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Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 24–28, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 Anticipated U.S. Inflation Data 📈: The Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for February on Friday, March 28. This index, closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, is expected to show a 0.3% month-over-month increase, maintaining a 2.5% year-over-year growth. These figures will provide insights into inflation trends and potential monetary policy adjustments. 🇬🇧💼 UK's Spring Statement and Economic Outlook 💼: Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to deliver the UK's Spring Statement to Parliament this week, addressing revised growth forecasts and fiscal policies. The Office for Budget Responsibility is expected to lower growth estimates, potentially impacting global markets, including the U.S., due to economic interlinkages. 🇨🇳📊 China's Manufacturing and Services PMIs 📊: China will release its official Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) for March on March 28. These indicators will provide insights into the health of China's economy, with potential implications for global trade and U.S. markets. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Monday, March 24: 🏭 S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET) 🏭: Forecast: 51.5 Previous: 52.7 This index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. 📅 Tuesday, March 25: 🛒 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 🛒: Forecast: 95.0 Previous: 98.3 This index measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions, with higher readings indicating greater confidence. 🏘️ New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏘️: Forecast: 679,000 annualized units Previous: 657,000 This report indicates the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month, reflecting the health of the housing market. 📅 Wednesday, March 26: 🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET) 🛠️: Forecast: -1.0% Previous: 3.2% This data reflects new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting goods, indicating manufacturing activity. 📅 Thursday, March 27: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉: Forecast: 226,000 Previous: 223,000 This report provides the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, offering insight into the labor market. 📈 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – Second Estimate (8:30 AM ET) 📈: Forecast: 2.3% annualized growth Previous: 2.3% This release provides a second estimate of the nation's economic growth for the fourth quarter of 2024. 🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Forecast: 1.0% Previous: -4.6% This index measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes, offering insights into future home sales. 📅 Friday, March 28: 💵 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💵: Forecast for Personal Income: 0.4% Previous: 0.9% Forecast for Personal Spending: 0.6% Previous: -0.2% This report indicates changes in personal income and spending, providing insights into consumer behavior. 💹 PCE Price Index (8:30 AM ET) 💹: Forecast: 0.3% month-over-month; 2.5% year-over-year Previous: 0.3% month-over-month; 2.5% year-over-year This index measures changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, serving as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. 🛢️ Baker Hughes Rig Count (1:00 PM ET) 🛢️: Previous: 592 rigs This report provides the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S., offering insights into the oil and gas industry's activity. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
1
BTC/USD – Bearish Rejection, Targeting SupportChart Analysis: BTC/USD is trading within a descending channel, showing a bearish trend. Price recently tested the resistance zone but faced rejection. A strong sell signal is indicated, suggesting a move towards the support level around $79,877. If price breaks below support, further downside is possible. Trading Plan: Sell below resistance with a target at support. Watch for confirmation signals before entering a position. If price breaks above resistance, a trend reversal could be possible.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
1
(XAU/USD) Bearish Reversal After Head & Shoulders Formation." Overview: The price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe indicates a potential bearish move. A Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a possible trend reversal. The market recently tested a resistance level and is now showing signs of weakness. Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance: $3,044 - $3,055 (Rejection Zone) 🔹 Sell Entry: Below $3,028 (Break of Support) 🔹 Support Level: Around $2,980 (First Key Level) 🔹 Target: $2,940 - $2,931 (Final Bearish Target) Analysis: ✅ Price has broken below the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming a potential sell-off. ✅ A retest of the broken support as resistance could offer a better entry for shorts. ✅ If the price holds below $3,028, further downside toward $2,940 is expected. ✅ Bullish invalidation if price breaks back above $3,044. Trade Idea: 📉 Sell below: $3,028 🎯 Target: $2,940 🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3,044 This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, with risk-to-reward favoring sellers. Monitor price action for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚀 What’s your view on Gold? Comment below!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
SILVER PROJECTION Here's my projection for Xag this week. PS: price would do what it wants to do regardless We cleared the high of the second week of the Month 34.067 and close bearish last week. Hence my anticipation that price is going to clear the los of the second week as well which is 31.789 taking that as my draw of Liquidity 🧲. Shuffling down to H4, everything now depends on confirmation. Price may react from 33.302 and continue to the downside or price may decide to go and test that 33.597 zon before the sell continuation. Watch out for these zone for trade opportunity. Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
FX:XAGUSD
by HallowAdept
EURUSD: Selling strategy continues to be the priority!In recent trading sessions, EURUSD has faced continuous downward pressure from multiple directions - both fundamental news and technical signals indicate a rather negative outlook for the Euro. Fundamentally, Eurozone's manufacturing and services PMI data continue to disappoint, remaining below the 50 mark, signaling signs of economic recession. Additionally, recovery expectations remain weak, while the US continues to report more robust economic indicators. This has put EURUSD in a "tight squeeze": Euro weakens due to internal data, while the USD receives support, creating a clear downward pressure dynamic. On the H4 chart, EURUSD is not just falling, but also following a very “textbook” logic: Price breaks support → returns to the resistance zone (Fibo 0.5–0.618) → creates a bearish divergence pattern → continues to break the bottom → extends the trend.
