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Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 7–11, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 New U.S. Tariffs Begin April 9: Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs — 10% on all imports, 25%+ on key sectors — could stir volatility. 🇨🇳📦 China Retaliates April 10: A 34% retaliatory tariff on U.S. goods raises trade war fears and inflation concerns. 🏦💰 Big Bank Earnings Kick Off: JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and BlackRock will report. Markets will watch closely for financial health signals. 📉📊 March CPI Report Coming April 10: Inflation data could sway the Fed’s rate path. Forecasts call for a 0.1% increase. ⚠️ Volatility Alert: Piper Sandler projects a possible 5.6% move in the S&P 500 this week — up or down. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Monday, April 7: 🗣️ Fed Gov. Kugler Speaks (10:30 AM ET) 💳 Consumer Credit (3:00 PM ET) — Forecast: $15.5B | Prev: $18.1B 📅 Tuesday, April 8: 📈 NFIB Small Biz Optimism (6:00 AM ET) — Forecast: 100.7 🗣️ Fed’s Mary Daly Speaks (8:00 AM ET) 📅 Wednesday, April 9: 📦 Wholesale Inventories (10:00 AM ET) — Forecast: 0.4% | Prev: 0.8% 🗣️ Fed’s Barkin Speaks (11:00 AM ET) 📝 FOMC Minutes (2:00 PM ET) 📅 Thursday, April 10: 📉 Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) — Forecast: 219K 📊 CPI (8:30 AM ET) — Forecast: 0.1% | Prev: 0.2% 🗣️ Fed Gov. Bowman Testifies (10:00 AM ET) 📅 Friday, April 11: 🏭 PPI (8:30 AM ET) — Forecast: 0.2% | Prev: 0.0% 🗣️ Fed’s Musalem Speaks (10:00 AM ET) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 Daily Timeframe: As the 4CastMachine AI forecasted, the price began its decline towards the $3,000 support. At the support area of 3000, the up trend line will also prevent further declines. If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of ​​2789.95. This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity. So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD 💡 H4 Timeframe: Gold started its decline when it hit the 3167 resistance. The uptrend is broken, and price is in an impulse wave. This decline will continue, but the support area of ​​3000 and uptrend line could trigger a resumption of uptrend. 💡 H1 Timeframe: If the price enters the sell zone with a corrective wave, we will wait for the price to reject from that area. If we see a price rejection from the sell zone, we can sell. H1 Forecast: Correction wave toward the Sell Zone Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
FX:XAUUSD
by ForecastCity
30
#FILUSDT remains under bearish pressure📉 SHORT BYBIT:FILUSDT.P from $2.616 🛡 Stop loss $2.645 🕒 1H Timeframe ⚡️ Overview: ➡️ The POC (Point of Control) BYBIT:FILUSDT.P is located at $2.766, far above the current price — this highlights strong historical selling pressure. ➡️ Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. ➡️ The breakdown below $2.616 triggered the short setup with further downside potential. ➡️ Volume spikes during red candles indicate continued seller activity. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $2.605 💎 TP 2: $2.584 💎 TP 3: $2.570 📢 Watch the $2.616 zone — holding below increases downside probability. 📢 If price moves above $2.645, the setup becomes invalid. BYBIT:FILUSDT.P remains under bearish pressure — short bias stays valid under current structure.
Short
by MoriartyTrading
S&P - Will we follow 2020/2021?The S&P has been trading in a rising pattern for over 700 days, similar to the rising pattern observed in 2020 and 2021. In that instance, the price of the S&P broke below the support trendline and lost all SMA support, while also making a lower low. This has not occurred since the start of the current pattern. Could a deeper correction follow? Blue line = 50-day MA Red line = 100-day MA Yellow line = 200-day MA Analysis of the 2020/2021 Price Action We can conclude the following five points: 1. The rising wedge lasted for nearly 700 days. 2. The price consistently made higher highs and higher lows. 3. The S&P found support on the SMAs and never broke below the 200-day MA. 4. After approximately 700 days, the S&P broke below the rising wedge, lost all key SMA support, and made a lower low. 5. During the retest of the rising wedge and key SMAs (which had turned into resistance), a bearish cross (50-day SMA below the 100-day SMA) occurred, leading to a downtrend. How Does the 2020/2021 Price Action Correlate to 2023/2024? We can conclude the following five points: 1. The rising wedge lasted for approximately 750 days. 2. The price continued making higher highs and higher lows. 3. The S&P found support on the SMAs and never broke below the 200-day SMA. 4. After around 750 days, the S&P broke below the rising wedge, lost all key SMA support, and made a lower low. 5. A bearish cross between the 50-day SMA and the 100-day SMA is currently forming. When we overlay the bar pattern of the 2021 bearish price action onto the current chart, it suggests that a revisit to 4,750 is possible. This level is both a technical support and the point where the S&P started its downtrend in 2021. Conclusion Will the S&P follow the 2021 price action, resulting in a sustained downtrend, or will it reclaim all lost SMA levels and continue its uptrend? The price action suggests that there is a real possibility of weakness in the coming months.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Youriverse
8
EUR/JPY Falling Wedge Breakout | Bullish Potential Ahead🔍 Chart Overview: EUR/JPY – Daily Timeframe This chart illustrates the price action of the Euro against the Japanese Yen and highlights a Falling Wedge Pattern developing over several months. This is a classic bullish continuation/reversal setup, supported by key technical levels. 📐 1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge A falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern that occurs when the market consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines. Characteristics Seen in the Chart: Converging Trendlines: The upper (resistance) and lower (support) boundaries are both sloping downward, indicating a narrowing price range. Volume (not shown) usually decreases during the formation, followed by a surge on breakout. Multiple Touch Points: The price action respects both boundaries multiple times, confirming the pattern's validity. 🏛️ 2. Key Levels ✅ Support Level (Demand Zone): Marked around 156.000 – 158.000 Multiple bounces from this area, indicating strong buying interest. Aligned with the lower wedge trendline and historical price reaction zones. 🚫 Resistance Level (Supply Zone / Breakout Zone): Around 164.500 – 166.000 Price repeatedly failed to break this level, confirming it as a strong supply area. Confluence of horizontal resistance and the upper wedge boundary. 📊 3. Trade Setup 💼 Entry Strategy: Confirmation Buy: Enter a long position upon a daily candle close above the wedge resistance (around 166.000). Aggressive traders may consider an earlier entry near the wedge’s support with a tight stop. 🎯 Target: The projected target is 172.962, calculated based on the height of the wedge pattern added to the breakout point. This aligns with a previous swing high area, serving as a logical profit-taking zone. 🛑 Stop Loss: Positioned at 155.576, just below the key support zone. This allows the trade room to breathe while protecting against a full pattern failure. ⚖️ 4. Risk Management Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Target around 172.962 and Stop Loss at 155.576 offer a favorable RRR of approximately 2.5:1 or more, depending on entry. Position Sizing: Use appropriate lot size based on your account risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of equity per trade). 📅 5. Timeframe Outlook Medium to Long-Term Setup: Since this is a daily chart, the trade may take weeks to months to fully play out. Patience and proper trade management are essential. 🔎 6. Additional Notes Retest Opportunity: If price breaks out, look for a retest of the resistance zone as new support before continuation to the upside. Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on EUR and JPY economic data, ECB and BoJ policy announcements, and global risk sentiment, which can influence the pair. 🧭 Professional Takeaway This is a textbook bullish falling wedge pattern within a well-defined technical structure. The chart provides: A clear pattern breakout level, Strong historical support/resistance zones, A defined risk management plan, And a realistic price target based on technical projection. If you are a swing trader or position trader, this setup offers a high-probability opportunity with favorable risk-reward dynamics—provided a breakout is confirmed.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Analysis Double Bottom Breakout Toward TargetOverview of the Chart This chart displays a EUR/GBP daily timeframe setup, highlighting a Double Bottom Pattern, a well-known bullish reversal formation. The pattern consists of two consecutive lows at a similar price level, followed by a breakout above a key resistance zone. This setup suggests a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Technical Analysis Breakdown 1. Double Bottom Formation (Reversal Signal) Bottom 1: The first low was established after a prolonged downtrend, where the price found support and bounced higher. Bottom 2: Price revisited the same support area but failed to break lower, indicating that sellers are losing strength and buyers are stepping in. A double bottom pattern signals that the asset is forming a strong base and is likely to move higher after breaking the neckline (resistance level). 2. Support and Resistance Levels Support Level (~0.8322): This level acted as a demand zone, preventing further downside. It marks the price area where buyers accumulated positions, leading to a reversal. Resistance Level (~0.8500): This level previously acted as a supply zone, where sellers controlled the price. A breakout above this level is crucial to confirm the bullish trend continuation. 3. Breakout Confirmation & Retest Expectation The price successfully broke above the resistance zone, confirming a bullish reversal. A potential retest of the broken resistance (now turned support) could occur before further upside movement. Traders often wait for this retest to confirm that the breakout is genuine before entering a position. 4. Price Target Projection Based on the measured move strategy, the expected target is calculated by measuring the height of the double bottom pattern and projecting it above the breakout zone. Target Price: 0.8742, aligning with historical resistance levels. 5. Stop Loss Placement Stop loss at ~0.8322 (below the double bottom support). This ensures risk is managed in case of an invalid breakout or a false move. Trading Plan & Execution Strategy 📌 Entry Strategy: ✅ Breakout Entry: Buy after the breakout above resistance. ✅ Retest Entry: Wait for a pullback to the previous resistance (now support) before entering. 📌 Risk Management: 🔹 Stop Loss: Placed below the recent support at 0.8322 to limit downside risk. 🔹 Take Profit: First target at 0.8742 based on the double bottom structure. 📌 Market Outlook: A successful breakout and bullish momentum could push prices toward the target. If the price fails to hold above the breakout zone, a deeper retracement could occur before continuing higher. Conclusion The EUR/GBP pair has formed a bullish double bottom reversal pattern, signaling a potential uptrend continuation. The key levels to watch include 0.8500 (resistance turned support) and 0.8742 (target projection). Traders should monitor price action around the breakout zone for confirmation and consider risk management strategies before entering a position.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Cup & Handle Pattern on EUR/USD – Bullish Breakout Setup🏗️ 1. Pattern Structure Breakdown 🔵 Cup Formation: The left side of the chart illustrates a steep decline beginning around mid-October 2024, forming the left lip of the cup. The bottom of the cup was established between late December 2024 and early February 2025, where the market found a strong support level near 1.0220. A rounded bottom formed, which indicates accumulation and decreasing bearish momentum. The right side of the cup shows a strong bullish reversal from the support zone, gradually returning to the previous highs around 1.1050–1.1100, completing the cup shape. ⚫ Handle Formation: A slight pullback or consolidation occurred after reaching the resistance zone, forming the handle between late March and early April 2025. This handle appears as a small descending channel or flag, which is typical for this pattern. Price remained above the support trendline, showing strength in the handle without breaking the overall bullish structure. 🔍 2. Key Technical Zones 📌 Resistance Level (Breakout Zone): 1.1050 – 1.1100 Marked by prior price rejection and the top of the cup. The successful breakout above this zone confirms the cup and handle breakout. 📌 Support Level: 1.0220 – 1.0300 This zone provided a base during the cup’s rounding bottom and serves as a critical demand area. 📌 Stop Loss: 1.07380 Positioned below the recent swing low (handle low), providing a safe buffer. This placement respects both market structure and risk management. 🎯 3. Target Projection ✅ Price Target: 1.14780 Based on the measured move technique: Measure the depth of the cup (approx. 1.1100 - 1.0220 = 880 pips). Project that distance above the breakout point (around 1.1050). Target = 1.1050 + 0.0880 = 1.1930 (but a conservative target of 1.14780 is used here). This target aligns with a previous resistance level from mid-2023, adding confluence. 📈 4. Trade Setup Summary Component Description Pattern Cup and Handle (Bullish Continuation) Entry Point Breakout above 1.1050 resistance Stop Loss Below 1.0738 (recent low) Target 1.1478 (based on measured move) Risk/Reward Ratio Approx. 1:2.5 or better 💡 5. Technical Insights and Confluence Volume Consideration (if available): Typically, volume decreases during the cup and increases during the breakout. Although volume is not shown here, this pattern suggests accumulation. Handle Behavior: The handle did not breach the mid-point of the cup, maintaining a strong bullish structure. Market Sentiment: Given the steady incline and the bullish breakout, it suggests buyers are in control. 🏁 Conclusion This is a textbook Cup and Handle breakout setup on the EUR/USD daily chart. The structure shows a clear transition from bearish to bullish sentiment, accumulation at support, and a confirmed breakout with strong potential upside. It offers an excellent long opportunity with favorable risk-reward, clear invalidation, and a historically reliable price pattern.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
XAGUSD Weekly Analysis – Double Top Formation & Breakdown🧱 Chart Pattern Identified: Double Top Formation The chart displays a classic Double Top pattern, a bearish reversal structure typically found at the end of an uptrend. This pattern forms when price reaches a resistance level twice, fails to break above it both times, and eventually breaks the neckline/support level, confirming a shift in market sentiment. 🔍 Key Components of the Chart: 1. Resistance Level (Tops) – ~$34.25 The market formed two significant peaks around the same level — labeled Top 1 and Top 2. This level has proven strong resistance, as price was rejected both times after testing this zone. This zone is marked with a light orange rectangle and a horizontal blue line labeled "Resistance Level". 2. Support Level (Neckline) – ~$28.80 This level served as the neckline of the Double Top. After the second top, the price sharply declined and is currently approaching this key support zone, highlighted again in light orange. A clean break and close below this zone on the weekly timeframe will be a strong confirmation of the bearish reversal. 3. Trendline Break – Bearish Shift in Momentum A rising black dashed trendline supported the prior uptrend. Price action has now broken below this trendline with strong bearish momentum, indicating that buyers have lost control. This trendline break adds confluence to the bearish setup, supporting the validity of the pattern. 4. Bearish Projection Target – ~$22.47 The target is projected using the height of the Double Top pattern. Measured from the resistance level ($34.25) to the support ($28.80), the vertical distance is ~5.45 USD. Subtracting this from the neckline gives us a projected target: 28.80 - 5.45 = ~23.35 (rounded down to ~22.47 for technical cluster support). This target area is marked with a blue arrow and labeled "Target" near the horizontal support at $22.47. 5. Stop Loss – ~$34.25 The logical invalidation point is placed just above the resistance zone and the second top. A move above this level would invalidate the double top pattern, signaling that bulls have regained control. 📈 Price Action and Candlestick Behavior The strong bearish weekly candle that broke below the trendline shows a decisive shift in sentiment. The candle's large body and long range confirm institutional selling interest. Volume (if shown) would likely support the move, but even price structure alone is highly telling here. 🎯 Trading Strategy & Setup Component Details Entry On a confirmed break and retest of $28.80 support (neckline) Stop Loss Above $34.25 (Top 2) Target $22.47 Risk/Reward ~1:2 or better Timeframe Weekly (Swing Trade) Bias Bearish 🧠 Concluding Notes This chart provides a high-probability bearish setup rooted in classical charting principles. The Double Top is one of the most reliable reversal patterns, especially when: Formed after a prolonged uptrend (as seen here), Confirmed with a trendline break, Followed by strong bearish momentum toward the neckline. Traders should monitor the support zone around $28.80 closely for a potential breakdown. If confirmed, the target near $22.47 becomes a realistic medium-term objective.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC/USD Weekly Analysis – Cup and Handle Breakout Toward Target🔍 Overview The chart displays a classic Cup and Handle pattern on the weekly timeframe, a well-established bullish continuation formation often found in long-term uptrends. This pattern, combined with major technical confluences such as trendline support and strong horizontal levels, provides a high-conviction long setup with defined risk and reward. ☕ 1. The Cup Formation Timeframe: Mid-2021 to early 2024 Shape: Rounded bottom, a hallmark of slow accumulation. After reaching an all-time high in late 2021, BTC entered a bear market, dropping sharply and eventually bottoming out between $15,000–$20,000. A gradual recovery followed, forming a wide and symmetrical base—indicating accumulation by institutional and long-term holders. This phase represents a shift in market sentiment, from bearish to neutral, and eventually bullish, as buyers stepped in around key demand zones. 🔧 2. The Handle Formation Timeframe: Early 2024 to late 2024 After reclaiming its previous high resistance area near $69,000–$75,000, BTC formed a short-term consolidation or pullback, creating the "handle" portion of the pattern. The handle appeared as a descending channel, a healthy correction that typically precedes a breakout in this pattern. This correction also aligned with a trendline retest, offering dynamic support and further strengthening the pattern's reliability. 💥 3. Breakout Confirmation The breakout from the handle occurred above the descending resistance of the handle pattern. Weekly candles showed strong bullish momentum, backed by rising volume and rejection from lower trendline levels. BTC is now trading near $83,000, just above the trendline, confirming both pattern validation and support holding. 🎯 4. Target & Projection The measured move of the Cup and Handle pattern is calculated by measuring the depth of the cup and projecting that from the breakout point. Cup Depth: Approximately $60,000 Breakout Point: ~$75,000–$80,000 Target Price: ~$123,000–$125,000 This target aligns with historical Fibonacci extensions and psychological round-number resistance. 🔐 5. Key Levels Support Zone: $20,000–$30,000 (multi-year accumulation base) Trendline Support: Drawn from 2022 lows, holding well through handle correction Resistance Zone: $100,000 psychological barrier Stop Loss: Placed just below trendline and swing low at $76,340 to protect against downside volatility 🧠 Why This Setup is Strong Multi-year Base Formation (2.5+ years of consolidation) Pattern Reliability: Cup and Handle is a well-tested bullish continuation pattern Confluence of Support: Both horizontal and dynamic trendline support levels Momentum Structure: BTC has resumed higher highs and higher lows Volume: Breakout occurred with a noticeable spike in volume, a key validation point 🏁 Conclusion Bitcoin is displaying strong bullish potential through a large-scale Cup and Handle pattern. This technical setup is supported by: Long-term accumulation Structural breakout Strong support levels A clear roadmap toward $120K+ targets As long as BTC maintains above the trendline and doesn't invalidate the handle's structure, the bulls remain firmly in control.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAU/USD Bullish Pennant Breakout - Trade Setup Toward Target📊 Overview: This 4-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a clean bullish pennant breakout followed by a corrective pullback to key support, offering a high-probability trading setup for bullish continuation traders. Gold recently surged above the psychological $3,000 level, but after testing the previous resistance zone / ATH, it retraced back into a critical confluence of support. From a technical perspective, the structure remains bullish, supported by strong trendline dynamics, clean price action, and a well-defined pennant formation. 🔍 Step-by-Step Breakdown: 1. Bullish Pennant Formation A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that typically occurs after a strong upside rally (the "flagpole"). In this chart: The flagpole began around March 13, with gold moving vertically from ~$2,630 to ~$2,950. This was followed by consolidation between March 19–27, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern with converging trendlines (the pennant body). Volume (if added) would typically decrease during this consolidation phase. On March 27–28, price broke above the pennant, confirming the bullish bias. 📌 This breakout signals that buyers are ready to resume control after taking a breather. 2. Rally & Retest Phase Following the breakout: Price surged to challenge the resistance zone and all-time high (ATH) area, marked between $3,150 – $3,160. A natural pullback occurred due to profit-taking and overbought conditions. This retracement brought price back into the support zone at ~$3,000, intersecting perfectly with: The rising trendline from the pennant breakout A horizontal demand zone (former resistance turned support) A key psychological level ($3,000) 💡 This zone acted as a confluence area, attracting buyers and creating a strong bounce — visible as a bullish engulfing candle. 3. Support & Resistance Analysis ✅ Support Level: $2,990 – $3,010 Marked by previous highs before the breakout Validated by the trendline and price reaction 🚫 Resistance / ATH Level: $3,150 – $3,160 Historic resistance zone that capped the recent rally Price must break this level for further continuation toward the target 4. Trendline Dynamics The dotted trendline acts as a rising support structure. Trendlines in bullish continuations are crucial as they confirm upward momentum. As seen on the chart, price respected the trendline during the recent dip and bounced with strong momentum — a bullish signal. 5. Trade Setup & Risk Management A trade based on this structure should follow strict risk-to-reward discipline. 🛒 Entry Zone: Ideal re-entry lies between $3,030 – $3,040, after confirming the bounce from support. ❌ Stop Loss: Below $2,976, which is under the support zone and trendline. If price breaches this level, the pattern is invalidated. 🎯 Target: Measured move (height of the flagpole) projected from breakout zone gives us a target of around $3,221. The chart also marks this clearly as the "Target" zone. 📈 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3, which is attractive for swing trades. 6. Market Psychology & Trader Sentiment The bullish pennant represents temporary indecision, but ultimately market confidence remains strong. The pullback to support reflects healthy profit-taking, not bearish reversal. The bounce from support shows buy-the-dip mentality, a sign that bulls remain in control. 7. Macro & Fundamental Backdrop While the chart is technical, it's wise to factor in macro catalysts: 🏦 Federal Reserve policy: If the Fed holds or cuts rates, gold typically rallies due to lower opportunity cost. 📉 Inflation Data: Rising inflation or expectations can push gold higher as a hedge. 🌍 Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts or economic instability drive safe-haven flows into gold. Staying updated on these events can help validate or hedge your technical outlook. ✅ Conclusion: This chart presents a technically sound bullish continuation setup backed by: A breakout from a bullish pennant A retest and bounce from a confluence support zone A clearly defined risk (stop loss) and reward (target) Traders looking for medium-term opportunities in XAU/USD can consider this as a high-probability setup with logical structure and strong momentum potential. 🔔 TradingView Tag Suggestions: #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishPennant #PriceAction #SwingTrade #Forex #TradingSetup #Commodities #GoldBreakout
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XRP Weekly-Monthly Analysis / Retracement Levels for BuyTHEN - NOW@ XRP Weekly-Monthly Analysis / Retracement Levels for Buy (...and we keep going) Weekly - Monthly trend: Bearish Chart Pattern: Head & Shoulders (H&S) - Bearish Continuation Pattern Bearish Candlesticks signals: HANGING MAN (Bearish, Single Candlestick pattern) / Weekly Timeframe / 09 DEC 2024 BEARISH ENGULFING (Bearish, Double Candlestick pattern)/ weekly Timeframe / 27 JAN 2025 TWEEZER TOP (Bearish, Double Candlestick pattern) / 1 Day timeframe / 20 FEB 2025 FALLING THREE METHODS (Bearish, five-fold Candlestick pattern) / 1 Day timeframe / 07 MAR 2025 BEARISH ENGULFING (Bearish, Double Candlestick pattern)/ weekly Timeframe / 24 MARCH 2025 Retracement Fib Price Levels: 0.00% (3.4000) 23.60% (2.6879) 38.20% (2.2474) 50.00% (1.8914) 61.80% (1.5353) 78.60% (1.0284) 100.00% (0.3827) Good prices for buy (the lower the better): 61.80% (1.5353) – Golden Zone / Golden Pocket 78.60% (1.0284) – Entry Zone Between 78.60% (1.0284) and 100.00% (0.3827) is the Risk Zone, which we have the Neckline of the ‘’ Quadruple Bottom Pattern ‘’ at the price range ‘’ 0.6291 – 0.7850 ‘’
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by JohnA97
3
LTC ANALYSIS (support & resistance)🔮 #LTC Analysis  🚀🚀 💲💲 #LTC is trading between support and resistance area. There is a potential rejection again from its resistance zone and pullback from its major support area. If #LTC sustains above major support area then we will a bullish move till its major resistance area 💸Current Price -- $82.20 ⁉️ What to do? - We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸 #LTC  #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Analysis for April 7, 2025 (1H)After a sharp drop, price reached the key demand zone around 3025-3030. This area forms a potential buy zone from which a rebound toward 3080–3100 may occur. The chart suggests a possible W-shaped recovery. A breakout above 3100 could unlock further upside toward 3127 and then resistance at 3167. However, a breakdown below 3015–3020 could increase bearish pressure and lead to a decline toward 2997 support. Indicators are showing signs of local oversold conditions, hinting at potential technical recovery. Main scenario – reversal from 3025-3030 with a move toward 3080–3100. Alternative – breakdown to 2997.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
1
GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE🟡 GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE A steep drop in gold just rattled the markets — but if you’ve been following the macro and technical setup closely, this was not only expected, but anticipated. From the first week of April, we’ve been tracking signals of potential exhaustion in XAUUSD: 🕯️ Candlestick wicks on higher timeframes 📈 Overextended structure 🧠 Macro divergence Now, all signs have converged — and we’re finally seeing the correction play out. 🔍 Why This Isn’t Just About Gold What we’re seeing is a broader shift in global market sentiment: U.S., European, and Asian equities are all under pressure Crypto has stagnated with little to no fresh capital inflow Gold — after months of aggressive buying — is now facing wave after wave of profit-taking This is classic risk-off behaviour. Investors are choosing cash, sitting tight, and waiting for clarity — not only in the charts but in the headlines too. 📉 DXY Building a Case for Recovery The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been heavily sold in recent months — but is now holding at a multi-year structural support zone that’s been tested multiple times since 2021. With Trump returning to the spotlight and triggering a fresh round of global tariff negotiations, the USD is regaining narrative strength. Trump’s stance has already prompted discussions among major economies, putting the U.S. in a dominant position — and the market is beginning to price that in. 🤔 What’s Holding the Fed Back? Despite rising trade tensions, the Federal Reserve has remained cautious — choosing not to act until the dust settles from geopolitical and policy developments. This creates a window of opportunity: If the Fed holds rates while global central banks soften And if the USD holds this major support → We could see strong dollar flows return in Q2. 🔮 Gold Outlook – Where Next? In the short term: Expect continued volatility Potential for gold to slide further toward 308x – 305x range Any bounce is likely to be technical rather than fundamental In the medium term: Once political noise fades, gold may find support again Especially if inflation expectations persist or the Fed pivots dovish later in Q2 💡 Takeaways for UK Traders ✅ Don't trade the news — trade the reaction ✅ Macro structure matters more than the daily headlines ✅ Capital preservation beats chasing euphoria We’re not guessing. We’re reading the story and planning with structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD: Potential Pullback Trade Explained 🇬🇧🇺🇸 GBPUSD closed this week, respecting a key daily horizontal support cluster. Analyzing the intraday price action, I spotted a nice double bottom pattern on an hourly time frame. To buy the pair with a confirmation after the market opening, I suggest waiting for a bullish breakout of its neckline. An hourly candle close above will confirm a violation. A bullish move will be expected at least to 1.296 level then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
3
S&P 500 (SPX) 1M next week?The S&P 500 is pulling back from a key resistance after completing a bearish AB=CD pattern on the monthly chart. Price action suggests a potential correction toward the 4662–4700 zone, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which may serve as a key area for bullish reaccumulation. Momentum indicators show bearish divergence, hinting at a cooling rally. Fundamentally, the index remains supported by strong earnings in tech and AI sectors, but risks persist from elevated interest rates, sticky inflation, and potential Fed policy shifts. A pullback into the 4662–4700 zone may offer a medium-term setup for continuation toward 5198 and potentially 5338. A breakdown below 4662 would invalidate the bullish structure and shift focus to lower Fibonacci levels.
VANTAGE:SP500
by TotoshkaTrades
2
Real Reason Most Strategies Fail–“Overfitting” Explained Simply!Hello Traders! Have you ever seen a strategy work amazingly on historical charts, but fail badly in live markets? You’re not alone. One of the biggest reasons this happens is due to something called Overfitting . Today, let’s understand this concept in the simplest way — so you can avoid falling into this trap and build smarter strategies. What is Overfitting in Trading? Overfitting means your strategy is too perfect for past data: It works great on old charts, but only because it was made to match that exact data. It fails in real-time because the market changes: The strategy doesn’t adapt well to new price behavior — it’s not flexible. Example: A strategy with 10 indicators giving perfect backtest results may be too specific and only fits that period — not future ones. Signs Your Strategy Might Be Overfitted Too many rules or filters: If your strategy has too many conditions just to improve past results, that’s a red flag. Works only on one stock or timeframe: A good strategy should work on different stocks and market conditions. Great backtest, bad live performance: If your real trades don’t match the backtest, it might be too customized to the past. How to Avoid Overfitting in Trading Keep it simple: Use fewer indicators and rules. Focus on clean price action and proven setups. Test on different stocks/timeframes: See if your setup works across Nifty, Bank Nifty, stocks, or different timeframes. Use forward testing: Try the strategy on live charts (paper trade) before putting real money into it. Rahul’s Tip A perfect backtest doesn’t mean a perfect future. Build your strategy to be reliable — not just impressive on history. Conclusion Overfitting is like memorizing old exam answers and failing the new paper. Don’t build strategies that only look good on past data. Make them strong, simple, and adaptable to real market conditions. Have you faced this issue before? Let’s discuss in the comments and help each other improve!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
Post-Liberation Day Sell-Off – Crash or Correction?Liberation Day has turned into a dramatic "blow the markets back out" day for the SPY , with a significant daily drop of nearly 6%, slicing decisively below the critical 200-day moving average at $574.46. Historically, breaking below the 200-day MA is a strong bearish signal, indicating potential further downside momentum. The previously identified key bearish pivot, the "Best Price Short" at $565.16, served as a crucial resistance level from which sellers aggressively stepped in, intensifying today's sell-off. Given the current bearish sentiment, the next immediate downside targets without a significant bounce (dead-cat bounce) include: Half 1 Short (Momentum target): $505.28 (already tested) High Vol Momentum Target 1a: $497.66 Half 2 Short (secondary bearish momentum): $486.41 Extended Momentum Target (HH Vol Momo Target 2a): $475.16 For traders who missed the initial move, look to re-enter shorts if there's a modest retracement toward the previously broken "Weeks High Short" at $520.16, maintaining tight risk control with stops ideally set just above the "Best Price Short" ($565.16). Critical levels summary: Ideal Short Re-entry Zone: $520.16 Profit Targets: $497.66, $486.41, and ultimate $475.16 Stop Loss Area: Slightly above $565.16 Major Broken Support (Resistance now): 200-day MA at $574.46 Today's significant volume spike further reinforces bearish conviction. RSI is deeply oversold at 23.24, suggesting caution for potential short-term bounce, but any bounce is likely to be short-lived unless there's a substantial political or economic pivot soon. These levels are algorithmically defined, designed to remove emotions from trading. Trade responsibly, adhere to your strategy, and protect your capital.
AMEX:SPY
by HispanicHedge
SOLUSDT | Elliott Wave Projection – Next big Move Incoming 50%+BINANCE:SOLUSDT The chart is probably currently developing a five-wave impulsive structure (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), suggesting a potential bullish movement towards the 174-175 USD resistance zone before a larger correction unfolds. 📈 Bullish Setup: - A corrective A-B-C structure seems complete, with a potential impulsive wave (1)-(5) forming. - Price is reacting at a strong demand zone, initiating Wave (1) upwards. - Possible target for Wave (5) lies near **174-175 USD**. 📉 Bearish Continuation Afterwards - After reaching the projected high, expect a sharp rejection and reversal. - The final bearish target lies within the "End of Bear" zone (~108-109 USD). --- ### 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ First Bullish Target: ~174-175 USD ⚠️ Critical Support Zone: 108-109 USD --- ### 📌 **Trading Plan:** 1️⃣ Long Opportunity: If price respects the current support, target Wave (3)-(5) completion near 174 USD. 2️⃣ Short Confirmation: If price rejects at resistance, a larger bearish wave is expected. 3️⃣ Final Bear Target: 108-109 USD zone for possible long-term support. 🚨 Risk Management: - Stop-loss below 111 USD for longs. - Wait for confirmation before shorting after rejection. 💬 What do you think? Will SOL hit 175 USD before the final drop? Comment below!
Long
by ElliotXSolana
"Gold Approaching Key Support – Will Bulls Take Control?"🔹 Market Structure: Gold is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish run, facing a pullback from recent highs around $3,160. The price has now approached a key horizontal support zone near $2,980 - $3,020. 🔹 Key Levels: ✅ Resistance: ~$3,160 (previous high) ✅ Horizontal Support: ~$2,980 - $3,020 (marked in blue) ✅ Target Level: ~$3,099 (potential bounce area) 🔹 Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Reversal: If the price finds support in the marked zone and forms bullish confirmation (e.g., hammer candle, bullish engulfing), we could see a retest of $3,099 and potentially higher levels. 2️⃣ Breakdown Scenario: If support fails, gold may see further downside towards $2,950 or lower. 🔹 Trading Plan: 📈 Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation near support (~$3,020) with a target of $3,099 - $3,120. 📉 Sell Setup: If support breaks, short positions could target $2,950 - $2,920. 🔸 Bias: Bullish above support, bearish below it. 🔸 Risk Management: Use a stop-loss below support (~$2,980) to manage risk. Would you like me to refine this further or add any indicators like RSI, Moving Averages, etc.? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
1