USDCHF: The battle of 0.9000 - Sell or wait?Hello everyone, Ben here!
USDCHF previously broke its uptrend as the fundamental landscape shifted, and the dollar entered a correction phase. Clearly, sellers are in control, as illustrated on the chart.
Fundamentally, the situation is becoming more complex due to the tariff war initiated by Trump, with European countries responding in kind. Economic risks are rising. Additionally, with rumors of rate cuts from Trump and Powell, the dollar has entered a correction phase, which has had a positive impact on the forex market.
From a technical perspective, the 0.9000 level plays a crucial role, as it represents a strong zone. If sellers manage to keep the price below this level, within the selling zone, it will confirm further downside movement.
I also cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the previous breakout range before a deeper decline. Emphasizing the 0.9000 level!
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
Technical Analysis
GbpCad Short analysis This bias was from daily then H4 then H2.
I would have share the chart is H1 but H2 has more clarity and few candles than H1.
1.78866 is my point of interest I would have explained more on how I build my bias but just check this out, it's enough ss an insight. Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
NSE GLAND: A Critical Resistance Zone That Could Shift the TrendTimeframe: Daily
In NSE GLAND, the price has respected the channel in three distinct moves, indicating a potential 3-wave correction setup. Currently, it is trading below the 50 and 100 EMA, with ATR at 55.96 and ADX at 42.07 .
After reaching a high of 2220, the price declined and formed a corrective structure. Wave (A) completed at 1585.7 , followed by wave (B) at 1964 . Presently, wave 4 of wave (C) is in formation. The 1545-1585 zone serves as a strong resistance, where a decisive breakout could shift the trend. However, the price still needs to reach 1328 to complete a 100% extension of wave A, making wave C = wave A at 1328 . A strong throw-under could enhance the probability of revisiting levels near wave (B).
We will update further information soon.
NSE IOC – Approaching a Key Demand ZoneTimeframe: Daily
After reaching a high of 196.8, the price has declined by over 39% in 13 weeks. It is currently trading below the 50/100 EMA band, with ATR at 3.68 and ADX at 26.02 . According to the Elliott Wave projection, the peak of 196.80 can be identified as a wave ((3)). The security is currently undergoing the formation of a corrective wave (4).
Wave (B) formed at 185.97 , while wave 4 of wave (C) was completed at 145.10 . NSE IOC is now setting up for the final wave 5 of wave (C).
Two key Fibonacci relationships help estimate the end of the correction:
1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave (A) at 106.54 (for wave C)
0.618 Fibonacci extension of wave 1 at 115.52 (for wave 5)
The price is expected to settle between 115 and 105 , which serves as a key demand zone for buyers. If the price breaks out and sustains above 129.75, traders can target the following levels: 139 – 156 – 172+.
we will update further information soon.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/02/2025Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening nifty will face strong resistance at 23000 level and expected downside movement upto the 22800 in opening session. For today's session, 22800 is the important support if nifty break this support and starts trading below 22750 then sharp downside rally possible upto 22500 level. Any major upside rally only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above the 23050 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(17/02/2025)Today will be flat opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading below 48950 level then possible further major downside of 400-500+ points in index. 49050 level will act as a support for today's session. Any upside move only expected if banknifty sustain above this level. Upside 49450 level is the crucial resistance index. Any upside rally can be reversal from this level.
GBPUSD Dusting 350+ PIPS in Choppy Waters - Breakout is Brewing?Technical / Chart Analysis:
Double Top Formation: The chart clearly exhibits a potential double top pattern around the 1.30564 resistance level. This is a bearish reversal pattern that suggests a potential trend change from bullish to bearish.
Breakdown of Uptrend: The preceding price action shows an uptrend, which has now been halted by the double top.
Key Support Level: The most crucial level to watch is the support around 1.28642. A confirmed break below this level would validate the double top pattern and signal a potential strong move downwards.
Monthly Performance: January saw a +180 pip move, followed by February with a +230 pip gain. This demonstrates the potential for significant profits in GBPUSD through swing trading.
Swing Analysis: February's +230 pip move consisted of 3 upward swings and 2 downward swings, highlighting the importance of capturing both upward and downward momentum in this pair due to the Choppy Price Action.
Conclusion:
FX:GBPUSD is at a critical juncture. The potential double top formation suggests a bearish bias, but confirmation is needed. Traders should closely monitor the key support level at 1.28642 for a potential breakdown and look for LONG Trades on breaking key levels to the Upside
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD's potential for swing trading? Do you see a breakdown or a bounce? Share your analysis and comments below!