Short
by Brian-TradingFX
GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Potential Bearish MoveThis 4-hour GBP/USD chart indicates a potential bearish setup. Price has been trading within a range, with resistance around 1.30366 and support near 1.29467. The price recently retested the support zone, showing signs of weakness. If the support level fails to hold, a breakdown could push the price towards the 1.27035 target. A stronger support level is observed further below, around 1.2600, which could act as a key demand zone. Traders should monitor the price action near the support zone. A clear rejection could signal a potential buy opportunity, while a confirmed breakdown could validate a short trade targeting lower levels. Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance: 1.30366 🔹 Support: 1.29467 🔹 Target: 1.27035 Would you like any modifications to the analysis? 🚀
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
BTC/USD Trading Analysis – Double Bottom & Rising Wedge BreakoutThis BTC/USD 4-hour chart showcases a potential bullish breakout setup based on technical patterns, key support and resistance levels, and price action analysis. The chart suggests a trend reversal following a downtrend, with signs of bullish momentum building up. Let's break down the full technical analysis, covering the chart structure, key levels, price patterns, and trading strategy. 1. Market Structure & Identified Patterns A. Double Bottom Reversal – Strong Bullish Signal A double bottom pattern has formed, which is a bullish reversal signal that indicates the end of a downtrend. This pattern consists of two significant low points (Bottom 1 and Bottom 2) near the $80,000 - $81,000 support zone. The pattern confirms strong buying interest at this level, preventing further price drops. A breakout above the resistance level would confirm the pattern’s validity, signaling a move toward higher targets. B. Rising Wedge Formation – Potential Bullish Breakout The price action is consolidating in a rising wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing range. A rising wedge often suggests a potential breakout. Since this wedge forms after a double bottom, the breakout is expected to be bullish, rather than a bearish breakdown. If the price breaks above the wedge’s upper trendline, it will confirm a strong upward momentum. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels Support Levels: Major Support Zone (80,000 – 81,000): This level has been tested twice, confirming buyer strength. It serves as the foundation for the double bottom pattern. Stop Loss Level (72,921): If the price drops below this level, it would invalidate the bullish setup. This level is strategically placed to manage risk and protect against potential downturns. Resistance Levels: First Resistance Zone (95,000 – 100,000): This is a critical level, as the price has faced multiple rejections here. A breakout above this zone would confirm a strong bullish trend continuation. Take Profit Targets: TP1 (108,481): The first take-profit target aligns with previous highs and is a logical point for partial profit booking. TP2 (114,372): This is the second profit target, calculated based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price movements. 3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan A. Entry Strategy To execute a successful trade, we need to wait for confirmation of the breakout. Ideal Entry: After a strong breakout above 95,000 – 100,000, indicating bullish momentum. Confirmation Factors: Increased trading volume → Signals strong buying interest. Candle close above resistance → Confirms breakout. Retest of broken resistance as support → Strengthens bullish continuation. B. Risk Management Stop Loss Placement: Below 72,921, ensuring limited downside risk. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup aims for a 1:3 or better risk-to-reward ratio. C. Potential Scenarios ✅ Bullish Breakout: If BTC breaks and holds above 95,000 – 100,000, we can expect a rally toward 108,481 (TP1) and 114,372 (TP2). ❌ Bearish Rejection: If BTC fails to break resistance, it could retest 80,000 or drop lower, invalidating the bullish setup. 4. Final Thoughts – What to Expect? This BTC/USD 4-hour chart analysis provides a high-probability bullish trade setup, supported by: ✅ Double Bottom Formation → Strong Reversal Signal ✅ Rising Wedge Breakout Potential → Momentum Building ✅ Key Resistance Breakout Levels Identified 📌 Conclusion: If Bitcoin breaks above 95,000 – 100,000, expect a major bullish move toward 108,481 and beyond. However, if resistance holds, we might see a retest of lower support levels. Risk management is essential for a successful trade execution. 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
