TAO ANALYSIS🔮 #TAO Analysis 💰💰
🌟🚀 As we can see that #TAO is trading in a symmetrical triangle and given a perfect breakout. But there is an instant resistance. If #TAO breaks the resistance 1 then we will see a good bullish move in few days . 🚀🚀
🔖 Current Price: $271
⏳ Target Price: $305
#TAO #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
Technical Analysis
BTC ANALYSIS#BTC Analysis : Channel Following
📊As we can see that #BTC is following ascending channel on daily time frame. Currently the price is trading above its major support zone. Price is moving upwards within a long-term rising channel, recently moving towards its support from its support level. Expect a bullish move in few days.📈
🔖 Current Price: $87,700
⏳ Target Price: $91,500
⁉️ What to do?
- Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.🚀💸
#BTC #MajorSupport #Cryptocurrency #ChartPattern #DYOR
Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) 1WTechnical Analysis
- The weekly chart of Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) shows a potential reversal after a prolonged downtrend.
- A breakout above the descending trendline and consolidation above $110.85 (0.786 Fibonacci) could signal the start of an upward movement.
- Key Resistance Levels: $132.06 – $146.95 – $161.85 – $180.28 – $210.07.
- Key Support Zone: $83.83 - $90.
- CCI and RSI indicators confirm improving sentiment.
A sustained breakout above $110-112 could lead to mid-term growth.
Fundamental Analysis
Crown Castle is one of the largest telecommunications infrastructure operators in the US.
- Stable revenues due to long-term contracts with telecom providers.
- Dividend yield of ~6%, making it attractive for long-term investors.
- 5G expansion and IoT growth create long-term opportunities.
Risks: High debt burden, interest rate impact, and competition with American Tower.
CCI has growth potential if it breaks above the $110-112 zone. However, macroeconomic risks remain relevant.
SILVER PROJECTION Here's my projection for Xag this week.
PS: price would do what it wants to do regardless
We cleared the high of the second week of the Month 34.067 and close bearish last week. Hence my anticipation that price is going to clear the los of the second week as well which is 31.789 taking that as my draw of Liquidity 🧲.
Shuffling down to H4, everything now depends on confirmation. Price may react from 33.302 and continue to the downside or price may decide to go and test that 33.597 zon before the sell continuation.
Watch out for these zone for trade opportunity.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
CHFJPY Possible Trend Continuation Hi Traders, here's my breakdown on FOREXCOM:CHFJPY for a potential sell trade .
So we've basically run into structure supply, LTF Flip.
Entry model : Breaker +Inducement + RTBb
Let's hope we get triggered, and most importantly, don't get stopped out lol
#Stay Reactive.
LIKE & FOLLOW
ARC ANALYSIS🔮 #ARC Analysis
💲💲 #ARC is trading in a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. If the price of #ARC breaks and sustain the higher price then will see a pump. Also there is an strong support zone. We may see a retest towards the support zone first and then a reversal📈
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#ARC #Cryptocurrency #Support #Resistance #DYOR
EURJPY NEXT MOVE, DEEP FUNDAMENTALS ANALYSIS EUR/JPY is currently trading around 162.300, having recently completed a breakout and subsequent retest, indicating a potential bullish continuation toward the target price of 168.300. This anticipated move suggests a gain of over 300 pips, aligning with the pair's prevailing uptrend.
Fundamentally, the Eurozone's economic indicators have shown resilience, with stable growth and inflation metrics supporting the euro. In contrast, the Bank of Japan's commitment to ultra-loose monetary policies has led to a depreciation of the yen, widening the interest rate differential between the two currencies and favoring a stronger euro
Technical analysis reinforces this bullish outlook. The pair edged higher to 164.16 last week before a slight retreat, suggesting consolidation ahead of a possible upward surge. As long as the 160.02 support level holds, further rally remains in favor, with potential targets at 164.89 and 166.67. A sustained break above these levels could pave the way toward the 168.300 target
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a confirmed breakout could present a lucrative opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated 300-pip movement. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to mitigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in navigating this trading opportunity effectively.
