USD Weakens as Fed Cuts Loom, Safe-Haven CHF GainsMacro:
- Economic concerns in the US, including slowdown risks and trade policy uncertainties, have weakened the US dollar against the swiss franc, benefiting from its safe-haven status.
- Traders expect 0.75% in Fed rate cuts this year, with a Jun cut fully priced. Investors now await Wed's US inflation report for further cues.
- Meanwhile, net long dollar positions in currency futures markets have significantly dropped from Jan's nine-year high, which may reduce the further extreme reallocation away from USD.
Technical:
- USDCHF bounced after reaching the support cluster of 0.8770-0.8800, which coincides with the 100% Fibonacci Extension. The price is below both EMAs, indicating persistent bearish momentum.
- If USDCHF remains above the support area of 0.8770-0.8800, the price may retest the resistance area of 0.8900-0.8915.
- On the contrary, a closing below 0.8770 may prompt a continuous decline to retest the following support area of 0.8617-0.8650, confluence with the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Technical Analysis
[INTRADAY] #FINNIFTY PE & CE Levels(12/03/2025)For a bullish trade setup, traders can consider buying above 23300, as a breakout beyond this level may push the index towards 23400, 23450, and potentially 23500+. This level acts as a key resistance, and if breached, it could trigger an upside momentum.
Conversely, for a bearish trade setup, traders can sell in the 23250-23200 range. If the index sustains below this level, it may witness a downward move, targeting 23100, 23000, and possibly 22950. This zone represents an important support area, and a breakdown could lead to further downside.
The immediate resistance stands at 23300, while the key support is at 22950. The market’s movement within the 23250 - 23300 range will determine the next directional move, making it a crucial zone for traders.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 12/03/2025Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty sustain above 22500 level then possible upside rally upto 22750+ level in today's session. Any major downside only expected if nifty not sustain above level and starts trading below 22450. This downside rally can goes upto 22300 level after the breakdown.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 12, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ceasefire Proposal in Ukraine 🇺🇦🇷🇺: Ukraine has expressed willingness to accept a month-long ceasefire proposal, leading to a surge in the euro to five-month highs. This development has introduced volatility in European and U.S. equity markets, influenced by ongoing U.S. tariff plans.
🇺🇸🇨🇦 U.S. Tariff Increases on Canadian Imports 🇺🇸🇨🇦: President Trump has threatened to double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum imports to 50%, escalating trade tensions and contributing to a deepening stock market sell-off. This move has raised concerns about inflation and economic growth, affecting investor confidence.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Wednesday, March 12:
📈 Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET) 📈:The CPI measures the average change over time in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services, serving as a key indicator of inflation.
Forecast: +0.2% month-over-month
Previous: +0.3% month-over-month
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Bullish Pattern Forming & Key Resistance Test📊 $SOL/USDT Market Update – Bullish Pattern Forming & Key Resistance Test
📈 Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) is currently forming a bullish pattern. A breakout above the black resistance line could signal further upside momentum.
🔄 If CRYPTOCAP:SOL successfully breaks this resistance:
First target: Blue line level (previous Lower High - LH).
📌 Failure to break the resistance may lead to a pullback before another breakout attempt.
Key Resistance Test & Bullish Pattern📊 $BTC/USDT Market Update – Key Resistance Test & Bullish Pattern
📈 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is now testing the red resistance zone, which aligns with the previous Lower High (LH). The price is also forming a bullish pattern, indicating potential breakout momentum.
🔄 If BTC successfully breaks above this resistance:
First target: Green line level.
Second target: Blue line level (previous resistance zone).
📌 Failure to break the red zone may lead to a pullback before another breakout attempt.
Rounding Top Formation & Key Support📊 TVC:GOLD (XAU/USD) Market Update – Rounding Top Formation & Key Support Test
📉 Gold is currently forming a rounding top pattern, indicating potential weakness in momentum.
🔄 Current Scenario:
If the price returns to the green support zone, it could act as a strong support level.
Buyers may step in at this zone, leading to a potential bounce and renewed bullish momentum.
📌 Traders should watch for confirmation signals at the green zone to assess whether buyers regain control.
Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 73777.00, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 91037.20 breaks.
If the support at 73777.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 109588.00 on 01/20/2025, so more losses to support(s) 78180.00 and minimum to Major Support (73777.00) is expected.
Take Profits:
86499.57
91037.20
94505.46
98489.63
101430.12
105431.17
109932.89
115000.00
120000.00
125000.00
__________________________________________________________________
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130000.00
S&P500 -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
5870.56 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
$S&P500
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 6150.05 on 02/19/2025, so more losses to support(s) 5568.78, 5398.95, 5261.00 and more depths is expected.