USDJPY – Major Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown | Retest PlayUSDJPY has recently broken down from a large symmetrical triangle pattern visible on the 4H timeframe. After a prolonged uptrend that formed the triangle structure, price decisively broke below the lower support line, indicating a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown Price formed a classic symmetrical triangle pattern over several months. A strong bearish breakout occurred from the lower trendline, signaling a potential reversal. The projected measured move target from this breakdown points toward 141.526, representing a 6.5% decline. 2. Retest Zone Price has pulled back to retest the broken triangle trendline from below. This bearish retest setup is a textbook confirmation of resistance turning from previous support. The current consolidation suggests the market is gathering liquidity before a potential next leg down. 3. Market Structure & Momentum Lower highs and lower lows are now forming post-breakdown, confirming a bearish structure. A clear rejection from the retest zone around the 151.500–152.000 level would further validate the short thesis. 🧠 Trade Idea Entry Zone: On confirmation of rejection near the retest (~151.5 area) Target : 141.526 (Measured move from triangle breakdown) Stop Loss : Above the triangle high or above the recent swing (~153.00+) Risk-Reward : High probability play based on pattern + structure shift ⚠️ Key Watch Levels Resistance: 151.5–152.0 (triangle retest) Support/Target: 141.5 (measured move) Break above 153.0 will invalidate this bearish bias.
Short
by ForexOptimizer
Latest gold update today: Price continues to increase sharplyHello to all dear traders! Gold declined yesterday after establishing a short-term peak at $3058 - close to the 1.786 Fibonacci extension level, supported by the dollar's correction. The main reason for this corrective move stems from the price rising too quickly and too far from the equilibrium zone, particularly the OB ZONE. Theoretically, this is an area that previously accumulated strong buying pressure - where institutions and whales may have placed large buy orders. Now the price has returned to retest that exact zone, demonstrating healthy and necessary corrective behavior before continuing the upward trend. Additionally, this correction serves as a market cleansing mechanism that helps shake out late buy orders or FOMO trades, helping to create a more solid foundation for the next upward move. The Fibonacci 1.236 level at $3002 is currently playing a crucial technical support role - an area where buying pressure is expected to return. Would you like me to continue writing about entry strategies from this correction zone? Or would you prefer adding economic news comparisons to strengthen the argument?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Brian-TradingFX
EUR/JPY – Double Bottom Breakout & Trendline Retest, Trade Setup📊 Chart Type: 1-Hour (H1) 💹 Asset: EUR/JPY 📈 Technical Patterns: Double Bottom, Trendline Breakout, Retest 📌 Overview of the Chart The EUR/JPY chart showcases a bullish reversal setup, characterized by a Double Bottom pattern, a trendline breakout, and a successful retest. This combination suggests a potential continuation towards higher price levels, making it an ideal setup for traders looking for breakout entries. The price action initially followed a downtrend, but buyers stepped in at key support zones, leading to the formation of a strong reversal pattern. Now, the price is testing a key resistance level, and if it breaks out, we could see a significant upward move. 