Gold Is Coming Out Of An Elliott Wave TriangleOn a higher degree time frame, we see gold coming higher into a fifth wave, but it may take some time before it finds the top, as we see an unfinished lower degree impulse.
Gold remains in strong and impulsive five-wave bullish cycle on a daily chart and there's space for more upside, we will just have to be aware of a higher degree wave IV correction still this year, possibly in Q4. Why? Because we see a move out of a triangle here in fifth wave of III, so we know thats the final trust within higher degree extensions, meaning there can be limited upside in weeks ahead, ideally around 2600-2700 area.
Technical Analysis
Nifty RSI Super-Heated to 83% - Crash Coming ????On the Quarterly chart - the RSI indicator on Nifty is showing a value of 83% or more indicating it's in Over Bought Zone
Back in Jan 2008, the RSI went to a high of 87% and Nifty subsequently crashed -52% from the Highs. After 16 years, the RSI on Nifty is climbing up beyond the 83% mark which indicates "Danger of a Correction" according to many Expert Analysts from Media Channels, Twitter and Telegram
Please forward the below analysis to All those Pessimistic Technical Super-Zeroes
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I say - What a "Ridiculous" Comparison of 2008 vs 2024??? The entire Technology world looks toward India as a Hub of Technical Brains, but those brains are just filled with Age-old Folklores and Pessimism.
Technical Analysis is NOT a Geometry class to connect 2 dots from 20-30 years ago and say we had the similar situation back then and there was a Crash and the same thing will Repeat now. The entire market Dynamics has changed a lot.
1. First of all what's an Indicator?
An Indicator is nothing but a Human written Algorithm (A Script) which consumes Buyers & Sellers Activity and volume of trades historically and does some simple "math". How does this Dumb Number Crunching algorithm understand external factors?
2. What Really Caused the fall in 2008?
Think again closely - The 2008 crash was a Global Catastrophe caused by the Massive Conspiracy and Bankruptcy of Lehman "Buggers" (Brothers) in US which had a world wide impact. For those Technical Pundits who believe 2008 fall was due to RSI - read the Analysis below fully
In this image - there is a comparison of Nasdaq Vs Nifty 50 between 2000 to 2008 and the RSI line is that of Nasdaq (not Nifty)
In 2000, the market fell so badly in US and the RSI was around 98%. But in 2008, look at the RSI - it was hovering around the Healthy 60% mark which is treated as the Golden Levels of "Fresh Entry" by most technical analysts
But US & the entire world crashed in 2008 due to Lehman Brothers issue - As the subprime mortgages underlying these securities began to default at alarming rates, investor confidence plummeted leading to a loss in trust in Lehman Brothers. Unable to fully recover all of their losses, Lehman Brothers were forced to file for bankruptcy
Nifty was trading at RSI 90% back then, but US was trading at 60% RSI. So the fall here is NOT because of Indian RSI - but due to a Global event.
RSI is like a Speedometer - it just indicates that you are driving at 80 / 100 and in every vehicle speedometer - there will be a RED zone which indicates Dangerous driving conditions. Does not mean, the Engine will fail. It just says that driving so fast is not safe.
We should learn to do a Full Analysis - not just a Half-baked one connecting some dots with something else claiming Technical superiority
Nothing is going to happen to US especially NOTHING will every happen to Indian Market until Apr 2028 where Nifty will face a 34 year long Parallel Channel Resistance as indicated in the main chart
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XAUUSD 09102024 30mPrice is still ranging on the HTFs. The daily candle on September 9 closed bullish at 2506.94 .
On the LTFs, price is ranging between 2507.15 and 2500 . This is a high-risk range, so no trades will be executed within this zone.
I will wait for potential buys above 2507.15 , targeting the daily resistance at 2516 and the 30-minute resistance at 2522.35 .
I will look for potential sells below 2500 , targeting the 4-hour support at 2492 , with further downside targets at the 30-minute support of 2486 , or the previous daily low at 2485 .
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVES FOR 10/09/2024BUY ABOVE - 24960
SL - 24910
TARGETS - 25020,25080,25130
SELL BELOW - 24860
SL - 24910
TARGETS - 24800,24740,24700
NO TRADE ZONE - 24860 to 24960
Previous Day High - 24960
Previous Day Low - 24750
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
USDJPY Is Approaching an Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 141.500 zone, USDJPY is trading within a channel and currently is approaching the channel support, once we get a bullish confirmation a target would be somewhere around 146 as it's the strongest resistance USDJPY will be approaching.
Trade safe, Joe.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/09/2024Slightly gap up opening expected in nifty above 24950 level. If nifty sustain above this level then possible upside rally upto 25150+ level. 24950-24800 will remain consolidation zone for nifty. Strong downside only expected below 24800 level.
EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.10600 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.10600 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
US2000 Selloff | Small Caps Looking FrailLot's going on in this picture, my apologies for all the noise.
Consistent with the overall market and recently published indexes, I am looking for more downside in US Domestic small-cap stocks.
If you thought or if you were influenced that this inflation bubble economy would persist forever, I advise you consider a different source of information. "Do your own research" does NOT mean, go find something that agrees with your preferences.
Rather, #DYOR as the kids say, is an opportunity for individuals and teams alike to look deep within themselves and ask if they have what it takes to achieve: honesty, humility, and truth.
Oracle Liquidation - Short or Sell | Yellowstone Bubble Anyone?Awhile back I posted a chart, where I referred to this current market as the "Yellowstone Bubble".
Lol at the time, I was simply teasing about how ever since roughly season 4 of the show Yellowstone , it seems like everyone thinks they are some kind of tough-guy money-making, all-powerful market wizard.
Google: "Yellowstone Oracle".
Anyway, there's not much else to say here. The internet is a commodity.
Oracle (ORCL): Bullish Outlook Ahead of EarningsToday, we’re getting the earnings report on ORCL, and we’ve had to adjust our last analysis accordingly. We are now looking at a more bullish scenario after our previous bearish outlook was invalidated. If Oracle holds the desired level, we believe our current wave count is accurate.
The count is pretty straightforward, and we think we’re now in the intra wave (ii) of the larger wave 3. This wave (ii) might touch the trend channel again, though it doesn’t necessarily have to. The channel seems accurate as waves ((i)), ((ii)), and ((iii)) are all tagging it. It would have been ideal if wave ((iv)) had touched it as well, but perfection is rare in markets.
We’re focusing on the area between $133.43 and $129 to hold. We’re not setting any limit orders for ourselves just yet, as we want to see if our new count proves correct before making any moves.
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF): Oversold and Ready for a ReboundIt has been quite some time since we last took a look at e.l.f. Beauty, and our previous conclusion was that we could be seeing some more selling pressure. We were right about it; after a brief relief pump, the stock sold off by more than 45%.
In the end, our prediction about ELF being due for a sell-off was correct, and we are now back in the targeted area. Although we haven't touched the HVN POC yet, the situation looks both promising and concerning at the same time.
Additionally, the RSI is oversold for the first time since October 2023. Given the current market conditions and the prevailing uncertainty, we are not planning to go long on ELF at this time. However, it does appear ready to either fall a bit more or take off. We will continue to monitor it closely and have already set alerts. If we see an upward push, we might consider entering on a retest, but for now, we're staying on the sidelines.
We hope this update has been helpful to you 🔥
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 10/09/2024BUY ABOVE - 51260
SL - 51120
TARGETS - 51400,51550,51750
SELL BELOW - 51000
SL - 51120
TARGETS - 50890,50740,50600
NO TRADE ZONE - 51000 to 51260
Previous Day High - 51260
Previous Day Low - 50420
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
XAUUSD Breakout: Awaiting a New Bullish WaveXAUUSD is currently trading within a descending channel and has successfully broken out above this trend.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 have crossed, signaling a potential bullish reversal in the market.
The current resistance level is around 2,525, while the short-term support is around 2,485.
XAUUSD is likely to fluctuate between 2,480 - 2,530, with a potential rise to 2,530, followed by a correction back to 2,490.
Regarding news: Factors influencing gold prices include inflation reports, the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies, U.S. economic data, USD fluctuations, and geopolitical events.
GOLd possible short for 2465 & 2440Last weekly bar of the month of August in Gold is Inside bar. Range confined within the range of the previously weekly bar. First weekly bar of the month of September is Insurance bar, broker below the Inside bar low which confirmed further weakness ahead. selling zone for gold is 2517-26. stop loss above the previous two weekly bars high i.e. 2534. Target: 2465 (price may reverse back from there as a correction before further fall), next target level is 2440.
CADCHF: Important Breakout 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF formed a huge descending triangle pattern on a daily.
Bearish breakout of its neckline on Friday is an important event
that signifies a strength of the sellers and a highly probable
bearish continuation.
I will look for selling from a supply area based on a broken support
and a falling trend line
Next goal - 0.6167
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