GOLD bulls ready to break higherHere we are looking at the 240/4hr chart. I am seeing price make a push higher from a previously well respected support zone and a possible triangle pattern forming after pushing down from previous highs.
Currently we're waiting for bears to push the price down either to the bottom of the triangle pattern, or breaking out to the highs for entries higher.
Plan for bears is to sell back into the triangle and in current resistance.
Plan here for bulls is to look for entries at a better price breaking this pattern, or into the highs.
Technical Analysis
[TechnoFunda]IDFC FIRST BANK – DEEP DIVE INTO MULTI-YEAR SUPPORTTECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Ascending broadening channel structure
– Since the Aug-20 low (~₹15) price has traced a steady up-sloping trendline, touching in Mar-21, Feb-22 and now Apr-25
– Parallel resistance capped rallies in Feb-18 and Sep-23, defining a ~₹80–100 supply zone
– Channel slope averages ~30% annualized gains from support to resistance
EMA confluence and momentum
– April formed a bullish engulfing candle that closed above the 50 EMA (₹63.8), signalling renewed buyer conviction
Elliott-style wave count
– Wave 1: Aug-20 to Feb-23 advance into channel top (₹100)
– Wave 2: Feb-23 to Apr-25 retrace back to support/200 EMA (₹55)
– Wave 3 (projected): expected to carry price toward channel top again, targeting ₹95–100
Measured-move & targets
– Channel height (~₹85–15 = ₹70) added to support gives a potential target near ₹125 – bullish scenario only on a clean break above channel resistance
– Shorter-term target zone: ₹75 (minor swing highs) → ₹85 (channel midline)
Risk management
– Invalidation: monthly close below ₹55 erodes the uptrend and negates wave-count
– Use a stop 1.5× ATR below the Apr-25 low (₹50) for defined risk
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
Revenue & earnings trajectory
– Quarterly revenue up from ~₹40 B in 2020 to ₹113 B in Q1 ’25, reflecting strong loan book growth and fee income diversification
– Net income swung from losses in 2018–19 to a peak of ~₹12 B in 2023, and stays positive at ₹3 B in the latest quarter
Asset-quality improvement
– GNPA ratio down from ~2.2% in 2020 to ~1.3% in Q1 ’25; PCR steadily rising above 75%
– Slippages have trended lower quarter-on-quarter, supporting margin stability
Margin & capital metrics
– Net interest margin at ~4.2%, above industry average, driven by retail and SME lending
– CET-1 ratio comfortably above 13% with Tier-1 capital buffer, enabling healthy credit growth
Valuation & catalysts
– Trades at ~0.4× book value and 10× trailing P/E vs sector averages of 1.5× and 15× respectively
– Potential rerating catalysts: continued NIM expansion, sustained reduction in credit cost, digital customer growth
MACRO & SENTIMENT CONTEXT:
- RBI rate cycle poised for cuts in H2 ’25, which could support credit demand
- Bank Nifty outperforming broader markets; institutional flows have rotated into midcap banks
- Relative strength vs Nifty: RSI on a monthly sits near 50, rising from oversold – room to run before overbought
TRADING PLAN:
- Enter partial long near current price (₹66–70)
- Add on break above ₹75 with conviction
- Targets: ₹75 → ₹85 → ₹95–100 (channel top)
- Stop-loss: ₹50–55 zone (monthly close basis)
- Trail stops above each new swing low to lock in profits as price advances
BTC Breaks Out Above Key Resistance Bullish Momentum AcceleratesClassic Technical Breakout:
Bitcoin has surged past the critical $91,607 resistance level, which had capped its upside since February. This breakout marks a major shift in market momentum.
Broader Bullish Structure:
The move confirms a larger bullish structure, defined by a consistent pattern of higher lows and higher highs since the March lows, signaling strong market health.
Accumulation Zone Cleared:
Bitcoin’s breakout from the well-established $76,000–$92,000 accumulation zone further strengthens the bullish outlook, highlighting robust underlying demand.
Road to Six Figures:
Now trading above key psychological and technical levels, Bitcoin appears poised for a potential move toward six figures and a retest of all-time highs above $108,000 — as long as it holds above the breakout zone.
