Will the market uncertainties impair the Dow?Macro theme:
- The US30 has pulled back from record highs after a long rally, driven by rising Treasury yields and worries over high valuations.
- Investors are watching earnings from companies like Boeing (BA) and Coca-Cola (KO), which could affect market sentiment.
- With mixed economic signals and geopolitical uncertainties, short-term volatility is expected. Investors are balancing hopes for Fed rate cuts against concerns about economic growth and corporate earnings.
Technical theme:
- From the 4-hour chart, US30 broke its ascending trendline and retested EMA78 and the support level at 42720.
- If US30 breaks below 42720, the index may change the structure sideways and reach nearby support around 42390.
- On the contrary, if US30 remains above 42720, the index may consolidate within 42720-43300 until an apparent breakout occurs.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Technical Analysis
EURUSD: Recovery then decline?Hello dear friends! What do you think if EURUSD continues its downtrend in the future?
This will be a long-term analysis for this currency pair.
On the chart analysis: Ben sees that a double top pattern has formed (clearly indicated from the chart) which marks a strong fight from the sellers as they try to push the downtrend back.
Furthermore, using Fibonacci retracement levels to measure the retracement of the first wave (blue area), the downtrend is expected to continue after reaching the 0.618 retracement level.
If the price action of this currency pair plays out according to this trading idea, the 1.0910 and 1.0779 levels will be targeted by the sellers.
What about you? How do you feel about the future trend of EURUSD? Share in the comments!
Latest GBPUSD Comments Today - October 21, 2024Looking at the GBPUSD chart, we can see that the price is moving within a clear downtrend channel. Currently, the price is right next to the upper trendline of this channel, indicating that selling pressure may dominate and continue to push the price lower.
Today's trading trend: SELL scalp.
Trading strategy: For those considering trading, it is reasonable to look for a selling opportunity in the resistance area near $1.3050, with a target of $1.2950. Place a stop loss above the resistance area of $1.3070 to limit risk.
Wishing you a profitable and safe trading week.
Gold prices continue to rise from $2,600Dear Traders!
Analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour time frame, we can see that gold prices were relatively weak at the beginning of the trading session after closing the week at $2660 with a slight reversal, currently hovering around $2656. This reversal is due to some short-term technical factors, especially a gap opening, which prompted investors to fill in based on the fundamental technical factor and is currently doing so. In addition, the price is still reacting to the 34 EMA and the Elliott wave on the uptrend channel has not been broken yet, so the expectation is that gold prices will continue to be attractive in the near term. With the current Elliott wave trend, gold is likely to move towards higher targets if it breaks through the important resistance area of $2660.
Always analytical. Good luck traders!
Gold XAUUSD trading trend analysis on October 21, 2024At the end of last week's trading session, gold prices continued to increase strongly. Gold prices have created a new ATH after a correction to 260x. We will now trade according to the main trend. Wait for the next adjustment of gold to enter a long-term order.
Today's trading trend: BUY scalp.
Price zones to pay attention to:
BUY zone: 2703 - 2708
SELL zone: 2735 - 2740 and 2745
Wishing you a profitable and safe trading week.
Gold price on weekend (October 18)Gold prices continued to rise today and hit a new record, reaching a full $2,700 at the beginning of the session and the upward momentum is still strong.
Accordingly, gold reached a record high as it continued to be driven by safe-haven demand, due to concerns about instability surrounding the US presidential election and conflicts in the Middle East. In addition, expectations that the US Central Bank will continue to loosen monetary policy after cutting interest rates by half a percent last month are growing, also adding strength to the yellow metal. Thus, with the recent increase, gold prices have increased by more than 30% and officially "broke" the record.
In addition to concerns related to the situation in the Middle East, the US election also created instability, which continued to boost safe-haven demand for this yellow metal.
Gold prices continue to rise strongly!Hello everyone, let's update the gold price today!
Currently, the gold price is fluctuating around 2728 USD, almost unchanged from this time yesterday, although there was a slight decrease before. This shows that the purchasing power of this precious metal is still strong and stable.
The main reason for gold to maintain its position is thanks to a series of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East along with the hope that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to loosen monetary policy at its meeting in early November.
In my personal opinion, the gold price's rise has not stopped yet. Although the USD and bond yields tend to increase, the gold price still makes a spectacular breakthrough. Investors continue to put their faith in gold, expecting the price to continue to climb from now until the end of the year!
