Gold Buy Setup – Smart Money Flow & Institutional Order PositionGold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish potential, aligning technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors for a high-probability setup. Let’s break down the market structure, trade execution, and institutional flows that support this move.
📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown
🔹 Entry Zone: Price retraced into a key demand zone aligning with the 0.62 Fibonacci level (2902.190).
🔹 Confluences: ✅ Trendline support held, confirming bullish momentum.
✅ Fibonacci retracement (50%-79%) aligned with institutional order blocks.
✅ Liquidity sweeps confirmed smart money accumulation.
🔹 Target Zones:
📈 First target: 2,926.183 (previous high).
📈 Final target: 2,950.176 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension).
📌 Market Structure:
The 1H timeframe suggests a bullish continuation pattern.
Daily EMAs are trending upwards, reinforcing buying pressure.
Supertrend indicator on the 4H supports bullish sentiment.
🎯 Institutional Positioning & Market Depth
📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights:
📈 Institutional traders increasing long positions, signaling confidence in an uptrend.
📉 Retail traders are majority short, fueling a potential short squeeze.
📌 Liquidity Data:
Volume profile shows high demand near 2902, confirming strong buy-side interest.
Market depth data from Prime Market Terminal indicates institutional buy orders stacking in this range.
⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News & Events
📊 Economic data influencing XAU/USD:
📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) vs. forecast (52.8) – Initially strengthened USD.
📈 Durable Goods Orders +3.2% – Positive US data caused a pullback.
📉 Gold supported by weaker USD following liquidity rebalancing.
🛑 Impact on Trade:
✔️ Initial USD strength provided a discounted long entry on Gold.
✔️ Market reacted with bullish momentum as institutional flows aligned with demand zones.
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
📌 Prime Market Terminal Liquidity Analysis:
ATR (Average True Range) increased, signaling upcoming volatility.
High-volume nodes align with the 2902 support area.
Institutional order flow confirms bullish positioning.
🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Long Setup
✅ Smart money accumulation & institutional order flow confirm a bullish bias.
✅ Confluence of technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors supports upside movement.
✅ Potential targets: 2,926 → 2,936 → 2,950.
📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
Techincalanalysis
TON/USDTToncoin (TON) is the native cryptocurrency of The Open Network (TON), a decentralized layer-1 blockchain initially developed by Telegram's team. Designed to support scalable and secure decentralized applications, TON utilizes a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism. Toncoin serves various purposes within the network, including transaction fee payments, network security through staking, and governance participation.
Technical Analysis: Toncoin is exhibiting a bearish trend, with prices moving downward. Currently, the price is consolidating within a small wedge pattern. A breakdown from this wedge could signal further declines. Additionally, there's an untested Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) in the highlighted green area, which may serve as a potential support level.
NATGAS What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NATGAS is below:
The market is trading on 3.819 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 4.073
Recommended Stop Loss - 3.667
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Nifty 50 Long-Term Outlook: Bullish or Bearish ?NIFTY 50 VIEW :
KEY PONITS AND CONFIRMATIONS :
Monthly - Uptrend ( Higher Low )
Weekly - Take Support at 22500 - 22750
Pattern - Falling Wedge Formed
Indicator - RSI - 30 Level Maintain . Chance to buy
SETUP :
Wait for Pattern Breakout and 23800 Resistance Level.
More details and Level noted the chart .
Thank you , Happy Trading ...
OIL UPWARD BEFORE & AFTER READ IN CAPTIONSThis chart shows WTI Crude Oil (CFDs) on a 4-hour timeframe. The price is currently moving within a channel, with key support in the buy zone around 68.59 and resistance at 70.00. After a rise toward the resistance level, the price reached a high of 70.36 before pulling back. Traders may watch for another attempt to reach the target of 70.00 or monitor for a breakout above this resistance.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R ShortEUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R Short Opportunity
Current Market Structure
The EUR/USD is displaying a clear bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with price action showing lower highs and lower lows since late 2024. Analysis of the charts reveals:
Daily timeframe: Sustained downtrend since October 2024, with price currently testing resistance near 1.0380
4-hour timeframe: "Confirmed" bearish alignment with both the 8 EMA and 21 EMA positioned below the 55 EMA
1-hour timeframe: Similar bearish configuration, reinforcing the short bias
EMA System Confirmation
The proprietary EMA System Status indicator demonstrates strong bearish conviction:
240 Signal: Bearish
240 Trend: Bearish
Alignment: Confirmed
This triple confirmation suggests high-probability conditions for short entries.
Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
1.0300: Psychological round number
1.0230: Recent swing low and profit target
1.0200: Major psychological support
Resistance Levels:
1.0400: Key resistance zone with 200 EMA confluence
1.0430: Stop placement zone above recent swing high
1.0500: Major psychological resistance
Correlation Analysis
Supporting the bearish thesis, the DXY (Dollar Index) shows a complementary bullish structure with:
Confirmed bullish alignment on the 4-hour timeframe
Recent break above the 107.00 resistance level
Bullish momentum in MACD
This inverse correlation adds significant weight to the EUR/USD short setup.
