USDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 149.300 zone, USDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 149.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Technical Analysis
ETHEREUM -Weekly forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1521.00, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 2090.33 breaks.
If the support at 1521.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1750.30 on 03/11/2025, so more gains maximum to Major Resistance (2090.33) is expected.
Take Profits:
2362.31
2546.73
2801.10
3042.75
3516.43
3741.60
4107.80
4500.00
4868.00
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
#FARTCOINUSDT is showing bullish momentum📈LONG BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P from $0.3590
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.3465
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P is showing bullish momentum on the 1-hour timeframe.
➡️ The price has recently broken through the resistance zone at $0.3590, which could serve as an entry point for a long position.
➡️ The chart shows an accumulation zone in the $0.3374–$0.3590 range, where volumes (visible on the volume profile to the left) indicate strong buyer interest.
➡️ The POC (Point of Control) is at $0.3462, confirming support below the current price.
➡️ The price is maintaining an uptrend structure: higher lows and highs are forming, and the breakout at $0.3590 is accompanied by increasing volumes, signaling bullish activity.
➡️ The #RSI (14) indicator on the 1H timeframe is at 65, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought, leaving room for further growth.
🚀 Plan:
➡️ Entry: Buy above $0.3590 after the 1-hour candle closes above this level to confirm the breakout.
➡️ Stop Loss: Set at $0.3465 (below the support zone and POC), which provides a 3.5% risk from the entry point and protects against false breakouts.
➡️ Risk/Reward Ratio: From 1:2 (for TP1) to 1:5.5 (for TP3), making this trade attractive from a risk management perspective.
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.3660
(nearest resistance level, +1.9% from entry)
💎 TP2: $0.3730
(zone of previous highs, +3.9%)
💎 TP3: $0.3790
(key growth target, +5.6%)
📢 A price consolidation above $0.3590 with sustained volume increases the likelihood of reaching the targets. The $0.3660 and $0.3730 levels may act as profit-taking zones, so monitor price action in these areas.
📢 Risks: If the price drops below $0.3465, it could signal a false breakout and a return to the consolidation zone of $0.3374–$0.3465. In this case, consider reassessing the position.
📢 Market Context: The rise of BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P may be supported by the overall positive sentiment in the crypto market. As of March 19, 2025, BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is trading steadily above $90,000, creating a favorable backdrop for altcoins.
BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P is showing strength and potential for growth on the 1H timeframe. A confirmed breakout above $0.3590 is your signal to act! We expect a move toward the $0.3660–$0.3790 levels.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish Reversal Setup from ResistanceAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe.
The price is now approaching the key resistance zone around $3,054, where sellers may become active.
A potential bearish rejection could lead to a reversal towards the $2,980 target level, aligning with previous support.
The setup suggests a sell opportunity at resistance, expecting a downward move.
Trading Plan:
Entry: Consider selling near $3,054 after confirmation of rejection.
Target: $2,980 (Support level).
Stop-Loss: Above recent highs to manage risk.
Conclusion:
If the price fails to break above resistance, XAU/USD could see a pullback, offering a shorting opportunity. Traders should watch for bearish signals before entering trades.
EURGBP Bearish Continuation Setup Potential Drop to Key Support📌 Overview:
The EUR/GBP pair is showing signs of bearish continuation after failing to break above key resistance levels. Price action indicates a potential downward move towards a major support zone, aligning with the overall market structure.
🔎 Technical Analysis:
The pair has formed a lower high, indicating weakness in bullish momentum.
A breakdown from the recent consolidation zone suggests sellers are in control.
Price has breached a key support level, turning it into a resistance zone.
The market structure indicates a potential drop towards 0.82773, which aligns with a previous support area.
📊 Key Price Levels:
✔ Resistance: 0.84000 - 0.84200 (previous support turned resistance)
✔ Current Price: 0.83876
✔ Target: 0.82773 (major support and liquidity zone)
✔ Stop Loss: Above 0.84000, invalidating the bearish setup
📉 Trade Plan & Execution:
🔹 Entry Strategy:
Traders can look for a retest of broken support (now resistance) near 0.84000 to confirm selling pressure.
A bearish rejection candle (such as a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or pin bar) could confirm the continuation of the downward trend.
