Gold Bounces Modestly from Trendline Support – But Is It Enough?Gold is holding just above rising trendline and 50-day SMA support (~$3,175), but the rebound has been tepid so far:
📉 Price action: Small-bodied candles reflect indecision
📊 RSI stuck near 50, suggesting a lack of directional momentum
📉 MACD still trending lower, though starting to flatten
📍Support:
Rising trendline and 50-day SMA: $3,175–$3,180
Below that: $3,100 (psychological + former resistance)
📍Resistance:
Initial resistance near $3,300
Heavier resistance back at $3,400+
⚠️ Big picture: The longer gold churns sideways near trendline support, the more vulnerable it becomes. Bulls need a strong move above $3,300 to reassert control.
-MW
Technical Analysis
USDCHF Will the Downtrend Break or Bounce? Full Trade Plan TodayUSDCHF – Will the Downtrend Break or Bounce? | Full Trade Plan Today 🔥
🌍 Macro Overview
USDCHF remains in a short-term bearish correction, reflecting current macroeconomic uncertainties surrounding US interest rate expectations and safe-haven demand for CHF.
USD is under pressure after softer-than-expected CPI and PPI data last week, increasing speculation that the Fed may cut rates in Q3.
CHF continues to benefit from its safe-haven status amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and fragile European growth.
However, the key support around 0.8318 has acted as a major demand zone. If bulls react strongly here, we could see a technical rebound in the short term.
📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H2)
USDCHF is trading within a descending channel, showing lower highs and lower lows.
Price is now testing the lower boundary of the channel around 0.8318, which also aligns with a key liquidity area.
EMAs (13 and 34) still slope downward, but momentum is slowing — a possible signal that sellers are losing strength.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Zones:
0.8395 → Recent swing high & supply zone
0.8459 → Medium-term structural resistance
🔻 Support Zones:
0.8318 → Major confluence zone (channel bottom + demand block)
0.8230 → Final support level before deeper drop
🎯 Trade Setups
✅ Scenario A – Bullish Reversal from Support (Preferred):
Entry (Buy): 0.8318 – 0.8322 (after bullish rejection confirmation)
Stop Loss: 0.8288
Take Profits: 0.8395 → 0.8430 → 0.8459
✅ Scenario B – Bearish Breakdown Below Support:
Entry (Sell): 0.8300 – 0.8310 (only if price closes below 0.8310 on H2)
Stop Loss: 0.8340
Take Profits: 0.8260 → 0.8230 → 0.8200
⚠️ What to Watch Today:
Market may see higher volatility during the US session, especially with housing data (Existing Home Sales) and Fed speakers lined up.
Watch for clean price action around 0.8318 — no need to rush entries until confirmation appears.
This is a reactive market, not a predictive one. Let price speak first.
📌 Follow for real-time market updates and actionable strategies during US trading hours.
GBP/USD Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum FadesGBP/USD Trading Plan – May 20th | Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum Fades
🌐 Macro Overview
GBP/USD is currently influenced by several macroeconomic forces:
USD strength is returning, supported by stable US data (Retail Sales, Jobless Claims), leading the market to delay expectations of a Fed rate cut.
The British Pound is under pressure as the Bank of England (BoE) is not expected to raise rates further amid slowing domestic growth and easing inflation.
Simultaneously, US-China trade tensions and US debt concerns are keeping market sentiment cautious. The pair is forming a bullish flag structure, but signs of exhaustion are emerging.
📉 Technical Analysis (2H Chart)
GBP/USD is moving within a rising channel. However:
1.3433 remains a strong resistance, aligning with a local top — breakout potential is limited in the short term.
A rising wedge pattern is forming — watch for a potential trap followed by a sharp sell-off.
EMA13 and EMA34 are diverging, signaling distribution and potential reversal ahead.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Major Resistance:
🔺 1.3433 – recent swing high and potential double top
🔺 1.3355 – mid-range resistance and EMA34 convergence (H2)
Key Support:
🔻 1.3303 – key FIBO + trendline intersection
🔻 1.3251 – medium-term bullish structure support
🔻 1.3174 – previous swing low and strategic BUY ZONE
🎯 Trading Scenarios
📍 Scenario A – False Break and Rejection from Resistance
Entry (SELL): 1.3430 – 1.3433 (after bearish confirmation)
Stop Loss: 1.3460
Take Profits: 1.3355 → 1.3303 → 1.3250
📍 Scenario B – Breakdown and Failed Retest
Entry (SELL): 1.3303 – 1.3310 (after support break and retest)
Stop Loss: 1.3340
Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3174
📍 Scenario C – Deep Buy from Strong Support
Entry (BUY): 1.3170 – 1.3174
Stop Loss: 1.3140
Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3300
⚠️ Key Reminders:
Stay cautious ahead of key US releases this week (PMI, FOMC Minutes), which may trigger high volatility.