Take Profits:
5677.80
5568.78
5398.95
5261.00
5122.47
4944.41
4800.00
__________________________________________________________________
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TradeCityPro | HBARUSDT Better Condition Than the Market!👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let's go together and examine one of the popular coins in the market that has experienced less correction recently and is in better condition than other altcoins!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
We go to the weekly time frame and see that hbar's condition is much better than other altcoins, and this is precisely due to the entry of momentum and Bitcoin's bullishness!
After we broke through the support at 0.04339 and engulfed the previous weekly candle, it was a bullish sign, and after the trigger at 0.06219 was activated, we broke this resistance and momentum entered this coin!
If you made your purchase in the spot section from this level, the situation is okay for now, but you can save profit or withdraw the principal capital. If you want to re-enter, you can make your purchase after the 0.33056 break.
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily time frame, we have higher levels and a better situation than the rest of the coins, and in a situation where most altcoins are forming lower bottoms, this has not even lost its main level.
After the 0.06470 and daily box break, we experienced a movement of about 500%, and if we draw a Fibonacci, we are currently at the 0.382 level, and this in itself increases the importance of this level! If the 0.37350 ceiling is broken, it shows us that we are going to experience a new movement!
This daily candle can be a good trigger to buy again, and the reason is that we are rising from a good support level and it is also a good Fibonacci level, but this trigger is risky and after the break of 0.26486 it will be a better trigger to welcome, and for a temporary exit, you can also temporarily exit with a break of 0.18653.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Dow Jones Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 41900 zone, Dow Jones is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 41900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY Key Support Retest – Potential Bounce or Break?I've been watching #GBPJPY on the 30-minute chart, and there's a strong support level around 189.91. The price has tested this level multiple times and bounced back each time, showing clear buying interest. Right now, it's retesting the same zone, and if it rejects again, we could see another push to the upside. I'm keeping an eye on this level for a potential long setup, but if it breaks below, further downside could be in play. Waiting for confirmation before making a move!
Unipro UPRO Stock Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis📊 Technical Analysis of Unipro ( RUS:UPRO ) Stock
Current Price: 2.043 RUB (+2.46%)
Trend: The stock is in a growth phase, but signs of overbought conditions are emerging.
RSI (14): 78.91 (overbought, possible correction ahead)
MACD (12,26,9): +0.13 (bullish signal, but a reversal is possible)
Support Levels: 1.95 RUB and 1.80 RUB
Resistance Levels: 2.10 RUB and 2.30 RUB
Entry Points:
A pullback to 1.95 RUB may be a good opportunity for long positions.
If the price consolidates above 2.10 RUB, further growth toward 2.30 RUB is likely.
Stop-Loss: 1.85 RUB (if breached, the trend could reverse downward)
📈 Fundamental Analysis
Financial Performance:
Revenue remains stable, but growth rates are slowing.
Net profit declined in 2024 due to rising operating expenses.
Debt burden is low, ensuring resilience to macroeconomic shocks.
Impact of the Russian Central Bank:
The high key interest rate is limiting market capitalization growth.
Investors are waiting for rate decisions—any cuts could accelerate stock growth.
Dividends:
Expected to remain at 6 RUB per share.
Dividend yield remains attractive for long-term investors.
Macroeconomic Factors:
External sanctions and political risks may influence business growth.
A potential IPO of RTK-DPC (a Unipro subsidiary) could strengthen the company’s financial position.
🔍 Conclusion
Short-term: The stock may experience a correction due to overbought conditions. The best entry point is around 1.95 RUB.
Mid-term: If the price consolidates above 2.10 RUB, growth toward 2.30 RUB is likely.
Long-term: Unipro remains attractive for investors focused on dividends and stability.
❗ Keep an eye on Russian Central Bank decisions and overall market sentiment.
Bitcoin Cash shows signs of resilienceBitcoin Cash MARKETSCOM:BCHUSD is currently resisting to go for lower lows. Instead, the crypto is forming higher lows. If this remains like this, there might see some buying interest coming through. Let's dig in.
CRYPTO:BCHUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
BITCOIN MARKET ANALYSIS: CRASH OR NEXT BIG MOVE?BITCOIN MARKET ANALYSIS: CRASH OR NEXT BIG MOVE
Expert Insights and Key Trends
Is Bitcoin poised for a significant downturn or a major upward swing? In this in-depth analysis, we examine:
- Current Market Trend: A thorough review of Bitcoin's present market trajectory.
- Critical Support and Resistance Zones: Identification of key levels that may influence future price movements.
- On-Chain Analysis and Whale Movements: Expert analysis of on-chain data and whale activity.
- 2024 Bitcoin Price Prediction: Insights from industry experts on Bitcoin's potential price trajectory.
Stay Informed, Stay Ahead
Whether you're a trader or long-term investor, this analysis provides crucial information to help you navigate the Bitcoin market.
Tesla (TSLA) Weekly Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Market OutlookTesla (TSLA) Weekly Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Market Outlook 🚀
1️⃣ Overall Trend:
✅ Long-Term Uptrend (2019-2021): Tesla experienced a massive rally, reaching all-time highs.
🔻 Correction Phase (2022): A significant pullback led to a strong downtrend.
📈 Recovery Mode (2023-Present): The stock started forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish structure.
📉 Recent Pullback: The price is now retracing from recent highs, showing potential short-term downside momentum.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels:
📌 Support Zones:
$300: A critical level—if it breaks, Tesla could drop further.
$260 - $280: The next demand zone if selling pressure continues.
$240 - $250: Strong historical support, previous swing low.
$180 - $200: A major long-term base where Tesla found strong demand before a rally.
📌 Resistance Zones:
$380 - $400: A strong rejection zone—Tesla recently pulled back from here.
Above $400: A breakout could send TSLA toward $500+ (previous cycle highs).
3️⃣ Candlestick & Price Action Observations:
📉 Bearish Momentum:
The latest weekly candle is red, indicating strong selling pressure.
If Tesla fails to hold $300, expect a move toward $260-$280.
📊 Potential Bounce Area:
If buyers step in, Tesla might consolidate before another leg higher.
4️⃣ Market Context & Indicators:
🚗 EV Sector & Nasdaq Trends: Tesla follows macroeconomic conditions and overall tech sector movements.
📆 Earnings & News Catalysts: Watch for updates on deliveries, margins, and macro sentiment.
📊 Technical Indicators:
✅ Moving Averages:
50-Week MA: A close below this could signal weakening momentum.
200-Week MA: A crucial long-term dynamic support.
✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Not oversold yet—watch for levels near 30 for potential reversals.
✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Bearish crossover forming? A confirmation could indicate further downside momentum.
✅ Fibonacci Retracement:
Retracement levels align with $260 - $280 as a possible bounce zone.
5️⃣ What’s Next?
📌 Bullish Scenario: If Tesla holds $300, expect a potential rebound toward $350-$380.
📌 Bearish Scenario: A break below $300 could lead to a test of $260-$280, with downside risk toward $240 - $250 in extreme cases.
🚀 Key Question: Will Tesla hold support and bounce back, or will sellers push it lower?
💬 Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📉📈
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 11/03/2025Slightly gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 22450 level then possible downside rally upto 22300 in opening session. This downside rally can extend further in case nifty gives breakdown of 22250 level. Any bullish side rally only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 22500 level.
Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation AnalysisQuick analysis of BTCUSD downside targets. Remains to be seen whether the near-term Bitcoin lows will hold, but if they don't, a "bear trap" setup could be in play. There's a daily demand zone (77075-74305) wedged between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. The bear trap will be dependent on momentum, but watch this area if we get a flush below 78180. If bullish divergences form, bulls could look to trap bears and buy within said range.
That said, keep the focus on longer-term charts. Larger timeframe buy zones are ~70K. Should the weekly RSI take a dive < 40, look for reversal signals on smaller timeframes before getting long. The high of the corrective segment denoting ideal buys is 73808 and the anchor low securing the long-term uptrend is 49351. Entries within that range, which is wide, are viable. Also multiple support/resistance "flip zones" in play circa the abovementioned levels.
Bitcoin found some support ~50% Fib retrace, anchored VWAP, and sub-daily demand. It could hold here (trying to put in a intraday higher low as I type this), but I'm hoping it trades lower before higher.
Godspeed!
JHart
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 11, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇯🇵🤝 Japan-U.S. Trade Discussions 🤝: Japanese Trade Minister Yoji Muto is visiting Washington from March 9–11 to engage in discussions with U.S. officials. The talks aim to strengthen economic ties and address trade concerns, including potential exemptions for Japanese exports from proposed U.S. tariffs. These negotiations could influence sectors such as automotive and steel, impacting market dynamics.
🇨🇳📊 China's National People's Congress (NPC) Developments 📊: The 2025 National People's Congress is underway in Beijing from March 5–11. Key economic targets and policy directions set during the NPC may affect global markets, including the U.S., especially in areas related to trade, technology, and foreign investment.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Tuesday, March 11:
📄 JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET) 📄:This report provides data on job openings, hires, and separations, offering a comprehensive view of the labor market's dynamics.
Forecast: 7.71 million
Previous: 7.6 million
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Tue 11th Mar 2025 GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/JPY Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EURNZD -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1.82059, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 1.85400 breaks.
If the support at 1.82059 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The ascending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.85400 on 12/27/2024, so more losses minimum to Major Support (1.82059) is expected.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 43.
Supports and Resistances:
1.87650
1.85400
1.82059
1.78251
1.76500
1.74929
1.73804
__________________________________________________________________
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. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?)
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team