Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) - Head & Shoulders Breakdown & Bearish MoveOverview of the Chart & Market Context
The 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) reveals a classic Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that the recent uptrend has lost momentum, and a potential downside move could be in progress.
Currently, the price is testing the neckline, which serves as a key support level. If a decisive breakdown occurs, it could confirm further bearish momentum, leading to a sharp decline toward the projected target price of $2,995.
Key Technical Analysis & Levels
🔹 Resistance Level & Reversal Zone (~$3,055–$3,060)
The price attempted to break this resistance but faced strong rejection, forming the head of the pattern.
The area was tested multiple times, confirming that sellers are in control.
This level acts as a supply zone, preventing the price from moving higher.
🔹 Support Level (Neckline of H&S Pattern at ~$3,025–$3,030)
This level represents the critical neckline, which has been tested multiple times.
If price breaks and sustains below this support, the H&S pattern will be validated, signaling a deeper drop.
A successful retest of the neckline as resistance could provide an optimal shorting opportunity.
🔹 Projected Target Price (~$2,995)
The expected downside move is calculated using the measured move technique, measuring the distance from the head to the neckline.
This target aligns with previous structure support, increasing its significance.
Detailed Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern
📍 Left Shoulder Formation
The market experienced an initial bullish push, reaching a local high, but sellers entered and pushed prices down.
This formed the first lower high, hinting at potential weakness in the bullish trend.
📍 Head Formation
After retracing from the left shoulder, buyers made another attempt to push prices higher.
The price formed a new peak, but it was unable to sustain the breakout above the resistance level (~$3,055–$3,060).
A sharp sell-off followed, reinforcing that sellers are dominant at higher levels.
📍 Right Shoulder Formation
The price attempted another rally but failed to break the left shoulder’s high, creating the right shoulder.
This failure confirmed a gradual loss of bullish strength.
After forming the right shoulder, the price began to drop toward the neckline support.
📍 Breakout Confirmation & Bearish Price Action
The price has now broken the neckline (~$3,030), indicating an early-stage breakdown of the H&S pattern.
If the breakdown holds, further downside movement toward $2,995 is likely.
A retest of the neckline as new resistance would be an ideal entry point for short positions.
Trade Setup & Risk Management
📌 Potential Short Trade Setup:
Entry: After a confirmed break and retest of the $3,030 neckline.
Stop-Loss: Above the right shoulder (~$3,045–$3,050) to minimize risk.
Take-Profit: Around $2,995, aligning with the measured move.
📌 Risk Factors & Market Conditions:
If the price fails to hold below the neckline, it could indicate a false breakdown and a possible bullish reversal.
Macroeconomic data (such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions) may impact gold prices.
Traders should watch for volume confirmation – increased selling pressure strengthens the validity of the breakdown.
Final Thoughts & Market Outlook
📉 The Head and Shoulders pattern signals that gold is losing bullish momentum, with a potential drop toward $2,995.
🔍 A break and retest of the neckline as resistance would confirm further downside movement.
⚠️ However, a failed breakdown could lead to a recovery, so traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades.
💬 What do you think about this setup? Are you going short on gold? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! ⬇️
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 21/03/2025Flat opening expected in nifty. Expected opening near 23200 level. This level will act as an immediate resistance for nifty. Any downside reversal expected from this level. Downside 23000 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Any downside movement can revers from this support level. Strong upside rally expected if nifty starts trading above 23250 level. This rally can be 200-250+ points in today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(21/03/2025)Today will be flat opening expected in banknifty. After opening if it's sustain above 50050 level then expected upside rally upto 50450+ level in opening session. Any major downside only expected below 49950 level. Downside 49550 level will act as a strong support for today's session.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 21, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇯🇵📉 Japan's Inflation Data Release 📉: Japan will release its inflation figures for February on March 21. Analysts expect a slight decrease in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from January's 4.0% to approximately 3.5%. This data could influence global markets, including the U.S., as it may impact the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decisions.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Friday, March 21:
🛢️ Baker Hughes Rig Count (1:00 PM ET) 🛢️:
Previous: 592 rigs
This weekly report provides the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S., offering insights into the health of the oil and gas industry.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Fri 21st Mar 2025 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Gold Forming Triangle Pattern in Wave IV - Potential BreakoutXAU/USD is currently displaying a textbook triangle consolidation pattern as part of what appears to be wave IV in its Elliott Wave sequence. This corrective structure is developing after a strong upward move and shows clear converging trendlines with alternating A-B-C swings.
Technical Analysis:
Price consolidating near $3,044 level with minor bearish bias labelled wave ((D))
A-B-C internal wave structure visible inside consolidation
Potential wave ((iii)) price target at $3082.37
Triangle patterns typically represent consolidation before continuation of the primary trend. If this pattern completes as expected, we could see a final wave V impulse in the coming sessions.
Watch for a breakout from this triangle formation - volume should increase to confirm the validity of the move. Target exit or adjust stops based on the direction of the breakout.
#BROCCOLIUSDT is showing bearish potential SHORT BYBIT:BROCCOLIUSDT.P from $0.04545
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.04737
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:BROCCOLIUSDT.P is showing bearish momentum on the 1-hour timeframe after a significant drop from $0.06000 to the current consolidation zone of $0.4203–$0.4885.
➡️ The price recently tested the $0.04545 level (a possible retest of a broken support, now acting as resistance), which could serve as an entry point for a short.
➡️ The volume profile on the left shows strong buyer interest at $0.0325 (POC), which acts as a key support level. However, the lack of significant buying volume at current levels suggests potential for further downside.
➡️ The price structure remains bearish: lower highs and lows are forming after the drop.
➡️ The RSI (14) indicator on the 1H timeframe is presumably around 45 (based on price action), indicating neutral momentum with room for a downward move.
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.04400
💎 TP 2: $0.04290
💎 TP 3: $0.04203
⚡️Plan:
➡️ Entry: Sell below $0.04545 after the 1-hour candle closes below this level to confirm the rejection from resistance.
➡️ Stop Loss: Set at $0.04737, which provides a 7% risk from the entry point and protects against a potential breakout.
➡️ Risk/Reward Ratio: From 1:2 (for TP1) to 1:5 (for TP3), making this trade attractive from a risk management perspective.
➡️ After the drop, the price has stabilized, indicating possible consolidation or accumulation.
➡️ Resistance zone: $0.04885 (upper boundary of the current range).
Technical Indicators:
➡️ The chart shows candles in red and green, reflecting bearish and bullish movements.
➡️ After the sharp decline, the price has formed lower highs and lows, but in recent hours, there’s an attempt at recovery.
📢 A price rejection below $0.04545 with increasing selling volume increases the likelihood of reaching the targets.
📢 The $0.04400 and $0.04290 levels may act as areas for partial profit-taking, so monitor price action in these zones.
📢 Risks: If the price breaks above $0.04885, it could signal a false breakdown and a potential reversal to the upside. In this case, consider reassessing the position.
📊 The decline in BYBIT:BROCCOLIUSDT.P aligns with cautious sentiment in the crypto market.
📊 As of March 20, 2025, BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is trading around $90,000, showing signs of consolidation, which may pressure altcoins like BYBIT:BROCCOLIUSDT.P
BYBIT:BROCCOLIUSDT.P is showing bearish potential on the 1H timeframe.
⚡️A confirmed rejection below $0.04545 is your signal to act!
Gold/USD (XAU/USD)– Potential Bearish CorrectionKey Observations:
Uptrend & Resistance:
The price has been trending upwards within a parallel channel.
It reached a resistance level around $3,064 - $3,055, where selling pressure is evident.
Potential Pullback:
The price is showing signs of rejection at resistance and could move lower.
The first target for the pullback is around $3,013 - $2,964, which aligns with previous structure levels.
A deeper correction could test support near $2,880 - $2,878.
Trade Setup Idea:
Bearish scenario: If price fails to reclaim resistance, traders may look for short opportunities targeting lower support levels.
Bullish scenario: If price breaks above resistance, it could trigger further upside momentum.
Conclusion:
This chart suggests a possible short-term correction before determining the next move. Traders should watch price action near key levels for confirmation.
Gold/EUR (XAU/EUR) – Bearish Reversal Zone IdentifiedThis Gold to Euro (XAU/EUR) 4-hour chart shows a breakout from a descending channel, followed by a strong bullish rally. The price has now reached a key resistance zone, where sellers might step in to push prices lower.
Key Observations:
Downtrend Channel Breakout: The price was previously moving in a downward sloping channel but has now broken out, signaling bullish momentum.
Resistance Zone: The price is currently testing a significant resistance level, indicated by the marked "Sell" area.
Potential Reversal: If selling pressure increases at this resistance, we could see a price decline toward the identified target support zones.
Key Support Levels:
First Target Zone: Around 2,750 EUR
Second Target Zone: Near 2,675 EUR
Trading Plan:
Sell Setup: Look for bearish confirmation (such as rejection wicks or a lower high formation) before entering a short position.
Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone to avoid false breakouts.
Take Profit: Based on the highlighted support areas.
If bulls continue pushing beyond resistance, it could invalidate the sell setup, leading to further upside movement. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation.
EUR/GBP Analysis – Bearish Momentum Gaining StrengthThe EUR/GBP pair has shown a significant shift in market structure, breaking below a critical support level and signaling further downside potential. After facing strong resistance near the 0.84400 region, the price struggled to maintain bullish momentum and started forming lower highs, indicating selling pressure.
Technical Breakdown:
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary near 0.84400 acted as a supply area where sellers gained control. Multiple rejection candles at this level confirmed that buyers were losing strength.
Support Breakdown: The price recently broke below a key support zone, which had previously acted as a demand area. This breakdown suggests a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Bearish Continuation Pattern: The chart displays a clear lower high and lower low formation, reinforcing the bearish trend. The price is now retesting the breakdown zone, which could serve as a new resistance level before further declines.
Target Projection: The next major support lies at 0.82508, which aligns with a previous consolidation zone. If the bearish momentum persists, we may see a test of this level in the coming sessions.
Trading Considerations:
📌 Bearish Bias: Traders may look for sell opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance levels.
📌 Confirmation: A retest of the breakdown level with rejection signals could provide a strong entry point.
📌 Risk Management: Stop-loss placements above 0.83800 could help manage risk in case of an unexpected bullish reversal.
💡 Final Thoughts:
With the prevailing bearish momentum, EUR/GBP is likely to continue downward unless buyers regain control at key levels. Traders should watch for price action signals near support and resistance zones to confirm trade setups.
EURJPY Breakout Analysis: Falling Wedge & Key LevelsChart Pattern Breakdown
The chart presents a 4-hour timeframe for EUR/JPY, revealing a strong technical setup with multiple key patterns in play. The price action has been forming a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern, followed by a breakout.
Falling Wedge Formation
A falling wedge pattern is characterized by a narrowing range, where both highs and lows trend downward but converge towards a breakout point. This setup indicates a loss of bearish momentum and the potential for a strong bullish move once the price breaks out.
The wedge began forming in early February, with price making lower highs and lower lows within the structure.
The support level remained stable, while the resistance trendline kept the price within a tightening range.
Around early March, the price successfully broke above the wedge resistance, confirming the bullish breakout.
Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Level (Marked on the chart)
Around 163.500 - 164.000, where the price faced rejection multiple times.
The market tested this level but struggled to break through immediately, confirming its importance.
Support Level (Marked on the chart)
Around 158.500 - 159.000, acting as a strong demand zone.
This area provided multiple bounces before the final wedge breakout.
Current Price Action & Trading Setup
Breakout Confirmation: The price successfully broke the wedge and moved higher, testing the resistance zone.
Pullback & Retest: The market is currently pulling back, testing the recent breakout area. This could be an ideal entry point for a long trade.
Bullish Target: The next significant resistance is at 166.754, followed by an extended target at 166.938.
Trade Plan
✅ Long Entry: On a successful retest of support near 160.500 - 161.000
🎯 Target 1: 166.754
🎯 Target 2: 166.938
🔒 Sell Stop (Stop Loss): Below 158.918 to minimize risk
Conclusion
The EURJPY chart is showcasing a strong bullish setup with a confirmed falling wedge breakout. As long as price holds above the key support level, the market is likely to continue its bullish momentum towards the 166+ zone. Traders should watch for confirmations such as bullish candlestick patterns, volume surges, and trendline support before entering a long position.
🚀 Do you agree with this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
#FORMUSDT: Quick Breakdown of a Long Setup!📉 Long BYBIT:FORMUSDT.P from $1.9037
🛡 Stop Loss: $1.8313
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️Overview:
➡️ Current Price: $1.8831 — this is where BYBIT:FORMUSDT.P is trading right now.
➡️ The price recently dropped from around $2.0000 to $1.4000 — a sharp decline! But then it started recovering and is now in a consolidation zone.
➡️ Volume: At the bottom of the chart, you can see volume bars. There was a particularly large volume at the $1.4000 level, where the price reversed. This suggests a lot of activity — possibly big players starting to buy.
➡️ Key Levels: The right side of the chart shows important price levels:
➡️ $1.8313 — stop loss to protect us from losses.
➡️ $1.8932 and $1.88313 — the nearest resistance levels that the price needs to break to move higher.
➡️ $1.7464 — a support level below, in case the price goes down.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $1.9690
💎 TP 2: $2.0400
💎 TP 3: $2.0890
⚡️ Plan:
➡️ Entry Point: $1.9037 — this is the level to enter the buy. The price is currently slightly below ($1.8831), so we need to wait for it to rise to this mark.
➡️ Stop Loss: $1.8313 — if the price falls below this, the trade will close with a small loss to minimize risks.
Risk/ Reward: If we calculate, the distance from the entry to the stop loss is $0.0724, and to TP1 — $0.0653 (a ratio of nearly 1:1). To TP2 — $0.1363 (1:1.88), and to TP3 — $0.1853 (1:2.56). This is a good profit potential if the price moves up!
📢 The BYBIT:FORMUSDT.P price just bounced off the strong $1.4000 level, where there was high volume. This could be a signal that big players started buying, and the market is ready to rise.
📢 The $1.9037 level (entry point) aligns with the POC (Point of Control) — the zone with the highest trading volume, which often attracts the price.
📢 If the price breaks the resistance at $1.8932, it could easily reach $1.9037 and then move toward our targets.
🎯 How Does This Signal Relate to the Market?
The recent news about the resolution of the #Ripple vs. #SEC case, which I wrote about earlier, creates a positive backdrop for the entire crypto market.
➡️ When major projects like #Ripple gain clarity, it adds confidence to investors.
➡️ Altcoins like BYBIT:FORMUSDT.P can catch this wave of optimism.
➡️ If the market continues to rise, BYBIT:FORMUSDT.P has a chance to break resistance and move toward our targets!
➡️ Important: The crypto market is volatile, so don’t forget about risk management. Don’t risk more than 1-2% of your deposit on a single trade.
USD/JPY - Breakdown Confirmation & Potential DeclineUSD/JPY - Breakdown Confirmation & Potential Decline
Chart Overview:
The USD/JPY price action has broken down from a previously established ascending channel.
A lower high formation suggests weakening bullish momentum, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.
The key support zones are marked below, with the price likely to move towards these levels if bearish momentum persists.
Technical Analysis:
Breakdown Zone: The price has breached the lower trendline of the ascending channel, confirming a bearish breakdown.
Resistance Levels: The price faces resistance around 0.0067786 - 0.0068488.
Support Targets: Possible downside targets at 0.0066848, 0.0066012, and 0.0065720.
Bearish Confirmation: A retest of the breakdown level followed by rejection strengthens the bearish outlook.
Trade Consideration:
Bearish Bias: A short position could be considered if the price fails to reclaim the broken trendline.
Stop Loss: Above the breakdown zone to avoid potential fakeouts.
Target Levels: Lower support zones for potential take-profit areas.
Conclusion:
The breakdown from the rising channel suggests a shift in market sentiment, with a bearish move likely. Traders should monitor price action for further confirmations.
GBP/USD – Potential Pullback from ResistanceChart Overview:
The 4-hour GBP/USD chart shows a strong uptrend contained within a rising channel.
The price has recently reached the upper boundary of the channel and is showing signs of rejection, indicating a possible pullback.
A downside move towards 1.27736 is anticipated, which aligns with a key support level.
Technical Outlook:
If the price respects the resistance zone, a retracement toward the 1.27736 target could be expected.
A confirmed break below this level could open the door for further downside.
However, if bullish momentum resumes, the price may attempt to break above the 1.3000 psychological level.
Trading Plan:
Short-term traders may look for selling opportunities targeting 1.27736.
Long-term traders may wait for a bullish reaction at support for potential continuation of the uptrend.
Key Levels:
Current Price: 1.29574
Support Target: 1.27736
Resistance: 1.3000
Would you like to add further details or modify the description
NZDJPY: Time For Pullback 🇳🇿🇯🇵
I see a nice opportunity to buy NZDJPY after a test of a key daily support.
As a confirmation, I spotted the insidebar pattern with a breakout
of the upper boundary of its range.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 85.75
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.88900 zone, USDCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.88900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a selling opportunity around 90000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 89000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveChart Overview
This EUR/GBP 1-hour chart highlights a symmetrical triangle pattern that has recently broken to the downside, signaling a potential bearish move. The chart includes key technical levels such as resistance, support, trendlines, and a projected price target. Let’s analyze each component in detail.
1. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern, meaning it typically precedes a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend. In this case:
The pair initially rallied sharply, forming a strong uptrend.
A consolidation phase followed, where price started forming lower highs and higher lows, creating a contracting triangle.
The triangle’s resistance and support levels were tested multiple times, confirming their significance.
Key takeaway: The more times price tests support and resistance without breaking through, the stronger the eventual breakout.
2. Breakdown from the Triangle – Bearish Signal
The price broke below the support level, triggering a breakdown from the symmetrical triangle.
This breakdown was accompanied by a strong bearish candlestick, indicating a decisive move to the downside.
The previous support is now acting as resistance, meaning any pullback to this zone could provide a shorting opportunity.
Why is this important?
A breakdown from a triangle often results in a sharp directional move, especially if it aligns with the broader market trend.
3. Trendline Analysis – Uptrend Reversal
The rising trendline that supported the price action has been broken, further confirming trend exhaustion and a shift to bearish momentum.
Before the breakdown, the price had been respecting the trendline as support.
After the breakdown, the trendline is invalidated, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Technical Insight:
Trendlines act as dynamic support/resistance, and once broken, they often lead to strong directional movements.
4. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Level (Former Support Zone):
This level was previously a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in.
Now that price has fallen below it, this area could act as a resistance if price retests it.
Traders should watch for bearish rejections or reversal patterns (such as shooting stars or bearish engulfing candlesticks) before entering short positions.
Support Level & Bearish Target (0.829):
The chart highlights 0.829 as the next significant support area.
This level aligns with historical price action and provides a logical take-profit zone for short traders.
5. Expected Price Action – Bearish Continuation Scenario
Given the breakdown from the triangle, the expected movement is as follows:
A short-term pullback to the broken support (now resistance).
Rejection from this zone, leading to further downside momentum.
Price reaching the projected target near 0.829, where traders may look to take profits or reassess market conditions.
6. Trading Strategy & Risk Management
✅ Bearish Trade Setup
Entry: On a pullback to the broken support level (preferably with bearish confirmation signals).
Stop-Loss: Above the previous resistance level to avoid false breakouts.
Take-Profit: Around the 0.829 target or lower if momentum continues.
⚠ Risk Considerations
If price closes back above the broken support, it may indicate a false breakout, invalidating the bearish trade setup.
Fundamental news events (such as central bank decisions or economic data) could impact price movement unexpectedly.
Conclusion – Bearish Outlook with Defined Target
This chart presents a textbook triangle breakdown, reinforcing the bearish bias for EUR/GBP. The structure suggests that price will continue lower toward the 0.829 target, unless invalidated by a strong reversal. Traders should watch for pullbacks and rejection signals before entering short positions.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: 0.835 - 0.837 (Former Support Zone, Now Resistance)
✅ Target: 0.829 (Projected Price Target)
📉 Bias: Bearish
Final Thought
This setup provides a high-probability trade idea for traders looking to capitalize on momentum. As always, implementing proper risk management is crucial to navigate market uncertainties. 🚀
MarketBreakdown | GOLD, GBPUSD, DOLLAR INDEX, EURAUD
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #GOLD XAUUSD 1H time frame 🥇
Earlier on Sunday, I shared a completed head & shoulders pattern on Gold.
Its neckline was respected and the price bounced from that, setting a new historic high.
That same neckline is now a perfect base for a new head & shoulders pattern.
The plan remains the same, if the price violates and closes below that
a correctional movement will be expected.
2️⃣ #GBPUSD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks weak and shows a clear signs of a strong overbought state.
We see a breakout attempt of a rising parallel channel at the moment.
Daily candle close below that will trigger a correctional movement with a high probability.
3️⃣ DOLLAR INDEX #DXY daily time frame 💵
Dollar Index shows clear strength after 2 recent US fundamental releases.
The last obstacle for the bulls is the underlined blue resistance,
its breakout and a daily candle close above will trigger more growth.
4️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
It feels like the pair is returning to a global bullish trend.
The price has recently retraced and perfectly respected the underlined support.
With a high probability, we will see a test of a current high soon.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish OutlookChart Overview
This is a 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) from OANDA, showing recent price action forming a rising wedge pattern followed by a bearish breakdown. The price initially rallied within the wedge but failed to sustain gains above the key resistance zone, leading to a strong rejection and downward momentum.
Key Chart Elements & Analysis
1. Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern)
The market was in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows within a rising wedge pattern.
A rising wedge is a classic bearish reversal pattern, which indicates weakening buying pressure as price consolidates upward.
The price eventually broke below the lower trendline, signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
2. Resistance Zone & Rejection
A strong resistance zone was identified around $33.80 - $34.20 USD (highlighted in blue).
Price attempted multiple times to break above this level but faced selling pressure, leading to a sharp reversal.
The final breakout attempt failed, confirming that sellers are in control.
3. Breakdown & Retest of Support
After breaking down from the wedge, the price found temporary support around $33.20 USD, which aligns with a previous consolidation area.
A retest of the broken wedge support turned into resistance, further confirming the bearish bias.
The rejection from this level strengthened the case for a move lower.
4. Next Support Level & Target Projection
The next significant support zone is around $31.95 - $32.00 USD (marked as the "Target" area).
This level coincides with previous price action support, making it a high-probability bearish target.
The breakdown is expected to follow a measured move projection, bringing price toward this level.
Trade Plan & Execution Strategy
📉 Bearish Setup (Short Opportunity)
Ideal Entry: A pullback to the previous support (now resistance) at $33.20 - $33.40 USD could offer an entry for shorts.
Stop-Loss: Above $33.80 USD, just above the resistance zone.
Target Levels:
Primary Target: $32.50 USD
Final Target: $31.95 - $32.00 USD
Confirmation: Look for price rejection or bearish candlestick formations at resistance before entering.
⚠️ Risk Management & Considerations
Bullish Scenario: If price reclaims $33.80 USD, the bearish setup could be invalidated, and a move higher toward $34.50 USD is possible.
Market Conditions: Keep an eye on macroeconomic factors, news events, and USD strength, as they can influence silver prices.
Conclusion: Bearish Outlook with Downside Target 🎯
The rising wedge breakdown signals further downside potential.
A support retest rejection confirms selling pressure.
$31.95 - $32.00 USD remains the main target, aligning with technical projections.
Short positions with proper risk management remain favorable in this setup.