Avoid FOMO and respect SL/TP discipline — especially near potential trap zones.
📌 Follow for intraday updates and real-time trade setups as the structure evolves. Flexibility is key in this market.
EURCHF: Bullish Wave Ahead?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭
I think that EURCHF is going to resume a bullish rally soon.
A strong bullish reaction to a rising trend line on a daily,
triggered a formation of a buying imbalance on a 4H time frame
and a Change of Character.
I expect a growth at least to 0.941 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/JPY 1H: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout + Target 🧠 Overview of the Setup
The EUR/JPY currency pair has recently completed a Falling Wedge pattern, a classic and powerful bullish reversal formation. This chart structure typically signals the end of a downtrend and the potential beginning of a strong upward impulse.
In this setup, multiple confluences point toward a bullish move, including pattern breakout, structure shift, retest of a dynamic support level, and alignment with major supply/resistance zones.
🔍 Pattern Analysis: Falling Wedge
Definition: A falling wedge is a technical pattern formed by two downward-sloping trendlines — one representing resistance and the other support — that converge. It signals a slowdown in bearish momentum, often preceding a bullish reversal.
Chart Observation: The wedge is well-defined, spanning several trading sessions. As price action tightened toward the apex, bearish momentum began to weaken.
Breakout Trigger: Price broke convincingly above the upper wedge boundary, suggesting the start of a bullish reversal.
✅ Implication: The breakout confirms that buyers have taken control, especially as this move is supported by a structural Change of Character (CHOCH).
📈 Price Action Structure & Key Zones
1. Minor Resistance (Broken)
After the breakout, price encountered a minor resistance zone just above the wedge. This area is now likely to flip into support (a classic breakout retest).
2. Major CHOCH (Change of Character)
A CHOCH indicates a break in market structure — from lower highs and lower lows to higher highs and higher lows.
The break above this level confirms a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
3. Curved Support (Black Min Curve)
A rising curved trendline has formed below current price, acting as a parabolic support structure.
This suggests not just a trend reversal, but increasing bullish momentum, as buyers step in at higher levels with each correction.
4. Major Resistance Zone (Target Area)
Price Target: ~164.50 – 165.50
This zone has historically acted as strong supply and is marked for potential take-profit or observation for reversal signals.
The target is derived from both horizontal resistance and the projected height of the wedge pattern.
🎯 Trading Strategy
Component Details
Entry Zone 162.50 – 162.60 (retest of minor resistance + curve support)
Stop Loss Below 162.00 (beneath wedge and curve)
Take Profit 164.50 – 165.50 (major resistance)
Risk/Reward Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3
🔸 Conservative Entry: Wait for bullish confirmation (bullish engulfing candle or pin bar) on the support retest.
🔸 Aggressive Entry: Market buy after confirmation of curve bounce or on lower timeframe bullish signals.
📊 Volume & Momentum Consideration
Although volume isn’t shown on this chart, volume confirmation on the breakout would significantly strengthen the bullish bias. Look for:
Increasing buy volume on breakout
Lower sell volume on pullbacks
Bullish divergence (if using RSI or MACD)
⚠️ Risk Management & Event Awareness
Be cautious of unexpected JPY-related economic releases (e.g., BOJ announcements, inflation data) that may cause volatility.
If the curved support is broken decisively, this could invalidate the setup, suggesting further consolidation or downside risk.
🧠 Psychological Perspective
The Falling Wedge reflects a market where sellers are gradually losing control — pushing price lower, but with less conviction. As the wedge tightens, bulls prepare to step in. The breakout confirms that sentiment has shifted, and many traders use such setups as entry points for swing or momentum trades.
The curved support line suggests a transition from accumulation to markup phase, which typically leads to faster price expansion as confidence in the uptrend grows.
✅ Summary
✅ Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish)
✅ Breakout: Confirmed with CHOCH
✅ Support: Curve trendline acting as dynamic support
✅ Target: 164.50 – 165.50 major resistance
✅ Bias: Bullish (until curve support is broken)
📣 Final Thoughts
This is a high-probability bullish continuation setup backed by price structure, pattern breakout, and support alignment. The risk is well-defined, and reward potential is strong — making this a favorable setup for swing traders or short-term position traders.
💬 Let me know what you think in the comments — are you going long EUR/JPY?
👍 Like and Follow for more setups and breakdowns.
EUR/GBP – Bearish Breakout Expected & Triangle Pattern + TargetThe EUR/GBP pair is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, often considered a neutral pattern that precedes a breakout in either direction. However, when placed in context with the prevailing downtrend, surrounding key support/resistance zones, and price action behavior, this pattern strongly hints at a bearish continuation.
This is a textbook setup where market compression within a triangle leads to a volatility expansion, offering traders a clear breakout structure with manageable risk and high reward potential.