#HBARUSDT remains under seller pressure—expecting further declin📉 SHORT BYBIT:HBARUSDT.P from $0.21913
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.22070
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:HBARUSDT.P continues trading in a downtrend, staying below the key level of $0.21913, which could act as a short entry point.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) is positioned above the current price, indicating strong liquidity and selling pressure.
➡️ The price failed to hold above $0.22070, reinforcing the bearish scenario.
➡️ If local lows are broken, further downside movement is expected.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter short below $0.21913, confirming the bearish momentum.
➡️ Risk management via Stop-Loss at $0.22070, placed above the nearest resistance.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.21792
🔥 TP2: $0.21594
🚀 BYBIT:HBARUSDT.P remains under seller pressure—expecting further decline!
📢 BYBIT:HBARUSDT.P is showing weakness in the market. If the price breaks below $0.21913, increased selling momentum may lead to $0.21792 – $0.21594. However, if the price rebounds above $0.22070, a short-term recovery could occur.
#APEUSDT – Bullish Momentum DevelopingBYBIT:APEUSDT.P is trading near the local support zone around $0.7333, showing signs of potential upside movement. If the price holds above this level, a breakout towards higher resistance levels is likely. Should the bullish momentum continue, the price may reach $0.7478.
Volume remains moderate, but buyers appear to be accumulating positions. If the support at $0.7333 holds, an upward move toward the nearest resistance zones can be expected.
📊 LONG BYBIT:APEUSDT.P from $0.7333
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.7284
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:APEUSDT.P is holding the $0.7333 support zone, which could act as a base for further upside.
➡️ A breakout above this area may lead to a stronger bullish move toward key resistance levels.
➡️ The major resistance level is at $0.7478, where profit-taking may occur.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter long from $0.7333 upon confirmation of demand.
➡️ Stop-Loss at $0.7284 to minimize risks in case of a breakdown.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.7390
🔥 TP2: $0.7444
⚡ TP3: $0.7478
📢 If the price holds above $0.7333, buying pressure may increase, leading to $0.7478.
📢 However, a breakdown below $0.7284 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
🚀 BYBIT:APEUSDT.P has bullish potential – expecting a move!
Overall Market Structure XAUUSD1. Overall Market Structure
The market is currently in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
A retracement is occurring around the $2900 - $2927 zone, which could be a Liquidity Grab before the next move.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
$2927 - $2942 (Key Fibonacci 0.236 - 0.0 level), which has already triggered a reaction from sellers.
Support Zones:
$2870 - $2890 (Fibonacci 0.786) – A critical area where buyers may step in.
$2779 (Support from the previous week) – If a deeper correction occurs, this could act as a liquidity area for long positions.
3. Liquidity & Key RTM Zones
Liquidity was grabbed above $2942, indicating potential sell-side orders.
A retracement towards $2890 - $2902 (important FLIP zone) could determine the next direction.
Smart Money might manipulate price around these levels to trap retail traders before a strong move.
4. Possible Scenarios for Next Week
Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above $2890 - $2902, we could see a push towards $2942 - $2960.
A breakout above $2942 could extend the bullish rally to $3000 and beyond.
Bearish (Deeper Retracement) Scenario:
If $2890 support fails, the price could drop to $2779 - $2760, where buyers might step in.
5. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
📌 If $2890 - $2902 holds as support, expect further upside momentum.
📌 If this support breaks, a deeper retracement to $2779 - $2760 is possible.
📌 Watch for liquidity grabs and confirmation signals before entering a trade.
❗ Recommendation: Monitor price reaction at $2890 before making trading decisions. If buyers defend this level, long positions could be favorable.
Godfrey Phillips India – Major Breakout in Progress! 📌 Technical Breakdown & Swing/Positional Trade Idea
Godfrey Phillips India is currently breaking out of a 150-day broadening pattern, signalling strong bullish intent with increasing volume participation. Let’s break it down:
Key Levels & Market Structure:
Monthly Resistance Breakout (Yellow Line): The price has convincingly broken above a key monthly closing resistance, marking a shift in trend.
Supply-to-Demand Zone Flip: A critical supply zone (marked in red) was breached and is now acting as an important demand area, where buyers are likely to step in for re-entries at better prices.
Broadening Structure: The stock has followed a classic expanding range (marked by white trendlines), showing volatility compression and breakout strength.
Weekly Counter-Trendline (CT): A hidden WTF resistance line (yellow) from the weekly timeframe was also taken out, adding further confluence to the move.
