#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 08/04/2025Gap up opening in nifty. After opening if nifty sustain above 22500 level then possible upside move upto 22750+ level in opening session. 22750 level will act a strong resistance expected reversal from this level. If nifty starts trading below 22400 then possible sharp downside rally upto 22050 in today's session.
Technical Analysis
Tue 8th Apr 2025 USD/CAD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a USD/CAD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Building Up?**Gold (XAU/USD) | 4H Chart | Bullish Bias**
Gold continues to shine as it builds a solid bullish structure on the 4H timeframe. After a healthy pullback, price has bounced back strongly, holding above key support zones and aiming higher.
**What's happening now?**
- Price is forming *higher highs and higher lows*, respecting the bullish trendline.
- Strong demand kicked in around the *$2,950* zone — a key level to watch for potential pullbacks.
- The next resistance lies near *$3,050*, a psychological and technical level that could act as the next target for buyers.
**Technical Confluence:**
- *Fibonacci retracement* aligns with recent pullbacks around $2,950 – offering strong support.
- *RSI* is hovering above 50, confirming ongoing bullish momentum.
- Price remains above the *50-period EMA*, supporting the uptrend.
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**Bullish Scenario:**
If gold holds above $2,950 and breaks above $3,010 with volume, we could see a push toward *$3,050–$3,070* in the short term.
**Invalidation:**
A confirmed break below *$2,940* could weaken the bullish outlook and shift momentum.
---
**Educational Insight:**
In trending markets, pullbacks to key zones like Fibonacci levels or prior support often offer higher-probability trades. Instead of chasing breakouts, look for *retests* with confirmation.
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What’s your take on gold right now? Are we headed toward new highs or due for a pause?
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 8, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📊 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Release: The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) will release its Small Business Optimism Index for March at 6:00 AM ET. This index provides insights into the health and outlook of small businesses, which are vital to the U.S. economy.
🗣️ Federal Reserve Speeches:
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly is scheduled to speak at 8:00 AM ET.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee will deliver remarks at 7:00 PM ET.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, April 8:
📈 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (6:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 100.7
Previous: 102.8
Assesses the health and outlook of small businesses, which are vital to the economy.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Bitcoin Signal for Short Lets Make Some Real GameThis is an educational trading setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USD), focusing on a short position opportunity between the $82,000 and $80,000 price levels. The analysis is based on technical indicators, price action strategies, and current market sentiment. Please note: this is not financial advice, strictly for learning purposes!
📉 Trade Concept:
Entry Zone: $82,000
Target Zone: $80,000
Setup Type: Short / Sell
Timeframe: Short-term / Intraday
Market Context: After an extended bullish rally, BTC/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near key resistance. High probability retracement expected towards the $80,000 support area.
🔍 Educational Insights:
Technical Indicators: Overbought RSI levels, bearish divergence, and candlestick reversal patterns around $82,000 zone.
Psychological Levels: $80,000 is a major psychological number where buyers may step in.
Risk Management: Always use stop-losses and proper risk-reward ratios in live trades.
💡 Purpose of Sharing:
This setup is shared purely for educational purposes to help traders understand how to spot potential short opportunities in volatile markets like Bitcoin. Learn how to analyze resistance zones, manage risk, and read price action effectively.
📢 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making financial decisions.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #ShortTrade #BitcoinSignal #PriceAction #Educational #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoEducation #LearnTrading #RiskManagement
Bitcoin Falls Below $75,000, Impacting Crypto-Exposed StocksBitcoin (BTC) slipped under $75,000 on Monday as fresh U.S.-China trade tensions rattled markets. The drop followed President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on Chinese goods. Beijing responded swiftly, increasing fears of a prolonged trade war.
Bitcoin fell to a daily low of $74,500 before recovering to trade near $79,000. This marked its lowest level since November 2024. Before the drop, Bitcoin had consolidated around $85,000 for several weeks.
The crypto market lost 7% of its total market capitalization in 24 hours. Coinglass data showed $1.61 billion in crypto liquidations. Bitcoin dominance rose slightly to 62.62%.
Ethereum (ETH) and XRP also recorded sharp losses. Ethereum briefly dropped below $1,500 but rebounded above support. XRP fell over 10%, currently trading at $1.8710.
Meme coins and altcoins mirrored the losses. Nearly all top-30 tokens saw double-digit declines. Derivatives traders reduced exposure, with open interest falling 10% to $91.19 billion.
Crypto-Exposed Stocks Take a Hit
Stocks tied to crypto followed Bitcoin’s slide. Shares of Coinbase Global (COIN), Marathon Digital (MARA) and Robinhood (HOOD) all declined. Strategy Inc. (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, dropped 9.24% in pre-market trading. The company holds a large Bitcoin treasury, making it sensitive to BTC movements.
However, chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rose 3.5% in a minor rebound. The stock had fallen 14% the previous week, its worst since January 2024. Nvidia remains down 27% year-to-date.
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Retests Key Levels
Bitcoin has remained bearish since hitting an all-time high of $109,000 in January. The recent slide takes BTC back to levels last seen in November 2024. Despite temporary bounces, the market continues to trend downward.
BTC is now hovering above $78,000 but may head toward $71,000 support. This level could provide a base for a potential rally. A move below $71,000 could trigger further declines.
Recovery Depends on Macro Conditions. Traders are watching for new developments and macroeconomic data. The market needs positive catalysts to reverse bearish sentiment. Sentiment remains fragile after Trump’s tariffs and fears of global slowdown. The future of the crypto market under Trump’s administration is uncertain.
USDSGD – Technical Analysis (1D)USDSGD has broken out of a descending trendline on the daily timeframe – signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. Price has held above 1.3510, confirming the breakout and opening the door to resistance zones at 1.3565–1.3638 (aligned with 0.382 and 0.236 Fibonacci levels).
If bulls stay in control, next targets lie at 1.3723 and 1.3750. However, a short pullback toward the 1.3450–1.3480 support zone (0.618 Fibo) is also possible.
🔹 Main scenario: continuation to 1.3565 → 1.3638 → 1.3723.
🔹 Alternative scenario: drop below 1.3450 toward 1.3376 or 1.3274.
EURCHF: One More Gap 🇪🇺🇨🇭
One more gap is going to be filled today.
EURCHF violated a resistance line of a narrow consolidation range
on an hourly time frame.
It looks like the price is heading towards a gap down opening level now.
Goal - 0.9429
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AUDCAD: True Bullish Reversal?! 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD formed a nice inverted head and shoulders pattern
after a test of a key historic support.
A bullish violation of its neckline with a strong bullish candle
provides a reliable confirmation.
I expect a correctional move at least to 0.8723
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Bitcoin’s Make-or-Break Moment: Eyes on $70KBitcoin price almost reached the $74k support area, which is critical for the bull run continuation.
This zone has acted as a strong resistance in the past, and a clean bounce from here could signal renewed strength and confidence in the market.
However, if this support fails to hold and BTC closes the weekly candle below the $70k level, it would likely mark the end of the current bull phase and signal the beginning of a distribution phase or even the early stages of a new bear market.
That doesn’t necessarily mean Bitcoin will crash straight to $50k — corrections are rarely that linear. But it would drastically reduce the chances of seeing new all-time highs in this cycle.
The next rally, if it happens, would probably be more muted and shorter-lived.
Hopefully BTC will manage to avoid this scenario and hold above the support area.
On the positive side, if BTC holds above $70k and we see strong demand stepping in, it could set the stage for a healthy bounce and continuation of the uptrend.
Still I expect that BTC will test 70k level and if we see strong buying pressure on that level we can expect some recovery.
Ethereum 20% Crash: Temporary Setback or a Buy Opportunity?Hello, Traders!
Ethereum experienced a significant drop, plunging over 20% in just one day and hitting its lowest point since last August.
ETH price found strong support at $2130 and I don’t expect further downfall beyond this level unless broader market conditions deteriorate.
One of the key technical developments was Ethereum breaking the crucial $2800 support zone, which is a bearish signal for the continuation of the uptrend.
However, a quick recovery above this level could reignite bullish momentum and bring buyers back into the market. W
atching how ETH reacts to this resistance will be crucial in the coming days.
The main catalyst for this sell-off was Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which triggered a broader risk-off sentiment in global markets.
The crypto space, being highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, saw a sharp reaction, with Ethereum and other major altcoins suffering deep corrections.
Despite the current bearish outlook, there is one major reason why Ethereum is likely to recover quickly — the upcoming Pectra upgrade, set to take place next month.
Historically, ETH has seen strong rallies leading up to major network upgrades, and I expect a similar pattern to unfold this time.
If the market stabilizes and sentiment shifts, Ethereum could reclaim lost ground and resume its long-term bullish trajectory.
For now, the key levels to watch are $2130 as support and $2800 as resistance.
A break above $2800 could signal a strong reversal, while failure to hold $2130 might open the door for deeper corrections
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
BTC/USD Forming Bullish Falling Wedge – Potential Target📐 2. Technical Pattern – Falling Wedge
A falling wedge forms when the price consolidates between two converging downward-sloping trendlines. It suggests diminishing selling pressure and a likely reversal.
Key Characteristics in This Chart:
Upper Resistance Trendline: Formed by connecting the series of lower highs.
Lower Support Trendline: Formed by connecting the lower lows.
The price respects both boundaries, confirming wedge structure.
Volume generally decreases during the wedge (implied but not shown).
✅ Bullish Implication: Once price breaks above the upper resistance, it often triggers a sharp upward move due to the squeeze of supply and the build-up of demand.
🧱 3. Support and Resistance Zones
🔻 Resistance Zone:
Area: ~100,000 to ~108,000 USD
Marked as a wide horizontal band (beige-shaded area).
Previous price peaks and consolidations suggest this zone is strong supply.
Breakout above this zone could trigger momentum towards the higher target.
🔹 Support Zone:
Area: ~72,000 to ~75,000 USD
Historical reaction level where buyers previously stepped in.
Coincides with the lower wedge boundary and recent bounce points.
Repeated tests strengthen this as a reliable accumulation zone.
🎯 4. Trade Setup Strategy
💼 Entry Strategy:
Trigger: A confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline (black diagonal line).
Confirmation: A strong bullish daily close above the trendline, ideally with volume spike.
The current price (~77,130) is near the lower boundary—offering a potential early entry or low-risk setup with a tight stop.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement:
Level: 70,916 USD
Below the wedge’s lower support and beneath the broader support zone.
Ensures exit if the pattern fails or bears regain control.
🧭 Target Projection:
Target Price: 114,562 USD
Based on the height of the wedge projected from the breakout point, a standard wedge breakout measurement.
Aligns with historical highs and psychological resistance.
🧮 Risk-Reward Ratio: Assuming entry around 77,130:
Risk (Stop-Loss): ~6,200 points
Reward (Target): ~37,432 points
R:R Ratio ≈ 1:6 – Highly favorable
⚙️ 5. Market Psychology & Price Action Insight
The falling wedge pattern suggests exhaustion of sellers.
Buyers are defending the support zone aggressively—creating higher lows within the wedge.
Each bounce is slightly more aggressive, indicating growing bullish sentiment.
A breakout from the wedge could act as a catalyst for rapid price acceleration as sidelined bulls enter and shorts cover.
📊 6. Summary of the Setup
Component Detail
Pattern Falling Wedge (Bullish)
Timeframe 1-Day Chart
Entry Point Breakout above upper trendline
Stop Loss 70,916 USD
Target 114,562 USD
Support Zone 72,000–75,000 USD
Resistance Zone 100,000–108,000 USD
Risk/Reward Approx. 1:6
Bias Bullish
📌 Final Thoughts
This setup provides a technically sound opportunity with clear invalidation (stop loss) and a well-defined profit target. The risk-to-reward ratio is attractive, and the price structure suggests a bullish reversal is likely, pending a confirmed breakout.
XAUUSD Analysis Falling Wedge breakout Setup to Target🔍 1. Market Context & Structure
Gold has recently experienced a sharp decline, as evident from the aggressive bearish candles leading into the consolidation phase. Following this downward momentum, the market began to consolidate, forming a Falling Wedge pattern—a bullish reversal structure that often signals an impending upside breakout, especially after a strong bearish trend.
📉 2. Falling Wedge Pattern
The wedge is formed by two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, containing price within lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how price is respecting both boundaries, confirming the validity of the pattern.
The pattern also features a series of higher lows, showing a loss of bearish momentum.
🟩 3. Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Zone: Around $3,035 to $3,045 — This level previously acted as a strong supply zone where price was rejected multiple times.
Support Zone: Around $2,972 to $2,985 — Clearly marked area where buyers stepped in strongly during the sharp pullback.
These levels are critical to observe for any breakout or breakdown confirmation.
📊 4. Trade Plan Based on the Chart
✅ Bullish Bias:
Given the falling wedge setup and slowing bearish pressure, the trade idea favors a breakout to the upside.
🔵 Entry Point:
A confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary (around $3,030–$3,035), ideally on strong bullish volume.
🎯 Target:
The first take profit level is marked at $3,078.438, aligning with a prior resistance and measured move projection from the wedge’s height.
🔴 Stop Loss:
Positioned just below the most recent swing low and wedge boundary at $3,013.707, offering protection if the breakout fails.