Trade Parameters
Entry Strategy:
Short at 1.03632
Stop Loss at 1.04287 (65.5 pips)
Profit Target at 1.02296 (133.6 pips)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.04
Risk Management:
1% account risk allocation
0.5 lot position size
$500 risk per trade (on $50,000 account)
Potential profit: $1,019.85
Technical Confluence Factors
Several factors align to support this trade setup:
Price rejecting at 55 EMA resistance on multiple timeframes
MACD showing bearish momentum and alignment
Weekly and daily session boundaries reinforcing resistance zones
Recent higher timeframe rejection of the 200 EMA
Market Timing Considerations
The European and US economic calendars should be monitored for:
ECB monetary policy statements
Federal Reserve commentary
US dollar-impacting economic data releases
Conclusion
The EUR/USD presents a high-probability short opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.04. All key technical indicators align bearishly across multiple timeframes, with strong correlation confirmation from the DXY. This setup fits the criteria for a "Confirmed" signal within our trading system, meeting our standards for trade execution.
Trade management will follow our established protocol with potential scaling out at interim support levels and trailing stops implemented once price moves beyond the 1:1 risk-reward ratio point.
Breakout in ADT Inc...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
SOL ANALYSIS🚀#SOL Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #SOL that there is a crucial support and resistance zone around $150. The price took supprt from that zone. Now trading at the same zone. We could expect a bullish move from this level
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #SOL price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#SOL #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
How Can You Use a Spinning Top Candlestick Pattern in Trading?How Can You Use a Spinning Top Candlestick Pattern in Trading?
The spinning top candle is a key tool in technical analysis, highlighting moments of market indecision. This article explores what spinning tops represent, how they differ from similar patterns, and how traders can interpret them to refine their strategies across various market conditions.
What Does a Spinning Top Candlestick Mean?
A spinning top is a candlestick pattern frequently used in technical analysis. It consists of one candle with a small body and long upper and lower shadows of approximately equal length. The candle’s body symbolises the discrepancy between the opening and closing prices during a specified time period, while the shadows indicate that volatility was high and neither bulls nor bears could take control of the market.
This pattern signifies market indecision, where neither buyers nor sellers have gained dominance. It suggests a state of equilibrium between supply and demand, with the price oscillating within a narrow range. The spinning top may indicate continued sideways movement, particularly if it appears within an established range. However, if it forms after a bullish or bearish trend, it could signal a potential price reversal. Traders always look for additional signals from confirming patterns or indicators to determine the possible market direction.
It’s important to note that the spinning top candle is neutral and can be either bullish or bearish depending on its context within the price chart. The colour of the candle is not important.
Spinning Top vs Doji
Doji and spinning top candlesticks can be confused as they have similar characteristics. However, the latter has a small body and upper and lower shadows of approximately equal lengths. It indicates market indecision, suggesting a balance between buyers and sellers without a clear dominant force. Traders interpret it as a potential reversal signal, reflecting a possible change in the prevailing trend.
The doji candlestick, on the other hand, has a small body, where the opening and closing prices are very close or equal, resulting in a cross-like shape. If it’s a long-legged doji, it may also have long upper and lower shadows. A doji candle also represents market indecision but with a focus on the relationship between the opening and closing prices. Doji patterns indicate that buyers and sellers are in equilibrium, and a potential trend reversal or continuation may occur.
How Do Traders Use the Spinning Top Pattern?
Traders often incorporate the spinning top candle pattern into their analysis as a way to interpret moments of market indecision. Whether the pattern appears during a trend or at key turning points, its context plays a significant role in shaping trading decisions.
In the Middle of a Trend
When a spinning top forms in the middle of an ongoing trend, traders often view it as a signal of potential market hesitation. This indecision can indicate a pause in momentum, suggesting either a continuation of the trend or the possibility of a reversal.
Entry
In such cases, traders typically wait for confirmation of the next price move. A break above the high of the spinning top may signal the trend will continue upward, while a break below the low could suggest the trend may move down. Observing how subsequent candles interact with the spinning top can help a trader gauge the market’s intentions.
Take Profit
Profit targets might be aligned with key price levels visible on the chart, such as recent highs or lows. For traders expecting trend continuation, these targets might extend further, while those anticipating a reversal might aim for closer levels.
Stop Loss
Stop-loss orders might be set in accordance with the risk-reward ratio. This placement helps account for the pattern's characteristic volatility while potentially protecting against unexpected movements.
At the Top or Bottom of a Trend
When a spinning top forms at a significant peak or trough, it often draws attention as a potential reversal signal. This appearance may reflect market uncertainty after a prolonged uptrend or downtrend.
