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XAUUSD (Gold) Price Analysis: Potential Downside Breakout📉 XAUUSD (Gold) Price Analysis: Rectangle Formation on D1 Timeframe, Potential Downside Breakout Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a rectangle formation on the D1 timeframe , which typically signals consolidation before a significant price move. While the price remains range-bound, there’s a high probability of a downside breakout , with critical targets at $2,580 and $2,490 . Here's a detailed analysis of the setup: 🔲 What is a Rectangle Formation? A rectangle formation occurs when the price moves between two horizontal levels, creating a box-like pattern 📊. This shows a period of indecision in the market, where neither buyers nor sellers are in control. A breakout typically happens when the price moves decisively above or below the rectangle. 🔻 Downside Breakout Targets Gold breaking below the rectangle's lower boundary could signal a bearish trend continuation. Here are the critical downside targets to watch: 1. First Target – $2,580 : A downside breakout would likely drop the price to $2,580 , the first central support zone and a logical profit-taking area for short-sellers. 2. Second Target – $2,490 : Should bearish momentum persist, the next target would be $2,490 , a deeper support level where further selling pressure could ease. ⛔ Stop Loss – $2,702 A stop loss at $2,702 is recommended for those considering a short position. This level is just above the upper boundary of the rectangle and would invalidate the downside scenario if breached. 🚀 Upside Breakout Target If gold breaks out above the rectangle, bullish momentum could push prices toward $2,841 . This would signal a strong reversal, and traders should consider this level the next significant resistance zone. 🔍 Factors to Watch Several factors could influence the direction of the breakout: Inflation Data : Higher inflation tends to support gold prices as a hedge, increasing the likelihood of an upside breakout. US Dollar Strength : A stronger dollar could weigh on gold, favoring a downside breakout. Geopolitical Events : Uncertainty in global markets can boost safe-haven demand for gold, potentially triggering an upside move. 🛠 Trading Strategy For traders looking to capitalize on the potential breakout, consider the following: Downside Setup : If gold breaks below the rectangle, short positions with targets at $2,580 and $2,490 may offer solid risk/reward opportunities, with a stop loss at $2,702 . Upside Setup : In the case of an upside breakout, targeting $2,841 could provide a good opportunity but ensure that risk is managed carefully. 💡 Conclusion Gold’s rectangular formation in the D1 timeframe suggests a significant price move is on the horizon. While the likelihood of a downside breakout seems stronger, with targets at $2,580 and $2,490, traders should remain alert to the possibility of an upside breakout towards $2,841. Proper risk management, including a stop loss of $2,702, will be crucial in navigating this market opportunity. 🔔 Stay updated with real-time price action to make the most of this technical setup. Share your opinion in the comments.....
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by amzadlak
Crude Oil Technical Analysis - October OutlookCrude oil is showing a notable recovery from its recent lows, currently trading around the $72 mark. A few key observations based on the price action and indicators: Price Pattern and Trend: The chart shows a classic descending wedge pattern, which signals a potential bullish reversal. The breakout from the wedge is accompanied by a price surge above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, suggesting a short-term trend change. Key Support Levels: Immediate Support : Around $70.64, marked by the breakout level. Strong Support : At $68.23, where significant buying interest has been observed in the past, reinforced by a bullish consolidation zone. Resistance Levels: First Resistance: $72.11, which has been tested, with potential room for the price to move higher if momentum sustains. Critical Resistance : $77.23, which coincides with a strong historical supply zone. A close above this level would signal further bullish momentum . Volume Profile Insight: A noticeable shift in the volume profile near the $70 mark suggests accumulation by institutional investors, hinting that buyers are stepping in to defend this level. RSI Indicator : The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has bounced back from oversold levels and is now showing early signs of positive divergence, supporting the case for an upward move. Geopolitical Factors: With rising tensions in the Middle East, as highlighted in the annotation, traders and investors are pricing in potential supply disruptions, contributing to the recent spike in oil prices. Conclusion: Oil prices may continue to rise in the short term, with $72.11 being a key level to watch. If sustained above this, the next target would be $77.23. However, if prices fall back below $70, we could see a retest of support at $68.23. Given the geopolitical uncertainty, traders should remain cautious of potential volatility.
TVC:USOILLong
by AngshumanSaikia
SasanSeifi| Will It Rebound or Drop Further?Hey there, ✌In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, Atom's price has been in a downtrend from the $8.50 range and has now corrected to the crucial weekly support level at $4. Currently, the price is trading around $4. In the long-term timeframe, maintaining the $4 level is crucial. The price has reacted to this important support, and if it consolidates here with confirmation on lower timeframes, we could expect a potential rebound with positive fluctuations toward the $5 and $6.50 levels. If positive momentum develops, we should watch how the price reacts to the $6.50 level. To continue the bullish trend and reach the target supply zone of $7 to $8, breaking the $6.50 level is necessary. On the other hand, if the $4 level breaks and the price stabilizes below it, the likelihood of further correction increases, with potential downside targets of $3.20 to $2.30. 🔶The chart is in logarithmic scale. This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
by SasanSeifi
SasanSeifi|Will It Break Resistance or Test Lower Supports?Hey there, ✌ On the weekly timeframe, BINANCE:LTCUSDT price movement, after ranging around $84, faced a downward trend and corrected to the $50 level. Currently, the price is trading in a range around $63 with limited fluctuations. In the long-term weekly timeframe, key support levels for Litecoin are at $50 and $42. To continue the upward trend, it’s essential for the price to break the critical resistance at $85 and hold above it. If this resistance is broken, the likelihood of further price growth increases. For a clearer understanding of the price movement, it’s crucial to closely monitor Litecoin’s reaction to the $70 to $85 range. If the price fails to sustain above these levels, we may see a correction and a potential return to the major support zones. 🔶The chart is in logarithmic scale. This analysis reflects my personal view and is not financial advice. If you found this helpful, feel free to like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
by SasanSeifi
Will the Price Bounce or Break?1H Timeframe Analysis Current Price: 0.67940 Bearish Outlook: 1. 1W Chart: Bearish Engulfing (Reversal) 2. 1D Chart: Shooting Star (Reversal) 3. 4H Chart: Rising Wedge (Reversal) 4. 1H Chart: Pennant (Continuation) The price is currently at the lower trendline of the Rising Wedge. With the Pennant pattern in play, we expect a drop to 0.67755. If strong support is found here, the price may bounce back to the major resistance at 0.68350. Due to this resistance, a reversal could push the price down to 0.67444, with potential bounces at support levels before aiming for ultimate support. Bullish Target: 0.68350 Bearish Targets: 0.67755 0.67444 0.67139 Good luck, traders!
Short
by SpicyPips
Footsie Hasn’t Topped Yet; Shows Bullish PatternWe talked about Footsie back in May 2024, where we mentioned and highlighted an ongoing 5th wave in the weekly chart with space up to 8800 – 9400 target area. Footsie a.k.a. FTSE100 or UK100 stock market index is still bullish with nice and clean inverted H&S pattern on a daily chart. After a higher degree A-B-C correction in wave (4), it can be getting ready for a bullish continuation within wave (5) by a new lower degree bullish setup formation. With sharp leg up into wave 1, we are actually tracking an a-b-c pullback in wave 2, where subwave »c« is coming out of subwave »b« triangle, so ideal support is at 8100 – 8000 area, from where we should be aware of a bullish resumption for wave 3 of a five-wave bullish cycle.
ICEEUR:Z1!Long
by ew-forecast
USD/JPY Under Pressure Below Resistance at $149.066The USD/JPY chart shows the formation of a key trend with the price fluctuating around $147.712, just below the strong resistance level at $149.066. If this resistance fails to break, USD/JPY may reverse and correct towards key support levels at $146.163 or even deeper at $143.432. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines provide stable support, but selling pressure is weighing heavily on the price. A breakout scenario will require strong confirmation from technical factors, while investors should closely monitor key economic news from the U.S., which could cause significant market volatility. At present, technical factors combined with the short-term downtrend could continue to push the price lower unless a strong breakout from buyers occurs.
by Zola_Hello
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 08/10/2024BUY ABOVE - 51000 SL - 50600 TARGETS - 51340,51650,51820 SELL BELOW - 50300 SL - 50600 TARGETS - 49930,49700,49530 NO TRADE ZONE - 50300 to 51000 Previous Day High - 51820 Previous Day Low - 50300 Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Jagadheesh_JP
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 08/10/2024BUY ABOVE - 24890 SL - 24800 TARGETS - 24990,25060,25120 SELL BELOW - 24700 SL - 24800 TARGETS - 24600,24530,24460 NO TRADE ZONE - 24700 to 24890 Previous Day High - 25120 Previous Day Low - 24700 Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:NIFTY
by Jagadheesh_JP
Gold Price Today: Struggling to Break Free!At the start of Tuesday’s trading session, gold (XAUUSD) is hovering around $2,646, with a modest increase of 0.17% on the day. However, the precious metal lacks strong momentum, as the U.S. jobs report exceeded expectations, dampening hopes of a significant rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This has driven up U.S. Treasury yields and strengthened the USD, putting downward pressure on gold prices. From both a fundamental and technical perspective, a further decline in gold could be expected, especially if it reacts to the trendline or resistance levels. A selling strategy could be considered if sellers capitalize on the price correction influenced by the 34 and 89 EMA indicators.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ConanTradingFX
Long-Term Gold Price Channel Analysis (Gold Spot / USD)FX_IDC:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD This is a candlestick analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) for 6 months that goes through historical data from the 1930s . It makes use of a logarithmic scale and appears key support and resistance levels, as well as regression trendlines, that facilitate long-term price continuity.The purple trendlines depict varying channels in Fibonacci from -1 to 1.5 so that one can observe the key zones of support and resistance that gold has usually adhered to in the past.The center line (0) is represented in black and is the median of all the previous actions, where the price usually stays.Spring lines denote the significant price levels: $1,345.42 is a long-term lower support and $3,736.64 is an upper resistance level if we take into account the historical track record for a particular stock .The current price index is around $2,647.99 , with the stock having moved in a dominant upward trend (+13.82% this quarter).The vision of the future: If we are seeing a downtrend period in gold’s history, there is a fairly good possibility of a developing uptrend that will take gold near resistance price at the upper channel which is expected around 2030. This format is combined with historical trends and is a projection of the future price movements that all together provide a broader perspective to investors.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Trwin
USDollar Is In Higher Degree Recovery ModeDollar Index with ticker DXY has turned bearish after the corrective rally stopped at 105.70-106, an important resistance area at the end of June. Since then, the price even accelerated lower through summer so it appears that a bearish impulse, but with current sharp bounce out of an ending diagonal on 4h TF, we believe that correction is now in play. Notice thats a very sharp leg up, so its wave a, still first leg of a minimum three-wave a-b-c recovery that can take index back to 61.8% Fib, near 104 which can be very strong resistance for the next sell-off, especially if we consider that this can be wave 2 rally.
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
Pepsico (PEP): Breakout or Rebound? Earnings Report IncomingThis week, Pepsico is set to announce its earnings, and we continue to monitor the same pattern that has persisted for a while now. PepsiCo's recent $1.2 billion acquisition of Siete Foods is a strategic move to expand Frito-Lay's "better-for-you" snack segment. Although the near-term impact on revenue is expected to be minimal, Citi predicts a modest contribution to overall growth. The deal is anticipated to close in 2025, broadening PepsiCo's multicultural portfolio. From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:PEP is still moving within the established range. We've added zones above and below the range and highlighted each instance when NASDAQ:PEP broke through the range. Except for one occurrence, all these breakouts provided good entry opportunities. The future direction remains uncertain, but the key is whether Pepsico can hold its level upon breaking through the range—it needs to hold to sustain momentum rather than falling back. For now, we continue to keep a close watch on NASDAQ:PEP and are waiting for this week's earnings report to provide further clarity. ✅
NASDAQ:PEP
by freeguy_by_wmc
DreamAnalysis | EURUSD Critical Levels and Entry Signals✨ Today’s Focus: EUR/USD – A Key Market Asset We’ll delve into recent price movements and provide insights on potential future trends based on significant market levels. 🚨 Previous Analysis Recap: As anticipated, the price reversed downward after sweeping some Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL), establishing both the previous month and week highs. Today, we’ll explore the critical levels that were overlooked during this reversal and how we can leverage them. 📊 Current Market Overview: Currently, the price is hovering just above the Previous Week Low (PWL). We might see a retracement to clear the liquidity below this level, after which we can explore additional scenarios. Additionally, there’s a substantial 4-hour Imbalance Zone nearby; we expect the price to react to it and its 50% level. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: Here are the crucial zones we’re monitoring: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - EQL: Equal Lows - Daily FVG: Fair Value Gap (imbalance zone) - 4H FVG: Fair Value Gap (imbalance zone) These levels are vital for identifying where price may accumulate liquidity or rebalance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) signify zones where the market could retrace to gather orders before continuing its trend. 📈 Bullish Scenario: We can look for bullish entry signals on lower time frames (LTF) at this point. Ideally, we’d want to clear the liquidity behind the Equal Lows (EQL), which coincide with the Previous Week Low (PWL), before seeking our entry model on the lower time frames. 📉 Bearish Scenario: For a bearish outlook, we should focus on lower time frames (LTF) to identify areas of low resistance buy-side liquidity (LBSL). We can also utilize the marked imbalances; once within these zones, we can seek entry opportunities on lower time frames. 📝 Conclusion: Remain adaptable to shifting market conditions. By closely monitoring these key levels and potential scenarios, you can refine your strategy and spot promising opportunities. 🔮 Looking Ahead: Stay tuned for updates as we monitor the NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major currency pairs. Expect timely insights as market trends develop. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
by DreamAnalysis
USDCHF: Marry One Pair and DO NOT Cheat One of the best tips I could ever give to any beginning or developing trader is to choose one or two financial securities and stick solely with them. At the start, it's natural for many of us to diversify our watchlists with a wide range of instruments - ranging from forex pairs to stocks and even cryptocurrencies. However, as time progresses, we come to realise that focusing on one or two pairs is more than sufficient. Working with them consistently and making necessary adjustments along the way can lead to long-term success. The most significant benefit of this approach is the development of what is often referred to as a ‘sixth sense.’ The more you analyse, monitor, and trade the same instrument, the deeper your understanding of it becomes. A helpful way to think about this is through the analogy of learning a language. If you practice the same one or two languages daily, your skills improve over time. You develop muscle memory, an affiliation with the language, and expert intuition, making it easier to read, write, listen, and speak. Trading is no different - by focusing on one or two securities, you sharpen your focus and deepen your understanding of them, rather than diluting your attention across too many instruments. Every security has its own unique characteristics - its own "universe." By sticking to a limited number of them, you can gain greater insight and mastery over time. Last year, we applied this principle with EUR/GBP, one of the two pairs we've been trading for years. This time, we will use USD/CHF as an example. As inferred from the detailed illustration, over the past months, we have executed 6 trade positions on USD/CHF, netting a total of +8.3% with a win rate of 66% . Currently, we have one position running in the portfolio (a long trade at ), which is running in profits of +1.5% for the time being. In addition, we aim to execute additional positions in the coming weeks, provided everything aligns with our game plan. By closely monitoring the daily movements of this instrument, we have been able to identify and capitalise on several strong swing positions. This has deepened our connection with the currency pair and enhanced our understanding of its price behaviour. As with any craft, experience leads to mastery. A useful analogy here is the game of chess. How do you improve your chess skills? Through hard work, continuous practice, and patience. By revisiting the same patterns over the years, you establish a solid connection with your approach to the game. The same principle applies to trading. One of the most beneficial strategies we've adopted is to "fall in love" with a single financial instrument (or two), trading it consistently without allowing distractions to pull our focus away.
by Investroy
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