EUR/JPY – Double Bottom Breakout & Trendline Retest, Trade Setup📊 Chart Type: 1-Hour (H1)
💹 Asset: EUR/JPY
📈 Technical Patterns: Double Bottom, Trendline Breakout, Retest
📌 Overview of the Chart
The EUR/JPY chart showcases a bullish reversal setup, characterized by a Double Bottom pattern, a trendline breakout, and a successful retest. This combination suggests a potential continuation towards higher price levels, making it an ideal setup for traders looking for breakout entries.
The price action initially followed a downtrend, but buyers stepped in at key support zones, leading to the formation of a strong reversal pattern. Now, the price is testing a key resistance level, and if it breaks out, we could see a significant upward move.
🟢 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown
1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Bullish Reversal Signal
🔹 The Double Bottom is a classic reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend.
🔹 In this case, price found strong support at 160.139, forming two lows (Bottom 1 & Bottom 2), indicating buyer dominance.
🔹 The confirmation of the pattern comes with a break above the neckline at around 162.000, suggesting a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Trendline Breakout & Retest
🔹 A descending trendline had been acting as dynamic resistance, pushing prices lower.
🔹 Recently, the price broke above the trendline, signaling a potential trend shift.
🔹 Now, price is retesting the trendline, which is a key factor in confirming whether the breakout is valid.
🔹 If the retest holds, it could trigger a strong bullish move towards the next resistance zone.
📍 Support & Resistance Zones
🔹 Support Level (160.139):
The lowest point in the chart, where price tested twice and formed the Double Bottom.
Buyers stepped in aggressively at this level, preventing further decline.
Stop Loss Placement: Below this support zone for long trades.
🔹 Resistance Zone (163.725 - Target Level):
The previous swing high and a major supply zone.
A breakout above this area could lead to further bullish momentum.
📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup?
✅ Bullish Trade Setup (Breakout & Retest Confirmation)
This setup is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on breakout and retest strategies.
📌 Entry:
Wait for a strong bullish candle to confirm the retest of the trendline.
A break above the 162.500 level could be a good entry confirmation.
📌 Target:
First target: 163.725 (Resistance Zone).
If momentum continues, the next upside target could be around 164.500.
📌 Stop Loss:
Below 160.139 (previous support level) to minimize risk.
Alternatively, place it below the trendline retest zone if entering aggressively.
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
This trade offers a strong RRR, as the downside risk is limited, while the upside potential is higher.
🔴 Bearish Scenario – What if the Retest Fails?
While the bias is bullish, traders must be prepared for a fake breakout scenario. If price fails to hold above the trendline and neckline, the structure might break down.
📌 Bearish Entry:
If price rejects the retest zone and closes back below 161.500, it could indicate a false breakout.
📌 Target:
160.139 (Support Level).
📌 Stop Loss:
Above the trendline retest zone to protect against unexpected bullish moves.
🔎 Key Takeaways & Final Thoughts
✅ The Double Bottom pattern signals a potential trend reversal.
✅ The trendline breakout & retest adds further confirmation to the bullish bias.
✅ A breakout above 162.500 could accelerate buying pressure toward 163.725.
✅ Risk management is essential: A well-placed stop loss below the support level ensures minimal downside risk.
✅ If price rejects the retest zone, traders should be prepared for a possible bearish reversal.
📌 Overall Bias: Bullish ✅
📌 Trade Confirmation: Needs trendline retest hold + bullish breakout 📈
📌 Key Level to Watch: 162.500 (Breakout Confirmation Zone) 🔥
💡 Pro Tip : Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade. A strong bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing candle) on the H1 or H4 timeframe could provide extra confidence in the setup! 🚀
EUR/GBP Chart Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders Bullish SetupThis EUR/GBP 1-hour chart showcases a classic Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. This pattern is considered one of the most reliable technical formations for spotting upcoming upward momentum, particularly after a prolonged downtrend.
🔎 Market Overview
Currency Pair: EUR/GBP
Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
Current Price: 0.83720
Trend: Transitioning from a downtrend to a potential bullish breakout
Key Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders
Trading Bias: Bullish (Pending breakout confirmation)
📊 Chart Breakdown & Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Before the formation of the Inverse Head & Shoulders, the market was in a strong downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows. However, buyers started stepping in near the 0.8350 level, preventing further decline. This rejection at key support has set the stage for a potential trend reversal.