🟢 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown 1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Bullish Reversal Signal 🔹 The Double Bottom is a classic reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend. 🔹 In this case, price found strong support at 160.139, forming two lows (Bottom 1 & Bottom 2), indicating buyer dominance. 🔹 The confirmation of the pattern comes with a break above the neckline at around 162.000, suggesting a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout & Retest 🔹 A descending trendline had been acting as dynamic resistance, pushing prices lower. 🔹 Recently, the price broke above the trendline, signaling a potential trend shift. 🔹 Now, price is retesting the trendline, which is a key factor in confirming whether the breakout is valid. 🔹 If the retest holds, it could trigger a strong bullish move towards the next resistance zone. 📍 Support & Resistance Zones 🔹 Support Level (160.139): The lowest point in the chart, where price tested twice and formed the Double Bottom. Buyers stepped in aggressively at this level, preventing further decline. Stop Loss Placement: Below this support zone for long trades. 🔹 Resistance Zone (163.725 - Target Level): The previous swing high and a major supply zone. A breakout above this area could lead to further bullish momentum. 📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup? ✅ Bullish Trade Setup (Breakout & Retest Confirmation) This setup is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on breakout and retest strategies. 📌 Entry: Wait for a strong bullish candle to confirm the retest of the trendline. A break above the 162.500 level could be a good entry confirmation. 📌 Target: First target: 163.725 (Resistance Zone). If momentum continues, the next upside target could be around 164.500. 📌 Stop Loss: Below 160.139 (previous support level) to minimize risk. Alternatively, place it below the trendline retest zone if entering aggressively. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): This trade offers a strong RRR, as the downside risk is limited, while the upside potential is higher. 🔴 Bearish Scenario – What if the Retest Fails? While the bias is bullish, traders must be prepared for a fake breakout scenario. If price fails to hold above the trendline and neckline, the structure might break down. 📌 Bearish Entry: If price rejects the retest zone and closes back below 161.500, it could indicate a false breakout. 📌 Target: 160.139 (Support Level). 📌 Stop Loss: Above the trendline retest zone to protect against unexpected bullish moves. 🔎 Key Takeaways & Final Thoughts ✅ The Double Bottom pattern signals a potential trend reversal. ✅ The trendline breakout & retest adds further confirmation to the bullish bias. ✅ A breakout above 162.500 could accelerate buying pressure toward 163.725. ✅ Risk management is essential: A well-placed stop loss below the support level ensures minimal downside risk. ✅ If price rejects the retest zone, traders should be prepared for a possible bearish reversal. 📌 Overall Bias: Bullish ✅ 📌 Trade Confirmation: Needs trendline retest hold + bullish breakout 📈 📌 Key Level to Watch: 162.500 (Breakout Confirmation Zone) 🔥 💡 Pro Tip : Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade. A strong bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing candle) on the H1 or H4 timeframe could provide extra confidence in the setup! 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Awakening of #ETH – Return of the Bulls and Wedge Breakout📊 Overview of the BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P Situation on 4H and 1D Timeframes ✅ Trend and Technical Indicators: ➡️ The chart shows a strong downtrend that began in late December 2024, when the price dropped from a peak of around 3400 USDT to 1620 USDT by March 2025. ➡️ A correction followed, with the price recovering to around 2100 USDT, where it is currently consolidating. ✅ Volume: The volume at the bottom of the chart was high during the drop, confirming the strength of the bearish trend. Now, volume is decreasing, which may indicate a weakening momentum. ✅ Patterns: A Rising Wedge pattern is forming on the chart — typically a bearish signal, especially after a strong downtrend. This may suggest a potential reversal to the downside. ➡️ A Falling Wedge pattern appeared earlier, and its breakout