EURUSD: Should I Buy?Hello everyone!
Overall, EUR/USD is slightly down for the second day in a row, trading around 1.0780 on Monday morning. Looking at the daily chart, you can see that the pair is testing the upper boundary to return to the descending channel pattern. This could reinforce the bearish bias for the pair.
However, there are signs of a potential bottom forming at 1.0760. Furthermore, using the Fibonacci retracement of the first wave, if the rally continues, the next recovery points for EURUSD would be 0.382 (price level 1.085) - 0.618 (price level 1.093) - 0.5 (price level 1.098).
Technical Analysis
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(28/10/2024)Gap down opening expected in banknifty for today session. Further 400-500 points downside possible in banknifty if it's starts trading below 50450 level. Upside 50950 level will act as a strong resistance for today's session. A bullish rally only expected above 51050 level.
I'll Long AUDUSD If This HappensI've been following AUDUSD closely, and since February 2021, we've been in an extended downtrend on the monthly timeframe. However, for the first time, we saw a break of structure (BoS), as the September monthly candle managed to break and close above the previous monthly LH. This break of structure is notable, as it could indicate a potential shift in the long-term trend.
Though the impulsive move that resulted in September's break of structure wasn’t the strongest, likely due to price respecting the month-long trendline, it'll be interesting to see if buyers can defend price so that the current monthly HL isn’t taken out by sellers.
While we’re seeing a large sell candle in October, buyers can still be considered in control as long as the monthly HL remains unbroken. Let’s move to the weekly timeframe to see if any interesting price data emerges there.
On the weekly timeframe, as seen in the chart above, the previous weekly HL has been broken meaning sellers are gaining control over the buyers as they were able to break and close below the previous low. Not a single rejection.
But does this mean we should all scream sell and short the life out of AUDUSD? Well, our business is not to be on the sell or buy team, our concern should be to make money regardless of the market trend. To do that, we need to look for patterns that suggest the probability of one outcome over another. That’s exactly why we’re doing this top-down analysis. So far, from the monthly timeframe down to the weekly, nothing has clearly indicated where we should buy or sell, even though we’re seeing strong red impulsive candles. Next, let's check the daily.
Now, take a look at that pattern on the daily timeframe. What pattern is that? A bird pattern? Or maybe a plane pattern. (I'm Joe King.) It’s actually a falling wedge, a reversal pattern. But does that mean we should start buying AUDUSD? Not yet. It means we should start watching for a change in structure, perhaps on the 4-hour timeframe. Only then should we look out for our entries.
Still no trading decision, so let’s check the 4-hour next. Please stay with me.
Still no trading decision on the 4-hourly, but there’s a plan. If price can impulsively break the 4-hourly LH at 0.66611 and stays above, then I’ll be looking for a buy on a pullback, probably on the 1-hour timeframe, where I typically look for entries.
But… what happens if price continues to trend down? Since I trade based on structure, I’ll be watching for price to pull back after breaking and trading decisively below the weekly HL at 0.66220 .
One key lesson I’ve learned in my trading journey is that it’s not just about price breaking a zone; it’s about how it breaks it. From the weekly, we saw price break the weekly HL at 0.66220 . But as we scale down to the daily and 4-hourly, the pattern behind this break hints at a possible reversal.
What are your thoughts on AUDUSD this week? Please share in the comment.
My trading rule is simple, don't take position based on what you anticipate price will do, take position only when price does what you anticipate and presents you a point of entry.
DreamAnalysis | STXUSDT layer-2 blockchain for Bitcoin👋 Welcome back to DreamAnalysis! Today, we're diving into STX (Stacks), a unique layer-2 blockchain for Bitcoin, and analyzing its potential.
🔗 What is Stacks (STX)? Stacks (STX) is a layer-2 blockchain designed specifically to add smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps) to the Bitcoin network. Smart contracts on Stacks run without altering Bitcoin's core structure, leveraging Bitcoin's security. The STX token is used for transactions and rewarding miners on the Stacks network.
📆 Weekly Analysis of STXUSDT:
In the weekly timeframe, STX shows a more bullish trend compared to many altcoins, which are sitting near their main support levels, while STX remains above these crucial levels.
A rising trendline on the weekly chart indicates that breaking and closing below 1.305 could lead to a decline toward 0.742. If that support breaks, consider temporarily exiting this coin in spot trades.
