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Technical Analysis

USDJPY – Major Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown | Retest PlayUSDJPY has recently broken down from a large symmetrical triangle pattern visible on the 4H timeframe. After a prolonged uptrend that formed the triangle structure, price decisively broke below the lower support line, indicating a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown Price formed a classic symmetrical triangle pattern over several months. A strong bearish breakout occurred from the lower trendline, signaling a potential reversal. The projected measured move target from this breakdown points toward 141.526, representing a 6.5% decline. 2. Retest Zone Price has pulled back to retest the broken triangle trendline from below. This bearish retest setup is a textbook confirmation of resistance turning from previous support. The current consolidation suggests the market is gathering liquidity before a potential next leg down. 3. Market Structure & Momentum Lower highs and lower lows are now forming post-breakdown, confirming a bearish structure. A clear rejection from the retest zone around the 151.500–152.000 level would further validate the short thesis. 🧠 Trade Idea Entry Zone: On confirmation of rejection near the retest (~151.5 area) Target : 141.526 (Measured move from triangle breakdown) Stop Loss : Above the triangle high or above the recent swing (~153.00+) Risk-Reward : High probability play based on pattern + structure shift ⚠️ Key Watch Levels Resistance: 151.5–152.0 (triangle retest) Support/Target: 141.5 (measured move) Break above 153.0 will invalidate this bearish bias.
Short
by ForexOptimizer
(XAU/USD) Forming a Bearish Reversal–Key Short Setup Unfolding!Chart Pattern: Head and Shoulders Formation The chart shows a potential Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a bearish reversal setup. The head is the highest peak, while the two shoulders form lower highs on both sides. The price has already broken below the neckline, indicating a sell opportunity. Key Levels: Resistance Levels: $3,055.29 – Major resistance $3,046.10 – Key level near recent highs $3,030.58 – Short-term resistance where price is currently retesting Support Levels (Potential Targets): $2,981.18 – First support level $2,939.81 - $2,931.99 – Strong demand zone $2,881.49 – Major support level Trade Setup: Entry: The price has broken below the neckline and is currently retesting the breakdown zone (~$3,030.58). If the retest holds, it confirms a sell entry opportunity. Target: First target near $2,981.18 Second target around $2,939.81 - $2,931.99 Final target at $2,881.49 for a deeper correction Stop-Loss: A stop-loss above $3,046.10 to minimize risk Market Sentiment: The break below the neckline and a possible rejection at the retest area suggest further downside potential. If buyers push the price above $3,046.10, the bearish outlook would be invalidated. This setup presents a high-probability short trade if confirmation follows through after the retest. Traders should monitor price action around the retest zone before entering a position. 🚨📉
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
GBP/USD Breaks Rising Channel – Bearish Target Ahead!Key Observations: Rising Channel: The price was trading within an ascending channel, bouncing between resistance and support. Breakout & Sell Signal: The price has broken below the channel support, indicating a potential trend reversal. Bearish Target: The next key support level is around 1.27024, aligning with a previous demand zone. Confirmation: If the price stays below 1.29165, further downside movement is likely. Trading Idea: Short Entry: After confirmation of a breakdown below support. Target: 1.27024 (next major support level). Stop Loss: Above 1.30127 (previous resistance). This setup suggests bearish momentum as long as the price remains below the broken support. Traders should watch for retests and volume confirmation.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
2
Ethereum 20% Crash: Temporary Setback or a Buy Opportunity?Hello, Traders! Ethereum experienced a significant drop, plunging over 20% in just one day and hitting its lowest point since last August. ETH price found strong support at $2130 and I don’t expect further downfall beyond this level unless broader market conditions deteriorate. One of the key technical developments was Ethereum breaking the crucial $2800 support zone, which is a bearish signal for the continuation of the uptrend. However, a quick recovery above this level could reignite bullish momentum and bring buyers back into the market. W atching how ETH reacts to this resistance will be crucial in the coming days. The main catalyst for this sell-off was Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which triggered a broader risk-off sentiment in global markets. The crypto space, being highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, saw a sharp reaction, with Ethereum and other major altcoins suffering deep corrections. Despite the current bearish outlook, there is one major reason why Ethereum is likely to recover quickly — the upcoming Pectra upgrade, set to take place next month. Historically, ETH has seen strong rallies leading up to major network upgrades, and I expect a similar pattern to unfold this time. If the market stabilizes and sentiment shifts, Ethereum could reclaim lost ground and resume its long-term bullish trajectory. For now, the key levels to watch are $2130 as support and $2800 as resistance. A break above $2800 could signal a strong reversal, while failure to hold $2130 might open the door for deeper corrections Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
