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Technical Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trade Setup Market Structure & Key Levels: The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart displays a descending channel breakout, followed by a range-bound consolidation phase. Key Support Levels: $78,000 - $77,320: A strong demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in. $80,000: Psychological support level. Key Resistance Levels: $84,340: Short-term resistance currently being tested. $85,996: Next major resistance level. $89,363: Target resistance level if a breakout occurs. $92,331: A higher timeframe resistance level. Chart Pattern & Price Action: Descending Channel (Early March) Price was in a downtrend, forming a descending channel pattern. The breakout from this channel led to a shift in momentum. Range Consolidation (Current Pattern) After the breakout, BTC entered a sideways accumulation phase (marked by the red box). Price is bouncing between $82,000 - $84,500, showing low volatility and indecision. Breakout Possibility (Bullish Bias) A break above $84,500 could confirm a bullish move towards $85,996 and beyond. The next major target is $89,363, which aligns with previous resistance. Support Retest (Bearish Risk) If BTC fails to break resistance, we might see a retest of $80,000 or even $78,000. A break below $77,320 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish ContinuationTechnical Analysis & Market Outlook The Silver (XAG/USD) 1-hour chart presents a clear rising wedge formation, a well-recognized bearish reversal pattern. This formation develops when price action creates higher highs and higher lows within a contracting range, signaling a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Currently, Silver has broken below the lower trendline of the wedge, confirming a bearish breakout. This move suggests that the recent uptrend is weakening, and sellers are beginning to take control. A retest of the broken support level as new resistance could provide an ideal entry for a short position. Key Technical Levels & Trading Plan 1️⃣ Resistance & Supply Zone: 34.00 - 34.20 Price has struggled to break above this region multiple times, confirming strong selling pressure. The market rejected this level sharply, leading to the current downside movement. A stop-loss can be placed slightly above this zone to protect against unexpected reversals. 2️⃣ Support Level & Retest Zone: 33.50 Previously, this level acted as a strong support, but the breakdown confirms a shift in market structure. If price retests this level and faces rejection, it could serve as an optimal entry point for short trades. 3️⃣ Short Entry Confirmation Traders should look for price rejection from the 33.50 zone before entering a short position. A bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, or a lower high formation) would further validate the entry. 4️⃣ Bearish Target: 31.90 - 32.00 The projected downside move aligns with the measured move of the wedge breakdown and previous support zones. If price maintains bearish momentum, further downside potential exists beyond this target. 5️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: Above 34.20 Setting a stop-loss above the recent resistance ensures protection against invalidation of the bearish setup. This placement accounts for potential price spikes or false breakouts. Trade Execution Strategy: 📌 Entry: Short on a retest of the 33.50 level, ensuring confirmation via price rejection. 📌 Stop-Loss: Above 34.20 to avoid premature stop-outs. 📌 Take-Profit: Targeting the 31.90 - 32.00 zone for an optimal risk-to-reward ratio. Conclusion & Risk Management: The breakdown from the rising wedge signals a shift in market sentiment, favoring a bearish move. Traders should remain patient for a retest of broken support to confirm the validity of the trade. Proper risk management with a well-placed stop-loss and a defined target ensures controlled exposure to market fluctuations. 📊 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉 🔍 Key Watch Areas: Retest of 33.50 for Short Confirmation
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
#DYMUSDT is showing signs of growth📉 Long BYBIT:DYMUSDT.P от $0,4575 🛡 Stop loss $0,4350 🕒 1H Timeframe ⚡️ Overview: ➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 0,4149, indicating the area with the highest trading volume. ➡️ The 0,4572 level acts as a local support, as the price previously bounced from this zone. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0,4720 💎 TP 2: $0,4850 💎 TP 2: $0,4970 📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade! 📢 If 0,4572 is broken downward, the trade may be invalidated. BYBIT:DYMUSDT.P is showing signs of growth — expecting further upside movement!