For re-entry, triggers at 1.987 and 2.444 offer good buying points to hold this Bitcoin layer-2 solution in a bull run. Increasing volume would strengthen this setup. Weekly STX Chart
📉 Daily Analysis of STXUSDT:
In the daily timeframe, STX is consolidating within the 1.65 to 1.987 range, and specific triggers are in place for the next move.
The weekly trendline also remains relevant here, and breaking below 1.65 could result in a drop toward the lower support level within a larger box range.
📊 4-Hour Analysis of STXUSDT: Market sentiment has shifted recently due to geopolitical events, including the Israel-Iran conflict, which has impacted many altcoins, causing widespread selling.
📈 Long Position:
wait for the trendline break and trigger confirmation at 1.82, considering higher timeframe bullishness.
📉 Short Position:
rejection from the trendline and breaking the significant 4-hour support at 1.649 could provide a favorable setup to enter short and follow the downtrend. 4-Hour STX Chart
💬 This wraps up today’s analysis. If you found this helpful, feel free to share it with friends, and drop a comment with any other pairs or coins you’d like us to analyze!
📌 Disclaimer: These analyses are based on chart patterns, not strict rules. Technical analysis is an art, and these insights are not financial advice.
EURUSD Is Trading under The Pressure Of A Strong UsdHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.07900 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently seems to be attempting to break it out. If we get dips below 1.07900 support area we will be looking for a potential retrace of the trend towards further downsides.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.29750 zone, GBPUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.29750 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
TON ANALYSIS📊 #TON Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending Channel Pattern in daily timeframe.
Currently #TON is trading around its major support zone. We could see a good pullback now.
👀Current Price: $4.916
🚀 Target Price: $5.900
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #TON price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#TON #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
SasanSeifi| Will It Break Above the $2685 High?Hey there, ✌ In the daily timeframe, as seen on the chart OANDA:XAUUSD , gold's price started an upward movement from the $2300 range and reached a new all-time high (ATH) around $2685. After hitting this peak, the price entered a consolidation phase with a slight pullback that extended to the $2600 area.
Currently, we see that the price has rebounded from the $2600 level due to increased demand, pushing it higher towards $2,657. The medium- and long-term outlook leans towards further upward movement, with potential targets at $2700, $2725, $2750, $2790, and $2,800.
In the daily timeframe, maintaining the support range between $2600 and $2570 is crucial for sustaining the bullish trend. A likely scenario is that if the price stabilizes above $2660 and $2675, it could break the previous high and move toward the mentioned targets, as illustrated in the chart.
To gain a better understanding of the future trend, it's important to monitor how the price performs in the early days of the market. Additionally, if bullish momentum weakens and confirmations appear in lower timeframes, there could be a chance of range-bound movement or a retracement towards the support levels.
This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
USDJPYaccording tecnical market is bullish for next week as well in my prediction jpy will reach back to 161 to its previus high till end of or before november. chart is clear to understand, dont forget to cheack weekly chart according to breakout. fvg is still valid for a spike. leave a comment for your thought.
"EUR/USD Approaching Critical Support1. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance: The price has previously faced resistance near 1.10409 and 1.09127 (marked by horizontal purple lines). The recent peak suggests that 1.10409 is a strong resistance level where sellers may exert pressure.
Support: The price has bounced around the 1.07532 level, which acts as a key support zone. This level aligns with the trendline support, making it a crucial area for potential bullish reversals.
2. Descending Triangle Pattern
The chart shows a descending triangle pattern, formed by the downward-sloping resistance line and the trendline support. This setup typically indicates bearish momentum, where a breakdown below the support could lead to further downside movement.
3. Moving Averages
Multiple moving averages (e.g., 20, 50, and 100-day) are visible, showing a recent bearish crossover. The price currently trades below these averages, hinting at continued bearish sentiment.
4. Volume Analysis
Recent volume bars suggest higher selling pressure, especially as the price approaches the support region. Increased volume during a breakdown could confirm further bearish action.
5. Potential Scenarios
Bearish Breakdown: A close below the 1.07532 level, accompanied by strong volume, could lead to a continuation of the downtrend, possibly targeting the next support zone around 1.06500.
Bullish Reversal : If buyers step in at 1.07532 and the price rebounds, a move towards 1.09127 could be possible.
Summary
This EUR/USD chart hints at a bearish bias as it approaches a significant support level. Traders may look for a confirmation of direction, as a breakdown could signal further declines, while a reversal at support might lead to a short-term rally.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes and not financial advice.
