#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 04/10/2024Slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening nifty will face resistance at 25450 level and expected reversal from this level upto 25250. Strong downside possible in case nifty starts trading below 25200 level this rally can go upto 25000 level.
Technical Analysis
XAUUSD: New Day Trading Strategy!Currently, XAUUSD is hovering around the 2662 USD mark, and it seems that the price has remained relatively stable over the past few days. On the other hand, the resistance level at 2670 is acting as a significant barrier to upward momentum. Interestingly, XAUUSD is forming a green candlestick right above the parallel wedge.
If this candle closes above the wedge, we could fully expect a strong breakout, aiming for new profit targets. Additionally, the positive signals from the EMA 34 and 89 are reinforcing this view, indicating a clear upward trend.
Investors might consider opening BUY positions on shorter timeframes, once the price confirms a breakout from the current range, provided that the support level around 2654 USD holds firm.
XAUUSD: Positive Technical OutlookHello everyone!
Currently, gold is hovering around the $2,658 mark in early trading, showing a slight recovery after its price correction from $2,640 late yesterday.
On the technical chart, gold continues to maintain a strong uptrend within a parallel wedge pattern, with the convergence of the 34 and 89 EMAs signaling further upward potential. A solid support level is also clearly established, reinforcing this recovery trend.
Given these factors, we can confidently expect gold to break out of its current sideways phase, likely surpassing the upper boundary of the wedge and pushing higher in the near future. Therefore, the preferred strategy right now is to *buy* – seize this opportunity, my friends!
The Altcoin Market Is Now Flirting With The 350 DMA ...Again!Here's what that means. A long-term view.
Traders,
The pressure is on for these altcoin bulls to run through the end of the year. However, we are flirting with disaster this time around. Here's why?
From the beginning, the 350 DMA (or 50-week MA) has always told traders whether we were in a bull market or a bear market. Though periodically, the price did stick its proverbial head above the 350 DMA during mid-cycle tops, these were always very short-lived. And it's always been the case that when we've remained above the 350 DMA for this length of time, in this case since Nov of 2023, it signaled we were in a bull run, as opposed to a mid-cycle top. Could this time be different? Well, of course. And I think from looking at the charts, it already has proven it is. This whole run is different.
I won't get into the many ways this cycle is different, but a big one has to do with how the 111 DMA is diverging from the 350x2 DMA (not pictured here). That's never happened before along with a multitude of other occurrences. So, let's explore this thought experiment a bit further. There are several outcomes that we most probably are looking at.
The first outcome could mean that this run was simply an extended mid-cycle top. If true, then this is a much longer mid-cycle top than we have ever witnessed in the history of crypto. And if that is true, the bull run that is coming will melt faces. But it probably would not arrive until next year or even 2026 and it probably means that we dip back under that 350 DMA again for a while. Nobody wants this to happen and nobody seems to be expecting this outcome. Could this then be the strongest possibility? If we anthropomorphize the market a bit, we can observe that it is rather sadistic in this regard. It always has been and probably always will be. The market just enjoys hurting the largest crowd. This is why it's often beneficial to entertain contrarian thought and not to simply dismiss it altogether.
The second outcome is not so good. It could mean that we skipped our mid-cycle top completely and that our bull run is about to end if we dip below that 350 DMA. Now, there is still hope here because we haven't done that yet. But I certainly do not like the looks of how we have been flirting with that line for these last several months. This moving average is critical! Watch it closely on both the daily (as a 350 DMA) and on the weekly (as a 50). The weekly will confirm whether we drop or not. It must be confirmed with two candle closes below on the weekly.
There is a third possibility. This is the one that I think we are all hoping for and, tbh, most are expecting. It also indicates that we skipped our mid-cycle top and are in a bull run that will not end until late this year or into the next. This would mean that we will remain above that 350 DMA (though, there could be a few candle closes below) and that we should see some new highs being made through the end of the year.
I kept our chart on the daily view as opposed to the weekly because I wanted you all to track that bullish triangle with me. Notice how we are retesting the top of it as we should after a breakout. This is technically very sound. But also notice how that 350 DMA is moving up to lend some support. What a beautiful area of confluence! But also, scary. Because if it's broken to the downside, it may indicate either another Black Swan event on the horizon OR we don't get the bull run alts were expecting.
It is do-or-die time now. Let's go.
Stew
SWING IDEA - OBEROI REALTYOberoi Realty is presenting a promising swing trade opportunity based on the following technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout : The price has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a potential upward movement.
