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Technical Analysis

Euro Extends Rally Ahead of PMI DataEUR/USD trades near 1.1340 during Asian hours, close to two-week highs, extending gains for a fourth session ahead of Eurozone PMI data expected to show improved growth for May. The U.S. dollar remains under pressure as markets await Thursday’s S&P Global PMI. Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating to Aa1, matching earlier cuts by Fitch and S&P, citing rising debt, projected to reach 134% of GDP by 2035, and a nearly 9% deficit. Trump’s tax-cut plan cleared the House Rules Committee, but the DXY still trades lower near 99.50. The key resistance is located at 1.1390, and the first support stands at 1.1260.
by ChartMage
BTC/USD: Structural Breakout of Curved Resistance – Eyes on $116Technical Overview: Bitcoin (BTC) has successfully completed a significant technical breakout after months of accumulation and resistance interaction. The chart highlights a precise market structure where price has moved from a phase of consolidation into a confirmed bullish breakout, with a clearly defined target and invalidation level. 1. SR Interchange Zone (Support-turned-Resistance): From May to October 2024, BTC price action was trapped in a sideways range, marked by an extended accumulation phase between approximately $60,000 to $73,000. This zone acted as a historical resistance level during the downtrend, but was later flipped into support, forming a classic SR Interchange — a foundational concept in market structure analysis. This area provided a strong base from which BTC launched its late 2024 rally. 2. Consolidation Below Curved Resistance (Dec 2024 – Apr 2025): Following a steep bullish impulse, BTC entered a multi-month consolidation phase, forming a rounded top pattern — shown on the chart as the Black Mind Curve Resistance. This curved resistance represented a psychological and structural ceiling, suppressing bullish momentum and trapping liquidity. Price action was tightly compressed under this dynamic resistance curve, with multiple failed breakout attempts. This period was marked by range-bound volatility and low directional commitment — classic behavior during a re-accumulation phase. 3. Breakout of Black Mind Curve Resistance (May 2025): A major technical event occurred as BTC broke decisively above the Black Mind Curve Resistance, accompanied by a surge in bullish momentum. This move not only invalidated the prior rounding top structure but also confirmed a trend continuation breakout. The breakout was clean, with strong follow-through volume and a higher high structure above the Major Horizontal Resistance Zone (~$105,000–$109,000) — now confirmed as flipped support. 4. Bullish Continuation & Price Target: Following the breakout, BTC has established a higher low and continued its upward trajectory toward the marked target zone at $116,065. This zone coincides with: Previous untested supply levels Technical Fibonacci extension (1.272–1.618 zone) Measured move from the curve structure base With current momentum and structure intact, BTC remains bullishly biased until it either reaches the target zone or breaks below the invalidation level. 5. Invalidation & Risk Management: A close below $102,005 — the defined SI (Support-Invalidation) level — would be considered structurally bearish. This level represents: The most recent higher low Base of the breakout structure Re-entry into previous consolidation range A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis and may open the door for a deeper pullback toward $95,000 or even $88,000. ✅ Conclusion: The breakout of the Black Mind Curve Resistance marks a significant technical shift in Bitcoin’s trend. With momentum in favor of the bulls and market structure supporting higher prices, BTC appears poised to test the $116,000 target zone in the short to mid-term — barring a breakdown below key support. 📌 Key Levels Recap: Level Type Price Target Zone $116,065 Current Price $110,902 Support / Invalidation (SI) $102,005 📈 Strategy Outlook: Bias: Bullish Entry Area: Retest of $107,000–$109,000 (if offered) Target: $116,065 Stop-Loss: Below $102,005 (structural invalidation) 💬 Stay focused on structure, not emotions. The best trades are born from patience, not prediction. Let me know if you'd like a summary version for use on social media or a custom signature block for your TradingView profile.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown in Play? | Bearish Setup Alert🧠 Market Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) has shown incredible bullish strength in recent months, driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation uncertainty, and increased demand for safe-haven assets. However, every trend experiences a pause or correction — and that’s where we may currently be. 