Cup & Handle Breakout (Cyan Zone): A recent cup & handle breakout with strong volume clusters confirms bullish momentum.
Trading at 50-Day High: The stock is now at a new short-term high, indicating sustained strength in price action.
Glossary (For Better Understanding):
Broadening Pattern: A technical formation where price swings increase in magnitude, forming an expanding structure.
Supply-Demand Flip: A price zone that initially acted as a supply (resistance) but later turned into a demand (support) after a breakout.
Counter-Trendline (CT): A hidden trendline that acts as a resistance within a prevailing trend, often creating liquidity traps.
WTF Hidden Resistance: A key level that isn't easily visible but plays a crucial role in price reactions.
Cup & Handle Breakout: A bullish continuation pattern indicating accumulation before a breakout.
Volume Clusters: Areas where heavy trading activity occurs, often signaling accumulation or distribution zones.
🚀 Conclusion: With multiple bullish confluences, volume backing, and a clean breakout, this trade setup presents a high-probability swing & positional opportunity. However, risk management remains key!
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Are you tracking this setup?
#OMUSDT – Critical Breakout Zone📊 BYBIT:OMUSDT.P is consolidating after a strong impulse move, trading near POC ($7.5915), indicating liquidity accumulation. The price is currently trapped in a tight range, suggesting an imminent breakout in either direction.
Recent high volumes indicate strong participation from major players. The question remains—will buyers push the price higher, or will sellers take control and drive it down?
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:OMUSDT.P remains in a tight consolidation zone between resistance $7.8215 and support $7.3820.
➡️ POC ($7.5915) marks the high-volume area, making this range critical for the next move.
➡️ Price action within this zone may continue until a confirmed breakout occurs.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚡ Long Plan:
➡️ Enter long above $7.8215 after a strong breakout and confirmation.
➡️ Stop-Loss at $7.7480—below the consolidation range.
🎯 TP Target:
💎 TP1: $7.9435
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📉 Short Plan:
➡️ Enter short below $7.3820 after confirming weakness.
➡️ Stop-Loss at $7.4740—above the nearest resistance.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $7.2595
💎 TP2: $7.1592
📢 If the price confirms a breakout above $7.8215, an upside move to $7.9435 is likely.
📢 Conversely, a breakdown below $7.3820 could lead to $7.1592.
🚀 BYBIT:OMUSDT.P is poised for a breakout—watch volume and direction closely!
GBP/USD Breaks Key Resistance: Targeting 1.2800 GBP/USD is trading at approximately 1.2580. Your target price of 1.2800 suggests an anticipated upward movement of over 200 pips, indicating a bullish outlook. The pair has recently broken above a significant resistance level, and the next key resistance is identified at 1.2800, which could potentially act as a barrier and prompt a downward correction.
Technical analysis reveals that GBP/USD has exited a multi-month downtrend, with the January rebound extending nearly 4.4% from the yearly low. This upward momentum suggests potential for further gains; however, traders should be cautious as the 1.2800 resistance level may trigger selling pressure, leading to a possible retracement.
Fundamentally, the UK's economic landscape is experiencing shifts. Inflation is expected to rise to 2.8% in January, influenced by factors such as the introduction of VAT on private school fees and increased airfares. This follows the Bank of England's recent 25 basis point rate cut, aimed at stimulating economic activity. Conversely, the U.S. economy shows resilience, with strong economic data suggesting that further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are unlikely.
In summary, while the GBP/USD pair exhibits bullish momentum with a potential target of 1.2800, traders should remain vigilant. The 1.2800 resistance level may serve as a critical point, possibly leading to a downward correction. Monitoring upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will be essential in making informed trading decisions.
GLUSDT 50%-77% Gains – Bullish Momentum Set to Surge!GLUSDT has recently broken out of a Falling Wedge Pattern, a technical formation that typically signals the end of a downtrend and the potential for significant price action upward. The Falling Wedge is characterized by converging trendlines, with the price action tightening as buyers and sellers reach an equilibrium before one side gains control. With a solid breakout now in play, GLUSDT is poised for a strong bullish move. The volume accompanying the breakout is good, indicating strong market participation and confirming that the move has the potential to continue. Traders are anticipating gains ranging from 50% to 77%+ as the price continues to push higher, potentially testing key resistance levels.
The breakout from the Falling Wedge pattern is a key event for GLUSDT, and with good volume supporting this move, it increases the likelihood that the price will continue its upward trajectory. Falling Wedges typically indicate that buying pressure is starting to build, and once the resistance level is cleared, the price often experiences a surge. The breakout has already set the stage for a potential rally, and traders are now looking for confirmation of the next resistance levels to determine how far the price might go. With strong technical backing and good investor interest, GLUSDT is well-positioned for substantial price gains in the near term.