Entry
Confirmation from subsequent price action is critical. Traders typically observe if the price breaks above the candle (bullish spinning top) or below the candle (bearish spinning top) to determine the likelihood of a reversal.
Take Profit
Targets could be set at major support or resistance zones. A trader expecting a reversal may look for levels reached during the previous trend.
Stop Loss
Stops could be placed in accordance with the risk-reward ratio, allowing for the volatility often present at trend-turning points while potentially mitigating losses.
Remember, trading decisions should not solely rely on this formation. It's crucial to consider additional technical indicators, market trends, and risk management principles when executing trades.
Live Example
In the EURUSD chart above, the red spinning top candle appears at the bottom of a downtrend. A trader went long on the closing of the bullish candle that followed the spinning top. A take-profit target was placed at the closest resistance level, and a stop-loss was placed below the low of the spinning top candlestick.
There is another bearish spinning top candlestick pattern on the right. It formed in a solid downtrend; therefore, a trader could use it as a signal of a trend continuation and open a sell position after the next candle closed below the lower shadow of the spinning top candle.
A Spinning Top Candle: Benefits and Drawbacks
The spinning top candlestick pattern offers valuable insights into market indecision, but like any tool in technical analysis, it has its strengths and limitations. Understanding these might help traders use it more effectively.
Benefits
- Identifies Market Indecision: Highlights moments where neither buyers nor sellers dominate, providing a clue about potential price reversals or continuations.
- Versatile Across Trends and Markets: Can signal price consolidation, continuation, or reversal depending on its context. It’s also possible to use the spinning top across stocks, currencies, and commodities.
- Quick Visual Insight: The distinctive shape makes it easy to spot on charts without extensive analysis.
Drawbacks
- Requires Confirmation: On its own, the pattern lacks particular signals, needing additional indicators or price action for confirmation.
- Context-Dependent: Its reliability depends heavily on where it forms in the trend, making it less useful in isolation.
- Prone to False Signals: Market noise can produce spinning tops that do not lead to meaningful movements, increasing the risk of misinterpretation.
Takeaway
The spinning top candlestick reflects market indecision and suggests a potential reversal or consolidation. Traders use this pattern as a tool to identify areas of uncertainty in the market. Therefore, it's important to consider the spinning top pattern within the broader context and get confirmation from other analysis tools.
If you want to test your spinning top candlestick trading strategy or apply it to a live chart, open an FXOpen account and start trading with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50. Good luck!
FAQ
What Is a Black Spinning Top?
A black (red) spinning top is a variation of the spinning top candlestick pattern with a small body and equal-length shadows. This is different from the white (green) spinning top, as its body indicates a lower closing price. Traders analyse its context, technical factors, and confirmation from other indicators to interpret its significance.
What Is a Spinning Top Candlestick?
A spinning top candle meaning refers to a pattern characterised by a small body and long upper and lower shadows of roughly equal length. It reflects market indecision, where neither buyers nor sellers hold a clear advantage, and is often used in technical analysis to assess potential trend reversals or consolidations.
Is the Spinning Top Bullish or Bearish?
The spinning top candlestick pattern is neutral by nature. Its significance depends on the context within the price chart. When it appears at the end of an uptrend, it may signal a bearish sentiment, while at the end of a downtrend, it can indicate a potential bullish reversal.
What Does a Spinning Top Candle Indicate?
This pattern indicates a period of indecision and balance between buying and selling pressure. Depending on its position within a trend, it can signal consolidation, continuation, or a reversal in price direction.
What Is the Spinning Top Rule?
There is no fixed "rule" for spinning top trading. Traders typically look for confirmation from subsequent price movements or other technical indicators to decide on a course of action.
Is Spinning Top a Doji?
Although similar, spinning tops and doji candles differ. A spinning top has a small body with visible discrepancies between opening and closing prices, whereas a doji’s body is almost non-existent.
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EURUSD -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 Daily Timeframe:
EURUSD has been in a Range Bound recently. It touched and reject from 1.0528 major resistance today.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.05285 on 02/26/2025, so more losses to support(s) 1.03570, 1.02920 and minimum to Major Support (1.01779) is expected.
💡 Four-hour Timeframe:
The uptrend is broken, and price is in an impulse wave.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.0528
A strong bearish divergence has also formed in the RSI.
💡 One-hour Timeframe:
1.0457 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
Forecast:
1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
SL: Above 1.0528
__________________________________________________________________
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🙏 Your support is appreciated!
Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
GBPNZDRemember, when I was doing this analysis and setting the high target, the environment I was working in did not allow for such an ambitious idea that the parity rate in the GBPNZD symbol would even come close to my desired price range!!
I must say that since the date of the analysis, this symbol has grown by 800 pips and the final target shows a range of 1600 pips!