🧠 5. Why This Setup Matters
Wedge patterns are high-probability when they form after a sharp move, as seen here.
Volume confirmation on the breakout would solidify this as a reliable opportunity.
Risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, with a tight stop and a higher projected upside.
🧭 Conclusion
This is a textbook falling wedge breakout scenario. The consolidation after a bearish leg, narrowing price action, and repeated support reactions indicate that bulls are gearing up. If Gold breaks above the wedge with momentum, there’s potential to ride the move toward $3,078. Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk accordingly.
NZDJPY: Best Gap to Trade Today?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Among various gap openings that we see today,
the one that I spotted on NZDJPY looks like one of the best to trade.
I see multiple bullish imbalances on an hourly time frame
after a formation of the gap down opening.
Probabilities are high that it will be filled soon.
Goal - 82.15
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GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sentiment-Driven Marke🟡 GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sentiment-Driven Market as Asian Sellers Hit Early
Gold kicked off the new week with a sharp drop during the early Asian session, falling over 40 points from last week’s highs into the 297x zone — a move that reflects lingering sell-side pressure from last Friday’s close.
However, price quickly rebounded nearly 40 points, showing clear buy-side interest at the 297x zone — which acts as a key structural support on the H4 and D1 timeframes.
📌 If price breaks below this level convincingly, it could trigger a deeper move toward 295x.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
The overall structure on H4 and D1 remains bullish
But right now, investor sentiment is leading, not just technicals
On H1 and H2, price is reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone
If gold closes below 3030, we could see another leg down into the 295x area
🧠 Sentiment Is In Control (For Now)
So far, only Asia and Australia have shown their hand
We’re waiting on London and New York to step in before confirming trend direction
With price whipping around inside a broad range — only trade from key zones with clear price reaction
🧭 Key Technical Zones:
🔺 Resistance:
3055 – 3076 – 3107
🔻 Support:
3024 – 3005 – 2970 – 2952
🎯 Trading Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2980 – 2978
SL: 2974
TP: 2984 – 2988 – 2992 – 2996 – 3000
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3076 – 3078
SL: 3082
TP: 3072 – 3068 – 3064 – 3060 – 3056 – 3050
📅 What To Watch This Week:
This week brings major market movers:
CPI → PPI → Fed speakers — all lined up midweek.
→ Be selective with your trades and keep tight risk control.
AD will continue updating intraday zones across sessions.
✅ Trade smart. Respect your risk. Let the market come to you.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Markets in Focus: FTSE 100As global stock markets remain under pressure, we’re taking a close look at the FTSE 100 this morning.
The index continues to trend lower and is now approaching key long-term support levels:
🔹 200-week moving average: 7,671
🔹 55-month moving average: 7,510
Typically, these levels might offer a platform for stabilisation — but the technical damage is evident. The five-year uptrend from the 2020 low has been decisively broken, with former support around 8,200 likely to act as a formidable resistance on any rebound.
The pace of recent sell-offs adds to the concern. While we’ll be watching closely to see if buyers defend these key levels, I’m not overly optimistic given current momentum.
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/04/2025Strong gap down opening expected in nifty near 22050 level. After opening if nifty sustain above 22050 level and gives reversal then expected some correction rally upto 22450 level. This level will act as a strong resistance for today's session. Any bullish side rally can reverse from this level. Downside in case nifty gives breakdown of 22000 level and starts trading below 21950 then expected sharp downside upto 21550 level in today's session.
GBPNZD – Technical Analysis (1M)Following a breakout from a multi-year narrowing channel, GBPNZD has established a bullish trend above a key resistance level. Price is now approaching a major supply zone around 2.52–2.55, where a consolidation or pullback may occur. A breakout above this zone could pave the way toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 2.79 – a major upside target.
Momentum indicators are in overbought territory, suggesting potential correction or sideways action before further continuation. Chart structure indicates a potential bullish flag or accumulation range forming.
Main scenario: price pulls back to 2.42–2.45 before continuing upward to 2.79.
Alternative scenario: rejection below 2.30, leading to a deeper retracement toward 2.15.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(07/04/2025)Today will be huge gap down opening expected in banknifty near 1500+ points downside possible. Possible banknifty will open near 49750 level in today's session. After opening if any correction can reverse from 50450 level. Downside next support for banknifty is near 49550 level. If banknifty not hold this support level and starts trading below 49450 level then expected further selling and downside movement in index for 700-1000+ points upto the 48550 level.