Litecoin Technical Analysis. Medium-term prognose.today we would like to provide long-term analytics of the ltc/usd pair. At the moment, trendline and momentum strategies show a downtrend and short sales. In the current situation, we consider 3 price levels that will potentially become a support level for future accumulation. For each of the levels, the extreme dates of the crossing of the trend line up are indicated.
The proposed levels are in the price range of 22-30-40 dollars.
Based on the above prices, we can suppose the end of a downtrend that began in the second half of July 2019:
1) 40 usd/ltc - Februar 5, 2020
2) 30 usd/ltc - March 27, 2020
3) 22 usd/ltc - May 22, 2020
However, earlier purchases are also possible, which will cause a break through the trendline .
At the moment, the overbought stochastic during the current downtrend shows a high probability of continued downward movement below 40 usd / ltc.
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Technical-analysis
Ethereum Technical Analysis. When ETH will go up?Dear ladies and gentlemen,
today wewouldliket provide long-term analytics of the eth/usd pair. At the moment, trendline and momentum strategies show a downtrend and short sales. In the current situation, we consider 3 price levels that will potentially become a support level for future accumulation. For each of the levels, the extreme dates of the crossing of the trend line up are indicated.
The proposed levels are in the price range of 80-100-120 dollars.
Based on the above prices, we can suppose the end of a downtrend that began in the second half of September 2019:
1) 120 usd/eth - March 1, 2020
2) 100 usd/eth - April 20, 2020
3) 80 usd/eth - June 10, 2020
However, earlier purchases are also possible, which will cause a break through the trendline.
At the moment, the overbought stochastic during the current downtrend shows a high probability of continued downward movement below 120 usd / eth.
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BTCUSD Inception Day 7-1-2020, Special UpdateGreetings fellow traders,
As time goes by, the markets evolve...
If your way of TA is strong, then the path will lead its way...
More visible, more probable:
Dashed lines; Possible forming patterns
Solid lines; Confirmed patterns / Support or Resistance
Dotted lines; Possible price-action trajectories / wave trend
Lighten colors = Support | Darken colors = Resistance
' I’m trying to free your mind, Neo. But I can only show you the door. You’re the one that has to walk through it. '
~ Morpheus, The Matrix ~
With that having quoted, this is my way of keeping order in the chaos. I call it, "Pattern Formation Level( PFL )":
Alpha > Beta > Delta > Echo > Gamma > Theta
Explanation PFL:
This is an additional stage of usage of the pattern formations. Some level of experience in pattern formations is required. You can also ignore this part and head straight to 'Today's Note', just read the patterns between the brackets.
Alpha; ST / Bullish Pennant pattern formation, a.k.a. "The End Game", a.k.a. "The Big Long". (Daily and higher time-frames)
Beta; Most recent relevant and biggest forming pattern within The Alpha forming pattern. FW / DC. (4-24 hour time-frames)
Delta; Most recent relevant forming patterns within The Beta pattern. (4-8 hour time-frames)
Echo; Most recent relevant forming patterns within The Delta pattern. (1-4 hour time-frames)
Gamma; You get the picture... (10-60 min. time-frames)
Secret Level; Do not thread these treacherous waters. At least for master level TA skills or higher. (10 min. and lower time-frames)
Eventually the PFL's are all connected. Gamma patterns combines into Echo pattern and Echo patterns combines into Delta patterns etc. Until the Alpha patterns has been formed. I'm not calling it just the Alpha for dominance in size. For as this pattern, is, the Alpha and Omega. Which will end current market cycles and start anew. From time to time, I might thread the secret level when I'm feeling gutsy.
Additional advantage of the PFL system is, when you have to determine whether a certain pattern will have its usual breakout direction.
By inserting pattern formations in the PFL as parameter. This makes it easier keeping track of which pattern formations are relevant to the current TA and entry or exit strategies.
It might be hard to learn, but it is certainly easy to master.
As a programmer and I like playing chess, as result to my TA. I like to look ahead as far as possible. This is only doable if you have reasonable reliable trends to follow. In time, as I gain experience in the markets. My TA skills evolves and in parallel my systems and indicators.
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Current Beta patterns:
FW/DC is about to break out. It already broke through resistance. But daily needs to close above, before we might see more rising movements.
Current Delta patterns:
DT Unusual break out to the upside or followed the Beta patterns trend trajectory overriding every usual expected breakout direction.
Beta pattern breaking through resistance, this level is currently obsolete.
Current Echo patterns:
Beta pattern breaking through resistance, this level is currently obsolete.