by Real_CryptoRoy
7
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD; Resistance 1: 1.0944 - 1.0955 area Support 1: 1.0804 - 1.0834 area Support 2: 1.0598 - 1.0630 area Support 3: 1.0515 - 1.0533 area Support 4: 1.0359 - 1.0377 area Support 5: 1.0727 - 1.0290 area Support 6: 1.0717 - 1.0240 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
EUR/JPY Chart Analysis - Falling Wedge Target with Bullish SetupThis EUR/JPY 1-hour chart reveals a well-defined falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal formation. Additionally, we see key support and resistance levels, a double bottom, and a breakout potential that traders can use to plan an entry. Let’s dissect this chart in a professional and detailed manner to understand the trade setup and market psychology. 🔹 Market Trend & Structure Analysis The market was previously in an uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows, until it faced strong resistance at the 163.500 level. Upon reaching this zone, the price reversed downward, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, which resulted in a falling wedge pattern. This downward movement was accompanied by a trendline break, signaling a shift in momentum. The price has since reached a strong support level and is showing signs of potential bullish reversal. 🔹 Key Technical Patterns & Indicators 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal Signal) A falling wedge is a pattern characterized by two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, indicating that selling pressure is weakening. This pattern is considered a bullish signal because: ✔️ The declining price movement shows exhaustion of sellers. ✔️ Volume typically decreases as the wedge forms, indicating a breakout is coming. ✔️ Once price breaks out of the wedge, a strong bullish move often follows. The key here is to wait for a breakout above the upper trendline, which will confirm the bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Double Bottom Formation at Support (Reversal Confirmation) The price tested the 160.500 support level twice, forming a double bottom pattern. This is another bullish sign, as it indicates: ✔️ Buyers are actively defending this level. ✔️ There’s strong demand around this price zone. ✔️ If price breaks above the wedge resistance, it could trigger a significant rally. 🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels Identifying support and resistance is crucial for defining entry and exit points. ✅ Support Levels: 160.500 – Strong horizontal support (Price tested this twice). 158.982 – Stop-loss level (Below this, the bullish setup is invalid). ✅ Resistance Levels: 163.500 – Major resistance (Previous high and supply zone). 165.090 – Final target (Key breakout level). If the price successfully breaks out of the wedge, it has room to rise significantly, with 163.500 as the first target and 165.090 as the ultimate goal. 🔹 Trade Setup & Execution Plan 🎯 Bullish Breakout Trade Strategy Since this setup signals a potential reversal, here’s how traders can execute a high-probability trade: 🔹 Entry Points: ✅ Aggressive Entry: Enter as soon as price breaks above the wedge resistance. ✅ Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout and a retest of the resistance-turned-support before entering. 🔹 Target Levels: 🎯 First target: 163.500 (Previous resistance level). 🎯 Final target: 165.090 (Major resistance zone). 🔹 Stop-Loss Placement: ❌ Place the stop loss below 158.982, as a break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup. 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Justification 📈 Why This Trade Has a High Potential Reward? Low-risk, high-reward: The stop loss is tight, while the upside potential is large. Confluence of bullish signals: Falling wedge + Double bottom + Strong support. Institutional interest likely: Buyers are stepping in at key levels. A proper risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this trade would be at least 1:3, meaning for every 1% risk, there’s a 3% profit potential. This makes it a great swing trading setup. 🔹 Market Psychology Behind the Setup The falling wedge represents a market correction after a strong bullish trend. The double bottom shows that sellers are exhausted and buyers are gaining control. If price breaks out, many traders will enter, triggering a strong upward rally. This bullish breakout setup aligns with the smart money concept, where institutions accumulate positions before a big move. 🔹 Final Thoughts & Trade Outlook This EUR/JPY setup presents a high-probability trade opportunity with a bullish breakout scenario. The combination of: ✅ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish reversal) ✅ Double Bottom at Support (Buyers stepping in) ✅ Key Resistance Targets (Clear trade exit points) …creates a great trading setup. 📌 Trading Plan Summary: ✔️ Buy on breakout above the falling wedge. ✔️ Target 163.500 & 165.090 for profits. ✔️ Stop-loss below 158.982 for risk management. 🚀 If executed correctly, this trade has the potential for strong bullish momentum. Would you like a real-time update once the price confirms the breakout? Let’s keep an eye on this trade! 📊🔥
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
