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BURL – Final Wave 5 in Rising Channel, Fake Breakout PossibleBURL has completed a full 5-wave advance within a rising channel, ending in wave (v) of C. Current price is testing the top of the channel with a minor upper wick breakout — a common occurrence in wave (5) tops. Historically, wave (5) often ends with a fake breakout above the channel, followed by a rapid breakdown through the channel base. Price has not yet broken below the lower boundary of the rising structure, which remains the key level for confirmation. The target zone for potential correction lies between $245–250, aligned with prior wave (iv) consolidation and visible support. No trade is valid until a decisive break below the rising channel. As long as the lower bound holds, the structure remains intact. Key Levels: Resistance: $272 (fake breakout zone) Support: Rising channel base (~$267) Bearish Target (after breakdown): $245–250 Conclusion: Watch for confirmation of breakdown. Fake breakouts above channel top are common in wave (5) endings. Entry valid only below lower trendline.
NYSE:BURLShort
by CakirInsights
GBPUSD: The Next Historic Resistances 🇬🇧🇺🇸 GBPUSD keeps rising. Here are the next historic resistance that the price may head towards. Resistance 1: 1.359 - 1.365 area Resistance 2: 1.375 - 1.383 area Resistance 3: 1.390 - 1.400 area Resistance 4: 1.419 - 1.425 area Resistance 1 is most likely going to be the next goal for the bulls for now. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
Silver Steadies as Demand ReturnsSilver (XAG/USD) traded near $33.10 on Friday, rebounding from losses as safe-haven interest returned amid U.S. fiscal concerns. Trump’s proposed tax bill, passed in the House, is expected to increase the deficit by $3.8 billion, adding pressure to the dollar and supporting precious metals. While broader economic and trade uncertainty weighed on industrial metal demand, silver remained supported by strong industrial use. China’s wind and solar capacity surged to nearly 1,500 GW in Q1 2025, with photovoltaic power up by 60 GW. In Europe, solar output rose 30% year-over-year. Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, citing a potential rise in federal debt to 134% of GDP by 2035, further increased silver’s appeal. Key resistance is at $33.80, with further levels at $34.20 and $34.90. Support is found at $32.30, followed by $31.40 and $30.20.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Near $3,300 on Deficit ConcernsGold hovered around $3,300 per ounce, aiming for a weekly gain as demand held firm. Worries over U.S. fiscal health remained front and center following the House’s approval of Trump’s budget plan, which the CBO projects will add nearly $4 trillion to the national debt. Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating due to debt and servicing costs added to concerns. Geopolitical tensions, including the threat of Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and no direct Russia-Ukraine peace talks, also supported gold earlier in the week. Resistance is at $3,370, with further levels at $3,440 and $3,500. Key support begins at $3,250, followed by $3,150 and $3,025.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
GBP/USD Firms as UK Data Performs WellGBP/USD edged up by 0.25% in Friday’s Asian session, nearing 1.3450, after upbeat UK retail sales and consumer confidence data lifted sentiment. The GfK index rose to -20 in May, beating forecasts, while April retail sales surprised to the upside. However, PMI data showed divergence as manufacturing fell to 45.1 (vs. 46.0 expected), while services ticked up to 50.2 from 49.0. The pound also benefited from a weaker U.S. dollar as Treasury yields retreated from 19-month highs. Trump’s budget bill, which includes tax breaks on tips and U.S.-made car loans, passed narrowly and is projected to add $3.8 billion to the deficit. Resistance is at 1.3470, followed by 1.3550 and 1.3700. Key support lies at 1.3250, then 1.3150 and 1.3000.