🔹 Profit Target:
The primary target is 0.82773, which acts as a strong demand zone from previous price action.
🔹 Risk Management:
A stop loss should be placed above 0.84000, as a break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
Maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (1:2 or better) is advisable for optimal trade execution.
📢 Market Outlook & Considerations:
✅ Bearish Confirmation: Sustained rejection from resistance and lower highs strengthen the bearish outlook towards 0.82773.
🚨 Bullish Reversal Risk: A break above 0.84000 could invalidate the setup, signaling a potential return to bullish momentum.
📊 Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on GBP and EUR-related economic data, central bank policies, and risk sentiment, which could impact price movements.
#AVLUSDT continues its downtrend 📉 Short BYBIT:AVLUSDT.P from $0,4060
🛡 Stop loss $0,4136
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is 0,4201
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0,4015
💎 TP 2: $0,3975
💎 TP 3: $0,3945
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
BYBIT:AVLUSDT.P continues its downtrend — watching for further movement!
EUR/USD Bullish Continuation Setup📈 Trend Analysis:
The price is trading within a rising channel, suggesting an overall bullish trend.
The market recently pulled back to a key support level, presenting a potential buy opportunity.
🔍 Key Levels:
Buy Zone: Around 1.08680 - 1.08966, marking strong support.
Target: 1.10140, aligning with the upper trendline resistance.
📌 Trade Plan:
Look for buy entries near the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
Confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) strengthens the setup.
⚠ Risk Management:
Stop loss: Below the 1.08680 support level.
Take profit: Gradually scale out at 1.10140 resistance.
USD/JPY Bearish Continuation📉 Trend Analysis:
The chart shows a breakdown from an ascending channel, indicating a potential bearish reversal after an extended uptrend.
Price has formed a descending channel, reinforcing the short-term bearish structure.
🔍 Key Levels:
Sell Zone: Around 0.0066848 - 0.0066919, acting as resistance.
First Target: Around 0.006490, a strong support area.
Second Target: Around 0.0065692, marking a deeper level of bearish continuation.
Final Target: Around 0.0064632, a critical demand zone.
📌 Trade Plan:
Look for sell entries on a possible pullback to the resistance zone.
Confirmation through rejection candles or continuation patterns could strengthen the bearish case.
⚠ Risk Management:
Stop loss above the previous resistance around 0.0067184.
Take profits gradually at key support zones.
Can further declines in DXY attract buyers of this commodity?ICEUS:CT1! futures have been on a steady decline for some time now. Could potential further declines in DXY attract buying interest of MARKETSCOM:COTTON ? Let's dig in.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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GBP/USD Bullish Channel – Buy Opportunity! Overview:
The British Pound (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD) is currently trading within an ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. The price is approaching a key buy zone at the lower trendline, presenting a potential long opportunity if bullish momentum continues.
Key Market Structure Analysis:
🔹 Uptrend in Progress: GBP/USD has been forming higher highs and higher lows inside a well-defined rising channel.
🔹 Support Zone: A potential buy entry is around 1.2925, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel.
🔹 Target Projection: If the price bounces from support, the next key resistance target is 1.3085.
Potential Trade Setup:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A retest and bounce from 1.2925 could trigger a buy setup.
Upside target:
🎯 1.3085 – Key resistance level within the channel.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Invalidation):
A break below 1.2925 could invalidate the bullish setup and signal a deeper retracement.
Below the channel support, price might target the 1.2600 region as the next demand zone.
Final Thoughts:
GBP/USD remains in a strong uptrend, with the lower channel support acting as a key decision point. If bulls defend this level, we could see further upside momentum. However, a breakdown of the structure could shift the sentiment.
Will GBP/USD continue its bullish momentum? Share your thoughts below!
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Breakout – Next Targets $2,328 & Beyond!
Overview:
Ethereum has been in a downtrend, forming a descending channel, but it recently found strong support at $1,764 and has now broken out of a range-bound consolidation. This could be the beginning of a bullish move towards higher resistance levels.
Key Market Structure Analysis:
🔸 Previous Downtrend: ETH was trading within a bearish channel, creating lower highs and lower lows before bottoming out.
🔸 Accumulation Phase: A sideways consolidation range between $1,764 - $2,017 formed after the downtrend, signaling potential accumulation.
