Silver Breakdown: Rising Wedge Bearish Move Towards Target1. Chart Overview
This 4-hour (H4) chart of Silver (XAG/USD) shows a clear Rising Wedge Pattern, a bearish technical formation. The price action recently broke below the lower support trendline, confirming a downside move. Several key levels, indicators, and trading strategies can be derived from this setup.
2. Identified Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal)
A Rising Wedge is a pattern that forms when price consolidates between two upward-sloping trendlines, with the support line rising at a steeper angle than the resistance line. This pattern is considered bearish because it signals weakening buying pressure and an impending breakdown.
Uptrend Formation: The price had been moving within a wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Volume Considerations: A wedge breakout is often accompanied by increasing volume, further confirming the trend shift.
Breakout Confirmation: The price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating that sellers are taking control.
3. Key Technical Levels & Trading Strategy
Resistance Level (Rejection Zone) – $34.00 - $34.50
The upper boundary of the rising wedge acted as strong resistance.
Multiple price rejections confirm sellers' dominance in this area.
Any future retest of this level may provide a new opportunity for short entries.
Support Level (Broken & Retested) – $32.50 - $32.80
This zone previously acted as strong support, preventing price from falling lower.
Now that price has broken this support level, it could act as resistance if a retest occurs.
A confirmed rejection here will further validate the bearish outlook.
Stop Loss Placement – $34.16
A logical stop-loss placement is slightly above the previous swing high and resistance area.
If price moves above this level, it would indicate that the breakdown has failed, invalidating the bearish setup.
Bearish Target – $30.76 (Measured Move Projection)
This level is derived from the height of the rising wedge pattern projected downward.
The area around $30.76 aligns with a previous support zone, making it a reasonable target for the current breakdown.
4. Price Action & Future Expectations
Current Market Sentiment: Bearish
The break below the wedge confirms a bearish sentiment.
A slight retracement to the previous support (now resistance) around $32.80 - $33.00 is possible before further downside.
If selling pressure remains strong, Silver is likely to reach the $30.76 target in the coming sessions.
Alternative Scenario: Bullish Recovery
If the price moves back above $34.16, the bearish outlook is invalidated.
A sustained move above this level could indicate a false breakdown and may push Silver toward new highs.
5. Trading Plan Based on This Setup
🔹 Entry Strategy:
Look for a retest of the broken support zone ($32.80 - $33.00) to enter short positions.
A rejection from this level with bearish confirmation (e.g., a bearish engulfing candle) strengthens the trade setup.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Placed above the wedge resistance at $34.16 to protect against false breakouts.
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $31.50 (intermediate support level)
Final Target: $30.76 (measured move projection of the wedge)
6. Conclusion
This Rising Wedge Breakdown on Silver’s H4 chart presents a strong bearish trading opportunity with a well-defined risk-reward ratio. The break below key support signals continued downside, with $30.76 as the next major target. However, traders should monitor any retest of the broken support zone to confirm further selling momentum before entering new positions.
Technical Analysis
BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental AnalysisTRUMP EFFECT & RESISTANCE DENIAL
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
As we expected, Bitcoin reached the upper band of the falling channel (approximately $88,000), touched the red resistance circle and then experienced a strong rejection. The timing of this technical rejection is no coincidence.
Last night, former US President Donald Trump's announcement that he would impose new customs duties on all countries of the world created a risk-off mood in the markets . In particular, global uncertainty and protectionist policies triggered selling pressure in risk assets such as Bitcoin.
Technically:
🔸RSI still has no obvious negative mismatch.
🔸However, since the price cannot break the upper band of the falling channel, this region continues to work as a selling zone for now.
If this retracement movement deepens, the first major support level of $73.777 , followed by the $69.000 line may come to the agenda.
On the other hand, if the price manages to regain strength and break this zone in volume, there may be a rapid movement to the GETTEX:92K - $95K band.
In short, Technical resistance + Trump news effect combined, we can say that the market has stepped back for now. From now on, volume and news flow will be directional.
#btc #Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency
CFX ANALYSIS📊 #CFX Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a good breakout and currently retests from the major resistance zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a successful retest
👀Current Price: $0.0775
🚀 Target Price: $0.1210
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #CFX price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#CFX #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
ADP in Focus: Will Strong Jobs Data Trigger Gold Pullback?🟡 GOLD MARKET BRIEF – Early Asian Surge Meets Resistance Ahead of Key US Jobs Data
Gold kicked off the day with a sharp rally during the Asian session, driven by consistent demand from Asian and Middle Eastern investors — a pattern we’ve seen forming repeatedly during early sessions lately.
However, price reacted swiftly at the 3130–3135 resistance zone, exactly as mapped out in yesterday’s trading plan. With sellers stepping in again, my outlook remains:
🔻 Look for reaction-based SELL opportunities in the Asian and London sessions, especially if price pulls back into key resistance.
📉 Technical Outlook:
Gold is approaching the apex of a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout is imminent.
✅ As always: Wait for the breakout — then trade the retest in the confirmed direction.
📰 Fundamental Focus:
All eyes today will be on the US ADP Non-Farm Employment report, which tends to offer early clues ahead of Friday’s NFP.
Should the data come in stronger than expected, USD could gain traction — likely applying downward pressure on Gold, in line with our target zone around 308x–307x.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3128 – 3135 – 3142 – 3148
🔻 Support: 3110 – 3100 – 3080 – 3070
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3102 – 3100
SL: 3096
TP: 3106 – 3110 – 3114 – 3118 – 3122 – 3126 – 3130
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150
SL: 3154
TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120
📌 Caution: With ADP on deck during the US session, expect a spike in volatility.
Stick to clear levels, protect capital, and trade with discipline — not emotion.
Let the market come to you.
— AD | Money Market Flow
NZDJPY: Pullback From Support 🇳🇿🇯🇵
There is a high chance that NZDJPY will pull back from support.
As a confirmation, I see a double bottom pattern on an hourly time frame
and a breakout of its neckline.
Goals: 85.30 / 85.58
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thu 3rd Apr 2025 NZD/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Thu 3rd Apr 2025 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Thu 3rd Apr 2025 GBP/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
GOLD TRADING PLAN – After Breaking ATH & Sharp CorrectionGOLD TRADING PLAN – After Breaking ATH & Sharp Correction
🔥 Former U.S. President Donald Trump has officially announced a comprehensive global tariff policy, targeting multiple countries and regions. This sparked:
📉 A major sell-off in risk assets
💵 A sharp weakening in the U.S. Dollar
🪙 A strong rally in gold, reaching a new All-Time High (ATH) at 3167 as a preferred safe-haven asset
📉 Latest Market Reaction – Gold Corrects from ATH
After a strong bullish breakout, gold is now pulling back from its peak, driven by profit-taking and investor caution ahead of key economic data — including the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Despite the short-term pullback, the overall trend remains bullish on higher timeframes.
📐 Technical Overview
Yesterday, we identified and traded a symmetrical triangle pattern, which broke out sharply as expected. Now, price is retesting previous breakout zones — where new long opportunities may form.
📌 Focus on BUY setups during the Asian & EU sessions, and be cautious during the U.S. session due to expected volatility.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
🔺 Resistance Levels:
3167 (ATH) – 3175 – 3185 – 3198 – 3206
📝 (These are psychological levels & Fibonacci extensions. Wait for clear candle confirmation before entering.)
🔻 Support Levels:
3140 – 3132 – 3120 – 3112 – 3106 – 3100
🛒 TRADE PLAN
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3112 – 3110
🛑 Stop Loss: 3106
🎯 Take Profits: 3116 – 3120 – 3124 – 3128 – 3132 – 3136 – 3140
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3167 – 3169
🛑 Stop Loss: 3173
🎯 Take Profits: 3162 – 3158 – 3154 – 3150
⚠️ Final Notes
📈 The uptrend is still in play — no need to FOMO sell near the highs.
⏳ Be patient, wait for price to react at key support/resistance zones.
🚫 Avoid overtrading or rushing into trades — tariff news has major global impact.
📅 Stay sharp ahead of Friday’s NFP release — we'll reassess trend direction after the data.
✅ Stick to your risk management: follow your TP/SL strictly.
Wishing you safe & profitable trades! 💼📊
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Rectangle Pattern Breakdown – Bearish Move1. Overview of the Chart & Market Context
The chart provided represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. This analysis highlights the rectangle pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, and a potential short trade setup with defined risk management.
The market structure suggests a bearish outlook, as Bitcoin attempted to break above a resistance level but failed, leading to a sharp decline. The price action now indicates further downside movement, aligning with a rectangle pattern breakdown.
2. Rectangle Pattern Formation
What is a Rectangle Pattern?
A rectangle pattern is a consolidation phase where price moves sideways within a defined range, forming multiple touches at resistance and support before a breakout occurs. It can serve as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction.
In this case, the pattern has resulted in a bearish breakout, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market.
Key Characteristics of This Rectangle Pattern:
The upper boundary (resistance) is at 88,333 USD, where price repeatedly failed to break higher.
The lower boundary (support) is at 78,044 USD, which acted as a strong floor but is now under pressure.
The price moved within this range for an extended period, showing a balanced battle between buyers and sellers.
A failed breakout at resistance, followed by a sharp rejection, signals a bearish reversal.
3. Breakdown of Key Levels & Market Structure
A. Resistance Level – 88,333 USD
This level has been tested multiple times, but price failed to hold above it.
The recent failed breakout led to a strong bearish rejection, confirming resistance.
The price action formed a bearish engulfing candlestick, adding to the bearish bias.
B. Support Level – 78,044 USD
This zone has previously provided multiple bounces, showing strong buying interest.
However, with the recent break below this level, it may now act as resistance.
If the price retests this area and fails to break above, it confirms a bearish continuation.
C. Price Rejection and Market Structure Shift
The formation of lower highs and lower lows signals a transition from consolidation to a downtrend.
The price broke out of the rectangle pattern to the downside, confirming a bearish breakout.
If the support at 78,044 USD fails, the price may continue dropping toward 73,678 USD.
4. Trade Setup & Execution Plan
🔹 Entry Strategy
A short position is initiated after the bearish rejection at resistance (88,333 USD).
The breakdown of the rectangle pattern strengthens the short setup.
The price may briefly retest the broken support (78,044 USD) before continuing downward.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement
The stop-loss (SL) is placed above 88,333 USD, ensuring that if price moves against the trade, risk is minimized.
This protects against any unexpected bullish reversal.
🔹 Profit Targets (Take Profit - TP)
TP1: 78,044 USD (previous support level) – A conservative target.
TP2: 73,678 USD (deeper support) – If bearish momentum continues, this is the extended target.
Trade Component Details
Entry Short after rejection at 88,333 USD
Stop-Loss (SL) Above 88,333 USD
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 78,044 USD
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 73,678 USD
Confirmation Breakout & retest of support
Risk-Reward Ratio Favorable (defined SL & TP)
5. Expected Price Action and Market Behavior
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Most Likely Outcome)
The price will continue to fall towards TP1 (78,044 USD) due to selling pressure.
If 78,044 USD fails to hold, Bitcoin is likely to test the next major support level (73,678 USD).
The structure of lower highs and lower lows supports the downtrend.
🔺 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of the Short Setup)
If Bitcoin breaks above 88,333 USD, the bearish outlook is invalidated.
This could signal a potential trend reversal or bullish breakout.
6. Technical Indicators Supporting the Analysis
Several technical indicators can be used to confirm the bearish outlook:
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
If RSI is below 50, it confirms bearish momentum.
If RSI is oversold (<30), a temporary bounce may occur.
📉 Moving Averages:
If the 50-period MA crosses below the 200-period MA, it confirms a bearish trend.
If price is below both MAs, it strengthens the bearish setup.
📉 Volume Analysis:
A high selling volume during the breakdown indicates strong bearish conviction.
If volume spikes near support levels, a potential bounce could happen.
7. Summary of Key Findings
Pattern Identified: Rectangle pattern with a bearish breakout.
Market Structure: Price formed lower highs and lower lows, signaling a downtrend.
Trade Setup:
Short trade after rejection at 88,333 USD.
Stop-loss above 88,333 USD to manage risk.
Profit targets at 78,044 USD (TP1) and 73,678 USD (TP2).
Risk Management:
Clear stop-loss and take-profit levels ensure a controlled risk-to-reward ratio.
If price moves against the trade, the stop-loss prevents excessive losses.
Technical Indicators:
RSI, Moving Averages, and Volume Analysis confirm the bearish outlook.
8. Final Thoughts & Trading Plan Implementation
This analysis presents a high-probability bearish trade setup using the rectangle pattern breakdown strategy. With proper risk management, traders can execute this short trade with a structured plan.
🔹 Actionable Trading Plan:
Wait for price confirmation – If BTC retests the broken support (78,044 USD) and rejects, this strengthens the trade idea.
Execute the short trade – Once confirmation occurs, enter a short position.
Manage risk appropriately – Stick to the stop-loss above 88,333 USD.
Monitor price action – Adjust take-profit levels based on momentum and support breaks.
If the price invalidates the setup by breaking above resistance, it is crucial to exit the trade and re-evaluate the market conditions.
Conclusion:
This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rectangle pattern breakdown analysis provides a clear bearish trade setup, supported by market structure, technical indicators, and price action. The well-defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels ensure a structured risk-reward ratio, making this a viable short trade opportunity.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish SetupOverview
Gold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, making consistent higher highs and higher lows. However, the price action has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is weakening, and a potential sell-off could follow.
The recent breakdown of the wedge structure confirms the bearish bias, and sellers are now in control. Based on price action analysis, we can anticipate further downside movement toward key support levels.
📊 Technical Analysis – Rising Wedge Breakdown
1️⃣ Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern
The Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that occurs when the price consolidates within an upward-sloping channel but shows signs of exhaustion. Here’s how it developed:
Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The price consistently formed higher peaks and troughs, indicating an uptrend.
Declining Bullish Momentum: As the wedge progressed, price action became increasingly squeezed, showing reduced bullish strength.
Breakout Confirmation: Once the lower trendline of the wedge was breached, it confirmed that buyers were losing control and that sellers had stepped in.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Market Structure
🔵 Resistance Level: The upper boundary of the wedge around $3,150 - $3,163 acted as a supply zone, where sellers pushed prices lower.
🟠 Support Level: The lower boundary of the wedge, around $3,100 - $3,120, initially provided demand but eventually failed to hold.
🔻 Breakdown Confirmation: The price broke below the wedge, which is a strong bearish signal.
🎯 Trade Setup & Strategy
3️⃣ Bearish Trading Plan
Given the breakdown of the wedge pattern, the setup favors a short (sell) trade. Here’s how to approach it:
📉 Sell Entry:
The ideal short position is initiated after a confirmed break of the wedge’s support level.
📍 Stop Loss (SL):
A tight stop-loss is placed above the previous resistance at $3,163.67, ensuring risk is controlled if the trade goes against the bias.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP 1: $3,080.66 – First major support level, where buyers might step in temporarily.
TP 2: $3,057.33 – Extended downside target, offering a greater risk-to-reward ratio.
4️⃣ Additional Price Expectations
Retest of the Wedge Breakdown: The price may pull back to the broken wedge support before continuing downward.
Stronger Bearish Momentum: If selling pressure remains strong, price could fall even lower, breaking TP 2.
Invalidation Level: If price climbs above $3,163, the wedge breakdown would be invalidated, signaling that bulls have regained control.
📌 Conclusion & Market Sentiment
🔹 Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Further Downside – The market structure suggests that sellers are gaining control.
🔹 Sell Setup with Risk-Managed Approach – With a defined stop-loss and two profit targets, this trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
🔹 Gold’s Short-Term Bearish Outlook – The chart confirms a potential correction, and price may drop towards $3,080 and $3,057 if the bearish momentum continues.
📊 Final Thought:
This is a high-probability short trade based on classic technical analysis. Traders should monitor for confirmation retests and manage risk accordingly. ✅
Would you like any refinements or additional insights? 🚀
EURJPY Double Top - Bearish Reversal Ahead Toward Target!🔍 Chart Analysis: Identifying the Double Top Pattern
The EURJPY (Euro/Japanese Yen) 1-hour chart shows a classic Double Top pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal formation. This pattern occurs when the price reaches a significant resistance level twice but fails to break above it, indicating a potential shift from bullish momentum to bearish control.
1️⃣ Top 1: The first peak formed as buyers pushed the price higher, but strong resistance forced a pullback.
2️⃣ Top 2: The price attempted to break the same resistance level again but failed, forming a second peak at approximately 164.165, confirming that sellers are overpowering buyers.
3️⃣ Neckline (Support Level): The critical support level around 160.000 acted as a trigger for the bearish move. Once this level broke, the double top pattern was confirmed.
📌 Key Levels and Market Structure
🔹 Resistance (164.165): The highest level where sellers dominated, preventing further upward movement.
🔹 Support/Neckline (160.000): This level acted as a crucial pivot. Once broken, it signaled a trend reversal.
🔹 Take Profit Levels:
TP1 – 159.036: This serves as the first profit target, aligning with a prior demand zone.
TP2 – 157.200: The full projected downside move based on the double top pattern.
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Above 164.165, ensuring a risk-managed approach in case of trend invalidation.
📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup?
1️⃣ Entry Confirmation:
The ideal entry was after the price broke the neckline at 160.000 and retested it as resistance.
A breakdown candle with high volume confirmed seller dominance.
2️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement:
A stop-loss above 164.165 provides room for price fluctuations while protecting against false breakouts.
3️⃣ Profit Targets:
TP1: 159.036, securing partial profits.
TP2: 157.200, completing the double top measured move.
📊 Market Psychology & Price Action Insights
The double top pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
The repeated rejection at 164.165 signals a lack of buying strength, increasing the probability of a downward move.
The breakdown of the 160.000 neckline confirms that sellers have taken control.
The price action also shows a lower-high formation, reinforcing bearish momentum.
✅ Conclusion: Bearish Bias Until 157.200
This setup strongly favors short positions, as long as the price stays below 162.500.
A break above 164.165 invalidates the bearish setup, signaling a potential reversal.
Until then, the market remains bearish, with TP1 & TP2 as achievable downside targets.
💬 What’s your outlook on EURJPY? Drop your analysis below! 👇
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 03/04/2025Gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 23200 level then possible sharp downside rally upto 23000 level. Any bullish side rally can face resistance at 23450 level. Expected reversal from this level. Major upside movement only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 23500 level.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 3, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 President Trump's 'Liberation Day' Tariffs Implemented: On April 2, President Donald Trump announced a series of new tariffs, referred to as "Liberation Day" tariffs, aiming to address trade imbalances. These include a baseline 10% tariff on all imports, with higher rates for specific countries: 34% on Chinese goods, 20% on European Union products, and 25% on all foreign-made automobiles. The administration asserts these measures will revitalize domestic industries, though critics warn of potential price increases for consumers and possible retaliatory actions from affected nations.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, April 3:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 225,000
Previous: 224,000
Measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, providing insight into the labor market's health.
📈 Trade Balance (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: -$76.0 billion
Previous: -$131.4 billion
Indicates the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services, reflecting the nation's trade activity.
🏢 ISM Services PMI (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 53.0
Previous: 53.5
Assesses the performance of the services sector; a reading above 50 suggests expansion.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
EUR/USD: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetLet’s analyze the 1-hour candlestick chart of EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) on TradingView, published by GoldMasterTraders on April 2, 2025, at 19:04 UTC. The chart highlights a trading setup based on a Falling Wedge pattern, indicating a potential bullish breakout. I’ll describe the chart pattern and the trading setup in detail.
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
Pattern Description
Type: The chart identifies a Falling Wedge pattern, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically signals a reversal or continuation of an uptrend. A Falling Wedge forms when the price consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time, with the upper trendline (resistance) sloping more steeply than the lower trendline (support).
Appearance on the Chart:
The Falling Wedge is clearly marked with two converging trendlines:
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward.
Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle.
The pattern began forming around March 19, after a sharp decline from 1.9400 to 1.8700, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025.
Breakout Direction:
Falling Wedges are typically bullish, meaning the price is expected to break out to the upside. The chart shows the price breaking above the upper trendline of the wedge around April 2, 2025, with a strong bullish candle, confirming the breakout.
The breakout level is around 1.90840, and the price has moved slightly above this level, closing at 1.90864 at the time of the chart.
Key Levels and Trading Setup
1. Support Level
A horizontal support zone is marked around 1.90730 (approximately 1.9070–1.9080).
This level acted as a base during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 23 and March 30).
The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its significance as a key area of buying interest.
2. Resistance Level
A resistance zone is marked around 1.92000 (approximately 1.9190–1.9210).
This level corresponds to a previous high reached on March 19, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged.
After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move.
3. Target
The target for the breakout is projected at 1.92110.
This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point.
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00435 (0.40%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 1.90840) to the target (1.92110).
4. Stop Loss
A stop loss is suggested below the support level at 1.90730.
This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a manageable loss.
The stop loss is just below the breakout level (1.90840), with a distance of approximately 0.00110, representing the risk on the trade.
Trading Setup Summary
Entry:
The setup suggests entering a long (buy) position after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline at approximately 1.90840.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the support level at 1.90730 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (1.90840) to the stop loss (1.90730) is 0.00110, or about 0.06% of the entry price.
Take Profit/Target:
Aim for the target at 1.92110, which is near the next significant resistance level. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.01270, or a 0.40% move.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk is 0.00110 (from 1.90840 to 1.90730), and the reward is 0.01270 (from 1.90840 to 1.92110), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 11.55:1 (0.01270 / 0.00110). This is an exceptionally high risk-reward ratio, making the setup very attractive, though traders should ensure the breakout is well-confirmed due to the tight stop loss.
Additional Observations
Price Action Context:
Before the wedge formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 1.9400 (March 13) to 1.8700 (March 19), indicating a strong bearish trend.
The Falling Wedge represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the upside breakout suggests a potential reversal or at least a corrective move higher.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout would include:
An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest.
Bullish momentum signals, such as an RSI above 50 or a bullish MACD crossover.
Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength.
Timeframe:
This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day.
Market Context:
EUR/USD is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Eurozone economic data, and interest rate differentials. A bullish move in EUR/USD could be driven by a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data) or positive Eurozone developments.
Conclusion
The TradingView idea presents a bullish setup for EUR/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken above the wedge’s upper trendline, confirming a bullish move with a target of 1.92110. The setup includes a stop loss at 1.90730 to manage risk, offering an impressive risk-reward ratio of 11.55:1. Key levels to watch include the support at 1.90730 and the resistance at 1.92000. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
JPY/USD: Bearish Triangle Pattern Breakout Towards TargetChart Pattern: Triangle Pattern
Pattern Description
Type: The chart identifies a Triangle Pattern, which is a type of consolidation pattern that can act as either a continuation or reversal pattern depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. Triangles are characterized by converging trendlines, indicating a period of indecision in the market as the price range narrows.
Specific Type: This appears to be a Symmetrical Triangle, as the upper and lower trendlines converge at a similar angle, suggesting neither buyers nor sellers have clear control during the consolidation phase.
Appearance on the Chart:
The Triangle Pattern is marked with two converging trendlines:
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward.
Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the higher lows, sloping upward.
The pattern began forming around March 27, after a sharp downtrend, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025.
Breakout Direction:
Symmetrical Triangles can break out in either direction, but they often continue the preceding trend. In this case, the preceding trend was bearish (a sharp decline from 0.006720 to 0.006640), and the breakout is to the downside, confirming a bearish continuation.
The chart shows the price breaking below the lower trendline of the triangle around April 2, 2025, with a strong bearish candle, indicating a confirmed bearish breakout.
Key Levels and Trading Setup
1. Support Level
A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.006640 (approximately 0.00664–0.00665).
This level acted as a base during the triangle formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31).
The price has now broken below this support, turning it into a resistance level on any potential retest.
2. Resistance Level
A resistance zone is marked around 0.006705 (approximately 0.00670–0.00671).
This level corresponds to a previous high within the triangle and aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle at the time of the breakout.
After the breakout, this resistance level is where the stop loss is placed, as a move back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
3. Target
The target for the breakout is projected at 0.006599 (approximately 0.00660).
This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the triangle at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance downward from the breakout point.
The chart indicates a potential move of -0.000604 (-0.96%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 0.006654) to the target (0.006599).
4. Stop Loss
A stop loss is suggested above the resistance level at 0.006705.
This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price moves back above the triangle’s lower trendline (now acting as resistance), the trade is exited with a manageable loss.
Trading Setup Summary
Entry:
The setup suggests entering a short (sell) position after the price breaks below the lower trendline of the Triangle Pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bearish candle closing below the trendline at approximately 0.006654.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss above the resistance level at 0.006705 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (0.006654) to the stop loss (0.006705) is 0.000051, representing the risk on the trade.
Take Profit/Target:
Aim for the target at 0.006599, which is the projected price objective based on the triangle’s height. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.000055, or a 0.96% move.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk is 0.000051 (from 0.006654 to 0.006705), and the reward is 0.000055 (from 0.006654 to 0.006599), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08 (0.000055 / 0.000051). While this ratio is slightly above 1:1, it’s on the lower side for a typical trading setup, so traders should ensure high confidence in the breakout.
Additional Observations
Price Action Context:
Before the triangle formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 0.006720 (March 23) to 0.006640 (March 27), indicating a strong bearish trend.
The triangle represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the downside breakout suggests a continuation of the bearish momentum.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a triangle breakout would include:
An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong selling pressure.
Bearish momentum signals, such as an RSI below 50 or a bearish MACD crossover.
Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength.
Timeframe:
This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day.
Market Context:
USD/JPY is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Japanese yen safe-haven demand, and interest rate differentials. A bearish move in USD/JPY could be driven by a stronger yen (e.g., due to risk-off sentiment) or a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data).
Conclusion
The TradingView idea presents a bearish setup for USD/JPY based on a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken below the triangle’s lower trendline, confirming a bearish continuation with a target of 0.006599. The setup includes a stop loss at 0.006705 to manage risk, offering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08. Key levels to watch include the former support (now resistance) at 0.006640 and the resistance at 0.006705. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
(ETH/USD) Breakout from Falling Wedge – Bullish Momentum Ahead?Ethereum (ETH/USD) Breakout from Falling Wedge – Bullish Momentum Ahead?
This 4-hour Ethereum chart shows a breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation. The price has started forming higher lows, signaling potential upside movement. The projected target is around $2,411, indicating a significant recovery.
A successful retest of the breakout level could confirm further upward momentum. Traders may consider long positions while monitoring resistance levels.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: ~$1,879
Target: ~$2,411
Resistance Zones: $2,100 - $2,200
Would you like me to refine this further? 🚀
BTC/USD Bullish Breakout from Rectangle PatternOverview:
The chart represents Bitcoin's price action against the US Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a Rectangle Pattern Breakout with a well-structured trade setup. This analysis will break down the pattern, key levels, and possible trading scenarios.
1️⃣ Chart Pattern Breakdown – Rectangle Consolidation
The price has been moving within a rectangle pattern (range-bound movement), where Bitcoin found support at lower levels and faced resistance at the upper boundary.
Rectangle Pattern: A continuation/consolidation pattern where price fluctuates between horizontal resistance and support before breaking out.
Curve Formation: The price action within the rectangle also forms a rounding bottom, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Breakout Confirmation: BTC has broken out from the rectangle, suggesting bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels
🔹 Support Level ($84,110)
This zone has acted as a strong demand area, preventing the price from falling further.
Buyers consistently stepped in at this level, making it a significant psychological floor for Bitcoin.
🔹 Resistance Level ($86,850 - $87,000 Zone)
This level had previously rejected upward movements, leading to multiple price pullbacks.
After the breakout, this area is expected to act as a new support level upon a retest.
🔹 Target Price ($89,931 – Next Resistance Zone)
If the breakout sustains, the next key target for bulls is around $89,931, based on prior resistance zones and technical projections.
🔹 Stop Loss ($84,110 – Below Support Zone)
A stop loss below the support zone ensures risk management in case of a false breakout.
3️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution
📌 Entry Point – After price confirms the breakout above the rectangle’s resistance. Traders should wait for:
A pullback and retest of the broken resistance, which should now act as support.
A strong bullish candle confirming continuation.
📌 Take Profit (TP) – $89,931, based on historical resistance levels and price projection from the rectangle range.
📌 Stop Loss (SL) – Placed at $84,110, below the rectangle’s previous support zone to minimize downside risk.
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – The setup offers a favorable RRR, meaning potential profits outweigh the risks.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Factors
✔ Bullish Outlook – The breakout signals strong buying interest and potential upside continuation.
✔ Volume Confirmation – Traders should monitor volume spikes during the breakout to confirm institutional participation.
✔ Economic Events & News – External factors like macroeconomic data or Bitcoin-related news can impact price action.
Conclusion – BTC/USD Trading Setup
Pattern Identified: Rectangle Pattern Breakout
Current Trend: Bullish breakout from consolidation
Trade Type: Long position (Buy setup)
Key Levels:
✅ Support: $84,110
✅ Resistance: $86,850 - $87,000
✅ Target: $89,931
✅ Stop Loss: $84,110
🔥 Final Thought : Bitcoin has broken out of a key consolidation range, signaling a bullish move towards $89,931. Traders should wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly! 🚀📈
Silver (XAG/USD) - Bearish Breakdown from Rising Wedge!Market Overview:
The Silver (XAG/USD) 1-hour chart reveals a Rising Wedge pattern, which is a well-known bearish reversal formation. This suggests that the recent bullish trend is losing momentum, and a breakdown could lead to a significant price decline.
🔹 Key Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown
The price has been moving within a rising wedge, characterized by higher highs and higher lows but with weakening momentum.
A breakdown has occurred, confirming the bearish structure as the price has failed to sustain higher levels.
Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, price tends to drop by the same height as the wedge itself, which aligns with our projected target zone.
2️⃣ Price Action & Retest Possibility
After the breakdown, a retest of the broken wedge support (now resistance) around $33.50 - $33.80 could provide a potential short-selling opportunity.
If price fails to reclaim the wedge support, further downside pressure is expected.
3️⃣ Downside Target & Support Zone
The measured move suggests a decline towards the $31.00 - $30.60 region, which coincides with a strong historical support zone.
This area is highlighted as a potential profit-taking level for short trades.
📉 Trading Plan - Short Setup
🔸 Entry: Look for a rejection from the $33.50 - $33.80 zone (previous wedge support, now resistance).
🔸 Stop Loss: Above $34.00 to protect against false breakouts.
🔸 Take Profit: $31.00 - $30.60 (previous demand area).
🔸 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup, ensuring proper risk management.
🛑 Risk Factors to Consider
⚠️ If Silver regains strength and breaks back above $34.00, it could invalidate the bearish breakdown and shift momentum back to the upside.
⚠️ Macroeconomic events such as inflation data, Fed speeches, or geopolitical factors could influence price action unpredictably.
XAUUSD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Bearish Target Ahead?This chart represents a detailed technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe with a structured trade setup based on a Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. Below is an in-depth explanation of the chart components, price action, and trade strategy.
1️⃣ Key Chart Patterns and Analysis
A. Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bearish Reversal)
This is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: A rise followed by a temporary pullback.
Head: The highest peak in the pattern, showing strong buying pressure before reversal.
Right Shoulder: A smaller rise compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
B. Neckline (Support Level) and Breakdown Confirmation
The neckline (horizontal support level) is drawn across the lowest points between the shoulders.
A break below the neckline confirms the reversal, triggering a bearish move.
The chart suggests price is at the neckline zone, preparing for a breakdown.
2️⃣ Trendline and Support/Resistance Analysis
A. Uptrend Trendline Break
The price was following a strong ascending trendline (dotted black line).
A trendline breakout has occurred, indicating potential trend reversal.
This supports the bearish bias further.
B. Resistance and Support Levels
Resistance Level: Marked at the top of the Head region, which aligns with previous price rejection zones.
Support Levels:
First support (TP1 - 3,053.269): This is the first potential take profit level.
Second support (TP2 - 3,030.556): The next target if price continues downward.
3️⃣ Trade Setup & Risk Management
A. Entry Point (Short Position)
Sell (Short) after the neckline breakout, ensuring bearish momentum is confirmed.
B. Take Profit (TP) Targets
TP1: 3,053.269 (Initial support target).
TP2: 3,030.556 (Stronger support zone, deeper profit target).
C. Stop Loss Placement
Stop Loss: 3,150.726 (Above the resistance zone).
This is a logical stop-loss placement, allowing price fluctuations without prematurely stopping the trade.
4️⃣ Overall Market Sentiment & Trade Bias
Bearish Bias: Due to the formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern, trendline breakout, and weakening bullish momentum.
Confirmation Needed: A strong bearish close below the neckline increases probability of downward continuation.
5️⃣ Final Thought – A High-Probability Trade Setup
If neckline breaks, the trade is valid with potential for a 3%+ downside move.
If price holds above the neckline, the pattern may fail, leading to reconsidering trade execution.
This structured risk-managed approach ensures a strategic entry, controlled risk, and maximized profit potential. 📉🔥 Let me know if you need further refinements! 🚀
XAUUSD 1H Head & Shoulders Pattern and Quasimodo!This 1-hour Gold (XAU/USD) chart presents a Head and Shoulders pattern forming near the 3,124 level, indicating a potential bearish reversal. The structure consists of:
Left Shoulder – A peak followed by a retracement.
Head – The highest point in the formation.
Right Shoulder – A lower high, confirming the pattern.
Additionally, a Quasimodo pattern is forming, reinforcing bearish sentiment if price fails to sustain above 3,139. A breakdown below the neckline suggests a potential move toward the projected target zone at 3,039.
Key Levels & Trade Plan
📍 Resistance: 3,139 (Quasimodo level)
📉 Support Levels: 3,107 – 3,085 – 3,039 (Main target)
📊 Bearish Confirmation: Break below the neckline (~3,120)
🎯 Target Zone: 3,039
A clean breakdown below the neckline could accelerate bearish momentum, aligning with the projected drop of approximately 62.7 points (-2.02%). Bulls need to reclaim 3,139 for any invalidation of this bearish outlook. Keep an eye on price action confirmation before entering trades.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Reversal? Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Sell! The chart suggests a potential bearish move after a rising wedge pattern breakdown.
Key Observations:
Rising Wedge Breakdown:
BTC formed a rising wedge, which is a bearish reversal pattern.
The price has broken down from this wedge, indicating a potential downtrend.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Zone: Around $88,188 – $88,792, marked as a key level where selling pressure may increase.
Support Zone: Around $85,368 – $84,226, where buyers may step in.
Target: $81,429 – $81,258, a strong support level where price could drop.
Bearish Setup:
The chart suggests a sell opportunity near resistance, expecting a downward move toward the target zone.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Sell near $88,000 after confirmation.
Target: $81,429 – $81,258 (support zone).
Stop-Loss: Above $89,991 (resistance zone).
This setup suggests Bitcoin could decline further, making it a potential short trade opportunity. However, traders should watch for confirmation and overall market sentiment before executing trades.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout: Next Target $3,181?"Key Observations:
Current Price: Gold is trading at $3,127.450 at the time of the chart.
Trend: The chart exhibits a strong uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows.
Support Levels: Several support levels are marked in the $3,010 - $2,999 range, extending down to around $2,906.
Resistance and Target:
The immediate price range is highlighted, suggesting possible consolidation.
A breakout above this range could lead to a target around $3,181.
Chart Annotations:
A retracement (red structure) indicates a short-term correction before continuation.
A breakout structure (black lines) suggests a previous significant upward movement.
The range and possible continuation are marked, indicating that the price may consolidate before attempting to reach the target.
Trading Perspective:
If price holds above the range, we may see bullish continuation towards $3,181.
A break below support levels could signal a deeper pullback towards $3,010 or lower.
This chart suggests a bullish outlook, with potential for more upside if momentum continues. Traders might look for confirmations before entering long positions.