Will EU CPI support a quick rebound of DXY?Macro theme:
- The dollar hovered near its lowest in over a year but downside momentum is fading as markets have already priced in Sep easing.
- A short-term rebound is possible if the EU CPI continues its downward trend this week.
Technical theme:
- DXY formed a small double-bottom pattern around 100.50 in the 4-hour chart and bounced up to retest its neckline, which is confluence with EMA21, indicating a potential trend shift.
- If DXY closes above its neckline around 100.90, the index may retrace further to retest the previous swing high around 101.60.
- Conversely, DXY may retest the bottoms again if it closes below 100.80.
Technical Analysis
Advances Camarilla Concepts (2)Advanced Camarilla Concepts: Mastering Two-Period Relationships
In the sophisticated realm of Camarilla pivot trading, understanding two-period relationships is crucial for discerning the market's directional bias and anticipating movements in upcoming sessions. This analytical approach focuses on the third layer (S3 and R3) of the Camarilla pivots, similar to Pivot Width Analysis, but delves deeper into nuanced market signals across seven distinct types of relationships.
Exploring the Seven Two-Period Relationships
Higher Value (Bullish Signal): This occurs when the current period’s S3 is above the previous period’s R3, suggesting a robust bullish outlook. This scenario is a strong buy signal on pullbacks to the current period's S3. Key to this analysis is:
Acceptance: Price opens above S3 and pulls back to it, affirming bullish continuation.
Rejection: Price opens below S3, turning it into resistance, with potential declines anticipated.
Lower Value (Bearish Signal): Defined by the current period's R3 being below the previous period's S3, indicating bearish conditions. This setup suggests selling on rallies to R3. Observations include:
Acceptance: Price opens below R3 and ascends to it, confirming the bearish trend.
Rejection: Price opens above R3, using it as support, which may signal rising prices.
Overlapping Higher Value: A modestly bullish sign indicating a possible slowdown in the uptrend, suggesting that the market might enter a distribution phase leading to range-bound conditions. Both acceptance and rejection criteria apply, similar to the 'Higher Value' scenario.
Overlapping Lower Value: A slightly bearish signal hinting at a weakening downtrend, potentially leading to accumulation and subsequent range-bound activity. Like its bullish counterpart, acceptance and rejection are key to understanding this signal.
Unchanged Value: Represents neutrality, where the current period's S3 and R3 align exactly with the previous period's levels. Markets may be in a phase of accumulation or distribution, and traders should watch for breakout signals closely.
Outside Value: Another neutral indicator where the current period’s S3 and R3 completely encompass the previous period’s levels, suggesting a quiet, range-bound market environment.
Inside Value: Indicates that a breakout is imminent, as the current period’s S3 and R3 are entirely contained within the previous period’s levels. This scenario offers opportunities for low-risk and high-reward trades.
Strategic Implications and Trading Strategy
Utilizing these two-period Camarilla relationships equips traders with a refined lens for market analysis, enabling them to tailor their strategies to the evolving market context. Whether it's leveraging bullish signals for robust buying opportunities or identifying bearish setups for timely exits, understanding these nuanced relationships enhances strategic execution.
By integrating these advanced Camarilla concepts into your trading toolbox, you can significantly enhance your ability to navigate through volatile markets with precision and confidence.
Stay tuned for further insights as we continue to explore the depths of Camarilla pivot trading and its application in real-world scenarios. This exploration not only broadens your understanding but also sharpens your trading skills in anticipating and reacting to market dynamics.
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 28/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 51260
SL - 51080
TARGETS - 51500,51620,51750
SELL BELOW - 51080
SL - 51260
TARGETS - 50890,50740,50600
NO TRADE ZONE - 51080 to 51260
Previous Day High - 51400
Previous Day Low - 50890
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 28/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 25030
SL - 24970
TARGETS - 25080,25160,25240
SELL BELOW - 24970
SL - 25030
TARGETS - 24900,24850,24780
NO TRADE ZONE - 24970 to 25030
Previous Day High - 25080
Previous Day Low - 24970
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Apple (AAPL): Swing Entry on the HorizonLast time, we narrowly missed the entry on Apple by just a few dollars, and after that miss, the stock no longer presented a compelling opportunity, so we decided to wait. However, after observing from the sidelines for a few months, it seems that another chance to secure a profitable swing entry might be approaching.
To increase our confidence in this potential opportunity and secure a better entry point, we need to closely monitor further movements from this tech giant. The current price action strongly suggests that a flat pattern might be forming following the recent drop. If this flat pattern does materialize, it could manifest as either a regular flat or an expanded flat, and this will be crucial in determining our entry target zone. At this stage, the area between $200 and $180 seems the most probable and attractive for a potential entry.
Given the broader market trends and Apple’s recent performance, this zone could offer a favorable risk-reward ratio. We’ll be watching for any developments that confirm this pattern and provide a clearer signal for entry. Stay tuned for further updates as we refine our strategy and prepare for a possible move on Apple.
S&P500 Consolidation Phase Towards The UptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 5540 zone, SPX is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 5540 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
TRX (TRON): Overbought at ResistanceTrade setup : Price remains in an Uptrend. It bounced off of its long-term up trendline and 200-day MA, and resumed its uptrend. We removed it from our HOT list because it's overbought (RSI > 70) near $0.17 resistance, hence we're likely to see some profit taking near-term. We'd wait for a pullback. Nearest Fibonacci Retracement levels (possible support) are $0.16 (23.60%), $.15 (38.20%), and $0.14 (50%). Learn risk management in Lesson 9.
Pattern : Price is Overbought at Resistance . This trading strategy finds assets that are overbought (RSI > 70) and are near a resistance area, which means there's a high probability that price will get rejected and pull back near-term. Overbought conditions are typically reached when RSI hits 70 or more. Learn this trading strategy in Lesson 5.