Finally, I must say that in my opinion, the current downward fluctuations are a good situation for a BUY position for the desired goals.
BAT ANALYSIS🔮#BAT Analysis :
📈📈 #BAT is making perfect Double Bottom Pattern. We can see a good pump if #BAT breakout the major resistance zone with good volume and sustains the higher price after breakout 🚀🚀
📊 Current Price: $0.1675
⏳ Target Price: $0.1800
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #BAT. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
#BAT #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR #Breakout
Thu 27th Feb 2025 NZD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
#FOXYUSDT – Bearish Scenario, Downtrend Confirmation📉 SHORT BYBIT:FOXYUSDT.P from $0.002765
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.002928
⏱ 1H Timeframe
⚡ Trade Plan:
✅ The BYBIT:FOXYUSDT.P chart shows a confirmed breakdown of a Bearish Pennant, signaling a continuation of the downward trend.
✅ The asset is trading below POC (Point of Control) at $0.003052, confirming seller dominance.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.002692
🔥 TP 2: $0.002618
⚡ TP 3: $0.002545
📢 Holding below $0.002765 would confirm the downtrend.
📢 POC at $0.003052 is a key selling area where major volume was previously accumulated.
📢 High volume on the breakout confirms bearish momentum.
📢 The first TP at $0.002692 is a level where partial profit-taking is recommended.
🚨 BYBIT:FOXYUSDT.P remains in a bearish trend – monitoring for further confirmation and securing profits at TP levels!
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the SILVER pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 29.766 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
TradeCityPro | ENSUSDT Better Status Than Altcoins👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together with one of the popular layer two coins that works in domain and address naming services for wallets and recently announced that it will launch layer two soon
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly time frame, ENS is one of the bullish coins in the market that has a good situation ahead and has started its main upward movement before the start of 2025 and in late 2023
After the start of the main movement after the 9.99 break, we started our main upward trend and we can say that we broke our ceiling in terms of market cap and made a new ATH market cap
We are also on a curve line that is bullish and supportive in nature and if this line is broken, it shows us that the main upward trend has weakened and if we go below 15.90, we will see a trend change in MWC
For re-entry, the 47.68 break is an interesting trigger and you can buy again and if the exit trigger is below 15.90, you can exit and for now, I recommend You can't buy in this time frame
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily time frame, however, it has held its own more than the rest of the altcoins and is suffering in its daily box between 24.78 and 27.55, which happened after the rejection at 47.68.
Also, in this time frame, we have a trend line that if the price reaches it, we will have the possibility of reacting and we will use it as a tool to save profit in the lower time frame if we react to it.
Also, the rejection candle that closes from this resistance at 27.55 in the same way, we will have the possibility of continuing the downtrend, and if 24.78 is broken, we can move towards 20.81 and 15.90. And for buying, if this support is faked or the 35.98 trigger is activated, I will buy, and in this box, I will only I trade in futures
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the four-hour time frame, what happened is that we faked the resistance above the box, which increases the probability of breaking the support floor
📉 Short Position Trigger
you can open a position with this four-hour candle as a guide, but on the other hand, it is better to wait for the support to reach 24.79 and the reaction from it and then follow its breakdown
📈 Long Position Trigger
we need to return to the ceiling again for now, and if we return above the support level sooner, we can think more about breaking 27.91 and open a more confident long position
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
CAD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so CAD-CHF is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 0.621.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Crypto Market Is Trying To Resume Its Bullish TrendBitcoin remains under intraday bullish pressure with room for more gains, especially if we consider that NASDAQ100 is still pointing higher. So, seems like risk-on sentiment is still here and we should be aware of a bigger recovery in the Crypto market, even because of the USdollar that shows strong bearish momentum. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart looks to have a completed wave (2) correction and it's actually just about to break channel resistance line which confirms that wave (3) is in progress. Can ALTcoins follow Bitcoin soon?
#ARCUSDT - Monitor this asset closely📈 LONG BYBIT:ARCUSDT.P from $0.25588
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.24176
⏱️ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:ARCUSDT.P has broken out of a Falling Wedge pattern and is following an upward trend.
➡️ The POC (Point of Control) at $0.24041 confirms liquidity in this zone, potentially acting as strong support.
➡️ The key resistance is at $0.25588; if the price holds above this level, it may lead to further gains.
➡️ Increased volume signals strong buyer activity and a high probability of continuation.
⚡️ Plan:
➡️ Important: Set an order in advance to ensure execution when the price reaches the entry level!
➡️ Enter long above $0.25588.
➡️ Stop-Loss placed at $0.24176 for risk management.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.26618
🔥 TP2: $0.27640
⚡️ TP3: $0.28670
🚀 BYBIT:ARCUSDT.P - Monitor this asset closely!
🚀 Place your order in the listing so that it executes automatically when the breakout occurs.