
The illustration above shows Apple's price action in the aftermarket, with shares soaring more than 7%.
Additional information
Operating costs rose 5.2% YoY to $14.3 billion.
iPhone sales fell 10.4% YoY.
Mac sales increased nearly 4% YoY.
iPad sales went down 16.6% YoY.
Sales in the wearable, home, and accessories category dropped 9.6% YoY.
Revenue from services grew by 14.1%
The company’s liabilities declined by about 9.4% YoY.
Apple increased its dividend to $0.25 per share.
Forward guidance
Apple did not provide any forward guidance. However, its CEO, Tim Cook, said the company plans to announce in regard to artificial intelligence. On top of that, he expressed optimism about the company’s operations in China.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OP - Enjoy The Ride 🚗Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 OP has been overall bullish, trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern in red.
Currently, OP is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower red trendline.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong support zone marked in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #OP approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
U - Unity Software Continuation LongWe've opened a leveraged continuation long on Unity software. Our larger setup hit it's first TP before retracing.
There is clear bullish divergence maturing, along with a falling wedge breakout on the 4h, all happening at a key level of significance.
Above this level in history, we have always gone to a minimum of 39$, hence the first TP.
The 4h set up can be seen below:
JD.COM showing upside soon to come to $35Inverse Head and SHoulders seems to be forming on the JD.COm
The market has come down from a high of $42 down to $21 since July 2023.
Then there was a solid consolidation and higher lows forming, before the next move.
Now we do have a potential Inv H and S but it's still of a Medium Nature.
Price>20
Price<200
The target is around $35.01 but we need the price to first break up and out of the neckline.
Let's wait and see.
Alphabet Inc (Google) Class AWeekly chart in logarithmic scale.
Friend indicator @Julien_Eche
1. Overall Trend:
- The chart shows a long-term bullish trend for Google's (GOOGL) stock. The share price has seen steady progression from 2009 to 2024.
2. Trading Channel:
- A well-defined trading channel can be identified, with parallel trendlines that establish the range of fluctuations in the long run.
- The price moves within this channel, with regular bounces off the support and resistance lines.
3. Consolidation Phases:
- Some consolidation phases are observed, where the price has seen lateral movements, such as in 2011-2012 and 2018-2019, before resuming the uptrend.
4. Upside Potential:
- Currently, the price seems to be near the upper limit of the channel, suggesting limited upside potential in the short term.
- However, the trading channel implies the possibility of continued long-term bullish trend, if the price can decisively break above this current resistance level.
In summary, the chart displays a long-term bullish trend for Google's stock, with a well-established trading channel that frames the price fluctuations. This suggests further upside potential, provided the price can overcome the current resistance.
Make up your mind before placing an order.
► Please boost, comment, subscribe!
Tesla Stock Down 30% This Year. What Happened to the EV King?The electric-car maker is in dire need of charging after losing more than $260 billion this year and turning Elon Musk into the biggest loser among the world’s wealthiest.
Table of Contents
» How It Started vs How It’s Going
» Nothing Magnificent About It
» Competition Revs Up
» Teslas Pile Up on Weak Demand
» If You’re Having a Bad Day, Read This
📍 How It Started vs How It’s Going
Tesla (ticker: TSLA ) kicked off the year as the big tech highflyer we all know. With a valuation of more than $780 billion, the electric-car maker stepped into 2024 as the world’s largest EV seller. Deliveries were standing at record highs and chief executive Elon Musk was the world’s richest person and was looking at a gargantuan $55 billion pay day.
All of that was taken away in one way or another. Chinese automaker BYD (ticker: 1211 ) dethroned the EV kingpin by selling 526,000 EVs for the fourth quarter of 2023, more than Tesla’s 484,000. Even as Tesla reclaimed the top spot in the January through March quarter, it flagged a worrying signal that its business was shrinking.
As for Elon Musk, he lost a court battle over his lofty $55 billion pay package when a judge called it “an unfathomable sum.” Shortly before that, he handed the World’s Richest title to Amazon founder Jeff Bezos .
📍 Nothing Magnificent About It
Chugging through first-quarter twists and turns, Tesla drifted away from the highly exclusive club called the “Magnificent Seven.” The group of companies with a snappy nickname is made up of Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ), Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ), Facebook parent Meta (ticker: META ), Google parent Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL ), Amazon (ticker: AMZN ), Apple (ticker: AAPL ), and outsider-in-the-making Tesla (ticker: TSLA ).
How did that happen and why is Tesla at risk of falling out of the Magnificent Seven? Tesla’s valuation — which is notoriously volatile and hard to pinpoint — saw a massive 30% drop over the first three months of 2024, turning the stock into the worst performer in the S&P 500. More than $260 billion has been washed out since early January, giving the EV maker a price tag of around $520 billion today. Zoom further out, and you see Tesla peaked during the Reddit stocks meme-trading era of 2021 when shares hit an all-time high of $417. Back then, Tesla became the first car manufacturer to break into the $1 trillion club.
Tesla stock has lost about a third of its valuation this year. Source: TradingView
The drastic fall spotlights a stark difference between Tesla and the rest of the Magnificent Seven big shots. The other tech giants are at the top of well-developed yet competitive industries. Take for example Microsoft — the software mainstay has created for itself a competitive moat in the enterprise and retail software business.
Tesla, on the other hand, is the trailblazer for the EV revolution but charged up rivals are shifting gears, threatening to soak up market share fast.
📍 Competition Revs Up
Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi (ticker: 1810 ) last week unveiled a slick-looking, tech-rich electric ride. The model is called SU7 and it clocked up 10,000 reservations in the first 4 minutes after launch. Then it got to 89,000 in 24 hours. The successful launch bumped Xiaomi’s market cap by $4 billion to around $50 billion, or 10 times less than Tesla. The SU7, however, is priced lower than a high-end Model 3.
Tesla has more rivals to outsell, among them BYD (ticker: 1211 ) and the more-niche player Rivian (ticker: RIVN ). Rivian is an EV startup that marked a 70% increase in sales for the first quarter. The number, however, is a tiny 13,980 units delivered.
📍 Teslas Pile Up on Weak Demand
Tesla’s year went from bad to worse this week when it announced it had delivered 386,810 EVs in the first quarter. The number was about 20,000 below the most bearish forecast on Wall Street. It was also 9% lower than last year’s first quarter, indicating that the company’s business is shrinking.
More importantly, Tesla produced 433,371 units, leaving about 46,000 waiting to be purchased by customers. The difference between production and deliveries meant that unsold models are piling up. A demand issue maybe?
📍 If You’re Having a Bad Day, Read This
In all that chaos, Elon Musk emerged as the world’s worst moneymaker, taking a huge blow to his net worth so far this year. According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index , the eccentric engineer is down $45 billion to roughly $180 billion, taking the number one spot on the loser board.
Elon Musk owns a 20.5% stake in Tesla worth about $120 billion, according to a December 31 filing . The stake consists of 411 million shares of common stock and 303 million stock options with a strike price of $26 a pop.
The majority of Musk’s wealth is concentrated in his EV company, but he also owns private social media platform X, former Twitter, and space exploration company SpaceX, among other businesses.
📍 What’s Your Take?
Are you buying the dip in Tesla stock? Or are you waiting for a deeper drop before scooping up some shares for yourself? Let us know your thoughts on Tesla’s future in the comments below!
🚀if you liked this article, give us a follow to make sure you don't miss any.
💖 TradingView Team
BTC - Detailed Video Analysis - in 2 mins!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📚 As long as the $70,000 holds, we are expecting a continuation till the upper bound of the channel and $80,000.
📚Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
PAYPAL #PYPL --- Ready for recovery rallyObvious that the bear trend is clearly done
Paypal Hodlers should get relief and fresh positions could get rewarded quite nicely
It's not a bullish falling wedge, which is pattern I prefer.
But more of a regular descending channel ...
I think a move to $100 should be the minimum objective.
NVDA AT BEAUTIFUL SUPPORT!! EXPECTING A BOUNCE!There's a triple confluence here on NVDA, This is a massive support level with a developing 45min order block. With these confluence and a strong company leading the tech/AI world, I would expect higher prices to come unless we get a random negative event.
I'm bullish and looking to break $1,000 in the next few months.
Let me know your thought sin the comments below
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
DXY - Could pump could coincide with market reset for a whileI'm not someone that believes that when the markets pump the dxy has to dump and vice versa. However, it is undeniable and pretty logical that there is some correllation.
In this case the markets have been extremely bullish for a year straight with no significant pullbacks, and the dxy incredibly bearish with only one minor retracement. It is now at a key level that we called last time as the level that gave us the bullish run, so you should't be surprised if we get a bounce here. The markets are also extended and seem like they are slowing down, this might mean a few weeks of bearish moves in the markets and bullish moves on the dxy.
Regardless we are bullish for 2024 as a whole until there is a further indication, just be wary of the next few weeks and this critical level that we are at today.
Safe trading!
Microsoft Bullish Cup and Handle Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT
A bullish monthly and weekly chart:
✅Monthly MACD Cross
✅ Long Term parallel channel intact
✅ Above 200 day & week MA
✅ Cup and Handle (with a high handle - Preferred)
✅ Good Risk: Reward Ratio at 7.6 (51%+ vs -7% loss)
⚠️ Stop loss levels on chart 🫡
A great set up. Those that are patient could wait for a potential pull back (arrow on chart) as we are reaching into overbought levels on the RSI on the weekly. It would not be unusual for Microsoft to pull back 5-8%. The R:R would be significantly improved if you waited and if it led to an entry from approx. $350 (after a 5-8% pull back), this would line up with the 200 DSMA also. However there are no guarantees of a pull back.
Those half as cautious could enter half a position here and see what happens and place another entry at $350.
All in all the $330 - 335 red box area on the chart is an absolute stop loss level. If this level is lost I would be out of the trade fast.
So you have options with this set up:
1) Entry here with a tight 7% stop.
2) Half a position here and half at approx. $350 with a stop at $335.
3) You wait for $350 and you place your stop at $330.
These all result in a similar loss of 5 - 7% in the event the trade fails. The upside potential is always 50%+. You can always cut early also at target one and take something at the 26% profit level.
It important you take full responsibility for your trade, position accordingly and be ok with the small 5-7% loss as it will likely happen, we are only leaning on the probability that maybe 60-70% of the time these trade set up provide us the return we want.
I have not really ventured into the earnings or dividends however they are both positive contributors to this trade as earnings have been excellent and dividends whilst minimal, are dividends at the end of the day. We are here for the trade and play a set up off the chart. The fundamental's are just nice framing for the stock in our minds eye.
PUKA
FET - Make or Break Zone Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Weekly: Left Chart
After breaking above 0.6, FET surged by 80% and it is currently rejecting a major weekly resistance at 1.0 - 1.05.
📈 For the bulls to remain in control and take over from a macro perspective, we need a weekly candle close above 1.05.
On H1: Right Chart
📉 If the last major low in red at 0.885 is broken downward, expect the bearish correction to start
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
TARGET REACHED:Nasdaq mirroring Dow Jones & up it goes to 18,800
Our first aim was 16,956 for the Nasdaq 100, and wow, did it deliver, perfectly echoing our Dow Jones insights. It soared right to its initial goal of 16,956, just as we theorized. ANd it's been on the up ever since.
But here's where the plot thickens—into a trending market.
And let me tell you, this is where things get tricky.
For breakout traders, finding that golden entry becomes a maze.
For those eyeing reversals, it's like navigating a storm.
And for my friends playing the ranges, buying and selling becomes a guessing game.
So, what's a trader to do?
We watch, we wait.
The trend might keep climbing, sketching new patterns for us to decipher, or we simply stay the course, nudging our trailing stop loss up by the week.
Now, with eyes on a lofty new target of 18,800, I'm parked on the sidelines.
It's feeling a bit top-heavy, and without a clear strategy to dive back in,
I'm all for observing.
Patience is a trader's virtue, especially in this game.