Left Shoulder: Price formed a minor low around 0.8370, followed by a small bounce.
Head: Price made a deeper low around 0.8351, confirming strong support and buyer interest.
Right Shoulder: Price attempted another dip but failed to break below the previous low, forming a higher low near 0.8370, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
Neckline Resistance: 0.8385 - 0.8390 zone – a crucial level that price needs to break for confirmation of an uptrend.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level: 0.83513 (Major demand zone)
Resistance Levels:
Neckline: 0.8385 - 0.8390 (Breakout confirmation zone)
Major Resistance: 0.84308 (Target level)
Curve Zone: A dynamic resistance trendline that has been containing price action. A breakout above this curve signals a potential shift in trend.
📈 Trading Strategy – Bullish Breakout Plan
✅ Entry Strategy:
A long trade should be considered only after a confirmed breakout above the neckline (0.8385 - 0.8390). The confirmation comes when:
A strong bullish candle closes above the neckline.
Increased trading volume supports the breakout.
A possible retest of the neckline as new support (0.8385) before continuation.
🎯 Target Price & Stop Loss:
Take Profit (TP): 0.84308 (Projected move based on pattern size).
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.83513 (Right Shoulder low).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2 or higher, making this a high-probability trade setup.
🛑 Risk Management & Trade Confirmation:
Volume Confirmation: A breakout should be accompanied by a volume spike, confirming strong buyer interest.
Fakeout Warning: If price briefly breaks above the neckline but then falls back below, it could be a false breakout. In this case, waiting for a retest would be a safer approach.
Trailing Stop: Once price moves toward 0.8410, a trailing stop can help secure profits in case of market reversals.
🧐 Summary – Key Takeaways
✅ Inverse Head & Shoulders Identified – A reliable bullish reversal pattern.
✅ Breakout Zone: 0.8385 - 0.8390 (Watch for confirmation).
✅ Target Price: 0.84308 (Potential profit zone).
✅ Stop Loss: Below 0.83513 (Protect against downside risk).
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable (1:2 or better).
✅ Trading Plan: Buy above the neckline, aim for 0.8430, and manage risk properly.
📌 Final Thought: If the neckline is broken with strong momentum, expect a bullish move toward 0.8430+. However, traders should remain cautious of potential fakeouts and manage risk accordingly.
📢 Share your thoughts in the comments! Are you bullish on EUR/GBP? 🚀📊
#EURGBP #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #InverseHeadAndShoulders
(XAU/USD) Bearish Reversal After Head & Shoulders Formation."
Overview:
The price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe indicates a potential bearish move. A Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a possible trend reversal. The market recently tested a resistance level and is now showing signs of weakness.
Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance: $3,044 - $3,055 (Rejection Zone)
🔹 Sell Entry: Below $3,028 (Break of Support)
🔹 Support Level: Around $2,980 (First Key Level)
🔹 Target: $2,940 - $2,931 (Final Bearish Target)
Analysis:
✅ Price has broken below the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming a potential sell-off.
✅ A retest of the broken support as resistance could offer a better entry for shorts.
✅ If the price holds below $3,028, further downside toward $2,940 is expected.
✅ Bullish invalidation if price breaks back above $3,044.
Trade Idea:
📉 Sell below: $3,028
🎯 Target: $2,940
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3,044
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, with risk-to-reward favoring sellers. Monitor price action for confirmation before entering a trade.
🚀 What’s your view on Gold? Comment below!
EUR/USD Falling Wedge Breakout – Professional Chart AnalysisOverview of the Chart
The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a bullish trading setup, featuring a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a trendline breakout, and a retest phase, signaling a potential upward move. The chart is marked with key technical elements such as support and resistance zones, breakout confirmation, and risk management parameters.
This analysis will break down each component of the chart, explaining the logic behind the setup and how traders can approach this opportunity.
1. Identified Chart Patterns
Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Signal)
The price action formed a falling wedge, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, creating a narrowing price channel.
This pattern is typically a bullish reversal structure, as it indicates weakening selling pressure before an expected breakout.
The wedge’s downward movement ended with a strong breakout to the upside, signaling buyers regaining control.
