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Technical Analysis

AUD/USD Resistance Rejection and Bearish OutlookAUD/USD represents the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar in the forex market. The current price is 0.62300, with a target price of 0.60000, indicating a bearish outlook. The expected price drop suggests a potential gain of 200+ pips if the trade moves as anticipated. The analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, a key concept in technical trading. The price has reached a strong resistance level and is facing rejection, signaling selling pressure. A rejection at resistance often indicates a shift in momentum, leading to a possible downward move. Traders anticipate the price to decline toward the next support level at 0.60000. This setup suggests bearish dominance as long as resistance holds. If the price fails to break above resistance, further downside movement is likely. Proper risk management is crucial, as market conditions can change.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
GBP/USD Resistance Rejection and Bearish OutlookGBP/USD is a forex pair representing the British Pound against the US Dollar. The current price is 1.24150, and the target price is 1.21000, indicating an expected decline. This suggests a bearish outlook, with a potential gain of 300+ pips if the price moves as anticipated. The analysis is based on support and resistance levels, key technical indicators in forex trading. The price is currently facing strong resistance, leading to a rejection at this level. A rejection from resistance often signals selling pressure, pushing prices downward. Traders expect the price to drop toward the next support level at 1.21000. The setup aligns with technical analysis, where resistance acts as a ceiling for price movements. If the resistance holds, further bearish momentum could drive the price lower. Risk management is essential, as price movements can be unpredictable.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
TAO ANALYSIS📊 #TAO Analysis ✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a breakout and currently trading around its major resistance area🧐 Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a breakout of major resistance zone 👀Current Price:  $479 🚀 Target Price:    $659 ⚡️What to do ? 👀Keep an eye on #TAO price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️ #TAO  #Cryptocurrency  #TechnicalAnalysis  #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
2
Part 1: How to Analyze Events in the Forex Market? The forex market is one of the most dynamic and volatile financial markets in the world. It is deeply influenced by global events, economic data, and geopolitical developments. Traders who understand how to analyze these events can make informed decisions and capitalize on market movements. Influence Of the Global Events: The forex market is directly linked to global economic health. Since currencies represent the economies of their respective countries, any significant event like an interest rate decision, inflation data, or geopolitical conflict. It can cause major fluctuations in currency prices. Here’s global events play important role: - Central Bank Policies: When the Federal Reserve (Fed) or European Central Bank (ECB) changes interest rates, it impacts global liquidity and investment flows. - Economic Data Releases: GDP growth, inflation, and employment reports provide insights into economic stability, affecting investor confidence. - Geopolitical Events: Wars, elections, trade agreements, and diplomatic conflicts impact currency demand and risk sentiment. What Happens When News Is Published? When a major economic event or news release occurs, the forex market reacts instantly. Here’s the typical stages of events: Stage 1: Market Expectations: Before the news release, traders anticipate the outcome based on forecasts. The market often prices in expectations. Stage 2: Immediate Volatility: If the actual data differs from the forecast, there’s a sharp price movement in the affected currency pairs. Stage 3: Liquidity Fluctuations: Spreads widen, and liquidity dries up momentarily as traders rush to execute orders. Stage 4: Short-Term Correction: After the initial reaction, the market stabilizes, and price action follows the broader trend. Major Events: Central Bank Meetings – Institutions like the Fed, ECB, BoJ, and BoE set monetary policies. Interest rate hikes strengthen a currency, while rate cuts weaken it. Forward guidance also plays a role in shaping long-term trends. Inflation Reports (CPI & PPI): These measure inflation levels, influencing central bank decisions. Higher inflation often leads to interest rate hikes, strengthening the currency, while lower inflation may result in monetary easing, weakening it. Employment Data (NFP & Job Reports) – The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a key indicator. Strong job growth supports a stronger USD, while weak employment data signals economic trouble. GDP Growth Reports –:A higher-than-expected GDP growth rate boosts investor confidence and strengthens the currency, while economic contraction leads to depreciation. Political & Geopolitical Events: Elections, government policies, trade wars, and conflicts create uncertainty, often pushing investors toward safe-haven currencies like the USD, JPY, or CHF One's Loss, Another's Win: When the U.S. releases strong economic data, such as higher-than-expected GDP growth, strong job reports (NFP), or an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, The demand for the U.S. dollar increases. This leads to USD appreciation against other currencies, including the euro. For example, ---> EUR/USD falls : USD is gaining strength, it takes fewer dollars to buy 1 euro, causing the EUR/USD exchange rate to drop. ---> USD/EUR rises : USD is now wortth more, the inverse exchange rate (USD/EUR) increases, meaning 1 USD can now buy more euro. Key strategies for trading events: •Stay Ahead with an Event Calendar: Keep track of important economic events and central bank meetings to anticipate potential market-moving news. • Gauge Market Expectations: Understand forecasts and market sentiment before the event to predict how the market might react. • Implement Stop-Loss Orders: Protect your trades from excessive risk by setting stop-loss orders to cap potential losses during volatile moves. • Wait for Market Stability: Allow the market to settle after the event to avoid getting caught in the initial volatility and better assess the trend. • Evaluate the Market’s Response: Assess the immediate market reaction to the event to identify if the initial price move is sustainable or a short-term spike. Drawbacks of Trading News: High Volatility & Whipsaws: Prices can spike in both directions before settling on a trend, leading to stop-loss hunting. Widened Spreads: During news releases, brokers often widen spreads, increasing trading costs. Slippage: Rapid price movements can lead to orders being executed at unexpected prices. Emotional Trading: Sudden market swings can trigger impulsive decisions, leading to losses. Market Manipulation: Big players and institutions often move the market unpredictably before major news releases. In the next part, we will focus on the specific events and strategies.
Education
by forextidings
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.29.2025🔮 📅 Wed Jan 29 ⏰ 2:00pm 📊 Federal Funds Rate: 4.50% (prev: 4.50%) 📜 FOMC Statement ⏰ 2:30pm 🎙️ FOMC Press Conference 💡 Global Events: 🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting: Market-moving interest rate decision and policy updates. 🇪🇺 Eurozone GDP: Preliminary Q4 GDP data for the Eurozone could impact global sentiment. 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down to EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Semis haven't recovered yet, so there's a leg higher in the markets. Looking for a chop after. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a massive recovery in 1-2 days and go back to 6050. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
It Appears as though the Bullish Wedge is our most probable playTrading Fam, Time for my weekly update on the Bitcoin. A lot has occurred in the last week or so since I updated you all last, not least of which includes Deepseek AI FUD causing panic in the GPU and Power stock plays which has spilled over into our crypto space. But does this panic have merit or is this simply another retail bait, shaking out paper hands while whales continue to buy? The charts are showing me the latter is most probably true and news seems to support my thesis here as Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy acquired another 10,107 Bitcoin on the 26th of Jan. Previously, you will remember that I had spotted a potential H&S on the charts and had posted a caution in this regard as it had potential to play out. Shortly thereafter, I also spotted this bullish pendant at which point my bias became conflicted. Was Bitcoin going to pop or was it going to drop? We had to wait and observe further price action before it became clear. It now looks like our bulls maintained the greatest strength as we bounced off or our neckline, and broke up above our bullish wedge, hitting resistance at 106K. We then formed another bullish pennant smaller in size, dropped from that quickly to perfectly retest the topside of our larger bullish pennant, and then came back inside the wedge for further consolidation. If I am reading this chart correctly, our greatest probability now lies with the bulls breaking to the upside of the smaller wedge and retesting that 106K resistance level again. In time, I believe we'll break 106k to the upside and continue towards our target of 140k. Why 140k? When we broke above our bullish descending channel in Oct. of last year, we continued up until we hit a new high at 109k. This was our local top. We can now measure the distance from that break up (around 68k) to our new high at 109k. This same distance can be utiliized to give us a new target from our bullish wedge breakout. This fractal gives us a reasonable target of around 140k. Hope this makes sense. ✌️Stew
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
2
TradeCityPro | EOSUSDT Seeking Structure Formation👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s analyze another altcoin on our watchlist, one of the oldest altcoins, which has experienced two bull runs so far. 📊 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, it’s still one of those coins that remains within its long-term range box, which has lasted nearly 1,000 days. Recently, by making a fake breakout of its last support at 0.4485, it had an attractive upward move and reached the top of its range box at 1.3255. I haven’t held this coin myself and probably won’t buy it in the future either, but you can make your purchase either after the box ceiling breakout or take early triggers in lower timeframes. Now, why won’t I buy it? Because coins like EOS or LTC, which are old, didn’t even reach their previous highs during the last bull run, or at most, moved up to those levels, which isn’t very appealing. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, however, it’s one of those coins that stands a notch above others and hasn’t returned to its daily range box, holding above higher supports. The 0.7558 level is highly significant as it represents both 50% Dow Theory wave retracement and 0.5 Fibonacci level, making it a PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). Losing this level could delay the next bullish move, but after that, the 0.6192 level will also hold great significance. After our move to 1.3703 and its correction, our volume has been decreasing on the retracements and increasing on every upward move—this is a good sign for bullish continuation. If, in the coming days, sellers fail to break the 0.7558 support, we might see continued range-bound movement or a temporary upward move. For another purchase, either wait for a fake breakout at 0.7558, or you can make your purchase with the breakout of triggers at 0.9827 and 1.3703, but I’d recommend first checking the project and its community and being patient for momentum entry. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
5
BUY EURUSD H4 | FOREX BEEHey Traders, This EUR/USD H4 chart suggests a bullish scenario, with price action breaking key levels and retesting them for continuation. Here's the technical analysis: ### Observations: 1. Trend Analysis: - The price has broken above the descending trendline, signaling a shift from a bearish to a bullish bias. - The breakout has been followed by a successful retest within the green zone, confirming it as a support level. 2. Key Levels: - Support: The green zone around 1.0480-1.0500 has acted as a strong support after the breakout. - Resistance: The chart highlights a target near the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 1.0694. 3. Retest Zone: - The blue highlighted area indicates a retest of the broken trendline and horizontal support. This confluence area strengthens the bullish case. 4. Fibonacci Levels: - The 0.236 Fibonacci level (~1.0424) was successfully held, suggesting that the retracement is over and the upward momentum may resume. 5. Potential Movement**: - The price is expected to continue its bullish movement, as indicated by the blue arrows, with a primary target around 1.0694. --- ### My Thoughts: This chart looks bullish, with a strong base formed around 1.0480-1.0500. Watching for further confirmation through price action, such as higher highs and higher lows, would be wise. However, a break below the retest area could invalidate this setup and shift the bias.
Long
by forexbeesignals
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.28.2024🔮 📅 Tue Jan 28 ⏰ 10:00am 📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7) 💡 Global Events: 🚩 China PMI: Key manufacturing data impacting global growth. 🍵 U.K. Business Report: Updates on investments and pensions. 📊 Earnings: GM and LMT pre-market results. 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
Bitcoin's Bullish Breakout: Targeting $126,500! Introduction: Bitcoin (BTC) has recently experienced a significant price surge, reaching new heights. For those new to cryptocurrency trading, understanding this movement is crucial. In this post, we'll break down the current BTC price action and discuss potential trading strategies. Current BTC Price: As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $101,254.00 USD. Key Levels to Watch: Support Level: $94,500 USD Resistance Level: $105,000 USD Market Sentiment: The market is currently bullish, with increased trading volume and positive news surrounding Bitcoin's adoption. Potential Price Target: Based on the "Cup and Handle" pattern, a technical analysis chart pattern, the projected price target for Bitcoin is $126,500 USD. Trading Strategy for Beginners: 1. Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the price retraces to the $94,500 support level. 2. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the $92,000 level to manage risk. 3. Take-Profit: Aim for a take-profit at the $126,500 target. Important Note: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. It's essential to conduct thorough research and only invest funds you can afford to lose. Conclusion: Bitcoin's recent price action presents potential trading opportunities. By understanding key levels and technical indicators, beginners can navigate the market more effectively. Always remember to trade responsibly and stay informed. Let's Discuss! What are your thoughts on Bitcoin's current price action? Do you agree with the projected target of $126,500? Share your insights and let's engage in a constructive discussion! Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. By inviting readers to share their thoughts and engage in a discussion, you can foster a more interactive environment and encourage traders to participate in the comments section.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ProcessAndIntercept
4
XAUUSD Analysis: Potential Bearish Pullback Towards Key Support📉 XAUUSD Daily Analysis 🔍 🚨 Potential for a Bearish Pullback 🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential downward move after rejecting a key resistance level. If this momentum continues, we could see the price heading towards the support zone at 2680/2670. 💡 Key Insights: 📌 Market rejection at resistance = possible bearish momentum. 📌 Target support area: 2680/2670. 📌 Risk Management: Stick to 1-2% risk on trades. ⚠️ Historical Note: When the market last hit an all-time high, it saw a sharp one-day drop. Stay cautious! 💬 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
11