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Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Rising Wedge Breakdown & MMC🧠 2. Introduction to Mirror Market Concepts (MMC): MMC, or Mirror Market Concepts, is a powerful technique that views price action as symmetrical or repetitive in nature. In this scenario, we notice that the right side of the chart mirrors the left — suggesting that after this bullish climb, the market might repeat its earlier bearish behavior but in a reflected pattern. This adds confluence to our bearish outlook and makes the forecast more robust. 🔺 3. Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Reversal Signal: The most critical part of this analysis is the formation of a Rising Wedge — a classic reversal pattern. Let’s break down what it means: Structure: The wedge is formed by two upward-sloping trendlines converging at the top. Volume Behavior: Volume typically decreases as the wedge matures, showing that bulls are losing strength. Psychology: Buyers keep pushing the price higher, but each move has less momentum than the last. Sellers are quietly preparing for a breakdown. The moment price breaks below the wedge’s lower trendline, it usually triggers panic selling or aggressive short entries. 🔄 4. Key Price Levels & Zones: Minor Resistance Zone: Price rejected near a historical resistance area, showing sellers are still active. Previous Target Zone: This area acted as a ceiling before the rejection — important for reversal confirmation. SR Interchange Zone: A classic zone where support becomes resistance — this adds strong confluence to the reversal idea. 🎯 Bearish Trade Plan & Take-Profit Levels: Once the wedge breaks down, the projected move is based on measured moves and prior support levels. Here’s the breakdown: ✅ TP1 (Take Profit 1): 3,275.30 – This is the first key support level right after the wedge breakdown. Ideal for partial profits. ✅ TP2: 3,205.64 – Previous support zone from earlier consolidation. High probability target. ✅ TP3: 3,169.18 – A more extended target that aligns with historical price memory and full wedge depth. Each TP level is supported by historical price structure and previous volume clusters. ⚠️ Risk Factors & Trade Management: While this setup looks strong, always consider: False Breakouts : Wedges can fake out traders. Wait for candle close confirmation below the wedge. News Events : Macroeconomic announcements (especially U.S. dollar data) can reverse technical setups. Risk-to-Reward: Don’t enter without calculating your stop loss above the wedge and aiming for at least a 1:2 ratio. 🧠 Conclusion – What This Setup Tells Us: This chart is a perfect blend of price action + market symmetry (MMC). The rising wedge signals that bulls are running out of steam, while MMC suggests a mirrored decline could follow. If price action confirms the breakdown with momentum and volume, this could be a high-probability short setup for swing traders and intraday players alike.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
AMD LONG IDEAAMD stock has been in a downtrend for a while. This is also confirmed with the awesome oscillator being in oversold region. However, there's a breakout of the downtrend. This is also supported with price breaking and closing above a support level. An aggressive trader or investor can buy at the current market price. While a conservative trader or investor can wait for price to pull back to the support level before buying. The entry will be 101.70 while the stop will be 76.05 and the final target will be 226.77. Confluence for this signal are as follows: 1. Awesome oscillator in oversold region 2. Awesome oscillator divergence 3. Downtrend breakout 4. Weekly bullish candle closing above down trend line and support level. 5. Price respecting uptrend Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. If you can't accept the risk, don't take the signal.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by KofTFx
3
