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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 20, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇨🇳🏦 People's Bank of China (PBOC) Interest Rate Decision 🏦: On March 20, the PBOC will announce its latest interest rate decision. While specific expectations are not detailed, any adjustments could influence global markets, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. ​ 🇬🇧🏦 Bank of England Interest Rate Decision 🏦: The Bank of England is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision on March 20. Analysts anticipate that the central bank will maintain the current rate at 4.5%, following a recent reduction. This decision will be closely watched for its implications on the UK economy and global financial markets. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Thursday, March 20: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health. Forecast: 225,000​ Previous: 220,000​ 🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET) 🏭:This index measures manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district, with positive numbers indicating expansion. Forecast: 10.0​ Previous: 18.1​ 🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠:This data reflects the annualized number of previously constructed homes sold during the prior month, offering insights into the housing market's strength. Forecast: 3.95 million annualized units​ Previous: 4.08 million annualized units ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
#XLM #XLMUSDT #Stellar #Analysis #Eddy#XLM #XLMUSDT #Stellar #Analysis #Eddy Everything is clear on the chart, I didn't have enough time to explain further. From the supply area, with or without the area hunt, it can fall to the demand area. Then you can invest in your style by getting the necessary confirmations when the high-time divergence is completed, which is probably the third collision on the lines marked in the demand area. This analysis is only to show important areas. It is never too late to buy and invest. Do not rush and do not be fooled by the positive movements and reactions of the market. Wait for the price to reach its valuable areas. In the analysis of the Atom currency, as you can see, there is a strong demand area that is intact. Be patient until the price falls from the decision or extreme flips to the green area of ​​the important demand area. Be sure to check this currency in your monthly time frame and draw the areas. Then refer to the weekly, daily and four-hour time frames and draw the lower time areas and look for confirmation for volatility. Do not rush to invest and buy spot and let the price reach the support area. Important areas are drawn and labeled so you can make informed decisions. Good luck.
by Eddy_Trade_
ETHEREUM -Weekly forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: While the price is above the support 1521.00, beginning of uptrend is expected. We make sure when the resistance at 2090.33 breaks. If the support at 1521.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid. BITSTAMP:ETHUSD MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 1750.30 on 03/11/2025, so more gains maximum to Major Resistance (2090.33) is expected. Take Profits: 2362.31 2546.73 2801.10 3042.75 3516.43 3741.60 4107.80 4500.00 4868.00 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by ForecastCity
11
#FARTCOINUSDT is showing bullish momentum📈LONG BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P from $0.3590 🛡 Stop Loss: $0.3465 🕒 Timeframe: 1H ⚡️ Overview: ➡️ BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P is showing bullish momentum on the 1-hour timeframe. ➡️ The price has recently broken through the resistance zone at $0.3590, which could serve as an entry point for a long position. ➡️ The chart shows an accumulation zone in the $0.3374–$0.3590 range, where volumes (visible on the volume profile to the left) indicate strong buyer interest. ➡️ The POC (Point of Control) is at $0.3462, confirming support below the current price. ➡️ The price is maintaining an uptrend structure: higher lows and highs are forming, and the breakout at $0.3590 is accompanied by increasing volumes, signaling bullish activity. ➡️ The #RSI (14) indicator on the 1H timeframe is at 65, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought, leaving room for further growth. 🚀 Plan: ➡️ Entry: Buy above $0.3590 after the 1-hour candle closes above this level to confirm the breakout. ➡️ Stop Loss: Set at $0.3465 (below the support zone and POC), which provides a 3.5% risk from the entry point and protects against false breakouts. ➡️ Risk/Reward Ratio: From 1:2 (for TP1) to 1:5.5 (for TP3), making this trade attractive from a risk management perspective. 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 💎 TP1: $0.3660 (nearest resistance level, +1.9% from entry) 💎 TP2: $0.3730 (zone of previous highs, +3.9%) 💎 TP3: $0.3790 (key growth target, +5.6%) 📢 A price consolidation above $0.3590 with sustained volume increases the likelihood of reaching the targets. The $0.3660 and $0.3730 levels may act as profit-taking zones, so monitor price action in these areas. 📢 Risks: If the price drops below $0.3465, it could signal a false breakout and a return to the consolidation zone of $0.3374–$0.3465. In this case, consider reassessing the position. 📢 Market Context: The rise of BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P may be supported by the overall positive sentiment in the crypto market. As of March 19, 2025, BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is trading steadily above $90,000, creating a favorable backdrop for altcoins. BYBIT:FARTCOINUSDT.P is showing strength and potential for growth on the 1H timeframe. A confirmed breakout above $0.3590 is your signal to act! We expect a move toward the $0.3660–$0.3790 levels.