2. Key Technical Levels
Support & Resistance Zones
Support Level (Buyers’ Stronghold)
The horizontal support level is a price area where buyers have previously stepped in, preventing further declines.
This level has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength as a key demand zone.
Resistance Zone (Profit Target Area)
The highlighted resistance zone represents a supply area where the price has struggled to move past in previous sessions.
The target price level aligns with this resistance, making it a realistic profit target for the long position.
3. Trendline Breakout Confirmation
Before forming the wedge, the chart shows an uptrend with a breakout above a trendline.
This trendline breakout was an early signal of bullish strength, aligning with the later wedge breakout.
After the breakout, the price came back for a retest, which is a key confirmation before further upward movement.
4. Retesting Phase Before the Upward Move
After breaking out of the wedge, the price returned to the breakout level to confirm support.
Retesting is a crucial validation step—if the price holds above this level, it increases the probability of a continued bullish move.
This retesting action provides a potential entry point for traders looking to go long.
5. Trade Setup & Risk Management Strategy
Trade Entry:
A buy entry is considered after the retest is confirmed (price holding above the breakout level).
Stop Loss Placement (Risk Control):
The stop loss is placed below the previous low at 1.07790, ensuring protection against fake breakouts or unexpected reversals.
Take Profit Target (Projected Price Move):
The target price is set at 1.09698, which aligns with previous resistance levels and the measured move from the wedge breakout.
This provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making the setup favorable for bullish traders.
6. Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Viability
Risk: The distance between the entry point and the stop loss is relatively small, making it a low-risk trade.
Reward: The potential upside move is significantly higher than the risk, creating a high reward-to-risk ratio trade.
This type of technical confluence increases the probability of a successful trade, making it an attractive opportunity.
7. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ The falling wedge breakout signals a bullish reversal.
✅ The trendline breakout and retest add further confirmation to the trade setup.
✅ The support and resistance zones provide a clear risk management strategy.
✅ The risk-reward ratio makes this an attractive long trade setup.
💡 Trading Plan:
🔹 Enter Long after retest confirmation above the breakout level.
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07790 (below previous low).
🔹 Take Profit: 1.09698 (previous resistance zone).
Final Thoughts
This EUR/USD setup is a textbook example of a bullish reversal following a falling wedge breakout. Traders who patiently wait for a confirmed retest can capitalize on this high-probability trade setup, aiming for a strong bullish continuation.
🔹 Tags: #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #PriceAction #TradingSetup #SupportResistance
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📊 Overview of the Chart
This 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) provides a classic example of a Rising Wedge Breakdown, a bearish reversal pattern. The price initially followed a strong uptrend, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, but failed to sustain momentum at the key resistance zone (~$34.00 - $34.50). This led to a breakout to the downside, which has now confirmed a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
This analysis will break down each key level, the technical indicators supporting this trade setup, and how traders can approach it effectively.
🛠️ Breakdown of the Chart Components
1️⃣ Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern Identified)
The price action created a Rising Wedge, which is a bearish pattern characterized by an uptrend where the higher highs and higher lows start converging into a narrowing range.
This shows that while buyers were pushing prices higher, their strength was gradually fading.
The breakdown of this structure signaled a loss of bullish momentum, leading to a shift in trend.
2️⃣ Resistance Level & Sell Zone Identified
The resistance level at $34.00 - $34.50 has acted as a supply zone where sellers stepped in, preventing further upside.
A bearish rejection at this zone confirms that sellers are still dominant.
3️⃣ Retest of the Broken Support (Key Confirmation)
After the breakout from the wedge, the price made a retest of the broken trendline, a classic move before further downside.
Retesting this area confirms that it is now acting as resistance rather than support, further strengthening the bearish case.
4️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Structure
The dashed trendline was previously supportive, but now that the price has broken below it, it has turned into a resistance level.
This shift in market structure is a strong bearish signal.
5️⃣ Key Support Levels & Target Projection
The next major support level is at $32.00, a level where price previously found demand.
The ultimate target price is around $31.18, which aligns with historical support and Fibonacci retracement levels.
📉 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup?
✅ Entry Point (Short/Sell Setup)
A good shorting opportunity arises if the price retests the resistance at $33.50 - $34.00 and shows bearish confirmation (like a rejection candlestick or a bearish engulfing pattern).
📍 Stop Loss (SL) Placement
SL should be above $34.20 to avoid getting stopped out by potential fakeouts.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels
TP1: $32.00 (First support level)
TP2: $31.18 (Final bearish target)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio
Entry at $33.50 - $34.00 with SL at $34.20 and TP at $31.18 provides an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (~1:4).
📌 Market Sentiment & Conclusion
🔴 Bearish signals are dominant, suggesting further downside potential.
📉 A strong bearish move is expected if the price fails to reclaim $34.00.
🎯 Targeting $31.18 in the upcoming sessions.
📢 Final Advice: Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. A successful retest and rejection at $33.50 - $34.00 will be a high-probability short setup. 🚀
🔥 Follow price action and risk management principles for a successful trade! 🔥
Trading Setup for CHF/USD – Triple Bottom Breakout Strategy📌 Chart Pattern: Triple Bottom with Trendline Breakout
This CHF/USD chart showcases a triple bottom formation, a bullish reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after three consecutive lows at a strong support level. The price action respects this support zone and attempts a trendline breakout, suggesting a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
📊 Full Chart Breakdown & Professional Analysis
1️⃣ Key Levels & Structure:
✅ Support Level (1.1300 - 1.1270):
The price has tested this region three times, indicating strong buying interest.
This forms a triple bottom, a reliable reversal pattern in technical analysis.
✅ Resistance Zone (1.1400 - 1.1420):
The price previously reversed from this zone, making it a key short-term resistance level.
✅ Target Level (1.1457):
A breakout above resistance could drive the price toward this measured move target, representing a 1% potential gain.
✅ Stop Loss (1.1269):
Placed below the support zone to minimize risk in case of a breakdown.
2️⃣ Price Action & Trendline Breakout:
📌 Triple Bottom Formation:
Price hits the same support level three times, signaling strong demand.
Each bounce from support indicates a gradual weakening of bearish momentum.
📌 Trendline Breakout:
The price broke a downward-sloping trendline, suggesting a potential bullish move.
A successful retest of the trendline could confirm further upside.
📌 Expected Move:
Scenario 1: Price confirms the breakout, retests, and moves toward resistance.
Scenario 2: If resistance is broken, price targets the next major level at 1.1457.
3️⃣ Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup?
🎯 Buy Entry:
Enter long after a confirmed breakout and retest of the trendline.
📉 Stop Loss:
Below 1.1269 (beneath triple bottom support) to limit downside risk.
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
Target 1: 1.1400 (Resistance Area)
Target 2: 1.1457 (Measured Move Projection)
💡 Risk-Reward Ratio:
Favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:3, making it an attractive setup for traders.
4️⃣ Market Psychology Behind This Move:
Bears losing strength: Multiple failed attempts to break support indicate sellers are exhausted.
Bulls gaining momentum: Trendline breakout shows buyers are stepping in with confidence.
Breakout confirmation: If resistance breaks, a strong rally toward 1.1457 is likely.
📌 Summary: Bullish CHF/USD Trade Idea
🔹 Pattern: Triple Bottom + Trendline Breakout
🔹 Entry: Buy on retest confirmation
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.1269
🔹 Target: 1.1400 & 1.1457
🔹 Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:3 setup
🚀 This is a high-probability trade setup with strong technical confirmation, making it a great opportunity for breakout traders! 🚀
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Outlook Explained
Dollar Index is currently consolidating within a range on intraday time frames.
Testing its upper boundary, the market formed a double top pattern.
With a strong bearish mood after the opening, the market is going
to drop lower.
Goal - 103.8
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
JPY/USD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Full Professional Analysis1. Introduction to the Chart Pattern
The JPY/USD chart on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe displays a well-defined Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is a well-known bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. This pattern signals the potential end of the previous uptrend and the beginning of a downward move.
A Head & Shoulders pattern consists of three main components:
Left Shoulder: The price rallies to a peak, then retraces.
Head: The price rises higher than the left shoulder, marking the highest point before declining.
Right Shoulder: A lower peak compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish strength.