Strong Bullish Candle : A robust bullish candle signals increasing buying momentum.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, further reinforcing the bullish trend.
Target - 1950
Stoploss - daily close below 1730
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BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 04/10/2024BUY ABOVE - 51990
SL - 51820
TARGETS - 52120,52260,52400
SELL BELOW - 51670
SL - 51820
TARGETS - 51530,51400,51230
NO TRADE ZONE - 51670 to 51990
Previous Day High - 52600
Previous Day Low - 51670
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 04/10/2024BUY ABOVE - 25310
SL - 25240
TARGETS - 25380,25440,25490
SELL BELOW - 25240
SL - 25310
TARGETS - 25190,25130,25080
NO TRADE ZONE - 25240 to 25310
Previous Day High - 25620
Previous Day Low - 25240
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
A Simple and Effective Strategy to Outsmart Liquidity HuntingHave you ever encountered a scenario where the price hits your Stop Loss level first, only to then fully reverse and head in the direction of your target profit, ultimately reaching it? If the answer is yes, you’ve most likely fallen victim to what is commonly referred to as a 'liquidity grab'. In other terms, this phenomenon is known as 'stop-loss hunting', and it is an inescapable occurrence within the realm of trading.
But why does it happen? The answer lies in the actions of big market players, such as banks and institutions, who need to fill their large positions. Simply put, for markets to function properly, there must be equilibrium - an equal number of buyers and sellers, a balance between supply and demand. For every buy-back and sell-off you conduct, there must be an opposing party willing to execute the trade with you. This is where brokers come into play, linking both sides of the transaction. When there is an imbalance between buyers and sellers, it leads to market inefficiency, which can result in excess supply or demand, distorting price movements. Market makers help prevent this by ensuring market stability and securing better pricing for executing large orders.
For example, imagine you have analysed the sentiment and opened a SELL trade on USD/CHF at a key level, placing your Stop Loss just above the same zone. After some time, you notice the price impulsively moves towards your Stop Loss, triggering it and taking you out of the trade. Later, you watch the price flip and move in the direction you had originally predicted. Frustrated, you begin to blame the market, convinced it’s rigged against you. However, what really happened is that the price was pushed into an obvious pool of Stop Losses, allowing the positions you and many others sold to be bought back. This also enabled large institutional orders to be filled at better prices, while maintaining balance between buy and sell orders.
How do you avoid this? The key is to better understand market dynamics and make more informed decisions. In this scenario, a smarter approach would have been to place your entry where the obvious pool of Stop Losses is located. By doing so, you could have captured a more favourable risk-to-reward ratio, perhaps achieving a 1:3 trade, as illustrated in the accompanying chart.
So next time, before rushing into a trade, take a step back. Assess the situation with greater patience and clarity. Often, there’s an initial push, just as the price action indicates. This move entices traders into premature entries. Afterward, a sudden liquidity grab occurs, wiping out these traders before the market reverses in the anticipated direction.
Be patient. Play it smart.
Best wishes,
Investroy
Gold at the Verge of a Breakout or Correction?Gold prices are currently “dancing” around the $2,655 level. The strong support at $2,630.511 acts as the “last fortress” protecting buyers from a steep decline.
However, all eyes are on the critical resistance levels at $2,678. These are the “gateways” buyers need to breach to unlock a spectacular breakout, driving gold to new highs.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are providing solid momentum, helping to maintain the upward trend.
But can the market hold onto this optimism, especially with hot U.S. news and Fed movements that could shift the dynamics at any moment?
A strong breakout might be in the cards, but if not, a correction back to the support zone could prompt many investors to reconsider their strategies
EW Breakdown of USDCHF: Eyeing a Move Toward 0.8620Timeframe: 4h (240 min)
I have analyzed the wave count by examining a consolidation area with significant trading activity following a sharp decline in USDCHF. Observing the slope of the fall, it appears that this congestion area could represent a correction on the 4-hour timeframe. The wave count indicates that wave B has formed a contracting triangle, with wave (e) of wave B completing at 0.8396 .
We are at wave (C), which has can be move forward after breaching a strong resistance of 0.85154 . The currency may have some pullback for the public participation, but it shouldn't exceed the low of wave B. The setup can be formed after the breakout of wave B, for the distance up to 0.8618 .
Fibonacci Calculations are given below:
Wave C = 1.618 of Wave A
Wave C = 0.786 of the previous impulse
Wave C = 1.618 of the previous impulse
Additional information will be provided shortly.
