SWING IDEA - SHREE RENUKA SUGARRenuka Sugars , a leading sugar manufacturer in India with a strong presence in ethanol production, is showing a promising swing trade setup.
Reasons are listed below :
53 Zone Breakout : The 53 zone, a previously strong resistance, has been breached, indicating potential upward momentum.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish marubozu candle has formed, reflecting strong buying pressure.
Crossing 52-Week High : The stock is crossing its 52-week high, signaling strength and potential continuation of the uptrend.
Volume Spike : A noticeable increase in volumes suggests strong market participation, further supporting the breakout.
Target - 65 // 75
Stoploss - daily close below 45
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Technical Analysis
M&T Bank Corporation: Riding the Bullish WaveM&T Bank Corporation: Riding the Bullish Wave - M&T Bank Corporation (NYSE: MTB) Technical Analysis
H ello,
1 Introduction
Headquartered in Buffalo, New York, M&T Bank Corporation is a regional bank operating in the United States. While M&T is headquartered in New York, it has a significant presence in the state of Maryland and in several of the mid-Atlantic states. It was founded in 1856 as the "Manufacturers and Traders Bank." Over the years, it has changed and expanded its name and reach but has kept its main office in Buffalo. A "community banking" philosophy directs its operation of more than 700 bank branches across 12 states and the District of Columbia.
2 Current Price
The most recent figures put M&T Bank Corporation’s stock at $185.19. In the face of a jittery market, the stock has been steady—although, to be sure, we are coming up on a few weeks when the price has not moved much at all. Yet this level reflects what I would say is a pretty strong dose of investor confidence in the bank's growth in earnings, not just in the immediate future but also over the next several quarters.
3 Moving Averages
5-day Moving Average: $182.50
20-day Moving Average: $180.00
50-day Moving Average: $175.00
200-day Moving Average: $165.00
The price is currently above the 5-day, 20-day, and 50-day moving averages, indicating a strong short-term bullish trend. Additionally, the price being significantly above the 200-day moving average suggests long-term investor confidence. Historically, the stock has shown a tendency to bounce back from support levels, aligning with current technical signals pointing towards continued strength.
4 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 60 (Neutral to Bullish) – The RSI at 60 indicates that while the stock is not yet overbought, it is approaching higher levels where caution may be necessary. RSI values between 60-70 typically suggest strong upward momentum but may also signal a need to watch for overextension.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): 3.0 (Bullish) – A positive MACD suggests upward momentum, supported by increasing buy signals. The MACD line crossing above the signal line indicates potential for continued price gains.
Stochastic Oscillator: 75 (Overbought) – The oscillator shows that the stock is nearing overbought territory. With a reading above 70, investors should be aware of the possibility of a short-term pullback, though the overall trend remains upward.
The combination of these indicators points to a solid bullish stance, though the overbought reading on the Stochastic Oscillator advises traders to be cautious of potential corrections in the near term.
5 Chart Patterns
Candlestick Patterns: Recent patterns show a mix of bullish engulfing and doji, suggesting indecision in the market but with a slight bullish bias. The bullish engulfing pattern indicates strong buying pressure, while the doji reflects a potential hesitation among traders, which could result in consolidation or a reversal if a clear direction is not established soon.
Support Levels: $180.00, $175.00 – These levels have historically acted as strong support zones, offering potential buying opportunities for investors seeking to enter at lower risk points.
Resistance Levels: $190.00, $195.00 – The stock faces resistance at these levels, where selling pressure may increase. A breakout above $195.00 could open the path to higher price levels, potentially pushing the stock into new highs for the year.
Notably, the consolidation of recent price action near key resistance levels suggests that a breakout, if it occurs, could trigger significant upward momentum. However, failure to break these levels may result in a retracement towards support.
6 Volume and Liquidity
Recent trading volumes have been above average, which supports the upward trend. The higher volume, particularly during price increases, reflects increasing investor interest and confidence in the stock. The liquidity of M&T Bank Corporation is robust, allowing for large trades to be executed without significantly affecting the stock price. This makes it an attractive option for both retail and institutional investors.
7 Industry and Market Sentiment
With interest rates stabilizing and the overall economy in better shape, we have seen a recovery in the financial sector. M&T is a regional bank, and as such, it has a pretty good setting from which to benefit as rates continue to rise—something we're anticipating. Most regional banks—even M&T in particular—have a pretty nice net interest margin between what they pay depositors and what they earn from loans when rates rise. And when you have a bank like M&T that has a pretty nice net interest margin, it also has very stable earnings, largely because it is a community-focused bank that lends to small and mid-sized businesses—who also have, by the way, relatively low default rates on the whole.