📊 Pattern Overview: Rising Wedge Formation One of the most prominent technical patterns right now is the Rising Wedge. This is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when price action consolidates upwards in a narrowing range, indicating waning bullish momentum and an imminent breakdown. In this chart: We see a clear series of higher highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. The upper trendline acts as dynamic resistance, while the lower one has been supporting price until now. The wedge has now broken to the downside, signaling the potential start of a new short-term downtrend. 🔍 Key Technical Elements Explained: 🔵 1. Major Resistance Zone Marked in the blue rectangular box, this zone has acted as a historical pivot area — both as support and resistance in the past. The market respected this zone multiple times. Price action tends to hesitate or reverse in such regions due to large institutional order flows. 🧠 2. Black Mind Curve Resistance Unlike flat trendlines, the "Black Mind Curve" represents a curved, psychological dynamic resistance — often based on market sentiment, Fibonacci arcs, or logarithmic regression. It reflects the market’s natural rhythm and is respected due to the hidden behavior of algorithmic trading systems. Price just rejected this resistance after touching it during the wedge formation — a strong bearish clue. 🔄 3. Retest in Progress After breaking out of the rising wedge to the downside, price is now retesting the broken wedge support. This is a common price behavior known as the “kiss of death” — a final tap before continuation. If the price fails to reclaim this broken support zone, it confirms a bearish continuation is on the table. 🎯 Trade Plan: Entry, Target & Stop Trade Element Details Bias Bearish Entry Idea On confirmation of retest rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing candle) Stop Loss (SL) Above the recent high or resistance – near $3,413.58 Take Profit (TP) First major support near $3,153.70 (SR Interchange) Risk-Reward Ratio Estimated between 1:2 to 1:3, depending on entry 🔥 Bonus Target: If momentum increases, an extended drop toward $3,100–$3,080 is possible — where deeper demand lies. 🧘‍♂️ Trading Psychology & Risk Management: Let’s face it: Even the best setup can fail — which is why discipline is your edge. Confirmation is Key: Never short just because of a pattern. Wait for structure + candlestick confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star, etc.). Emotions Kill Accounts : Don’t let greed convince you to skip stop-losses or over-leverage. Let Price Come to You: If you missed the perfect entry, don’t chase. The market always gives second chances. 🧠 Educational Insight : What Makes This Setup Powerful? This setup is a confluence trade, meaning: You’re not relying on one signal, but multiple confirmations: Rising wedge (pattern-based) Resistance zone (horizontal S&D) Curved dynamic resistance (psychological + advanced trendline) Retest + rejection behavior (price action) These stacked layers of confirmation increase the probability of a successful trade. 📌 Final Thoughts: Gold is showing all the technical signs of a short-term bearish correction, despite the broader bullish narrative. For smart traders, this is an opportunity to catch a swing short with a clear entry, stop, and target. The key to winning here? Patience and confirmation. You don’t have to predict the market — just react to it with logic and discipline. Let the setup unfold naturally, and let the trade come to you. 💬 What’s Your Take? Are you shorting Gold here or waiting for more confirmation? Have you used curved resistance lines before in your analysis? Drop your thoughts below — and if this helped you, smash the like button, share with others, and follow me for more high-probability setups!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING? EURUSD 22/05 – STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING? 🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK The market remains caught between dovish expectations and hawkish reality. While recent US CPI and PPI came in weaker than expected, Fed officials have refrained from confirming any imminent rate cuts, keeping the dollar resilient in the medium term. Meanwhile, the ECB’s cautious stance and ongoing inflation risks across the eurozone continue to cap euro strength. The divergence in tone between the Fed and the ECB adds to the short-term volatility and uncertainty around EURUSD’s direction. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 + H4 Timeframe) EURUSD has faked a breakout above the 1.1310–1.1320 resistance zone and is now pulling back to the key structure support around 1.1279 — a critical short-term level. 