BTCUSDT – Reaccumulation Breakout or Bearish S/R Flip?Timeframes: 1W • 1D • 4H Structure: Wyckoff Reaccumulation nearing Phase E — but ATH is acting as resistance 🔹 WEEKLY OUTLOOK: Macro Structure Points to Markup Last weekly candle closed above the reaccumulation Buying Climax (BC), showing bullish intent Weekly upper Bollinger Band is rising toward 113k RSI at 67, strong but not overbought Structure suggests we’re entering Wyckoff Phase E Weekly Targets: 🟢 TP1: 113,049 (Upper BB) 🟢 TP2: 116,199 (measured move) 🟢 TP3: 118,237 (Fib 0.66 extension) 🔹 DAILY OUTLOOK: Still Holding Above Reaccumulation Range Multiple daily closes above the BU (backup) zone, but all below 110k ATH RSI is strong (~66), and price is tracking near the upper BB, but volume is not convincing Until a daily close above 110,000, breakout remains unconfirmed 🔹 4H OUTLOOK: Structure Valid, Momentum Rising BU zone held; price made two lower lows followed by a higher high RSI has reclaimed 57+, and volume is picking up modestly 4H structure looks like an early Phase E breakout attempt, but... ⚠️ Caution: Is This a Bearish S/R Flip? While the broader Wyckoff structure suggests a transition into markup, we must also consider the bearish scenario: BTC may be failing a support/resistance flip at 110k All timeframes have rejected at or below 110k, despite multiple attempts If we see a lower high under 109k + 1D close below 105,863 with red volume and RSI < 45 → this becomes a confirmed bull trap 📊 TL;DR: BTC is structurally bullish — but we are at the final test zone. 🔓 Breakout confirmed: Daily close above 110k 🔒 Failure confirmed: Close below 105,863 + red volume + RSI breakdown Stay nimble. This is either the last shakeout before markup… or the top of the range before reversal. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Reaccumulation #Breakout #SupportResistance
Long
by BitcoinMillio18
1.15150 Resistance Looms Amid EU Economic WoesOn the daily timeframe, EURUSD continues climbing toward the strong resistance zone around 1.15150 after a solid rebound from the EMA 34. However, the current candlestick structure shows signs of slowing momentum as price approaches a historically significant top — a zone prone to short-term profit-taking. The technical setup becomes even more relevant when viewed alongside macroeconomic developments: the U.S. has just announced an extension of its 50% tariff deadline on EU goods from June 1 to July 9, temporarily easing trade tensions. However, the European Commission has revised down its Eurozone growth forecast for 2025 from 1.3% to 0.9%, highlighting persistent structural weaknesses and economic risks in the region. The likely scenario: EURUSD may face rejection at 1.15150, followed by a pullback toward the support area around 1.09610. This zone aligns with the EMA 34, EMA 89, and a previous accumulation range. If this support fails to hold, the medium-term trend could shift clearly to the downside.
by Rocky_trade_
Potential Reversal and Breakout Retest.Entry Zone: We recommend initiating a BUY position in AIA Engineering Ltd. around the current levels, ideally between ₹3,280 - ₹3,320. This area represents a retest of the recent trendline breakout. Target 1 (T1): ₹3,400 Target 2 (T2): ₹3,480 Target 3 (T3): ₹3,580 (If momentum sustains above T2) Stop Loss (SL): ₹3,200 (Strictly on a closing basis) Trendline Breakout & Retest: The stock recently broke out of a significant descending trendline, indicating a potential end to the corrective phase. The current price action appears to be a successful retest of this broken trendline, which often acts as new support, presenting a lower-risk entry point. Volume Confirmation: The initial breakout was accompanied by higher volumes, and while the retest phase has lower volumes (typical), sustained buying interest on subsequent upward moves would confirm strength. RSI Bounce from Support: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a bounce from the 40-50 zone, indicating that momentum is regaining strength and potentially moving towards the bullish territory. Positive Structure: The overall chart structure suggests that the stock is attempting to reverse its short-term downtrend and potentially resume its broader upward trajectory. Favorable Risk-Reward: The current setup offers a reasonable risk-to-reward ratio for a short-term trade, with potential for upside gains outweighing the defined risk. Key Risk: A close below ₹3,200 would invalidate the bullish retest scenario and could lead to further downside, bringing the previous lows into play. Traders should adhere strictly to the stop-loss.