Conclusion:
Momentum is clearly favoring the bulls. Bitcoin’s breakout could mark the beginning of its next major rally phase. 🚀📈
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #Resistance #CryptoMarket #MarketUpdate
AON: Quiet Compounder Preparing Its Next Move!?ROE: 46.3% — top-tier profitability backed by real cash flow.
Net Margin: 16.9% — significantly above industry average.
Free Cash Flow: $2.8B+ annually — strong ability to cover dividends, buybacks, and debt obligations.
Dividend Growth: 11 consecutive years — low payout ratio (~25%), very sustainable.
--------------
🏢 Company Snapshot:
Market Cap: ~$72.5 billion
Employees: ~50,000
Founded: 1982
Headquarters: London, United Kingdom
🌎 What Aon Does:
Aon plc is a global leader in risk management, insurance brokerage, and human capital solutions, helping organizations safeguard their assets, people, and long-term value in an increasingly complex world.
🛡️ Risk-Focused Excellence:
Through cutting-edge data analytics, consulting services, and integrated solutions, Aon supports businesses across commercial risk, reinsurance, health, and retirement sectors.
📚 Fun Facts:
The name "Aon" comes from the Gaelic word for "oneness", reflecting its mission to deliver unified solutions to clients.
Aon was a key broker for insuring the World Trade Center and played a critical role in redefining corporate risk coverage post-9/11.
The company was portrayed in the movie The Big Short as one of the key firms advising institutions during the financial crisis.
🔹 Key Strengths:
ROE: 46.3% — top-tier profitability backed by real cash flow.
Net Margin: 16.9% — significantly above industry average.
Free Cash Flow: $2.8B+ annually — strong ability to cover dividends, buybacks, and debt obligations.
Dividend Growth: 11 consecutive years — low payout ratio (~25%), very sustainable.
🔹 Concerns:
Debt-to-Equity: 2.58 — leverage higher than peer average; manageable but worth monitoring.
Valuation: P/E 26.5× — trading at a premium compared to Marsh & McLennan (MMC) and Willis Towers Watson (WTW).
📈 Current Technical Setup: Break&Retest
For nearly three years, the $320–$350 zone acted like a stone wall for AON, a major resistance barrier where every breakout attempt failed.
The price consistently struggled to break through... until late 2024, when a decisive breakout finally occurred, fueled by strong earnings momentum and resilient cash flow generation.
Now, AON has pulled back to retest this critical area — a former resistance that may transform into supercharged support.
This is a textbook example of Break & Retest behavior: price breaking a multi-year resistance, then returning to find liquidity and new buyers at the same key zone.
Fundamentally, AON continues to deliver high ROE (46%), strong margins (17%), and solid free cash flow, making it an attractive name for investors looking for stability and compound growth — exactly the kind of stock that buyers often defend during technical retests.
📋 Final Thoughts:
Aon is a quiet powerhouse in risk and advisory services, compounding cash flows year after year.
If you're looking for steady long-term growth, resilient profitability, and shareholder-aligned management, AON deserves a spot on your watchlist.
Patience matters though — at current prices, buying on weakness could offer better long-term returns.
Always do your own analysis and make sure it matches your risk profile.
If your view aligns with mine — you're basically ready to go. 😉
Cheers,
Vaido
GBPJPY: More Growth Ahead?! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
For some unknown reason, I received a lot of requests from
the members of my free channels to share my thoughts about GBPJPY.
Well, from a daily time frame perspective, the pair still looks bullish to me.
I do believe that the market has unrealized potential to go higher.
A bullish breakout of a neckline of a huge inverted head & shoulders pattern
was a very bullish event. It now turned into a strong support from where
I will look for buying.
The closest resistance is 191.95.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
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Range Tightens on Gold – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?📌 Trading Plan for April 28, 2025: Gold (XAU/USD) Strategy 🧠📈
📊 Technical Analysis
Following the sharp drop in previous sessions, gold is now consolidating around the 3260–3270 support zone.
