ASIANPAINT : Going Long for about 1.25% of the net capitalTook a position in the scrip, allocating about 1.25% of the net capital. I am expecting a potential upside of around 38% to the upper trendline of the channel that has formed.
I will consider adding to the position if the price falls approximately 23% from the current level and touches the longer timeframe trendline, which is a significant support level for the scrip.
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If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer: The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It's essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It's important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
Technical Analysis
BLUDEDART : Going Long for about 0.625% of the net capitalTook an entry for about 0.625% of the net capital from a level close to the low of the parallel channel.
Will be targeting the high of the parallel channel for profit of about 47% of the invested amount. Might even consider adding on to the position if price comes down to the low of the parallel channel, depending upon the momentum of the move.
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If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer: The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.31.2025🔮
📅 Fri Jan 31
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%)
📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%)
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down into EEZ. Watch for resistance in the Hedge Pressure Zone before any reversal.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Slight move higher from earnings, then drop lower into 6055. Expect some chop and potential liquidity sweeps before continuation.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Consolidate lower into the Hedge Cushion Zone, then pump back higher. A strong bounce is likely if price interacts with the Weekly Hedge Cushion and liquidity builds up.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
EUR/GBP Collapses Bearish Breakout SetupThis chart shows a short trade setup based on the price action and trendline analysis of the EUR/GBP pair on the 2-hour timeframe. The price was moving within an ascending channel, defined by two parallel white trendlines. The ascending channel suggests a temporary bullish trend where the price consistently made higher highs and higher lows.
At the top of the channel, the price experienced resistance, which led to a breakdown below the lower trendline. This breakdown signals a potential reversal of the bullish trend and marks the start of bearish momentum. The break of the lower trendline is the key signal for the short entry.
The breakdown also aligns with a shift in market sentiment, as the price failed to maintain its position within the channel. The sell-off that followed confirmed the validity of the breakout. The price is now trending downward toward a lower level, which could act as a support area.
The key levels to watch include the recent breakout point, which could act as resistance if the price attempts a pullback, and the lower support level near 0.82856. This support level aligns with a previous price range and serves as the potential target for the short position.
The descending movement following the channel break suggests strong selling pressure. To confirm the continuation of the bearish trend, the price should not re-enter the ascending channel. A retest of the lower trendline could provide further confirmation of the breakdown, while a failure to hold below it could invalidate the bearish bias. This setup reflects a clear trend reversal strategy focusing on trading the breakout of an ascending pattern.
Fri 31st Jan 2025 Daily Forex Charts: 3x New Trade SetupsGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified 3x new trade setups this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the charts for my thoughts on these setups. The trades being a EUR/USD Sell, NZD/USD Sell & a USD/SGD Buy. I also discuss some trade management. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
GBP/JPY Breakdown Bears Take Control After Trend ReversalThis chart represents the British Pound to Japanese Yen currency pair on the two-hour timeframe. A clear breakdown from a previously established uptrend structure has triggered a short position. The trade setup is based on price action breaking below a key support level, confirming a shift in market sentiment toward bearish momentum.
The short entry was taken after the price broke below the ascending trendline and retested the level as resistance. The stop-loss is positioned above the recent high to mitigate risks in case of an invalidation. The take-profit target is set near 188.311, aligning with a key demand zone and a possible area of price reaction.
The trade exhibits a strong risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring a balanced approach to downside potential. With momentum favoring sellers, this setup remains valid as long as the price sustains below the broken support level. A clean follow-through to the downside would confirm further selling pressure.
TradeCityPro | LINKUSDT The Time to Buy Has Arrived👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze another cryptocurrency from the market, which is also one of my favorites due to its infrastructure role and its ability to simplify crypto. It seems that a buying opportunity has arrived.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, as always, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe, where the futures entry trigger at 104,227 was activated. Currently, it is below the important resistance level of 105,939, which will be the last trigger I provide for futures entry.
If this resistance at 105,939 is broken and Bitcoin dominance is declining at the time of the breakout, switch to altcoins and look for long positions on those that have already made a bullish leg and are trading at relatively higher levels. As long as we are above 104,227, I will continue looking for long triggers.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, LINK has been one of the cryptocurrencies that remained in a range for 500 days. After breaking out, we have seen the beginning of an uptrend.
This is exactly what I mean by avoiding capital lock-up. We waited weeks for the 8.06 trigger to break, allowing us to buy with momentum confirmation rather than buying inside the range and waiting in a high-risk market.
You might say, "Why not buy inside the range to avoid missing the 8.06 breakout?" My answer is that hundreds of coins are still stuck in similar ranges without showing any bullish moves, and even now, they could trap your capital for a long time, causing frustration!
If you entered at 8.06, continue holding. If you are looking for a re-entry, you can buy after the 29.02 breakout. As for selling, I am not selling yet and will actually try to accumulate more!
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, LINK is one of the few cryptocurrencies that, after recent corrections, did not return to lower levels. Instead, it bounced off the 0.382 Fibonacci level, increasing the bullish bias.
After breaking 12.96, LINK had a strong rally up to 29.07, where resistance was observed.
Instead of considering 29.07 as resistance, I prefer to buy after a breakout of 26, as this level was previously a pullback zone and had multiple rejections.
Since we have bounced off the 0.382 Fibonacci level, a breakout of the recent high could trigger a new upward move towards the Fibonacci extension targets, which are : 31.24 – 35.10 – 41.44 – 51.19
For buying, I plan to enter a spot position after a 26 breakout with a stop-loss at 15.22, and I will continue holding. I will also look for a futures long position before 26, but for that, I will need momentum confirmation and volume increase!
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, a risky long trigger at 24.34 was activated, but there hasn't been much movement yet. A pullback to 24.34 is possible.
📈 Long Position Trigger
the 26.30 trigger is excellent, and I will try to find lower timeframe entries before that. As long as we are above 22.37, my bullish strategy remains intact.
📉 Short Position Trigger
I am not considering any setups unless a clear structure forms. If we see a sharp drop to 22.37 and then break below it, I might consider shorting, but I prefer to focus on more bearish coins instead of LINK.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
USDCAD Is Nearing The TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.44200 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.44200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 154.300 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 154.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
ONDO Gearing Up for a Breakout: Will $2 Be the Next Stop?Hello, Traders!
After rising 250% since November, ONDO dropped 40% from its top and is currently recovering from that downfall.
The ONDO price is approaching its first resistance at the $1.61 level, and if it manages to break through, the road to $2 will be open.
A successful breakout above this level could trigger increased buying pressure, pushing the price toward current ATH.
There is a high chance that we will see this rise in February, especially if BTC.D drops below 57%, signaling a potential capital rotation into altcoins.
Additionally, strong market sentiment and favorable macro conditions could accelerate ONDO growth, making the next few weeks crucial for its price action.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
GBPUSD dropping high chances Hello traders!
What's your take on GBPUSD? Here's my technical outlook:
A break below current levels could see price testing:
1.23008 (primary support)
1.21204 (secondary support)
Resistance is expected around 1.24500.
To refine your trading strategy, also consider:
Incoming economic data
Market mood
Global events
Have you spotted any notable indicator patterns or divergences hinting at a potential bearish swing?
Looking at the M15 timeframe, we have a potential long opportunity. Consider placing a long position while following proper money management rules:
Use a proper stop loss
Set a suitable take profit
Your feedback is welcome!
If you appreciate this analysis, please show your support and follow me.
Best wishes Tom 😎
GBPUSD Technical Analysis and OutlookPrevious Observations:
Long-term Downtrend: Confirmed downtrend from mid-2021.
Major Support Breach: Below 1.2000 in late 2022.
Recent Recovery Attempt: Above 1.2400, buying pressure still evident.
Key Resistance Zones (1h): Current level @ 1.2450
Key Resistance Zones (4h): 1.2500-1.2600.
Key Support Zones (Weekly): 1.2000 and 1.1800 - There's room to keep pushing lower.
Potential Buying Climax (Daily, 4h, 1h): Steepness of recent rise hints at possible pullback.
Additional Bearish Confirmations for Potential Shorts :
- Price tested and bounced off the 200 EMA several times in Dec 2024 (4h).
- The pair is currently hovering around the 50% retracement level of the recent short-term decline, a common area for price reversals.
- Bearish divergence confirmations have already presented this week on the hourly time frame. This is a tell-tale sign of institutional orders being filled at specific levels and generation of further supply. (This may be the conclusion of a 'PHASE C' in a redistribution cycle).
- The dollar shows no signs of weakening against the GBP both in technicals as well as fundamentals (Recent data shows the U.S. economy added 256,000 jobs in December, surpassing forecasts and reinforcing a strong dollar narrative).
Conclusions:
Considering that we see a trendline breakout followed by strong bearish reactions which are ideally happening at HTF supply levels, we can assume that the fractal nature of the markets will play out accordingly. We should not ignore the fact that price has reacted from LTF demand or that we saw a recent bullish imbalance filled- entering shorts off the current supply level should only be done with sufficient confirmations (we may have to look at how the London session open influences price action).
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it's essential to conduct your own thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use appropriate risk management techniques and trade responsibly.
GBPJPY Awaiting Breakout for Potential DropGBPJPY is currently trading at 192.150, with a target price set at 186.000. The trade setup anticipates a potential gain of over 600 pips if the price reaches the target. A symmetrical triangle pattern has formed, indicating market consolidation and indecision. Traders are closely watching for a breakout, which will determine the next major price move. If the breakout happens to the downside, strong bearish momentum is expected. The target of 186.000 is likely based on technical projections from the pattern's measured move. Confirmation of the breakout is crucial before entering the trade to avoid false signals. Risk management, including a stop-loss, is essential to protect against unexpected reversals. Economic events and central bank policies could influence GBPJPY’s movement. Monitoring volume and price action near breakout levels will help assess the trade’s strength.
CHFJPY Symmetrical Triangle Pattern AnalysisCHFJPY is currently trading at 170.100, with a target price set at 165.000. The trade setup suggests a potential gain of over 500 pips if the price reaches the target. A symmetrical triangle pattern has been identified on the chart, a common technical pattern indicating consolidation before a breakout. In this case, the breakout has already occurred to the downside, signaling a bearish trend. Traders often expect strong momentum after a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the probability of price decline. The target of 165.000 is likely based on measured move calculations from the triangle pattern. Risk management strategies, such as stop-loss placement, are crucial to mitigate potential reversals. Fundamental factors like central bank policies or economic events could influence the trade’s outcome. If selling pressure continues, the price may reach the target faster than anticipated. Monitoring key support and resistance levels will help assess trade validity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 30/01/2025Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening possible nifty will consolidate in between the range of 23100-23200 level. If nifty gives upside breakout of 23200 level then expected bullish rally upto 23350+ into today's session. Strong downside move expected below 23100 level. Downside next support level at 22900 for nifty in today's session.
GBPUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.23600 zone, GBPUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.23600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.