📌 Key Observations: Bearish engulfing candle formed on H1 after price rejected the upper zone → potential reversal signal. EMA 13 is crossing below EMA 34 → suggesting short-term downside pressure. A confirmed H1 close below 1.1279 opens room for deeper retracement towards 1.1234 (previous demand/FVG area). If momentum builds, we could see a broader correction toward 1.1148 in the coming days. ⚙️ TRADE STRATEGY FOR TODAY 🔻 PRIMARY SCENARIO – SELL THE RALLY Entry Zone: 1.1315 – 1.1318 (near FVG + fake breakout zone) Stop Loss: 1.1360 Take Profit Targets: → TP1: 1.1279 → TP2: 1.1234 → TP3: 1.1148 🔹 ALTERNATE SCENARIO – BUY SCALP ON STRONG REACTION Buy Entry: 1.1234 – 1.1230 (only with bullish M15 confirmation) Stop Loss: 1.1210 Take Profit: 1.1279 → 1.1300 🧠 STRATEGIC INSIGHT A D1 candle close below 1.1234 will confirm a structure break and likely initiate a deeper downward trend. On the flip side, if 1.1234 holds and US jobless claims disappoint later today, EURUSD may recover back to test 1.131x. Market sentiment is highly reactive — stay flexible and prioritize price action confirmation. 📌 FINAL THOUGHTS: EURUSD is at a pivotal point — either confirming a new downtrend or bouncing back within the current range. This is a trader’s market: clear key levels, disciplined risk management, and adaptive execution are essential. 📈 Follow for real-time chart updates, FVG mapping, and more daily trading setups. Stay smart, stay sharp. Risk management first.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
2
JPY Hits 2-Week High as Dollar WeakensThe Japanese yen strengthened to around 143 per dollar on Thursday, its highest in over two weeks, as concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook pressured the dollar. Fears that Trump’s proposed tax cuts could add over $3 trillion to U.S. debt weighed on investor confidence. Japan’s Finance Minister Kato said he did not discuss currency levels with Treasury Secretary Bessent at the G7 summit. Domestically, core machinery orders surged 13% in March, beating expectations of a 1.6% drop, while May PMI data showed continued weakness in both manufacturing and services.
by ChartMage
Gold Analysis – Can Buyers Push the Price Up to $3,350?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside. Price has recently broken through a key resistance zone and has now returned to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,350 target, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. As long as price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback. Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LucasMgoldview
1
FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK?GOLD PLAN 22/05 – FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK? 🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Overview: 🔺 Breaking Political News: On the night of May 21, two Israeli embassy officials were fatally shot near the Jewish Museum in Washington in what’s being labeled an anti-Semitic terrorist act. → Former President Trump condemned the attack, calling it “disgusting” and demanding an end to extremism. → Events like these typically boost gold as a safe haven, but this time the market appears hesitant. 🔺 Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve remains hawkish, signaling “higher-for-longer” interest rates. → This continues to support USD strength, putting downward pressure on gold. 🔍 Technical Outlook (H1): Gold (XAUUSD) recently topped around 3397, followed by a strong bearish rejection candle at that level. Two Fair Value Gaps (FVG) are now defining market sentiment: Upper FVG: 3330 – 3356 (partially filled) Lower FVG: 3277 – 3247 → highly likely to be targeted if breakdown occurs. EMA 13 & EMA 34 are flattening out, indicating consolidation within a breakout range. 🧭 Trade Strategy for Today: 🔻 PRIMARY SELL ZONE: Entry: 3395 – 3397 Stop Loss: 3401 Take Profit: 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 🔻 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3358 – 3360 Stop Loss: 3364 Take Profit: 3354 → 3350 → 3346 → 3342 → 3338 → 3330 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3296 – 3294 Stop Loss: 3290 Take Profit: 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 → ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3316 – 3314 Stop Loss: 3310 Take Profit: 3320 → 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3340 → 3350 ⚠️ Key Things to Watch: FBI and White House responses to the DC shooting could ignite renewed risk-off sentiment, pushing gold higher suddenly. A break above 3400 invalidates today’s setup – expect renewed bullish pressure if that happens. 📌 Pro Tip: Don’t chase the market. Let price come to your zones. Respect SL/TP and manage risk – especially on volatile days like today. 📣 Follow this account for live updates, scalping levels, and macro-triggered trading zones in real time!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
CESC Ltd – Short-Term Breakout Idea|Target: ₹171.00 CMP: ₹165.70 Recommended Buy Range: ₹164.50 – ₹165.00 Target: ₹171.00 🎯 Stop Loss: ₹161.50 🛡️ Timeframe: 15 min & 1H Risk-Reward: ~1.4:1 Type: Momentum Breakout / Swing Trade 🔍 Technical Analysis: ✅ EMA Cross (9/13) bullish crossover ✅ Price trading above EMA-26 ✅ RSI at 65 – bullish, not overbought ✅ BB %B around 1.0 – strong upper band breakout ✅ Volume spike supports the move Watch for a strong close above ₹167 to confirm momentum toward ₹171. For Education Purposes Only
NSE:CESCLong
by rmhetre15
XAUUSD – Testing resistance zone, will there be a breakout?Gold continues its impressive recovery on the 3H timeframe, after bouncing strongly from the support zone around $3,300. Currently, the market is approaching a key resistance area at $3,400 – a level that previously triggered strong selling pressure. EMA34 and EMA89 have crossed upwards, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is gaining strength. However, since this is a former resistance zone, a pullback to the $3,300 area before continuing the upward move is entirely possible. On the news front, rising jobless claims and weakening manufacturing PMI have lowered expectations for the strength of the USD. However, a slight uptick in the services PMI keeps market sentiment cautious – resulting in a tug-of-war, though still leaning in favor of the buyers. What do you think? Will gold break out further or take a breather first?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 22/05/2025Today a flat opening is expected in Nifty. After opening, if Nifty sustains above the 24750–24800 level, an upside movement is likely towards 24850, 24900, and possibly up to 24950+, which will act as a strong resistance zone for today’s session. Any rally reaching this level may witness a reversal. On the downside, if Nifty starts trading below 24700, a major downside movement is expected towards 24600, 24550, and potentially 24500– levels in today’s session.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 22, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 22, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📈 Treasury Yields Surge Amid Weak Bond Auction U.S. Treasury yields continued their upward trajectory, with the 10-year yield nearing 4.6% and the 30-year yield surpassing 5%, marking the highest levels since early 2023. This increase followed a weak $16 billion auction of 20-year bonds, which attracted less investor demand and sold at higher-than-expected yields. Factors contributing to the rise include fading recession fears, persistent inflation concerns, and growing fiscal worries related to potential tax cut extensions. 📉 Stock Market Declines as Tech Stocks Retreat The stock market experienced significant losses, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 1.9%, falling below its 200-day moving average. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell 1.6% and 1.4%, respectively. 💼 Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) Reports Strong Earnings Snowflake Inc. reported record quarterly revenue of $1.04 billion, surpassing expectations. Product revenue increased 26% year-over-year to $996.8 million. The company raised its full-year forecast to $4.325 billion, reflecting a 25% year-over-year increase. Despite a GAAP net loss of $430 million, Snowflake posted an adjusted profit of 24 cents per share, exceeding the 21-cent estimate. 📊 Morgan Stanley Turns Bullish on U.S. Stocks Morgan Stanley has shifted to a bullish stance on U.S. stocks and bonds, raising its outlook due to signs of market stabilization and improving growth conditions. The bank maintains a base target of 6,500 for the S&P 500 by mid-2026, with a bullish scenario projecting 7,200. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, May 22: 8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims 9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Services PMI for May 10:00 AM ET: Advance Services Report (First Quarter 2025) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
TradeCityPro | BCHUSDT Bitcoin Fork Ready to Hit New Highs?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s dive in and analyze the Bitcoin fork, BCH, to understand why this altcoin is performing much better than the broader market and is being supported at higher levels. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together. This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames. 📊 Weekly Time Frame In the weekly time frame, we see that BCH is in a much better position compared to other altcoins and continues to form higher highs and higher lows! After hitting the 707 resistance and getting rejected, we’ve been ranging in a large box. However, it’s fair to say that buyers have the upper hand in this box because, after touching the critical 268 support, we engulfed the previous three weekly candles and experienced a sharp move up to 424. Currently, we’re at a critical point: we could either form a lower high relative to the previous resistance or undergo a mid-term correction and re-enter after breaking 424! 📉 Daily Time Frame In the daily time frame, the situation is similarly favorable, and BCH is continuing its trend with good momentum. The formation of higher highs and higher lows provides a sense of calm to the uptrend. After the heavy decline in February, it was natural for us to enter a ranging period before forming a new structure. This happened, and after retesting the 268 support, we started forming higher highs and lows, with our first entry at the 345 level. Currently, after a rejection from 435, we’ve corrected to 386, which was a low-volume move, technically considered a pullback. If we see a supportive candle at this level, it’s a trigger for a buy, and breaking 435 will be the next trigger! ✍️ Final Thoughts Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities! This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research. What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
6
Educational Video: Nifty Outlook-How Technical analysis is done.We have tried to draw a parallel channel on Nifty hourly chart. The chart indicates that we are just below the mid channel line. The mid channel line will act as a resistance if the price is below the same and will act as a support if the price is above it. Right now it is acting as a resistance. Top of the channel always acts as a resistance and bottom of the channel always acts as a support. Additionally there are historic resistances and supports which indicate the other levels which may act as support or resistance. There are also Mother and Father lines (50 and 200 EMA)(EMA = Exponential Moving Average). To understand in detail how parallel channel works or how supports and resistance are derived or what is Mother, Father and Small Child theory. I would recommend you my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. By reading this book you can understand all these concepts with ease. You can additionally understand what is fundamental and technical analysis and how to do it. You will also get to understand the dos and the don'ts of investment in equity by reading various chapters on Behavioural Finance. Overall it is a value for money book available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is also available on Google play book and other E-book stores. You can also contact us for getting the copy of it. The Happy Candles way is one of the highest rated books in the category and you can go through the reviews of the book on Amazon before purchasing it. Based on Parallel Channel, Supports and Resistances, Mother Father and Small child theory resistances and supports of Nifty remain at. Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24815, 24909, 24977, 25045 and 25116. The channel top resistance for the current parallel channel is around 25372. Nifty Supports Remain at: 24780 (Mother Line Support), 24679 and 24537. The Channel Bottom support is currently around 24396. 24247 is the most important Father line support. Shadow of the candles currently is neutral. Indicating Nifty can still go in any direction. A pennant like structure (Triangle is also formed). This indicates that Breakout or Breakdown of this triangle or pennant can take Nifty a long way on either side. Nifty is currently squeezing in the pennant with limited space. Usually when the space is limited a Breakout can happen in either direction. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Is EUR/USD continuing its uptrend from the 1.126 level?Hello everyone, it's great to see all of you again in the current trading session. Let’s discuss and launch a new trading campaign together! In general, EURUSD experienced a significant price increase yesterday, with a rise in price and a breakout above the 1.126 level. It is now trading at a new high of 1.132, the best gain at the end of April. So what are the reasons and factors that have driven this currency pair? Regarding the influencing factors: EUR/USD maintains a bullish trend during the first half of the week, approaching the important 1.1300 zone after a sharp sell-off of the US Dollar. Growing concerns about trade, along with new worries about the US economy, have added further pressure on the US Dollar. Regarding the new outlook for EURUSD: On the 1D chart, EURUSD is currently receiving strong support at the 1.126 – 1.127 level. A break below this level will lead to a significant price drop, while holding this level will lead to a price increase. Upon careful observation, we can see the pair has broken through the 1.126 resistance level. Both the short-term and medium-term outlooks show that the bullish trend is gradually strengthening. If the upward momentum continues, the next bullish targets for EURUSD will be 1.140 and 1.150...
Long
by LucasMgoldview
Forecast for #GALAUSDT📉 Forecast for BYBIT:GALAUSDT.P (1H TF) 🕒 Current Situation: The price is in a key decision zone near POC $0.01851, consolidating after a breakout from the Falling Wedge pattern. ➡️ The direction depends on the reaction to this area. ✅ Overview: ➡️ A Triple Bottom (Bottom 1-2-3) pattern is visible — a bullish signal. ➡️ Price broke out of the wedge and is now retesting. ➡️ Two scenarios remain: LONG if support holds or SHORT if it breaks. 📢 Bullish sign: candle wicks down + rising volume on bounce. 🧭 Watch price action and volume near $0.0185–0.0190. ************************ 📈 LONG SCENARIO - Conditions: Holding above $0.0190 Entry: BYBIT:GALAUSDT.P from $0.02020 🛡 Stop loss: $0.01986 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.02040 💎 TP 2: $0.02065 💎 TP 3: $0.02085 📍 Confirming bullish strength after wedge breakout. ************************** 📉 SHORT SCENARIO - Conditions: Break and close below $0.0185 Entry: BYBIT:GALAUSDT.P from $0.01800 🛡 Stop loss: $0.01825 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.01784 💎 TP 2: $0.01766 💎 TP 3: $0.01756 📢 Confirmation: high volume + multiple closes below POC. ⚠️ Losing $0.0185 reactivates the bearish structure toward $0.01700. 🚀 Conclusion: We are in a decision zone. 📍 Hold above POC = bullish setup. 📍 Breakdown = bearish setup. 📢 Wait for confirmation with volume and price reaction BYBIT:GALAUSDT.P
by MoriartyTrading
1
EURUSD | Bullish Pennant Breakout – Retest Before the Target📊 EUR/USD (1H Timeframe) The EUR/USD pair has shown a textbook example of a bullish pennant formation, which typically occurs during strong uptrends and signals a continuation of the bullish momentum. The price had an impulsive rally prior to the formation of the pennant, indicating a strong underlying bullish sentiment. Following the rally, the market entered a period of consolidation where price action began to coil between two converging trendlines – this is the pennant structure, marked by lower highs and higher lows. This tightening price action typically suggests that market participants are pausing to digest the previous move, often leading to another breakout in the same direction – in this case, bullish. 📐 Key Technical Elements Highlighted: Bullish Pennant Formation: Characterized by a sharp move up (flagpole) followed by a tight consolidation range (the pennant). Volume generally contracts during consolidation and expands on breakout, confirming momentum. Breakout and Retest: Price has broken above the upper resistance line of the pennant. Now pulling back for a retest, a healthy technical behavior often seen in strong setups. This pullback offers a second chance for entry for traders who missed the initial breakout. Support & Resistance Zones: SR Interchange Zone (previous resistance turned into potential support). Minor Resistance Zone above, now likely invalidated by breakout. These zones are critical in evaluating potential price reaction and risk control. Projected Target: Based on the measured move from the pole height of the pennant added to the breakout point, the projected target stands near 1.14315, a level of prior structural interest. 🎯 Trade Plan – Technical Strategy ⚠️ This is a hypothetical scenario for educational purposes. Always manage your risk. Entry Zone: On confirmation of a successful retest (bullish price action at trendline support) Stop Loss: Below the pennant’s lower trendline or the SR interchange zone (1.1245 – 1.1260 region) Target: 1.14315 (based on breakout projection) Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry precision 🔍 Psychological & Market Structure Notes: A bullish pennant is a sign of accumulation after a strong rally – it tells us that buyers are resting, not gone. The retest shows institutional behavior: smart money often allows price to come back to a breakout level before driving it higher again, to shake out weak hands and trap late sellers. Momentum traders and breakout traders often wait for confirmation on the retest to pile in with higher confidence. 📚 Educational Takeaway: This setup serves as a great case study in: Continuation patterns (Bullish Pennants) Breakout-retest behavior Measured move target projections Trend confirmation techniques Market psychology and structure If you're learning technical analysis, this is a high-probability pattern that occurs across many asset classes including forex, crypto, and stocks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Completes A Correction Within Bullish TrendGold made another sharp leg to the upside in first half of April, even showed some accelerating price action away from the 3,000 level. This suggests it might have been part of wave three when looking at the Daily and 4-hour time frame, so there can be more upside within a much more extended impulse structure. Possibly already now after blue wave four consolidation shows first signs of a bottom near 3120. Notice that pullback from recent high is in three legs, while price recovered out of wave (C) channel, so looks like new recovery is in the cards.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by ew-forecast