Price is moving within a tight triangle formation on the M15 timeframe, indicating compression ahead of a breakout.
The MA 13 – 34 – 200 still suggests a short-term bearish bias, but selling momentum has noticeably slowed down.
Expectation: gold may retest the 3299–3313 resistance zone before a stronger directional move.
🎯 Key Price Levels for Today
Immediate Resistance: 3299 – 3313
Major Support: 3260 – 3258 – 3239
🧩 Updated Trade Setup
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3260 – 3258
Stop Loss (SL): 3254
Take Profit (TP): 3264 → 3268 → 3272 → 3276 → 3280
🔴 SELL ZONE: (after price retests resistance)
Entry: 3299 – 3301
Stop Loss (SL): 3306
Take Profit (TP): 3295 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3275
📢 Important Notes
Expected daily range: 60–80 pips.
No major economic news today, but stay alert for unexpected political headlines (especially from the US, China, India-Pakistan tensions).
Strictly follow TP/SL levels to protect your capital — avoid FOMO chasing after sharp intraday moves.
✅ Conclusion
Gold remains in a sensitive consolidation phase.
The best strategy today is buying at support and selling at resistance, only scaling in after clear confirmations!
💬 How are you planning to trade gold today? Share your views and setups below! 👇👇👇
CADCHF: Still Bullish 🇨🇦🇨🇭
Last week, I shared a very bullish outlook for CADCHF
based on a breakout and a retest of a key daily structure.
I keep holding a long trade on the pair and still expect growth.
Goal - 0.602
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EURCHF: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺🇨🇭
There is a high chance that EURCHF will bounce
from a recently broken horizontal resistance.
After a breakout, it turned into support with a high probability.
As a confirmation signal, I see a tiny cup & handle pattern
on an hourly time frame and intraday bullish imbalance.
Goal - 0.9422
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XAUUSD Downtrend Continues- Is 3,175 the Next Stop?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. This structure reflects sustained bearish momentum, and sellers continue to dominate the overall direction.
The recent upward move appears to be a technical rebound, with price approaching a potential resistance zone near the upper boundary of the channel. This area may now serve as a supply zone after acting as previous support, making it an important region for potential rejection.
If the resistance holds, a rejection here could lead to the continuation of the bearish trend, with a potential move targeting the support area around 3,175, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
However, failure to hold below this level could invalidate the bearish scenario and increase the likelihood of a retest toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Traders should monitor for clear rejection signals at resistance, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, or alternatively, wait for breakout confirmation before considering a trend shift. As always, proper risk management remains essential.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 28/04/2025Nifty will open gap up in today's session. Expected opening near 24200 level. After opening if 24150-24250 zone will act as a consolidation for today's session. Any strong upside rally only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 24250 level. Downside movement expected if nifty starts trading below 24150 level. Below this level downside move expected upto 23850 support level in today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(28/04/2025)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty. Expected opening near 54950 level. After opening it will face immediate resistance at this level and possible downside movement in index. Downside 54450-54550 zone will act as a support for today's session. After breakdown of this support zone can lead banknifty further downside upto 54050 level in today's session. Any strong bullish side rally only expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 55050 level.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 28 – May 2, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 President Trump's 100th Day in Office: Wednesday marks President Trump's 100th day of his second term. His administration's protectionist tariffs continue to influence global markets and political landscapes, with notable impacts observed in Canada, Australia, and the UK.
📉 Trade Tensions and Economic Indicators: Investors are closely monitoring the effects of recent U.S. tariffs on economic performance. Key data releases this week, including GDP and employment figures, will provide insights into the economy's resilience amid these trade policies.
💼 Major Corporate Earnings: This week features earnings reports from major companies, including Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, ExxonMobil, and McDonald's. These reports will offer a glimpse into how large corporations are navigating current economic challenges.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, April 28:
🏠 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership (10:00 AM ET):
Provides data on rental and homeowner vacancy rates, offering insights into housing market dynamics.
📅 Tuesday, April 29:
📈 Advance Economic Indicators (8:30 AM ET):
Includes data on international trade in goods, wholesale inventories, and retail inventories for March.
📊 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET):
Measures consumer sentiment regarding current and future economic conditions.
💼 JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET):
Reports the number of job openings, indicating labor market demand.
📅 Wednesday, April 30:
📈 GDP (Q1 Advance Estimate) (8:30 AM ET):
Provides an early estimate of economic growth for the first quarter.
💳 Personal Income and Outlays (10:00 AM ET):
Includes data on personal income, consumer spending, and the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure.
🏭 Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET):
Assesses business conditions in the Chicago region, reflecting manufacturing sector health.
📅 Thursday, May 1:
🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET):
Reports total spending on construction projects, indicating economic activity in the sector.
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Measures the number of new filings for unemployment benefits, reflecting labor market
conditions.
🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET):
Provides insight into the manufacturing sector's health through a survey of purchasing managers.
📅 Friday, May 2:
👷 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET):
Reports the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.
📉 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET):
Indicates the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking
employment.
🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET):
Measures the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods, indicating manufacturing activity.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
S&P 500: Key Levels and Potential ScenariosThis analysis of S&P500 will explore both bullish and bearish scenarios, incorporating key levels and considering possible market and crowd psychology.
Bullish Scenario: Potential Uptrend Resumption
From a bullish perspective, if the S&P 500 maintains a position above the 5482 level, it could suggest a potential end to the current correction and a resumption of the major uptrend. A hold above 5482 might reinforce bullish sentiment, encouraging further buying activity, as traders may view this as confirmation of renewed strength. The index could then potentially retest the 5801 level, where it's possible that the index may encounter resistance on the first attempt. A successful break above 5801 would then open the path towards the 6135 zone, which represents a key upside target.
Bearish Scenario: Potential Retest of Support Zones
Conversely, if the S&P 500 fails to hold above the 5482 support level might trigger increased selling pressure, as traders liquidate positions. The index could then potentially retest the 5092 to 4833 support zone. This zone represents a critical area where buyers may step in, but a break below it would signal further weakness.
Concluding Remarks
In conclusion, the S&P 500's price action around the identified key levels will be crucial in determining its short- to medium-term direction. A sustained hold above 5482 could favor a bullish continuation towards 5801 and potentially 6135, while a break below 5482 might lead to a retest of the 5092 to 4833 support zone.
$EBAY $80 EOYA non factor amongst tariff rhetoric. I think the idea of US consumers (even internationally) buying and reselling has never been higher. I think a lot of consumers will start to look for used goods more than ever. I'm eyeing $70 calls for earnings this upcoming week (first week of May 2025) and if it has any pull back I will load the boat for $80 call leaps. I like the structure it's held at this $55-$65 range. I expect new highs on this name maybe earnings can give it a jolt. All the lines you see are 20, 50, 200 SMA and EMA. I could be wrong on earnings as this name tends to dip from earnings even posting beats but that's the gamble of earnings but LONG TERM this name is a good buy. Charts are Monthly and Daily.
WSL.
TAO ANALYSIS📊 #TAOAnalysis
✅There is a formation of Descending Channel Pattern in daily time frame in #TAO .
Also there is a perfect breakout and retest. Now we can expect a bullish move. If the price sustains the major resistance zone then we will see more bullish move
👀Current Price: $349
🎯 Target Price : $460
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #TAO price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#TAO #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
GOLD WEEKLY - Key Events to Watch: ADP, Core PCE, Non-Farm📌 Weekly Gold Outlook – Key Events to Watch: ADP, Core PCE, Non-Farm Payrolls 📉📈
🌍 Fundamental Overview
Last week, gold faced heavy selling pressure after failing to sustain its rally above the $3,450 level. Easing concerns over the US–China trade tensions and a stronger US Dollar — supported by stronger-than-expected Durable Goods Orders — triggered a sharp correction in Price.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to adopt a cautious stance, awaiting clearer economic data before adjusting its monetary policy. Meanwhile, recent figures from both the US and China show signs of economic resilience, reducing safe-haven demand for gold in the short term.
Key Events This Week:
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Core PCE Price Index m/m
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Volatility is expected to rise sharply as these major economic indicators are released.
📊 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD 2H Chart
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase after its strong rally earlier this month. Price is forming a descending channel and consolidating around critical support and resistance zones.
Immediate Resistance: 3,325 – 3,377
Immediate Support: 3,275 – 3,235
As long as Price remains capped below 3,325, the bearish bias will remain dominant.
🧩 Main Scenarios for This Week
Short-Term Rebound:
Price may retest the 3,275–3,277 area before sellers regain control.
Medium-Term Bearish Pressure:
If Price fails to reclaim the 3,325 resistance zone, it could break lower toward 3,235, 3,197, and potentially deeper into the 3,108 or 3,066 liquidity zones.
Bullish Reversal Scenario:
A sustained breakout and close above 3,377 would invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest a move toward the 3,420 target.
🔍 Key Price Zones for This Week
Resistance: 3,325 → 3,377 → 3,420
Support: 3,275 → 3,235 → 3,197 → 3,108 → 3,066
🧠 Suggested Trading Strategy
Prefer short positions when Price retraces toward the 3,275 – 3,325 resistance zone, aiming for downside targets at 3,235 and 3,197.
Be cautious with long positions: only consider buying if Price drops deeply into 3,108 or 3,066 and shows strong support reaction.
⚡ Note:
Given the upcoming releases of ADP, Core PCE, and Non-Farm Payrolls, the market is expected to experience significant volatility.
Stay disciplined and await detailed intra-week updates around key event times.
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy
I have identified the important support and resistance areas of the weekly timeframe for you.
I have identified the important resistance prices for the start of the decline with the red line and the important support prices for the start of the growth with the green line.
This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to enter the trade.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with your risk and capital management.
💬 Note: An important analysis will be presented on the lower timeframe on Bitcoin soon, which, based on the chart and explanations sent in that analysis, you can hunt for Bitcoin's decline by getting confirmation, pay attention to the current chart and consider important liquidity, including the Decision and Extreme areas.
Be successful and profitable.
For altcoins, proceed according to my analysis on the Total 3 chart.
My analysis of the Total 3 chart:
You can also view and review my previous analyses on my TradingView page.
Please don't forget to like and follow, your support encourages me to continue on my path and provide more analysis and updates.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Ethereum Up 30% — But Is This the Start of a Trend Reversal..?Ethereum Up 30% — But Is This the Start of a Trend Reversal..?
Ethereum has seen a notable bounce this month, climbing approximately 30% from its local bottom of $1,400 to its current level around $1,800. While this rally might appear promising at first glance, a deeper look at the daily timeframe reveals a more cautious picture.
Despite the recent price surge, Ethereum remains technically in a **downtrend**. A well-respected downtrend continues to hold as resistance, and ETH is currently **retesting this trendline**. This point of contact now sets the stage for two potential scenarios:
**Scenario 1: Rejection from the Trendline**
If Ethereum fails to break above the trendline, it’s likely to face **rejection**, which could send the price back toward the $1,400 level. A revisit to this support zone would form a **potential double bottom**, a classic reversal pattern. If that plays out, we could then start to look for signs of a genuine trend reversal.
**Scenario 2: Breakout Above the Trendline**
On the other hand, if ETH manages to **break through the trendline**, that alone shouldn't be a green light to go long just yet. There’s a significant resistance level sitting around **$2,100**, which has previously acted as a ceiling for price action. A true breakout would require Ethereum not only to cross this level but also to **sustain above it for 2–3 days**. Only then could a long position be considered relatively safer, with upside targets extending to **$2,800** and even **$4,000**.
**Final Thoughts**
While the recent rally is encouraging, it's essential to remain cautious. The downtrend isn't officially over until key technical levels are cleared and held. Until Ethereum breaks above both the downtrend and the $2,100 resistance zone — and proves its strength with sustained movement — the **best strategy may be to sit on the sidelines** and let the market play out.
Patience often pays in crypto — and right now, **watching closely** could be the smartest move.
INJ Is Nearing An Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring INJ/USDT for a buying opportunity around 9.90 zone, INJ/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 9.90 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.