NSE:AIAENGLong
by rmhetre15
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 26/05/2025Today, Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up near the 24950 level. If it sustains above the 24950–25000 zone, it can lead to bullish momentum with upside targets of 25150, 25200, and 25250+. A breakout above 25000 will act as a strong confirmation for further rally. However, if Nifty fails to sustain above 24950 and slips below the 24900–24850 zone, a short trade opportunity may emerge with downside targets at 24800 and 24750. Further weakness will be confirmed only if it breaks below 24700, which may drag the index down to 24600, 24550, and 24500.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
EURUSD Trendline Breakout – Bullish Target Ahead EURUSD has successfully broken out of a strong descending trendline, which was acting as dynamic resistance for weeks. The breakout is backed by strong bullish candles and clear higher lows forming. After the breakout, the price also reclaimed a key horizontal support zone around 1.12573, turning it into a solid base for further upside. 🎯 Bullish Target (Expected): First major bullish target at 1.13864 based on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the last swing move. 📌 Support: 1.12573 📌 Breakout Confirmation: Valid as long as price holds above the trendline and support. 📈 Outlook: The momentum looks strong for further bullish continuation. If the price holds above the breakout zone, we expect a move toward 1.13864 in the coming sessions.
Long
by ClearTradingMind
XAUUSD – Signs of Weakness at the Pressure ZoneToday’s market has low trading volume as both the UK and the US are on holiday. This makes price action more prone to “choppy” movements within a narrow range, and technical signals tend to become more reliable. Gold is approaching a strong resistance zone around 3,420 – a level that previously triggered a sharp drop in early May. Based on the current technical structure, it’s clear that gold is entering a “pressure zone,” as upward momentum slows down and recent candles start to show hesitation. The most likely scenario is a rejection at 3,420, followed by a pullback toward the 3,250 support area – where EMA 34 and prior accumulation volume converge. If this zone fails to hold, the next target could be around 3,170. We don’t always have to “call the top,” but this is definitely a time to dial back bullish expectations and closely monitor price action in this sensitive area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
ETH Trap & Drop Setup – OB Rejection + Bearish Channel📉 Ethereum (ETHUSD) | 1H SMC Breakdown | Bearish Setup Explained Another clean setup for the SMC gang. ETH just gave us a beautiful opportunity, respecting market structure, reacting to Order Block supply, and aiming to clean up sell-side liquidity. Let’s dive in 👇 🧱 1. Structure: Bearish Channel Formation ETH has been moving in a tight bearish channel, producing: Lower highs (confirmed supply zones) Lower lows (liquidity grabs + structure breaks) This shows consistent bearish pressure. 🧊 2. Premium OB Tap + Rejection Zone Price just retraced into a Bearish Order Block sitting in the Premium zone, right around $2,514. 💥 OB zone is aligned with: Upper channel resistance Supply rejection Clean inefficiency fill Price wicked inside and immediately rejected = Smart Money active. 🧠 3. Retail Psychology Trap Retail likely: Longing support bounce Placing stops under structure lows Not respecting OB/imbalance narrative Meanwhile, Smart Money: Enters short from OB Targets imbalanced zones Eyes the $2,270 weak low 🎯 4. Liquidity Pool & Final Target 🔻 Target Zone: $2,270 This level is: A weak low (high chance of being swept) Sits at lower channel boundary Acts as a liquidity magnet Expect price to accelerate as it approaches this zone. ⚔️ 5. Trade Plan (Short Setup) 📍 Entry: $2,514 OB Zone 🔐 Stop Loss: Above $2,582 (structure break + OB invalidation) 🎯 Targets: TP1: $2,460 TP2: $2,400 TP3: $2,270 ⚖️ RRR: ~1:4+ – high precision trade 🧠 Key Concepts in Play: Order Block Rejection Premium Pricing Sell Setup Bearish Channel Continuation Liquidity Sweep Targeting 📌 Chart Summary: "Don’t chase candles – follow the narrative. OB tells the story, liquidity gives the profit." 📚 Study the OB zone reaction. These setups repeat every week across assets if you know what to look for. 💬 Drop “ETH OB SNIPER” in the comments if this is your kind of entry. 📈 Tag a trader who needs to stop fading Smart Money moves!
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
2
BTCJPY Bearish Channel Setup – OB Rejection to Weak Low Sweep🧠 Bitcoin vs Yen (BTCJPY) | 30M Smart Money Breakdown BTCJPY is painting the same story we’ve seen before: liquidity builds → OB rejection → channel continuation → weak low sweep. This is how the markets bleed slow then drop fast. Let’s break it down. 🧱 1. Bearish Channel Structure We’re inside a clear descending channel, where price: Forms consistent lower highs (supply zones) Prints lower lows (liquidity grabs) Shows rejections at channel tops = perfect confluence This structure supports a continuation downward move. 🧊 2. Order Block + Supply Rejection Price recently tapped into a clean Bearish Order Block (OB) within the premium zone just under 15.5M. OB was respected with a sharp reaction Immediate sell pressure confirms Smart Money entry Red zone = OB + supply + channel midline No candle closes above OB = bias confirmed bearish. 🧲 3. Smart Money Flow vs Retail Retail likely went long on the mini bounce. Smart Money waited for: Price to tap into the OB Retail to stack longs Opportunity to fill imbalance and dump This gives us an ideal Sell-to-Buy-to-Sell structure forming. 🕯️ 4. Projected Move: Weak Low Sweep 🧨 Target = 14,831,148 Why? That’s a marked Weak Low It aligns with channel support It’s a known liquidity magnet Expect acceleration into this zone. ⚔️ 5. Trade Plan (Short Setup) 📍 Entry Zone: 15.315M – 15.33M 🔐 Stop Loss: Above OB → ~15.50M 🎯 Targets: TP1: 15.200M TP2: 15.000M TP3: 14.831M ⚖️ RRR: ~1:4+ depending on execution precision 🧠 Summary: This chart screams: “Trap the liquidity, respect the OB, ride the channel.” These setups repeat. Same pattern, different chart, every week. 📣 Engage Call: 💬 Comment “BTCJPY SHORT SNIPER” if you caught this one 👥 Tag your trading partner – don’t let them miss this play 🔄 Save this chart to study the OB entry mechanics
Short
by ChartNinjas88
Potential Breakout from a Symmetrical Triangl Descending ChannelEntry Zone: We recommend initiating a BUY position in JK Lakshmi Cement around the current levels, ideally between ₹880 - ₹890. This considers the strong closing above the resistance trendline. Target 1 (T1): ₹925 Target 2 (T2): ₹950 Target 3 (T3): ₹980 (If momentum sustains above T2) Stop Loss (SL): ₹860 (Strictly on a closing basis) Channel Breakout: The stock has decisively broken out of a multi-month descending channel/symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a potential strong reversal from a corrective phase. This breakout appears to be supported by a noticeable pickup in volumes. Key Resistance Breach: The stock has also managed to close above a significant horizontal resistance level around ₹880-885, which has acted as a hurdle multiple times in the past. A sustained move above this level confirms bullish intent. RSI Strength: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing strength, trading well above the 50-mark and moving towards the overbought zone, confirming increasing buying momentum. Positive Price Action: The overall structure suggests accumulation at lower levels, and the current breakout could initiate the next leg of the uptrend. Favorable Risk-Reward: The setup offers a compelling risk-reward profile for a short-term trade, with significant upside potential compared to the defined stop-loss. Key Risk: A failure to sustain above the ₹880 level or a close below the ₹860 stop-loss would invalidate the bullish view and could lead to renewed selling pressure.
NSE:JKLAKSHMILong
by rmhetre15
Golds Correction Is Over!Gold corrected itself all the way down to 3120 yesterday which is a significant demand level by institutions. Price then rebounded and closed at 3150. If it creates a confirmed HL by the end of Friday, the odds and probability XAUUSD will go back to its supply area at 3500 is highly probable. Price will also depend on macro fundamentals. The weekly shows a strong uptrend and so as the monthly chart. Institutions started buying back and increased their long positions.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by supertrader72
Bullish - Breakout observed from a descending channelEntry Zone: We recommend accumulating FSL in the zone of ₹375 - ₹385. Target 1 (T1): ₹405 Target 2 (T2): ₹420 Target 3 (T3): ₹450 (If momentum sustains above T2) Stop Loss (SL): ₹360 (Closing basis) Rationale: Channel Breakout: The stock has successfully broken out of a prominent descending channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. This breakout is supported by decent volumes on the breakout candle. RSI Confirmation: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown a strong move above the 50-mark and is trending upwards, suggesting increasing buying interest and underlying strength. Support from Previous Levels: The breakout retests appear to hold the previous resistance now acting as support, which is a classic bullish reversal pattern. Risk-Reward: The current setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for short-term traders. Key Risk: A close below ₹360 would negate the current bullish view and could lead to further downside. Traders should adhere strictly to the stop-loss. Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Equity investments are subject to market risks.
NSE:FSLLong
by rmhetre15
BTCUSDT – Hitting resistance, is selling pressure returning?Bitcoin is showing signs of losing momentum after touching the resistance zone around 111,669. On the H4 timeframe, the previous bullish structure has stalled with a series of red candles and a clear pullback, bringing price back to test the EMA 34 zone. In terms of news, although the market remains excited due to expectations surrounding a Bitcoin spot ETF, many large investors are starting to take profits after the recent sharp rally. This is causing selling pressure to slightly outweigh buying in the short term. The most likely scenario now is that BTC could make a mild upward move to retest the 111,600 area – but if it fails to break above, a reversal back toward the support zone at 105,800 is highly probable. This area aligns with the EMA 89 and a previous accumulation zone. Current strategy: don’t get caught in a false breakout. Instead, watch the 111,600 area and wait for a clear signal. If a reversal candlestick pattern appears, short-term sell entries may be considered with a target near the lower support.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – Testing Key Resistance, Signs of a Pullback EmergingEURUSD is gradually approaching the strong resistance zone around 1.142 – a level that has rejected price at least twice in the past. The recent bullish momentum is clear, but the current move is nearing a major barrier, increasing the likelihood of a short-term pullback. If the price fails to break this zone and rejection signals appear, a drop back toward the support area around 1.125 is highly possible – this level aligns with the EMA 89 and recent swing lows. It will be a key area to watch where the market might “take a breath” before deciding the next direction. The current strategy is to patiently observe price action at this resistance zone. If confirmation appears, this could offer an opportunity for short-term sell setups. However, if the price decisively breaks above 1.142, the bearish scenario would be invalidated.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
2
XAUUSD holds the trend – Will it break through 3,440?Gold continues to maintain a strong uptrend on the daily timeframe, supported by a rising trendline and upward-sloping EMA 34 and EMA 89. The price is now approaching the key resistance zone at 3,440 – a level that has been rejected twice in the past – making a slight pullback entirely possible. However, the market structure shows no signs of reversal, and any dip toward the support area around 3,210 could present a “buy on dip” opportunity. As long as the price remains above the ascending trendline, the primary trend is still upward. Traders are advised to patiently wait for clear signals near support rather than FOMO at resistance. If the 3,440 barrier is broken successfully, bullish momentum may accelerate toward higher targets.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
