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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 30, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Bessent's Trade Remarks Stir Markets Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized the U.S.'s readiness for a significant trade deal with China, suggesting potential easing of the ongoing tariff war. His comments have heightened investor anticipation for developments in U.S.-China trade relations. 📉 China's Factory Activity Contracts China's April manufacturing PMI is projected to fall below 50, indicating contraction, as recent U.S. tariffs impact production. This downturn raises concerns about global supply chain disruptions and economic slowdown. 💼 Major Earnings Reports on Deck Investors await earnings from key companies including Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ), Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), and Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ). These reports will provide insights into how tech giants are navigating current economic challenges.​ 🏛️ Treasury's Borrowing Plans Under Scrutiny The U.S. Treasury is set to release its quarterly refunding announcement, detailing borrowing plans amid economic uncertainties and the impact of recent tariffs. Market participants will closely analyze the guidance for implications on interest rates and fiscal policy. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 30: 📈 Q1 GDP (8:30 AM ET) Forecast: 0.3% QoQ Previous: 2.4% Initial estimate of U.S. economic growth for Q1, reflecting the early impact of new trade policies. ​ 📈 ADP Employment Report (8:15 AM ET) Measures private sector employment changes, offering a preview of the official jobs report.​ 📈 Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET) Assesses business conditions in the Chicago area, serving as an indicator of regional economic health.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
AUDJPY: H4, H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaTechnical analysis is on the chart! No description needed! OANDA:AUDJPY ________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Short
by ForecastCity
Gold Price in Key Compression Zone: Awaiting BreakoutThe 1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) shows a clear symmetrical triangle formation, where the price has been compressing between a descending resistance zone (red) and a horizontal support zone (green). Here's a breakdown of the setup: Support Zone (~3040–3080 USD): This area has acted as a strong base multiple times, suggesting buyers are stepping in consistently at this level. Resistance Trendline (~3310–3320 USD): The price has repeatedly tested this descending resistance line but has failed to break above it so far. EMA Indicators: 50 EMA (black line): Currently acting as dynamic resistance. 200 EMA (blue line): Price is hovering around it, indicating indecision. Projected Breakout Scenarios: Upside Breakout: If price breaks above the resistance trendline, a sharp rally is projected towards the 3480–3520 USD zone. This move aligns with previous supply levels. Downside Breakout: If support fails, we could see a breakdown toward the 3040 USD region, with extended targets near 3080–3040 USD. Current Bias: The market is consolidating, and a breakout is imminent. Watch for volume and candle confirmation at either the resistance or support to determine the next major move. ================================================================ Disclosure: I am a participant in TradeNation's Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee for utilising their TradingView charts in my market analysis. =================================================================
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradZoo
USDJPY: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵 I see a very bearish price action on USDJPY: The price formed a head & shoulders pattern after a test of a key daily/intraday resistance and violated its neckline and a rising support of a rising wedge pattern. The next strong support is 141.75 It will most likely be the next goal for the sellers. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
Euro Under Mild Pressure Amid Policy Uncertainty and Weaker USD📌 EUR/USD Outlook: Euro Under Mild Pressure Amid Policy Uncertainty and Weaker US Dollar 📉 🌍 Fundamental Overview EUR/USD is trading cautiously around 1.1400, as market sentiment remains sensitive to developments in the US-China trade situation and broader monetary policy expectations. Despite recent USD weakness — where the greenback lost ground against all G10 currencies this April — the Euro is facing renewed selling pressure amid rising speculation about further ECB rate cuts. ECB policymakers, including Olli Rehn and François Villeroy de Galhau, highlighted the increasing risks of missing the 2% inflation target, reinforcing the need for more monetary easing if necessary. Meanwhile, mixed signals between Trump and Beijing over trade negotiations have kept uncertainty high, putting both USD and risk sentiment in flux. 📈 Key Economic Events to Watch US Data: JOLTS Job Openings Q1 GDP Preliminary ISM Manufacturing PMI ADP Employment Change Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Core PCE Price Index (March) Eurozone Data: Q1 GDP Preliminary April HICP Inflation Recent weaker-than-expected Spanish GDP (0.6% vs. forecast 0.7%) also adds pressure on the broader Eurozone outlook. 📊 Technical Outlook – EUR/USD Immediate Resistance: 1.1450 – 1.1475 Immediate Support: 1.1375 – 1.1340 The pair is now hovering near the 1.1400 psychological level, with slight bearish momentum: A break below 1.1375 could open the path towards 1.1340. On the upside, holding above 1.1400 and reclaiming 1.1450 would be needed to revive bullish momentum. The Dollar Index (DXY) remains trapped around 99.20, hinting at limited immediate USD strength but vulnerable to macro catalysts. 🧠 Trading Strategy Prefer short-term sell setups if EUR/USD fails to hold 1.1400 and breaks below 1.1375. Bullish setups are only valid if Price closes firmly above 1.1450, aiming towards 1.1475 resistance. ⚡ Traders should stay cautious ahead of major data this week, especially US NFP and Core PCE, which could redefine short-term Dollar strength. 💬 Are you watching for a deeper pullback or waiting for a bounce above 1.1450? Let’s discuss! 👇👇👇
Short
by MMFlowTrading
3
EURUSD: Bullish Price Action Confirmed?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸 Here is my latest price action analysis for EURUSD. The price completed a recent correction movement with quite an extended consolidation within a horizontal range and a symmetrical triangle. The violation of 2 intraday resistances with a bullish imbalance indicate a highly probable finalization of the accumulation. Probabilities are high that the pair is returning to a bullish trend now. Goal - 1.1478 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
Silver Falls to $33.00 on Trade OptimismSilver (XAG/USD) slipped to around $33.00 on Tuesday as safe-haven demand eased amid improving U.S.-China trade sentiment and a stronger U.S. dollar. Optimism grew after Trump suggested tariff rollbacks and China granted exemptions. Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed ongoing talks and positive proposals. Markets now await key US data, Q1 GDP, PCE inflation, and Nonfarm Payrolls for clues on Fed policy. Technically, the first resistance level is located at 33.80. In case of its breach 34.20 and 34.85 could be monitored respectively. On the downside, first support is at 32.50. 31.40 and 30.20 would become the next support levels if this level is passed.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
XAU/USD: Tension Builds Gold Awaits Breakout from Narrow Range📌 XAU/USD: Tension Builds as Gold Awaits Breakout from Narrow Range 📈📉 📊 Technical Snapshot Gold (XAU/USD) has spent the past sessions trapped in a tight consolidation zone between 3,274 and 3,336, carving out a potential breakout structure. Price continues to trade below the 200 EMA on H1, keeping near-term pressure tilted slightly bearish. However, buying interest is emerging at key support zones, hinting that bulls may not be entirely out of the picture yet. A clean break above 3,301 could ignite a move toward 3,352 – 3,366 resistance levels. This compression phase suggests that a larger directional move could be imminent. 🔥 Key Price Zones to Watch 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3,336 3,352 3,357 3,366 🔻 Support Levels: 3,301 3,291 3,274 🎯 Trade Opportunities 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3,274 – 3,276 Stop Loss (SL): 3,270 Take Profit (TP): 3,284 → 3,291 → 3,301 → 3,336 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3,357 – 3,366 Stop Loss (SL): 3,370 Take Profit (TP): 3,336 → 3,301 → 3,291 📰 Fundamental Focus No major economic releases scheduled today. Traders are gearing up for ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) later this week. Watch for any unexpected remarks from Fed officials or geopolitical tensions (especially South Asia and Middle East headlines) that could spark volatility in gold. 🧠 Strategy Outlook Until a confirmed breakout occurs, range-bound trading strategies remain in play. Breakout above 3,366: Bullish extension likely. Breakdown below 3,274: Deeper correction on the cards. ⚡ Pro Tip: Stay nimble. Manage risk tightly. Big moves often emerge after low-volatility traps like this.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
Gold Retreats as Investors Eye Key Economic DataGold fell below $3,330 per ounce on Tuesday as investors monitored tariff talks and awaited key economic data. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said many top U.S. trading partners made "very good" tariff proposals and noted China’s tariff exemptions signal de-escalation efforts. He stressed it is now up to China to act. A modest rebound in the U.S. dollar also pressured gold. Markets are focused on upcoming reports, including Q1 GDP, March PCE inflation, and April nonfarm payrolls, for clues on the economy and Fed policy. Key resistance is at $3365, followed by $3,405 and $3,500. Support stands at $3250, then $3165 and $3050.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Pound Pressured by BOE Cut ExpectationsGBP/USD dipped to approximately 1.3425 during early Asian trading on Tuesday, as a slight rebound in the U.S. dollar put pressure on the pair. The dollar was supported by easing U.S.-China trade tensions, following China’s decision to exempt certain U.S. imports from tariffs, despite its denial of ongoing negotiations. Meanwhile, expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Bank of England in May continue to weigh on the pound. Markets are now focused on an upcoming speech by BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, with any dovish remarks likely to add further downside pressure on the GBP. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
by ChartMage
Euro Slips as ECB Rate Cut Bets GrowThe EUR/USD dipped to around 1.1415 in early Asian trading Tuesday as the Euro weakened on rising expectations of an ECB rate cut in June. Reuters cited growing confidence among policymakers, with Olli Rehn suggesting rates could fall below neutral. Investors are also watching US-China trade developments ahead of Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls. President Trump claimed progress, but Beijing denied active talks. Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed recent contact but said China must act. Trade tensions continue to pressure the dollar, potentially supporting the Euro. Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.
by ChartMage
Yen Under Pressure Ahead of BOJ DecisionThe Japanese yen edged closer to 144 per dollar on Monday, continuing last week’s decline as global trade sentiment improved and the dollar strengthened. Markets responded to a private meeting between Japan’s Finance Minister Kato and U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent, during which both parties stressed the importance of ongoing discussions on currency matters. Meanwhile, Japan’s trade negotiator is set to visit Washington this week, as the Bank of Japan is expected to maintain interest rates at 0.5%, amid concerns over the economic impact of U.S. tariffs. Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
2
ICP/USDT Breakout Potential: Descending Trendline Under PressureThis is the 4-hour chart for ICP/USDT, and it’s showing some interesting action. Over the past few months, ICP has been stuck in a downtrend with a clear descending trendline acting as resistance. However, each time it formed a falling wedge pattern, we saw a breakout to the upside, followed by short rallies. Right now, the price is hovering around $5.10 and seems to be testing that same long-term trendline again. If it breaks above this level with strong volume, it could be the start of another bullish move. Definitely a chart to keep an eye on for a potential breakout in the coming days.
Long
by MollyRonaldFx
1
Bitcoin Analysis Anticipated Bullish Rebound Toward $95,000! This 15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD) recent price action around key support and resistance zones. After a sharp dip to the lower green support area (~$92,500), the price is showing signs of a bullish reversal. The forecasted trajectory (highlighted in yellow) anticipates a corrective move before resuming an upward climb toward the $95,000 resistance target. Previous consolidation phases and a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern are also noted, suggesting a technical recovery is underway. Traders are watching for confirmation of this bullish setup.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MollyRonaldFx
Litecoin (LTC) - Long Setup📋 Context: 🔵 Open Interest stable or slightly increasing → healthy position building. 🔵 Top Traders Ratio strongly rebounding → top traders are re-accumulating long positions. 🔵 CVD Spot rising → real spot buying support is coming back. 🔵 CVD Futures rebounding → shorts being squeezed and absorbed. 🔵 Funding Rate neutral → no immediate risk of short squeeze against longs. 🔥 Liquidations: 🔵 95% of potential liquidations are shorts → strong imbalance to exploit. 🔵 Optical Map shows a wall of short liquidations just above the current price → objective is to grab them. 📈 Technical Structure: 🔵 Clean bullish structure on the 15-minute timeframe. 🔵 Stop Loss placed just below the recent swing low. 🎯 Trade Plan Entry: Current price zone 85.7 Immediate Target (TP1): 87 $ → grabbing short liquidations. Extension Target (TP2): 88 $ → if momentum remains strong. Stop Loss (SL): Below 84 $ → invalidation if clean break of structure.
Long
by TheDegenCompany