$FET 4Hr Time frame DUMP before PUMP? $1 Recovery!FET/USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis
Pattern Formation: A rounding top is clearly visible, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal.
Trend Structure: Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend.
Key Zones:
Supply Zone: $0.85 – $0.975
Demand Zone: $0.35 – $0.45
Neckline Support: Price is approaching a critical neckline level. A break below this could trigger strong downside movement.
Weekly FVG & Fib Confluence:
Below the neckline lies a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this zone, forming a golden pocket — a key support area.
Scenario 1 – Bullish Reversal:
If price holds above the golden pocket, a bounce could push it back toward psychological levels (e.g., $0.70 and $0.80)
Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation:
If price fails to hold the FVG/GP zone, this invalidates bullish setups.
Expect a breakdown targeting the $0.35–$0.45 demand zone.
Technical Analysis
Silver Consolidates After Hitting Multi-Year HighSilver holds near $36.75 in Thursday’s Asian session, steady after a slight pullback from its highest level since February 2012. The trend remains bullish, suggesting more upside. A sustained move above $36.45–$36.50 confirmed a breakout from a descending channel, forming a bullish flag. The RSI has eased from overbought, and momentum indicators support a positive near-term outlook.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
Gold Climbs as Israel-Iran Conflict DeepensGold rose toward $3,380 on Thursday, recovering earlier losses as safe-haven demand grew amid the escalating Israel-Iran conflict, now in its seventh day. Reports say Israel hit over 20 sites near Tehran, including nuclear and missile facilities, while the U.S. may join the strikes, raising fears of a broader war.
Meanwhile, the Fed held rates steady Wednesday but signaled two possible cuts this year, despite high inflation and slowing growth. The move followed renewed pressure from President Trump for deeper cuts.
Resistance is seen at $3,370, while support holds at $3,316
BoE in Focus as GBP/USD Nears 1.3410GBP/USD remains under pressure for a third day, trading near 1.3410 in Thursday’s Asian session, as safe-haven demand strengthens the US Dollar amid Israel-Iran tensions. The BoE is expected to hold rates at 4.25% today. UK inflation eased to 3.4% in May from 3.5%, in line with forecasts but still above the 2% target. Markets still price in about 48 basis points of BoE cuts by year-end.
Resistance is seen at 1.3440, while support holds at 1.3260.
EUR/USD Slips as Fed Stays HawkishEUR/USD fell toward 1.1465 in Thursday’s Asian session, pressured by a risk-off mood as Middle East tensions rise. The focus shifts to speeches from ECB officials Lagarde, Nagel, and de Guindos for further guidance.
On Wednesday, the Fed held rates at 4.25%–4.50% and signaled a slower pace of cuts, citing inflation risks from Trump’s new tariffs. The FOMC still projects two cuts in 2025
Bloomberg reported the US may strike Iran in the coming days, raising safe-haven demand for the dollar and adding pressure on the euro. ECB’s Lagarde said rate cuts are nearly done and that the ECB is well-positioned to manage current uncertainties.
Resistance is located at 1.1475, while support is seen at 1.1415
Yen Slips as Fed Holds and Risks MountThe yen weakened past 145 on Thursday, nearing a three-week low as the stronger U.S. dollar gained support from the Fed’s steady rate decision and cautious outlook. Concerns over Trump’s tariffs and Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand for the dollar over the yen.
The BOJ also kept rates unchanged Tuesday and signaled a gradual asset reduction. Governor Ueda noted that rate hikes remain possible if inflation rises.
The key resistance is at $145.30 meanwhile the major support is located at $142.50.
Gold Breaks the Range: Trend Reversal or Just a Fakeout?XAUUSD – Gold Breaks the Range: Trend Reversal or Just a Fakeout?
After several days of sideways action, gold has finally broken out of its consolidation channel — but not upward. The price action signals uncertainty, while underlying global risks suggest a larger move may be brewing. With US markets closed for a bank holiday, low liquidity could lead to sharp, unexpected spikes — traders, stay alert.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
📌 As widely expected, the Federal Reserve held rates steady, but Fed Chair Powell maintained a hawkish tone, warning that inflation risks remain due to ongoing geopolitical instability and rising commodity costs.
🔥 The gold market now hinges on two major geopolitical scenarios in the Middle East:
If the US intervenes diplomatically to ease tensions between Iran and Israel, gold may continue to correct further — possibly into the 3,325 – 3,300 range or lower.
However, if reports are accurate that Trump is coordinating with Israel for potential strikes on Iran, gold could spike aggressively as safe-haven demand surges toward 3,417 – 3,440.
📊 Technical Breakdown (M30 – H1)
Price has broken below the range-bound structure, suggesting a potential momentum shift to the downside.
The EMA cluster (13–34–89–200) is sloping downward, confirming bearish short-term pressure.
The 3,345 level has acted as support, but if it gives way, 3,325 becomes a critical liquidity zone where buyers may step in.
✅ Trading Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE 1: 3,325 – 3,328
Entry: Only after a clear bullish reversal (pin bar / bullish engulfing candle)
SL: Below 3,320
TP: 3,345 → 3,360 → 3,373 → 3,384
🟢 BUY ZONE 2: 3,345 – 3,348
Entry: On price retest and bullish confirmation
SL: Below 3,340
TP: 3,360 → 3,373 → 3,384 → 3,403
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,417 – 3,440
Entry: If price rallies into resistance with no supporting fundamentals
SL: Above 3,445
TP: 3,403 → 3,384 → 3,360 → 3,345
💬 Final Thoughts
Gold is at a pivotal point. While today’s break could indicate a new leg down, we’ve seen countless false breakouts during low liquidity sessions. Only trade on confirmation — not emotion. Watch for geopolitical headlines and let price action guide your risk-adjusted decisions.
Stay patient. Stay sharp. Let the market prove itself before you do.
GBPAUD: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD successfully violated a significant daily horizontal
support cluster.
I think that the pair may drop lower after a pullback.
Next key support - 2.057
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GBPJPY: Pullback From Trend Line 🇬🇧🇯🇵
I think that GBPJPY may bounce from a rising trend line
that I spotted on a daily time frame.
As a confirmation, I spotted 2 intraday bullish breakouts:
a violation of a resistance line of a falling channel
and a breakout of a neckline of a cup & handle pattern.
Goal - 195.0
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 19/06/2025Today, a flat opening is expected in Nifty around the 24,800 level. The index continues to trade within a narrow range, indicating market indecision and potential consolidation.
🔼 On the upside, if Nifty sustains above the 24,750–24,800 zone, it may trigger a bullish move toward 24,850 → 24,900 → 24,950+. Sustained strength above 24,950 can further open room for a breakout.
🔽 On the downside, if the index slips below 24,700, a short opportunity may arise toward 24,650 → 24,600 → 24,550-. Breach of 24,550 could lead to deeper correction.
⚠️ Key Notes:
The market is likely to remain range-bound and volatile.
Reversals from resistance and support levels are possible.
Trade with a strict stop loss and manage positions actively.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(19/06/2025)Today, a flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty near the 55,800 zone. The index has been moving within a defined range for the past few sessions, and there are no major changes in yesterday’s key levels.
🔼 If Bank Nifty sustains above 55,550–55,600, it may show bullish momentum toward 55,750 → 55,850 → 55,950+. A breakout above 56,050 could lead to further upside toward 56,250 → 56,350 → 56,450+.
🔽 However, if the index fails to hold above 55,900–55,950 and starts reversing, a short opportunity may arise toward 55,750 → 55,650 → 55,550-. Sustained selling below 55,450 can drag the index down to 55,250 → 55,150 → 55,050-.
⚠️ Note:
The market is still in a consolidation phase, so false breakouts are possible. Stick to levels, wait for confirmation, and use strict stop-losses with trailing targets to manage risk effectively.
XAUUSD – Support Under Threat, Deeper Decline LoomsGold is stalling below the 3,444 USD resistance, forming a series of lower highs — a clear sign of weakening bullish momentum. The support area around 3,358 USD is under pressure, and a break below this level could trigger a drop toward 3,280 USD.
On the news front, the FOMC has reaffirmed its hawkish stance, making no mention of a rate cut despite signs of slowing economic growth. This has strengthened the USD, placing additional downward pressure on gold.
In summary, XAUUSD is on the verge of breaking its bullish structure. If current support fails, sellers may take full control of the market.
XAUUSD Trade Idea:
Position: SELL if price breaks below 3,358 USD
Target: 3,304 – 3,280 USD
Stop Loss: Above 3,400 USD
Apple is standing at the edgeApple (AAPL) is losing its long-term structure — second retest of the broken trendline suggests a bearish setup
On the 3D chart, Apple shows signs of structural breakdown. The weekly trendline from 2023 was broken and retested — twice. The price failed to regain it and now trades below, with candles showing weakness: low body closes, upper wicks, and no upside follow-through.
MA200 is now above price, and all EMAs are turning down. Volume Profile shows a heavy resistance block near $197. If the price remains below, sellers are in control.
Key levels:
— $192.20 = 0.5 Fibo support.
— Breakdown ➝ targets: $180 → $167 → $152.
Fundamentals:
Apple's recent reports show decelerating growth, weak China demand, and compressed margins. While AI buzz supports sentiment, institutional flow suggests distribution. BigTech may be topping out, and Apple is positioned for pullback.
Strategy:
Short below $196 with confirmation. Stop: $198. Targets: $180 / $167 / $152.
Failure to reclaim $192–197 = broken trend confirmed.
This is not a growth setup. This is where trends end — and profit-taking begins.
AUD/USD Descending Triangle Setup – Support Retest in FocusThe AUD/USD pair is currently forming a descending triangle pattern, a common bearish continuation structure where price makes lower highs while holding above a horizontal or slightly rising support level. This setup indicates increasing selling pressure at lower resistance levels (highlighted with red arrows and trendlines), while buyers are consistently defending the green support zone around 0.6475–0.6485.
So far, the price has been rejected multiple times from the descending resistance line, confirming seller dominance. At the same time, it has found buying interest at support, forming a tight range where a breakout or breakdown is likely to occur soon.
🔽 Current Price Action & Outlook
The latest price structure shows a potential lower high forming, suggesting another move downward toward support.
If the pair revisits the support zone once again, it will be a critical retest, and the market could either:
Bounce from support, continuing the sideways structure within the triangle, or
Break down below the green trendline, triggering a bearish continuation.
Until the support breaks, the market remains range-bound inside the triangle, offering short-term trade setups between support and resistance.
🎯 Strategy Notes
Short-Term Idea: Sell near resistance (~0.6525–0.6535), buy near support (~0.6475–0.6485)
Breakout Traders: Wait for a confirmed breakout of either boundary with volume before entering
Invalidation: A strong breakout above the red descending trendline may invalidate the bearish structure
This is a neutral-to-bearish setup with a potential for breakout in either direction. Patience is key for waiting on confirmation.
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Best Free Volatility Indicator on TradingView for Gold Forex
This free technical indicator will help you easily measure the market volatility on Forex, Gold or any other market.
It will show you when the market is quiet , when it's active and when it's dangerous .
We will go through the settings of this indicator, and you will learn how to set it up on TradingView.
Historical Volatility Indicator
This technical indicator is called Historical Volatility.
It is absolutely free and available on TradingView, MetaTrader 4/5 and other popular trading terminals.
TradingView Setup
Let me show you how to find it on TradingView and add it to your price chart.
Open a technical price chart on TradingView and open the "Indicators" menu (you will find it at the top of the screen).
Search "Historical Volatility" and click on it.
It will automatically appear on your chart.
"Length" parameter will define how many candles the indicator will take for measuring the average volatility. (I recommend keeping the default number, but if you need longer/shorter-term volatility, you can play with that)
Timeframe drop-down list defines what time frame the indicator takes for measuring the volatility. (I recommend choosing a daily timeframe)
And keep the checkboxes unchanged .
How to Use the Indicator
Now, let me show you how to use it properly.
Wider the indicator and analyse its movement at least for the last 4 months.
Find the volatility range - its low levels will be based on the lower boundary of the range, high levels will be based on its upper boundary.
This is an example of such a range on USDCAD pair.
When the volatility stays within the range, it is your safe time to trade.
When volatility approaches its lows, it may indicate that the market might be slow .
Highs of the range imply that the market is very active
In-between will mean a healthy market.
The Extremes
The violation of a volatility range to the downside is the signal that the market is very slow . This would be the recommended period to not trade because of high chance of occurrence of fakeouts.
An upward breakout of a voliatlity range is the signal of the extreme volatility . It will signify that the market is unstable , and it will be better to let it calm down before placing any trade.
Volatility Analysis
That is how a complete volatility analysis should look.
At the moment, volatility reached extreme levels on CADJPY pair.
The best strategy will be to wait till it returns within the range.
Remember This
With the current geopolitical uncertainty and trade wars, market volatility reaches the extreme levels.
Such a volatility is very dangerous , especially for newbie traders.
Historical volatility technical indicator will help you to easily spot the best period for trading and the moment when it is better to stay away.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD – Gold breaks trend: Is a deeper fall coming?Gold has officially broken the ascending trendline that had held since mid-May, confirming a breakdown in the bullish structure. After failing to breach the strong resistance at 3,445 USD, selling pressure intensified, driving the price down to 3,390 USD — yesterday’s closing level.
This move came right after the FOMC meeting, where the Fed held interest rates steady but maintained a hawkish tone, strengthening the USD and weighing heavily on gold.
While tensions in the Middle East continue to offer short-term support, U.S. monetary policy remains the dominant force. Without a fresh geopolitical shock, gold appears increasingly vulnerable to a deeper correction.
DeFi Index Completes Irregular Flat Correction; Bulls Back?DeFi Index may have a completed irregular flat correction within an uptrend, which may cause another rally this year, according to Elliott wave theory.
Cryptocurrencies are recovering and DeFi Index is now bouncing back above EW channel, so a five-wave impulse into wave (C) of an irregular (A)(B)(C) flat correction in blue wave B can be finished. It means that a higher degree blue wave C can now be in play, which can rally this year all the way back to March 2024 highs. Is this the beginning of an ALTseason?
A basic bullish irregular flat correction is a three-wave (A-B-C) pattern where wave B exceeds the start of wave A and wave C dips below wave A before the overall bullish trend resumes.
USDCAD is Nearing The Daily Trend!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.36950 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.36950 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish USD/CAD Presents a Selling Opportunity Now.FenzoFx—USD/CAD surged to 1.3686, a resistance zone backed by a bearish Fair Value Gap. Stochastic shows 81.0, signaling short-term overpricing. The market remains bearish below 1.3729, with fundamentals pointing to a stronger CAD.
A decline toward 1.362 is likely if USD/CAD stays below 1.3729.
BTCUSDT – Price Poised to Break Descending ChannelBTCUSDT has been maintaining a series of higher lows since early May, consistently rebounding from its dynamic support trendline. Currently, the price is consolidating just below the descending channel resistance around the 108,000 USDT level. A clear double-bottom pattern accompanied by solid recovery momentum suggests a potential breakout from the prolonged correction phase that has persisted throughout June.
If BTC breaks above the descending trendline, the next target could be the major resistance zone near 113,000 USDT.
On the news front, the market is reacting positively to BlackRock’s announcement of expanding investment in crypto ETF products. At the same time, recent soft U.S. inflation data has strengthened expectations that the Fed may halt its tightening cycle. This combination is improving investor sentiment and driving renewed interest in risk assets like Bitcoin.
Silver Up Slightly as Markets Await PowellXAG/USD rose 0.3% to $37.23 on Wednesday, though gains were capped by a stronger U.S. dollar as investors turned to safe assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions and caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision. Silver’s safe-haven appeal remained, but the firmer dollar made it less attractive for non-dollar buyers. Markets are now watching Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on future policy and near-term direction for silver.
Resistance is set at 37.50, while support stands at 35.40.