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Rebounds, Eurozone Data EyedEUR/USD climbed to around 1.1310 during Friday’s Asian session, rebounding as U.S. Treasury yields declined, the 30-year yield slipped from its 19-month high of 5.15%, weighing on the dollar. The recovery follows the House passing Trump’s fiscal bill, which revived deficit worries. Earlier, strong U.S. PMI figures (Composite: 52.1, Manufacturing & Services: 52.3) had briefly strengthened the dollar. Fed Governor Waller hinted at possible rate cuts if tariffs stabilize, while Trump renewed threats of higher tariffs on the EU. On the European front, ECB officials expect inflation to return to near 2% by end-2025, though growth remains subdued. Eurozone PMIs showed services at 48.9 and manufacturing at 49.4. Focus now shifts to Germany’s GDP release. Resistance is at 1.1390, with higher levels at 1.1460 and 1.1580. First support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
by ChartMage
Yen Strengthens on Dollar WeaknessThe Japanese yen firmed to around 143.6 per dollar, heading for a weekly gain of over 1% as inflation data came in stronger than expected. Core inflation surged to 3.5%, its highest in more than two years, while headline inflation held at 3.6%, reinforcing expectations that the BoJ may maintain its tightening stance. The yen also benefited from continued dollar weakness tied to U.S. fiscal worries. Earlier, Japan’s Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato denied discussing exchange rates with U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent at the G7 summit, dismissing rumors of joint currency intervention. USD/JPY faces resistance at 148.60, with further upside levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Key support lies at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
Tesla (TSLA): Daily uptrend support and potential bull flagHey guys/gals, Today, I am showing you the daily chart of Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), which provides an idea of where this stock may be heading next. As you can see, the support trendline from the 21st April low is still well intact. Currently, Tesla is holding this line very well and over the past few days, it's clear that it has also been in consolidation mode. Taking a deeper look, the consolidation period seems to be forming a potential bull flag pattern. Minus the upper wick which could be a price anomaly due to a fake-out, a real actual breakout from the bull flag in combination with a bounce from the support trendline could help Tesla reach $365 as the next resistance point. On the contrary, and it does depend strongly on what the broader market does next (as Tesla is a high beta stock), its flag pattern may not play out and a break below the support line could send the stock all the way to first support at £325. This wholly depends on the wider market. On my other posts, I've made it clear that S&P 500 AMEX:SPY is also forming a flag pattern, with many other indices following suit. Note: Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by michaeldobski
IS THE BULLISH CHANNEL NEARING EXHAUSTION OR JUST GEARING UP?GBPUSD OUTLOOK – IS THE BULLISH CHANNEL NEARING EXHAUSTION OR JUST GEARING UP? 📊 Macro Overview: The USD continues to soften slightly as markets begin pricing in a potential rate cut by the Fed later in Q3. Meanwhile, the British Pound (GBP) is holding firm, supported by stronger-than-expected UK macroeconomic data—particularly retail sales and inflation figures. However, UK fiscal concerns remain a headwind, and GBPUSD is highly sensitive to upcoming U.S. data—especially Core PCE and employment figures this week. 📉 Technical Analysis: On the 1H chart, GBPUSD is moving within a broad ascending channel and is now approaching the upper resistance trendline at 1.3555 – a key zone that could trigger short-term profit-taking. EMAs 13 and 34 are still in bullish alignment, supporting ongoing momentum. Despite the bullish setup, current candle structure suggests a potential pullback to the 1.3448 support zone before a continuation higher—if buyers regain control. 🔑 Key Price Levels: Resistance Zones: 🔸 1.3555 – Channel top resistance 🔸 1.3586 – Extended resistance zone Support Zones: 🔹 1.3448 – Technical and Fibo confluence 🔹 1.3398 – Major structure support in case of breakdown 🛠️ Trade Scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: BUY on retracement Entry: 1.3448 (watch for bullish confirmation on H1) Stop Loss: 1.3394 Take Profit: 1.3500 → 1.3555 → 1.3585 ✅ Scenario 2: SELL scalp from resistance Entry: 1.3555 Stop Loss: 1.3588 Take Profit: 1.3500 → 1.3460 🧠 Final Thoughts: GBPUSD remains bullish in structure but is testing key resistance levels. A clean pullback to the 1.3448 region may provide a strong buying opportunity if confirmed by price action. If this level breaks, bearish divergence could kick in and push the pair back to deeper support zones. Stay alert for high-impact economic releases and trade with solid risk management!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
5
BTCUSDT – Mild Pullback, Support Holds FirmBTCUSDT remains in a clear uptrend with a structure of higher highs and higher lows, after breaking out of a prolonged consolidation pattern since early May. The price has surged from the 106,000 resistance zone and approached the technical target around 112,000 – an area that is currently triggering a slight pullback. At the moment, the support zone around 106,700–107,800 aligns with a demand area and the EMA34, likely serving as a springboard for the next upward move. If BTC continues to consolidate around this zone without breaking below 106,700, the 112,000 level could be breached, paving the way for a move toward higher targets.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
SEI Turns Bullish After A Zig-Zag CorrectionSEI Turns Bullish After A Zig-Zag Correction, as we see it sharply bouncing from projected support that can send the price higher by Elliott wave theory. SEI with ticker SEIUSD is waking up exactly from the channel support line and equality measurement of waves A=C, which is perfect textbook support for subwave (5) of an impulse into wave C of an ABC zig-zag correction. It's actually nicely and impulsively rising for wave 1, so after current wave 2 pullback, be aware of a bullish continuation within wave 3 of a five-wave bullish cycle, especially if breaks above 0.30 first bullish evidence level. Sei (SEI) is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain designed specifically for decentralized finance (DeFi) and decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Launched in August 2023 by Sei Labs, it features innovations like Twin-Turbo Consensus for fast block finality, Optimistic Parallelization for high throughput, and SeiDB for efficient transaction handling. It supports EVM compatibility, enabling seamless deployment of Ethereum-based apps. The SEI token is used for transaction fees, staking, governance, and liquidity.
CRYPTO:SEIUSDLong
by ew-forecast
GOLD XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 23 IS GOLD READY TO SURGE AGAIN?GOLD XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 23 | GEOPOLITICAL RISKS FLARE UP – IS GOLD READY TO SURGE AGAIN? 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: Iran-Israel-US Tension: Iran has warned that if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities, the U.S. will also be held responsible. Tehran vows to take “special measures” to protect its nuclear program, and has filed formal complaints with the UN. Markets are reacting sharply to this growing geopolitical risk. Goldman Sachs Alert: Goldman Sachs recommends gold and crypto (Bitcoin) as safe-haven assets amidst soaring bond yields, fiscal crisis fears, and a failed 20-year U.S. Treasury auction. They warn that rising yields are now posing serious threats to equities while the dollar faces longer-term pressure. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (M30): Price has bounced off the 3303 zone, and is showing signs of a bullish breakout if 3360 is taken out. There is a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) above 3360–3380, which has yet to be fully filled. Below, the untested FVG zone near 3274–3250 remains vulnerable if support fails. EMA 13 is trending above EMA 34 and EMA 200 → bullish bias remains valid as long as 3274 holds. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: SELL Side Key Level: 3358–3360 → A breakout above this zone could lead to a retest of ATH near 3400–3450. BUY Side Key Level: 3276–3274 → Losing this zone could push gold back below 3200, targeting deeper correction levels. 📈 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TPs: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TPs: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TPs: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TPs: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🧠 FINAL THOUGHTS: Gold remains highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines and macro instability. As long as the 3303 support area holds, look for bullish continuation towards FVG highs. Break below 3274 may shift the bias sharply to the downside. Stay alert — volatility is expected to rise ahead of the next U.S. data and developments in the Iran nuclear issue.GOLD XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 23 | GEOPOLITICAL RISKS FLARE UP – IS GOLD READY TO SURGE AGAIN? 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: Iran-Israel-US Tension: Iran has warned that if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities, the U.S. will also be held responsible. Tehran vows to take “special measures” to protect its nuclear program, and has filed formal complaints with the UN. Markets are reacting sharply to this growing geopolitical risk. Goldman Sachs Alert: Goldman Sachs recommends gold and crypto (Bitcoin) as safe-haven assets amidst soaring bond yields, fiscal crisis fears, and a failed 20-year U.S. Treasury auction. They warn that rising yields are now posing serious threats to equities while the dollar faces longer-term pressure. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (M30): Price has bounced off the 3303 zone, and is showing signs of a bullish breakout if 3360 is taken out. There is a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) above 3360–3380, which has yet to be fully filled. Below, the untested FVG zone near 3274–3250 remains vulnerable if support fails. EMA 13 is trending above EMA 34 and EMA 200 → bullish bias remains valid as long as 3274 holds. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: SELL Side Key Level: 3358–3360 → A breakout above this zone could lead to a retest of ATH near 3400–3450. BUY Side Key Level: 3276–3274 → Losing this zone could push gold back below 3200, targeting deeper correction levels. 📈 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TPs: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TPs: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TPs: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TPs: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🧠 FINAL THOUGHTS: Gold remains highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines and macro instability. As long as the 3303 support area holds, look for bullish continuation towards FVG highs. Break below 3274 may shift the bias sharply to the downside. Stay alert — volatility is expected to rise ahead of the next U.S. data and developments in the Iran nuclear issue.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
3
GBPUSD – False Breakout Alert at Channel TopOn the D1 timeframe, GBPUSD continues to maintain a clear bullish structure within an ascending price channel, with steadily rising highs and lows. Currently, price is approaching the resistance zone near 1.35919 — which is the upper boundary of the channel and also a zone that previously saw strong reactions. As illustrated in the chart, a likely scenario is a false breakout above this zone, followed by a pullback towards the support area at 1.33270–1.32500 to retest the EMA34 region. If this support holds, price could bounce back in line with the upward channel structure, opening the door to the next target zone.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Gold (XAUUSD) Long Setup – Targeting Fresh Highs Bullish Move📊 Chart Breakdown & Market Context: This 30-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) shows a strong bullish price structure that is currently forming higher lows while respecting dynamic trendline support. The chart illustrates demand and supply transfers, which are pivotal concepts in price action trading. Let’s explore the technical reasoning behind this trade setup: 🔄 1. Demand & Supply Shift Zones: Demand Transferred: Initially, price consolidated within the blue elliptical region. This area saw aggressive bullish pressure that pushed price upward, confirming the presence of institutional demand. As the market progressed, this demand shifted higher — now located at the most recent zone where price bounced after a pullback. Supply Transferred : A major bearish reaction zone was taken out after the market absorbed selling pressure. This suggests that sellers are no longer in control and demand is rebalancing in favor of buyers. 📈 2. Bullish Structure Confirmation: After the pullback on May 22, price formed a higher low, perfectly aligned with both the new demand zone and the ascending trendline support. This confirms that buyers are defending this area. The price is currently pushing upward from this demand, signaling a potential bullish continuation. The 50% equilibrium level of the recent bearish leg is being tested. A clean break and close above this level would confirm buyers’ dominance and could invite momentum trading interest. 🔵 3. Entry, Targets & Stop-Loss Plan: ✅ Entry: Entry is ideal from the current price region near 3,313 (or on minor retracement, maintaining RR). 🎯 Take Profit Zones: TP1 (~3,336): This is just above the 50% level and near the previous swing high. Partial take-profit here is wise in case price consolidates. TP2 (~3,360): Located at the upper resistance zone, marking the potential target if bullish momentum continues. ❌ Stop-Loss: SL: 3,287.891 — placed below the recent higher low and below the demand zone. This protects the trade from deeper pullbacks or breakdowns below structural support. 📉 4. Risk Management & Trade Psychology: Maintain a Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) of at least 1:2 to ensure profitable expectancy. Avoid over-leveraging, as we are trading near a key resistance zone (50% area). Watch for volume confirmation or strong bullish candles before fully committing to the trade. Use a trailing stop once TP1 is hit to secure profits toward TP2. ⚠️ 5. Key Considerations Before Execution: Monitor any macroeconomic events (e.g., Fed announcements, CPI/PPI, NFP) that may impact gold volatility. Check DXY (Dollar Index) — if the dollar weakens, gold will likely strengthen further. Volume behavior around the 50% zone will indicate breakout vs rejection. 🧠 Summary for Minds Section: Gold shows a clear higher-low structure supported by trendline and demand transfer. Buyers absorbed supply; now building momentum toward upper resistance zones. Entry near 3,313, SL under 3,288, TP1 ~3,336, TP2 ~3,360. Trend remains bullish unless trendline and demand zone are broken. 💡 Educational Takeaway: Watch for demand/supply shifts and trendline confirmations. This setup is a textbook example of structural continuation supported by market psychology and price action zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
3
USDJPY – The downtrend continues, channel still leads the wayLooking at the D1 chart, USDJPY remains firmly within the descending channel that has persisted since the end of 2024. Every time the price approaches the upper boundary of the channel, selling pressure reappears – and the recent touch around the 147.012 area is no exception. After being rejected at this strong resistance zone, the price has turned lower and is now forming a pullback structure within the prevailing trend. EMA34 and EMA89 continue to slope downward, reinforcing the bearish momentum. If the price gets rejected again around the 145–146 region, the correction pattern may complete, opening up room for a drop toward the support zone at 142.343, or even deeper toward the channel bottom near 137.168. In summary, the primary trend remains bearish – and the preferred strategy now is "sell on rally" when the price nears the upper resistance of the channel. Patience and watching for price action will be key.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – Consolidation below trendline hints at breakout aheadHello traders! EURUSD is currently forming a rather interesting consolidation pattern right below the descending trendline – a level that has rejected price twice in the past. After a mild pullback from the 1.1382 zone, price has quickly recovered and is now hovering around the EMA34 and EMA89. This is an important confluence area and is acting as short-term support around 1.1263. If EURUSD continues to hold above this support and forms sideways accumulation, the probability of a trendline breakout will increase. In that case, the next target will likely be the previous high at 1.1382. U.S. bond yields are fluctuating sharply, and geopolitical tensions – such as trade uncertainty or regional instability – may serve as catalysts that support the euro. Keep an eye on the breakout zone – if price breaks out decisively, it could be a strong confirmation of a new bullish trend!
Long
by Rocky_trade_
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(23/05/2025)Today, Bank Nifty is expected to open flat. If after opening it starts trading and sustains below the 54950–54900 zone, then a downside move toward 54750, 54650, and 54550 is possible. Further breakdown below 54450 could lead to extended downside targets at 54250, 54150, and 54050 levels. On the upside, if Bank Nifty sustains above the 55050–55100 zone, it may trigger a bullish rally toward 55250, 55350, and 55450+. However, 55450 remains a strong resistance zone and any bullish move may reverse from there.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
After a sudden drop, is gold "loading up" for a breakout?Hey everyone! At the start of today’s Asian session, gold is moving sideways around the $3,300 level, following yesterday’s sharp swing. Looking back, the price had climbed for three consecutive sessions earlier this week, then suddenly spiked to a two-week high of $3,345 during the Asian session on Thursday—only to quickly drop and close near $3,294. This sharp reversal reflects the ongoing tug-of-war between a strengthening US dollar, volatile US bond yields, and unstable geopolitical factors. However, on the 4H chart, the bullish structure still holds, with price currently retesting the support zone around the EMA34. Key price scenarios to watch: If the support area around $3,214 holds → gold could bounce back toward the $3,345 region. On the other hand, if $3,214 breaks → the bullish scenario will be temporarily invalidated and gold might revisit a deeper accumulation zone. Right now, watching the price reaction around yesterday’s low is crucial—this could be the key to catching the next wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 23, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 23, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇬🇧 Global Bond Yields Signal Rising Term Premium Long-dated government bond yields in the U.S., U.K., and Japan surged, with the U.S. 30-year Treasury yield touching 5.09%, as investors demand higher compensation for locking in funds amid mounting debt and inflation risks 🏗️ Komatsu Sees Tariff Relief Komatsu’s CEO says a recent U.S.–China trade truce may cut the company’s tariff hit by $140 million, easing cost pressures on its U.S. operations and brightening machinery sector outlook 📉 U.S. Stocks End Flat as Yields Ease Wall Street closed little changed, with the S&P 500 and Dow finishing flat and the Nasdaq up 0.3%, after Treasury yields retreated slightly following recent spikes 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, May 23: 🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) Reports the number of newly signed contracts for single-family homes, a direct gauge of housing demand and consumer confidence. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
S&P 500: Consolidating & forming bull flag on support trendlineSo, we all know that the market is taking a breather, and the past week has been mostly flat (kind of). There have been plenty of headlines, some good, some bad. Most notably, the news about the Moody's US credit downgrade. I woke up one morning, took a look at LinkedIn and saw all the CFA-certified investing experts expecting a massive game-changing moment, potentially a market crash. Except, the market hasn't responded so negatively. In fact, I'd say that while long-term yields have been rising, the market has been doing its own thing . For instance, taking a look at the daily chart of the S&P 500 paints a different picture of the doom and gloom that I've been hearing ALL weekend and ALL week long. As you can see, the index is currently sitting on the daily support trendline which goes back to the 7th April low. On that trendline, taking a closer look, it seems the flat price action has been forming a bull flag. It's quite narrow and tight. But it certainly is a fine-looking bull flag. And a break above that would take the S&P 500 even higher. This would also likely have a positive effect on other indices. Furthermore, it might be worth keeping an eye on the big S&P 500 stocks that are high-beta and like to follow the market. So, to my point about how the market has been doing its own thing...seems that the Moody's downgrade could have possibly been already priced-in. I could be wrong, of course, as markets are still quite volatile and fragile to any sort of macro and global developments about trade and conflicts around the world. Thank you for reading. Note: not financial advice
SP:SPXLong
by michaeldobski