CHF/USD Trading Setup – Triple Bottom Reversal & Breakout Setup🔍 Overview of the Chart Setup The CHF/USD (Swiss Franc vs. U.S. Dollar) 1-hour timeframe chart reveals a classic Triple Bottom pattern, which is a well-known bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates that sellers have attempted to break the support level three times but failed, suggesting a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watch this structure as it often leads to a strong upward breakout once key resistance levels are breached. The current setup provides an excellent risk-to-reward trading opportunity, especially for those looking to capitalize on the breakout. 📊 Key Levels in the CHF/USD Chart 1️⃣ Support and Resistance Zones 🟢 Support Level (~1.1300 - 1.1280 Zone) This zone has been tested three times, confirming strong buying interest at this price level. The formation of long wicks on candlesticks signals strong demand and buyer dominance. A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend. 🔴 Resistance Level (~1.1415 - 1.1430 Zone) This level acts as a price ceiling, where previous bullish attempts were rejected. A break and retest above this zone would confirm the Triple Bottom breakout. 🎯 Target Level (~1.1457 Zone) The projected target is based on the height of the pattern, which is measured and added to the breakout point. This level aligns with previous price action zones and acts as a natural take-profit area for traders. 🚨 Stop-Loss Level (~1.1243 Zone) A stop-loss is placed below the support zone to protect against false breakouts or an invalidation of the pattern. 📉 Understanding the Triple Bottom Pattern The Triple Bottom is a strong bullish reversal formation that occurs at the end of a downtrend. It signals that sellers are exhausted, and buyers are gradually taking control. 🔹 Breakdown of the Triple Bottom Formation ✅ Bottom 1 (First Low) The first bottom forms when the price hits the support level and bounces back. Sellers are still active, so price declines again to test the same support zone. ✅ Bottom 2 (Second Low - Confirmation of Support) The second test of the support zone validates the demand area. Buyers step in again, pushing the price upward. The market still lacks enough momentum for a breakout, leading to a third retest. ✅ Bottom 3 (Final Low and Strong Rejection) The third bottom is crucial because it signals the last test of support before a breakout. The failure to break lower creates a higher probability of an upside move. 📌 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action Signals 🔵 The breakout is confirmed when: The price closes above the resistance zone (1.1415 - 1.1430) with strong momentum. Volume spikes during the breakout, indicating institutional buying interest. A successful retest of the resistance zone as new support further validates the trend reversal. If the breakout lacks volume or gets rejected, traders should be cautious of a fakeout or potential retracement. 📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 🔹 Conservative Entry (Safe Approach) Enter after a confirmed breakout above 1.1415, ensuring a strong candle close above resistance. Look for a retest of the breakout level before entering the trade. 🔹 Aggressive Entry (Early Positioning) Enter near the third bottom (~1.1300 - 1.1320) with a tight stop-loss. Higher risk but better reward if the price moves upward without retesting. 🔹 Stop-Loss Placement Conservative traders: Place the stop-loss below the support zone (~1.1243). Aggressive traders: Place a tight stop below the recent swing low for better risk management. 📌 Profit Target Projection Take Profit Target: 1.1457, based on the height of the pattern. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Risk: ~60 pips (from entry to stop-loss). Reward: ~150 pips (from entry to target). Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3, making it a high-probability trade. 📡 Additional Confirmation Indicators for Stronger Trade Setup 📊 1. Volume Analysis A spike in volume at the breakout level suggests strong buyer interest. Low volume on the breakout may indicate a potential fakeout. 📈 2. RSI (Relative Strength Index) Confirmation RSI should be above 50 and trending upward to confirm bullish momentum. If RSI is overbought (>70), watch for a pullback before entering the trade. 📉 3. Moving Averages Support If the 50-period or 200-period moving average supports the breakout level, it adds extra confirmation. A moving average crossover may further validate the trend reversal. 🔍 4. Beware of Fake Breakouts If the price briefly moves above resistance but fails to hold, it may be a bull trap. Always wait for a candle close above resistance and a potential retest before confirming the entry. 🛠️ Alternative Scenarios & Market Risks 🔺 Bullish Scenario (Breakout & Rally to Target) Price breaks above 1.1415, confirming a trend reversal. A retest of resistance as support gives additional buying confidence. Price reaches 1.1457 target before facing new resistance. 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Fakeout & Breakdown Below Support) Price fails to hold above resistance and falls back below support. A breakdown below 1.1243 invalidates the pattern, triggering a bearish continuation. Traders should cut losses quickly if the setup is invalidated. ⚠️ Fundamental Risks to Watch U.S. Dollar news events (FOMC, NFP, CPI reports) can increase volatility. Swiss economic data may impact CHF strength. Unexpected geopolitical events can influence currency movements. 🔎 Summary of the Trading Plan 📌 Trading Strategy Checklist ✅ Pattern: Triple Bottom (Bullish Reversal). ✅ Entry Strategy: Buy after breakout confirmation above 1.1415. ✅ Take Profit Target: 1.1457. ✅ Stop-Loss Level: Below 1.1243. ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (High-Profit Potential with Proper Risk Management). 💡 Final Thought: This setup provides a high-probability bullish trade with strong technical confluence. However, always remain cautious of market news, economic reports, and sudden volatility that could influence price action. 🚀 Patience & discipline are key—wait for confirmation before entering! 📊