Trend : Short-term trend is Strong Up, Medium-term trend is Strong Up and Long-term trend is Strong Up.
Momentum is Bullish but inflecting. MACD Line is still above MACD Signal Line but momentum may have peaked since MACD Histogram bars are declining, which suggests that momentum could be nearing a downswing. Price is neither overbought nor oversold currently, based on RSI-14 levels (RSI > 30 and RSI < 70).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $0.14, then $0.128. Nearest Resistance Zone is $0.17, then $0.20.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(27/08/2024)🔔 Bank Nifty Update for Today:
📊 Expected Opening:
Opening Level: Slightly flat near yesterday’s close
📈 Potential Upside Movement:
Primary Upside Target: 51450+
Extended Upside Target: 51950+ (upon breakout above 51550)
Bank Nifty is expected to open slightly flat, near yesterday’s closing level. After the opening, there is a possibility of an upside rally reaching 51,450 or higher. If Bank Nifty breaks out above the 51,550 level, this rally could extend further, potentially reaching up to 51,950.
📉 Support Level:
Strong Support: 51000
The 51000 level will act as a strong support for today’s session, providing a key level to watch in case of any downside movement.
AUDCAD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.91500 zone, AUDCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.91500 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF: Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.84000 zone, USDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.84000 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 27/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 51300
SL - 51080
TARGETS - 51500,51620,51750
SELL BELOW - 51080
SL - 51300
TARGETS - 50890,50740,50600
NO TRADE ZONE - 50890 to 51080
Previous Day High - 51300
Previous Day Low - 51080
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
SPY LOVERS ALMOST ATH AGAIN!! But be very Careful read this... We are very close to the price reaching our institutional order block in the supply zone, where we could expect a small liquidity rejection upon touching it.
According to my forecast, the maximum rejection would be at 549.71, no more! This is a historically significant zone where the price has shown important impulses and patterns. Additionally, the price is moving with a lot of volume and buying strength. We are very, very close to reaching new all-time highs, but the big question is:
Will it surpass the all-time highs this week?
In my opinion, it might, but we must be very cautious as it could be an institutional liquidity trap leading to a strong pullback. So, we need to stay alert to any movement it makes.
Thank you for supporting my analysis; so far, everything has been going according to the forecast.
Best regards.
NASDAQ => Pullback Phase Approaching The Trend!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 19150 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 19150 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Advanced Camarilla Concepts (1)Exploring Advanced Camarilla Concepts: The Strategic Role of Pivot Width
In the realm of technical analysis, understanding the nuances of pivot points, particularly within the Camarilla framework, can significantly enhance a trader's ability to forecast and capitalize on market movements. A key aspect often overlooked is the analysis of pivot width, especially the width between the third layers, S3 and R3, which offers crucial insights into impending market dynamics.
Pivot Width Analysis: Decoding Market Behavior
Pivot width, the distance between significant Camarilla support (S3) and resistance (R3) levels, is a powerful indicator of potential market behavior. The interpretation of pivot width can be categorized into two distinct scenarios:
Abnormally Wide Pivot Widths: When the distance between S3 and R3 is unusually large, it often indicates that the market might enter a period of trading range activity. In such scenarios, the market is less likely to exhibit strong directional momentum, and instead, traders might experience extended periods of consolidation. This setup requires strategies that capitalize on range-bound trading techniques, where buying at support and selling at resistance can be particularly effective.
Abnormally Narrow Pivot Widths: Conversely, a tighter than usual gap between these pivot points typically signals the potential for breakout and trending activities. Narrow pivot widths suggest that the market is coiling, much like a spring, ready to release significant energy that could lead to strong directional moves. Traders should prepare for breakout strategies during these conditions, anticipating substantial moves away from the pivot line once a breakout occurs.
Strategic Application in Trading
Understanding and applying pivot width analysis within the Camarilla framework allows traders to adapt their strategies based on anticipated market conditions. By aligning trading approaches with pivot width signals, traders can enhance their tactical execution and improve the probability of success in varying market environments.
For Wide Pivots: Implement range-bound strategies, focusing on capturing the oscillations between the defined support and resistance levels.
For Narrow Pivots: Prepare for potential breakouts by setting entry points near the anticipated breakout levels, with appropriate stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively.
Conclusion: Enhancing Trading Acumen with Pivot Width Analysis
The study of pivot width in the context of Camarilla pivots offers a sophisticated tool for traders aiming to refine their market analysis and execution strategies. By paying close attention to these details, traders can better prepare for the market's next moves, whether they point to a continuation of the range or the start of a new trend.
Stay tuned for further insights into the application of Camarilla pivots in trading, as we continue to explore deeper layers of this powerful analytical tool. This exploration not only enriches your trading toolkit but also enhances your ability to navigate through complex market landscapes.
STLA 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ biggest volume Sp?
+ weak test closed 2 ticks below support level
+ first bullish bar closed entry
- resistance level
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily countertrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE/T1 level
+ support level"
Monthly trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level"
STLA @NYSE
Sell Limit 17.40, GTC
Sell Stop 16.53 LMT 16.84, GTC
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 26/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 51080
SL - 50890
TARGETS - 51300,51500,51620
SELL BELOW - 50890
SL - 51080
TARGETS - 50740,50600,50420
NO TRADE ZONE - 50890 to 51080
Previous Day High - 51080
Previous Day Low - 50890
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 26/08/2024BUY ABOVE - 24850
SL - 24780
TARGETS - 24900,24960,25020
SELL BELOW - 24780
SL - 24850
TARGETS - 24740,24700,24660
NO TRADE ZONE - 24780 to 24850
Previous Day High - 24850
Previous Day Low - 24780
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