Current Gamma patterns:
Beta pattern breaking through resistance, this level is currently obsolete.
Current Theta patterns:
Beta pattern breaking through resistance, this level is currently obsolete.
Today's Note:
This is a moment I've been waiting for since 14th of oktober, see related idea below. Honestly didn't expected it to happen, but it is definitely possible. If bitcoin closes its daily candle above the resistance of the Beta(FW/DC) pattern. We might see the current one evolve into a DBW. Thus, we might get a short-term bull run. I'm waiting for EMI for bullish reversal signals. Then I'll enter a long position. Otherwise make strategies for short position.
To be concluded...
Current Targets:
Exit long position / Entry short position target: $8.5K - $9.5K region.
Tip's/FYI:
People = Psychology > Patterns > Indicators > Fundamentals. Nonetheless, all is crucial.
Watch & learn from experienced traders and Discover your style of TA, hence develop this. Imitating will only get you as far.
The most accurate trend indicator when using logarithmic, are the; Relative-, Exponential-, Weighted-, Simple- and regular Moving Averages. At least use Heikin Ashi candles if you don't like MA's and vice versa or using both might be even better. The algorithms of these indicators adepts to logarithmic variables visually. Linear tools and pattern formations obviously do not for that matter. Since it doesn't concern logarithmic variables.
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Epilogue:
As you may I have noticed, I trade a lot of times. This is only possible when you have honed your TA skills.
Hopefully in time and it would be my honor, when other analyst implement my systems and techniques into their TA. Henceforth bringing their TA skills & abilities to the next level. I have taken a lot of information from this community. However I believe. When you take, you should also share. After all, knowledge and experience are the most valuable things in life.
If you don't want to miss out on any of my daily technical analysis. Then click or tap on follow and don't forget to smash on that like button ^^, thanks in advance. In case you're wondering which indicator I'm using. She's called EMI , short for 'Epic Market Indicator' and she's a collection of diverse indicators. How to use, is in the description. You can use them like any other indicators. Search for 'epic market indicator' then add. I have recently published the latest versions. EMI 1 v3.0 & EMI 2 v2.0. Like any other instrument, practice makes perfect. If you have any input for EMI or questions about my way of TA(*Asian sound-effects*). Please leave a comment or DM me and I'll try to respond a.s.a.p. Be careful and good luck fellow traders, may the trend gods be with you!
EURNZD LONG IDEAHello traders!
Welcome to the new trading season of 2020!! I wish you a happy new year and a lot of success on your trading journey. The focused trading opportunity of the new week is EURNZD LONG TRADE.
EURNZD Daily:
On the daily, you can perfectly see how price found a supportive region (demand zone) after a meltdown of 1000pips!!!. I believe it is time for a retracement to the upside. Scaling down to the lower time frames such as 1hour, we have several LH's and HH's. I do want to see the push down to the hourly trend line confluences with the Fibonacci retracement 0.705%. If we can get a nice rejection of the market region, we can take a long trade to the marked TP levels.
Have a good one!
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DISCLAIMER:
Technical analysis is for the educational porpuses if you will take the trade, take within your own analysis and your own opinion.
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Silver Long After breaking out from the descending wedge we got stopped at the 0.5 Fib level- 1st yellow arrow -
Some profits taken there , I was hopping we will retest back on the top of the wedge , but it seems that we are forming a bull flag,
Measure move up will be the length of the pole and that will send us straight to the 0.786 Fib level- third yellow arrow -
There is though some significant volume exchanged on levels before that in the past and around the 0.618 - second yellow arrow - Generally I am bullish on this .
After exiting on the 0.5 Fib level , I got back on the trend while in the flag but will exit my position if I see we hang around current levels longer, since that will cancel the flag and probably send us back on the top of the wedge that price broke out from. That point will be where my entry in a pull back scenario will be.
BTCUSD Inception day 29-12-2019, Sunday forecast.Greetings fellow traders,
As time goes by, the markets evolve...
If your way of TA is strong, then the path will lead its way...