Genus Power Infra: Bullish Breakout – Buy now for higher targets🔍 Technical Analysis: NSE:GENUSPOWER (NSE: GENUSPOWER)
1️⃣ Overview:
📈 Current Market Price (CMP): ₹430.15 (+2.26%)
🗓️ Date & Time: As of 15:25 (UTC+5:30)
🕹️ Chart Analysis: Daily (1D)
2️⃣ Technical Indicators Overview:
📊 Moving Averages:
🟢 50-Day EMA: ₹399.89, currently acting as a support zone.
🔵 200-Day EMA: ₹332.71, indicating the longer-term trend remains positive.
📦 Volume Profile: Strong demand visible between ₹360-₹380, suggesting robust buying interest at lower levels.
📈 MACD: Bullish crossover with the MACD line above the signal line, implying momentum is still positive.
MACD Line: 3.76
Signal Line: 1.04
Histogram: 📈 Positive, indicating rising momentum.
📉 Williams %R (14): At -5.59, signaling overbought conditions, which might result in a short-term pullback.
💹 Stochastic RSI (14, 3): At 100, indicating strong bullish momentum, though caution is advised as overbought zones can precede minor corrections.
🟣 Parabolic SAR: Positioned below the price, supporting the ongoing uptrend.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The stock is retracing from the swing high of ₹451.55 to the swing low of ₹351.05.
📐 38.2% Retracement: ₹399.30 – Strong support.
📐 50% Retracement: ₹414.05 – Intermediate resistance.
📐 61.8% Retracement: ₹428.80 – Currently breached, signaling bullish strength.
📐 78.6% Retracement: ₹442.80 – Next resistance level to watch .
4️⃣ Rationale for Buy:
🚀 Breakout above 61.8% Fibonacci Level: The breach above ₹428.80 indicates a potential continuation of the upward move.
🔥 Bullish Momentum: MACD crossover, Stochastic RSI in overbought territory, and Parabolic SAR below the price all point to a continuation of the bullish trend.
📈 Volume Surge: Increased volume activity supports the bullish move, suggesting robust buying interest.
📦 Demand Zone: The significant demand between ₹360-₹380 acts as a strong base, providing a good risk-reward opportunity for entry.
5️⃣ Recommendation:
🔔 Action: Buy
🎯 Target 1: ₹442.80 (78.6% Fibonacci Level)
🎯 Target 2: ₹451.55 (Recent Swing High)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹414.05 (50% Fibonacci Level) to protect against downside risk.
6️⃣ Risk Management:
📥 Entry Strategy: Consider entering near the current price or on minor pullbacks towards the 61.8% retracement level (₹428.80).
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2 based on defined targets and stop-loss levels.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on technical indicators and market patterns and is intended for educational purposes. Market conditions may change, and this is not investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
#GenusPower 🚀 #TechnicalAnalysis 📊 #StockMarket 📈 #FibonacciLevels 📐 #SwingTrading 💹 #MACD 🔵 #StochasticRSI 💠 #VolumeProfile 📦 #BuyRecommendation 🛒 #IndianStocks 🇮🇳 #NSE 📉 #FinogentSolutions 💼
EUR/USD: Extending the declineHello dear friends.
Overall, EURUSD has made a significant recovery from last week with a price increase beyond 1.0800 after data from the US showed that Durable Goods Orders fell 0.8% in September. However, unfortunately, the pair quickly fell back and closed the fourth consecutive week in negative territory, weakening EURUSD significantly.
In addition, from the 1-hour chart, the pair has broken the rising trend line and the price wedge has been broken, suggesting that the bears are likely to continue to gain the upper hand without any significant reversal, as shown by the flat 34.89 EMA.
Gold Near Key Breakout Level at 2,758Gold is in an exciting phase, maintaining its upward trend above crucial EMA levels, signaling that the long-term momentum remains strong.
The resistance level at 2,758.717 is acting as a challenging ‘wall’—can gold break through to initiate a powerful rally? If successful, this could be a golden opportunity for investors to catch the next wave of growth.
However, if gold fails to breach this ‘wall’ and reverses, the support level at 2,716.756 and the trendline will serve as a solid ‘fortress,’ where prices may rebound.
Don’t miss out—sometimes, a little alertness is all it takes to capture the trend and turn volatility into profit!
News update: On October 25, gold saw some profit-taking as both the U.S. presidential election and Middle East tensions provided support for its price.
EUR/USD: hits new 16-week lowEUR/USD is trading around 1.078 and the technical picture remains heavily bearish after failing to break above the 1.0800 resistance level. The decline comes as Fibre falls sharply ahead of Thursday’s new round of Purchasing Managers’ Index data. ECB officials have played down economic concerns, reiterating the need for caution when considering future rate cuts.
As seen on the 1-hour chart, it can be seen that the price remains below the 34, 89 EMAs and the price wedge has not been broken, suggesting that the downtrend is not over yet. This usually allows sellers to still gain the advantage of a more bearish reversal in the near term, potentially reaching lower levels around 1.0740.
Happy trading.
XAUUSD Adjusts But Maintains UptrendThe XAUUSD chart shows that the price is adjusting after hitting the resistance level of 2,758 USD, but the uptrend remains dominant.
The key support zone is around 2,712 USD, where the price has bounced back in previous corrections.
The EMA(34) and EMA(89) continue to provide important technical support, with the short-term EMA above the long-term EMA, reinforcing the uptrend. Despite selling pressure, buying interest is still protecting this support level.
If this support holds, the price may recover and retest the resistance level.
Concerns over the U.S. elections and expectations of rising interest rates supporting the dollar could put pressure on gold.
Nik by Dl InvestHello community,
A little daily analysis in log scale, because I use the "Adaptive Trend Finder" and "Price Action Ultimate" indicator.
The channel is bearish.
I drew a Fibonacci retracement in log, to see if there is a golden zone.
If the theory works, we have a target around $90.62.
Nothing says that the title will rebound, change of CEO, so we can hope for change in a while.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
Gold vs Commodities: Monitoring Relative Strength in Hard AssetsIntroduction:
The commodity sector spans various areas, including energy, agriculture, livestock, and metals. However, focusing on the most promising areas can lead to more effective investment strategies. One key ratio to monitor is gold AMEX:GLD versus a broader commodities basket (DBC). This ratio is especially relevant for those interested in hard assets, as it highlights where strength lies in the commodity space. Currently, this ratio favors gold as the stronger performer.
Analysis:
Relative Strength: The GLD-to-DBC ratio offers critical insights into the relative performance of gold versus other commodities. Gold has been outperforming the broader commodity basket, indicating its resilience as a hard asset.
Technical Pattern: Earlier this year, the ratio broke out of a rounding bottom pattern, signaling a bullish trend in favor of gold. Even before this breakout, the trend was clear through a series of higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the strength of gold relative to other commodities.
Gold’s Performance: Gold remains near its all-time highs, while other commodities continue to lag behind. This highlights gold’s resilience in the face of broader market uncertainties.
Conclusion:
Gold’s resilience compared to other commodities makes it a standout performer in the current market environment. The recent breakout in the GLD-to-DBC ratio and the continued pattern of higher highs and higher lows support the bullish case for gold. Traders focused on hard assets should monitor this ratio closely to gauge potential shifts in strength. What’s your outlook on gold versus other commodities? Share your insights below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the GLD-to-DBC ratio, the rounding bottom pattern, and the higher highs and higher lows trend)
Tags: #Gold #Commodities #HardAssets #GLD #DBC #TechnicalAnalysis
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 25/10/2024Flat or slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening expected nifty will consolidated between 24400-24500 zone. Bullish rally only expected if nifty gives breakout of 24500 level and sustain above this level. Downside expected if nifty starts trading below 24400 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(25/10/2024)Today will be flat opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading below 51450 level then downside rally of 400-500 points expected. Downside 51050 level will act as an important support for today's session. Any upside rally only expected if banknifty sustain above 51550 level.
EURUSD: to the point of important supportEUR/USD has restored half -hearted on Thursday, restoring four tenths of percent and increasing over 1,0800. Despite the recovery on the weekend, Fiber still dropped sharply compared to the recent high level after a decrease of more than 4% from top to bottom compared to the highest bid at the end of September nearly 1,1200.
Technically, the recent decline has followed the principle of DOW theory, showing that after a large decline, the market will often tend to adjust. In this scenario, EURUSD is likely to retreat to Fibonacci levels 0.5 to 0.618, in the range of 1,09307 to 1,09836. This will be an important resistance area, where the price may slow down or have a selling pressure again.
What do you think of the recovery momentum at the present time?
Fri 25th Oct 2024 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EURUSD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim