EUR/USD Buy EUR/USD pull-back long
Buy-limit at 1.1460
Stop-loss at 1.1395
Take-profit 1 at 1.1560 – when this first target is reached, move the stop to breakeven
Take-profit 2 at 1.1630
Condition: keep the order active only while the daily candle continues to close at or above 1.1445.
Expiry: if the order hasn’t been filled after five full trading days, cancel it and reassess.
Technical Analysis
BTCUSDT – Rebound from trendline, targeting 115,300On the daily chart, BTCUSDT has bounced from a confluence support zone around 105,200, where the rising trendline meets the FVG, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The current price pattern suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with a short-term target at the 115,300 resistance zone — a level that has previously rejected price multiple times.
If this level is broken, momentum could extend toward the 120,000 area in the medium term. As long as the price holds above the trendline, the bullish outlook remains valid.
On the news front, market sentiment is improving as Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. show signs of renewed inflows, coupled with growing expectations that the Fed might pause rate hikes due to recent signs of economic weakness.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(25/06/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open slightly gap up near the 56,450 level. If the index sustains above 56,450, we may see a bullish continuation toward 56,550 and above. A move above the 56,550–56,600 zone can trigger further upside momentum with targets at 56,850, 56,950, and potentially 57,000+.
However, if Bank Nifty fails to hold above 56,450 and starts trading below 56,400, a short opportunity could arise. In that case, downside targets would be 56,250, 56,150, and 56,050. The 56,050 level will act as strong support for today's session, and only a break below this may invite a deeper correction.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 25, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 25, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
💱 Dollar Slides on Middle East Ceasefire Optimism
A fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran lifted risk sentiment across global markets. The U.S. dollar weakened, while the euro and British pound hovered near multi‑year highs
📈 Equities Near Record Highs
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq pushed toward all-time highs on June 25, supported by the Middle East truce and retreating energy prices. The S&P 500 rallied ~1.1%, with tech and discretionary sectors leading the charge
🛢 Oil & Treasuries Dip, Yield Cuts Anticipated
Oil plunged ~6% to ~$65/bbl as conflict fears eased. Softer prices plus weak consumer confidence spurred expectations of up to 60 bps in Fed rate cuts by December; Treasury yields pulled back accordingly
📉 Consumer Confidence Falls Again
The Conference Board’s index dropped to 93—the lowest level since May 2020—as concerns over tariffs and job availability weighed on households
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, June 25:
(No major U.S. economic data scheduled)
Markets remain focused on geopolitical dynamics, Fed commentary, and next week’s PCE inflation release.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #Fed #inflation #technicalanalysis
Boeing (BA, 1W) Falling Wedge + H-Projection TargetOn the weekly chart, Boeing has formed a classic falling wedge — a bullish reversal pattern that typically signals the end of a correction phase. After a sharp decline from $267.97 to $138, price action began to compress within a wedge, forming lower highs and higher lows on declining volume — a textbook setup for a breakout.
The structure remains active: a confirmed breakout above the upper wedge boundary, with a retest near $181.60 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement), would validate the pattern and trigger the next upward phase.
The projected move (H) equals the height of the previous impulse — $130.02. Adding this to the base of the wedge (~$138) yields a technical target of $268.00, aligning with the previous high and completing the structural recovery.
Technical summary:
– Multiple confirmations of wedge support
– Volume declining into the apex (bullish)
– Entry zone: breakout + retest at $181.60
– Mid-level resistance: $198.09 (0.5 Fibo)
– Final target: $267.97–$268.00 (H-projection complete)
Fundamentals:
Despite operational setbacks, Boeing remains structurally positioned for recovery as demand for commercial aircraft rebounds. Additional support could come from improving supply chains, increased defense contracts, and a more dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve heading into 2025.
A breakout above $181.60 and sustained momentum would confirm the falling wedge pattern and activate the H-measured move toward $268. This is a structurally and fundamentally supported mid-term recovery setup
CAD/JPY Holds Trendline Support with Bullish Bias IntactFenzoFx—CAD/JPY dipped from 107.34, finding support at a bullish FVG while staying above the ascending trendline.
The Stochastic Oscillator signals oversold, suggesting a potential reversal. The outlook remains bullish above 105.61, targeting a retest of 107.35. A break below 105.61 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Long OKTA To 128.50 For Nearly 30% PP. 1:2 RRR.Good Afternoon Trading Fam,
We are nailing it with our stock trades since implementing my new liquidity indicator. I've got another buy signal given here on OKTA with a 1:2 rrr ratio and potential profit of nearly 30%.
On the technical side, you can see that we are just above a large liquidity block where buyers have stepped in en masse in the past. Additionally, we have nice support being offered by our trendline. And finally, we have a large gap which often acts as a magnet and will most likely be filled sooner rather than later. The MACD has just crossed up, and our RSI is doing the same near oversold territory. All of these indications make this an easy choice for me, with an excellent opportunity to profit yet again.
More details on this trade and all of the others can be seen on my public portfolio, as always.
Best,
Stew
GBP/AUD Triple-Top Resistance Test – Watch for Reversal or BreakThe GBP/AUD pair is currently testing a strong horizontal resistance zone near 2.1000, which has been rejected multiple times in the past. The chart clearly highlights a triple-top formation (marked by red arrows), signaling repeated failures to break above this supply area. Meanwhile, the price action has been respecting an upward trendline support, forming a broad ascending channel or rising wedge-like structure.
This setup is now at a critical juncture — with the potential for either a strong bullish breakout or a bearish reversal.
📉 Bearish Rejection Scenario
If the resistance holds once again, we may see a pullback toward the rising support line around 2.0700. This would maintain the overall sideways-to-bullish bias within the structure. A firm rejection pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing or long upper wick) near 2.1000 could provide confirmation for short entries targeting that support.
📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario
On the other hand, a decisive breakout above 2.1000 — especially with strong volume and candle close — could trigger a breakout rally. If confirmed, the next leg up may drive GBP/AUD toward 2.1250–2.1300, based on the previous swing expansion zones.
🧭 Strategic Outlook
Sell near resistance: Target 2.0750–2.0700 with SL above 2.1020.
Buy on breakout: Enter above 2.1010–2.1025 with targets near 2.1250.
Confirmation required: Wait for candle confirmation (break or rejection) before acting.
This setup offers a clear risk-managed opportunity in either direction, ideal for breakout traders or reversal players.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/CHF Channel Breakdown – Bearish MomentumThe EUR/CHF pair has broken down from a well-defined ascending parallel channel, indicating a shift in market structure and a possible continuation to the downside. The price had been consistently respecting the resistance zone near 0.9435–0.9440 (marked in red) and the support zone near 0.9375–0.9380 (marked in green), forming an upward-sloping consolidation channel.
After multiple rejections at the upper resistance, the price decisively broke below the support line with strong bearish momentum, confirming a bearish breakout from the channel.
🔻 Breakdown Implication
The height of the channel—measured from the support to the resistance—has been used to project the next potential downside target. The projected breakdown target is marked near 0.9309, which aligns with historical price reaction zones and provides a clean structure-based price objective.
This suggests the bearish move could extend further in the coming sessions unless the price quickly recovers and climbs back above the broken support, which would invalidate the breakdown structure.
🧠 Trading Outlook
Bias: Bearish after confirmed breakdown from channel
Entry (if not in already): Consider selling on retest of broken support (~0.9375)
Target: 0.9309 (based on channel height)
Stop Loss: Above 0.9390–0.9400 (above breakdown point)
This setup is ideal for momentum traders looking to capitalize on trend continuation after a failed bullish structure.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Airbnb: Proof that even stocks love to traveThe analysis of Airbnb (ABNB) stock reveals an intriguing setup following the breakout and retest of a key resistance level, which previously acted as a trendline on the daily chart. After successfully breaking above this line and confirming it with a retest, the price is now showing potential for further upside — aligning with a bullish scenario that targets the $164 area, which also coincides with the 1.0 Fibonacci level (164.12).
The current structure suggests the beginning of an upward movement after a period of consolidation, with both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages (MA50 and MA200) positioned to support further growth, reinforcing the overall bullish outlook.
Notably, trading volume has increased in line with the breakout and continued price movement, adding confidence to the scenario playing out toward the higher targets. Key Fibonacci resistance levels to watch next include 0.786 (150.37) and 1.272 (181.61), with a long-term extension target at 1.618 (203.85).
GBPUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.35900 zone, GBPUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.35900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURNZD: Time to Grow 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD is strongly bullish after a test of a key horizontal support.
A bullish violation of a resistance line of a falling channel provide
a strong bullish signal.
Goal - 1.936
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
S&P 500 (SPX) 1M next week?The S&P 500 is pulling back from a key resistance after completing a bearish AB=CD pattern on the monthly chart. Price action suggests a potential correction toward the 4662–4700 zone, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which may serve as a key area for bullish reaccumulation. Momentum indicators show bearish divergence, hinting at a cooling rally.
Fundamentally, the index remains supported by strong earnings in tech and AI sectors, but risks persist from elevated interest rates, sticky inflation, and potential Fed policy shifts. A pullback into the 4662–4700 zone may offer a medium-term setup for continuation toward 5198 and potentially 5338. A breakdown below 4662 would invalidate the bullish structure and shift focus to lower Fibonacci levels.
Silver Steady at $36 as Rate Cut Bets RiseSilver steadied around $36.10 during the Asian session, paring earlier losses after the geopolitical jolt. While the ceasefire cooled nerves, markets remain alert after Iran’s limited strike on a US base. Fed commentary also weighed in: Bowman and Waller leaned dovish, though Powell’s tone remains cautious ahead of his testimony.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
Gold Falls to Two-Week Lows Gold fell to around $3,350 per ounce on Tuesday, its lowest level in two weeks, as the ceasefire reduced geopolitical stress. The truce announcement, set to begin with Iran immediately and Israel 12 hours later, cooled safe-haven demand. The metal’s recent run paused despite lingering tensions in the region.
Resistance is seen at $3,355, while support holds at $3,285.
British Pound Slips to One-Month LowGBP/USD briefly climbed to 1.3560 in early European trading, supported by dollar softness and anticipation of upcoming speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell. However, the pair remains under pressure, as market doubts linger around the ceasefire’s durability, especially after new missile activity by Israel’s IDF.
Fed rate cut expectations continue to build: odds for July are now at 23%, and 78% for September, fueled by dovish remarks from Governor Bowman.
Resistance is seen at 1.3600, while support holds at 1.3500.
EUR/USD Hits Weekly High as Ceasefire Weakens DollarEUR/USD climbed to a fresh weekly high near 1.1610 during late Asian trading on Tuesday, boosted by a sharp sell-off in the US Dollar following the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran by President Donald Trump. The truce improved market risk appetite and dampened demand for traditional safe havens like the US Dollar. As a result, the US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped steeply from Monday’s two-week high of 99.42 to around 98.10.
The dollar also came under pressure from shifting expectations around Fed policy. On Monday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman signaled support for a potential rate cut as early as the July meeting, citing rising concerns over the labor market. “We should put more weight on downside risks to the job market,” she stated, adding that it's time to consider adjusting the policy rate.
Her dovish tone nudged up expectations for a July rate cut, with CME FedWatch data showing the probability rising from 14.5% on Friday to 22.7%.
In the Eurozone, ECB officials expressed concerns over the region’s economic outlook, particularly considering new US tariff policies. President Christine Lagarde, in remarks to the European Parliament, warned that inflation staying near the 2% target is uncertain and noted that survey data points to “some weaker prospects for economic activity in the near term.” She added that risks to growth remain “tilted to the downside.”
Resistance is located at 1.1630, while support is seen at 1.1530.
Yen Rebounds as Ceasefire Calms MarketsThe Japanese yen recovered to around 145.5 per dollar on Tuesday, gaining strength after the ceasefire announcement. Although Iran launched missiles at a US base in Qatar, causing no casualties, the gesture was largely seen as symbolic. Tehran’s decision not to target the Strait of Hormuz further eased fears of major disruptions.
The key resistance is at $146.20 while the major support is at $144.85.
Oil Price: Breakout or Fakeout? Watch This Zone Closely Technical Overview:
The current price action is testing the upper boundary of a descending wedge, a bullish reversal pattern. The recent strong green candle indicates a potential breakout attempt, yet price is hovering near a critical resistance level at $74.20 (Fib 0.5).
Key levels from the Fibonacci retracement are:
🔼 Resistance at $74.20 (0.5), then $78.16 (0.618)
🧲 Local support at $69.78 (0.382)
🛡️ Strong demand zone near $63.81 (0.236) if rejection occurs
Structure + Patterns:
Price has been compressing inside a falling wedge, which statistically resolves to the upside.
The breakout candle broke above the 20 EMA and touched the upper wedge resistance — signaling a decision point.
Volume is rising on bullish candles — initial confirmation of buyer interest, but not yet decisive.
Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Case:
Break and close above $74.20 on higher volume → likely move toward $78–$86 resistance zone.
Confirmation of wedge breakout could trigger trend reversal, aligning with bullish fib levels.
Momentum could accelerate if macro factors support demand (see geopolitics below).
Bearish Case:
Failure to close above $74.20 = fakeout risk → price may reject down to $69.78 or even retest $63.81.
Bearish rejection wick on the daily/4H would be an early signal.
Macro & Geopolitical Factors to Monitor:
Middle East Tensions: Any escalation (especially around Iran or shipping lanes) could spike oil due to supply fears.
US Strategic Reserves & Elections: Moves to refill reserves or control inflation could support demand.
China Demand Recovery: Data showing improved industrial output or stimulus from PBoC may strengthen global oil outlook.
Final Thoughts:
Price is at a pivot zone — breaking this wedge with strength could shift the short-to-midterm trend. Until then, this remains a "show me" breakout . Watch how the next 1–2 weekly candles close around the $74–$75 area to confirm direction.
XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?
Gold enters the new trading week balancing on a technical and macroeconomic knife’s edge. After a steep decline, prices are testing critical liquidity zones — just as geopolitical tensions and US economic uncertainty intensify.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
📰 Middle East Tensions Rising Again: Israel has signaled potential strikes on Tehran after Iran allegedly violated a ceasefire agreement. Such developments usually support gold as a safe-haven asset.
📊 US Economic Signals Are Mixed: Last week’s PMI and housing data point toward an economic slowdown. If this week’s Core PCE data softens, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September will grow — likely weakening the USD and lifting gold.
🏦 Global Demand for Gold Still Strong: Central banks, particularly from China and India, are continuing their gold accumulation, reinforcing long-term bullish fundamentals.
📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H4)
Gold is still trading within a downward channel but is now approaching a strong demand zone around 3276, a level that has triggered rebounds in the past.
EMA 34 – 89 – 200 indicate bearish momentum, but RSI is showing bullish divergence — hinting at a possible reversal or short-term bounce.
Price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial this week.
✅ XAUUSD Trade Setup
BUY ZONE: 3278 - 3276 | SL: 3270 | TP: 3282 - 3286 - 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3305 - 3310
SELL ZONE: 3367 - 3369 | SL: 3375 | TP: 3364 - 3360 - 3356 - 3352 - 3348 - 3344 - 3340 - 3330 - 3320
📌 The Buy Zone lies within a historical liquidity pocket — ideal for a potential rebound if geopolitical risks rise or USD weakens.
📌 The Sell Zone is near a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and local resistance — strong confluence for short opportunities on a bounce.
🧭 Final Thoughts
XAUUSD is facing a pivotal moment. With both geopolitical events and major US economic data on the horizon, traders should prepare for volatility. Patience, technical discipline, and proper SL/TP management will be key to navigating this environment successfully.
Gold: Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,340 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,340 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Pound-Yen Finds Support with Eyes on 198.1FenzoFx—GBP/JPY is forming bullish long-wick candlesticks near 196.8, just above key support at 196.5.
The market remains bullish above this zone, with potential to retest 198.1. A sustained move higher could extend the rally.
The bullish outlook is invalidated if GBP/JPY closes below 196.5.
CADCHF: Confirmed Bearish Trap?! 🇨🇦🇨🇭
There is a high chance that CADCHF will bounce from the underlined
blue support.
As a confirmation, I see a cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame
that compose a bearish trap.
Goal - 0.5926
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.