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Technical Analysis

EUR/USD Trading Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyChart Overview The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a classic falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup indicating that selling momentum is weakening and a breakout to the upside is imminent. This chart provides a structured trading plan, highlighting support and resistance levels, entry points, stop-loss placement, and a target price. Traders can use this setup to capitalize on the potential bullish move while effectively managing risk. Let’s break it down step by step. 1. Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern A falling wedge is formed when price action moves within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge. It signals decreasing bearish pressure, as the price forms lower highs and lower lows within a narrowing range. The decreasing range indicates that sellers are losing control, and an upside breakout is likely. In this chart, we observe the following key characteristics of a falling wedge: ✅ Two converging downward trendlines that contain price movement. ✅ Lower highs and lower lows showing seller exhaustion. ✅ Decreasing volume as the price approaches the breakout zone. ✅ Support near 1.08000, which has held price several times before. A breakout above the wedge signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment, making this a strong trade setup. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels 🔹 Support Level (Demand Zone) The horizontal blue zone at 1.07898 – 1.08000 is a critical support level. This level has been tested multiple times, making it a strong demand zone where buyers step in. The falling wedge bottom aligns with this area, reinforcing its importance. If price stays above this zone, it confirms the potential for a bullish breakout. 🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone) The resistance zone at 1.09300 - 1.09839 has acted as a barrier to upward movement. Price previously reversed from this zone, making it a logical take-profit area. If the breakout happens, this level will be tested again. A break above 1.09839 would signal further bullish momentum. 3. Trading Strategy – Step-by-Step Execution 📌 Entry Confirmation To enter this trade with confidence, traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge. A strong bullish candle breaking above the wedge’s upper trendline signals entry. Ideally, a pullback and retest of the breakout level would provide additional confirmation before entering long. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement Risk management is key, and stop-loss placement should be strategic to avoid unnecessary losses. A stop-loss is set just below 1.07898, slightly under the recent low. This placement ensures protection against false breakouts. 📌 Take-Profit Target The take-profit target is set at 1.09839, aligning with key resistance and the projected wedge breakout distance. This level has historically acted as resistance, making it an ideal zone to exit profits. Partial profit-taking can be considered near 1.09300, before the final target. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio With a tight stop-loss and a higher profit target, this trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio (RRR). A minimum RRR of 1:3 is recommended, meaning potential reward is three times the risk taken. 4. Expected Market Behavior & Possible Scenarios 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀 If price breaks and closes above the wedge, we expect a rally towards 1.09300 - 1.09839. Pullback to retest the breakout zone would further confirm bullish strength. Strong volume would validate the breakout, leading to a high-probability move. 📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Invalidation) ❌ If price breaks below 1.07898, the bullish setup is invalidated. A downside move could push the price lower, possibly towards 1.07500 or below. Traders should exit long positions if this scenario unfolds. 5. Additional Technical Indicators for Confirmation To strengthen this trade setup, traders can use: ✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Look for RSI divergence or a move above 50, confirming bullish strength. ✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – A bullish crossover on MACD would reinforce the breakout. ✅ Volume Analysis – A spike in volume at the breakout level adds confidence in the move. 6. Conclusion & Trading Plan This falling wedge setup suggests a high-probability bullish breakout if the price confirms above the resistance zone. 🔹 Trading Plan Summary: ✅ Wait for a breakout above the wedge before entering. ✅ Confirm breakout with a retest or strong bullish candle. ✅ Set stop-loss below 1.07898 to limit downside risk. ✅ Take profit at 1.09839, securing profits at resistance. This strategy offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, making it a well-structured trade setup. Always manage risk and avoid premature entries without confirmation. 📌 TradingView Tags for Maximum Visibility #EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #Breakout #PriceAction #ForexSignals #SupportResistance #TradingSetup #DayTrading #SwingTrading
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP - Double Bottom Reversal Setup | Trendline BreakoutThis EUR/GBP (Euro to British Pound) daily chart presents a textbook double bottom reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal after a prolonged downtrend. Additionally, a trendline breakout further strengthens the bullish outlook. The market structure suggests that buyers are regaining control, and a breakout above the neckline resistance zone (0.84500 - 0.85000) could trigger a significant upward move. Let's break down this setup in detail. 📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart 1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Strong Reversal Signal 🔹 The double bottom is a powerful bullish reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend, indicating that selling pressure is fading and buyers are stepping in. 🔹 First Bottom: Established in December 2024, where the price reached a key support level (~0.82453) before bouncing back. 🔹 Second Bottom: Formed in March 2025, confirming the validity of the support level and creating a solid demand zone. 🔹 The neckline resistance (0.84500 - 0.85000) is the key level that price must break to confirm the reversal. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Sentiment 🔹 The market has been in a downtrend, as shown by the descending trendline acting as resistance for several months. 🔹 Recently, the price broke above this trendline, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening and a potential trend reversal is underway. 🔹 This breakout adds confluence to the double bottom pattern, reinforcing the bullish bias. 3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels to Watch 📌 Support Zone (Bottom Area) – 0.82453: ✅ This level has been tested twice (December & March), confirming it as a strong demand zone. ✅ Price consistently rebounded from this level, showing buyers’ dominance. ✅ This is the ideal stop-loss level to protect against downside risks. 📌 Resistance Zone (Neckline) – 0.84500 - 0.85000: ✅ A breakout above this neckline resistance is necessary for a bullish continuation. ✅ If price breaks and retests this level as support, it will confirm a high-probability buy setup. 📌 Target Level – 0.87394 (Projected Move) ✅ This is calculated using the measured move technique, where the distance from the bottom to the neckline is projected upwards. ✅ This level coincides with a previous resistance zone, making it a realistic target. 📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup 🎯 Entry Plan for Long Position (Buy Setup) 1️⃣ Breakout Entry: Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above 0.85000. Watch for strong bullish candles with volume confirmation. 2️⃣ Retest Entry (Safer Option): If price breaks above resistance, wait for a pullback and retest of the 0.84500 - 0.85000 level. If price holds this zone as new support, it strengthens the bullish confirmation. 📉 Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management) ✅ Place a stop-loss just below the support zone (0.82453) to protect capital. ✅ This level is strong because price has bounced off it twice, confirming buyer strength. 🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit) ✅ The projected target is 0.87394, aligning with previous resistance. ✅ This offers a high reward-to-risk ratio (RRR), making the trade worth taking. ⚠️ Risk Management & Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Bias – Price action suggests uptrend continuation after breaking out of the trendline. ✅ Confirmation is Crucial! – Enter only after a clear breakout and retest. ✅ Watch for Fakeouts – If price fails to hold above the neckline, it could be a false breakout. ✅ Fundamental Factors – Keep an eye on economic data and central bank policies (ECB & BoE) that may impact the GBP & EUR. 📢 Final Thoughts – Why This Trade is High-Probability 🚀 Double Bottom + Trendline Breakout = Strong Bullish Signal 🚀 Neckline Breakout Above 0.85000 = Confirmation of Trend Reversal 🚀 Targeting 0.87394 with a Favorable Risk-Reward Setup If price successfully breaks and holds above resistance, we could see a strong rally toward 0.87394 in the coming weeks. 📌 Monitor price action carefully and wait for confirmation before entering the trade. 🔔 Like & Follow for More Trading Setups! 🚀📈
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📌 Overview This 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) presents a textbook Rising Wedge pattern, which is known as a bearish reversal signal. The price was in a strong uptrend but started showing signs of buyer exhaustion, leading to a breakdown from the wedge formation. The chart clearly identifies: ✅ A Rising Wedge formation ✅ Resistance Level where price faced multiple rejections ✅ Breakdown Confirmation and shift in trend direction ✅ Projected Target & Stop Loss Zones This setup suggests a strong potential for further downside movement in silver prices. Now, let’s break it down step by step like a professional trader. 🔹 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown 1️⃣ Rising Wedge Pattern – The Bearish Setup The Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price action moves higher within two converging trendlines. The slope of the lower trendline is steeper than the upper trendline, meaning that buyers are getting weaker. This pattern suggests that even though the price is rising, bullish momentum is fading. Once the price breaks below the wedge, it confirms a bearish trend. 🔸 Characteristics of this Wedge: 📌 Multiple Higher Highs & Higher Lows – But with decreasing strength 📌 Narrowing Price Action – Indicates weaker buying power 📌 Breakdown Below Support Line – Confirms the bearish move 2️⃣ Resistance Level – Key Price Rejection Zone The price tested the Resistance Level multiple times before breaking down. This area is where sellers overpowered buyers, preventing further upside movement. The resistance zone was a liquidity area, meaning large institutional traders likely placed sell orders here. The price attempted to push higher but failed, showing that demand was exhausted. Once rejection happened, selling pressure increased, and the breakdown followed. 3️⃣ Breakdown Confirmation – Bearish Momentum Kicks In After the wedge broke down, the price started moving in a structured downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that the breakdown was valid and that the trend has shifted. 🔹 Signs of Breakdown Strength: ✅ Strong Bearish Candles – Indicating aggressive selling ✅ No Immediate Recovery – Suggests sellers are in control ✅ Lower Highs Forming – Bearish trend structure confirmed 4️⃣ Risk Management – Stop Loss & Target Zones A well-planned trade must include a Stop Loss and a Target to manage risk effectively. 📌 Stop Loss Placement (33.95) Placing a Stop Loss just above the resistance level protects against false breakouts. If the price goes back above 33.95, it would invalidate the bearish setup. 📌 Profit Target (31.96) The target is based on the measured move projection, meaning the expected price drop is equal to the height of the wedge at its widest point. If the price reaches 31.96, traders can lock in profits. 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade. 5️⃣ Expected Price Movement – Bearish Outlook From here, we can expect the following price movement: 📉 Scenario 1: Continuation of Downtrend (High Probability) The price will likely form lower highs and lower lows on its way to 31.96. Each small rally should be met with selling pressure. 📈 Scenario 2: False Breakdown (Low Probability but Possible) If the price moves back above 33.95, the wedge breakdown will be invalid. This could lead to a bullish reversal instead. 6️⃣ Final Thoughts – How to Trade This Setup? This Rising Wedge Breakdown provides an excellent short-selling opportunity. Here’s how a professional trader would approach it: ✅ 🔹 Entry Strategy: Short after a retest of the broken wedge support Confirmation of lower highs ensures trend continuation ✅ 🔹 Risk Management: Place Stop Loss above 33.95 Take profits around 31.96 ✅ 🔹 Confirmation Signals to Watch: Lower highs forming after breakdown Increased selling volume on bearish candles Price respecting the downtrend structure 🔔 Conclusion – Bearish Bias Confirmed 🔻 Trend Shift: The breakdown signals a potential trend reversal in silver. 🔻 Bearish Targets: The price is expected to fall toward 31.96 in the coming sessions. 🔻 High-Probability Trade: Strong technical reasons support a bearish outlook. 🚨 Watch for further confirmations and manage risk effectively! 📊💰
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD Technical Analysis - Head & Shoulder Chart Bearish Move1️⃣ Chart Type & Timeframe: Market: Japanese Yen (JPY) / U.S. Dollar (USD) Timeframe: 1-hour chart (H1) Platform: TradingView This is an intraday chart used by traders to identify short-term price action and trend reversals. 2️⃣ Identifying the Key Chart Pattern – Head & Shoulders The dominant pattern on this chart is the Head & Shoulders (H&S), a well-known bearish reversal signal that forms after an uptrend. Let’s break it down: A. Formation of the Pattern Left Shoulder: The price forms a peak, then retraces down to a support level. Head: A higher peak is formed, followed by another decline, indicating buyers are losing control. Right Shoulder: The price attempts another rise but fails to reach the previous high, showing bearish momentum is increasing. B. Neckline & Trendline Support The neckline acts as a key support level. A break below it confirms the bearish move. The trendline, which has been supporting price action for a while, is also at risk of breaking. 3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Level (0.006750 - 0.006819): This is the previous high area where sellers are active. A stop-loss is placed above this level. Support Level (0.006567 - 0.006468): Key demand zones where buyers may step in. These are the take profit (TP) levels. 4️⃣ Price Action & Expected Movement 📉 Bearish Outlook – A potential breakdown from the neckline and trendline would confirm further downside. If price breaks the trendline, a pullback to retest resistance is expected before dropping further. Take Profit (TP) 1: 0.006567 – Minor support, possible bounce. Take Profit (TP) 2: 0.006468 – Stronger support, deeper correction possible. 🚨 Stop Loss: Above 0.006819, just beyond the right shoulder and all-time high (ATH). 5️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution 💡 Entry Strategy: Sell Breakout Entry: Short the market when the neckline/trendline is broken with strong volume. Retest Confirmation: Wait for a pullback to the broken trendline and enter when price rejects it. 📌 Risk Management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher for an optimal setup. Use trailing stop-loss to secure profits if TP1 is hit. 6️⃣ Market Psychology & Smart Money Behavior The Head & Shoulders pattern reflects buyer exhaustion and increased seller strength. Smart money often enters after the breakdown when weak hands get stopped out. Conclusion: Trade with Confidence! This chart presents a high-probability bearish trading opportunity based on a textbook Head & Shoulders formation, support/resistance dynamics, and trendline analysis. A disciplined approach with risk management will ensure better execution. 📉 Final Verdict: Bearish Breakdown Expected – Sell the Retest! 🔥 Tags for TradingView Idea: #JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishReversal #SmartMoney #PriceAction #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #TrendlineBreak
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Professional AnalysisBitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity. This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup. 1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge Formation of the Rising Wedge The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape. The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure. As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control. The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion. The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon. Why This Pattern is Bearish The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off. A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure. If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated. Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone This support level has held strong multiple times. If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling. Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts. This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs. Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point. This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in. 3. Trading Setup & Strategy Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup 📌 Entry: Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance. Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation. 📌 Stop Loss: Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance. This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts. 📌 Take Profit: First target: $78,000 (psychological support). Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target). Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade ✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown. ✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum. ✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside. 4. Risk Management & Considerations Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable. Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action. Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering. 5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook? Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios: 🚨 Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies? If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case: ✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+. ✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal. 🔹 In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades. 6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary 📊 Current Bias: Bearish 📉 🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected) 🔹 Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation 🔹 Stop Loss: Above $88,062 🔹 Target: $75,718 Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts. 📢 Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Market Recap And Next Weeks Plan📉 Market Recap & Next Week’s Plan Last week, we saw GBP/USD make a bullish push early in the week, forming a high on Wednesday before reversing and breaking structure on the 4H time frame. Key levels of 1.29512 and 1.29105 were taken out, signaling a potential shift towards a bearish move. Next Week’s Expectations I’m anticipating a retracement before continuation, and I’ll be watching for selling opportunities at key levels. 📍 Potential Sell Zones: 🔹 1.29622 (High-interest POI, higher probability of forming) 🔹 1.29794 🔹 1.29893 📍 Potential Buy Zone (If Market Drops Further): 🔹 1.28848 Overall Bias: 📉 Bearish – I’ll be focused on selling opportunities unless the market structure shifts significantly. Patience is key. Let’s see how the market develops this week. 💬 What’s your bias for next week? Let me know in the comments. 👇 #ForexTrading #MarketOutlook #GBPUSD #TradingPlan
by CARVAH
#VICUSDT shows signs of reversal and strength📉 LONG BYBIT:VICUSDT.P from $0.2507 🛡 Stop loss $0.2470 🕒 1H Timeframe 📍 Important Note: Wait for confirmation around the $0.2507 level. Enter the trade only if price holds above with volume. ✅ Overview BYBIT:VICUSDT.P : ➡️ The chart shows a completed Falling Wedge — a bullish reversal pattern that typically leads to an upside breakout. ➡️ After that, a Bearish Pennant formed but failed to push the price significantly lower, indicating weakness in sellers. ➡️ Currently, the price is breaking out of the triangle pattern, hinting at a possible bullish continuation. ➡️ Entry level marked at $0.2507, right after the breakout zone, supported by steady volume and short-term uptrend. ➡️ Volume Profile on the left reveals a low-volume zone above, making it easier for price to climb toward TP targets. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.2525 💎 TP 2: $0.2545 💎 TP 3: $0.2565 ⚡ Plan: ➡️ Monitor price reaction at TP1 — partial exit recommended. ➡️ Watch for confirmation above $0.2507. ➡️ Enter LONG after retest and volume confirmation. ➡️ Set stop loss below recent low — at $0.2470. 🚀 BYBIT:VICUSDT.P shows signs of reversal and strength — holding above the breakout zone could lead to upside movement!
Long
by MoriartyTrading
Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Breakdown in Bearish Move🔍 Overview of the Chart & Market Context This 15-minute Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart shows the formation of a classic Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. This pattern often indicates that buying momentum is weakening, and a significant price decline may follow. Gold has been in a strong uptrend before forming this structure. However, after reaching a resistance zone at an all-time high (ATH), the market has failed to sustain its bullish momentum. The rejection from this level and the break of the neckline (support level) suggest that sellers are gaining control, leading to a potential bearish breakdown toward the downside target. This setup provides a high-probability shorting opportunity if price action follows through with the bearish structure. Let’s analyze the different elements in detail. 📊 Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern in Detail The Head & Shoulders is a well-known reversal pattern, and in this case, it forms at the top of an uptrend, indicating a shift in market sentiment. The key components of this pattern in the chart are: 1️⃣ Left Shoulder Price made an initial rally, then faced rejection at a resistance level. A retracement occurred, forming a swing low, which became part of the neckline support. 2️⃣ Head Buyers attempted another push, creating a higher high. However, the rally was unsustainable, as sellers pushed the price back down toward the neckline. This forms the peak of the structure, marking the highest point before the reversal. 3️⃣ Right Shoulder Another rally followed, but this time, buyers lacked strength. The price failed to break the previous high (head level) and reversed downward. This indicated that selling pressure was increasing, forming the right shoulder. 4️⃣ Neckline (Support Level) This is the most critical level in this setup. It connects the swing lows between the left shoulder and right shoulder. Once the price breaks below this trendline support, the pattern is confirmed, triggering a bearish move. 📌 Key Technical Levels Identified 🔵 Resistance Level (+ ATH – All-Time High) The blue box represents the strong resistance zone where gold faced rejection multiple times. This level acted as a supply zone, preventing further bullish continuation. 📉 Neckline & Support Level This trendline support (dotted black line) connected the lows between the left and right shoulders. A clean break and retest of this level signal further downside movement. 🚨 Stop Loss Level ($3,048.777) The ideal stop-loss placement is above the right shoulder to prevent getting stopped out by market noise. If the price reclaims this level, it could invalidate the bearish thesis. 🎯 Target Level ($2,989.544) The target is based on the measured move, calculated by taking the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward. If the breakdown plays out successfully, we could see a move toward $2,989.544 or even lower. 📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Trade Setup 🔴 Short Trade Entry Sell Entry: On the break & retest of the neckline (support turning into resistance). Confirmation: A strong bearish candlestick (e.g., engulfing pattern) below the neckline. 🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management) SL Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048.777) to prevent false breakouts. Reason: If price moves above this level, the pattern gets invalidated. 🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit) Target Level: $2,989.544, based on the measured move. Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 RR ratio, ensuring a profitable setup. 📌 Confirmation Signals for Stronger Conviction For higher probability, traders should look for additional confirmations before entering the short position: ✔ Neckline Retest: After breaking below the neckline, price retests it as resistance before dropping further. ✔ Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Engulfing candles, shooting stars, or rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure. ✔ Increased Volume on Breakdown: A spike in volume on the breakdown confirms strong market participation. ✔ RSI Divergence: A bearish divergence between price and RSI may signal trend exhaustion. 📉 Expected Price Action: What’s Next? Based on this setup, if the bearish structure plays out as expected: 1️⃣ Price will retest the neckline as new resistance. 2️⃣ Sellers will step in, pushing the price lower. 3️⃣ Gold will continue downward toward the $2,989 support level. 4️⃣ If strong selling continues, price may drop even further beyond the target zone. However, if price closes back above the right shoulder, the bearish setup gets invalidated, and traders should exit the short position immediately. 📌 Final Thoughts & Summary Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal) Market Bias: Bearish Entry Trigger: Break & retest of the neckline Stop-Loss Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048) Take-Profit Target: $2,989 Risk Management: Ensure a minimum 1:2 RR ratio 📉 Conclusion: Gold is showing signs of bearish exhaustion after forming a Head & Shoulders pattern. A confirmed break below the neckline suggests that the price may continue its downward trajectory. Traders should wait for a proper retest before entering, use strict risk management, and monitor key technical indicators for confirmation. Would you like me to provide an alternative trading plan if the price reverses? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
USDCHF: Bullish Outlook Explained 🇺🇸🇨🇭 USDCHF looks bullish after a test of the underlined blue support. The price formed a double bottom on that and broke its neckline on Friday. We see a positive bullish reaction to that after its retest. I think that the market will continue rising and reach at least 0.885 resistance. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
2
GBP/USD Breaks Rising Channel – Bearish Target Ahead!Key Observations: Rising Channel: The price was trading within an ascending channel, bouncing between resistance and support. Breakout & Sell Signal: The price has broken below the channel support, indicating a potential trend reversal. Bearish Target: The next key support level is around 1.27024, aligning with a previous demand zone. Confirmation: If the price stays below 1.29165, further downside movement is likely. Trading Idea: Short Entry: After confirmation of a breakdown below support. Target: 1.27024 (next major support level). Stop Loss: Above 1.30127 (previous resistance). This setup suggests bearish momentum as long as the price remains below the broken support. Traders should watch for retests and volume confirmation.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
2
EUR/JPY Trading Setup – Falling Wedge Breakout Potential1. Overview of the Market Structure The EUR/JPY daily chart presents a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal setup. This pattern has been forming for several months, indicating that the price has been consolidating within a narrowing range. The falling wedge typically suggests that selling pressure is weakening, and a potential breakout to the upside could follow. The chart also highlights key support and resistance zones, along with a well-defined trading setup based on technical confluences. 2. Key Technical Levels Support Level: ~ 155.819 (Marked as Stop Loss) This level has acted as strong support multiple times. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish bias. Resistance Level: ~ 163-164 The price has previously struggled to break above this region. Currently, it is retesting this level after a breakout attempt. Target Levels: 175.246 – This aligns with a previous all-time high zone and a strong resistance level. 179.562 – Marked as the ultimate target, indicating a full breakout potential. 3. Falling Wedge Formation & Breakout Analysis A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that indicates a decrease in selling pressure over time. The price has tested the lower trendline multiple times, showing strong demand at support. Recently, the price broke above the upper wedge trendline, suggesting that a breakout is in progress. However, the breakout needs confirmation in the form of a successful retest at the previous resistance level (~163-164). 4. Retest Confirmation & Trade Setup Retest Scenario: If the price holds above the previous resistance and confirms it as support, the probability of continuation towards 175-179 increases. Entry Strategy: A buy entry can be considered after a successful retest with bullish price action confirmation. Stop-Loss Placement: Below 155.819 (previous strong support). Risk-Reward Ratio: The target offers a strong risk-reward ratio if the breakout holds. 5. Market Sentiment & Volume Analysis The previous downward move showed declining bearish momentum, further confirming the validity of the falling wedge. A volume increase on the breakout would provide additional confirmation. If the price consolidates near the breakout zone with low volatility, a strong move upward could follow. Final Conclusion: Bullish Breakout in Progress The falling wedge breakout suggests that EUR/JPY is poised for further upside. A successful retest at 163-164 could push the price towards 175.246 and ultimately 179.562. Risk management is crucial, and a stop-loss below 155.819 is recommended to avoid invalidation of the setup. This setup presents a high-probability trading opportunity, but confirmation through price action and volume analysis remains key. Key Trading Plan Summary: 📌 Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish) 📌 Breakout Confirmation: Yes, but retesting is ongoing 📌 Entry Point: Above 163-164 after successful retest 📌 Stop Loss: Below 155.819 📌 Target Levels: 175.246, then 179.562 📌 Risk-Reward: Favorable if breakout sustains Would you like any refinements or a more concise version for your TradingView post? 🚀📈
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveThis EUR/GBP chart on the 1-hour timeframe showcases a well-defined symmetrical triangle formation, a widely recognized pattern in technical analysis that signals potential breakout opportunities. The price action has respected the converging trendlines, indicating consolidation before a decisive move. Recently, the market has broken below the support zone, confirming a bearish breakdown and providing a strong signal for potential downside movement. This analysis will cover pattern formation, key technical levels, trading strategy, risk management, and future market outlook to provide a comprehensive professional breakdown of this setup. 1. Chart Pattern Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Formation A symmetrical triangle consists of two converging trendlines that squeeze price action into a narrowing range, reflecting market indecision. This pattern is considered a continuation pattern, meaning that the price is likely to continue in the direction of the prevailing trend after the breakout. Pattern Characteristics in This Chart: ✅ Lower Highs: Price fails to break previous peaks, indicating weakening bullish momentum. ✅ Higher Lows: Buyers step in at higher points, preventing aggressive declines. ✅ Volume Decrease: Typical of consolidation within a symmetrical triangle. ✅ Breakout Confirmation: A strong bearish candle broke below the support level, signaling further downside potential. 2. Key Technical Levels & Zones 📌 Resistance Level + All-Time High (ATH) – 0.8421 This level represents the highest point in the pattern, where price faced repeated rejections. It aligns with a historical resistance zone, indicating a strong supply area. A breakout above this level would shift the market to a bullish bias. 📌 Support Level – 0.8379 (Now Acting as Resistance) Previously a key demand zone where buyers defended the price. Price has now broken below this level, confirming it as new resistance in a bearish scenario. A successful retest followed by rejection increases downside confirmation. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement – 0.8421 Located above the upper trendline and recent highs to avoid false breakouts. If price regains this level, the bearish scenario will be invalidated. 📌 Target Zone – 0.82926 (Major Support Area) This is the next strong support level, acting as a potential take-profit zone for short positions. It aligns with a previous price reaction area, making it a logical target for sellers. 3. Trading Setup & Strategy – Bearish Trade Plan The breakdown from the symmetrical triangle structure presents an opportunity to short the pair with a defined risk-to-reward setup. 📌 Entry Strategy: Enter short positions after price breaks and retests the 0.8379 support level as resistance. Confirmation should come from bearish candlestick patterns like engulfing candles or pin bars. 📌 Stop Loss: Placed above 0.8421, above the last swing high, to protect against potential false breakouts. 📌 Take Profit (TP) Target: First TP: 0.8325 (Intermediate support) Final TP: 0.82926 (Major support and key structure level) Alternative Scenario – Bullish Reversal Possibility If price reclaims 0.8379 and closes above it consistently, the bearish breakdown might be a false move. A move above 0.8421 would invalidate the bearish setup, leading to potential bullish momentum. 4. Risk Management & Trade Confirmation ✅ Volume Analysis A significant increase in volume on the breakdown strengthens the bearish outlook. Low volume retests may indicate a weak reversal attempt, favoring continuation downward. ✅ Bearish Price Action Confirmation Lower highs and consistent lower lows reinforce a bearish sentiment. Rejections from the broken support (now resistance) validate the trade setup. ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) The Stop-Loss (SL) is tight, and the profit target is significantly larger, making this a high RRR trade. Ideally, a RRR of at least 2:1 or 3:1 should be maintained for proper risk control. 5. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook Bearish Bias Strengths: Trendline break indicates strong downside pressure. Failed attempts to break resistance suggest weakening bulls. Global macroeconomic factors and fundamental catalysts may favor GBP strength over EUR in the near term. Reversal Risks: A strong bullish breakout above 0.8421 would shift momentum to the upside. Fundamental news events (e.g., ECB or BoE statements) can impact market direction unexpectedly. 6. Summary & Conclusion 🔹 The EUR/GBP 1-hour chart has broken below a symmetrical triangle pattern, confirming a bearish breakout. 🔹 Key levels to watch: Resistance at 0.8421, support at 0.82926. 🔹 Trading strategy favors short positions, with a target at 0.82926 and a stop loss at 0.8421. 🔹 Confirmation comes from trendline breaks, volume analysis, and lower highs/lows structure. 📌 Final Verdict: The setup is bearish unless price reclaims 0.8379 and invalidates the structure. Traders should monitor price action, volume, and news events for further confirmations. 🔥 Potential Profit Target: 80-90 Pips 📉 ⚠️ Risk Management is Crucial – Always Use Stop Loss & Proper Position Sizing
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
1
EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Double Top Pattern & Bearish MoveThis EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a clear Double Top pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. The chart displays key technical elements, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, a stop-loss placement, and a take-profit target. Let’s go through an in-depth professional breakdown of this trading setup. 1. Market Structure and Trend Analysis Before identifying the pattern, it’s crucial to analyze the market structure: ✔ The price had been in an uptrend initially, making higher highs and higher lows. ✔ However, the trend began to weaken after hitting resistance at the 1.0950 zone. ✔ This failure to break higher created a double top, which is a strong bearish reversal signal. A double top forms when the price reaches a high twice, fails to break above resistance, and then declines past the neckline (support level), confirming trend reversal. 2. Double Top Pattern Breakdown 🔹 First Peak (Top 1): The price surged upwards, hitting the resistance zone at 1.0950, but faced selling pressure. The rejection resulted in a pullback to the neckline (support level at 1.0800-1.0820). 🔹 Second Peak (Top 2): The price attempted another rally but failed at the same resistance zone, confirming seller dominance. The second rejection suggests a lack of bullish strength, signaling a potential shift in momentum. 🔹 Neckline (Support Breakdown): The key support zone around 1.0800 acted as a pivot level. Once this level was breached, it confirmed bearish continuation. 3. Key Technical Levels & Price Action Signals 🟢 Resistance Level – 1.0950 Zone This level has acted as a strong supply zone where sellers stepped in to push prices lower. The two failed breakout attempts indicate that buyers lost control. 🔵 Support Level (Neckline) – 1.0800-1.0820 Zone Initially, this area provided buyer support, but once broken, it became a resistance level (previous support turns into new resistance). ⚡ Stop-Loss Placement – 1.09190 A well-placed stop-loss above the resistance zone protects against false breakouts. If the price rises above this level, it invalidates the bearish structure. 🎯 Take-Profit Target – 1.06916 The projected target aligns with the measured move (the distance from the resistance to the neckline). The price may find support at this level, where traders should look for a potential reversal or continuation. 4. Confirmation of Bearish Breakdown For a high-confidence short trade, multiple confluences support the bearish bias: ✔ Break & Retest of the Neckline – After breaking support, the price attempted a retest and failed, confirming resistance. ✔ Trendline Break – The trendline supporting the previous uptrend has been decisively broken. ✔ Bearish Price Action – The formation of strong red candles and lower highs suggests sustained selling pressure. ✔ Momentum Shift – Increased bearish volume further confirms the reversal strength. 5. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan ✅ Entry Criteria Sell after the retest rejection at the previous support (now resistance). Look for a strong bearish candle formation as a confirmation signal. 📉 Risk Management Stop-Loss: Placed slightly above 1.09190, ensuring the pattern remains valid. Take-Profit: Target set at 1.06916, aligning with previous structure support. 💰 Risk-Reward Ratio The setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade. 6. Alternative Scenarios & Market Considerations Although the bearish bias is dominant, traders should be prepared for alternative outcomes: 🔸 Fakeout Risk: If price closes above 1.09190, it could indicate a failed breakdown, invalidating the trade. 🔸 Bounce from 1.06916: If the price reaches the target support zone, buyers might step in, leading to a potential reversal. 🔸 Fundamental Influence: News events (such as FOMC, ECB statements, or US inflation data) can increase volatility and impact price direction. 7. Conclusion – A High-Probability Short Trade This Double Top pattern setup presents a textbook bearish reversal, offering an excellent short-selling opportunity. The combination of technical confirmations, price action signals, and a well-structured risk-reward ratio makes this trade highly reliable. Final Takeaways: ✔ Bearish Confirmation – Double Top breakdown with a retest rejection. ✔ Sell Setup Validity – Below 1.0800 support. ✔ Stop-Loss & Target Defined – Risk-controlled strategy execution. 📊 Verdict: Bearish trade setup with downside potential toward 1.06916. Traders should monitor price action for further confirmations! 🚀
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
XAG/USD (Silver) – 1H Technical Analysis & Trade SetupThis analysis presents a high-probability bullish trade setup based on key price action principles, market structure, and technical indicators. The chart illustrates a potential reversal from a support zone, a descending channel breakout, and an overall shift in trend dynamics. 1. Market Structure & Key Price Levels Before placing any trade, it's essential to analyze the bigger picture, including support and resistance levels, trend structure, and liquidity zones. Let's break down the key areas: A. Resistance Area (Supply Zone) – $34.20 to $34.60 This horizontal resistance zone has historically acted as a selling pressure area where price faced rejection. It represents a profit-taking zone for bulls and a possible reversal point for bears. If price successfully breaks and closes above this resistance, it could signal further upside potential. B. Support Level (Demand Zone) – $32.90 to $33.10 The price has consistently bounced from this region, indicating strong buying interest. This level has acted as a demand zone, where institutions or large traders are likely accumulating positions. A strong bullish reaction from this zone strengthens the reversal scenario. C. Change of Character (CHoCH) – Key Structural Shift A Change of Character (CHoCH) is marked on the chart, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend. This is one of the most reliable signals when transitioning from a downtrend to an uptrend. 2. Chart Pattern & Price Action Analysis A. Descending Channel Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern) The market has been forming a descending channel, which is a corrective pattern rather than a continuation pattern. This structure consists of lower highs and lower lows, indicating short-term selling pressure. However, when such a pattern forms near strong support, it often precedes a breakout and trend reversal. A confirmed break above the channel's upper trendline will serve as a bullish breakout signal. B. Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt Consideration Many retail traders place stop-loss orders below the support zone, making it an area of liquidity accumulation. The market may attempt to sweep these stops before moving up, which aligns with institutional trading behavior. If price momentarily dips below the support and then quickly reverses with strong bullish momentum, it confirms a stop hunt and a possible reversal setup. 3. Trading Strategy & Setup To maximize profits while managing risk, we need a well-structured entry, target, and stop-loss strategy. 📌 Entry Strategy Aggressive Entry: Enter a buy position within the support zone ($33.00 - $33.10) if bullish price action (e.g., bullish engulfing candle) confirms buying pressure. Conservative Entry: Wait for a clear breakout from the descending channel’s upper trendline, then buy on a retest. This reduces the risk of a fakeout and provides higher confirmation. 🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit Zones) First Target (TP1) – $34.26 This is a key resistance level where price previously reversed. Partial profit-taking is recommended here to secure gains. Second Target (TP2) – $34.60 If momentum continues, price could reach this extended target. Strong breakout volume would support this move. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL) Placement Stop-loss should be set below the support zone ($32.45). This ensures adequate risk management and avoids premature stop-outs. If price breaks below this level with strong selling volume, the bullish setup is invalidated. 4. Risk Management & Trade Considerations 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): The trade setup offers an RRR of at least 1:3, making it a high-probability trade. 📌 Possible Fakeouts & Confirmation Signals: If price breaks above the descending channel but fails to hold above support, it's a sign of a fake breakout. Watch for strong bullish volume and clear break of previous lower highs before entering long. 📌 Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on economic reports, Federal Reserve speeches, and USD strength, as they heavily influence Silver prices. 5. Conclusion – High-Probability Bullish Setup Descending channel breakout, strong support level, and CHoCH indicate a potential bullish reversal. If buyers successfully defend the support zone, price is likely to target $34.26 – $34.60. Risk management is crucial – waiting for confirmation reduces chances of a failed trade. 🚀 Watch for bullish confirmation before entering!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
CHF/USD Bullish Cup Formation | Support & Breakout Target Pattern Formation: Bullish Cup & Handle Breakout Setup The price action on this CHF/USD 1-hour chart exhibits a Cup & Handle pattern, which is a well-known bullish continuation setup. This pattern suggests that buyers are gradually gaining control and a breakout could be imminent. 1️⃣ Understanding the Cup Formation The cup shape (curved blue line) signifies a gradual accumulation phase, where price initially declined, formed a rounded bottom, and then started recovering. This indicates that buyers are regaining momentum after a consolidation period. The lowest point of the cup formed around March 16, from where the price began a steady upward move. 2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels Support Level: The strong demand zone is established around 1.1300 - 1.1320, as shown by multiple price bounces. Resistance Level & ATH (All-Time High): The price struggled to break 1.1450 - 1.1470, indicating a major resistance zone where sellers previously took control. 3️⃣ Handle Formation & Pullback After reaching resistance, the price formed a slight retracement (small descending wedge), which created the handle of the pattern. The pullback was necessary to clear short-term overbought conditions before a potential breakout attempt. 4️⃣ Trading Strategy & Price Projection 🔹 Entry & Breakout Confirmation If CHF/USD breaks above 1.1450 - 1.1470 with volume confirmation, this will validate the Cup & Handle breakout. A confirmed breakout suggests further upside momentum toward 1.1570 - 1.1600, aligning with the pattern’s measured move. 🔹 Stop-Loss Placement A logical stop-loss should be placed below the handle’s low (~1.1300 - 1.1320), in case of a false breakout or sudden market reversal. 🔹 Target Projection Based on Pattern Measurement The height of the cup (~200 pips from bottom to resistance) is projected upwards from the breakout level. This results in a take-profit target of 1.1575 - 1.1600. 5️⃣ Additional Technical Confluences ✅ Trendline Support: The price is respecting an ascending trendline, indicating continued higher lows and bullish sentiment. ✅ Bullish Momentum: The series of higher lows confirms a strong uptrend, favoring buyers. ✅ Potential Fakeout Risks: A failed breakout below 1.1300 could invalidate the bullish outlook, leading to a deeper retracement. 6️⃣ Final Thoughts: Is This a Good Setup? 📌 Overall Bias: Bullish ✅ 📌 Breakout Confirmation Needed: Above 1.1450 - 1.1470 📌 Target: 1.1570 - 1.1600 🎯 📌 Risk Management: Stop-loss below 1.1300 If CHF/USD sustains momentum above resistance, traders can anticipate a strong bullish rally toward the projected target. However, it’s essential to wait for confirmation before entering long positions. 📈🔥
Long
by GoldMasterTrades