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Trading Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyChart Overview The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a classic falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup indicating that selling momentum is weakening and a breakout to the upside is imminent. This chart provides a structured trading plan, highlighting support and resistance levels, entry points, stop-loss placement, and a target price. Traders can use this setup to capitalize on the potential bullish move while effectively managing risk. Let’s break it down step by step. 1. Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern A falling wedge is formed when price action moves within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge. It signals decreasing bearish pressure, as the price forms lower highs and lower lows within a narrowing range. The decreasing range indicates that sellers are losing control, and an upside breakout is likely. In this chart, we observe the following key characteristics of a falling wedge: ✅ Two converging downward trendlines that contain price movement. ✅ Lower highs and lower lows showing seller exhaustion. ✅ Decreasing volume as the price approaches the breakout zone. ✅ Support near 1.08000, which has held price several times before. A breakout above the wedge signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment, making this a strong trade setup. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels 🔹 Support Level (Demand Zone) The horizontal blue zone at 1.07898 – 1.08000 is a critical support level. This level has been tested multiple times, making it a strong demand zone where buyers step in. The falling wedge bottom aligns with this area, reinforcing its importance. If price stays above this zone, it confirms the potential for a bullish breakout. 🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone) The resistance zone at 1.09300 - 1.09839 has acted as a barrier to upward movement. Price previously reversed from this zone, making it a logical take-profit area. If the breakout happens, this level will be tested again. A break above 1.09839 would signal further bullish momentum. 3. Trading Strategy – Step-by-Step Execution 📌 Entry Confirmation To enter this trade with confidence, traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge. A strong bullish candle breaking above the wedge’s upper trendline signals entry. Ideally, a pullback and retest of the breakout level would provide additional confirmation before entering long. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement Risk management is key, and stop-loss placement should be strategic to avoid unnecessary losses. A stop-loss is set just below 1.07898, slightly under the recent low. This placement ensures protection against false breakouts. 📌 Take-Profit Target The take-profit target is set at 1.09839, aligning with key resistance and the projected wedge breakout distance. This level has historically acted as resistance, making it an ideal zone to exit profits. Partial profit-taking can be considered near 1.09300, before the final target. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio With a tight stop-loss and a higher profit target, this trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio (RRR). A minimum RRR of 1:3 is recommended, meaning potential reward is three times the risk taken. 4. Expected Market Behavior & Possible Scenarios 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀 If price breaks and closes above the wedge, we expect a rally towards 1.09300 - 1.09839. Pullback to retest the breakout zone would further confirm bullish strength. Strong volume would validate the breakout, leading to a high-probability move. 📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Invalidation) ❌ If price breaks below 1.07898, the bullish setup is invalidated. A downside move could push the price lower, possibly towards 1.07500 or below. Traders should exit long positions if this scenario unfolds. 5. Additional Technical Indicators for Confirmation To strengthen this trade setup, traders can use: ✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Look for RSI divergence or a move above 50, confirming bullish strength. ✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – A bullish crossover on MACD would reinforce the breakout. ✅ Volume Analysis – A spike in volume at the breakout level adds confidence in the move. 6. Conclusion & Trading Plan This falling wedge setup suggests a high-probability bullish breakout if the price confirms above the resistance zone. 🔹 Trading Plan Summary: ✅ Wait for a breakout above the wedge before entering. ✅ Confirm breakout with a retest or strong bullish candle. ✅ Set stop-loss below 1.07898 to limit downside risk. ✅ Take profit at 1.09839, securing profits at resistance. This strategy offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, making it a well-structured trade setup. Always manage risk and avoid premature entries without confirmation. 📌 TradingView Tags for Maximum Visibility #EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #Breakout #PriceAction #ForexSignals #SupportResistance #TradingSetup #DayTrading #SwingTrading
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP - Double Bottom Reversal Setup | Trendline BreakoutThis EUR/GBP (Euro to British Pound) daily chart presents a textbook double bottom reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal after a prolonged downtrend. Additionally, a trendline breakout further strengthens the bullish outlook. The market structure suggests that buyers are regaining control, and a breakout above the neckline resistance zone (0.84500 - 0.85000) could trigger a significant upward move. Let's break down this setup in detail. 📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart 1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Strong Reversal Signal 🔹 The double bottom is a powerful bullish reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend, indicating that selling pressure is fading and buyers are stepping in. 🔹 First Bottom: Established in December 2024, where the price reached a key support level (~0.82453) before bouncing back. 🔹 Second Bottom: Formed in March 2025, confirming the validity of the support level and creating a solid demand zone. 🔹 The neckline resistance (0.84500 - 0.85000) is the key level that price must break to confirm the reversal. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Sentiment 🔹 The market has been in a downtrend, as shown by the descending trendline acting as resistance for several months. 🔹 Recently, the price broke above this trendline, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening and a potential trend reversal is underway. 🔹 This breakout adds confluence to the double bottom pattern, reinforcing the bullish bias. 3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels to Watch 📌 Support Zone (Bottom Area) – 0.82453: ✅ This level has been tested twice (December & March), confirming it as a strong demand zone. ✅ Price consistently rebounded from this level, showing buyers’ dominance. ✅ This is the ideal stop-loss level to protect against downside risks. 📌 Resistance Zone (Neckline) – 0.84500 - 0.85000: ✅ A breakout above this neckline resistance is necessary for a bullish continuation. ✅ If price breaks and retests this level as support, it will confirm a high-probability buy setup. 📌 Target Level – 0.87394 (Projected Move) ✅ This is calculated using the measured move technique, where the distance from the bottom to the neckline is projected upwards. ✅ This level coincides with a previous resistance zone, making it a realistic target. 📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup 🎯 Entry Plan for Long Position (Buy Setup) 1️⃣ Breakout Entry: Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above 0.85000. Watch for strong bullish candles with volume confirmation. 2️⃣ Retest Entry (Safer Option): If price breaks above resistance, wait for a pullback and retest of the 0.84500 - 0.85000 level. If price holds this zone as new support, it strengthens the bullish confirmation. 📉 Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management) ✅ Place a stop-loss just below the support zone (0.82453) to protect capital. ✅ This level is strong because price has bounced off it twice, confirming buyer strength. 🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit) ✅ The projected target is 0.87394, aligning with previous resistance. ✅ This offers a high reward-to-risk ratio (RRR), making the trade worth taking. ⚠️ Risk Management & Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Bias – Price action suggests uptrend continuation after breaking out of the trendline. ✅ Confirmation is Crucial! – Enter only after a clear breakout and retest. ✅ Watch for Fakeouts – If price fails to hold above the neckline, it could be a false breakout. ✅ Fundamental Factors – Keep an eye on economic data and central bank policies (ECB & BoE) that may impact the GBP & EUR. 📢 Final Thoughts – Why This Trade is High-Probability 🚀 Double Bottom + Trendline Breakout = Strong Bullish Signal 🚀 Neckline Breakout Above 0.85000 = Confirmation of Trend Reversal 🚀 Targeting 0.87394 with a Favorable Risk-Reward Setup If price successfully breaks and holds above resistance, we could see a strong rally toward 0.87394 in the coming weeks. 📌 Monitor price action carefully and wait for confirmation before entering the trade. 🔔 Like & Follow for More Trading Setups! 🚀📈
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📌 Overview This 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) presents a textbook Rising Wedge pattern, which is known as a bearish reversal signal. The price was in a strong uptrend but started showing signs of buyer exhaustion, leading to a breakdown from the wedge formation. The chart clearly identifies: ✅ A Rising Wedge formation ✅ Resistance Level where price faced multiple rejections ✅ Breakdown Confirmation and shift in trend direction ✅ Projected Target & Stop Loss Zones This setup suggests a strong potential for further downside movement in silver prices. Now, let’s break it down step by step like a professional trader. 🔹 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown 1️⃣ Rising Wedge Pattern – The Bearish Setup The Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price action moves higher within two converging trendlines. The slope of the lower trendline is steeper than the upper trendline, meaning that buyers are getting weaker. This pattern suggests that even though the price is rising, bullish momentum is fading. Once the price breaks below the wedge, it confirms a bearish trend. 🔸 Characteristics of this Wedge: 📌 Multiple Higher Highs & Higher Lows – But with decreasing strength 📌 Narrowing Price Action – Indicates weaker buying power 📌 Breakdown Below Support Line – Confirms the bearish move 2️⃣ Resistance Level – Key Price Rejection Zone The price tested the Resistance Level multiple times before breaking down. This area is where sellers overpowered buyers, preventing further upside movement. The resistance zone was a liquidity area, meaning large institutional traders likely placed sell orders here. The price attempted to push higher but failed, showing that demand was exhausted. Once rejection happened, selling pressure increased, and the breakdown followed. 3️⃣ Breakdown Confirmation – Bearish Momentum Kicks In After the wedge broke down, the price started moving in a structured downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that the breakdown was valid and that the trend has shifted. 🔹 Signs of Breakdown Strength: ✅ Strong Bearish Candles – Indicating aggressive selling ✅ No Immediate Recovery – Suggests sellers are in control ✅ Lower Highs Forming – Bearish trend structure confirmed 4️⃣ Risk Management – Stop Loss & Target Zones A well-planned trade must include a Stop Loss and a Target to manage risk effectively. 📌 Stop Loss Placement (33.95) Placing a Stop Loss just above the resistance level protects against false breakouts. If the price goes back above 33.95, it would invalidate the bearish setup. 📌 Profit Target (31.96) The target is based on the measured move projection, meaning the expected price drop is equal to the height of the wedge at its widest point. If the price reaches 31.96, traders can lock in profits. 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade. 5️⃣ Expected Price Movement – Bearish Outlook From here, we can expect the following price movement: 📉 Scenario 1: Continuation of Downtrend (High Probability) The price will likely form lower highs and lower lows on its way to 31.96. Each small rally should be met with selling pressure. 📈 Scenario 2: False Breakdown (Low Probability but Possible) If the price moves back above 33.95, the wedge breakdown will be invalid. This could lead to a bullish reversal instead. 6️⃣ Final Thoughts – How to Trade This Setup? This Rising Wedge Breakdown provides an excellent short-selling opportunity. Here’s how a professional trader would approach it: ✅ 🔹 Entry Strategy: Short after a retest of the broken wedge support Confirmation of lower highs ensures trend continuation ✅ 🔹 Risk Management: Place Stop Loss above 33.95 Take profits around 31.96 ✅ 🔹 Confirmation Signals to Watch: Lower highs forming after breakdown Increased selling volume on bearish candles Price respecting the downtrend structure 🔔 Conclusion – Bearish Bias Confirmed 🔻 Trend Shift: The breakdown signals a potential trend reversal in silver. 🔻 Bearish Targets: The price is expected to fall toward 31.96 in the coming sessions. 🔻 High-Probability Trade: Strong technical reasons support a bearish outlook. 🚨 Watch for further confirmations and manage risk effectively! 📊💰
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD Technical Analysis - Head & Shoulder Chart Bearish Move1️⃣ Chart Type & Timeframe: Market: Japanese Yen (JPY) / U.S. Dollar (USD) Timeframe: 1-hour chart (H1) Platform: TradingView This is an intraday chart used by traders to identify short-term price action and trend reversals. 2️⃣ Identifying the Key Chart Pattern – Head & Shoulders The dominant pattern on this chart is the Head & Shoulders (H&S), a well-known bearish reversal signal that forms after an uptrend. Let’s break it down: A. Formation of the Pattern Left Shoulder: The price forms a peak, then retraces down to a support level. Head: A higher peak is formed, followed by another decline, indicating buyers are losing control. Right Shoulder: The price attempts another rise but fails to reach the previous high, showing bearish momentum is increasing. B. Neckline & Trendline Support The neckline acts as a key support level. A break below it confirms the bearish move. The trendline, which has been supporting price action for a while, is also at risk of breaking. 3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Level (0.006750 - 0.006819): This is the previous high area where sellers are active. A stop-loss is placed above this level. Support Level (0.006567 - 0.006468): Key demand zones where buyers may step in. These are the take profit (TP) levels. 4️⃣ Price Action & Expected Movement 📉 Bearish Outlook – A potential breakdown from the neckline and trendline would confirm further downside. If price breaks the trendline, a pullback to retest resistance is expected before dropping further. Take Profit (TP) 1: 0.006567 – Minor support, possible bounce. Take Profit (TP) 2: 0.006468 – Stronger support, deeper correction possible. 🚨 Stop Loss: Above 0.006819, just beyond the right shoulder and all-time high (ATH). 5️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution 💡 Entry Strategy: Sell Breakout Entry: Short the market when the neckline/trendline is broken with strong volume. Retest Confirmation: Wait for a pullback to the broken trendline and enter when price rejects it. 📌 Risk Management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher for an optimal setup. Use trailing stop-loss to secure profits if TP1 is hit. 6️⃣ Market Psychology & Smart Money Behavior The Head & Shoulders pattern reflects buyer exhaustion and increased seller strength. Smart money often enters after the breakdown when weak hands get stopped out. Conclusion: Trade with Confidence! This chart presents a high-probability bearish trading opportunity based on a textbook Head & Shoulders formation, support/resistance dynamics, and trendline analysis. A disciplined approach with risk management will ensure better execution. 📉 Final Verdict: Bearish Breakdown Expected – Sell the Retest! 🔥 Tags for TradingView Idea: #JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishReversal #SmartMoney #PriceAction #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #TrendlineBreak
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Professional AnalysisBitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity. This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup. 1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge Formation of the Rising Wedge The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape. The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure. As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control. The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion. The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon. Why This Pattern is Bearish The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off. A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure. If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated. Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone This support level has held strong multiple times. If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling. Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts. This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs. Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point. This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in. 3. Trading Setup & Strategy Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup 📌 Entry: Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance. Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation. 📌 Stop Loss: Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance. This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts. 📌 Take Profit: First target: $78,000 (psychological support). Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target). Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade ✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown. ✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum. ✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside. 4. Risk Management & Considerations Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable. Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action. Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering. 5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook? Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios: 🚨 Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies? If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case: ✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+. ✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal. 🔹 In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades. 6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary 📊 Current Bias: Bearish 📉 🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected) 🔹 Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation 🔹 Stop Loss: Above $88,062 🔹 Target: $75,718 Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts. 📢 Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Market Recap And Next Weeks Plan📉 Market Recap & Next Week’s Plan Last week, we saw GBP/USD make a bullish push early in the week, forming a high on Wednesday before reversing and breaking structure on the 4H time frame. Key levels of 1.29512 and 1.29105 were taken out, signaling a potential shift towards a bearish move. Next Week’s Expectations I’m anticipating a retracement before continuation, and I’ll be watching for selling opportunities at key levels. 📍 Potential Sell Zones: 🔹 1.29622 (High-interest POI, higher probability of forming) 🔹 1.29794 🔹 1.29893 📍 Potential Buy Zone (If Market Drops Further): 🔹 1.28848 Overall Bias: 📉 Bearish – I’ll be focused on selling opportunities unless the market structure shifts significantly. Patience is key. Let’s see how the market develops this week. 💬 What’s your bias for next week? Let me know in the comments. 👇 #ForexTrading #MarketOutlook #GBPUSD #TradingPlan
by CARVAH
#VICUSDT shows signs of reversal and strength📉 LONG BYBIT:VICUSDT.P from $0.2507 🛡 Stop loss $0.2470 🕒 1H Timeframe 📍 Important Note: Wait for confirmation around the $0.2507 level. Enter the trade only if price holds above with volume. ✅ Overview BYBIT:VICUSDT.P : ➡️ The chart shows a completed Falling Wedge — a bullish reversal pattern that typically leads to an upside breakout. ➡️ After that, a Bearish Pennant formed but failed to push the price significantly lower, indicating weakness in sellers. ➡️ Currently, the price is breaking out of the triangle pattern, hinting at a possible bullish continuation. ➡️ Entry level marked at $0.2507, right after the breakout zone, supported by steady volume and short-term uptrend. ➡️ Volume Profile on the left reveals a low-volume zone above, making it easier for price to climb toward TP targets. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.2525 💎 TP 2: $0.2545 💎 TP 3: $0.2565 ⚡ Plan: ➡️ Monitor price reaction at TP1 — partial exit recommended. ➡️ Watch for confirmation above $0.2507. ➡️ Enter LONG after retest and volume confirmation. ➡️ Set stop loss below recent low — at $0.2470. 🚀 BYBIT:VICUSDT.P shows signs of reversal and strength — holding above the breakout zone could lead to upside movement!
Long
by MoriartyTrading
Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Breakdown in Bearish Move🔍 Overview of the Chart & Market Context This 15-minute Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart shows the formation of a classic Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. This pattern often indicates that buying momentum is weakening, and a significant price decline may follow. Gold has been in a strong uptrend before forming this structure. However, after reaching a resistance zone at an all-time high (ATH), the market has failed to sustain its bullish momentum. The rejection from this level and the break of the neckline (support level) suggest that sellers are gaining control, leading to a potential bearish breakdown toward the downside target. This setup provides a high-probability shorting opportunity if price action follows through with the bearish structure. Let’s analyze the different elements in detail. 📊 Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern in Detail The Head & Shoulders is a well-known reversal pattern, and in this case, it forms at the top of an uptrend, indicating a shift in market sentiment. The key components of this pattern in the chart are: 1️⃣ Left Shoulder Price made an initial rally, then faced rejection at a resistance level. A retracement occurred, forming a swing low, which became part of the neckline support. 2️⃣ Head Buyers attempted another push, creating a higher high. However, the rally was unsustainable, as sellers pushed the price back down toward the neckline. This forms the peak of the structure, marking the highest point before the reversal. 3️⃣ Right Shoulder Another rally followed, but this time, buyers lacked strength. The price failed to break the previous high (head level) and reversed downward. This indicated that selling pressure was increasing, forming the right shoulder. 4️⃣ Neckline (Support Level) This is the most critical level in this setup. It connects the swing lows between the left shoulder and right shoulder. Once the price breaks below this trendline support, the pattern is confirmed, triggering a bearish move. 📌 Key Technical Levels Identified 🔵 Resistance Level (+ ATH – All-Time High) The blue box represents the strong resistance zone where gold faced rejection multiple times. This level acted as a supply zone, preventing further bullish continuation. 📉 Neckline & Support Level This trendline support (dotted black line) connected the lows between the left and right shoulders. A clean break and retest of this level signal further downside movement. 🚨 Stop Loss Level ($3,048.777) The ideal stop-loss placement is above the right shoulder to prevent getting stopped out by market noise. If the price reclaims this level, it could invalidate the bearish thesis. 🎯 Target Level ($2,989.544) The target is based on the measured move, calculated by taking the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward. If the breakdown plays out successfully, we could see a move toward $2,989.544 or even lower. 📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Trade Setup 🔴 Short Trade Entry Sell Entry: On the break & retest of the neckline (support turning into resistance). Confirmation: A strong bearish candlestick (e.g., engulfing pattern) below the neckline. 🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management) SL Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048.777) to prevent false breakouts. Reason: If price moves above this level, the pattern gets invalidated. 🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit) Target Level: $2,989.544, based on the measured move. Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 RR ratio, ensuring a profitable setup. 📌 Confirmation Signals for Stronger Conviction For higher probability, traders should look for additional confirmations before entering the short position: ✔ Neckline Retest: After breaking below the neckline, price retests it as resistance before dropping further. ✔ Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Engulfing candles, shooting stars, or rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure. ✔ Increased Volume on Breakdown: A spike in volume on the breakdown confirms strong market participation. ✔ RSI Divergence: A bearish divergence between price and RSI may signal trend exhaustion. 📉 Expected Price Action: What’s Next? Based on this setup, if the bearish structure plays out as expected: 1️⃣ Price will retest the neckline as new resistance. 2️⃣ Sellers will step in, pushing the price lower. 3️⃣ Gold will continue downward toward the $2,989 support level. 4️⃣ If strong selling continues, price may drop even further beyond the target zone. However, if price closes back above the right shoulder, the bearish setup gets invalidated, and traders should exit the short position immediately. 📌 Final Thoughts & Summary Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal) Market Bias: Bearish Entry Trigger: Break & retest of the neckline Stop-Loss Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048) Take-Profit Target: $2,989 Risk Management: Ensure a minimum 1:2 RR ratio 📉 Conclusion: Gold is showing signs of bearish exhaustion after forming a Head & Shoulders pattern. A confirmed break below the neckline suggests that the price may continue its downward trajectory. Traders should wait for a proper retest before entering, use strict risk management, and monitor key technical indicators for confirmation. Would you like me to provide an alternative trading plan if the price reverses? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
USDCHF: Bullish Outlook Explained 🇺🇸🇨🇭 USDCHF looks bullish after a test of the underlined blue support. The price formed a double bottom on that and broke its neckline on Friday. We see a positive bullish reaction to that after its retest. I think that the market will continue rising and reach at least 0.885 resistance. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
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