upward gave a short-term bullish impulse. ✅ Positive Factors: ➡️ Price bounced from a strong support level at 1620 USDT, which gives bulls hope for recovery. ➡️ Declining volume may indicate seller exhaustion. ➡️ The earlier breakout of the Falling Wedge supports the current correction. ✅ Negative Factors: ➡️ The Rising Wedge now forming is a bearish pattern, and a breakdown could lead to further decline. ➡️ The overall trend remains bearish, and price has yet to break through key resistance levels (e.g., 2400 USDT). ➡️ The crypto market, especially BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P remains volatile, and external factors (news, macroeconomic conditions) could significantly impact movement. 📉 4H Timeframe: ➡️ A Rising Wedge is forming; price is testing the upper boundary of the wedge and a key resistance level at $2,101. ➡️ There's a potential retracement zone targeting $1,839 — aligned with the lower edge of the wedge and a liquidity area. ➡️ Support exists at $2,068 and $2,041, but if the wedge breaks downward, the decline may accelerate. ➡️ Volume is increasing, confirming active participation and the importance of this zone. 📈 1D Timeframe: ➡️ BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P bounced from a demand zone and is currently testing the $2,100 area. ➡️ The next strong resistance lies between $2,308–$2,367, and the previous downtrend hasn’t been fully broken yet. ➡️ There's a glimmer of strength on the daily (a +4.5% candle with notable volume), but the move is not yet confirmed as a sustained uptrend. ➡️ A breakout from the Falling Wedge is confirmed — a bullish pattern that played out. ➡️ Price has broken above the descending channel (orange line), increasing the likelihood of a trend reversal. ➡️ The measured target from the wedge breakout is around POC $3,373, aligning with previous volume accumulation — ambitious but logical. ⚠️ Risks / Limitations: ➡️ If price fails to hold above $2,101 and drops below $2,068, a return to $1,955 or even $1,839 is possible. ➡️ Volume is present but the momentum must be confirmed in the next 1–2 days. 📍Important Note: 👉 On 4H – a bearish setup is forming. 👉 On 1D – a weak recovery attempt, still under pressure. 👉 A reaction from the $2,100 zone is critical: either a rejection downward (per the wedge), or a breakout that invalidates the bearish setup. 👉 This area is a decision zone — a key point for planning potential trades. 📢 Conclusion: A breakout, retest, and confirmation of the structure and volume are visible. 🔵 Bullish Scenario: ➡️ The Falling Wedge breakout confirms a bullish impulse. The target at 3373.83 USDT looks realistic long-term, if price breaks 2100 USDT and holds above 2400 USDT. ➡️ To confirm this scenario, we need volume growth and a breakout of major resistance levels (e.g., 2400 USDT and above). 🔴 Bearish Scenario: ➡️ The Rising Wedge identified earlier remains valid. If this pattern plays out, the price may drop to 1901.73 USDT or even lower, to 1620 USDT. ➡️ The long-term downtrend (marked by a red line) is still intact, supporting the bearish outlook. 📉 LONG BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P from $2102.90 🛡 Stop loss at $2083.00 🕒 Timeframe: 1D (Mid-term idea) ✅ Overview: ➡️ BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P Falling Wedge breakout confirmed on the daily chart. ➡️ Successful retest of the $1,955–$2,041 zone. ➡️ Holding above $2,101 opens the way to higher levels. ➡️ Volume is increasing post-breakout — confirming buyer interest. ➡️ Next strong resistance block lies between $2,308–$2,522. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $2112.00 — nearest resistance and key liquidity zone. 💎 TP 2: $2125.00 — a critical daily level, zone of pullback from previous drop. 💎 TP 3: $2134.00 — potential impulse target toward major POC ($3,373). 📢 If price fails to hold above $2,068 and breaks below $2,041 — the setup is invalidated. 📢 A retest of $2,101 from below may be needed before a stronger upward move. 📢 Volume support at $1,955 is critical for the bullish case. 🚀 BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P is forming a potential mid-term reversal — if price holds above $2,101, a move toward $2,200+ and beyond is expected.