Investors are taking increasing interest in GLUSDT, as the breakout from the Falling Wedge marks a key shift in sentiment. The good volume confirms that this pattern is not a false breakout, and with many traders eyeing the potential for higher returns, this project is gaining momentum. As the market shifts from a bearish to a bullish outlook, GLUSDT could see a sharp rise, testing higher price levels and delivering the anticipated 50% to 77%+ gains. The rising interest and positive market sentiment around GLUSDT further solidify its status as a potential high-reward opportunity.
Traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels as the price action unfolds. If GLUSDT can maintain its momentum and push through further resistance, the rally could extend toward the projected gain levels. As always, it’s important to track volume and market conditions to confirm the strength of the breakout. With the current setup and positive technical indicators, GLUSDT is one of the more promising crypto pairs to watch for potential substantial gains.
IDUSDT 120%-140% Gains – Bullish Momentum Confirmed!IDUSDT has successfully broken out of a Falling Wedge Pattern, signaling the potential for a substantial upward move. The Falling Wedge is a bullish continuation pattern, often seen during downtrends, where the price consolidates within converging trendlines before breaking out. With the breakout now confirmed, the market is showing strong signs of a bullish reversal. The volume accompanying this breakout is good, indicating solid investor participation and confirming that there’s significant buying pressure behind this move. Traders are now anticipating potential gains of 120% to 140%+ as the price targets higher levels.
The breakout from the Falling Wedge Pattern marks a key turning point for IDUSDT, as it signals that the price is likely to accelerate after breaking through the upper trendline. The good volume further validates the strength of this move, as higher volume during a breakout is often a precursor to continued upward momentum. With the market clearly showing signs of bullish sentiment, the next major resistance levels will be critical in determining how far IDUSDT can go in the coming days or weeks. If the price continues to maintain its bullish trajectory, the expected gains of 120% to 140%+ could be reached quickly.
Investor interest in IDUSDT is increasing, as more traders recognize the potential of this pattern and the breakout that has already taken place. The Falling Wedge often leads to explosive moves once the price clears key resistance levels, and IDUSDT is well-positioned to make such a move. The combination of a well-formed technical setup, strong volume, and growing investor interest is making IDUSDT an exciting project to watch. As the price gains momentum, it could quickly rise, offering significant profits for those who have entered at the right time.
Traders should continue to monitor support and resistance levels closely, as these will be key indicators of whether the breakout can hold and sustain its bullish momentum. The overall crypto market sentiment will also play a role in IDUSDT’s movements, but given the strong technical setup and volume, this pair looks poised for impressive gains. As always, careful timing and strategic entry points will be crucial to maximizing profits from this promising setup.
BTCUSDlooks like a short bearish but before we see strong breakout, it is hard to get into a trade daily and weekly frame still in a range. as i draw the line unless 92000 strong break and then only we see to see continuestion as market price to retest the hug gap. same way if we looking for continue up trend then we must see a strong break out 101000 above only.
what are your thought.?
feel free to comment BELOW.
happy weekend.
DOT ANALYSIS📊 #DOT Analysis : Update
✅There was a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart🧐
We could expect a bounce from its major support zone.
👀Current Price: $4.930
🚀 Target Price: $6.400
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #DOT price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#DOT #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Why I Believe Brent Crude Oil is Headed to $125 by 2026www.tradingview.com 1. Supply Constraints: Geopolitics & Trade Wars
One of the biggest drivers of higher oil prices is geopolitical instability and trade policy shifts. We're already seeing major disruptions that could tighten supply further:
Middle East Tensions – The ongoing conflicts in the Red Sea, Iran, and Israel continue to create uncertainty. Attacks on shipping routes and production facilities raise the cost of transporting oil and increase the risk of supply disruptions.
Russia-Ukraine War – With Russian oil facing sanctions and restrictions, global supply chains have had to adjust, making energy markets more fragile.
OPEC+ Output Cuts – OPEC has repeatedly restricted production to keep prices elevated, and there’s no indication they’ll reverse course anytime soon.
U.S.-China Trade War & Tariffs – With Trump leading in the 2024 election polls, there’s a growing possibility that tariffs on China will return. If this happens, energy trade flows could be further disrupted, and retaliatory tariffs could add to price pressures.
Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) Depletion – The U.S. used a huge portion of its SPR to lower oil prices in 2022-2023, but refilling those reserves will create additional demand, pushing prices even higher.
With these factors at play, supply is becoming more constrained, making it easier for prices to rise with even small increases in demand.
2. Demand Boom: AI, Bitcoin Mining, and Agriculture
While supply is tightening, demand for energy is skyrocketing in unexpected ways.
AI Data Centers & Industrial Demand
AI computing is extremely energy-intensive, and as companies like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon continue to expand cloud computing infrastructure, demand for electricity is surging.
Many data centers still rely on fossil fuels for backup power and cooling systems, meaning oil and gas usage will continue to increase.
Bitcoin (BTC) Mining
Bitcoin mining requires massive amounts of electricity, and as BTC prices rise, mining activity expands in energy-dependent regions.
With the 2024 BTC halving, miners will have to run at full efficiency, which translates to higher global energy consumption.
Agriculture & Food Production
The world’s growing population and extreme weather events (like El Niño) are driving higher food production needs.
Fertilizer production, transportation, and machinery all require oil, meaning agricultural commodities are directly contributing to higher energy demand.
Together, these factors suggest that demand for oil is only going to increase, making it harder for supply to keep up.
3. Oil Price vs. Stock Market: The $100 Warning Zone
Historically, when oil prices get too high, the stock market struggles. Some key examples:
2008 Recession: Oil peaked at $147 per barrel, right before the financial crisis.
2018 Market Drop: When oil hit $80+, stocks sold off sharply.
2022 Inflation Shock: Oil reached $120+, leading to Fed rate hikes and market turmoil.
Why $100+ Oil is a Warning Sign for Stocks
Higher oil prices = higher inflation. This forces central banks like the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates high, making borrowing more expensive.
Energy costs impact corporate profits. Companies across multiple sectors will see shrinking profit margins as transportation and production costs rise.
Consumer spending takes a hit. Gasoline prices cut into disposable income, which weakens overall economic growth.
If Brent crude pushes above $100, expect increased market volatility and a potential selloff in equities.
4. Brent Crude Technicals: Price Targets for 2026
Current Setup
Price Holding Key Support (~$70-$74) – Brent is respecting major trendlines, signaling strong demand in this area.
Breakout Zone Around $80-$82 – If price moves above this level, it could trigger a rally to $100+.
Fibonacci Levels Align with $125 Target:
0.618 Fib retracement at $106 → First major resistance.
0.786 Fib extension at $119 → Likely next target.
1.272 Fib extension near $125 → Final upside target for 2026.
This technical setup aligns with macro fundamentals and historical oil cycles, making a move to $125 increasingly probable.
5. Investment & Trading Strategy
Long-Term Bullish Strategy
Accumulation Zone: $70-$74 (solid support).
Upside Targets: $106, $119, $125.
Stop Loss Consideration: Below $68 (invalidates thesis).
Hedging Against Market Risk
SPX Put Options / VIX Calls – If oil rises toward $100+, consider hedging against an equity downturn.
Energy Stocks (XLE, Exxon, Chevron) – These stocks tend to outperform during oil bull markets.
Gold & Commodities – Hard assets often rally when energy prices increase.
Conclusion: The Path to $125 Brent Oil
Geopolitical instability + supply cuts = higher prices.
AI, Bitcoin, and food production = rising demand.
If oil approaches $100, watch for an equities pullback.
While no forecast is perfect, all signs point to oil prices rising into 2026. If this trend plays out, investors should be prepared for higher inflation, tighter Fed policy, and increased market volatility.
Would love to hear your thoughts—do you think oil will hit $125, or are we headed lower? 🚀📊
Statistically Likely Bitcoin Has A Large Positive Move ComingThe Continuation Indicator by Apex Algo Systems has once again flashed a new buy signal just a few months ago, adding to its strong historical track record on the 1-month chart. Every previous buy signal has preceded a significant market rally before reaching the next major top. Could this be another pivotal moment in the market cycle?
Historically, the indicator has identified powerful trend continuation setups, signaling high-probability opportunities before explosive price movements. By analyzing volatility dynamics, momentum shifts, and long-term price trends, the indicator helps traders recognize statistically extreme conditions that have historically led to major market moves.
In the attached image, you can see how every past buy signal has been followed by a substantial market rally. Now, with a fresh signal printed just a few months ago, history may be repeating itself once again.
🔥 Could this be the start of another massive move? Or will this time be different?
📊 Let’s discuss! Are you bullish after this signal? Do you think the market is following historical trends? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👇
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.