Neckline: The horizontal support level that, once broken, confirms the bearish trend.
2. Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone)
The blue box at the top represents the resistance area, where price action was repeatedly rejected.
This indicates strong selling pressure at this level, preventing further bullish momentum.
🔹 Support Level (Neckline)
The horizontal blue line acts as the support level or neckline of the H&S pattern.
Price has tested this area multiple times, confirming it as a crucial level for trend continuation or reversal.
🔹 Trend Line (Dynamic Support)
The black dashed trend line represents the previous uptrend, which provided support before being violated.
The break of this trend line suggests a weakening bullish structure and increased chances of a bearish move.
3. Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern
Initial Uptrend:
The market was in a strong uptrend before forming the Head & Shoulders pattern.
Buyers pushed the price higher, making higher highs and higher lows.
Formation of Left Shoulder:
Price reached a peak and then retraced, forming the left shoulder as sellers entered the market.
Formation of the Head:
A strong rally followed, breaking the left shoulder’s peak and reaching a new high, forming the head.
However, buyers started losing momentum, leading to another retracement.
Formation of Right Shoulder:
The price made another attempt to move upward but failed to surpass the head’s high, forming the right shoulder.
This signaled a reduction in bullish strength and potential trend exhaustion.
Neckline Breakdown (Bearish Confirmation):
The price dropped below the neckline (support level), confirming a bearish reversal.
This is the official entry signal for traders looking for a short setup.
4. Expected Market Behavior & Trading Setup
📉 Bearish Confirmation Steps:
Neckline Retest: The price might retest the broken neckline before continuing downward.
Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Look for rejection signals like bearish engulfing or shooting star formations.
Volume Increase on Breakdown: Strong selling pressure confirms the trend continuation.
🎯 Potential Take Profit Levels:
1️⃣ Target 1 (TP1): 0.006492 – This is a short-term support level, where the price might pause before further decline.
2️⃣ Target 2 (TP2): 0.006430 – A stronger support zone, where sellers may take profits.
🚨 Stop Loss Placement:
A stop-loss should be placed above the right shoulder to protect against false breakouts.
This ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
5. Risk Management & Market Conditions
✅ Entry Strategy: Wait for a retest of the neckline for a higher probability short trade.
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Ideally, aim for 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability.
✅ Market Catalysts: Be cautious of fundamental news events, as they can cause unexpected volatility.
6. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook for JPY/USD
🔸 The Head & Shoulders pattern breakdown suggests a strong bearish trend reversal.
🔸 If the neckline holds as resistance, a short trade offers a high-probability setup.
🔸 Price may reach TP1 first, then potentially extend to TP2 if selling pressure persists.
📢 Final Verdict: Bearish trend confirmed; watch for short opportunities on retest.
📊 TradingView Tags:
#JPYUSD #HeadAndShoulders #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishBreakout #ShortTrade
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Setup! 📌 Overview of the Chart Setup
This daily Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart presents a technical breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal signal. The price has been forming lower highs and lower lows over the past months, consolidating within a tightening structure. However, the current price action suggests an early breakout attempt, which could lead to significant upside movement in the coming weeks.
Let’s break down the key levels, technical insights, and trading opportunities visible in this chart.
📉 Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
🔹 What is a Falling Wedge?
A falling wedge is a bullish continuation or reversal pattern characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines. It typically signals a loss of bearish momentum, leading to a breakout to the upside.
🔹 Key Observations in the Chart
The price has been moving inside the falling wedge structure, with clear lower highs and lower lows.
The support level around $75,000-$80,000 has been repeatedly tested, forming a strong demand zone.
A trendline breakout has occurred, suggesting that bulls are regaining control over the price action.
Volume is expected to increase upon a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
📊 Important Technical Levels
1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones
📌 Support Level: The $75,000-$80,000 zone has acted as a strong base, preventing further downside. Buyers have stepped in multiple times here.
📌 Resistance Level: The $95,000-$100,000 range represents a historical resistance where price has struggled to break through.
2️⃣ Trendline Breakout
The chart clearly shows a breakout above the falling wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
If this breakout holds, Bitcoin could see strong buying pressure pushing it toward its next major resistance level.
📈 Trading Strategy & Setup
🔹 Entry Confirmation
To enter a long position, traders should wait for:
✅ A daily close above the wedge resistance (confirmed breakout).
✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which strengthens the bullish case.
A breakout retest is ideal because it provides a lower-risk entry point, ensuring the breakout is legitimate rather than a false move.
🔹 Target Price Projection
Using the height of the falling wedge as a projection, the potential price target is set at $118,000.
This level aligns with a 35%+ upside from the breakout zone.
Bitcoin must clear the $95,000-$100,000 resistance before reaching the final target.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement
A stop loss is positioned at $59,896, slightly below the previous major support zone.
This ensures that if the breakout fails, losses are minimized while still allowing price fluctuations within expected volatility.
🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Entry around breakout level (~$87,000)
Target: $118,000 (35% upside)
Stop Loss: $59,896 (~30% downside)
Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:3, making this an attractive trade setup.
📢 Market Psychology & Sentiment
Why This Pattern Matters?
A falling wedge represents seller exhaustion. Over time, the bearish pressure weakens, leading to a bullish breakout.
If Bitcoin can maintain this breakout, momentum traders and institutional investors may step in, accelerating the rally.
Breaking above the resistance at $95K-$100K would confirm bullish dominance, potentially leading to new all-time highs.
Potential Risks
❌ Fake Breakout: If Bitcoin fails to hold above the wedge resistance, we may see a pullback to support before another breakout attempt.
❌ Macro Factors: External factors like regulatory news, interest rate decisions, and market-wide sentiment could impact price action.
❌ Bitcoin Dominance: If altcoins start rallying, some capital may rotate out of Bitcoin, slowing the upside move.
🚀 Final Thoughts: A High-Probability Bullish Setup
✅ The falling wedge breakout suggests a strong bullish shift, with a 35%+ potential upside.
✅ A confirmed breakout above $95K-$100K will act as a final confirmation before the next leg up.
✅ Risk is managed with a stop loss at $59,896, ensuring downside protection.
🔹 Best trading approach? Wait for confirmation, manage risk, and let the trend develop.
Would you like additional insights on entry techniques, volume confirmation, or potential invalidation points? 😊
XAU/USD – Triple Top Formation & Bearish Breakdown Potential📌 Overview of the Chart
This chart presents the XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) price action on a 15-minute timeframe, highlighting a classic Triple Top pattern. The Triple Top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It signals that buyers have attempted to push the price higher multiple times but failed, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
This pattern is crucial for traders as it often precedes a trend reversal. The breakdown below the neckline (support level) confirms that selling pressure is taking over, leading to a potential decline.
📊 Identifying the Triple Top Formation
A Triple Top pattern consists of three peaks (Top 1, Top 2, and Top 3) at nearly the same resistance level. Here’s a detailed breakdown of its formation:
🔹 Step 1: Price Uptrend Leading to Resistance
Before the pattern develops, the price follows a strong uptrend with buyers dominating.
The price reaches a key resistance level and faces rejection (Top 1), signaling initial weakness.
🔹 Step 2: Repeated Attempts to Break Resistance
After pulling back slightly, buyers make another attempt to break through resistance (Top 2), but fail again.
This signals that sellers are actively defending this price zone.
🔹 Step 3: Final Rejection & Breakdown Setup
The third attempt (Top 3) fails to break resistance once more.
This repeated rejection confirms a Triple Top formation.
The price then moves toward the neckline (support level), which is a critical area for the bearish breakdown.
📉 Trading Setup & Execution Strategy
✅ Entry Point – When to Open a Short Position?
A short position is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline with a strong bearish candlestick.
A breakdown with high volume strengthens the bearish confirmation.
Conservative traders may wait for a retest of the broken neckline before entering.
❌ Stop Loss Placement – Managing Risk
The stop loss should be placed above the highest peak ($3,039.076), ensuring protection against false breakouts.
If the price moves above this level, the Triple Top pattern fails, and the bearish setup is invalidated.
🎯 Profit Targets – Where to Exit?
After the breakdown, price action usually follows a measured move based on the height of the pattern. The following target levels are identified:
1️⃣ First Target: $3,000.962 → A key support level where price may pause.
2️⃣ Second Target: $2,991.766 → A deeper support area that aligns with the price projection from the pattern.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it an attractive opportunity for short sellers.
📈 Confirmation Signals to Strengthen the Setup
To increase the probability of a successful trade, look for additional confirmations:
🔸 Volume Analysis:
A spike in selling volume at the neckline breakdown suggests strong bearish conviction.
Low volume breakdowns may indicate a false move, requiring extra caution.
🔸 Retest of the Neckline:
Sometimes, after breaking below the neckline, the price retests the level before continuing downward.
This provides a secondary entry opportunity for traders who missed the initial breakdown.
🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators:
If RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows bearish divergence, it adds confidence to the downside move.
Momentum indicators like MACD crossing bearish further confirm selling pressure.
📍 Key Considerations & Risk Management
🔹 False Breakout Risk: If price bounces back above the neckline after the breakdown, it could be a false move. Waiting for confirmation reduces this risk.
🔹 Macro Fundamentals: Gold prices are sensitive to economic news, interest rates, and geopolitical events. Unexpected fundamental shifts can impact the pattern’s reliability.
🔹 Trailing Stop Strategy: To protect profits, traders can use a trailing stop-loss, adjusting as the price moves toward targets.
🔍 Summary & Trading Plan
📊 Pattern: Triple Top (Bearish Reversal)
📉 Bias: Bearish (Short Setup)
🛠️ Entry: Sell below neckline confirmation
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $3,000.96
Target 2: $2,991.76
🚨 Stop Loss: Above $3,039
💡 Final Thoughts
The Triple Top pattern on XAU/USD suggests a high-probability bearish setup. A confirmed neckline breakdown signals selling pressure, with price targets well-aligned with historical support zones. Patience and confirmation are key—watch for a clean breakdown or a potential retest before entering.
Would you like any modifications or additional insights? 🚀
Adyen (ADYEN) – Technical Analysis and 1W OutlookTechnical Analysis
Adyen's stock is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a potential breakout. The recent price surge confirmed the pattern's breakout, but a correction toward the 0.618 Fibonacci level (1457.2 EUR) is possible, acting as a key buying zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1720.8 EUR (0.5 Fibonacci), 2311 EUR (0.236 Fibonacci)
Support: 1457.2 EUR (0.618 Fibonacci), 1081.8 EUR (0.786 Fibonacci)
Target: 2838 EUR
Indicators suggest a potential continuation of the uptrend:
MACD is signaling bullish momentum
Stochastic indicates a possible correction before further upside
Fundamental Analysis
Adyen is a leading player in the payment technology sector, serving major companies like Uber, Spotify, and Microsoft.
Key Factors Impacting the Stock:
Financial Performance: Recent earnings reports showed revenue growth driven by increased payment volumes.
Macroeconomics: Lower inflation and potential interest rate cuts could benefit the tech sector.
Competition: Pressure from PayPal and Stripe remains a key risk.
Adyen maintains bullish potential following the triangle breakout. The 1457-1500 EUR zone is crucial for trend confirmation, with a possible long-term target at 2838 EUR. However, a short-term correction remains possible.
Wingstop Inc. (WING) 1WTechnical Analysis 1W
The chart shows a breakout of the weekly uptrend line, signaling potential further downside.
Key Levels:
-Support: 206.49 USD (0.382 Fib), 152.93 USD (0.236 Fib), 66.36 USD (0 Fib)
- Resistance: 249.78 USD (0.5 Fib), 293.07 USD (0.618 Fib), 354.70 USD (0.786 Fib)
Indicators suggest weakness.
Fundamental Analysis:
Wingstop specializes in chicken wings.
Key Factors:
- Financials: Revenue growth, but high valuation increases correction risk
- Macroeconomics: Interest rates impact consumer spending
- Competition: Pressure from McDonald's and KFC
Conclusion: A break below 152.93 USD could lead to 66.36 USD. Bulls need a recovery above 249.78 USD for trend reversal.
Mon 24th Mar 2025 NZD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Mon 24th Mar 2025 XAG/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAG/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Mon 24th Mar 2025 GBP/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Mon 24th Mar 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim