Technical-analysis
EURUSD - Decisions, decisions...On EURUSD, we now have a solid bearish channel forming, which points to confirming my long-term outlook on the pair. (With the Weekly Bearish H&S.) However, I can not take a trade on this pair right now because of what I'm showing you on the 4H chart. With the very negative jobs report coming out of the US today, the pair has found enough energy to push off of support and continue its flow through the channel. How far up it will go, I can not say.
On the chart, I've drawn the lines that show the paths I can see the pair taking. If the bad US data wears off soon enough and the focus moves back to the EUR, or the USD gets some reassurance, we could see this pair back at resistance by early next week. If not, I imagine we will hit resistance again, at which point I will determine whether or not this is a good sell.
My analysis is only an educated guess and is never intended to be an expert's guidance or investment advice. Absolutely anything can happen, I am only offering perspective for other traders to imagine every possibility and make their own decisions. Happy hunting.
--HSC
BCH Triangle Pattern New FormationWe had an old triangle formation (4hr/1d chart) forming but was broken about a week ago. The last rally we have seen to the upside has given us a hint of the real triangle pattern that in my opinion will end with a push to the downside. This is only an idea, not investment or trading advice.
What do you guys think?
*The purple line is the absolute best case scenario if shorting, it is probably going to look much different from that.
Lots of money to be made right now if this is a big ABC correctiIf we are doing a big ABC correction, this analysis shows how it can go down. Gant fans used to help time with major events coming up that can shift sentiment.
2 Gant fans - 1 off ATH's to Dec pivot. another from Dec pivot to 2700 target. Fib targets shown to the left from the 2 big pulls and Fib level (50/100) shown to show our recent reaction off these levels. There is so much confluence to justify a pullback at 2700 which is the 618 from ATHs.
If we were to continue thru straight to 2800 without a B wave, we would have to stay in a very tight channel, leaving no room for an impulse. I don't see this as likely. Lots of people calling for a drop. Lots of people thinking we keep on rolling. I think this analysis is a happy medium, and can surprise a lot of people... which is what we're used to. Lots of money to be made here if we do get a sharp reaction off the 50/100 fib levels.