Long
by MoriartyTrading
BTC ANALYSIS#BTC Analysis : Channel Following 📊As we can see that #BTC is following ascending channel on daily time frame. Currently the price is trading above its major support zone. Price is moving upwards within a long-term rising channel, recently moving towards its support from its support level. Expect a bullish move in few days.📈 🔖 Current Price: $87,700 ⏳ Target Price:   $91,500 ⁉️ What to do? - Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.🚀💸 #BTC #MajorSupport #Cryptocurrency #ChartPattern #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
EUR/USD Falling Wedge Breakout – Professional Chart AnalysisOverview of the Chart The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a bullish trading setup, featuring a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a trendline breakout, and a retest phase, signaling a potential upward move. The chart is marked with key technical elements such as support and resistance zones, breakout confirmation, and risk management parameters. This analysis will break down each component of the chart, explaining the logic behind the setup and how traders can approach this opportunity. 1. Identified Chart Patterns Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Signal) The price action formed a falling wedge, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, creating a narrowing price channel. This pattern is typically a bullish reversal structure, as it indicates weakening selling pressure before an expected breakout. The wedge’s downward movement ended with a strong breakout to the upside, signaling buyers regaining control. 2. Key Technical Levels Support & Resistance Zones Support Level (Buyers’ Stronghold) The horizontal support level is a price area where buyers have previously stepped in, preventing further declines. This level has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength as a key demand zone. Resistance Zone (Profit Target Area) The highlighted resistance zone represents a supply area where the price has struggled to move past in previous sessions. The target price level aligns with this resistance, making it a realistic profit target for the long position. 3. Trendline Breakout Confirmation Before forming the wedge, the chart shows an uptrend with a breakout above a trendline. This trendline breakout was an early signal of bullish strength, aligning with the later wedge breakout. After the breakout, the price came back for a retest, which is a key confirmation before further upward movement. 4. Retesting Phase Before the Upward Move After breaking out of the wedge, the price returned to the breakout level to confirm support. Retesting is a crucial validation step—if the price holds above this level, it increases the probability of a continued bullish move. This retesting action provides a potential entry point for traders looking to go long. 5. Trade Setup & Risk Management Strategy Trade Entry: A buy entry is considered after the retest is confirmed (price holding above the breakout level). Stop Loss Placement (Risk Control): The stop loss is placed below the previous low at 1.07790, ensuring protection against fake breakouts or unexpected reversals. Take Profit Target (Projected Price Move): The target price is set at 1.09698, which aligns with previous resistance levels and the measured move from the wedge breakout. This provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making the setup favorable for bullish traders. 6. Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Viability Risk: The distance between the entry point and the stop loss is relatively small, making it a low-risk trade. Reward: The potential upside move is significantly higher than the risk, creating a high reward-to-risk ratio trade. This type of technical confluence increases the probability of a successful trade, making it an attractive opportunity. 7. Conclusion & Trading Strategy 📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ The falling wedge breakout signals a bullish reversal. ✅ The trendline breakout and retest add further confirmation to the trade setup. ✅ The support and resistance zones provide a clear risk management strategy. ✅ The risk-reward ratio makes this an attractive long trade setup. 💡 Trading Plan: 🔹 Enter Long after retest confirmation above the breakout level. 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07790 (below previous low). 🔹 Take Profit: 1.09698 (previous resistance zone). Final Thoughts This EUR/USD setup is a textbook example of a bullish reversal following a falling wedge breakout. Traders who patiently wait for a confirmed retest can capitalize on this high-probability trade setup, aiming for a strong bullish continuation. 🔹 Tags: #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #PriceAction #TradingSetup #SupportResistance
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📊 Overview of the Chart This 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) provides a classic example of a Rising Wedge Breakdown, a bearish reversal pattern. The price initially followed a strong uptrend, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, but failed to sustain momentum at the key resistance zone (~$34.00 - $34.50). This led to a breakout to the downside, which has now confirmed a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. This analysis will break down each key level, the technical indicators supporting this trade setup, and how traders can approach it effectively. 