🔸 Breakout Confirmation: ETH has broken above the $2,017 resistance, suggesting that buyers are stepping in.
Potential Trade Setup:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A successful breakout retest around $2,000 - $1,950 could provide an entry opportunity.
Upside targets:
🎯 $2,328.95 – Major resistance level from previous price action.
🎯 $2,559.17 – Next key resistance if momentum continues.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Invalidation):
A drop below $1,950 - $1,900 could push ETH back into the previous range.
Losing the $1,764 support could lead to a retest of $1,600 or lower.
Final Thoughts:
Ethereum is showing strength after breaking out of a key consolidation range. If the breakout holds, ETH could be gearing up for a strong rally toward $2,328 - $2,559. However, a retest of the breakout zone may provide a better risk-to-reward entry.
What do you think? Will ETH push toward $2,328 next? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📈
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trade Setup Market Structure & Key Levels:
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart displays a descending channel breakout, followed by a range-bound consolidation phase.
Key Support Levels:
$78,000 - $77,320: A strong demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in.
$80,000: Psychological support level.
Key Resistance Levels:
$84,340: Short-term resistance currently being tested.
$85,996: Next major resistance level.
$89,363: Target resistance level if a breakout occurs.
$92,331: A higher timeframe resistance level.
Chart Pattern & Price Action:
Descending Channel (Early March)
Price was in a downtrend, forming a descending channel pattern.
The breakout from this channel led to a shift in momentum.
Range Consolidation (Current Pattern)
After the breakout, BTC entered a sideways accumulation phase (marked by the red box).
Price is bouncing between $82,000 - $84,500, showing low volatility and indecision.
Breakout Possibility (Bullish Bias)
A break above $84,500 could confirm a bullish move towards $85,996 and beyond.
The next major target is $89,363, which aligns with previous resistance.
Support Retest (Bearish Risk)
If BTC fails to break resistance, we might see a retest of $80,000 or even $78,000.
A break below $77,320 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
AUDUSD: Pullback From Support 🇦🇺🇺🇸
There is a high chance that AUDUSD will pull back from
the underlined daily support.
As a confirmation, I see a tiny double bottom on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 0.6342
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Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish ContinuationTechnical Analysis & Market Outlook
The Silver (XAG/USD) 1-hour chart presents a clear rising wedge formation, a well-recognized bearish reversal pattern. This formation develops when price action creates higher highs and higher lows within a contracting range, signaling a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Currently, Silver has broken below the lower trendline of the wedge, confirming a bearish breakout. This move suggests that the recent uptrend is weakening, and sellers are beginning to take control. A retest of the broken support level as new resistance could provide an ideal entry for a short position.
Key Technical Levels & Trading Plan
1️⃣ Resistance & Supply Zone: 34.00 - 34.20
Price has struggled to break above this region multiple times, confirming strong selling pressure.
The market rejected this level sharply, leading to the current downside movement.
A stop-loss can be placed slightly above this zone to protect against unexpected reversals.
2️⃣ Support Level & Retest Zone: 33.50
Previously, this level acted as a strong support, but the breakdown confirms a shift in market structure.
If price retests this level and faces rejection, it could serve as an optimal entry point for short trades.
3️⃣ Short Entry Confirmation
Traders should look for price rejection from the 33.50 zone before entering a short position.
A bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, or a lower high formation) would further validate the entry.
4️⃣ Bearish Target: 31.90 - 32.00
The projected downside move aligns with the measured move of the wedge breakdown and previous support zones.
If price maintains bearish momentum, further downside potential exists beyond this target.
5️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: Above 34.20
Setting a stop-loss above the recent resistance ensures protection against invalidation of the bearish setup.
This placement accounts for potential price spikes or false breakouts.
Trade Execution Strategy:
📌 Entry: Short on a retest of the 33.50 level, ensuring confirmation via price rejection.
📌 Stop-Loss: Above 34.20 to avoid premature stop-outs.
📌 Take-Profit: Targeting the 31.90 - 32.00 zone for an optimal risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion & Risk Management:
The breakdown from the rising wedge signals a shift in market sentiment, favoring a bearish move. Traders should remain patient for a retest of broken support to confirm the validity of the trade. Proper risk management with a well-placed stop-loss and a defined target ensures controlled exposure to market fluctuations.
📊 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉
🔍 Key Watch Areas: Retest of 33.50 for Short Confirmation
#DYMUSDT is showing signs of growth📉 Long BYBIT:DYMUSDT.P от $0,4575
🛡 Stop loss $0,4350
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 0,4149, indicating the area with the highest trading volume.
➡️ The 0,4572 level acts as a local support, as the price previously bounced from this zone.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0,4720
💎 TP 2: $0,4850
💎 TP 2: $0,4970
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
📢 If 0,4572 is broken downward, the trade may be invalidated.
BYBIT:DYMUSDT.P is showing signs of growth — expecting further upside movement!
EURJPY 4H | Bullish Breakout & Retest – Next Big Move?The EUR/JPY 4-hour chart presents a compelling bullish breakout setup following a structured downtrend. The market recently broke through a significant resistance zone, indicating potential further upside movement. This analysis outlines key price levels, market structure, and an actionable trading plan.
📊 Market Structure Overview
🔸 Downtrend Reversal: The price was previously trading within a descending channel (highlighted in green), forming lower highs and lower lows.
🔸 Support Confirmation : The price bounced from a strong support zone around 158.500 - 160.000, confirming buyers' interest in this region.
🔸 Breakout & Retest : A strong bullish impulse broke through the 164.500 - 165.000 resistance zone, suggesting a shift in market sentiment.
📌 Key Trading Levels
🔹 Support Zone: 158.500 - 160.000
This area previously acted as a demand zone where buyers aggressively pushed the price higher.
It now serves as a safety net for long positions.
🔹 Resistance Zone (Now Potential Support): 164.500 - 165.000
Price has broken above this level, but a retest could provide an ideal entry for confirmation.
🔹 Next Major Resistance (Target Levels):
TP1: 165.000 → A psychological level and previous resistance.
TP2: 166.020 → A higher resistance zone where price may struggle to break through.
📈 Trading Plan – Long Setup
✅ Entry Confirmation:
Wait for price to pull back to the 164.500 - 165.000 zone.
Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles) to confirm buyers stepping in.
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 165.000 (Initial resistance level)
TP2: 166.020 (Potential extended bullish move)
🛑 Stop Loss Strategy:
Below 160.038 (Previous structure low & key support level)
Ensures protection against potential fakeouts or trend reversals.
📢 Risk-Reward Ratio:
Aiming for 2:1 or better risk-reward ratio for an optimal trade setup.
📝 Market Outlook & Conclusion
📌 The recent breakout above resistance suggests bullish momentum is strong. However, traders should be patient and wait for a pullback to enter at a better risk-reward level. If price successfully retests and holds above 164.500, there is a high probability of continuation towards 166.020.
🚀 Trading Bias: Bullish – Until market structure shifts or a major rejection occurs at resistance.
📢 Final Trading Tip
🔹 Patience is key! Don’t rush into a trade immediately after a breakout. Wait for confirmation, as false breakouts are common in volatile markets. A successful retest of the broken resistance will provide a low-risk, high-reward entry opportunity.
EUR/GBP Bearish Trading Setup | Resistance Rejection & BreakdownMarket Context & Overview
The EUR/GBP currency pair is currently showing signs of bearish momentum, as illustrated in this 1-hour trading chart. The price is facing a strong resistance zone while forming a descending trendline, indicating that sellers are gaining control over the market. Given this technical setup, traders can anticipate a potential breakdown leading to further downside movement.
This analysis highlights key price levels, technical indicators, and potential trade opportunities based on current price action. The bearish outlook is supported by the market structure, which is displaying signs of a potential trend reversal from the resistance zone.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
1️⃣ Resistance Zone (0.84200 - 0.84300)
This area has acted as a strong selling zone in previous price action.
Multiple rejection points indicate that buyers are struggling to push beyond this level.
This resistance aligns with the descending trendline, further strengthening the bearish bias.
2️⃣ Support Level (0.84000)
The current support level has provided temporary demand, preventing immediate downside movement.
If the price breaks below this support, it will confirm a bearish continuation.
3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (0.84495)
This is the all-time high resistance zone in the short-term structure.
A break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to bullish momentum.
4️⃣ Target Level (0.83735)
If the price successfully breaks below 0.84000, the next target would be 0.83735.
This level aligns with previous swing lows, making it a realistic downside target for short positions.
5️⃣ Stop Loss Placement (Above 0.84201)
A stop-loss above 0.84201 ensures protection against false breakouts.
If price breaks above this level, it could signal a shift in market structure.
🔹 Technical Insights & Market Sentiment
1️⃣ Descending Trendline: The price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating a bearish bias.
2️⃣ Multiple Resistance Rejections: Price has tested the resistance zone multiple times without breaking through.
3️⃣ Bearish Price Action: The recent candles show lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend.
4️⃣ Volume Analysis: A drop in buying pressure at resistance signals potential weakness among buyers.
5️⃣ Fundamental Factors : GBP strength due to macroeconomic factors could add further pressure on EUR/GBP.
🔹 Trade Plan & Strategy
📌 Entry Criteria
Ideal entry near 0.84150 - 0.84200 if price shows rejection at resistance.
Alternatively, enter after a confirmed breakdown below 0.84000 for safer confirmation.
🎯 Profit Target
First target: 0.83735
If bearish momentum continues, price could extend towards 0.83600 as an extended target.
🛑 Stop Loss Placement
Above 0.84201 to minimize risk.
This ensures the trade remains valid while avoiding market noise.
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Management
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 2:1, making this a favorable setup.
✅ Trade Management:
If price starts reversing before hitting the target, consider trailing stop-loss to secure profits.
If price consolidates around support, watch for breakout confirmations before entering.
🔹 Final Thoughts & Market Sentiment
This trading setup suggests a strong bearish opportunity based on price action, resistance rejection, and trendline confluence. The break below 0.84000 will be the key trigger for further downside movement. If price remains below resistance, a sell position with a stop-loss above 0.84201 and a target of 0.83735 offers a high-probability trade setup.
EUR/USD Chart Pattern Analysis (1H Timeframe) – Bearish SetupThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a compelling bearish setup, characterized by a rejection from a key resistance zone, a weakening support level, and a potential trendline breakdown. These technical elements suggest an increased probability of downward movement if bearish momentum persists.
Key Technical Components:
Resistance Rejection & Selling Pressure:
The price action tested a well-defined resistance zone, which aligns with previous swing highs.
A rejection from this level indicates that sellers have stepped in, preventing further upside movement.
This area serves as a supply zone, reinforcing a bearish outlook as long as price remains below it.
Support Level at Risk of Breakdown:
The market is currently testing a support zone, which has previously acted as a demand area.
A break below this support would confirm increased selling pressure, likely triggering a more significant decline.
The support level is structurally weak, as the price has already tested it multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown.
Ascending Trendline Violation:
The ascending trendline has been a key dynamic support for the recent uptrend.
If the price breaks below this trendline with strong volume, it would signify a potential trend reversal, shifting market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
A confirmed breakdown would further validate the bearish continuation scenario.
Sell Stop Placement & Profit Targets:
A Sell Stop order is positioned below the support zone to capture a breakdown trade.
The first Take Profit (TP1) is set at 1.08312, a level that has historically acted as support and resistance.
The second Take Profit (TP2) is placed at 1.07659, representing a more extended bearish move toward the next major demand zone.
Conclusion & Trading Strategy:
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level and ascending trendline, it could trigger a sell-off, leading to a potential downside move toward TP1 and TP2.
Bullish Rebound Possibility: If the support level holds and buyers regain control, the price may attempt to retest the resistance zone. However, the bearish structure remains dominant unless the price breaks above resistance.
Final Outlook:
Traders should closely monitor price action at the support and trendline intersection. A confirmed breakdown below these levels, preferably with increased volume, would reinforce the bearish outlook. Proper risk management and stop-loss placement above the resistance zone are recommended to mitigate potential reversals.
Would you like me to refine it further for professional publication or trading forums? 🚀
CHF/USD Trading Idea – Bearish Reversal from Key ResistanceThis CHF/USD chart presents a compelling bearish setup, suggesting that the pair may be headed for a decline after facing strong resistance. The price action has followed a technical breakout and retest pattern, with a clear rejection from a well-defined resistance level.
Traders looking for short-selling opportunities should take note of the key price zones, support levels, and overall market structure before making a move. Let’s break it down in detail.
🔍 Chart Breakdown: What’s Happening?
1️⃣ Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish Push
The price was consolidating inside a falling wedge, a pattern that typically signals an eventual breakout to the upside.
The breakout led to a strong bullish move, pushing the price toward a well-established resistance zone around 1.1414.
After breaking out, the pair made a significant upward run before stalling at this key resistance.
2️⃣ Key Resistance Level Holding Strong
The price touched the resistance zone but failed to break above it.
This rejection indicates that sellers are stepping in, absorbing the buying pressure.
The market is showing early signs of bearish momentum, hinting at a potential downtrend.
3️⃣ Projected Bearish Move: Lower Targets in Sight
If the current rejection holds, the price is likely to fall toward the nearest support levels:
✅ TP 1 (Take Profit 1): 1.1271 → First major support level, likely to be tested soon.
✅ TP 2 (Take Profit 2): 1.1201 → A deeper retracement if selling pressure increases.
✅ TP 3 (Take Profit 3): 1.1055 → Final downside target if the bearish trend extends further.
4️⃣ Stop Loss Placement – Risk Management
To manage risk, the ideal stop loss should be placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.1414.
This protects against potential false breakouts and unexpected market shifts.
📉 Trade Strategy – How to Approach This Setup?
🔸 Entry Point: Look for a confirmed rejection of the resistance level (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like engulfing, shooting star, or pin bars).
🔸 Stop Loss: Place above 1.1414 to avoid getting caught in a short squeeze.
🔸 Take Profit Targets:
First TP at 1.1271
Second TP at 1.1201
Final TP at 1.1055 for extended downside moves
⚠️ Important Notes for Traders:
✔ Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush into a short trade. Look for a strong bearish candle closure or a retest before entering.
✔ Be Aware of News Events: Economic releases, interest rate decisions, and major USD-related news can impact price movement.
✔ Monitor Market Sentiment: If USD strengthens, this setup is even more likely to play out.
🧐 Final Thoughts – High Probability Short Setup?
✅ Why This Trade Looks Strong:
The technical pattern is playing out perfectly, with a clear resistance rejection.
The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels.
The overall market structure supports a potential downside move if price continues respecting resistance.
📢 Bottom Line : If price remains below the 1.1414 resistance, this trade setup could provide an excellent opportunity for short-sellers targeting lower support levels. 🚀 Stay patient and wait for confirmation before pulling the trigger!
JPY/USD – Bullish Breakout After Falling Wedge!Let's take a deep dive into the JPY/USD price action and technical setup on the daily chart. The market has presented us with a falling wedge breakout, a strong bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates a potential shift from the previous downtrend into an uptrend.
1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern – Bullish Reversal Signal
The falling wedge is a classic bullish reversal pattern. It forms when price action makes lower highs and lower lows within two converging trendlines. The key characteristic of this pattern is the decreasing selling pressure, leading to a breakout to the upside.
We observed a clear breakout from the wedge, indicating bullish momentum.
Buyers have stepped in strongly, pushing prices above the resistance zone.
This signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
2️⃣ Breakout Confirmation & Key Levels
Once the price broke above the wedge, it faced a crucial resistance zone (marked in blue on the chart). After breaking this level, it has now turned into support—a strong technical confirmation.
Resistance Turned Support: The previous resistance is now acting as support, giving further confidence in the bullish move.
Retest Expected: After breakouts, the price often comes back to retest support before continuing higher. If it holds, it’s a good entry opportunity.
3️⃣ Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Based on the technical setup, here’s how we can approach this trade:
🔹 Entry: Ideal entry is around the current support zone after a successful retest.
🔹 Stop Loss: Placed below the support level at 0.006574 to minimize risk.
🔹 Take Profit (TP): The target price is set at 0.007126, aligning with the previous swing high.
4️⃣ Trade Outlook & Expected Movement
If the price holds above support, we expect a bullish continuation towards the target.
A minor pullback is possible before the next move higher.
If the price breaks below the support zone, it may invalidate the bullish setup.
📌 Final Thoughts
This setup is a high-probability bullish trade, backed by the falling wedge breakout and retest of a key level. However, always manage risk properly and wait for confirmation before entering the trade.
What do you think? Do you see further upside, or is this a false breakout? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#JPYUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #BullishBreakout #ChartPatterns
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Supply ZoneThis chart represents a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the daily timeframe, highlighting key levels of resistance, support, and potential price movement. It indicates a bearish rejection from a supply zone, which suggests that BTC may experience further downside pressure.
Key Components of the Chart:
📌 1. All-Time High (ATH) + Resistance Zone (~$110,000 - $115,000)
This is the highest price level Bitcoin has ever reached on this chart.
It acts as a strong resistance zone, meaning sellers are likely to step in if the price approaches this level again.
📌 2. Supply Zone (~$88,000 - $90,000)
The supply zone is an area where selling pressure is high.
BTC attempted to break above this zone but got rejected, leading to a sharp decline.
This rejection confirms that bears are in control, pushing the price downward.
📌 3. Stop Loss (~$95,629)
This level represents the point where a bearish trade would be invalidated.
If BTC breaks above this level, it could indicate a shift in momentum toward bullish territory.
📌 4. Current Price Action (~$83,444)
BTC is currently trading below the supply zone, showing weakness.
The recent lower high formation suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
📌 5. Take Profit (TP) Level (~$65,969)
This is the target level for a potential bearish move.
The $65,969 level has acted as major support in the past, meaning buyers may step in here.
If BTC reaches this level, it could either bounce back up or break lower, leading to further downside movement.
📌 6. Major Support Level (~$45,000 - $50,000)
If BTC breaks below the $65,969 support, the next major support zone is around $45,000 - $50,000.
This area is historically significant and could provide a strong buying opportunity.
Trade Plan & Strategy:
🔴 Bearish Bias:
The rejection from the supply zone signals a continuation of the downtrend.
A short position can be considered if BTC fails to break above the supply zone again.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $85,000 - $88,000 (if BTC retests the supply zone and gets rejected again).
Stop Loss: Above $95,629 to protect against an unexpected bullish breakout.
Take Profit (TP): Around $65,969, targeting the next major support level.
Conclusion:
BTC is showing signs of a bearish continuation, with strong resistance at the supply zone.
A potential move toward $65,969 is likely if selling pressure continues.
If BTC breaks below this key level, a further decline toward $45,000 - $50,000 could happen.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions. 🚀📉
XAU/USD Trading Plan – Preparing for Volatility Ahead of FOMC! ⚠️This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting on March 19, where the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook. Gold remains in a bullish trend, but it has now reached a key resistance zone that could trigger a correction before determining the next move.
⚠ Important Note: This plan is only valid before the FOMC meeting. As the announcement approaches, traders are advised to close their positions to protect their accounts, as high volatility is expected.
🔥 Fundamental Analysis – What to Expect from the FOMC This Time?
📌 1️⃣ The Fed is Expected to Keep Rates at 4.25% - 4.5%, But…
Dot Plot & Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will shape market expectations for the future.
If the Fed remains hawkish, the USD could strengthen, putting pressure on gold.
If the Fed signals a dovish stance, the USD could weaken, potentially pushing gold higher.
📌 2️⃣ Global Central Banks Continue to Buy Gold
China, Russia, Poland, and India continue to increase their gold reserves, reducing their reliance on the USD.
This trend supports long-term bullish prospects for gold, although there could be short-term corrections.
📉 Technical Analysis – Key Levels for XAU/USD
🔹 Main Trend: Bullish, but facing strong resistance.
🔹 Price Channel: Gold is still in an uptrend, but a short-term correction may occur.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
📍 Resistance:
3,055 - 3,071 – If gold fails to break through this level, a correction could follow.
📍 Support:
3,021 - 3,009 – Watch this area in case of a pullback.
2,986 - 2,948 (FVG Zone on H1) – A deeper liquidity level if selling pressure increases.
🎯 Trading Plan – Pre-FOMC Strategy
BUY ZONE: 3010 - 3008
SL: 3004
TP: 3015 - 3020 - 3024 - 3028 - 3032
SELL ZONE: 3054 - 3056
SL: 3060
TP: 3050 - 3046 - 3042 - 3038 - 3030
⚠ Important Warning:
Ahead of the FOMC, consider closing all positions to avoid unnecessary risks, as market reactions can be unpredictable.
🔥 A major wave from the FOMC is coming – trade wisely and protect your capital! 🚀