🔺 Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle forms when the price creates lower highs and higher lows, converging toward an apex. This indicates market indecision or consolidation. The price is being squeezed between buyers and sellers, leading to reduced volatility.
In the current EUR/GBP chart:
The triangle is forming after a strong bearish impulse, which suggests the probability favors a breakout to the downside (trend continuation).
The triangle’s boundaries are respected with multiple touches, increasing the reliability of the pattern.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone:
The 0.84290 level has acted as strong resistance, capping bullish attempts multiple times. This zone aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle and the prior rejection point.
🟢 Support Zone:
The 0.83915 - 0.83710 zone is a previous support structure that saw multiple reactions. This is the projected take-profit region if the breakdown follows through.
🔵 Breakout Retest Area:
If price breaks the lower triangle trendline (~0.84100), a retest of the broken line may offer a high-probability short entry. This is a common occurrence in technical setups — former support becomes new resistance.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight:
Triangle patterns often reflect a period of balance — bulls and bears are temporarily equal in strength. However, when the price is compressing inside a triangle after a strong directional move (in this case, downward), the market is typically building pressure to continue in the same direction.
The inability of bulls to push past the resistance and the repeated rejection at lower highs is a psychological signal that buyers are weakening, and a bearish breakout is imminent.
📋 Bearish Trade Plan:
Entry:
After price breaks below the lower triangle boundary (~0.84100) and retests it.
Enter on confirmation of bearish candle rejection or strong volume.
Stop Loss (SL):
Above resistance and triangle top: ~0.84290
This invalidates the setup if breached.
Take Profits:
TP1: 0.83915 — minor support zone and realistic first target.
Final TP: 0.83710 — major support and historical price reaction level.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
With SL around 20 pips and TP1 around 30 pips, and TP2 near 50 pips, this setup offers an excellent risk-reward profile (>1.5 to 2.5 R:R).
📅 Upcoming Events & Volatility Watch:
There are multiple economic events shown on the chart (Euro and UK flags). These could impact price action significantly:
Eurozone announcements
UK economic data releases
Ensure you monitor the economic calendar and avoid entering just before high-impact events unless you're managing your trade closely.
📝 Final Thoughts:
This is a high-probability breakout setup for swing or intraday traders who favor trading patterns with clear structure and back-tested success. The market is compressing, and the squeeze is tightening. Volume is likely to surge on breakout, especially during London or early US sessions.
Keep in mind:
Confirmation is crucial — wait for a decisive breakout and retest before committing capital.
Risk management is non-negotiable — place SL logically beyond structure and respect it.
📌 If the breakout happens to the upside, reevaluate the bias and wait for fresh confirmation. The structure itself remains valid either way — it’s how price reacts at those boundary levels that will dictate the move.
EUR/USD Short Opportunity – Rising Wedge + Retest + TargetThis technical setup on EUR/USD (1H timeframe) highlights a potential high-probability short opportunity based on a combination of price action, chart patterns, and key structural levels. The pair is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum and preparing for a bearish continuation.
🔎 1. Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge Formation
The primary pattern visible is a Rising Wedge, which is traditionally a bearish reversal formation. It’s defined by:
Higher highs and higher lows, but both trendlines are converging, suggesting weakening bullish control.
Volume (not shown here) typically decreases within a rising wedge, further confirming a potential breakout.
This wedge formed after a previous sharp bullish recovery, acting as a continuation structure that often reverses.
In this case, the price formed multiple touches on both wedge boundaries, enhancing the reliability of the pattern.
🧱 2. Key Structural Zones:
Minor Resistance Zone (~1.1270–1.1285):
Clearly marked on the chart with a blue shaded zone.
Price has reacted from this level multiple times, validating it as a supply area.
The most recent attempt to break above this level failed, further confirming seller dominance.
Consolidation Zone (highlighted in yellow):
Prior to the wedge’s formation, price entered a consolidation phase.
Consolidation often precedes a breakout or a trend reversal. In this case, it provided a base for the rally that formed the wedge.
🔁 3. Breakout and Retest:
Price has broken below the lower support line of the rising wedge.
This breakout is a bearish signal and suggests the pair may now be ready for a stronger downside move.
The price appears to be retesting the broken wedge support, which is a classic confirmation move before continuation.
Retests of broken structures often offer low-risk, high-reward entry opportunities.
🎯 4. Trade Plan and Setup:
Entry Zone: Watch for bearish rejection or candle confirmation on the retest of the wedge support turned resistance.
Stop Loss (SL): Positioned just above the resistance zone, at 1.12887, protecting the trade against false breakouts or reversals.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1 – 1.10649: This level is a strong support zone based on previous price action and structural significance.
TP2 – 1.09670: The full measured move from the height of the wedge. This also aligns with historical support and psychological round number proximity (1.10).
🧠 5. Confluence Factors:
Technical Pattern: Rising wedge = bearish.
Support/Resistance: Multiple reactions to both the resistance zone and wedge trendlines confirm market memory.
Price Action: Break + retest = ideal entry confirmation.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, especially with conservative TP1 and aggressive TP2 levels.
Macro Context (optional): If posted during news week – potential USD strength based on rate expectations, NFP, or inflation.
⚠️ 6. Risk Management Tips:
Use a position size that aligns with your account risk tolerance (1–2% rule).
Wait for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or rejection wick) before entering.
Always be prepared for invalidation. If price closes above the resistance zone, this idea is voided.
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Pattern Formed | Retest & Move To Target🧠 Overview:
The JPY/USD pair has recently exhibited a Rising Wedge Pattern, a classic technical formation known for its bearish implications. This pattern has developed over several days of bullish price action, showing diminishing bullish momentum as price action narrows.
The wedge is forming right beneath a minor resistance zone, increasing the likelihood of a potential rejection and breakdown. This setup is particularly noteworthy due to the multiple layers of confluence supporting the bearish bias.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📌 1. Rising Wedge Formation
A rising wedge is often considered a bearish reversal pattern, especially after a strong uptrend.
As seen on the chart, price is respecting both the upper and lower bounds of the wedge, but with a loss of bullish momentum, indicated by shallower highs.
This tightening price action hints at indecision and likely exhaustion from buyers.
📌 2. Minor Resistance Zone
Price has approached a previous structure high where strong selling interest was seen before.
This zone has already rejected price once, acting as a supply area.
The repeated failure to break above reinforces the strength of this resistance.
📌 3. SR Interchange (Support Turned Resistance)
Below the current price action, there's a well-defined Support-Resistance Flip Zone (SR Interchange).
Previously a strong demand area, this zone may now act as a new resistance if price breaks below and retests it.
This is a key area where sellers are likely to step in again.
📌 4. Break & Retest Structure
As price begins to break the lower wedge boundary, the next move we anticipate is a retest of the broken wedge trendline.
This retest, if confirmed by rejection candles (such as bearish engulfing or pin bars), would present an ideal entry opportunity for short positions.
🎯 Trade Plan & Price Levels:
💼 Bearish Scenario
Entry Point: Wait for a successful retest of the broken wedge line (confirmation via price action: bearish engulfing or pin bar).
Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high or above the wedge resistance (~0.006920).
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.006845 – First key support zone.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.006807 – Next major support / liquidity zone.
🧩 Why This Setup Makes Sense:
✅ Multiple Confluences:
Bearish wedge structure = reversal pattern.
Resistance zone = psychological and technical rejection.
SR Interchange = confirms institutional selling interest.
Retest confirmation = high-probability entry.
Target zones = based on recent support levels and market structure.
🛑 Risk Management:
Risk-to-reward ratio favors short positions if executed after retest.
Avoid jumping in early — wait for confirmation.
Proper stop loss is key to avoiding false breakouts or premature entries.
📊 Summary:
This is a textbook bearish setup with strong technical backing. The rising wedge pattern, when combined with resistance and retest zones, offers a great shorting opportunity — assuming price respects the pattern. Patience will be crucial here; wait for the break, the retest, and the confirmation before entering.
🔔 What to Watch:
Price behavior near the lower wedge boundary.
Reaction on retest — do bulls defend or do bears take over?
Confirmation from volume or price action (engulfing candles, rejection wicks).
Any fundamental catalysts or USD-related news.
✍️ Final Thoughts:
This is a well-structured short setup on the JPY/USD 1H chart. Wedges often deceive with temporary breakouts before reversing hard — so discipline, timing, and confirmation will be key. If the market respects this technical structure, we could see a clean drop toward our projected targets.
Gold Price Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting BreakoutGold Price Drops Amid Hawkish Fed Comments - Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting Breakout
Gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a sharp drop following recent hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve. The continuation of tight monetary policy has unsettled investors, leading to strong sell-offs during both the Asian and US trading sessions today.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold is forming a new sideways range, and if you zoom out to higher timeframes, you'll notice a classic bearish flag pattern developing. This suggests that gold is in a period of consolidation before a potential large-scale breakout. While the upward momentum from both the Asian and European sessions was strong, gold failed to break the critical 3250–3255 zone. This area remains vital for determining the next direction in gold's price action.
Should the bearish trend continue, if we break the support trendline below the current price, the likelihood of the bearish flag pattern playing out rises to around 80%. This could lead to further price corrections.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: 3205, 3194, 3280, 3262
Resistance Levels: 3244, 3262, 3278, 3286
📈 Trading Strategy:
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3294 - 3292
Stop Loss (SL): 3288
Take Profit (TP): 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3272 - 3270
SL: 3266
TP: 3276 → 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3330
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3242 - 3244
SL: 3248
TP: 3238 → 3234 → 3230 → 3226 → 3220 → 3210
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3276 - 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240
⚠️ Risk Management:
As we approach the close of the week, the volatility in gold could intensify, especially with the Fed’s actions, market sentiment, and geopolitical developments. Always follow your TP/SL to safeguard your investments and avoid unnecessary risk.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
The market is in a consolidation phase, and it's essential to wait for confirmation before taking significant positions. If gold fails to break the 3250–3255 resistance zone, the chances of a more significant move downwards increase. However, be cautious, as the market is volatile, and things can shift rapidly.