🛠️ Breakdown of the Chart Components 1️⃣ Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern Identified) The price action created a Rising Wedge, which is a bearish pattern characterized by an uptrend where the higher highs and higher lows start converging into a narrowing range. This shows that while buyers were pushing prices higher, their strength was gradually fading. The breakdown of this structure signaled a loss of bullish momentum, leading to a shift in trend. 2️⃣ Resistance Level & Sell Zone Identified The resistance level at $34.00 - $34.50 has acted as a supply zone where sellers stepped in, preventing further upside. A bearish rejection at this zone confirms that sellers are still dominant. 3️⃣ Retest of the Broken Support (Key Confirmation) After the breakout from the wedge, the price made a retest of the broken trendline, a classic move before further downside. Retesting this area confirms that it is now acting as resistance rather than support, further strengthening the bearish case. 4️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Structure The dashed trendline was previously supportive, but now that the price has broken below it, it has turned into a resistance level. This shift in market structure is a strong bearish signal. 5️⃣ Key Support Levels & Target Projection The next major support level is at $32.00, a level where price previously found demand. The ultimate target price is around $31.18, which aligns with historical support and Fibonacci retracement levels. 📉 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup? ✅ Entry Point (Short/Sell Setup) A good shorting opportunity arises if the price retests the resistance at $33.50 - $34.00 and shows bearish confirmation (like a rejection candlestick or a bearish engulfing pattern). 📍 Stop Loss (SL) Placement SL should be above $34.20 to avoid getting stopped out by potential fakeouts. 🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels TP1: $32.00 (First support level) TP2: $31.18 (Final bearish target) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Entry at $33.50 - $34.00 with SL at $34.20 and TP at $31.18 provides an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (~1:4). 📌 Market Sentiment & Conclusion 🔴 Bearish signals are dominant, suggesting further downside potential. 📉 A strong bearish move is expected if the price fails to reclaim $34.00. 🎯 Targeting $31.18 in the upcoming sessions. 📢 Final Advice: Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. A successful retest and rejection at $33.50 - $34.00 will be a high-probability short setup. 🚀 🔥 Follow price action and risk management principles for a successful trade! 🔥
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Adyen (ADYEN) – Technical Analysis and 1W OutlookTechnical Analysis Adyen's stock is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a potential breakout. The recent price surge confirmed the pattern's breakout, but a correction toward the 0.618 Fibonacci level (1457.2 EUR) is possible, acting as a key buying zone. Key Levels: Resistance: 1720.8 EUR (0.5 Fibonacci), 2311 EUR (0.236 Fibonacci) Support: 1457.2 EUR (0.618 Fibonacci), 1081.8 EUR (0.786 Fibonacci) Target: 2838 EUR Indicators suggest a potential continuation of the uptrend: MACD is signaling bullish momentum Stochastic indicates a possible correction before further upside Fundamental Analysis Adyen is a leading player in the payment technology sector, serving major companies like Uber, Spotify, and Microsoft. Key Factors Impacting the Stock: Financial Performance: Recent earnings reports showed revenue growth driven by increased payment volumes. Macroeconomics: Lower inflation and potential interest rate cuts could benefit the tech sector. Competition: Pressure from PayPal and Stripe remains a key risk. Adyen maintains bullish potential following the triangle breakout. The 1457-1500 EUR zone is crucial for trend confirmation, with a possible long-term target at 2838 EUR. However, a short-term correction remains possible.
EURONEXT:ADYENLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Wingstop Inc. (WING) 1WTechnical Analysis 1W The chart shows a breakout of the weekly uptrend line, signaling potential further downside. Key Levels: -Support: 206.49 USD (0.382 Fib), 152.93 USD (0.236 Fib), 66.36 USD (0 Fib) - Resistance: 249.78 USD (0.5 Fib), 293.07 USD (0.618 Fib), 354.70 USD (0.786 Fib) Indicators suggest weakness. Fundamental Analysis: Wingstop specializes in chicken wings. Key Factors: - Financials: Revenue growth, but high valuation increases correction risk - Macroeconomics: Interest rates impact consumer spending - Competition: Pressure from McDonald's and KFC Conclusion: A break below 152.93 USD could lead to 66.36 USD. Bulls need a recovery above 249.78 USD for trend reversal.
NASDAQ:WING
by TotoshkaTrades
Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) 1WTechnical Analysis - The weekly chart of Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) shows a potential reversal after a prolonged downtrend. - A breakout above the descending trendline and consolidation above $110.85 (0.786 Fibonacci) could signal the start of an upward movement. - Key Resistance Levels: $132.06 – $146.95 – $161.85 – $180.28 – $210.07. - Key Support Zone: $83.83 - $90. - CCI and RSI indicators confirm improving sentiment. A sustained breakout above $110-112 could lead to mid-term growth. Fundamental Analysis Crown Castle is one of the largest telecommunications infrastructure operators in the US. - Stable revenues due to long-term contracts with telecom providers. - Dividend yield of ~6%, making it attractive for long-term investors. - 5G expansion and IoT growth create long-term opportunities. Risks: High debt burden, interest rate impact, and competition with American Tower. CCI has growth potential if it breaks above the $110-112 zone. However, macroeconomic risks remain relevant.
NYSE:CCILong
by TotoshkaTrades
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Setup! 📌 Overview of the Chart Setup This daily Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart presents a technical breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal signal. The price has been forming lower highs and lower lows over the past months, consolidating within a tightening structure. However, the current price action suggests an early breakout attempt, which could lead to significant upside movement in the coming weeks. Let’s break down the key levels, technical insights, and trading opportunities visible in this chart. 📉 Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal) 🔹 What is a Falling Wedge? A falling wedge is a bullish continuation or reversal pattern characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines. It typically signals a loss of bearish momentum, leading to a breakout to the upside. 🔹 Key Observations in the Chart The price has been moving inside the falling wedge structure, with clear lower highs and lower lows. The support level around $75,000-$80,000 has been repeatedly tested, forming a strong demand zone. A trendline breakout has occurred, suggesting that bulls are regaining control over the price action. Volume is expected to increase upon a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the bullish momentum. 📊 Important Technical Levels 1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones 📌 Support Level: The $75,000-$80,000 zone has acted as a strong base, preventing further downside. Buyers have stepped in multiple times here. 📌 Resistance Level: The $95,000-$100,000 range represents a historical resistance where price has struggled to break through. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout The chart clearly shows a breakout above the falling wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. If this breakout holds, Bitcoin could see strong buying pressure pushing it toward its next major resistance level. 📈 Trading Strategy & Setup 🔹 Entry Confirmation To enter a long position, traders should wait for: ✅ A daily close above the wedge resistance (confirmed breakout). ✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which strengthens the bullish case. A breakout retest is ideal because it provides a lower-risk entry point, ensuring the breakout is legitimate rather than a false move. 🔹 Target Price Projection Using the height of the falling wedge as a projection, the potential price target is set at $118,000. This level aligns with a 35%+ upside from the breakout zone. Bitcoin must clear the $95,000-$100,000 resistance before reaching the final target. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is positioned at $59,896, slightly below the previous major support zone. This ensures that if the breakout fails, losses are minimized while still allowing price fluctuations within expected volatility. 🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Entry around breakout level (~$87,000) Target: $118,000 (35% upside) Stop Loss: $59,896 (~30% downside) Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:3, making this an attractive trade setup. 📢 Market Psychology & Sentiment Why This Pattern Matters? A falling wedge represents seller exhaustion. Over time, the bearish pressure weakens, leading to a bullish breakout. If Bitcoin can maintain this breakout, momentum traders and institutional investors may step in, accelerating the rally. Breaking above the resistance at $95K-$100K would confirm bullish dominance, potentially leading to new all-time highs. Potential Risks ❌ Fake Breakout: If Bitcoin fails to hold above the wedge resistance, we may see a pullback to support before another breakout attempt. ❌ Macro Factors: External factors like regulatory news, interest rate decisions, and market-wide sentiment could impact price action. ❌ Bitcoin Dominance: If altcoins start rallying, some capital may rotate out of Bitcoin, slowing the upside move. 🚀 Final Thoughts: A High-Probability Bullish Setup ✅ The falling wedge breakout suggests a strong bullish shift, with a 35%+ potential upside. ✅ A confirmed breakout above $95K-$100K will act as a final confirmation before the next leg up. ✅ Risk is managed with a stop loss at $59,896, ensuring downside protection. 🔹 Best trading approach? Wait for confirmation, manage risk, and let the trend develop. Would you like additional insights on entry techniques, volume confirmation, or potential invalidation points? 😊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD | Bearish Breakdown & Retest | Short Setup EUR/USD VIP Short Setup | Smart Money Move 🔥📉" Chart Analysis: Ascending Channel Breakdown: EUR/USD broke below a well-respected bullish channel, signaling a potential downtrend. Retest & Resistance: Price is currently retesting the broken structure near 1.08565, a key resistance zone. Sell Confirmation: The rejection at this level suggests bearish momentum. Target: The next major support lies at 1.06513, aligning with previous price action levels. Trading Plan: ✅ Entry: Around 1.08155 - 1.08565 (after rejection confirmation) ✅ Take Profit: 1.06513 ✅ Stop-Loss: Above resistance for risk management Summary: Smart money is eyeing this short trade after a strong bearish breakout. A retest of resistance gives a prime entry for sellers. 📉🔥
Short
by PIPsOptimizer