GOLD → The calm before the NFP torm! What’s next?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within the 2926 - 2894 range, signaling a pause after its recent strong uptrend. If a false support breakdown occurs, the market could quickly revert, especially amid signs of a recovering USD.
However, a weaker dollar and expectations of a Federal Reserve policy shift toward easing continue to support gold demand. Despite the temporary suspension of Trump’s tariff measures, the precious metal remains in focus as a safe-haven asset.
Traders are now closely watching the NFP report, which could dictate the dollar’s future trajectory and influence Fed policy decisions. In the short term, attention will be on Initial Jobless Claims data, which may provide early signals about the U.S. labor market.
Technical Outlook
-Gold remains within the 2926 - 2894 range, potentially testing liquidity near the 2894 support zone.
-An unfilled fair value gap (FVG) below 2894 could lead to a brief dip before a rebound.
-Given the bullish long-term trend in gold and the ongoing dollar weakness, the probability of a price recovery remains high.
In this scenario, gold may fake out a breakdown, grab liquidity near support, and then resume its broader uptrend.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Technical Analysis
Mon 10th Mar 2025 GBP/CHF Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/CHF Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
TESLA'S FALLI am seeing continuation to the downside of TESLA with all the market sentiment of Tariffs. TESLA has touched a previous order block as expected on the downward movement, closing with a support on the $252/255 area. I am awaiting 2 possible situations depending on Monday's ORB movement.
1- That TESLA will move up to the $384/382 area to retest Trendline and continue to liquidate orders down to the next order block which is in the range of $212/215 to commence a bounce to recovery.
2- Tesla will continue to drop from current range towards to the lowest order block to $212/215 for a bounce back.
Looking forward to possible news to validate sentiments in order to make these moves happen.
So far on prediction 23/0 so I am confident this is the markets intention for now.
Will $78.5K hold or spark a liquidation storm?Bitcoin is facing intense selling pressure within the critical $78,500 – $82,000 zone on the 4-hour timeframe. A large liquidation cluster in this range (over $800 million in leveraged longs) raises the risk of a sharp drop toward $77,800, a key institutional support level. However, oversold RSI (32) and slowing bearish momentum on the MACD suggest potential exhaustion in sellers, increasing the likelihood of a rebound if the zone holds. A decisive breakdown below $78,500 could accelerate corrective moves toward short-term lows.
A sustained hold above $78,500 followed by a breakout above $82,000 would open a bullish reversal scenario, targeting $86,000 (Fibonacci extension level) and $89,000. Such a move would likely trigger a short squeeze, fueled by liquidations of leveraged shorts and rising buy-side volume.
XAGUSD Silver outlookThis is my current view on XAGUSD. I have a trade running which has a lose target starting around $36, but will be subject to change as the price action develops. I'm in silver for the chance that we see much higher prices than that!!. Trading spot is a small part of my exposure to the silver sector.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for New Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis
💲💲 #BTC is trading in a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. If the price of #BTC breaks and sustain the higher price then will see a pump. Also there is an instant strong support zone. We may see a retest towards the support zone first and then a reversal📈
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Support #Resistance #DYOR
Goldman Sachs - Too Cheap to Ignore?NYSE:GS and the general financial services sector as a whole has faced extreme trauma over this past month. However, one that particularly stands out is the "bad guy" of the industry who has taken the equivalent to a roundhouse kick to the face, and the chart shows it. But does this mean that someone looking for a dip shouldn't pick up strong equity on a discount? I say no, lets be greedy while other are fearful just like that one guy said. Warren something... I don't really remember his name.
Let's examine the numbers before we do the finance equivalent of astrology. This means that value investing and it's rather elementary techniques are going to give us some sort of indicator of a buy or a sell. Here's what you need to know.
1. Sachs has an attractive dividend yield of 2.14% ($11.50/share) and a gleaming dividend payout ratio (DPR) of 21.50%.
2. It is far from its high annual EPS sitting at 41.21 sliding from its high last December at 60.35.
3. It's price to earnings ratio (PE) is lounging nicely at 14.00 meaning we are at a generally cheap share price. This metric is what we're looking for.
4. Unfortunately, it has a rather higher price to book ratio (PB) at 1.64 which somewhat contradicts the PE ratio examined in #3.
5. Other metrics to keep in mind is an EV/EBITDA at 53.90 and a PEG at 16.23 which are both considered undesirable to investors.
So as far as statistics are concerned, Goldman is sending some mixed signals making a decision difficult at the moment. This means we're going to have to examine the general sector sentiment and general outlook.
Firstly, I'd like to point out Goldman's enterprise value. Sachs' EV is currently reported at 855.93 billion, 673 billion (78.63%) being debt (long term or short). This means NYSE:GS is a debt heavy company and we all know how debt works (the entity taking on the debt owes principal + interest). Well, this means that NYSE:GS is heavily going to be influenced by interest rates even considering their strong revenue. So, if we plan on interest rates being lowered long term (which I'm sure we all do), Goldman will be able to borrow from the Fed at a cheaper interest price while simultaneously owing account holders and bond holders less in interest (or APY yield for that matter). However, in the event that inflation runs wild and the Fed raises rates, NYSE:GS will face some turmoil along with the other commercial investment banks.
Great, so now for the fun part. Let's see what the charts have to say about this and what it could be implying.
Here is the 4H chart looking back into last October.
As you can see, Goldman posted a sweet rally followed by our current pullback. However, we are being flashed with various bullish technical patterns and a strong explanation for the drop (even considering the tariffs threats and indices pullback). In summary, we are examining a stock in gradual freefall towards what appears to be several safety nets.
On a psychological level, I find that most investors in the business of "smart money" wont let Goldman drop too low before they put their boot down. I also imagine this will happen pretty soon, but we need to hold the $540 price level.
As far as the MACD is concerned, we are experiencing weakness from the buyers are the bears are clearly on offense.
And lastly, the GS implied volatility shows that options traders aren't pricing in anything particularly unusual, and the most usual movement for the market is to climb higher so that's good news.
So, what's the conclusion. In my humble opinion, I believe that Goldman Sachs' stock is trading too low to not buy. Financially, the company is not showing anything particularly concerning and may just need to show some strength before the mass cash chases this play. As of right now, I am long on NYSE:GS considering the financial statistics, general industry sentiment, and technical analysis which was used as an assistance tool. This trade could be last anywhere from 1 day to 1 year, but I am prepared to hold for much longer.
XRP Weekly-Monthly Analysis / Retracement Levels for BuyWeekly - Monthly trend: Bearish
Chart Pattern: Head & Shoulders (H&S) - Bearish Continuation Pattern
Bearish Candlesticks signals:
HANGING MAN (Bearish, Single Candlestick pattern) / Weekly Timeframe / 09 DEC 2024
BEARISH ENGULFING (Bearish, Double Candlestick pattern)/ weekly Timeframe / 27 JAN 2025
TWEEZER TOP (Bearish, Double Candlestick pattern) / 1 Day timeframe / 20 FEB 2025
FALLING THREE METHODS (Bearish, five-fold Candlestick pattern) / 1 Day timeframe / 07 MAR 2025
Retracement Fib Price Levels:
0.00% (3.4000)
23.60% (2.6879)
38.20% (2.2474)
50.00% (1.8914)
61.80% (1.5353)
78.60% (1.0284)
100.00% (0.3827)
Good prices for buy (the lower the better):
61.80% (1.5353) – Golden Zone / Golden Pocket
78.60% (1.0284) – Entry Zone
Between 78.60% (1.0284) and 100.00% (0.3827) is the Risk Zone, which we have the Neckline of the ‘’ Quadruple Bottom Pattern ‘’ at the price range ‘’ 0.6291 – 0.7850 ‘’
I am having buy limit at 0.78500 on the neckline of ‘’ Quadruple Bottom Pattern ‘’.
$GOOGL Rising bearish wedge with declining volume; $165 belowNASDAQ:GOOGL here looks weak to me trying to reclaim it's support of $175-$180. This is on my watchlist for a short term short, if this name tanks back into the $150's I will load everything I got for the long side. I see this name in a downside trend currently in a rising wedge with declining volume, buyers can't hold it up much longer. It's retested that support on 3 or more daily candles and hasn't busted through. I expect this name to drop into a support zone of $160-$165. I will look to enter puts off a retest of $176-$178 area keeping the stops tight.
WSL.
$AFRM $70 target into retest $80, pt. 1 chartI wish you could post multiple charts in the same size so you can see and I don't have to post twice. I looked at the D and W. This name should see it's IPO highs at some point this year, with the volatility it could be sooner than later as well. Resistance, in my opinion, looks to be $80 zone, a psyche area as well -- dating back to 3/2021, 1/2022, 2/2022, and 2/2025. Looks like $45-$50 which was once resistance now flipped to support. It touched the 200sma and riding the 200ema. & There almost seems like a huge cup and handle formed on the weekly as well... interesting. Also, look at the earnings on NASDAQ:AFRM ... lmao. Monstrous.
WSL
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
If resistance at 2955 can prevent further price increases, a price drop to 2833 and ultimately the buying zone of 2790 is expected.
If gold can break the resistance at 2955, the price could reach $3,000 or even $350.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3050.00
__________________________________________________________________
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
TradeCityPro | FILUSDT Continuing the Analysis of U.S. Coins👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze another coin with a U.S. base, which has the potential to be listed in ETFs in the future, as the U.S. currently has the most influence on the market!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
We are still within the weekly box, and the coin’s situation is not very favorable, as it is currently fluctuating around its most important support level.
After failing to reach the top of the weekly box and facing an early rejection, the market has experienced a decline in recent price corrections. Currently, the price is fluctuating around 3.139, which is the most crucial support level at the moment.
From a price perspective, this is a good buying zone, but since the market is highly bearish, I personally wouldn't buy without confirmation. I'd prefer to let the price range a bit and form a structure, or wait for a strong green candle. Otherwise, my buy trigger would be a breakout above 9.899.
📈 Daily Timeframe
The main trend is still bearish, meaning we continue forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is ranging between 2.995 and 3.753.
After a rejection from 8.051, the price formed a support level at 4.836. However, after breaking this support and retesting it (which has now turned into resistance), the price engulfed the previous three candles, leading to a drop to 2.995.
If the price breaks above 3.573, the Fibonacci levels that we have drawn will act as strong resistance zones for further upward movement. The most important of these levels is 4.836, which previously caused a significant rejection.
For buying, the more the price ranges within the 2.995 - 3.573 box, the stronger the 3.573 breakout trigger will be. For selling, I recommend exiting below 2.995. If the price moves back above 3.573, you can reinvest with the same USDT amount, but in a smaller quantity of FIL, to manage your risk.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
DGB ANALYSIS🔮 #DGB Analysis - Breakout 🚀🚀
💲💲 In daily time-frame,Falling Wedge Pattern is forming and a good breakout is done. And a small retest is done, now we would see a good reversal move in #DGB ✅ 💯🚀
💸Current Price -- $0.00955
📈Target Price -- $0.001544
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#DGB #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
Gold (XAUUSD) - Liquidity Grab & Potential ReversalGold has been showing interesting price action around key levels, forming a potential double top structure. The market tested the 2,930.19 resistance level, rejecting it sharply and showing signs of exhaustion.
Possible Scenario:
- Point A : Price is currently reacting from a key resistance level where liquidity is stacked.
- Point B : A potential sweep of liquidity around 2,874.04 , where price could create a demand zone before reversing.
- Point C : If buyers step in after the liquidity grab at B, we could see a rally back into the resistance zone, targeting a break of 2,930.19 .
However, if the structure breaks lower without a strong buyer reaction, further downside could come into play, possibly targeting 2,820 as the next liquidity zone.
Key Considerations:
- Monitoring fundamental catalysts such as economic data and interest rate decisions. With NFP and Fed updates this week, volatility is expected!
- Watching for confirmation of bullish intent after the liquidity grab.
- Tracking volume to gauge potential momentum.
🚀 Do you think gold will hold above 2,874.04 , or will bears take over? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀
#Tradingview
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Why GOLD IS BULLISH? DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSXAUUSD is currently trading at $2,920, forming a bullish flag pattern—a classic continuation signal indicating potential upward momentum. The target price is set at $3,000, suggesting an anticipated gain of 80 pips upon a successful breakout.
A bullish flag pattern typically consists of a strong upward price movement (the flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase where prices move slightly downward or sideways within parallel lines (the flag). This pattern often precedes a continuation of the prior uptrend once the price breaks above the flag's resistance. In this scenario, a confirmed breakout above the flag's upper boundary could propel XAUUSD toward the $3,000 target.
Fundamentally, gold prices have been bolstered by ongoing global economic uncertainties and trade tensions, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets. Recent market analyses indicate that geopolitical developments and policies are expected to influence gold prices in 2025, with XAUUSD potentially finding support around the $2,500 level. citeturn0search1 Additionally, forecasts suggest that XAUUSD could reach a high of $2,912.14 in March 2025, with an average price around $2,855.32.
In conclusion, the formation of a bullish flag pattern in XAUUSD, coupled with supportive fundamental factors, indicates a potential upward move toward the $3,000 target. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and await confirmation of a breakout to capitalize on this opportunity.
EURJPY: Bullish Move From Support 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY looks bullish after a completion
of a consolidation on a key daily/intraday support.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle provides a strong bullish confirmation.
I think that the price will go up and hit at least 160.33 level.
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NZDJPY: Bearish Continuation 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY formed a huge head & shoulders pattern after a test
of a key daily resistance.
Its neckline violation is a strong bearish trend-following signal.
I think that the market will continue falling.
Next support - 84.0
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Gold purchase strategy continues to prioritize. Target 500 pips!Dear friends!
Gold continues to trade negatively for the second consecutive day, despite a combination of factors still acting as key drivers ahead of the crucial U.S. NFP report at the end of this Friday. Rising trade tensions continue to put pressure on investor sentiment.
As mentioned on the 1-hour chart, the daily chart for XAU/USD shows little change for the second consecutive day. However, at the same time, it also records lower highs and lower lows, shifting the risk bias to the downside. Nevertheless, the short-term picture indicates that buyers are struggling to maintain control, with the 34 EMA having reversed, increasing the risk for sellers. As a result, the downside potential remains limited, with dips likely to continue attracting buyers.
Key short-term levels to consider:
Support: 2,894 | 2,876
Resistance: 2,911 | 2,927