More visible, more probable:
Dashed lines; Possible forming patterns
Solid lines; Confirmed patterns / Support or Resistance
Dotted lines; Possible price-action trajectories / wave trend
Light colors = Support / Dark colors = Resistance
' I’m trying to free your mind, Neo. But I can only show you the door. You’re the one that has to walk through it. '
~ Morpheus, The Matrix ~
With that having quoted, this is my way of keeping order in the chaos. I call it, "Pattern Formation Level( PFL )":
Alpha > Beta > Delta > Echo > Gamma > ( Secret???? )
Explanation PFL:
Alpha; ST / Bullish Pennant pattern formation, a.k.a. "The End Game", a.k.a. "The Big Long". (Daily and higher time-frames)
Beta; Most recent relevant and biggest forming pattern within The Alpha forming pattern. FW / DC. (4-24 hour time-frames)
Delta; Most recent relevant forming patterns within The Beta pattern. (4-8 hour time-frames)
Echo; Most recent relevant forming patterns within The Delta pattern. (1-4 hour time-frames)
Gamma; You get the picture... (10-60 min. time-frames)
Secret Level; Do not thread these treacherous waters. Only for master level TA skills. (10 min. and lower time-frames)
Eventually the PFL's are all connected. Gamma patterns combines into Echo pattern and Echo patterns combines into Delta patterns etc. Until the Alpha patterns has been formed. I'm not calling it just the Alpha for dominance in size. For as this pattern, is, the Alpha and Omega. Which will start a new market cycle and end the current one. By inserting pattern formations in the PFL as parameter. This makes it easier keeping track of which pattern formations are relevant to the current TA and entry or exit strategies. It might be hard to learn, but it is certainly easy to master.
As a programmer and I like playing chess. As result to my TA, I like to look ahead as far as possible. This is only doable if you have reasonable reliable trends to follow. That's why I came up with this system. In time, as I gain experience in the markets. My TA skills evolves and in parallel my systems and indicators.
-------------------------------------
Current Delta patterns:
Possible forming pattern: DT has 1st confirmations on resistance and support levels.
Current Echo patterns:
DT, Confirmed so far; RW, FBW
Current Gamma patterns:
Most recent possible forming pattern: DT
Today's Note:
After all this time of analyzing and trading, waking up in red or loss. Still has a stronger impact than gains. Yesterday, I was lucky and I must add. Although I have woken up more often in green than in red. Aside from that, somehow the impact is still effects me more. Concerning my judgment for the day, making it tougher to stay rational. Hence the reason considering to stop overnight positions or at least when I'm asleep.
Anyhow, while looking at the charts. I can see the Delta pattern becoming more clear. The current Echo(DT) pattern is looking bearish, but the Gamma(DC) pattern might be a game changer. If the Echo pattern(DT) support fails. Henceforth it wil most likely will retest the support of the Delta pattern, confirming the support of the Delta(DT) pattern for the 2nd time. When this happens. There is a slight chance. That it will wick further down to the retest the support of the, dum dum duuuum... The Beta(FW/DC) pattern... However, it's more likely that BTC is going to bounce back , retesting and giving us the 2nd confirmation of the resistance. Most recent similar with a magnitude of an event was with the Bakkt introduction, it triggered the breakout dump. Obviously I'm biased on bearish short-term. Once I notice significant bullish reversal possibilities. I will update the thread.
To be concluded...
Current Targets:
If Echo(DT) support holds; Exit short position.
If Echo(DT) support fails & Echo(DC) resistance holds; Exit short position.
If Delta(DT) support holds and Exit short position / Entry long position target: $6.6K region.
If Delta(DT) support fails; Exit short position / Entry long position target: $6.2K region.
-------------------------------------
Epilogue:
If you don't want to miss out on any of my daily technical analysis. Then click or tap on follow and don't forget to smash on that like button ^^, thanks in advance.
In case you're wondering which indicator I'm using. She's called EMI , short for 'Epic Market Indicator' and she's a collection of diverse indicators. How to use, is in the description. You can use them like any other indicators. Search for 'epic market indicator' then add. I have recently published the latest versions. EMI 1 v3.0 & EMI 2 v2.0. Like any other instrument, practice makes perfect. If you have any input for EMI or questions about my way of TA(*Asian sound-effects*). Please leave a comment or DM me and I'll try to respond a.s.a.p. Be careful and good luck fellow traders, may the trend gods be with you!
NZDJPY SHORTHello traders!
As we are approaching to the end of the year and as well Christmas spirit, the market is going to become very slow and choppy. Now we have to be very patient and use strict risk management, as well as turn to the day trades only.
NZDJPY SHORT OPPORTUNITY:
Price is slowing down on the Daily TF and creating a various reversal patterns on the lower time frames such as 4-hour and 1-hour. Now looking at 1-Hour TF here, we are having a head and shoulder reversal structure but the price is currently struggling to break bellow the supportive region. I'm expecting a little push up to re-test the M formation neckline on the lower TF and then a selloff for kinda 80pips tops to cover the price gap at the bottom.
