XAUUSDOver the past week, spot gold prices (XAU/USD) have shown little significant movement, continuing to trade sideways within the narrow range of 2613 to 2656. Market sentiment has weakened following U.S. President Donald Trump's threats to impose tariffs on certain countries. Despite the Nonfarm Payrolls report bolstering the U.S. dollar, investor sentiment remains cautious, with focus shifting to the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut on December 19. Interestingly, the dollar's upward momentum mirrors gold's movements, reflecting a unique dynamic in the current market environment.
Technical Analysis
On the H4 timeframe, gold prices remain trapped in a sideways channel. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are moving in parallel and remain close together, indicating that the price is likely to continue ranging within this zone in the short term. This week, the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is a critical event that could act as a catalyst for breaking out of this sideways pattern. If the price breaks out, gold could either rally or fall further to key support levels at 2593-2595 and potentially deeper to 2540-2545.
Key Levels to Watch
BUY : 2610 - 2615 ; 2592 - 2594
SELL: 2660 - 2665 ; 2680 - 2685
Specific Trade Strategy
XAU/USD SELL Zone: 2654 - 2656
Stop Loss (SL): 2659
Take Profit (TP): 2652 - 2649
Given the current sideways trend, it is advisable to wait patiently for prices to reach clearly defined support or resistance zones to maximize the risk-reward ratio. Additionally, closely monitoring this week’s CPI release will help refine strategies as the market reacts to new data.
Wishing everyone a productive and successful trading day!
Technical Analysis
GBP/USD → Breaks Out, Eyes New Trend Target Around 1.300Hello everyone, Ben here!
The GBP/USD pair has found an opportunity to recover as a breakout from the previous parallel channel around the 1.271 region takes shape amid the dollar's ongoing correction. Key levels of interest are now set around the 1.300 area, with market sentiment cautiously optimistic.
A notable test of the intermediate low near the 1.248 mark was followed by an impressive reversal pattern, suggesting a bullish shift in momentum. Theoretically, the outlook leans toward further upside. However, the bigger question remains: How sustainable is this rally? The answer primarily lies in the trajectory of the U.S. dollar.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is currently pricing in a 71.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. This scenario implies increased downside pressure on the USD, potentially opening the door for a moderate recovery in other currencies, including the pound.
From a technical perspective, the channel breakout provides a promising bullish signal, potentially setting the stage for a stronger upward move. However, traders appear cautious, waiting for further confirmation. If a false breakout above resistance occurs and the price falls below 1.271, a move back toward 1.240 could be on the horizon. For now, though, the mid-term outlook hints at a gradual climb from 1.275 to the psychological level of 1.300, supported by positive technical signals.
What are your thoughts on the current dynamics of GBP/USD? Share your insights, questions, or observations—let’s analyze this fascinating setup together!
USOUSD (OIL), key support remains in play Thanks for checking our latest update. Today we are looking at oil on its daily chart.
The key questions we are asking today from a technical perspective are: Will we see key support continue to hold, and will the rough looking ending diagonal pattern confirm, setting off a new rally? Or could sellers finally break the discussed key support area, setting off a new leg lower?
Key support: $67 - $66.50.
As always, traders must remain vigilant and stay abreast of the latest updates from OPEC and geopolitical influences, as these factors can significantly impact the market.
Good trading from Eightcap.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 09/12/2024Gap up opening expected in nifty above 24750 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24800 level then possible strong upside rally in nifty upto 25000 level in today's session. 24550 to 24750 range is consolidation zone for nifty any major downside only expected below 24500 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(09/12/2024)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 53550 level then possible upside rally upto 53950 level and this bullish rally can be extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty starts trading above 54050 level. Any major downside rally only expected below 53450 level.
USDT.D UpdateCup and Handle Pattern Identified Early
We successfully spotted the Cup and Handle pattern from the beginning, and the price moved exactly as outlined in my previous analysis .
However, I may have forgotten to highlight an important point: there’s a rejection zone (Order Block) where the price is expected to bounce slightly. But don’t worry—this order block is not strong enough to sustain a significant reversal.
The price will likely rise a bit before continuing its movement. So, don’t panic if you see your assets dropping today. This is simply the natural flow of the market. Prepare for further downward pressure as the dominance of the dollar strengthens.
NZDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD fora selling opportunity around 0.83200 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPCAD Analysis - Bearish - Trade 06GBPCAD Analysis Overview
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1. Seasonality
GBP: Seasonality indicates a **sell** signal for GBP in the first week of December.
CAD: Seasonality suggests a **strong buy** signal for CAD.
Seasonality Bias: Sell GBPCAD
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2. COT Report
GBP:
COT RSI: 52 weeks at 30%, 26 and 13 weeks at bottom.
COT Index: 3-year at 50%, 1-year at 30%, indicating weak positioning for GBP.
Net Non-Commercial: Decreasing, showing a bearish sentiment.
CAD:
COT RSI: 52, 26, and 13 weeks at 20% and increasing, showing bullish momentum.
COT Index: 3-year and 1-year at 20% and increasing, aligning with a buy sentiment.
Net Non-Commercial: Increasing, with a positive bias.
COT Bias: Sell GBPCAD.
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3. Fundamental Analysis
Leading Economic Indicators:
GBP: Decreasing, signaling economic weakness.
CAD: Increasing, pointing to economic strength.
Endogenous Factors:
GBP: Decreasing, aligning with a sell sentiment.
CAD: Increasing, further supporting a buy stance.
Exogenous Factors:
GBPCAD exogenous signal indicates a buy CAD, sell GBP sentiment.
Fundamental Bias: Sell GBPCAD.
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4. Technical Analysis
RSI Divergence: Bearish divergence identified, indicating potential downside movement.
Breakout Indicator: A red arrow confirms bearish momentum on key breakout levels.
Resistance Zone: Price is currently at a strong resistance zone, showing rejection patterns.
Technical Bias: Sell GBPCAD.
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Final Bias: Sell GBPCAD
The alignment across seasonality, COT data, fundamental indicators, and technical analysis strongly supports a sell setup for GBPCAD.
TradeCityPro | RUNEUSDT The Best Opportunity of the Week👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze another cryptocurrency in detail, as the market is relatively calm right now, providing the perfect time to review and align our triggers.
🌍 Market Overview
As always, let’s start with Bitcoin. Over the past two days, Bitcoin hasn’t shown any significant movements, mostly ranging due to the weekend—something quite normal. These consolidations were needed for the upcoming moves.
For the week ahead, if Bitcoin breaks the 100,400 resistance and its dominance declines, make sure to focus on altcoins for potential positions or purchases. Conversely, if Bitcoin dominance rises, consider trading Bitcoin or coins paired with Bitcoin that are showing bullish trends.
🕒 Weekly Time Frame
RUNE is one of the coins that has shown some movement before the broader market moves began. It hasn’t risen from its all-time low but instead from its 2024 bottom, maintaining a bullish trend behind it.
You can consider buying after the weekly candle closes above 6.950, as this would indicate a breakout of weekly resistance. The volume is favorable, and the RSI has entered overbought territory. Place a stop-loss at 3.038 to participate in the potential move.
After initiating its move and finding support at 3.038, you can draw a Fibonacci retracement. The 0.382 level aligns with this support, and upon breaking the high (currently in progress), the Fibonacci extension levels suggest targets of 11.64, 26.431, and 46.375.
Some might wonder why the March 2024 movement wasn’t used for Fibonacci. This is because that movement was overly impulsive and later rejected, with a pullback to the previously established resistance at 6.95. Hence, this range is more appropriate for analysis.
📊 Daily Time Frame
RUNE is currently encountering a critical daily resistance. A breakout could lead to a move toward 10.695.
For a purchase in this timeframe, you can consider entering after a breakout above 7.32 with a stop-loss around 4.92. This would be a slightly riskier entry. Confirmation could come from an RSI pullback to 70 and a subsequent upward movement.
RUNE hasn’t shown much activity recently, but money appears to be flowing into it. Considering the weekly uptrend, it’s worth positioning ahead of a potential move.
🕒 4-Hour Time Frame
On the 4-hour chart, RUNE is following a parabolic curve and has reached the 7.352 resistance. After being rejected initially, it didn’t drop significantly, and on the next attempt, volume increased as it approached the high again. This second rejection further validates the resistance.
📈 Long Position Trigger
the trigger is clear enter after breaking 7.352. Use a wide stop-loss as this is a daily resistance breakout and may experience fluctuations; missing the move is not an option.
📉 Short Position Trigger
I’m still not interested, just as I’ve been in recent days. I prefer either resting or providing analyses for the community so we can collectively reduce stop-loss hits while building a stronger TradingView presence.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
RUNE, compared to Bitcoin, is in a favorable position. Unlike many altcoins, it’s not at its absolute bottom but rather near its 2024 low. Confirmation of an upward trend would come from breaking the weekly trendline or surpassing 0.00008139, which would likely initiate a significant pump. This relative strength compared to Bitcoin is a positive point for us.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
SushiSwap (SUSHI)📊 SUSHI Analysis
🔹 General Overview:
SUSHI coin managed to break out of its descending channel from the top and reach its weekly timeframe resistance. This resistance could lead to a price correction. The RSI has entered the overbought zone, but another significant resistance still lies ahead.
🔹 Weekly Timeframe Analysis:
If the price manages to break the white weekly resistance zone, it could trigger a sharp move towards the Fibonacci targets:
1.618
2.618
3.618
🔹 Investment Recommendation:
✅ We recommend a laddered entry strategy for investing in this cryptocurrency:
One entry at the current market price.
Another entry if the price corrects downward.
A final entry if the weekly resistance is broken.
🔹 Long-Term Outlook:
Given SUSHI's functionality and low market cap, it has the potential to revisit its previous all-time high. However, gradual profit-taking in the red zones is essential.
🔹 Additional Notes:
1️⃣ Volume Analysis:
An increase in trading volume near the weekly resistance could indicate strong buying pressure. If the breakout is accompanied by high volume, the likelihood of a sharp move increases.
2️⃣ Price Behavior During Correction:
During a correction, observe whether the price drops slowly with low volume or quickly with high volume. A slow correction often signals accumulation by buyers.
3️⃣ Impact of Overall Market (BTC & ETH):
The general market condition, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum trends, heavily influence smaller coins like SUSHI. Ensure the overall market trend is positive.
4️⃣ Timing Investments:
Given the likelihood of a correction near resistance, avoid rushing in. The proposed laddered entry strategy can help mitigate risks.
5️⃣ Monitoring SUSHI's Fundamentals:
Stay updated on SUSHI’s protocol upgrades, new partnerships, or management changes, as these can significantly influence price trends.
💡 Conclusion:
Stay in the game with proper risk and capital management.
CRYPTO: ADAUSD trading plan. This is a trade I am currently looking at. I would be taking a LONG position if the price breakthrough the upper rectangular box and a SHORT position if the price breakthrough the lower rectangular box . Currently, I am more interested on the Long position. However, this is only a plan. Please take note that trading is about dealing and respecting the market trend. I do not make predictions.
FOREX: NZDSGD Short made on 4/12/2024. 0 risk holding 1) This is a trade I am holding right now. The entry point is 0.78965. The stop loss was placed on
0.79191.
2) The current risk and reward ratio is 3 and we are still holding it.
3) We have execute of tracking take profit currently as it meets our requirement.
4) We are targeting 0.77834. It is my take profit.
Feel free to ask me anything:)
CRYPTO: XRPUSD EASY TRADE Based on our on strategy, we have execute a long position on XRPUSD at the price of 1.5491 and we set our stop loss at 1.4616 according to our strategy. The market moved smoothly and meet our requirement of using our Tracking Take Profit .Still, according to our strategy, we moved our stop loss to the price of 2.5131. The market made it to the highest price of 2.9000. In this period, we did not found any place that fulfill our requirements of our strategy to move our stop loss. The market went down finally and hit our stop loss. The stop order was executed successfully. The total risk and reward ratio is 11.02.
1) This is an easy trade for us as the market went up smoothly. There are not much fight in a trader's mind. However, we do not assume all trades would be easy as this trade. A trader's patience is still a very important.
2) Follow for more. I will share my trading thoughts, plans and summary of trades I made recently. Stay tune :)
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.58600 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.58600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
TradeCityPro | HOOKUSDT Potential Start of a Sharp Move👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s analyze the market on this quiet Saturday with low volume. We'll focus on identifying and aligning our triggers for HOOK.
🌍 Market Overview
Before starting, as always, we take a quick look at Bitcoin. Today, it hasn’t made any significant moves and is mostly range-bound. However, volume seems to be entering, suggesting that we might see another upward movement either tomorrow or in the coming week.
During such upward movements, Bitcoin dominance may decline, providing an opportunity for altcoins to shine. This is when altcoins can generate substantial profits, so make sure to stay close to the charts during these times.
🕒 Weekly Time Frame
In the weekly timeframe, HOOK has rebounded from its last support and seems to have begun its first upward movements.
The 0.3747 support was faked out, followed by a solid green candle with good volume that engulfed the previous candles , After activating the 0.5058 trigger, it is now heading toward 0.75.
For new entries, after breaking 0.7504, a buy opportunity can be considered. However, note that the stop-loss will need to be set quite wide at 0.3747. If the price consolidates or retraces, it could provide a better stop-loss level.
📊 Daily Time Frame
In the daily timeframe, after breaking 0.5103, the price moved upward but has recently shown signs of weakness , RSI is in the overbought zone.
The green candles are getting smaller, indicating a loss of momentum.
Despite this, with a valid trigger, a position can still be taken.
The 0.7562 level remains a trigger for buying , Alternatively, after a correction, a breakout above the current high (using Dow Theory) could justify entry with a better stop-loss level.
For those who bought at the 0.5103 trigger, holding the position is recommended as the price hasn’t moved significantly relative to the broader market.
🕒 4-Hour Time Frame
In the 4-hour timeframe, following the daily move, HOOK is consolidating in the range between 0.6588 and 0.6980. This consolidation might be preparing for the next move.
📈 Long Position Trigger
Breaking 0.6980 is a valid trigger for a long entry , It is advisable to keep a wide stop-loss to avoid being stopped out during minor corrections and to stay positioned for potential gains after the breakout.
📉 Short Position Trigger
No short positions are advised at the moment. Like recent market analyses, the focus remains on long opportunities, especially as Bitcoin holds strong above $80.
This concludes the technical analysis for HOOK. Stay patient and disciplined with your entries and stop-losses for this setup.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
EURUSD Start?Based on the data, it seems that the Euro will regain its strength and rise in the coming days. There is only one scenario, which is an upward movement. As for the upward move, it will either drop to the yearly low to draw liquidity and then rise, or it has already sufficed with the current level and will continue its ascent without needing additional liquidity.
TradeCityPro | TRBUSDT Solid Coin for Spot with Target Review👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s analyze the TRB coin from a spot perspective, avoiding a focus on futures, while examining its technical triggers and potential targets.
🏆 Bitcoin Overview
Before diving into TRB, let’s quickly touch on Bitcoin. Last night, BTC experienced a sharp corrective move with some FOMO-induced sell-offs, causing market-wide fear. However, the dip was primarily confined to Bitcoin, and it quickly rebounded.
Corrections like this are typical during a bull market, and maintaining calm is crucial. With proper risk management in place, such moments shouldn’t lead to panic. Remember, the worst-case scenario is hitting a stop loss, but often, positions don't even get triggered in such volatile conditions.
📅 Weekly Time Frame
TRB is among the coins that experienced a significant pump of over 1,000% before the bull market even began. A key positive aspect is that it never returned to its previous yearly low, similar to Solana.
After this strong upward movement, it consistently bounced off a robust support level, indicating that sellers are losing momentum and buyers are entering the market.
Additionally, a downward trendline is evident, which is more of a continuation pattern. Breaking this trendline doesn’t require a specific trigger; after the breakout, we’ll invalidate all lower-high resistances, leading to higher price movement.
With the current weekly candle, we can open a position in spot trading because , The candle has significant volume , It has broken the trendline , RSI is poised to enter overbought territory next week.
Fibonacci Analysis for Targets
By drawing a Fibonacci retracement from a clear high (ignoring FOMO-driven peaks), we can identify The 52.37 level aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci level, making it a strong support zone.
Target Levels :After breaking the 136.49 resistance, there are no significant resistances until Fibonacci extensions at: 243.12 - 623 - 1219
These levels are realistic, assuming TRB reaches a market cap of $2 billion, which depends on its ongoing development and adoption.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
On the TRB/BTC pair, the coin has formed a green candle after bouncing from the 0.000723 support level.
The good news is that TRB consolidated during its downtrend rather than continuously falling.
After breaking 0.001215, a significant upward trend can begin , RSI breaking 50.80 would provide additional momentum confirmation.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️