Gold Price Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Formation Signals $$##📈 Gold Price Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Formation Signals Potential Breakout
Gold trades within a symmetrical triangle formation on the H1 timeframe, and traders are closely monitoring for a potential breakout. This technical pattern, known for its converging trendlines, often signals an impending price breakout, either upward or downward. Here's what to watch for:
🔺 What is a Symmetrical Triangle?
A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern in which the price forms lower highs and higher lows , creating two converging trendlines 📊. The market's indecision builds tension, often leading to a significant breakout in either direction as the price consolidates.
🚀 Key Breakout Levels for Gold
As gold continues to move within this symmetrical triangle, there are two potential breakout scenarios:
📈 Upside Breakout Target – $2,693:
If gold breaks out above the upper trendline of the symmetrical triangle, we can expect bullish momentum to push the price toward the $2,693 level. This would indicate a continuation of the upward trend, attracting buyers and potentially setting the stage for further gains.
📉 Downside Breakout Target – $2,614:
On the other hand, a break below the lower trendline would signal a bearish move, with the next potential target around $2,614 . This downside breakout would indicate a reversal or pause in the recent bullish trend, likely driving selling pressure.
🔍 Factors to Watch
Several factors may influence gold’s price action and the potential breakout direction:
🌍 Geopolitical tensions and market uncertainty drive safe-haven gold demand, potentially pushing prices higher.
💵 US Dollar strength: A stronger dollar could weigh on gold, increasing the likelihood of a downside breakout.
📉 Interest rates and inflation expectations also play a role, as rising rates could limit gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
🛠 Trading Strategy
Traders should consider waiting for a clear breakout above or below the symmetrical triangle before entering a position. A decisive move beyond these key levels— $2,693 for an upside breakout or $2,614 for a downside breakout—could offer strong trading opportunities with defined risk levels.
💡 Conclusion
The symmetrical triangle formation on the H1 timeframe indicates that gold is on the verge of a significant move. Monitoring key breakout levels, market sentiment, and external factors like the dollar and interest rates will be crucial in navigating this potential opportunity. Whether gold breaks out to the upside or downside, traders should be prepared for a substantial price move towards $2,693 or $2,614.
🔔 Stay updated with the latest prices and market developments to capitalize on this technical pattern.
SWING IDEA - GILLANDERSMACD crossover is in play on the weekly charts.
Support level has currently formed at the 91 levels. Weekly closes above this level is crucial for a rally upward.
MACD cross has already given 12% up move so far this week. Let's hope we start seeing new highs in the coming weeks.
EURUSD: Continuously searching for new bottoms!Dear Investors,
Today, let's dive into the EURUSD pair analysis with Conan!
In recent days, EURUSD has not had many big fluctuations, but still maintains the trend of finding new bottoms through red candles. Technically, the double top pattern has been confirmed and the price has broken the 1.1100 level, opening the possibility of a deeper decline. However, to break the strong support at 1.1000, the sellers need confirmation from the new resistance zone at 1.1085 - a level that matches the 0.618 Fibonacci level in our forecast. Potential profit-taking levels that investors can consider are 1.1000 and 1.0900 respectively.
What do you think about this analysis? Share your views!
State Bank of India (SBI) – Bullish Reversal Setup State Bank of India (SBI) – Bullish Reversal Setup with Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern
SBI is currently forming a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern on the daily chart, a strong indication of a potential bullish reversal. The neckline, located at ₹826.45 , is the critical level to watch. A successful breakout above this level could trigger upward movement towards ₹880 and ₹911 , with volume confirmation needed to validate the move.
Technical Highlights :
Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern: The formation of this pattern suggests a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The price is consolidating just below the neckline at ₹826. A close above this could indicate further strength.
Support and Resistance: Immediate resistance is at ₹826.45 , followed by targets at ₹880 and ₹911 . On the downside, the stock finds support at ₹790 and ₹762 , which could act as stop-loss zones.
Volume Profile : High activity in the ₹790 - ₹826 range signals strong buying interest. A breakout above this range could push the stock into the next major volume zone around ₹880 .
Moving Averages: The stock is trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages , confirming a bullish bias in the near term.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) : RSI is neutral around 50, signaling consolidation. A push above 60 would confirm bullish momentum in line with a potential breakout.
Outlook:
Bullish Scenario : A breakout above ₹826 could open the door for a move toward ₹880 and ₹911. Traders should look for volume confirmation to ensure the breakout's sustainability.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to break above ₹826 could lead to a pullback toward support at ₹790, with ₹762 being the next key level on the downside.
SBI appears poised for a breakout, making it an attractive opportunity for traders looking for a bullish reversal setup.