Disclaimer:
This is not a signal, it is just a trading suggestion. Use it according to your own research and technical analysis.
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EURJPY 4hour 12/18/19EJ Short Idea
Higher timeframe analysis has been bearish up until recent price action where we can see a daily retracement of the 88.6% fib level
Since price action reached the 88.6% level we have noticed a daily Lower high form which suggests potential bearish volume coming
Ideally a test of broken structure followed by break and retest of major support around 119.800 would give us confirmation to enter short
Upon confirmation we will target higher timeframe support levels as this will be a very large move to the downside
XAUUSD (Gold) Daily 12/8/19GOLD Long
Higher time frames show that gold has been quite bullish but has been retracing to the daily 38.2% fib level
Gold, like dxy, has been ranging between the 38.2% and 1477.50 and has not established a bullish or bearish move yet
If we are to trade a bullish continuation we want to see a break and retest of the 1477.50 area but if we are to target lower we will look for the 38.2% zone to be broken
Where is 10Year Going? Supply and Demand ZonesWe have couple of supply zones above current price but also big strong Daily Demand zone below so...
after drop to demand there is a big chance to rally up to supply zone and even further
keep these number is your mind ;))
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Treat Trading Like a Business
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if you like the idea, please give it a like for support, thanks
Have a profitable day
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AUDUSD LONG IDEAHello traders!
Very slow movement past week on the Aussie Dollar! this week we are having a lot of fundamental support for the AUD staring today in the Asian session. I do believe that we can push down before going up because the price is currently looking very much bearish but out of power. When you see slowing down in the price that means that bears are losing their control at the moment, but we can have a stop hunt move down before going up.
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Disclaimer
the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
EURUSD LONG IDEAHello traders!
EURUSD very similar to the DXY as it's cross-referenced, now as I want to see the DXY push up first before going down, here on the EURUSD I want to see another move to the downside into the supportive regions before taking a long trade here, it can be a nice swing movement up on the hill. From last week's conditions, you can clearly see how one day engulfed the whole week of the choppy movement, this is giving us a sign for the long trades if we will see another rejection of the bottom region.
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Disclaimer
the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
U.S DOLLAR ( DXY ) OVERVIEWHello traders!
A very slow week is behind us and we are stepping into the last month in the year December. As normally we are going to start with the DXY which is the catalyst for the market movements across the board.
Technical: As seen the last week was choppy with few pips up and few pips down until the Friday which one candle engulfed the whole week and gave us a sign for the bearish market condition, but first as seen on the chart I'm expecting a push up into the region before going down to the 98.00 mark.
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FREE TELEGRAM CHANNEL: t.me
MIRROR TRADING SYSTEM: elitetradingfx.com
OFFICIAL INSTAGRAM PAGE: www.instagram.com
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Disclaimer
the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
DOW JONES / +20% potential move if this year ends ATH greenThis is a 6 month chart of the US30 (DOW JONES). We are in an uptrend for the last decades and if this year closes at an all time high or really close to the all time high, we are really likely to see bullish continuation. At the end of last year we saw global stock markets go down resulting in an retracement. This year has had it's ups and downs but the last months we are going up again and breaking the highs of the last quarter of 2018, which brings the market in another potential bullish move.
In the first 6 months of the year price closed really bullish which was a great first sign of a new move up. Then, price started to get down to the 25000 area and test it there, reject and move all the way up again. This means we have first a decent breakout candle of the first half of the year, then a rejection currently breaking all time highs which means it makes the 25000 area even stronger as a support.
With some political events such as the trade deal between the US and China december wont' be a really silent month so let's see what happens with the last month of this year.
I will keep this scenario updated.
Happy trading everyone!
Weight Watchers about to gain some weight :DAlright, now that I got the corny title out of the way we can talk about why this stock will do well. This recent drop was huge and the trend is getting close to the 30 week moving average at around $27, it's been trading above the 30 week MA so at this point buying the pullbacks to the 30 week makes sense. The S&P 500 is trending up from the recent break out and that will be the main reason why this would go up. Today volume came in on that big drop and you can see it if you zoom into the 1hr chart, trade this on the weekly just look at the volume for reference on the 1hr. Could it drop a little further? Possibly, but i'd trade this by buying it here and buying more on the way to $27 if it were to continue dropping. The RSI is centered out and the MACD seems to have a way to go so the stock has momentum for what I believe might be 2 big moves to $45 and $65. Let me know what you guys think and feel free to post your ideas!