BTCUSD MMC Breakdown – Curve Collapse & H&S Sell-Off Loading🔍 Chart Overview – BTC/USD (1H Timeframe) This setup uses Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) to forecast Bitcoin’s next potential major move, blending institutional-level curve analysis, pattern recognition, and structure shifts. We are currently seeing a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern develop under a Black Mind Curve Resistance, supported by a sloping neckline and a clear zone of structure breaks and retests. Price is positioned for a significant bearish continuation if confirmation hits. 📐 Breakdown of Key Components: 🧠 1. Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) MMC focuses on the symmetry and memory of market behavior. When certain price structures mirror past reactions (support, resistance, or rejection points), we gain an edge in anticipating where big moves will happen. Here, the curve structure and neckline level align to mirror prior bearish reactions. 👤 2. Head & Shoulders Pattern Left Shoulder: Formed with rising volume and strong bullish momentum. Head: A sharp move upward forming a new high, but eventually fails to sustain above the curve. Right Shoulder: A weaker bullish attempt, indicating exhaustion and imbalance. The neckline is clearly marked — a break below it validates the reversal pattern. 🟠 3. Black Mind Curve Resistance This is an institutional resistance arc — an MMC dynamic level that mirrors prior selling patterns. Price reacted strongly under this curve, confirming its relevance. It acted as a ceiling for the head formation, capping bullish continuation and turning price downward. 🔵 4. Black Mind Curve Support Drawn beneath the price action, this dynamic support is about to be tested again. A clean break below the curve and neckline would likely result in a strong drop. ⚠️ 5. Major CHoCH & BOS Zones CHoCH (Change of Character): Price failed to form new highs and showed early bearish shift. BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed when neckline is broken. These are vital MMC confirmation points that strengthen the short idea. 🔁 6. Retest & Boom (Bearish Version) Price could retest the neckline or the broken trendline (shown by the blue arrows), offering a perfect "sell on retest" opportunity before dropping to the target. This is a classic MMC play — breakdown ➝ retest ➝ continuation. 🎯 7. Target Zone Projected based on: Height of the H&S pattern. Previous key structure zone. MMC symmetry principles. Expected target: near $101,700 – $102,000. 🧨 Trade Idea: ✅ Bearish Setup (Preferred Bias) Wait for a clean neckline break and candle close. Look for retest of neckline or curve (lower timeframes). Sell with target near $101,700, SL above right shoulder. 🚫 Invalidation: Price closes back above right shoulder and curve. Invalidates the bearish structure.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold 4H VIP Move – MMC Curve Break or Bounce?📈 Market: XAUUSD – 4H Timeframe This setup is based on Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), a method that reflects the idea of market symmetry, key structural levels, and curve dynamics (institutional behavior). We’re looking at how price interacts with historically significant zones, demand transfers, and resistance curves. 🔍 Full Chart Analysis Breakdown: 1. ⚙️ Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) MMC focuses on how past price actions "mirror" into the future. If a zone caused a strong move before, it can likely do it again — either by rejecting price or acting as a magnet for liquidity. You can see how historical supply and demand zones still influence price today. 2. 🧱 Major Resistance Zone (Top Blue Zone: ~$3,470 – $3,520) This is a historical supply area where sellers were previously dominant. Every time price enters this zone, it reacts with strong selling pressure. Watch closely: a clean breakout + retest above this zone could open the door to higher time frame bullish continuation. 3. 🚧 Black Mind Curve Resistance (Orange Arc) A dynamic resistance level based on institutional selling behavior over time. This curve aligns with historical highs and retracements, suggesting smart money is actively defending this region. Price is now testing this curve — either it gets rejected and drops, or breaks above for a breakout boom. 4. 🟦 Mini Reversal Zone (Around $3,400) This zone sits right under the curve and major resistance, making it a critical decision point. A strong reaction here could mean a short-term selloff, but if broken, this zone could flip into support, validating the breakout. 5. 📉 Trending Support Line (Upward Diagonal) Acting as short-term bullish support. As price pulls back, this trendline could catch the dip, causing a bounce toward the reversal or major resistance zone. You can also call this the "retest and boom" line, as seen in your chart’s annotation. 6. 🧊 Demand Transferred (Mid-Zone Shift) Shows where institutional demand entered and was then shifted upward to support the rally. This is a powerful MMC concept — demand didn’t disappear, it just migrated up, forming new support levels. 7. 🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~$3,160 – $3,200) Classic support/resistance flip zone. If the trendline and mid-zone fail, price might drop here to collect liquidity and trigger new buy orders. This is your “last stand” zone for bulls. 8. 🧱 Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation BOS already occurred earlier on the chart — this confirms bullish shift in structure. Now, price is looking to retest the previous high or break it entirely. 🎯 Trade Scenarios ✅ Bullish Setup (Base Case): Price continues to hold above the trending support. Breaks mini reversal zone + Black Curve Resistance. Retests the zone (validation). Pushes toward the Major Resistance Zone ($3,470 – $3,520). ⚠️ Bearish Setup (If Rejected): Price hits the curve and mini reversal zone and gets rejected hard. Drops back to trending support, possibly breaks it. Targets SR Interchange Zone (~$3,160 – $3,200) as the next buy zone. 💬 Mind / Trading Wisdom: “Price doesn’t lie. It reacts. Let it show you the intention — breakout or rejection. Follow MMC structure, respect the curve resistance, and let price action guide your entries.” 📌 Summary for Traders: Concepts Used: Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), Curve Resistance, SR Flip, Demand Transfer, BOS. Current Price Action: Testing reversal zone + curve. Bias: Bullish but cautiously watching for rejection. Next Levels: Watch $3,400 – $3,520 for decision. Retest = entry. Rejection = liquidity hunt.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAU/USD Outlook: Will Gold Open with a Bullish Gap?XAU/USD Outlook: Will Gold Open with a Bullish Gap? Date Range: 26th – 30th May 2025 Timeframe: H4 (4-hour chart) Market Bias: Short-term bullish 🔍 Fundamental Analysis US–China Trade Tensions: China halting imports of US goods puts pressure on the dollar (gold tends to move inversely). Escalating tensions support gold as a safe-haven asset. Tariff Threats to the EU: Trump proposes 50% tariffs on EU products → potential retaliatory measures raise global uncertainty. Risk-averse sentiment may push capital into gold. Physical Gold Demand: High seasonal demand from India and China ahead of festivals. Inflation fears globally increase gold's appeal. 🌍 Macro Overview Monetary Policy: The Fed may face pressure to cut rates if trade tensions weaken the economy → bearish for USD, bullish for gold. PBOC could devalue the yuan in response to trade friction, boosting gold prices in USD terms. Market Sentiment: A potential rise in the VIX (fear index) may drive investors towards safe havens like gold. Strong demand for physical gold and ETFs, particularly in Asia, continues to support price. Key Events This Week: US Core PCE (inflation indicator) US Consumer Confidence EU and China responses to recent US trade policy 📊 Technical Analysis (H4) Trend: Clear ascending channel Current Price: 3,407.554 Key Resistance Levels: 3,407 – 3,444 (major resistance zone) 3,444.436 = potential all-time high Support Zones: 3,361.648 (channel midpoint) 3,325.347 (lower channel boundary) Fair Value Gaps (FVG): FVG 1: 3,361 – 3,407 FVG 2: 3,325 – 3,340 Price Action Note: A doji candle near resistance suggests a possible short-term pullback before continuation 🔄 Possible Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Scenario (60% probability): Break above 3,444 with momentum could trigger a bullish gap and extend toward 3,500 Strong fundamental and technical support for upside 🔽 Bearish Scenario: Rejection from 3,444 may lead to a pullback toward 3,361 or even 3,325 for buy setups 💡 Trade Plan ✅ Long Setup: Entry: 3,361 – 3,370 (pullback into FVG or mid-channel support) Take Profit: 3,444 (TP1), 3,500 (TP2) Stop Loss: Below 3,325 ❌ Short Setup (only on confirmed rejection): Entry: On clear rejection at 3,444 (e.g. bearish engulfing or head & shoulders pattern) Take Profit: 3,361 Stop Loss: Above 3,444 ⏰ Optimal Trading Times Monitor market open (Sunday, 26th May) for confirmation of a potential bullish gap Best liquidity during London and New York sessions 📝 Summary: Gold is well-positioned for a bullish move amid escalating trade tensions and USD weakness. Watch closely for a breakout above 3,444 or a retracement to 3,361 as a strategic buy zone. Stay updated on US inflation data and trade policy developments to adjust accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4