Long
by MoriartyTrading
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish Reversal Setup from ResistanceAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. The price is now approaching the key resistance zone around $3,054, where sellers may become active. A potential bearish rejection could lead to a reversal towards the $2,980 target level, aligning with previous support. The setup suggests a sell opportunity at resistance, expecting a downward move. Trading Plan: Entry: Consider selling near $3,054 after confirmation of rejection. Target: $2,980 (Support level). Stop-Loss: Above recent highs to manage risk. Conclusion: If the price fails to break above resistance, XAU/USD could see a pullback, offering a shorting opportunity. Traders should watch for bearish signals before entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
EURGBP Bearish Continuation Setup Potential Drop to Key Support📌 Overview: The EUR/GBP pair is showing signs of bearish continuation after failing to break above key resistance levels. Price action indicates a potential downward move towards a major support zone, aligning with the overall market structure. 🔎 Technical Analysis: The pair has formed a lower high, indicating weakness in bullish momentum. A breakdown from the recent consolidation zone suggests sellers are in control. Price has breached a key support level, turning it into a resistance zone. The market structure indicates a potential drop towards 0.82773, which aligns with a previous support area. 📊 Key Price Levels: ✔ Resistance: 0.84000 - 0.84200 (previous support turned resistance) ✔ Current Price: 0.83876 ✔ Target: 0.82773 (major support and liquidity zone) ✔ Stop Loss: Above 0.84000, invalidating the bearish setup 📉 Trade Plan & Execution: 🔹 Entry Strategy: Traders can look for a retest of broken support (now resistance) near 0.84000 to confirm selling pressure. A bearish rejection candle (such as a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or pin bar) could confirm the continuation of the downward trend. 🔹 Profit Target: The primary target is 0.82773, which acts as a strong demand zone from previous price action. 🔹 Risk Management: A stop loss should be placed above 0.84000, as a break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. Maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (1:2 or better) is advisable for optimal trade execution. 📢 Market Outlook & Considerations: ✅ Bearish Confirmation: Sustained rejection from resistance and lower highs strengthen the bearish outlook towards 0.82773. 🚨 Bullish Reversal Risk: A break above 0.84000 could invalidate the setup, signaling a potential return to bullish momentum. 📊 Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on GBP and EUR-related economic data, central bank policies, and risk sentiment, which could impact price movements.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
EUR/USD Bullish Continuation Setup📈 Trend Analysis: The price is trading within a rising channel, suggesting an overall bullish trend. The market recently pulled back to a key support level, presenting a potential buy opportunity. 🔍 Key Levels: Buy Zone: Around 1.08680 - 1.08966, marking strong support. Target: 1.10140, aligning with the upper trendline resistance. 📌 Trade Plan: Look for buy entries near the lower boundary of the ascending channel. Confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) strengthens the setup. ⚠ Risk Management: Stop loss: Below the 1.08680 support level. Take profit: Gradually scale out at 1.10140 resistance.
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
USD/JPY Bearish Continuation📉 Trend Analysis: The chart shows a breakdown from an ascending channel, indicating a potential bearish reversal after an extended uptrend. Price has formed a descending channel, reinforcing the short-term bearish structure. 🔍 Key Levels: Sell Zone: Around 0.0066848 - 0.0066919, acting as resistance. First Target: Around 0.006490, a strong support area. Second Target: Around 0.0065692, marking a deeper level of bearish continuation. Final Target: Around 0.0064632, a critical demand zone. 📌 Trade Plan: Look for sell entries on a possible pullback to the resistance zone. Confirmation through rejection candles or continuation patterns could strengthen the bearish case. ⚠ Risk Management: Stop loss above the previous resistance around 0.0067184. Take profits gradually at key support zones.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
Can further declines in DXY attract buyers of this commodity?ICEUS:CT1! futures have been on a steady decline for some time now. Could potential further declines in DXY attract buying interest of MARKETSCOM:COTTON ? Let's dig in. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:COTTON
by Marketscom
GBP/USD Bullish Channel – Buy Opportunity! Overview: The British Pound (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD) is currently trading within an ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. The price is approaching a key buy zone at the lower trendline, presenting a potential long opportunity if bullish momentum continues. Key Market Structure Analysis: 🔹 Uptrend in Progress: GBP/USD has been forming higher highs and higher lows inside a well-defined rising channel. 🔹 Support Zone: A potential buy entry is around 1.2925, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel. 🔹 Target Projection: If the price bounces from support, the next key resistance target is 1.3085. Potential Trade Setup: ✅ Bullish Scenario: A retest and bounce from 1.2925 could trigger a buy setup. Upside target: 🎯 1.3085 – Key resistance level within the channel. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Invalidation): A break below 1.2925 could invalidate the bullish setup and signal a deeper retracement. Below the channel support, price might target the 1.2600 region as the next demand zone. Final Thoughts: GBP/USD remains in a strong uptrend, with the lower channel support acting as a key decision point. If bulls defend this level, we could see further upside momentum. However, a breakdown of the structure could shift the sentiment. Will GBP/USD continue its bullish momentum? Share your thoughts below!
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Breakout – Next Targets $2,328 & Beyond! Overview: Ethereum has been in a downtrend, forming a descending channel, but it recently found strong support at $1,764 and has now broken out of a range-bound consolidation. This could be the beginning of a bullish move towards higher resistance levels. Key Market Structure Analysis: 🔸 Previous Downtrend: ETH was trading within a bearish channel, creating lower highs and lower lows before bottoming out. 🔸 Accumulation Phase: A sideways consolidation range between $1,764 - $2,017 formed after the downtrend, signaling potential accumulation. 🔸 Breakout Confirmation: ETH has broken above the $2,017 resistance, suggesting that buyers are stepping in. Potential Trade Setup: ✅ Bullish Scenario: A successful breakout retest around $2,000 - $1,950 could provide an entry opportunity. Upside targets: 🎯 $2,328.95 – Major resistance level from previous price action. 🎯 $2,559.17 – Next key resistance if momentum continues. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Invalidation): A drop below $1,950 - $1,900 could push ETH back into the previous range. Losing the $1,764 support could lead to a retest of $1,600 or lower. Final Thoughts: Ethereum is showing strength after breaking out of a key consolidation range. If the breakout holds, ETH could be gearing up for a strong rally toward $2,328 - $2,559. However, a retest of the breakout zone may provide a better risk-to-reward entry. What do you think? Will ETH push toward $2,328 next? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📈
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trade Setup Market Structure & Key Levels: The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart displays a descending channel breakout, followed by a range-bound consolidation phase. Key Support Levels: $78,000 - $77,320: A strong demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in. $80,000: Psychological support level. Key Resistance Levels: $84,340: Short-term resistance currently being tested. $85,996: Next major resistance level. $89,363: Target resistance level if a breakout occurs. $92,331: A higher timeframe resistance level. Chart Pattern & Price Action: Descending Channel (Early March) Price was in a downtrend, forming a descending channel pattern. The breakout from this channel led to a shift in momentum. Range Consolidation (Current Pattern) After the breakout, BTC entered a sideways accumulation phase (marked by the red box). Price is bouncing between $82,000 - $84,500, showing low volatility and indecision. Breakout Possibility (Bullish Bias) A break above $84,500 could confirm a bullish move towards $85,996 and beyond. The next major target is $89,363, which aligns with previous resistance. Support Retest (Bearish Risk) If BTC fails to break resistance, we might see a retest of $80,000 or even $78,000. A break below $77,320 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish ContinuationTechnical Analysis & Market Outlook The Silver (XAG/USD) 1-hour chart presents a clear rising wedge formation, a well-recognized bearish reversal pattern. This formation develops when price action creates higher highs and higher lows within a contracting range, signaling a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Currently, Silver has broken below the lower trendline of the wedge, confirming a bearish breakout. This move suggests that the recent uptrend is weakening, and sellers are beginning to take control. A retest of the broken support level as new resistance could provide an ideal entry for a short position. Key Technical Levels & Trading Plan 1️⃣ Resistance & Supply Zone: 34.00 - 34.20 Price has struggled to break above this region multiple times, confirming strong selling pressure. The market rejected this level sharply, leading to the current downside movement. A stop-loss can be placed slightly above this zone to protect against unexpected reversals. 2️⃣ Support Level & Retest Zone: 33.50 Previously, this level acted as a strong support, but the breakdown confirms a shift in market structure. If price retests this level and faces rejection, it could serve as an optimal entry point for short trades. 3️⃣ Short Entry Confirmation Traders should look for price rejection from the 33.50 zone before entering a short position. A bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, or a lower high formation) would further validate the entry. 4️⃣ Bearish Target: 31.90 - 32.00 The projected downside move aligns with the measured move of the wedge breakdown and previous support zones. If price maintains bearish momentum, further downside potential exists beyond this target. 5️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: Above 34.20 Setting a stop-loss above the recent resistance ensures protection against invalidation of the bearish setup. This placement accounts for potential price spikes or false breakouts. Trade Execution Strategy: 📌 Entry: Short on a retest of the 33.50 level, ensuring confirmation via price rejection. 📌 Stop-Loss: Above 34.20 to avoid premature stop-outs. 📌 Take-Profit: Targeting the 31.90 - 32.00 zone for an optimal risk-to-reward ratio. Conclusion & Risk Management: The breakdown from the rising wedge signals a shift in market sentiment, favoring a bearish move. Traders should remain patient for a retest of broken support to confirm the validity of the trade. Proper risk management with a well-placed stop-loss and a defined target ensures controlled exposure to market fluctuations. 📊 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉 🔍 Key Watch Areas: Retest of 33.50 for Short Confirmation
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
#DYMUSDT is showing signs of growth📉 Long BYBIT:DYMUSDT.P от $0,4575 🛡 Stop loss $0,4350 🕒 1H Timeframe ⚡️ Overview: ➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 0,4149, indicating the area with the highest trading volume. ➡️ The 0,4572 level acts as a local support, as the price previously bounced from this zone. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0,4720 💎 TP 2: $0,4850 💎 TP 2: $0,4970 📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade! 📢 If 0,4572 is broken downward, the trade may be invalidated. BYBIT:DYMUSDT.P is showing signs of growth — expecting further upside movement!
Long
by MoriartyTrading
EURJPY 4H | Bullish Breakout & Retest – Next Big Move?The EUR/JPY 4-hour chart presents a compelling bullish breakout setup following a structured downtrend. The market recently broke through a significant resistance zone, indicating potential further upside movement. This analysis outlines key price levels, market structure, and an actionable trading plan. 📊 Market Structure Overview 🔸 Downtrend Reversal: The price was previously trading within a descending channel (highlighted in green), forming lower highs and lower lows. 🔸 Support Confirmation : The price bounced from a strong support zone around 158.500 - 160.000, confirming buyers' interest in this region. 🔸 Breakout & Retest : A strong bullish impulse broke through the 164.500 - 165.000 resistance zone, suggesting a shift in market sentiment. 📌 Key Trading Levels 🔹 Support Zone: 158.500 - 160.000 This area previously acted as a demand zone where buyers aggressively pushed the price higher. It now serves as a safety net for long positions. 🔹 Resistance Zone (Now Potential Support): 164.500 - 165.000 Price has broken above this level, but a retest could provide an ideal entry for confirmation. 🔹 Next Major Resistance (Target Levels): TP1: 165.000 → A psychological level and previous resistance. TP2: 166.020 → A higher resistance zone where price may struggle to break through. 📈 Trading Plan – Long Setup ✅ Entry Confirmation: Wait for price to pull back to the 164.500 - 165.000 zone. Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles) to confirm buyers stepping in. 🎯 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 165.000 (Initial resistance level) TP2: 166.020 (Potential extended bullish move) 🛑 Stop Loss Strategy: Below 160.038 (Previous structure low & key support level) Ensures protection against potential fakeouts or trend reversals. 📢 Risk-Reward Ratio: Aiming for 2:1 or better risk-reward ratio for an optimal trade setup. 📝 Market Outlook & Conclusion 📌 The recent breakout above resistance suggests bullish momentum is strong. However, traders should be patient and wait for a pullback to enter at a better risk-reward level. If price successfully retests and holds above 164.500, there is a high probability of continuation towards 166.020. 🚀 Trading Bias: Bullish – Until market structure shifts or a major rejection occurs at resistance. 📢 Final Trading Tip 🔹 Patience is key! Don’t rush into a trade immediately after a breakout. Wait for confirmation, as false breakouts are common in volatile markets. A successful retest of the broken resistance will provide a low-risk, high-reward entry opportunity.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Bearish Trading Setup | Resistance Rejection & BreakdownMarket Context & Overview The EUR/GBP currency pair is currently showing signs of bearish momentum, as illustrated in this 1-hour trading chart. The price is facing a strong resistance zone while forming a descending trendline, indicating that sellers are gaining control over the market. Given this technical setup, traders can anticipate a potential breakdown leading to further downside movement. This analysis highlights key price levels, technical indicators, and potential trade opportunities based on current price action. The bearish outlook is supported by the market structure, which is displaying signs of a potential trend reversal from the resistance zone. 🔹 Key Technical Levels 1️⃣ Resistance Zone (0.84200 - 0.84300) This area has acted as a strong selling zone in previous price action. Multiple rejection points indicate that buyers are struggling to push beyond this level. This resistance aligns with the descending trendline, further strengthening the bearish bias. 2️⃣ Support Level (0.84000) The current support level has provided temporary demand, preventing immediate downside movement. If the price breaks below this support, it will confirm a bearish continuation. 3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (0.84495) This is the all-time high resistance zone in the short-term structure. A break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to bullish momentum. 4️⃣ Target Level (0.83735) If the price successfully breaks below 0.84000, the next target would be 0.83735. This level aligns with previous swing lows, making it a realistic downside target for short positions. 5️⃣ Stop Loss Placement (Above 0.84201) A stop-loss above 0.84201 ensures protection against false breakouts. If price breaks above this level, it could signal a shift in market structure. 🔹 Technical Insights & Market Sentiment 1️⃣ Descending Trendline: The price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating a bearish bias. 2️⃣ Multiple Resistance Rejections: Price has tested the resistance zone multiple times without breaking through. 3️⃣ Bearish Price Action: The recent candles show lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend. 4️⃣ Volume Analysis: A drop in buying pressure at resistance signals potential weakness among buyers. 5️⃣ Fundamental Factors : GBP strength due to macroeconomic factors could add further pressure on EUR/GBP. 🔹 Trade Plan & Strategy 📌 Entry Criteria Ideal entry near 0.84150 - 0.84200 if price shows rejection at resistance. Alternatively, enter after a confirmed breakdown below 0.84000 for safer confirmation. 🎯 Profit Target First target: 0.83735 If bearish momentum continues, price could extend towards 0.83600 as an extended target. 🛑 Stop Loss Placement Above 0.84201 to minimize risk. This ensures the trade remains valid while avoiding market noise. 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Management ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 2:1, making this a favorable setup. ✅ Trade Management: If price starts reversing before hitting the target, consider trailing stop-loss to secure profits. If price consolidates around support, watch for breakout confirmations before entering. 🔹 Final Thoughts & Market Sentiment This trading setup suggests a strong bearish opportunity based on price action, resistance rejection, and trendline confluence. The break below 0.84000 will be the key trigger for further downside movement. If price remains below resistance, a sell position with a stop-loss above 0.84201 and a target of 0.83735 offers a high-probability trade setup.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Chart Pattern Analysis (1H Timeframe) – Bearish SetupThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a compelling bearish setup, characterized by a rejection from a key resistance zone, a weakening support level, and a potential trendline breakdown. These technical elements suggest an increased probability of downward movement if bearish momentum persists. Key Technical Components: Resistance Rejection & Selling Pressure: The price action tested a well-defined resistance zone, which aligns with previous swing highs. A rejection from this level indicates that sellers have stepped in, preventing further upside movement. This area serves as a supply zone, reinforcing a bearish outlook as long as price remains below it. Support Level at Risk of Breakdown: The market is currently testing a support zone, which has previously acted as a demand area. A break below this support would confirm increased selling pressure, likely triggering a more significant decline. The support level is structurally weak, as the price has already tested it multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. Ascending Trendline Violation: The ascending trendline has been a key dynamic support for the recent uptrend. If the price breaks below this trendline with strong volume, it would signify a potential trend reversal, shifting market sentiment from bullish to bearish. A confirmed breakdown would further validate the bearish continuation scenario. Sell Stop Placement & Profit Targets: A Sell Stop order is positioned below the support zone to capture a breakdown trade. The first Take Profit (TP1) is set at 1.08312, a level that has historically acted as support and resistance. The second Take Profit (TP2) is placed at 1.07659, representing a more extended bearish move toward the next major demand zone. Conclusion & Trading Strategy: Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level and ascending trendline, it could trigger a sell-off, leading to a potential downside move toward TP1 and TP2. Bullish Rebound Possibility: If the support level holds and buyers regain control, the price may attempt to retest the resistance zone. However, the bearish structure remains dominant unless the price breaks above resistance. Final Outlook: Traders should closely monitor price action at the support and trendline intersection. A confirmed breakdown below these levels, preferably with increased volume, would reinforce the bearish outlook. Proper risk management and stop-loss placement above the resistance zone are recommended to mitigate potential reversals. Would you like me to refine it further for professional publication or trading forums? 🚀
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
CHF/USD Trading Idea – Bearish Reversal from Key ResistanceThis CHF/USD chart presents a compelling bearish setup, suggesting that the pair may be headed for a decline after facing strong resistance. The price action has followed a technical breakout and retest pattern, with a clear rejection from a well-defined resistance level. Traders looking for short-selling opportunities should take note of the key price zones, support levels, and overall market structure before making a move. Let’s break it down in detail. 🔍 Chart Breakdown: What’s Happening? 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish Push The price was consolidating inside a falling wedge, a pattern that typically signals an eventual breakout to the upside. The breakout led to a strong bullish move, pushing the price toward a well-established resistance zone around 1.1414. After breaking out, the pair made a significant upward run before stalling at this key resistance. 2️⃣ Key Resistance Level Holding Strong The price touched the resistance zone but failed to break above it. This rejection indicates that sellers are stepping in, absorbing the buying pressure. The market is showing early signs of bearish momentum, hinting at a potential downtrend. 3️⃣ Projected Bearish Move: Lower Targets in Sight If the current rejection holds, the price is likely to fall toward the nearest support levels: ✅ TP 1 (Take Profit 1): 1.1271 → First major support level, likely to be tested soon. ✅ TP 2 (Take Profit 2): 1.1201 → A deeper retracement if selling pressure increases. ✅ TP 3 (Take Profit 3): 1.1055 → Final downside target if the bearish trend extends further. 4️⃣ Stop Loss Placement – Risk Management To manage risk, the ideal stop loss should be placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.1414. This protects against potential false breakouts and unexpected market shifts. 📉 Trade Strategy – How to Approach This Setup? 🔸 Entry Point: Look for a confirmed rejection of the resistance level (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like engulfing, shooting star, or pin bars). 🔸 Stop Loss: Place above 1.1414 to avoid getting caught in a short squeeze. 🔸 Take Profit Targets: First TP at 1.1271 Second TP at 1.1201 Final TP at 1.1055 for extended downside moves ⚠️ Important Notes for Traders: ✔ Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush into a short trade. Look for a strong bearish candle closure or a retest before entering. ✔ Be Aware of News Events: Economic releases, interest rate decisions, and major USD-related news can impact price movement. ✔ Monitor Market Sentiment: If USD strengthens, this setup is even more likely to play out. 🧐 Final Thoughts – High Probability Short Setup? ✅ Why This Trade Looks Strong: The technical pattern is playing out perfectly, with a clear resistance rejection. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels. The overall market structure supports a potential downside move if price continues respecting resistance. 📢 Bottom Line : If price remains below the 1.1414 resistance, this trade setup could provide an excellent opportunity for short-sellers targeting lower support levels. 🚀 Stay patient and wait for confirmation before pulling the trigger!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades