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BTC/USD Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?Introduction: Understanding the Market Structure This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart presents a technical setup with a mix of bullish and bearish formations. The analysis focuses on key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and chart patterns to determine the next possible move. 🔍 The key takeaway? BTC has formed a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, signaling potential downside unless a breakout invalidates the setup. 1. Market Structure & Current Trend Analysis 📌 Market in Curve Formation – The Accumulation Phase Before the recent rally, Bitcoin was in a downtrend, making lower lows and lower highs, suggesting a period of price weakness. However, price found strong support at around $77,600 - $80,000, forming a curved bottom structure—an early signal of an accumulation phase. This bottoming pattern transitioned into a bullish uptrend, leading to the formation of a rising wedge. 🔹 Key Observations: ✔ Accumulation near $77,600 created a base for buyers. ✔ The gradual recovery curve suggests a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. ✔ Bitcoin later formed higher lows, confirming a temporary uptrend. ⚠ Shift in Momentum – The Rising Wedge Appears The price rallied from the support zone but started forming a Rising Wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. A rising wedge indicates that although buyers are pushing prices up, they are losing momentum. The narrowing price range suggests that sellers are entering at higher levels, weakening bullish strength. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch 🔵 Resistance Zone ($92,000 - $94,957) The shaded area near $92,000 - $94,957 is a major resistance level, where BTC previously failed to sustain a breakout. This supply zone has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength. The Stop Loss for short positions is placed above $94,957—any breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 🟠 Support Zone ($77,600 - $80,000) The strong demand zone between $77,600 - $80,000 aligns with previous support levels. If the rising wedge breaks down, this is the first major price target where BTC could find support. A strong breakdown below $77,600 could lead to further declines toward $75,000 or lower. 3. The Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Warning! 🔍 What is a Rising Wedge? A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms during an uptrend when price moves within two converging trendlines. It indicates that buyers are losing strength, and sellers are preparing to take control. Once the lower trendline breaks, it confirms bearish momentum, leading to a price drop. 📝 Current BTC/USD Rising Wedge Analysis: BTC has formed higher highs and higher lows, but the price range is narrowing. The lower trendline is critical—a breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp decline. The bearish target aligns with the support zone near $77,600. 4. Trading Plan – Possible Scenarios 📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (High Probability) ✅ Entry: Short BTC if the price breaks below the rising wedge (~$86,000 - $85,500). ✅ Stop Loss: Above $94,957 to protect against invalidation. ✅ Take Profit Target: $77,600 - $80,000 (first support level). ✅ Extended Target: If BTC drops below $77,600, watch for $75,000 - $72,000. ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Ideally 1:3 or higher for optimal trade management. 📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Low Probability but Possible!) If BTC breaks and closes above $94,957, the bearish setup becomes invalid. A confirmed breakout above resistance could push BTC towards $98,000 - $100,000. Traders should wait for volume confirmation before entering long positions. 5. Risk Management & Final Thoughts ⚠ Risk Factors to Consider: If BTC breaks the wedge with low volume, the move might be a false breakdown. Macroeconomic events, such as interest rate decisions, can influence price behavior. Watch for bullish divergences in indicators like RSI or MACD before shorting aggressively. 🔎 Conclusion: The Rising Wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal—a breakdown could send BTC toward $77,600. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. If BTC breaks above $94,957, a bullish continuation could push it toward $100,000. 🔥 Bearish Bias Until Breakdown Confirmation! Would you like an indicator-based analysis (e.g., RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages)? 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
ZCash (ZEC)- Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: While the price is above the support 24.41, beginning of uptrend is expected. We make sure when the resistance at 45.33 breaks. If the support at 24.41 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid. COINBASE:ZECUSD Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 29.20 on 03/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 41.10 and maximum to Major Resistance (45.33) is expected. Take Profits: 35.60 41.10 45.33 50.14 56.49 67.07 79.42 90.06 100.00 117.07 135.00 170.00 216.50 305.00 370.55 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
3
Gold Outlook – Steady Range Before Key Data Hits🟡 Market Context: Gold has been trading in a steady range since the start of the week, with no significant breakout or momentum shift observed. Today’s session is expected to remain quiet, as there are no major economic events scheduled. All eyes are on the Thursday GDP release and Friday’s PCE inflation data from the US — both of which are likely to determine the direction for gold into the end of the month and quarter. 📆 Key Data to Watch: Thursday: US Quarterly GDP Friday: US PCE Price Index (Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge) These events are considered high-impact catalysts that may trigger sharp moves in gold, especially if surprises occur. 🔍 Technical Structure: Price continues to respect key support and resistance zones identified earlier this week. There is no confirmed breakout yet, so the strategy remains range-based: ➡️ Trade the levels. Watch for reaction signals at extremes. ➡️ Wait for clearer momentum following the macro releases. 🧭 Key Price Levels: 🔺 Resistance: 3,010 – 3,036 – 3,046 – 3,057 🔻 Support: 3,010 – 3,001 – 2,988 🎯 Trade Plan – 26/03 BUY ZONE: 2988 – 2986 SL: 2982 TP: 2992 – 2996 – 3000 – 3004 – 3008 – 3015 SELL ZONE: 3045 – 3047 SL: 3051 TP: 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 – 3026 – 3020 🧠 Final Notes: The market remains in accumulation mode ahead of key US data. No need to rush — protect your capital, wait for clean setups, and let the market reveal its hand. — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold (XAU/EUR) – Potential Sell Setup from Rising Wedge📉 Market Structure & Pattern: The chart shows a broadening wedge pattern followed by a rising wedge formation. Price has reached the upper boundary of the descending channel, where a potential sell-off could begin. 📉 Bearish Outlook: The sell signal is indicated near 2,811 EUR, suggesting a possible reversal. The target area is around 2,769 - 2,700 EUR, aligning with previous support zones. If the price breaks below the wedge structure, further downside momentum is expected. 📌 Trading Plan: Bears may look for short opportunities around resistance. A break below 2,794 EUR could confirm further downside. Bulls should monitor price action for any rejection near support zones for potential buying opportunities. ⚠️ Risk Management: A break above 2,815 EUR could invalidate the bearish setup. Stop-loss placement above resistance is advisable to minimize risk.
OANDA:XAUEURShort
by PIPsOptimizer
(ETH/USD) Poised for a Major BreakoutMarket Structure & Analysis: Falling Wedge Breakout: Ethereum previously broke out of a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal signal. Ascending Triangle Formation: Price is currently forming an ascending triangle, indicating potential for a breakout. Support Levels: $2,021 – Local support. $1,926 - $1,873 – Strong demand zone. Resistance Levels: $2,120 - $2,251 – First resistance zone. $2,531 - $2,564 – Final bullish target zone. Trading Plan: Buy Setup: Enter long on breakout above $2,120 with strong momentum. Stop Loss: Below $2,021 (support level). Take Profit Targets: TP1: $2,251 (first resistance). TP2: $2,531 (main target). TP3: $2,564 (extended bullish target). Risk Factors: A failure to break $2,120 could result in a pullback to $1,926. Macroeconomic factors or Bitcoin’s movement may impact Ethereum’s trend.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
EUR/USD Triple Bottom Reversal | Bullish Breakout SetupChart Overview This is a EUR/USD 1-hour chart showing a classic Triple Bottom Reversal Pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. The price has tested a key support level multiple times, forming three distinct bottoms, indicating that sellers are losing momentum while buyers are stepping in. This setup suggests an upcoming breakout, with well-defined entry, take profit, and stop-loss levels to capitalize on the potential upward move. Technical Breakdown 1. Support & Resistance Zones Support Zone (Highlighted in Beige) The price has tested this zone multiple times without breaking below, confirming strong buying interest. Each time the price touched this level, it rebounded, indicating accumulation by buyers. Resistance Zone (Highlighted in Beige) The price previously reversed from this level, making it a key area to watch for a breakout. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could trigger strong upward momentum. 2. Triple Bottom Formation A Triple Bottom is a strong bullish reversal pattern. It consists of: Bottom 1: First rejection from support. Bottom 2: A retest of support with buyers defending the level. Bottom 3: The final touch before an upward move, confirming the pattern. This pattern signals that selling pressure is diminishing and buyers are preparing for a strong breakout. 3. Bullish Reversal & Breakout Zone A breakout above the neckline resistance (around 1.0843) will confirm the pattern. Traders should wait for a confirmed candle close above the resistance before entering a long position. A retest of the breakout zone can provide an additional entry opportunity. Trade Setup & Key Levels 🔹 Entry Strategy Aggressive Entry: Enter at the breakout level (above 1.0843) with volume confirmation. Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout retest before entering long. 🎯 Take Profit Targets TP1: 1.08868 (First resistance zone) TP2: 1.09642 (Major resistance zone, strong price reaction expected) ❌ Stop Loss Placement Stop Loss: Below 1.06786, under the support zone. This ensures that if the price breaks below the key level, the trade is invalidated. Market Sentiment & Expected Move If the price breaks the resistance → Expect a strong bullish move toward TP1 and TP2. If the price fails to break out → It may consolidate further or retest support. Watch for increased volume on the breakout to confirm strength. 📌 Final Thoughts This is a high-probability bullish setup based on a well-formed Triple Bottom Reversal pattern. Traders should monitor price action near the breakout zone and manage risk effectively with proper stop-loss placement.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Retest📌 Overview of the Chart The chart illustrates a classic Rising Wedge pattern that has broken down, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The price action respected technical structures, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, and key psychological zones. The breakdown of the rising wedge led to a sharp decline, followed by a retest of the previous support as resistance, confirming further downside momentum. Traders analyzing this setup can identify clear entry points, stop-loss placements, and target objectives based on price action behavior. 🔹 1️⃣ Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern A Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that forms when price moves upward within converging trendlines. It indicates that buying momentum is slowing, and a potential reversal or breakdown is imminent. ✔ Characteristics of the Rising Wedge on This Chart: 📈 Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price was trending upwards, but the narrowing structure indicated exhaustion. 📊 Decreasing Momentum: Volume likely started declining as the price approached resistance. 📉 Bearish Breakdown: Price broke below the lower trendline, confirming the pattern’s bearish nature. 🔻 What Happened Next? The price dropped sharply after the wedge breakdown. A retest of the broken trendline acted as a confirmation of resistance. The downtrend continued, targeting a lower support level. 🔹 2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels 🔵 Major Resistance – 34.27 USD (All-Time High & Supply Zone) This level served as a strong supply zone, rejecting multiple bullish attempts. Price struggled to break this level, leading to a sell-off. The stop-loss for short trades is placed above this zone to minimize risk. 🟠 Support Level – 32.80 USD (Previous Support Turned Resistance) This was a key support zone before the wedge breakdown. Once broken, price retested this level and faced rejection, confirming a trend shift. ⚫ Trendline Support (Now Broken) The lower support trendline was a crucial guide for bulls. Once price broke below, it signaled strong bearish control. A retest of the trendline was unsuccessful, confirming a bearish continuation. 🟢 Target Zone – 31.93 USD (Projected Breakdown Target) The measured move target of the rising wedge aligns around 31.93 USD. If selling pressure continues, price may reach this level. 🔹 3️⃣ Trading Strategy – Short Setup & Execution This setup provides a high-probability short trade based on the pattern breakdown. 📉 Short (Sell) Entry Criteria: ✅ Entry Zone: After the price broke below the wedge and retested the trendline (~33.80 USD). ✅ Confirmation: Bearish candlestick formations (Doji, Engulfing, or Pin Bars). Increased volume on bearish moves. 🚫 Stop-Loss Placement: 🔹 Above the resistance level (34.27 USD) – If price breaks above this, the setup is invalid. 🔹 Reasoning: Protects against unexpected bullish reversals. 🎯 Take-Profit Target: 🔻 Target Price: 31.93 USD (based on measured move projection). 🔻 Risk-Reward Ratio: At least 2:1 (adjusted based on volatility). 🔹 4️⃣ Market Psychology & Price Action Analysis Understanding trader sentiment is crucial: 📌 Before the Breakdown: Bulls were in control, pushing price higher. However, momentum slowed down, forming the rising wedge. Traders who identified this pattern anticipated a potential trend reversal. 📌 After the Breakdown: Sellers overpowered buyers, causing a rapid break of structure. The price retested the previous support as resistance, confirming further downside. The market sentiment shifted to bearish, aligning with technical confirmations. 🔹 5️⃣ Alternative Scenarios & Risk Factors 🔄 Bullish Reversal (Invalidation of Bearish Bias) 🚨 If price reclaims 34.00-34.27 USD, it invalidates the bearish setup. 📌 A break above this level could trigger a new bullish wave, targeting higher highs. ⚠️ Key Risk Factors: Unexpected macroeconomic events (e.g., Fed policy, inflation data, geopolitical tensions). Strong bullish rejection at lower support zones (~32.00 USD). Volume divergence (if selling volume dries up, bears may lose control). 📢 Conclusion: High-Probability Bearish Trade with Clear Risk Management This rising wedge breakdown provides a strong short setup, with technical confirmations and price structure supporting further downside movement. 📉 Bearish Bias Until 31.93 USD A breakdown retest suggests sellers remain in control. Price is expected to continue lower unless bulls regain 34.00+ levels. 🔍 Key Trading Question: Will Silver (XAG/USD) continue to its measured target of 31.93 USD, or will bulls defend key support and push prices higher? Let’s discuss! 🚀👇
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Retest SetupMarket Structure & Analysis: Uptrend Confirmation: Price has been in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows. Resistance & Retest: The price recently hit a resistance zone around $3,054 and pulled back for a retest. Support Zone: A key support level is marked at $3,010, which has held multiple times. Bullish Retest Setup: If the price successfully retests this support level and confirms bullish momentum, we can anticipate a potential move toward the next resistance level. Target Levels: First Target: $3,054 (recent high) Final Target: $3,089 (next major resistance) Trading Plan: Buy Setup: Enter after confirmation of bullish price action at the support level ($3,010). Stop Loss: Below $3,010 to avoid false breakouts. Take Profit: TP1: $3,054 TP2: $3,089 Risk Factors: If the support at $3,010 breaks, price may drop toward the next major support at $2,911, invalidating the bullish setup. Economic events (such as FOMC meetings, CPI data, or geopolitical risks) may cause unexpected volatility in gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
1
JPY/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout from Falling WedgeIntroduction The JPY/USD chart showcases a classic falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. This pattern is characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines, indicating a weakening bearish momentum. Eventually, buyers stepped in, leading to a breakout to the upside. This analysis breaks down key elements, including support and resistance zones, trendlines, trading strategy, and risk management. 1. Breakdown of the Chart Pattern A. The Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern) A falling wedge is a bullish technical pattern that forms when the price consolidates within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time. This signals that selling pressure is decreasing and a reversal may be near. Downtrend Structure: The price was previously in a consistent downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows, which formed the wedge. Breakout Confirmation: Once the price broke above the upper trendline, the pattern was confirmed, indicating the start of a bullish move. Retest Possibility: Often, after a breakout, the price retests the upper trendline before continuing higher. If it holds, it strengthens the bullish outlook. B. Key Levels Identified in the Chart 1. Support Zone (Buying Area) The price found strong support in the 0.006291 – 0.006500 region. Buyers stepped in, preventing the price from dropping further. This support level coincides with the bottom of the wedge, further validating its importance. 2. Resistance Zone (Profit Target) The 0.007100 – 0.007200 area is a major resistance level where sellers have previously dominated. If the price reaches this level and consolidates, traders will look for either a breakout or a rejection. A break above 0.007200 would indicate further bullish continuation. 3. Trendlines & Curve Formation A curved trendline in the chart suggests a gradual transition from bearish to bullish momentum. The dotted ascending trendline now acts as dynamic support, helping the price sustain its bullish move. 2. Trading Strategy & Risk Management A. Entry Strategies Traders have two primary ways to enter this trade: Aggressive Entry: Enter immediately after the breakout of the wedge. Higher risk but captures early momentum. Conservative Entry: Wait for a pullback to the trendline before entering. Lower risk as it confirms trend continuation. B. Take Profit Targets Primary Target: 0.007117 (Resistance level from previous highs). Extended Target: 0.007200 (Next significant resistance). C. Stop Loss Placement Below the recent swing low at 0.006291 to protect against false breakouts. Ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 3. Market Sentiment & Confirmation Signals ✅ Bullish Confirmation Breakout from the falling wedge Price holding above the trendline Higher highs and higher lows formation Increased buying volume ⚠️ Bearish Risks & Invalidations A break below the trendline would indicate weak momentum. If the price fails to hold support, it could reverse downward. Low volume on the breakout could signal a fake breakout. 4. Final Thoughts This setup provides a high-probability trading opportunity following the breakout from a falling wedge pattern. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, making it an ideal setup for trend-following traders. However, patience is key—waiting for a successful retest before entering can minimize risks. If the price maintains momentum, we could see a rally toward the 0.007100 – 0.007200 resistance zone in the coming weeks. 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Overview of the Chart This chart presents a daily timeframe (1D) analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) and highlights a well-defined bullish trend supported by a breakout from a triangle pattern. The overall price action suggests a strong uptrend continuation, with clearly marked support and resistance levels, trendlines, and potential trade setups. Gold has been consistently respecting key technical levels, forming higher highs and higher lows, which is a classic indicator of a strong bullish market. Traders can use this analysis to identify entry points, stop-loss levels, and profit targets for a strategic trading approach. Key Technical Components in the Chart 1. Triangle Pattern Formation – The Setup for Breakout One of the most crucial formations in this chart is the triangle pattern, which acts as a continuation pattern. The triangle pattern (highlighted in green) represents a period of consolidation where price action was squeezing between higher lows and lower highs before a breakout occurred. This pattern suggests that buyers and sellers were in equilibrium, building up momentum before gold made a decisive move to the upside. The breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle confirms the bullish continuation, leading to a strong rally. 📌 Technical Significance: Triangle patterns are a reliable technical structure used by traders to anticipate breakouts. The breakout direction (upward in this case) determines the next trend phase. 2. Trendline Analysis – Defining Market Structure The dashed black trendline represents the primary ascending trendline, which has been respected multiple times, indicating that the market remains in an uptrend. Several minor support levels (highlighted in blue) have acted as strong demand zones, preventing price breakdowns and helping sustain the bullish momentum. A major support zone (highlighted in beige at $2,300-$2,400) serves as the base of the uptrend, where price action historically reversed strongly, indicating heavy institutional buying. 📌 Technical Significance: As long as the price remains above these support levels, the uptrend remains intact. 3. Breakout & Price Action Structure – Momentum Confirmation The breakout from the triangle pattern signaled the beginning of a new bullish impulse wave, and the price action structure confirms this move. Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The black zig-zag pattern represents a strong bullish structure where each retracement finds support before continuing higher. Price Movement Post-Breakout: After breaking above the triangle’s resistance, gold started forming higher highs at an accelerated pace. Minor pullbacks are bouncing off key support levels, providing re-entry opportunities for traders. 📌 Technical Significance: A breakout followed by sustained higher highs and strong buying pressure is a key bullish signal. Trading Plan & Strategy 1. Entry Strategy – Ideal Buying Zones Buy on Pullbacks: Enter near minor support levels to take advantage of retracements. This improves the risk-to-reward ratio and reduces exposure to sudden reversals. Confirmation Signals: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, pin bars, hammer candles). Increased trading volume on bullish moves supports trend continuation. 2. Stop-Loss & Risk Management 📍 Stop-Loss: $2,661 Placed below the most recent minor support level to protect against downside risk. If price breaks below this level, it may signal a trend shift or deeper correction. 📍 Why this Stop-Loss Level? It ensures a tight risk control while allowing room for natural price fluctuations. 3. Take-Profit & Target Projection 📍 Target Price: $3,170 The measured move projection from the triangle breakout suggests a target near $3,170, which aligns with historical resistance. If the price approaches $3,100-$3,170, traders should monitor for potential reversals or further breakouts. 4. Key Factors Supporting the Bullish Bias ✅ Uptrend Structure: The market is making higher highs and higher lows, which is a textbook sign of bullish momentum. ✅ Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken out of the triangle pattern and is sustaining higher levels. ✅ Support Levels Holding: Each pullback is being absorbed by buyers at well-defined support zones. ✅ Momentum & Volume: Increased volume and strong buying pressure indicate that the bullish trend is likely to continue. 5. Risk Management & Market Conditions Market Sentiment: If gold continues to hold above the support zones, further upside momentum is likely. If price starts breaking below key support levels, it may signal a trend reversal or deeper correction. Geopolitical & Economic Factors: Gold prices are often affected by inflation data, interest rate changes, and global uncertainties. Traders should monitor economic news that could impact gold’s trend. Conclusion – A High-Probability Trade Setup This analysis confirms that gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong bullish uptrend following a successful triangle breakout. 🚀 Trade Setup Summary: ✅ Entry: Buy on pullbacks at minor support levels ✅ Stop-Loss: $2,661 (Below support) ✅ Target Price: $3,170 (Next resistance level) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with strong trend confirmation 🔹 Final Verdict: As long as gold remains above the minor support levels, the bullish bias remains strong, making this a high-probability long trade setup. Would you like to add any additional indicators (RSI, MACD) for confirmation? 📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD Descending Triangle Breakdown – Bearish Trading Setup📌 Overview: Understanding the Current Market Structure This analysis focuses on the JPY/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a well-defined descending triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation setup. The price action indicates selling pressure increasing as lower highs form, while support remained relatively stable before ultimately breaking down. This setup suggests a potential trend continuation to the downside, making it a compelling trade opportunity for short-sellers. Let's dive deeper into the technical breakdown, trading strategy, and market expectations. 📊 Technical Breakdown: Chart Pattern Analysis 1️⃣ The Descending Triangle Pattern: A Bearish Signal The descending triangle is one of the most reliable continuation patterns in technical analysis, often leading to a breakdown when support is breached. This chart confirms the pattern through: ✅ Downward Sloping Resistance Line: The price tested this level multiple times but was consistently rejected. Lower highs indicate sellers are dominating and buyers are failing to push higher. ✅ Flat Support Level: The price found strong support at a key horizontal level, bouncing off multiple times. However, each bounce became weaker, signaling buyers losing strength. ✅ Breakout & Confirmation: The final breakdown below support occurred with strong momentum. The price has now turned previous support into resistance, a bearish confirmation. 🔎 Implication: A descending triangle breakout to the downside often results in an extended downward move, aiming for the measured move target based on the triangle’s height. 2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Trading Zones 📌 🔴 Resistance Zone (Upper Triangle Boundary): 0.006700 – 0.006750 This level acted as a strong rejection zone, confirming lower highs. It now serves as a resistance level after the breakdown. 📌 🟢 Support Level (Triangle Base): This level previously held price from breaking lower multiple times. However, with each bounce becoming weaker, it finally gave way. Break & Close below this level confirms the bearish continuation. 📌 🎯 Target Projection (Based on Triangle Breakout): 0.006448 (Final Target) – This level aligns with historical price action and the triangle’s projected move. 📌 🚨 Stop Loss Placement: Above the last swing high (~0.006752) If price reclaims this zone, the bearish outlook becomes invalid. 📈 Price Action & Market Sentiment 3️⃣ Bearish Momentum & Breakdown Confirmation ✅ Lower Highs Indicate Weakness: Buyers attempted multiple recoveries but were consistently rejected at lower levels. This pattern suggests exhaustion in buying pressure. ✅ Breakout Candle Strength & Volume Confirmation: The price broke support with strong momentum and increased volume, confirming sellers’ control. A breakdown without volume is often a fakeout, but this chart shows clear momentum. ✅ Potential Retest Before Further Drop: After a breakdown, price often retests the broken support before continuing lower. A pullback to the resistance zone (~0.006650 - 0.006700) could offer an ideal short entry. ✅ Bearish Trend Confirmation: The price remains below key resistance and continues forming lower lows. The downtrend structure remains intact, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. 📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup? 🔹 Entry Strategy: Ideal Entry: Short after a pullback to broken support (~0.006650 - 0.006700). Aggressive Entry: Short immediately on the breakdown if momentum remains strong. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement: Place above last swing high (0.006752) to avoid being stopped out by noise. Ensures protection against sudden bullish reversals or fakeouts. 🔹 Take Profit Targets: ✅ First Target: 0.006500 (Psychological level) ✅ Final Target: 0.006448 (Triangle measured move) 🔹 Risk Management: Use a Risk-to-Reward ratio (RRR) of at least 1:2 for an optimal trade setup. Never risk more than 2% of total capital per trade. ⚠️ Market Outlook & Key Watchpoints 📌 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (High Probability) If price retests the broken support and faces rejection, expect further downside. Target remains at 0.006448. 📌 Scenario 2: Fake Breakdown & Bullish Reversal (Low Probability) If price closes above 0.006750, it invalidates the bearish setup. In that case, a bullish move towards 0.006800+ is possible. 📢 Final Thoughts: The bearish breakout is clear, but waiting for a proper pullback before entry is ideal. Volume confirmation is crucial to avoid fakeouts. If support turns into resistance, a high-probability short trade is set up. 🔹 What’s your take on this setup? Will JPY/USD reach its target? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀 #JPYUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Trade Setup Overview This 1-hour Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart showcases a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern, which has successfully broken out to the upside. This breakout indicates strong bullish momentum, setting up a potential rally towards $3,107 and beyond. The analysis below will cover: ✅ Triangle Pattern Formation & Breakout Explanation ✅ Key Technical Levels (Support, Resistance, ATH) ✅ Entry, Stop Loss, & Take Profit Strategies ✅ Risk Management Considerations ✅ Final Trade Setup & Market Sentiment Let’s dive into the details. 1️⃣ Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation What is a Symmetrical Triangle? A symmetrical triangle is a common continuation pattern in technical analysis that forms when price consolidates within two converging trendlines. This structure indicates a period of indecision in the market before a potential breakout occurs. When price breaks above the upper trendline, it signals a bullish continuation. If price breaks below the lower trendline, it suggests a bearish move. In this case, gold has broken above the upper resistance trendline, signaling a continuation of the existing uptrend. Pattern Breakdown (Step by Step): Triangle Formation: The price made higher lows and lower highs, compressing within the pattern. Price Squeeze: As the market approached the apex of the triangle, volatility decreased, indicating an imminent breakout. Breakout Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closed above the resistance trendline, validating the pattern and confirming bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Zones 🔹 Support & Resistance Zones: Support Level: $3,012 - $3,020 (Highlighted as a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in). Resistance Level: $3,080 (Previously acted as strong resistance but has now turned into support post-breakout). All-Time High (ATH): Marked just below $3,090, where price previously struggled to break through. 🔸 Breakout Target & Price Projection Breakout Level: The breakout happened above $3,080, confirming an uptrend continuation. Target Calculation: The height of the triangle is projected upwards from the breakout point. This gives us a price target of $3,107 - $3,120 in the short term. 3️⃣ Trading Strategy Based on Breakout ✅ Entry Strategy: Aggressive Entry: Entering immediately after the breakout candle closes above $3,080, riding the momentum. Conservative Entry: Waiting for a potential pullback to $3,080 (now acting as support) before entering a long position. ⛔ Stop Loss Placement: Ideal Stop Loss: Below the previous support zone at $3,012, ensuring protection against fake breakouts. Tighter Stop Loss: Just below the breakout point at $3,065, in case of a minor retracement before moving higher. 🎯 Profit Target Strategy: Short-Term Target: $3,107, based on the triangle’s measured move. Extended Target: If momentum sustains, $3,120+ could be achieved, aligning with previous bullish trends. 4️⃣ Risk Management & Market Considerations Risk Factors to Monitor: 🔸 Volume Confirmation: A breakout with high trading volume is a stronger signal than one with low volume. 🔸 Market Fundamentals: Events like US inflation data, Federal Reserve rate decisions, and geopolitical tensions can impact gold prices. 🔸 False Breakout Risk: If price falls back below $3,080, the breakout might be invalid, signaling a potential reversal. Risk-Reward Ratio: 📌 Entry: $3,080 📌 Stop Loss: $3,012 (Approx. 68 points risk) 📌 Target: $3,107 - $3,120 (Approx. 27-40 points reward) 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 2:1+, making this a favorable trade setup. 5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Final Trade Setup 📈 Bullish Outlook: The successful breakout above the symmetrical triangle signals continued bullish strength. Price is holding above the previous resistance zone at $3,080, now acting as support. The next resistance target is $3,107 - $3,120, aligning with previous swing highs. 🔴 Bearish Scenario (If Invalidated): If price falls back below $3,080, it could indicate a false breakout. A break below $3,065 might lead to a retest of the $3,012 support zone. 📊 Final Trading Plan: ✅ Buy (Long) at: $3,080 - $3,085 🎯 Target 1: $3,107 🎯 Target 2: $3,120+ (Extended Target) ⛔ Stop Loss: $3,012 🔥 Conclusion: Bullish Bias with Caution Gold (XAU/USD) has successfully broken out of the symmetrical triangle, signaling a strong bullish continuation. As long as price holds above $3,080, the bias remains bullish, targeting $3,107 - $3,120. 💡 Key Takeaway: Watch for a pullback and retest of $3,080 before entering, ensuring confirmation before committing to the trade. 🚀 Final Outlook: Bullish – Gold is positioned for further upside if momentum continues!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) Double Top Pattern – High Probability Trade Setup📌 Overview of the Chart: This 4-hour timeframe chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) highlights a Double Top pattern, one of the most reliable bearish reversal signals in technical analysis. The price has tested a strong resistance zone twice (Top 1 & Top 2) but failed to break above, suggesting that bullish momentum is weakening and a possible trend reversal is imminent. This setup provides an excellent opportunity for a short (sell) trade, provided the price confirms the pattern by breaking below the neckline. The potential downside targets are marked as TP1 ($2,983) and TP2 ($2,938), with a stop loss placed above resistance ($3,056) to manage risk effectively. 📌 Key Chart Patterns & Market Dynamics 1️⃣ Double Top Pattern – The Bearish Reversal Signal The Double Top pattern occurs when: ✅ The price reaches a resistance zone and gets rejected (Top 1). ✅ It then retraces downward to find support at the neckline. ✅ The price makes another attempt to push higher but fails at the same resistance level (Top 2). ✅ A break below the neckline confirms the bearish trend, as buyers lose strength and sellers take control. 🛑 Why is this pattern important? The failure of buyers to push beyond resistance shows that sellers are dominating. This creates a psychological shift in the market, making traders and institutions more likely to sell aggressively once the neckline is broken. 2️⃣ Resistance Level – The Rejection Zone 🔵 Price Level: $3,050 – $3,056 🔵 Role: Key supply area where sellers are strong 🔵 Market Impact: Strong rejections at this level indicate that big players (institutions) are offloading positions, leading to bearish momentum. Why Does This Matter? 📌 If the price breaks above this level, it would invalidate the bearish setup, leading to potential further upside. 📌 This is also why we place our Stop Loss above this level—to protect against unexpected bullish breakouts. 3️⃣ Neckline Support – The Breakout Zone 🔻 Price Level: Around $3,020 🔻 Role: The last line of defense for buyers before a bearish breakout 🔻 Market Impact: If this level is breached, it confirms the Double Top pattern, leading to a sharp decline. 📌 A confirmed break of the neckline is the ideal point for traders to enter a short (sell) position, targeting lower price levels. 4️⃣ Key Take Profit (TP) Targets – Where Price Might Drop 🎯 TP1 – $2,983: This level is a minor support zone where price may temporarily pause before further decline. Conservative traders may choose to secure profits here. 🎯 TP2 – $2,938: A stronger historical support zone, making it a high-probability target for a full bearish move. More aggressive traders may hold positions until this level. 📌 Why These Levels? These targets align with Fibonacci retracement zones and previous market structure, increasing the likelihood of a reaction at these points. 5️⃣ Stop Loss – Managing Risk Like a Pro Placement: Above the resistance zone at $3,056 Reason: If price breaks above resistance, it invalidates the bearish thesis, meaning we need to exit the trade. Risk-Reward Ratio: TP1: ~2:1 TP2: ~3.5:1 A good risk-reward setup, ensuring a profitable edge over multiple trades. 📌 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 📉 Bearish (Sell) Setup: 1️⃣ Wait for confirmation – Price must break below the neckline ($3,020) before entering a short trade. 2️⃣ Sell Entry: On a confirmed break and retest of the neckline. 3️⃣ Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone ($3,056). 4️⃣ Take Profit Targets: TP1 ($2,983) – First profit level. TP2 ($2,938) – Secondary target for deeper decline. 📌 Optional Confirmation: Look for bearish candlestick formations (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star, or Doji) near resistance or after a neckline breakout. Monitor RSI/MACD for bearish divergence, confirming weakening momentum. 📌 Market Psychology Behind This Pattern 1️⃣ First Peak (Top 1): Buyers push the price up, but sellers step in at resistance and force a pullback. 2️⃣ Pullback to Neckline: Some buyers re-enter, believing the uptrend will continue. 3️⃣ Second Peak (Top 2): Price attempts another rally but fails at the same resistance, showing buyers' exhaustion. 4️⃣ Break of the Neckline: Sellers take full control, leading to a high-momentum sell-off. 📌 Key Takeaway: 💡 The Double Top is a trader’s favorite because it reflects a real psychological shift in market sentiment—from greed (buyers) to fear (sellers). 📌 Final Verdict – High Probability Trade Setup ✅ Double Top formation confirms a bearish trend reversal. ✅ Strong resistance & multiple rejections signal seller dominance. ✅ Clear risk management strategy (Stop Loss & TP Levels). ✅ Waiting for neckline break ensures a high-probability entry. 🚀 Watch this setup carefully! If the neckline breaks, GOLD could experience a sharp decline! 📉🔥 🔍 Pro Tips for Smart Traders 💡 Don’t rush into a trade! Wait for a solid break and retest of the neckline for confirmation. 💡 Monitor volume: A strong breakout should be accompanied by increasing volume for validation. 💡 Use confluence: Combine with other indicators (RSI, MACD, EMA) to increase accuracy. 🔥 What’s Your Take on This Setup? Will You Trade It? Let Me Know in the Comments! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility⚠️ GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility 🟡 Market Brief – 27/03/2025 📰 Trump’s Latest Tariff Remarks Leave Markets Unshaken Earlier this morning (end of US session), Donald Trump made new comments on tariff policy. However, unlike previous occasions, his speech did not trigger significant market volatility. He stated: “Reciprocal tariffs will be eased, broadly applied to all countries, but not harshly.” 🔹 A 25% import tariff on cars will take effect from April 2 🔹 No additional tariffs for now on semiconductors or pharmaceuticals → It appears the market had already priced in this announcement, resulting in a muted reaction. 📊 Today’s Spotlight – Final US GDP (q/q) This is the broadest measure of inflation, reflecting price changes for all goods and services included in GDP. Given the weakness in recent US inflation indicators (CPI & PPI), AD anticipates today’s GDP may also come in weaker than expected. ⚠️ However, market reaction might remain limited (≈30 pts), as Core PCE data tomorrow is expected to be the true driver of weekly volatility. 🟡 Gold Strategy – Intraday Setup Gold may retest resistance levels or recent highs, before a potential strong move to the downside – the BIG SHORT scenario AD has been tracking. 📌 Plan for Today: Look for intraday BUY opportunities during the Asian and European sessions, especially near key support levels marked on the chart. 🧭 Key Technical Levels: 🔻 Support: 3019 – 3011 – 3002 – 2988 🔺 Resistance: 3036 – 3046 – 3056 🎯 Trade Zones – 27/03: 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3002 – 3000 SL: 2996 TPs: 3006 – 3010 – 3014 – 3018 – 3022 – 3026 – 3030 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3055 – 3057 SL: 3061 TPs: 3051 – 3047 – 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 🧠 Final Note: This week’s volatility hinges on two major macro releases: ✅ Today’s Final GDP report ✅ Tomorrow’s Core PCE data → During Asia & London sessions: respect the levels and trade reactively → For New York session: stay alert — AD will update instantly if needed Good luck, trade safe, and stay disciplined. — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 27, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🚗 Auto Tariffs Announced: President Trump has announced a 25% tariff on all cars not made in the U.S., effective April 2. This move is expected to impact the automotive industry and could influence market sentiment. 🇬🇧📉 UK Inflation Falls: UK inflation has decreased to 2.8% in February, down from 3% in January, raising speculation about a potential interest rate cut by the Bank of England in May. This development may have implications for global markets. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, March 27: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 226,000​ Previous: 223,000​ Indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, offering insight into the labor market.​ 📈 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – Second Revision (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 2.3% annualized growth​ Previous: 2.3%​ Provides a second estimate of the nation's economic growth for the fourth quarter of 2024.​ 🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 1.0%​ Previous: -4.6%​ Measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes, offering insights into future home sales.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Nasdaq in Correction: Technical Targets and Weekly OutlookWe can observe that Nasdaq has started a new corrective leg since its last recovery in early Q3 2024. Currently, the index is experiencing its first rebound and test of the 20-period moving average (MA20, in green) since this average turned downward. Typically, this scenario triggers a selling reaction, with the first target at the previous low of 19,200. If selling pressure intensifies, the next projections are at 18,300 and 17,900. However, from a weekly perspective, there is still room for a deeper correction, potentially reaching the 200-period moving average (MA200), which is currently at 15,690. When applying a Fibonacci retracement to the last major bullish leg (Oct 10, 2022 – Feb 17, 2025), we see that the 50% retracement level aligns closely with the weekly MA200 at 16,300. We know that price movements do not follow a straight line but rather unfold in waves. Given this context, the bias remains bearish, and I see further corrections ahead in the U.S. market.
SKILLING:US100Short
by Luiz_soares
GBP/USD Breakdown – Bearish Momentum Ahead?This 4-hour chart of GBP/USD shows a clear bearish setup: 🔹 Rising Wedge Breakdown – The pair has broken below a rising wedge pattern, signaling potential downside pressure. 🔹 Support and Resistance Levels – Resistance at 1.29206 - 1.30275 Support at 1.28000 - 1.28437 Strong support at 1.27539 🔹 Sell Confirmation – A sell signal is indicated, suggesting further downside movement towards the target zone. 📉 Trading Plan: ✅ Possible short entries below the 1.28956 level. ✅ Target price: 1.27539 ✅ Stop-loss above 1.29206 for risk management. ⚠️ Risk Note: Always manage risk properly and watch for any trend reversals before entering trades. What are your thoughts? Are you bearish or bullish on GBP/USD? 🤔💬
Short
by PIPsOptimizer