XAGUSD Triangle Pattern Forming – Breakdown on the Horizon?🧠 Technical Analysis – XAG/USD
Silver (XAG/USD) has entered a compression phase, forming a classic Symmetrical Triangle Pattern within a broader Black Mind Curve structure, which adds additional psychological and visual significance. These patterns, when paired together, often signal a build-up of volatility ahead of a powerful breakout.
🔍 Pattern Explanation: Triangle + Black Mind Curve
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: This pattern is marked by converging trendlines of higher lows and lower highs. It reflects indecision between bulls and bears — a tug-of-war where volatility decreases as price coils into the apex.
Black Mind Curve Structure: The curved support and resistance arcs highlight a rounded structure often seen before large breakout moves. These curves create an intuitive framework for understanding how the market is behaving on a broader scale — the "mind of the market" if you will.
🔺 Curve Resistance: Acting as a ceiling suppressing bullish attempts.
🔻 Curve Support: The dynamic floor that has held price within bounds until now.
📉 Breakout & Retest Phase in Play
The triangle has now been breached to the downside, and price is currently in the retest phase — a textbook behavior before continuation. The market is now revisiting the lower boundary of the triangle (~$32.30–$32.40), which is potentially flipping into resistance.
This retest is critical: if price fails to reclaim the triangle and gets rejected, it strengthens the case for further downside.
We’ve also seen a slight uptick in bearish momentum and volume on the initial breakdown.
🎯 Projected Price Targets
We apply the measured move technique, which calculates the triangle’s height and projects it downward from the breakout point:
TP1: $31.68 – A short-term support level and the first technical target.
TP2: $31.12 – Measured move target and key demand zone from the past week.
These levels are not arbitrary — they align with both psychological round numbers and historical structure zones, which often act as magnets for price.
📌 Why This Setup Matters
This isn’t just a triangle breakout. The confluence of the triangle pattern and the Black Mind Curve framework suggests a psychologically significant shift is underway.
Price has respected the curved structure for nearly two weeks.
The triangle represents compression — the final phase before directional expansion.
The false breakout risk is real, but the context (bearish trend leading in, lower highs, failed rallies) favors a downward continuation.
💡 Trade Setup Idea (Example Only)
Parameter Value
🧩 Pattern Symmetrical Triangle
⏳ Phase Retesting after breakdown
🎯 Entry On bearish confirmation at ~$32.30
❌ Stop Loss Above triangle upper bound (~$32.65)
✅ TP1 $31.68
✅ TP2 $31.12
⚖️ Risk/Reward 1:2 or better
Note: Wait for clear rejection candlesticks (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star) to confirm bearish intent.
⚠️ Risk Management & Considerations
Avoid premature entries — wait for candle confirmation on the retest zone.
Adjust lot size and leverage according to personal risk tolerance.
Remember: triangle patterns can break either way — monitor invalidation levels carefully (e.g., a breakout back into triangle with strong volume).
💬 Mindset & Market Psychology
This triangle and curve setup mirrors a battle between consolidation and trend continuation. The curves represent the market’s subconscious behavior — as price rounds out and tests boundaries, the final breakout reveals collective trader sentiment.
“Patterns are footprints of psychology. Trade the behavior, not the prediction.”
Be the trader who waits for the story to unfold. Let structure speak before you act.
✅ In Summary
📌 Pattern: Triangle inside Black Mind Curve
🔍 Key Levels: $32.30 (retest), $31.68 (TP1), $31.12 (TP2)
📉 Bias: Bearish, with potential continuation after retest rejection
⏱️ Timeframe: 1H – Suitable for intraday to short-term swing trades
💬 What do you think – is Silver ready to break down, or will bulls reclaim control? Drop your analysis below! Like & follow for more smart technical setups every week.
BTC/USD Bearish Setup – Trendline Retest Before the Fall?🔍 Technical Breakdown – BTC/USD 3H Timeframe
Bitcoin is displaying a textbook Double Top pattern formation on the 3-hour chart, signaling a potential bearish reversal after a strong bullish run. This classic pattern suggests buyer exhaustion and sets the stage for a downward move. Let's break down the analysis:
🧠 Pattern Insight: Double Top Reversal
A Double Top is one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns, especially when it forms after a sustained uptrend — just like we're seeing here.
Top 1 and Top 2 both formed inside a strong Resistance Zone between $106,500 and $107,000, showing repeated rejection from buyers to push price higher.
The formation of lower highs and long wicks near Top 2 further reinforce the weakening bullish momentum.
💥 Neckline Breakdown & Bearish Trigger
The Neckline, aligned with a horizontal Support Zone (~$103,300–$103,800), was decisively broken, confirming the pattern.
This breakdown acts as the trigger for bearish entries, and we are now in the "Retest Phase", where price often pulls back to the neckline or a nearby trendline before continuing lower.
📐 Trendline Confluence – Retest Opportunity
A short-term descending trendline drawn from Top 2 intersects near the neckline zone.
Price is now approaching this confluence area, offering a potential high-probability short entry if bearish price action confirms (e.g., a rejection candle like a bearish engulfing or pin bar).
🎯 Price Targets & Trade Setup
Parameter Value
📍 Entry On bearish confirmation near neckline/trendline retest (~$105,300)
❌ Stop Loss (SL) Above recent swing high / Top 2 (~$107,100)
🎯 Target ~$97,126 (based on measured move from top to neckline projection)
⚖️ Risk:Reward Approx. 1:3 or better (depending on entry timing)
Measured Target Calculation:
Height from neckline to peak (~$107,000 - $103,500 = $3,500)
Target = Neckline break - height = ~$103,500 - $3,500 = $97,000–$97,100
🔥 Market Context & Psychological Edge
This chart structure reflects a shift in market sentiment. What was once strong bullish momentum is now hesitating — with buyers failing to make higher highs and sellers stepping in aggressively. The double top is not just a pattern, it's a narrative of exhaustion and reversal.
“Let price confirm your bias. Don't just predict; react to structure and behavior.”
Being patient and letting the retest play out is crucial. Don’t rush in early — let the market give you a clean signal. This is where technical discipline pays off.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Crypto markets are highly volatile — avoid oversized positions.
A failed double top can lead to a bullish continuation, so SL discipline is key.
Wait for confirmation — candlestick patterns, momentum shifts, or bearish volume spikes can add confidence.
📌 Summary
✅ Pattern: Double Top
✅ Confirmation: Neckline Break
🔄 Current Phase: Retesting Neckline/Trendline
📉 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: ~$97,100
❗ SL: Above Top 2
💬 What do you think? Are we headed to GETTEX:97K or is this just a fakeout? Drop your thoughts below and don’t forget to like and follow for more trade setups!
THETA Token Is In A Larger Flat CorrectionTheta Token with ticker THETAUSD made a deeper retracement in the last year, but it’s actually still above 2023 lows, so it can still be a larger regular 3-3-5 A-B-C flat correction in play. After recent projected five-wave impulse into wave (C) of a three-wave (A)(B)(C) decline in blue wave B, it can be now on the way back to March 2024 highs for blue wave C, which could be a five-wave impulsive cycle. Currently, it can be still unfolding a lower-degree five-wave impulse into wave (1), so more upside is expected for wave (3), especially if breaks above 1.74 bullish level, just be aware of wave (2) pullback.
Theta Token (THETA) is the native cryptocurrency of the Theta Network, a blockchain-powered platform designed for decentralized video streaming and content delivery. It aims to improve the efficiency and cost of streaming by allowing users to share bandwidth and computing resources on a peer-to-peer basis.
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup on Gold (XAUUSD)Gold traders, pay attention! We’re watching a textbook triangle pattern unfolding on the 1-hour timeframe for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) — and the breakout could be just around the corner. Let’s break down what’s happening technically and why this setup could offer a high-probability opportunity.
🔺 Pattern Overview: Triangle Formation
We’ve got a clear symmetrical triangle pattern developing — marked by converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows. This type of structure often signals a buildup of pressure, a “coiling spring” waiting to explode in one direction. These patterns don’t last forever, and based on recent price action, we’re approaching the apex — which means a breakout is likely imminent.
📌 Key Technical Elements
🔷 1. Minor Resistance Zone
A minor resistance zone lies just above the upper triangle boundary. This area has previously acted as a ceiling where sellers stepped in. A decisive candle close above this level would confirm a breakout — turning this resistance into a potential new support.
🔷 2. Retesting Zone
After a breakout, it's common to see a retest of the breakout level. The chart anticipates this scenario with a projected pullback to the triangle edge. If price respects this zone and forms bullish candlestick patterns (like a bullish engulfing or pin bar), it could provide an ideal entry point with lower risk.
🔷 3. Black Mind Curve Support
There’s a curved support line acting as dynamic support beneath the triangle. This "Black Mind Curve" reflects broader market psychology — it's the path where bulls might step in again if price dips. It adds a second layer of confluence support for this trade setup.
📍 SL & Risk Management
The chart also defines a clear Stop Loss (SL) level around $3,205 — placed slightly below both the triangle’s lower boundary and the curved support. This is a sensible location to minimize downside while allowing room for minor volatility.
🛡️ Pro tip: Always risk only a small percentage of your account per trade — ideally 1-2%.
🎯 Projected Target: $3,342
If the breakout plays out as expected, the projected move targets the $3,342 level. This aligns with:
The height of the triangle projected from the breakout point (measured move)
Previous horizontal resistance and Fibonacci extension zones
This offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio, especially if entry is timed during the retest phase.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight
What’s happening under the surface?
Bulls are gradually stepping up, making higher lows.
Bears are losing steam as each push down is weaker than the last.
Volume is likely compressing, indicating a buildup of energy.
Once one side gains control (likely bulls based on this setup), a sharp impulsive move is expected.
💡 How to Trade This Setup
Wait for confirmation: Look for a strong bullish breakout candle above the triangle & minor resistance.
Entry Options:
Breakout entry on confirmation candle
Retest entry near triangle top (lower risk, better R:R)
Set SL below the triangle & curve (~$3,205)
Target: First take-profit at $3,280; second at $3,342+
📣 Final Thoughts:
This setup is a powerful blend of technical structure, support dynamics, and clear breakout potential. While nothing is guaranteed in trading, this is a high-quality formation that deserves a spot on your watchlist.
Let the market show its hand — don’t rush the entry. Wait for confirmation, manage your risk, and let the probabilities do the heavy lifting.
🔖 Tags:
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TrianglePattern #PriceAction #ForexTrading #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #TradingViewIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBreakout #RiskManagement
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, EURAUD, NZDJPY, CADCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
The pair demonstrates clear strength of the sellers.
The price went way below a recently broken resistance.
With the absence of impactful fundamental news,
the market may continue falling for now.
2️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The market is trading within a wide falling parallel channel on a daily.
Its upper boundary is a strong vertical resistance.
I will look for selling from that.
Alternatively, its bullish breakout may push the prices much higher.
3️⃣ #NZDJPY 4H time frame 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Before an Australian interest rate decision at night,
the pair acted strongly bullish, following our plan.
I see a nice double bottom pattern and a confirmed bullish Change of Character CHoCH.
I think that growth will resume soon
4️⃣ #CADCHF 4H time frame 🇨🇦🇨🇭
The price formed a nice bullish flag pattern.
I am waiting for its bullish breakout to confirm a start
of a new bullish wave.
A candle close above its upper boundary will validate the violation.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Silver Holds Near $32.60 on CeasefireSilver hovered around $32.20 per ounce during Tuesday’s Asian session, easing for a third consecutive day as safe-haven demand faded. The hopes for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump after a call with President Putin, tempered market uncertainty and weighed on silver’s appeal.
However, losses were limited following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and a series of weak economic data, including CPI, PPI, and retail sales. These reinforced expectations for two Fed rate cuts this year, likely starting in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool projections.
Strong industrial demand, especially from the solar sector, continues to support silver’s longer-term outlook. Markets now look for upcoming Fed speeches for further direction.
XAG/USD faces resistance at $32.50, with higher levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
Gold Slips with Ceasefire HopesGold declined below $3,320 per ounce as hopes for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine reduced the appeal of safe-haven assets. The drop followed a statement by US President Donald Trump announcing that both nations had agreed to "immediate" talks, potentially without US involvement, after a conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
On Monday, gold had gained 0.6% in response to Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating to Aa1 from Aaa, which raised concerns about long-term debt sustainability. However, with geopolitical tensions easing and investors awaiting fresh comments from Federal Reserve officials, gold reversed course.
XAU/USD now finds resistance at $3,250, with further levels at $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support is seen at $3,120, followed by $3,030 and $2,956.
Pound Climbs Above $1.336 on Strong UK DataThe British pound rallied past $1.336, reaching a one-week high and inching closer to its April peak of $1.34. The move was fueled by renewed optimism after the UK and EU reached a comprehensive post-Brexit agreement covering energy cooperation, defense partnerships, and fisheries rights through 2038.
Supporting the pound further, recent UK data exceeded expectations. GDP rose 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% annually, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut interest rates aggressively. Although rate reductions remain on the table, the strength of the economic rebound gives policymakers more flexibility.
Despite some concerns about rising unemployment and slowing wage growth, the upbeat GDP print has helped offset fears of an impending recession. Meanwhile, the US dollar continued to weaken following Moody’s credit downgrade, providing additional support to the pound.
GBP/USD now faces resistance at 1.3450, with higher targets at 1.3550 and 1.3700. Support is located at 1.3160, followed by 1.3000 and 1.2960.
US Credit Downgrade and Brexit Progress Lift EuroThe euro approached the $1.13 mark on Tuesday, extending its rebound from the one-month low recorded on May 12. The rally followed a broad-based weakening in the US dollar after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing mounting government debt and widening fiscal deficits. The downgrade sparked investor concerns about long-term US economic stability and pressured dollar-denominated assets.
The EU and UK finalized a provisional agreement addressing key post-Brexit issues such as defense, fisheries, youth mobility, and security cooperation. The deal may pave the way for UK companies to participate in major EU defense projects, marking a potential turning point in EU-UK relations.
The European Central Bank is expected to initiate a rate cut in June, with additional easing possible later in the year. Despite these expectations, the euro has held firm, buoyed by both geopolitical developments and dollar weakness.
EUR/USD now faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside barriers at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support lies at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
Yen Steadies on US Credit DowngradeThe Japanese yen held firm near 144 per dollar, marking its fourth straight session of gains, bolstered by a weaker US dollar in the wake of Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. The move, prompted by fiscal concerns and rising deficits, dented dollar confidence globally.
Despite this, Japan’s own economic data weighed on sentiment, with GDP shrinking by 0.2% in Q1, its first contraction in a year and worse than anticipated. Investors are also closely watching the upcoming Japanese trade data with concerns about the impact of potential new US tariffs. A third round of US-Japan trade talks is set to begin in Washington by the end of the week, led by Japan’s chief negotiator Ryosei Akazawa.
USD/JPY faces immediate resistance at 148.60, with higher levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Key support is seen at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
EURNZD Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone (1H Chart)✅ 1. Market Context & Structure Analysis
The pair (EUR/NZD) was in a short-term downtrend before forming a higher low, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
A W-shaped structure is visible, suggesting a double bottom around the 1.8960–1.8970 zone.
The price has bounced multiple times from the demand zone (green box), confirming strong buying interest.
The recent price action shows the market respecting structure with a clean impulse–correction–impulse pattern, creating a potential continuation leg.
📍 2. Entry Criteria
Entry Price Range: 1.8960 – 1.8970
Why?
This area coincides with a tested support zone, from where price previously rallied.
The current pullback to this area presents a low-risk buying opportunity.
Candlestick confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) would further validate the entry.
🔐 3. Stop Loss (Risk Management)
Stop Loss Placement: Below 1.8930
Reasoning:
Keeps SL below the structure low and the demand zone.
If price breaks this level, it invalidates the bullish setup and prevents deeper losses.
🎯 4. Take Profit Levels (Targets)
TP1 -1.9050 Minor resistance / partial booking
TP2 -1.9100 First key resistance zone
TP3 -1.9140 Swing high and strong supply area (red zone)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~1:2.5 to 1:3+
You can trail your stop as price moves toward these levels.
📊 5. Technical Confluences
✅ Support Zone: Price bounced multiple times from 1.8960
✅ Bullish Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows are forming
✅ Chart Pattern: Double bottom / W-pattern breakout potential
✅ Fibonacci (optional): The zone may also align with a 61.8% retracement (not shown but often observed)
⚙️ 6. Trade Management Strategy
🔄 Partial Exit: Book 50% profits at TP1
⏫ Trail SL: Move SL to entry after TP1 hit to make trade risk-free
🔚 Full Exit: At TP3 or if strong bearish reversal candle forms near resistance
⚠️ 7. Risk Disclaimer & Notes
Avoid overleveraging. Only risk 1–2% of your capital.
Reconfirm the trade setup during the London or early NY session for better volatility.
News events (like RBNZ or ECB speeches) could increase volatility — always check the economic calendar before entry.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD – Is the “Death Triangle” About to Break Down?Hey everyone, looking at the 8H chart, we can see that gold is tightening inside a narrow triangle – a sign of both consolidation and a potential major breakout coming soon. However, what's worth noting is that the price structure leans toward a bearish breakout, as gold continues to form lower highs and gets repeatedly rejected around the $3,250 resistance zone – which also aligns with the upper edge of the triangle.
Below, the long-term ascending support line is under significant pressure. If sellers maintain control and push the price below this trendline, the next potential target could be the $3,080 zone – aligning with the most recent swing low and acting as a possible support area.
Summary:
The $3,250 zone is the “checkpoint” to watch for selling pressure. If the price fails to break above this level, the downtrend is likely to continue.
The lower edge of the triangle is the “lifeline” for buyers. If it breaks, the likelihood of a deeper drop increases significantly.
What’s your take on this setup? Let’s share our views and spot the best trading opportunities together!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 20/05/2025Flat opening expected in nifty in consolidation zone of 24950-25050 level. No major changes in yesterday's levels. Any strong rally only expected after breakout or breakdown of this zone. Upside bullish rally expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 25050 level this upside rally can goes upto 25250+ level in today's session. Any major downside rally possible below 24950. Downside 24750 level will act as a strong support for today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(20/05/2025)Today will be flat opening in index. Currently index trading in the consolidation zone. Upside movement can expected if banknifty sustain above 55550 level in today's session. Similarly, Downside expected below 55450 level. Downside 55050 will act as a strong support for today's session.