SWING IDEA - TORRENT POWERTorrent Power, a major player in the power sector, is showing strong technical signs of a swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
1650 Support Zone : The 1650 level has acted as a strong support zone, and the price is holding steady around this level, indicating potential upside.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart suggests strong buying momentum, indicating that the stock may reverse from its current support zone.
Double Bottom Pattern : The formation of a double bottom pattern is a bullish reversal signal, indicating the stock may have completed its downtrend and is now primed for an upward move.
0.618 Fibonacci Level Support : The stock has bounced back from the golden Fibonacci retracement level, providing additional support to the bullish thesis.
50 EMA Support : The price is holding above the 50-day exponential moving average, adding strength to the current setup and suggesting the trend is intact.
Target - 1908 // 2000
Stoploss - daily close below 1610
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - AMBER ENTERPRISESAmber Enterprises , a leading player in the Indian air conditioning and refrigeration industry, is showing technical signals that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
4600 Resistance Breakout : The 4600 level has been a significant resistance zone. The price is now breaking out above this level, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Strong Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily and Weekly Timeframes : The recent formation of bullish marubozu candles on both the daily and weekly charts indicates strong buying pressure and suggests potential for further upward movement.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMA), reinforcing the bullish sentiment and providing strong support levels.
Higher Highs : The stock is consistently making higher highs, indicating a strong upward trend.
Gradual Increase in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move and indicates growing investor interest.
Trading at All-Time High : The stock is trading at its all-time high, suggesting strong market confidence and potential for further gains.
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Dont Buy Silver Here; Watch Gold/Silver RatioSilver has been mostly sideways since 2021 and till 2024, when metal clearly formed a corrective price action because of choppy and overlapping moves. Ideally, that was a very big triangle that sent prices sharply higher this year as shown on weekly chart below. We have seen some nice turn up, due to inflation hedge, CB easing and geopolitical tensions. In fact, we can see some volatility in last few weeks with sharp move out of a big contracting range; its an impulsive reaction since price broke above $25, but notice that price now trades $34-37 area as expected; marked as potential resistance zone identified by swing highs from 2012, 2013, and Fibonacci levels.
The reason why we should be aware of a resistance on silver and also gold, is gold/silver ratio (XAUSD/XAGUSD ), which is pointing higher after an A-B-C corrective setback. Based on past correlations, bullish gold/silver ratio is usually bearish for metals, so if ratio start moving higher, then watch out for a limited upside on silver. From an Elliott wave perspective this push higher on XAUSD/XAGUSD chart would deffinitely not be a surprise because of bullish pattern.
If someone wants to join uptrends on gold and silver, then due to the reasons described above, it may not be a bad idea to wait on some pullback first. $30 can be an interesting levels in such case.
GBPUSD BEARS STILL GOT IT! WHAT HAPPENED TO THE BULLS??!The bears came in this week as anticipated but failed to reach the expected AOI from the previous short projection, hence, leaving us with no short trades this week, yet.
Now attention is shifting towards the bullish side of the curve as price approach two significant AOIs (a weekly FVG and a 3-month demand zone). As we still seek to see a potential retracement of all the shorting from September, we will watch keenly what price does first within the FVG for bullish signal. Should it violate this level also, the demand zone below becomes our ultimate area for longs.
CABLE SHORTS BEFORE POSSIBLE UPSIDEGBPUSD has seen consistent shorting since the last week of September and we just might be seeing the tail end of that sell move in the short-mid term as a retracement is expected.
Having spotted last Wednesday's high as possible liquidity for selling, I anticipate seeing the 1.30775 high cleared to give us entry for shorts, taking us below previous week's low.
LloydFx
Gold Pauses Before Continuing Its Climb
Gold is currently on a dramatic "adventure." After a sharp rise to 2,735 USD, it seems to be taking a break around the 2,727 USD support level, as if it's catching its breath before climbing further to new peaks in the 2,750 - 2,767 USD range.
The EMA 34 and 89 are providing solid long-term support. However, remember that the gold market can be unpredictable, and a “slip” could happen if strong resistance is encountered.
Traders should keep an eye on U.S. bond yields rising amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the U.S. election.
SasanSeifi|Will 0.66800 - 0.66500 Support the Price Movement?Hey there, ✌ In the 4-hour timeframe, a downward trend is evident from the level of 0.69400. Currently, due to the breakdown of the significant support level at 0.68, the price has corrected to the liquidity zone of 0.67. If the momentum weakens in this price range and the level of 0.67 is maintained, we may witness a ranging trend with minor positive fluctuations. To better understand the continuation of the trend, attention should be given to the price's reaction at levels 0.67500, 0.67800, and 0.68.
Overall, our outlook leans more towards a decline and correction towards the target of 0.66800 and the demand zone at 0.66500. It is expected that the price will be able to correct to the desired support levels. Subsequently, if the price maintains the ranges between 0.66800 and 0.66500 and confirms it, we will enter a ranging phase with positive fluctuations. The potential trends are also illustrated in the image above.
⭕The important support levels are 0.66500–0.66.
💢 This is just my personal analysis, not financial advice. If you found this helpful, feel free to like and comment – I'd love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
Gold at Key Resistance: Short Opportunity Before Breakout?Based on my chart, I’m analyzing XAU/USD (Gold) on the multi-timeframe, with key levels and trendlines marked. Here’s a potential trade idea derived from this technical setup:
Trade Idea:
• What: Short sell (SELL) Gold (XAU/USD) around 2,734–2,735 zone.
• Why:
• Price Action Resistance: The price is nearing a strong resistance area around 2,735–. 2,740, indicated by the horizontal orange and red lines. These levels have acted as significant selling zones in the past, which could cause a reversal.
• MSS (Market Structure Shift): There’s a shift in the market structure (MSS) slightly below, indicating a possible breakdown of bullish momentum after the recent uptrend.
• Ascending Trendline: The price is currently respecting an ascending trendline (in purple), but if it breaks this support level, it could trigger more downside.
• Fibonacci/Support Levels: The levels 2,730.46, 2,723.67, and 2,714.22 (orange and red lines) represent possible key retracement or support points where price could fall to if resistance holds.
How:
• Entry: Enter a short position near the current price of 2,734–2,735.
• Stop Loss: Place your stop-loss above the resistance at 2,741 to protect against further upward movement if price breaks above this zone.
• Take Profit: Target support zones at 2,730.46 (first target) and 2,723.67 (second target) for potential profit taking.
Risk Management:
• Ensure you manage position size to risk no more than 1–2% of your account per trade.
NASDAQ Is Approaching A Decent SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 20230 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 20230 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Is Trading Under The Pressure Of A Strong DollarHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.08600 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.08600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURGBP Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.83500 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 22/10/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty nifty will face resistance at 24900 level and expected downside from this level. If nifty gives breakdown of 24700 level then possible strong downside fall upto 24450 level. Any major upside only expected above 25000 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(22/10/2024)Today will be slightly gap down opening in banknifty. After opening expected further downside upto 51550 level. This downside rally can extend for further 400-500 points in case banknifty gives breakdown of 51450 level. Upside rally only expected in case banknifty starts trading and sustain above 52050 level.
SILVER (XAGUSD): The Next Historic Resistances
As a bull run continues on Silver,
here are the next historic resistances to focus on.
Resistance 1: 34.0 - 34.4 area
Resistance 2: 34.7 - 35.4 area
Resistance 3: 37.0 - 37.5 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
PayPal (PYPL): Ready for a pullback after hitting wave (iii)Plan the trade and trade the plan.
That’s exactly what we’ve done with PayPal. In our last update a month ago, we stated: “We are going to take more profits once we are getting into the $81 area,” and now, we’ve done just that as NASDAQ:PYPL has reached the minimum target for Wave (iii) at $81. With the position now up 37%, we see more upside potential, but a pullback here could offer a prime second entry spot.
Several factors are aligning in the chart, reinforcing our conviction for a good re-entry. First, we are seeing a bearish RSI divergence, suggesting a more significant drop than the minor one we've already seen. Ideally, we’d like to see the price dip below the last level before the low-volume node at $76. A low-volume node represents an area of little trading activity, which means the price tends to move quickly through these zones in the future.
As for the entry, two key levels stand out to us. The high of the recent accumulation phase before the last leg up and the low of the same range, which aligns with the level of Wave (i). In theory, this level should not be breached. While we don’t strictly adhere to Elliott Wave theory, we prefer not to see the stock close below this level for an extended period. A wick below or consolidation around this zone would be valid for us. Additionally, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level sits in the middle of this accumulation phase, making it our targeted entry for Wave 4. Therefore, the level between $72.78 and $70.62 seems ideal for a re-entry.
Given the upcoming election, it would be safer to play this setup with a wider stop-loss or soft stop-loss (manual stop-loss) to account for potential volatility or sudden price wicks.
At the moment, we haven’t set a limit order but have activated alerts. Once the price dips below $76, we will activate our limit order and get ready for the next leg up. 🔥