8 Conclusion
Currently, M&T Bank Corporation's stock is in a tremendously solid short-term uptrend, with several important indicators suggesting a "buy" recommendation. But the stock is starting to approach "overbought" territory, which means it could be setting up to either go sideways for a while or pull back. Good support levels to look for should this happen are around $180.00 and $175.00. If you're an investor looking for an entry point in the stock, those would be tempting prices at which to buy. On the other hand, if the stock can push and hold above $190.00, we could start to talk about a potential target of $195.00.
Regards,
Ely
Symmetrical Triangle observed in CLEANNSE:CLEAN few weeks back gave a breakout and trapped the Bulls. The Stock in now forming a continuation Symmetrical Triangle at its breakout levels of 1625-1630
1. RS Nifty 55 is positive
2. RSI > 60
Entry - 1625-1630
TGT - 1780
SL1: Super Trend (10, 3) turn negative
SL2: RS 21 < 0
Avoiding the Pump and Dump: A Beginner's GuideAvoiding the Pump and Dump: A Beginner's Guide to Protecting Your Investments
In the dynamic world of stock trading, new traders are constantly seeking ways to maximize profits and minimize risks. Unfortunately, one of the most deceptive and harmful schemes that can easily trap beginners is the infamous pump and dump scheme. This fraudulent practice has been around for decades, targeting unsuspecting traders by artificially inflating a stock's price and then swiftly cashing out, leaving the victims with significant losses. For traders on platforms like TradingView, especially those just starting, it’s crucial to understand how to spot these schemes and avoid falling prey to them.
This guide will provide you with the knowledge you need to recognize pump and dump schemes by analyzing monthly, weekly, and daily charts, identifying repetitive patterns, and understanding market sentiment. By the end, you'll know exactly what to look for to safeguard your investments.
What is a Pump and Dump?
A pump and dump scheme occurs when a group of individuals, often coordinated through social media or private channels, artificially inflates the price of a stock. They "pump" up the stock by spreading misleading information or creating hype around the asset, leading to increased buying interest. Once the stock price has risen significantly, the perpetrators "dump" their shares at the elevated price, leaving uninformed buyers holding a stock that will soon plummet in value.
The key elements to watch out for are:
Unusual price spikes without any corresponding fundamental news.
High trading volume during these spikes, suggesting that a group of individuals is actively manipulating the price.
Aggressive promotion through emails, forums, or social media channels, often making exaggerated claims about a stock's potential.
Understanding Timeframes: Monthly, Weekly, and Daily Charts
One of the most effective ways to spot pump and dump schemes is by analyzing various timeframes—monthly, weekly, and daily charts. Each timeframe provides different insights into the stock's behavior, helping you detect irregular patterns and red flags.
Monthly Charts: The Big Picture
Monthly charts give you a broad overview of a stock's long-term trends. If you notice a stock that has been relatively inactive or stagnant for months, only to suddenly surge without any substantial news or developments, this could be a sign of manipulation .
What to look for in monthly charts:
Sudden spikes in price after a prolonged period of flat or declining movement.
Sharp volume increases during the price rise, especially when the stock has previously shown little to no trading activity.
Quick reversals following the price surge, indicating that the pump has occurred, and the dump is on its way.
For example, if a stock shows consistent low trading volume and then experiences a sudden burst in both volume and price, this is a classic sign of a pump. Compare these periods with any news releases or market updates. If there’s no justifiable reason for the spike, be cautious .
Weekly Charts: Spotting the Mid-Term Trend
Weekly charts help you see the mid-term trends and can reveal the progression of a pump and dump scheme. Often, the "pump" phase will be drawn out over several days or weeks as the schemers build momentum and attract more buyers.
What to look for in weekly charts:
Gradual upward trends followed by a sharp, unsustainable rise in price.
Repeated surges in volume that don’t correlate with any fundamental analysis or positive news.
Recurrent patterns where a stock has previously been pumped, experienced a sharp decline, and is now showing the same pattern again.
Stocks used in pump and dump schemes are often cycled through multiple rounds of pumping, so if you notice that a stock has undergone several similar spikes and drops over the weeks, it’s a strong indicator that the stock is being manipulated.
Daily Charts: Catching the Pump Before the Dump
Daily charts provide a more granular view of a stock's price movement, and they can help you detect the exact moments when a pump is taking place. Because pump and dump schemes can happen over just a few days, monitoring daily activity is critical.
What to look for in daily charts:
Intraday price spikes that happen suddenly and without any preceding buildup in momentum.
A huge increase in volume followed by rapid price drops within the same or subsequent days.
Exaggerated price gaps at market open or close, indicating manipulation during off-hours or lower-volume periods.
On a daily chart, if a stock opens significantly higher than the previous day's close without any news or earnings report to back it up, this could be the start of the dump phase. The manipulators are looking to sell their shares to anyone who has bought into the hype, leaving retail traders holding the bag.
Repeated Use of the Same Quote: A Telltale Sign of a Pump and Dump Scheme
Another red flag is when the same stock or "hot tip" keeps resurfacing in social media, forums, or emails. If you notice that the same quote or recommendation is being promoted repeatedly over time, often using the same language, this is a strong sign of manipulation. The scammers are likely trying to pump the stock multiple times by reusing the same tactics on new, unsuspecting traders.
Be cautious of stocks that:
Have been heavily promoted in the past.
Show a history of sudden spikes followed by rapid declines.
Are promoted with vague, overhyped language like "the next big thing" or "guaranteed gains."
If the same stock is mentioned multiple times in trading communities, check its historical chart. If the stock has undergone previous pumps, you will likely see sharp rises and falls that align with the promotional periods.
How to Avoid Pump and Dump Schemes
Now that you know how to spot the signs, here are actionable steps you can take to protect yourself from becoming a victim of a pump and dump scheme:
Do Your Research: Always verify the information you receive about a stock. Check if there’s legitimate news, earnings reports, or significant company developments that justify the price movement. Avoid relying solely on social media or forums for your stock tips.
Look at Fundamentals: Focus on stocks with solid fundamentals, such as earnings growth, revenue increases, and strong management. Stocks targeted for pump and dump schemes often have weak or non-existent fundamentals.
Use Multiple Timeframes: As we've discussed, examining stocks across different timeframes—monthly, weekly, and daily—can help you spot abnormal price behavior early on.
Monitor Volume and Price Movements: If you see large, unexplained surges in volume and price, be skeptical. Legitimate price increases are usually accompanied by news or fundamental changes in the company.
Avoid Low-Volume Stocks: Pump and dump schemes often target low-volume, illiquid stocks that are easier to manipulate. Stick to stocks with healthy trading volumes and liquidity.
Set Stop Losses: Always use stop losses to protect yourself from sudden price drops. Setting a stop loss at a reasonable level can help limit your losses if you accidentally invest in a stock being manipulated.
Be Wary of Promotions: If a stock is being aggressively promoted, ask yourself why. More often than not, aggressive promotions are a sign that the stock is part of a pump and dump scheme.
Conclusion
Pump and dump schemes prey on traders’ fear of missing out ( FOMO ) and the allure of quick profits . However, by using a disciplined approach to trading, analyzing charts across multiple timeframes, and paying close attention to volume and price movements, you can avoid falling victim to these schemes.
Remember: If something seems too good to be true, it probably is. Protect your investments by staying informed, doing thorough research, and trusting your analysis. By following these guidelines, you can navigate the markets with confidence and avoid the pitfalls of pump and dump schemes.
Happy trading, and stay safe!
Gold price increased sharply, reaching 2650 USDGold prices made an impressive reversal today, rising more than $25 to $2,635, after six consecutive sessions in the red. The recovery came on Thursday, as investors began to adjust their strategies based on a series of important economic data from the US.
The CPI report showed signs of cooling inflation, while employment data reflected a weakening labor market. These signals have reinforced the belief that the Fed is on the right track in adjusting monetary policy. This is the factor that helped gold prices rebound, as investors saw a less tense economic environment, supporting safe havens like gold.
With positive signals from the economy and confidence in the Fed's policies, gold is returning to an upward trend, opening up attractive opportunities for investors.
Update latest gold price today.Gold prices continued to rise slightly on Tuesday as Treasury yields eased, while investors cautiously awaited more data for fresh clues on the Federal Reserve's easing cycle. The 10-year yield fell as the day's report showed a slowdown in manufacturing activity in New York state.
Accordingly, bond yields are putting slight pressure on gold. However, the advantage is still tilted towards a sideways or higher scenario for gold in the short term, assuming that both bond yields and the USD will decline.
In the current environment, I appreciate the surprising strength of this precious metal. Gold has not succumbed to the strength of the USD and Treasury yields, and the rally continues to be simmering.
GBPUSD Ben hello everyone!
On the 1-hour chart, the downtrend continues. After losing momentum from 1.306, GBPUSD has continued to decline. With the market looking unfavorable and the Fed’s interest rate cut policy unclear, GU has lost value.
The next target for the next decline is seen at 1.2950, which is a strong psychological barrier. However, the possibility of a rebound cannot be ruled out if the bulls manage to push the price up from 1.2980 as mentioned on the chart.
EURUSD continues downtrend below 1.0900Dear Friends,
You may be wondering why the price has fallen so sharply.
In international market news:
- The US Dollar (USD) continued to appreciate, albeit modestly, encouraging the US Dollar Index (DXY) to maintain multi-week highs above 103.00.
- Supporting the greenback's rally in recent weeks were the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on September 18. The minutes showed that a "majority" of policymakers favored easing monetary policy with a 50 basis point cut, but did not commit the Federal Reserve to a specific timeline for future cuts.
Results:
- As both the Fed and the ECB consider additional interest rate moves, the EUR/USD outlook will depend on macroeconomic trends. The US economy is expected to outperform the Eurozone, potentially boosting the USD further.
On technical analysis and gold price forecast for the coming period:
- EURUSD has broken above the support level at 1.0892 and the price volume is below both the 34-day and 89-day exponential moving averages (EMA), suggesting a higher possibility of further declines.
- Currently, EURUSD is trading near the resistance level of 1.0892, with immediate support at 1.0850.
GBPUSD's decline has not stopped yetHello everyone, Conan!
Today, the GBPUSD pair is maintaining a mild negative trend, trading at around 1.0544. After losing momentum from 1.3000, GBPUSD has continued to decline. The pair could continue to decline in the coming period, as the market reassesses the Bank of England (BoE) policy outlook following weak inflation data.
The current support level is set at 1.2976, significant stops will accumulate below this figure and if triggered, the decline could accelerate towards 1.2950.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(17/10/2024)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening it will face resistance at 51950 level and expected downside from this level upto 51550. This downside can be extend for further 400-500 points in case banknifty starts trading below 51450 level. Any bullish rally only expected in case banknifty starts trading and sustain above 52050 level.
EURUSD extends gains above 1.0850Conan, hello everyone!
Currently, EURUSD is taking advantage of the upside opportunity from the strong support at 1.0852. It can be seen that the pair is cooling down and gradually opening up more upside opportunities.
It is clear that EUR/USD is on a tear, falling to a multi-week low as the Euro continues to weaken ahead of the upcoming European Central Bank interest rate meeting on Thursday. However, the widely expected ECB rate cut of a quarter of a percentage point, or 25 bps, has eased some of the pressure on the pair.
The price is currently trading around the 1.0862-1.0860 range and remains dependent on the price momentum of the US Dollar (USD).
Resistance: 1.0876, 1.0905
Support: 1.0852, 1.0858
Gold price update: Price exceeds 2665 USDHello everyone!
As Conan predicted earlier, gold did indeed take advantage of the $2,665 support level and broke above the nearest resistance level of $2,770. As a result, gold rallied and hit an earlier high of $2,685 before quickly correcting slightly but still maintaining its best uptrend in 2024.
Currently, according to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are pricing in a 96% chance of a further 25 basis point cut in US interest rates at its November policy meeting.
In addition, experts predict that the ECB is likely to cut rates again at its October 17 meeting. Likewise, expectations for a BoE rate cut at its meeting next month are gradually increasing as domestic inflation shows signs of slowing.
A profitable long trade on gold 15mn chartHello traders,
as you can see from the chart, actually the weekly level was almost hit and.Take Profit was almost hit But because of the lack of the momentum.The trend started the move. The upper move started dying down because there was no more bullish momentum That led. That led to the.end of the the higher move, anyhow we were able to lock in some profits and the trade was pretty neat.Notice also that the move was starting from yesterday, not only today and strong momentum that took place since yesterday and the volume died down and the market started reversing This is a natural process that happens all the time in the markets after a long move and a long run, but at the end of the day.i am glad i was profitable
DXY USDOLLAR Supply Demand Analysis-Price inside daily/weekly supply + trend = sideways.
-Buyers still in control wait for selling confirmation
of price breaking upward trend lines + removing opposing pivot demand
zones.
-We could see price break to the upside and then reverse
(liquidity search/stop run).
Total 2 MA200Regarding the prevues analysis which i shared with you guys , Total 2 is trying to reach out to MA200, i believe the reason it didn't hit it yet is because of Ethereum movement which its so slow and heavy, but it(ETHUSDT)has been hit the MA200 so we can expect the rest of the Alt Coins to start moving upward at least to their MA200 area.
will update you again when i want to open the long position on the Alt coins that i am watching.
cheers and have a successful trades with money management and risk management.
Regards
NVIDIA’s Tug of War: Bulls and Bears Face OffMorning, Trading Family! NVIDIA (NVDA) is stuck in a standoff between bulls and bears. Green arrows point to a possible breakout toward $146, while red arrows warn of a drop toward support around $127.50. It’s all about watching how price reacts at these key levels—whether momentum pushes it higher or sellers step in and take control.
Stay patient and focused. Trade what you see, not what you hope for.
– Mindbloome Trader
SasanSeifi| Is Ethereum Poised for a Move to Higher Levels?Hey there, ✌ In the daily timeframe analysis, as shown, the price has entered a downward trend from the $4,000 range. Following this price drop, it reacted at the important support level of $2,100, oscillating between the price ranges of $2,100 to $2,800. Currently, after observing demand at the $2,300 level, the price has experienced slight positive fluctuations and is trading around $2,600.
Based on the candlestick behaviour, it is anticipated that in the short term, the price may rise towards the important resistance levels of $2,700 to $2,820, with some minor positive fluctuations. If the price breaks above $2,820 and stabilizes in lower timeframes, the likelihood of further price growth towards the resistance zone of $3,000 to $3,250 increases. In such a scenario, monitoring the price reactions at these levels will be essential for evaluating the next trend. However, if the $2,820 level is not breached and the price fails to maintain its stability, the possibility of a price retracement may rise.
The long-term outlook remains bearish, with expectations for the price to move towards the $1,800 to $1,500 range.
In the daily timeframe, the $2,450 to $2,300 levels serve as critical support. Maintaining the price above these levels is crucial for the desired scenario.
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!
If you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌✌
MANYAVAR: Analyzing Potential Bullish Reversal, Festive DemandNSE:MANYAVAR : Analyzing Potential Bullish Reversal Amidst Festive Demand Surge
Current Price: ₹1337
Date: 16 October 2024
In the dynamic landscape of the retail market, MANYAVAR is currently navigating a pivotal phase, with signs indicating a possible bullish turnaround. As the festive season unfolds, characterized by heightened consumer activity due to significant celebrations like Karwa Chauth and Diwali, this analysis provides a comprehensive outlook on key support and resistance levels that could influence trading strategies.
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
₹1305: A significant psychological support level. A decisive move below this could trigger bearish sentiment and signal increased selling pressure.
₹1316: This level serves as a secondary support. Maintaining prices above this threshold is vital for sustaining bullish momentum.
₹1336: Currently serving as immediate support, this level is crucial for determining short-term price action and trader sentiment.
Resistance Levels:
₹1346: The first major resistance level. A breakout above this price point could catalyze bullish sentiment and attract momentum traders.
₹1357: An additional resistance zone. Close monitoring of price reactions here will be essential to confirm a potential uptrend.
₹1376: Further up the chart, this level is critical for the validation of sustained bullish momentum.
₹1427, ₹1466, ₹1496: Long-term resistance levels that, if breached, could signify a strong bullish phase and draw in significant institutional interest.
Breakout Zone:
The pivotal breakout zone lies between ₹1346 and ₹1357. A robust close above ₹1357 may set off a chain reaction of buying activity, propelling the stock towards higher resistance levels and potentially unlocking significant upside.
Market Sentiment and Context:
The approach of the festive season presents a unique opportunity for retail stocks, particularly in the ethnic wear segment. With consumer spending historically surging during this period, demand for jewelry and traditional attire is expected to increase. This favorable market environment positions MANYAVAR well to capitalize on the seasonal uptick in consumer behavior.
Strategic Outlook:
Given the current price action and the backdrop of impending festive demand, traders should closely observe key support and resistance levels to refine entry and exit strategies. A careful assessment of price movements around these thresholds will be critical for identifying potential bullish opportunities.
Conclusion:
MANYAVAR stands at a crucial crossroads that may lead to a bullish reversal, particularly as market conditions favor increased retail activity during the festive season. By monitoring key technical levels and market sentiment, traders can position themselves effectively to leverage potential price movements.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA). This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
EUR/USD Struggles to Recover - Bears Dominate!Today, EUR/USD pair continued to fluctuate in a narrow range below the 1.0900 mark during Thursday's trading session, holding on to recent heavy losses, after falling to a near two-month low the previous day.
Technically, the old support level has turned into a stiff resistance, making any recovery attempt difficult. Meanwhile, technical indicators and signals from EMA 34, 89 continue to favor the Bears, putting EUR/USD on the back foot against other rivals.
Good luck traders!