UKX - 8 months SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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Techincalanalysis
MSTR - 2 months FALLING WEDGE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
══════════════════════════════
Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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BTCUSD - 2 months HEAD & SHOULDERS FAILURE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
══════════════════════════════
Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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Possible shorting opportunity on MNQ for FridayMy directional bias for Friday 17 January 2025 is Bearish with the Focus on price trading lower to fill in the BISI after finding some sort of support in premium levels. My Focus is the PDL at 21171.75 and then possibly the low of the BISI at 21143.75 for the discount draw on liquidity. I also like the fact that yesterday price wicked higher to clear the PDHs and then filled in the premium SIBI and found rejection off the D -OB lower quadrant. So lets see how price delivers today....
USD/JPY: where is my carry trade?Hi everyone,
Since my last idea, a lot has changed. My swing target of 150 was reached, and buyers took over in December. Recently, USD/JPY hit a 6-month high of ~158.5.
Since that low at 150 in December we saw different major signals from UJ:
"When the last buyer died..." buyers volume spike on 19 of December. Healthy accumulation on 4 of December supported the rally, showing more love for the dollar than yen.
"Heyyy, I know this thing—order block!" Post-Dec 19, price rose to 158.4 with waning buyer volume and mounting shorts. OB or just noise? Suspicious either way.
"Is this still an uptrend?" Price action shows small but consistent higher highs/lows. Volatility indicators hint at rising consolidation.
"Dollar supremacy forever?" Yes, dollar is stronger, but corrections happen. Whether at 70 or 175 USD/JPY, dollar will still be stronger.
"BoJ wouldn't intervene before 160. Are they bluffing?" May be possible, but I doubt it. The finance minister concern was very high yen depreciation and they mentioned that "we wouldn't let USD/JPY reach 160". But Japan’s MO is more stealth than spectacle I think.
Lastly, for my technical analysis lovers, pitchforks . Pitchforks are a more "hipster" way to draw trendlines. Maybe also more mathematical way. They are easy, but advanced pitchfork usage may be tricky.
As you see in the chart, we’re stuck between an upper bound and a demand zone. This supports my idea of consolidation, since the demand zone and the upper pitchfork are the current support and resistance.
Another one for tech analysis lovers. Elliott Waves . There is a possibility that we are in the so called "elliot correction waves", which is often seen after an uptrend. Leg A was the summer drop, leg B took us to 158.5, and leg C could dip us to 136–146. Probability? No idea, but the range fits the pitchfork, Elliott theory, and interest rate differential. Your guess is as good as mine.
Chapter 1: Rising Distribution – Not Your Average Wyckoff
The distribution I am talking about is not the Power of Three or AMD distribution concept. For old school lovers, the distribution I mean is based on Wyckoff method. Wyckoff was an analyst who described the difference between trends and ranging markets way before traders had 3 screens with gradient indicators and fancy ways to detect the regime.
In his method, there is a thing called "distribution". It is when the institutions are fed up with the uptrend and want to sell an asset. This is also when the "buys" are transferred from institutional hands to our, normal traders, hands. How does it work? FOMO, news and herd instinct. This is where "don't stand in front of an ultra-fast train" fails.
Classic Wyckoff distribution : the point where institutions get off the train, and retail traders hop on thinking it’s express to the moon. Rising distributions happen when the crowd still expects an uptrend, but the big players quietly exit. Seems like they have another train plan. At least, that's what the volume delta says. :)
Chapter 2: The Macro Mix
US is strong. Still solid. Even with inflation and bubbles, USD rides high thanks to its post-WWII economic dominance. This allows US to export their debt until today. Debt, tech booms, and AI surges aside, the system holds.
We’ve swapped dot-com booms (2000 DotCom Bubble) for AI hype and NVIDIA super-processors. Just like the early 2000s with software, we’re seeing another leap, but with AI, robotics, and LLMs instead of spreadsheets and PCs.
I wont mention any other issues with US economy, you could read that in my previous idea, and Trump tariffs wouldn't help it either, so everything stays the same.
Another thing, but not only concentrated on US: wealth gap. Wealth gaps grow, and some of the folks that were living right in the middle, having more than enough, but not too much, are struggling financially now, or became rich and big. But blindly piling into assets isn't the answer. Markets shift, and the rich adapt.
If you want more insights about the wealth gap and how it may worsen the recession, check out the amazing videos from "Garys Economics" . A former Citi bank top trader, Gary specializes in forex, especially Yen and Swiss franc.
Chapter 3: Yen vs. Dollar Carry Trade
The interest rate differential is narrowing. BoJ raised their rates for the first time since the '90s. Japan’s deflationary pressures pushed change . Sure thing Japan has to change something, and they did and will do.
Japan is still a tech and automotive powerhouse, but monetary policy is tricky. Wouldn’t a cheaper yen help exports? Its complicated. Dollar and euro is still doing fine, being ones of the leading currencies in the world and also leading in exports. I don't think that matters that much.
Now, zoom out of the chart. Historically, USD/JPY was 138–145 at similar USD rates. Add the new yen rate, and voilà: you get my 136–146 range.
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Finalizing, USD/JPY is my muse. It is my main trading currency, maybe the only one. The a constant battle between east and west, logic and mystery is truly beautiful. Since Dec 19, it’s been weird for most of us.
Currently with AI surging in trading, we see companies fighting to find the alpha in the market. The strategy that will always work, the key to unlocking the market. This goes on for years and didn't start only now. Markets evolve, new players enter, and unexpected events (Black Swans) rewrite everything. Nevertheless, the "holy grail" strategy doesn’t exist (yet).
More and more AI models are flexible and need to be improved faster and faster. So should your strategy be, even if you are not an AI.
AI or not, adaptability is your true alpha. I’ve also updated my own metrics, ditched outdated ones, and embraced new indicators and models.
Learn some coding. Python, R, and Pinescript will be as essential as Excel soon.
You could also start with pinescript by editing your indicators/strategies in a way, that your ideas are implemented in it.
Never stop learning, even when it feels like the market is gaslighting you.
Navigate the markets like an explorer: decode shifting patterns and embrace the unknown future.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making trading decisions.
FTMIB - 10 months HEAD & SHOULDERS══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
══════════════════════════════
Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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GC1! - 80 days SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
══════════════════════════════
Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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SX5E - 10 months HEAD & SHOULDER Sloping Down══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
══════════════════════════════
Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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GBPUSD Expectation From 13th-17th Jan, 2025. The purple zones are the Daily Market structure and where the price is supposed to drop. Expecting a bearish continuation based on the 4H Market Structure. Pricing is currently bouncing at 1.22000, and I anticipate a drop to 1.21000. Before this major move happens, I am looking for price to pull back or consolidate a bit.
Nasdaq composite index projected to reach previous peak To put it simple:
1. Change of Administration together with future Economic Policy and Priorities
1. Monday the 20th D.Trump is going to be inaugurated at the President of the USA. What we have learned from his election is that he is Nationalist (for his country only) and he is very close with Elon Musk. Therefore we can assume he is obligated to act accordingly to benefit these Tech and Crypto elites.
Currently the state of California is burning. Company headquarters in the valley are burning and Trump is obligated to be the hero t save them a with quick and cheap bailout money thus inject money into the market.
2. Technical Analysis
Ever since Nasdaq reach its peak during election week it has since retraced its value back to the initial price breakout forming a descending triangle with a support around the 21 100 /21 200 denomination. Using the total length of the triangle we have calculated a 1600 point move (3/4%) to the upside.
Remember this is not advise rather an objective opinion
Trade responsibility
FIL on the Rise Eyeing a Breakout to $6+Key Observations
1. Channel Formation
The price is attempting to move within an ascending channel formation.
The lower trendline acts as support, while the upper trendline serves as resistance.
2.Current Price Action
The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel.
To confirm bullish momentum, a strong 4-hour candle close above the channel is essential.
3. Resistance and Target
A breakout above the channel indicates a bullish continuation, with the immediate target around $6+.
$5.50 might act as minor resistance before the target.
4.Support Levels
If the price fails to break out, the lower channel line (around $5.00) will serve as a critical support zone.
A break below this support could invalidate the bullish scenario.
5. Volume Confirmation
Monitor trading volume for confirmation. A breakout with high volume increases the likelihood of reaching the target.
6. Market Sentiment
Current sentiment aligns with a potential bullish breakout if external factors like Bitcoin movement or news events don’t cause significant volatility.
Strategy
Entry: Wait for a confirmed 4-hour candle close above the upper trendline with support retest.
Target: $6.00+
Stop-Loss : Below the channel’s lower boundary (e.g $4.90)
The setup looks promising, but caution is advised due to market volatility. Always use proper risk management when trading.
CRUDE OIL CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL is about to retest a key structure level of 80.14$
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
EURGBP Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.8399 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 0.8424
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.8350
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the AUDNZD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NQ Technical chartNQ Analysis
Examining the overall 4-hour trend, we observe a pattern in the downward and upward price movements:
Downward Move (AB): From 22,428.75 to 21,016.75.
Retracement (BC): The upward retracement of BC was exactly 78.6% of the total downward move (AB). Price action moved up to this level before rejecting.
Similarly:
After rejecting at 22,118.75, the price dropped to retest at 20,983.75.
This resulted in another upward retracement (DE) to 21,872.75, which again represented 78.6% of the previous downward move (CD).
On Friday, the lowest tick on NQ was recorded at 20,874.75.
If we apply Fibonacci to the most recent downward move:
The 78.6% retracement level is at 21,674.00, marking a potential area of interest above.
Below, the open areas of interest are:
78.6% retracement at 20,803.50
88.6% retracement at 20,605.75
This highlights key zones for potential price action and reaction points moving forward.
Monday NQ Price Action Prediction Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
20,803.50 (78.6% retracement): Critical support zone.
20,605.75 (88.6% retracement): Deeper support if the lower level is breached.
Resistance:
21,674.00 (78.6% upward retracement): Key resistance zone.
21,872.75: Previous swing high and secondary resistance.
Predicted Scenarios:
Bullish:
A bounce from 20,803.50 could lead to a rally toward 21,674.00.
Breaking above 21,674.00 may push prices to 21,872.75.
Bearish:
Breaking below 20,803.50 could trigger a drop to 20,605.75.
Rejection at 21,674.00 may signal continued downside toward support levels.
GBPAUD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPAUD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.0203
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.9886
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADCHF Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADCHF below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.6285
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators : Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.6310
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 2662.9 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2650.4
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURJPY Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 163.75
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 162.82
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFJPY Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
CHFJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 173.20 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 173.50
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 158.40
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 157.58
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK