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Technical Analysis

INR has made a major top against USDFall of INR against the USD began in early 1970s, or perhaps late 1960s--we don't know for sure for lack of trading data. Since then, it has depreciated against the USD in crystal-clear 5 legs, or waves according to Elliott Wave Theory (EWT). To validate EWT, there occurred a gigantic gap of 9.23% in July 1991 where third wave is supposed to be--a hallmark of third waves. Furthermore, there's even a divergence between Price and Elliott Wave Oscillator (5/35 MACD) on the Monthly chart--typical of fifth waves. So, what's next then? Considering the time frame of the entire price move till date, I would say that a bear wave of Supercycle degree has just ended and we are looking at a 10-15 year advance in Indian Rupee against the US Dollar . In support of my forecast, INR has just posted a beautiful, unambiguous 5-wave advance in the shape of an expanding diagonal--hallmark of first waves--from 87.972 to 83.7625. If I'm right, price should retreat a bit toward the classic 61.8% level at 86.3396, and then fall hard--and I mean very hard, with a gap--toward the levels below 80, followed by another pause and a small retreat, and another fall, thereby completing a set of 5 distinct waves . Should price follow the path of my forecast to that point, we would have a definite confirmation on hand that a Supercycle bear wave has indeed ended. The final target of this Supercycle bull wave of INR vs. USD? It's too early and too far ahead to hazard a guess, but as per EWT principles, it should be somewhere close to 44. Yes. 1$ = ₹44. I hope I live to see that day. It's going to take a while, till 2040 perhaps, but we'll get there alright.
Short
by akg1249
2
Crude Oil Dipped: Downtrend Could ResumeFenzoFx—Crude oil has begun consolidating around $63.5, a resistance level aligned with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Selling pressure has resulted in a long-wicked bearish candlestick pattern at this level. The primary support level stands at $61.45. A break below this threshold could trigger a new bearish wave, potentially driving the price toward the $60.20 support, reinforced by the 50-period simple moving average. However, the primary trend remains bullish as long as the price holds above the $60.20 support.
TVC:USOILShort
by FenzoFxBroker
LYFT, 3D Daily Breakout Confirms Potential Mid-Term ReversalOn the 3-day chart of Lyft, price action is developing within a potential mid-term reversal structure. The key trigger was the breakout of the descending trendline on the daily timeframe, signaling a shift in momentum after an extended downtrend. The asset bounced from the long-term ascending support zone around $9.66, and the structure now points to a possible expansion toward key Fibonacci retracement levels: Upside targets based on Fibo levels: – $14.36 (0.5) – $15.47 (0.618) – $17.05 (0.786) – Extended: $24.88 (1.618) Technical Highlights: – Breakout confirmed on daily chart trendline – 3D chart shows tightening triangle pattern – Stochastic momentum turning bullish from oversold levels – Volume profile supports accumulation, not distribution – Resistance zone: $14.30–$17.00 – Holding above the breakout trendline keeps the bullish setup valid Fundamental Context: Lyft is restructuring operations, with narrowed losses, improved efficiency, and customer retention focus. The company is regaining share in the ride-hailing segment, and investors are beginning to price in operational stabilization. The improving sentiment is reflected in growing institutional interest and mid-term positioning. This is a potential mid-term bullish scenario, activated by the daily breakout and confirmed if price holds above the trendline. A push above $15.50–$17.00 could unlock the full target at $24.88. As long as structure holds, this remains a strong trend reversal setup.
NASDAQ:LYFTLong
by TotoshkaTrades
4
RF 1D: Breakout or Just a Bullish Pause?Regions Financial (ticker: RF) finally escaped the descending channel it had been stuck in for nearly 8 months — like someone who missed their stop and woke up in a different state. The breakout came with volume and a hold above the 50-day MA, which technically gives the bulls a reason to stretch their legs — cautiously. The price has already cleared the 0.618 Fibonacci level (~21.66), and is now pushing toward the 0.5 zone (~22.87). If momentum holds, the next key area is target 1 around 24.00–24.50. Beyond that — and this is where things get ambitious — we have target 2 in the 27.50–28.50 range, which aligns with pre-breakdown resistance from late 2024. RSI is climbing into overbought territory but still confirms the breakout rather than warning of a top — at least for now. On the macro side: U.S. regional banks have had a rough ride in early 2025, but RF has held up better than many peers. The recent earnings beat and visible uptick in volume suggest growing institutional interest. If bond yields keep cooling and risk appetite returns to the value sector, RF could remain in favor. That said, bulls need to see a confirmed hold above 22.80. Otherwise, this could end up as another failed retest — and bears are always lurking just outside the channel.
NYSE:RFLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 13, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 CPI Data Release Anticipated The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) data today at 8:30 AM ET. Economists forecast a 0.3% month-over-month increase, following a 0.1% decline in March. Year-over-year, CPI is expected to remain at 2.4%, with core CPI holding steady at 2.8% . 🤝 U.S.-China Trade Truce Boosts Markets Markets rallied on Monday after the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs for 90 days, easing trade tensions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1,160 points (2.8%), the S&P 500 rose 3.3%, and the Nasdaq gained 4.4%. Major tech stocks like Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), and Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) saw significant gains . 📈 Coinbase to Join S&P 500 Coinbase Global Inc. ( NASDAQ:COIN ) will be added to the S&P 500 index on May 19, replacing Discover Financial Services. The announcement led to an 11% surge in Coinbase shares during after-hours trading . 💎 Sotheby's to Auction $20M Blue Diamond Sotheby's Geneva is set to auction the "Mediterranean Blue Diamond," a rare 10-carat gem valued at $20 million, today. The auction has garnered significant global interest from collectors and investors . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, May 13: 8:30 AM ET: Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April 8:30 AM ET: Core CPI for April 4:30 PM ET: API Weekly Crude Oil Stock Report ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
GBPUSD - SHORTI'm currently holding a bearish bias on GBP/JPY, anticipating a short-term correction after recent overbought conditions. Price action shows signs of exhaustion, and I'm expecting a move downward to fill the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) left behind during the previous bullish impulse. Trade Rationale: Overbought Conditions: After a strong upside move, price has reached a zone where buyers are losing momentum, hinting at a potential reversal or pullback. Imbalance/FVG Zones: Clear inefficiencies exist below current price levels, and I expect the market to retrace to fill these imbalances as part of its natural rebalancing. Structure & Supply: The market is showing reaction near a significant supply zone, which could act as the catalyst for bearish continuation. Target Zones: TP1: First demand zone where minor support may form — partials can be taken here. TP2: Deeper demand zone aligned with previous consolidation — a high-probability area for price to react and potentially reverse or consolidate again. Risk Management: Stops are placed just above recent highs, invalidating the idea if the market breaks structure and continues bullish. The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio aligned with smart money concepts like imbalance fills and demand/supply reactions. 📉 Plan: Waiting for clear bearish confirmation (e.g., lower timeframe break of structure) before fully committing to the short position.
Short
by Forextify
GBP/USD Set for a Big Move! Will It Break the Channel or Reboun📈 GBP/USD DAILY PLAN – 12/05/2025 🔍 Technical Overview: The GBP/USD pair is currently consolidating in a descending channel, with clear resistance and support levels. After forming a short-term high at 1.32507, the price is showing signs of retracing and looks set to continue the downward move. Key Resistance Levels: 1.32507: The latest high, still unbroken. This is a key resistance level in the short term. 1.31690: The next resistance level, which could provide bearish momentum as the price touches it. 1.31417: A strong resistance level if the price continues to rise. Key Support Levels: 1.32474: A strong support zone, likely to be tested if the price dips. 1.32169: A short-term support level for potential reversal. 1.31216: A key support level in case of a sharp decline, potentially a strong BUY zone. 🎯 Trade Scenarios: 1. Bearish Breakout Scenario: SELL Zone: 1.32507 – 1.31690 Stop Loss (SL): 1.3300 Take Profit (TP): 1.31417 → 1.31000 → 1.30500 2. PullbackScenario – Reversal at Support: BUY Zone: 1.31216 – 1.31417 Stop Loss (SL): 1.31000 Take Profit (TP): 1.31800 → 1.32100 → 1.32400 ⚠️ Notes: Market Sentiment: The market is highly sensitive to ongoing political and economic developments, especially comments from ECB and Fed officials. Watch the key support and resistance levels carefully before making any trades today. Risk Management: Be sure to manage your SL/TP levels carefully and avoid chasing signals during volatile market moves. 📣 Important: Today is a key day with important macroeconomic data that could shift market sentiment, particularly from Fed officials and trade talks. Be cautious and wait for confirmation signals before entering any trades.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
3
Gold Drops to Support – Bullish Structure Still Intact (For Now)Gold fell nearly 2.5%, retesting its rising trendline and the 50-day SMA near $3,180 after failing to hold above $3,400: 📉 RSI dipped to 49, showing fading momentum but not yet oversold 📊 MACD is crossing lower, suggesting weakening bullish pressure 🟦 Key support: Rising trendline and 50-day SMA near $3,180 Further downside could target $3,050 📈 Bulls want to see a strong bounce from this area to maintain the uptrend structure. A daily close below $3,180 would shift near-term bias neutral to bearish. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
GOLD Weekly Open Analysis:Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum🟠 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Weekly Open Analysis: Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum Gold opens the week with a sharp gap-down, reflecting a cooling of global tensions and softer tones in tariff negotiations over the weekend. With both geopolitical risks and trade conflicts showing signs of de-escalation, investors quickly shifted away from safe-haven demand, leading to immediate downside pressure in early Asia hours. 🔍 Market Context: The price action remains within a bearish parallel channel on the M30 timeframe. A visible GAP ZONE has formed between $3326 – $3328, which now acts as a key resistance area to watch for a potential retest. This week brings critical US economic data including CPI, PPI, and a Fed speech, all of which could drive large volatility. The market is likely to remain extremely sensitive to any shifts in: US inflation expectations FED forward guidance Further headlines on tariffs or geopolitical escalations (Russia–Ukraine, India–Pakistan) 🔧 Trading Strategy for Today (13/05/2025): Bias: Short-term bearish unless clear reversal signs appear. Primary focus: Sell the rally, especially near key resistance zones. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: $3288 $3308 $3326–$3328 (Gap Fill Zone) 🔻 Key Support Levels: $3262 $3246 $3236 $3200 🎯 Trade Ideas: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: $3246 – $3244 SL: $3240 TPs: $3250 → $3254 → $3258 → $3262 → $3266 → $3270 → $3280 Valid only if buyers show strong defense at key support zones. 🔴 SELL ZONE (Main): Entry: $3326 – $3328 SL: $3332 TPs: $3322 → $3318 → $3314 → $3310 → $3305 → $3300 🔴 SELL SCALP (Early Intraday): Entry: $3306 – $3308 SL: $3312 TPs: $3300 → $3296 → $3290 → $3286 → $3282 → $3278 → $3270 ⚠️ Key Reminders: Volatility is expected to remain high throughout the week due to macro events and shifting risk sentiment. Trade with discipline — stick to your TP/SL and avoid emotional entries. Wait for confirmation at your planned levels. Let the market come to you. 📣 Final Note: This week is packed with catalysts. Patience and precision will define successful trades. Follow this account for real-time updates as the market reacts to US CPI and Fed commentary.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCHF, GBPJPY, US30 Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸 As I predicted, EURUSD dropped after the market opening. The price is currently testing a significant daily demand zone. Because the market looks relatively oversold after a selloff, I think that there will be a high chance to see a pullback. 2️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭 The price completed a consolidation and a bullish accumulation within a horizontal range on a daily. Its resistance breakout is an important bullish signal. Probabilities are high that the market will continue rising after a pullback. 3️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵 The pair broke above a significant daily resistance cluster. It opens a potential for more rise. The market will most likely reach the underlined yellow resistance soon. 4️⃣ #US30 Index Dow Jones daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸 The index successfully violated a major daily resistance. Rise will continue and the market will reach the underlined liquidity zone soon. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
Bitcoin Flips $94K Into Support — Bullish Momentum BuildsStructure Strengthens: Bitcoin's technical structure has improved significantly, with price now holding firmly above the $94,000 level — a former resistance that has flipped into solid support after multiple successful retests. Bullish Trend Confirmation: This move reinforces the ongoing bullish trend, driven by a broad bottoming formation from February to April and a clear series of higher lows since March. Investor Confidence: The consistent accumulation signals strong buying interest from long-term investors, suggesting that market participants are positioning for further upside. Outlook & Targets: As long as Bitcoin maintains levels above $94,000, the bullish outlook remains intact. The next near-term targets lie in the $110,000–$115,000 range. Bitcoin appears well-positioned for the next leg of its rally. 🚀📈 #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrend #Support #Breakout #MarketUpdate #PriceAction #CryptoMarket
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Richtv_official
1
NOTUSDT – broken faith and potential for a reversalNotcoin(NOT) - is a Web3 gaming project launched on January 1 within the TON ecosystem. Technically, Notcoin is an application inside the Telegram messenger. The project attracted users' attention through an announced token airdrop. The developers invited users to mine tokens simply by tapping on their smartphone screens. Within a few months, the game's audience exceeded 35 million people. 📍CoinMarketCap: #170 📍Twitter(X): 2.4M ________________ The NOT token dropped by -94.5% following its listing and a wave of hype. Such a decline is typically accompanied by a loss of faith in its growth and potential. 🔍 What I observe: The price is moving within a descending channel. A reversal pattern, the "inverse head and shoulders," is forming in the current zone, with a potential upside of around ~75%. The key point is a breakout above the outer resistance of the channel. The token has high liquidity. NOT is traded on all major exchanges, including the top-tier ones. It has excellent access to marketing and PR, which is important for pump scenarios. 💭 All key levels, possible scenarios, and targets are marked on the chart. Take them into account when building your own strategy. ________ 📌 Not financial advice. Personal view and experience.
Long
by KECapital
BTC: Potential Dip into FVGs Before New ATHBitcoin has rocketed from ~$94 000 to ~$103 250 in just days and is now consolidating between $102 364–$104 145. A Swing Failure Pattern at the top suggests a corrective pullback into one of three Fair Value Gaps aligned with key Fibonacci retracements, before the next leg up toward a fresh all-time high. This setup uses structure, inefficiency zones, and Fib levels to pinpoint high-probability entries. 📊 Chart Breakdown 1. Current Picture: Consolidation & Warning ⚠️ - Range: $102 364 – $104 145 - Swing Failure Pattern (SFP): Price briefly wicks above $104 145 to grab liquidity, then reverses. This classic liquidity hunt often precedes a deeper retrace as late bulls are stopped out. 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – Untested Support Zones 🌊 FVGs are rapid imbalance areas where price left gaps in the order book. These zones act like magnets, drawing price back to “fill” inefficiencies. FVG 1 (Nearest): $101 700 – $102 364 FVG 2 (Mid-Zone): $99 900 – $100 600 FVG 3 (Deepest): $97 400 – $98 700 3. Fibonacci Confluences (from $93 377 → $104 145) 📏 Fibonacci retracement levels often align with FVGs to form confluence support—ideal for swing entries. 0.786 Fib @ $101 840.65: Sits squarely in FVG 1, a high-probability bounce zone. 0.618 Fib @ $100 031.62: Golden Ratio within FVG 2, offering strong support. 0.5 Fib @ $98 761 & 0.382 Fib @ $97 490.38: Cover top and mid-lower FVG 3 for a deep corrective entry. 📈📉 Navigating the Next Moves: Key Trade Scenarios 🧭 Given the current structure, with the SFP indicating a potential short-term top and strong FVG/Fibonacci confluences below, here are two primary scenarios we can watch for: Scenario 1: The Short-Term Pullback Play (Short Position 📉🐻) Concept: Capitalizing on the SFP at the consolidation high (~$104,145) to trade the anticipated dip towards the FVG/Fibonacci support clusters. Aggressive Entry: Look for entries around $103,500 – $103,900 if price retests the upper part of the consolidation after the SFP, showing weakness. Conservative Entry: A break below the consolidation low (~$102,364) could offer a confirmation entry, potentially on a retest of this broken level as resistance. Stop-Loss 🛑: Place above the SFP high, e.g., $104,450 – $104,650, to protect against a false breakdown. Profit Targets (FVG Zones) 🎯 TP1: The top of FVG 1 / 0.786 Fib area (~$102,300 – $101,840). This zone is critical. TP2: The FVG 2 / 0.618 Fib area (~$100,600 – $100,030) if TP1 is breached with momentum. Trade Management & Considerations 🤔: Entry Confirmation: Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframes (e.g., 15m/1H rejection wicks, bearish engulfing) near the SFP high. Profit Taking: Consider taking partial profits at TP1. The reaction here is crucial. Reversal/Close Short: If price enters TP1 and shows strong bullish rejection (large wicks, engulfing bull candles, volume spike), close the short and prepare to flip to the long scenario. Holding for TP2: If price slices through TP1 with sustained bearish pressure, trail your stop above TP1 once it’s clearly broken. Invalidation: If price reclaims and holds above $104,650, the short thesis is invalidated. Scenario 2: The FVG Rebound & Rally (Long Position 📈🐂) Concept: Entering on the expectation that one of the FVG/Fibonacci confluence zones will hold as support, leading to a rebound and continuation of the larger uptrend. Potential Entry Zones 📍: Zone A (Primary): FVG 1 / 0.786 Fib area ($101,700 – $102,364, sweet spot ~$101,840). Zone B (Secondary): FVG 2 / 0.618 Fib area ($99,900 – $100,600, sweet spot ~$100,030). Stop-Loss 🛑: If entering in Zone A: Place below FVG 1, e.g., $101,350 – $101,150. If entering in Zone B: Place below FVG 2, e.g., $99,600 – $99,400. Profit Targets 🎯: TP1: Back to the consolidation high / SFP area (~$104,145). TP2: The key resistance zone ($104,675 – $106,500). TP3 (Ultimate): The All-Time High ($109,588). Trade Management & Considerations 🤔: Entry Confirmation: Do not blindly enter. Wait for price to enter your chosen FVG zone AND then show clear bullish confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H/4H bullish engulfing, hammer, RSI divergence). Zone Prioritization: Zone A is the first test. If it fails and breaks down, Zone B becomes the next area of interest. Profit Taking & Scaling Out: Take partial profits at TP1 and again at TP2 to secure gains. Risk Reduction: After TP1 is hit, move your stop-loss to breakeven or slightly in profit. Invalidation: A decisive break below $99,400 invalidates the bounce thesis and suggests a deeper correction. 🎯 Execution Notes - Patience & Confirmation: Avoid “blind” entries. Seek volume confirmation and clear reversal candle patterns on 1H/4H charts. - Risk Management: Define stops before entry and size positions to risk no more than 1–2% per trade. - Additional Signals: Watch for bullish RSI/RSI-MFI divergences or a turn in on-balance volume at support zones. Disclaimer: This is for educational/informational purposes only and not financial advice. Crypto trading carries high risk—always DYOR and consult a qualified advisor. What’s your take? Which FVG/Fib level will hold? Share your insights below!
Long
by mikavehns
5