Long
by MoriartyTrading
EURJPY 4H | Bullish Breakout & Retest – Next Big Move?The EUR/JPY 4-hour chart presents a compelling bullish breakout setup following a structured downtrend. The market recently broke through a significant resistance zone, indicating potential further upside movement. This analysis outlines key price levels, market structure, and an actionable trading plan. 📊 Market Structure Overview 🔸 Downtrend Reversal: The price was previously trading within a descending channel (highlighted in green), forming lower highs and lower lows. 🔸 Support Confirmation : The price bounced from a strong support zone around 158.500 - 160.000, confirming buyers' interest in this region. 🔸 Breakout & Retest : A strong bullish impulse broke through the 164.500 - 165.000 resistance zone, suggesting a shift in market sentiment. 📌 Key Trading Levels 🔹 Support Zone: 158.500 - 160.000 This area previously acted as a demand zone where buyers aggressively pushed the price higher. It now serves as a safety net for long positions. 🔹 Resistance Zone (Now Potential Support): 164.500 - 165.000 Price has broken above this level, but a retest could provide an ideal entry for confirmation. 🔹 Next Major Resistance (Target Levels): TP1: 165.000 → A psychological level and previous resistance. TP2: 166.020 → A higher resistance zone where price may struggle to break through. 📈 Trading Plan – Long Setup ✅ Entry Confirmation: Wait for price to pull back to the 164.500 - 165.000 zone. Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles) to confirm buyers stepping in. 🎯 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 165.000 (Initial resistance level) TP2: 166.020 (Potential extended bullish move) 🛑 Stop Loss Strategy: Below 160.038 (Previous structure low & key support level) Ensures protection against potential fakeouts or trend reversals. 📢 Risk-Reward Ratio: Aiming for 2:1 or better risk-reward ratio for an optimal trade setup. 📝 Market Outlook & Conclusion 📌 The recent breakout above resistance suggests bullish momentum is strong. However, traders should be patient and wait for a pullback to enter at a better risk-reward level. If price successfully retests and holds above 164.500, there is a high probability of continuation towards 166.020. 🚀 Trading Bias: Bullish – Until market structure shifts or a major rejection occurs at resistance. 📢 Final Trading Tip 🔹 Patience is key! Don’t rush into a trade immediately after a breakout. Wait for confirmation, as false breakouts are common in volatile markets. A successful retest of the broken resistance will provide a low-risk, high-reward entry opportunity.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Bearish Trading Setup | Resistance Rejection & BreakdownMarket Context & Overview The EUR/GBP currency pair is currently showing signs of bearish momentum, as illustrated in this 1-hour trading chart. The price is facing a strong resistance zone while forming a descending trendline, indicating that sellers are gaining control over the market. Given this technical setup, traders can anticipate a potential breakdown leading to further downside movement. This analysis highlights key price levels, technical indicators, and potential trade opportunities based on current price action. The bearish outlook is supported by the market structure, which is displaying signs of a potential trend reversal from the resistance zone. 🔹 Key Technical Levels 1️⃣ Resistance Zone (0.84200 - 0.84300) This area has acted as a strong selling zone in previous price action. Multiple rejection points indicate that buyers are struggling to push beyond this level. This resistance aligns with the descending trendline, further strengthening the bearish bias. 2️⃣ Support Level (0.84000) The current support level has provided temporary demand, preventing immediate downside movement. If the price breaks below this support, it will confirm a bearish continuation. 3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (0.84495) This is the all-time high resistance zone in the short-term structure. A break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to bullish momentum. 4️⃣ Target Level (0.83735) If the price successfully breaks below 0.84000, the next target would be 0.83735. This level aligns with previous swing lows, making it a realistic downside target for short positions. 5️⃣ Stop Loss Placement (Above 0.84201) A stop-loss above 0.84201 ensures protection against false breakouts. If price breaks above this level, it could signal a shift in market structure. 🔹 Technical Insights & Market Sentiment 1️⃣ Descending Trendline: The price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating a bearish bias. 2️⃣ Multiple Resistance Rejections: Price has tested the resistance zone multiple times without breaking through. 3️⃣ Bearish Price Action: The recent candles show lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend. 4️⃣ Volume Analysis: A drop in buying pressure at resistance signals potential weakness among buyers. 5️⃣ Fundamental Factors : GBP strength due to macroeconomic factors could add further pressure on EUR/GBP. 🔹 Trade Plan & Strategy 📌 Entry Criteria Ideal entry near 0.84150 - 0.84200 if price shows rejection at resistance. Alternatively, enter after a confirmed breakdown below 0.84000 for safer confirmation. 🎯 Profit Target First target: 0.83735 If bearish momentum continues, price could extend towards 0.83600 as an extended target. 🛑 Stop Loss Placement Above 0.84201 to minimize risk. This ensures the trade remains valid while avoiding market noise. 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Management ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 2:1, making this a favorable setup. ✅ Trade Management: If price starts reversing before hitting the target, consider trailing stop-loss to secure profits. If price consolidates around support, watch for breakout confirmations before entering. 🔹 Final Thoughts & Market Sentiment This trading setup suggests a strong bearish opportunity based on price action, resistance rejection, and trendline confluence. The break below 0.84000 will be the key trigger for further downside movement. If price remains below resistance, a sell position with a stop-loss above 0.84201 and a target of 0.83735 offers a high-probability trade setup.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Chart Pattern Analysis (1H Timeframe) – Bearish SetupThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a compelling bearish setup, characterized by a rejection from a key resistance zone, a weakening support level, and a potential trendline breakdown. These technical elements suggest an increased probability of downward movement if bearish momentum persists. Key Technical Components: Resistance Rejection & Selling Pressure: The price action tested a well-defined resistance zone, which aligns with previous swing highs. A rejection from this level indicates that sellers have stepped in, preventing further upside movement. This area serves as a supply zone, reinforcing a bearish outlook as long as price remains below it. Support Level at Risk of Breakdown: The market is currently testing a support zone, which has previously acted as a demand area. A break below this support would confirm increased selling pressure, likely triggering a more significant decline. The support level is structurally weak, as the price has already tested it multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. Ascending Trendline Violation: The ascending trendline has been a key dynamic support for the recent uptrend. If the price breaks below this trendline with strong volume, it would signify a potential trend reversal, shifting market sentiment from bullish to bearish. A confirmed breakdown would further validate the bearish continuation scenario. Sell Stop Placement & Profit Targets: A Sell Stop order is positioned below the support zone to capture a breakdown trade. The first Take Profit (TP1) is set at 1.08312, a level that has historically acted as support and resistance. The second Take Profit (TP2) is placed at 1.07659, representing a more extended bearish move toward the next major demand zone. Conclusion & Trading Strategy: Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level and ascending trendline, it could trigger a sell-off, leading to a potential downside move toward TP1 and TP2. Bullish Rebound Possibility: If the support level holds and buyers regain control, the price may attempt to retest the resistance zone. However, the bearish structure remains dominant unless the price breaks above resistance. Final Outlook: Traders should closely monitor price action at the support and trendline intersection. A confirmed breakdown below these levels, preferably with increased volume, would reinforce the bearish outlook. Proper risk management and stop-loss placement above the resistance zone are recommended to mitigate potential reversals. Would you like me to refine it further for professional publication or trading forums? 🚀
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
CHF/USD Trading Idea – Bearish Reversal from Key ResistanceThis CHF/USD chart presents a compelling bearish setup, suggesting that the pair may be headed for a decline after facing strong resistance. The price action has followed a technical breakout and retest pattern, with a clear rejection from a well-defined resistance level. Traders looking for short-selling opportunities should take note of the key price zones, support levels, and overall market structure before making a move. Let’s break it down in detail. 🔍 Chart Breakdown: What’s Happening? 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish Push The price was consolidating inside a falling wedge, a pattern that typically signals an eventual breakout to the upside. The breakout led to a strong bullish move, pushing the price toward a well-established resistance zone around 1.1414. After breaking out, the pair made a significant upward run before stalling at this key resistance. 2️⃣ Key Resistance Level Holding Strong The price touched the resistance zone but failed to break above it. This rejection indicates that sellers are stepping in, absorbing the buying pressure. The market is showing early signs of bearish momentum, hinting at a potential downtrend. 3️⃣ Projected Bearish Move: Lower Targets in Sight If the current rejection holds, the price is likely to fall toward the nearest support levels: ✅ TP 1 (Take Profit 1): 1.1271 → First major support level, likely to be tested soon. ✅ TP 2 (Take Profit 2): 1.1201 → A deeper retracement if selling pressure increases. ✅ TP 3 (Take Profit 3): 1.1055 → Final downside target if the bearish trend extends further. 4️⃣ Stop Loss Placement – Risk Management To manage risk, the ideal stop loss should be placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.1414. This protects against potential false breakouts and unexpected market shifts. 📉 Trade Strategy – How to Approach This Setup? 🔸 Entry Point: Look for a confirmed rejection of the resistance level (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like engulfing, shooting star, or pin bars). 🔸 Stop Loss: Place above 1.1414 to avoid getting caught in a short squeeze. 🔸 Take Profit Targets: First TP at 1.1271 Second TP at 1.1201 Final TP at 1.1055 for extended downside moves ⚠️ Important Notes for Traders: ✔ Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush into a short trade. Look for a strong bearish candle closure or a retest before entering. ✔ Be Aware of News Events: Economic releases, interest rate decisions, and major USD-related news can impact price movement. ✔ Monitor Market Sentiment: If USD strengthens, this setup is even more likely to play out. 🧐 Final Thoughts – High Probability Short Setup? ✅ Why This Trade Looks Strong: The technical pattern is playing out perfectly, with a clear resistance rejection. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels. The overall market structure supports a potential downside move if price continues respecting resistance. 📢 Bottom Line : If price remains below the 1.1414 resistance, this trade setup could provide an excellent opportunity for short-sellers targeting lower support levels. 🚀 Stay patient and wait for confirmation before pulling the trigger!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD – Bullish Breakout After Falling Wedge!Let's take a deep dive into the JPY/USD price action and technical setup on the daily chart. The market has presented us with a falling wedge breakout, a strong bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates a potential shift from the previous downtrend into an uptrend. 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern – Bullish Reversal Signal The falling wedge is a classic bullish reversal pattern. It forms when price action makes lower highs and lower lows within two converging trendlines. The key characteristic of this pattern is the decreasing selling pressure, leading to a breakout to the upside. We observed a clear breakout from the wedge, indicating bullish momentum. Buyers have stepped in strongly, pushing prices above the resistance zone. This signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. 2️⃣ Breakout Confirmation & Key Levels Once the price broke above the wedge, it faced a crucial resistance zone (marked in blue on the chart). After breaking this level, it has now turned into support—a strong technical confirmation. Resistance Turned Support: The previous resistance is now acting as support, giving further confidence in the bullish move. Retest Expected: After breakouts, the price often comes back to retest support before continuing higher. If it holds, it’s a good entry opportunity. 3️⃣ Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets Based on the technical setup, here’s how we can approach this trade: 🔹 Entry: Ideal entry is around the current support zone after a successful retest. 🔹 Stop Loss: Placed below the support level at 0.006574 to minimize risk. 🔹 Take Profit (TP): The target price is set at 0.007126, aligning with the previous swing high. 4️⃣ Trade Outlook & Expected Movement If the price holds above support, we expect a bullish continuation towards the target. A minor pullback is possible before the next move higher. If the price breaks below the support zone, it may invalidate the bullish setup. 📌 Final Thoughts This setup is a high-probability bullish trade, backed by the falling wedge breakout and retest of a key level. However, always manage risk properly and wait for confirmation before entering the trade. What do you think? Do you see further upside, or is this a false breakout? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 #JPYUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #BullishBreakout #ChartPatterns
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Supply ZoneThis chart represents a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the daily timeframe, highlighting key levels of resistance, support, and potential price movement. It indicates a bearish rejection from a supply zone, which suggests that BTC may experience further downside pressure. Key Components of the Chart: 📌 1. All-Time High (ATH) + Resistance Zone (~$110,000 - $115,000) This is the highest price level Bitcoin has ever reached on this chart. It acts as a strong resistance zone, meaning sellers are likely to step in if the price approaches this level again. 📌 2. Supply Zone (~$88,000 - $90,000) The supply zone is an area where selling pressure is high. BTC attempted to break above this zone but got rejected, leading to a sharp decline. This rejection confirms that bears are in control, pushing the price downward. 📌 3. Stop Loss (~$95,629) This level represents the point where a bearish trade would be invalidated. If BTC breaks above this level, it could indicate a shift in momentum toward bullish territory. 📌 4. Current Price Action (~$83,444) BTC is currently trading below the supply zone, showing weakness. The recent lower high formation suggests a continuation of the downtrend. 📌 5. Take Profit (TP) Level (~$65,969) This is the target level for a potential bearish move. The $65,969 level has acted as major support in the past, meaning buyers may step in here. If BTC reaches this level, it could either bounce back up or break lower, leading to further downside movement. 📌 6. Major Support Level (~$45,000 - $50,000) If BTC breaks below the $65,969 support, the next major support zone is around $45,000 - $50,000. This area is historically significant and could provide a strong buying opportunity. Trade Plan & Strategy: 🔴 Bearish Bias: The rejection from the supply zone signals a continuation of the downtrend. A short position can be considered if BTC fails to break above the supply zone again. 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry: Around $85,000 - $88,000 (if BTC retests the supply zone and gets rejected again). Stop Loss: Above $95,629 to protect against an unexpected bullish breakout. Take Profit (TP): Around $65,969, targeting the next major support level. Conclusion: BTC is showing signs of a bearish continuation, with strong resistance at the supply zone. A potential move toward $65,969 is likely if selling pressure continues. If BTC breaks below this key level, a further decline toward $45,000 - $50,000 could happen. ⚠️ Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions. 🚀📉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAU/USD Trading Plan – Preparing for Volatility Ahead of FOMC! ⚠️This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting on March 19, where the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook. Gold remains in a bullish trend, but it has now reached a key resistance zone that could trigger a correction before determining the next move. ⚠ Important Note: This plan is only valid before the FOMC meeting. As the announcement approaches, traders are advised to close their positions to protect their accounts, as high volatility is expected. 🔥 Fundamental Analysis – What to Expect from the FOMC This Time? 📌 1️⃣ The Fed is Expected to Keep Rates at 4.25% - 4.5%, But… Dot Plot & Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will shape market expectations for the future. If the Fed remains hawkish, the USD could strengthen, putting pressure on gold. If the Fed signals a dovish stance, the USD could weaken, potentially pushing gold higher. 📌 2️⃣ Global Central Banks Continue to Buy Gold China, Russia, Poland, and India continue to increase their gold reserves, reducing their reliance on the USD. This trend supports long-term bullish prospects for gold, although there could be short-term corrections. 📉 Technical Analysis – Key Levels for XAU/USD 🔹 Main Trend: Bullish, but facing strong resistance. 🔹 Price Channel: Gold is still in an uptrend, but a short-term correction may occur. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 📍 Resistance: 3,055 - 3,071 – If gold fails to break through this level, a correction could follow. 📍 Support: 3,021 - 3,009 – Watch this area in case of a pullback. 2,986 - 2,948 (FVG Zone on H1) – A deeper liquidity level if selling pressure increases. 🎯 Trading Plan – Pre-FOMC Strategy BUY ZONE: 3010 - 3008 SL: 3004 TP: 3015 - 3020 - 3024 - 3028 - 3032 SELL ZONE: 3054 - 3056 SL: 3060 TP: 3050 - 3046 - 3042 - 3038 - 3030 ⚠ Important Warning: Ahead of the FOMC, consider closing all positions to avoid unnecessary risks, as market reactions can be unpredictable. 🔥 A major wave from the FOMC is coming – trade wisely and protect your capital! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Reversal & Breakout PatternChart Pattern Analysis The 15-minute chart of Gold (XAU/USD) showcases a classic support-resistance structure, along with a potential bullish reversal pattern forming. The price is currently reacting to key levels, and the setup suggests an impending move toward higher price targets. Key Chart Patterns Identified: 🔹 Support & Resistance Flip: The price initially struggled at resistance (~$3,038 - $3,045) before experiencing a pullback. It found strong support (~$3,027 - $3,030), confirming a potential retest zone for a bullish reversal. 🔹 Double Bottom Reversal Pattern: The price bounced twice from the support zone, forming a possible double-bottom pattern – a classic bullish reversal sign. If the price successfully holds this level, a breakout above the previous high (ATH - $3,045) is expected. 🔹 Break & Retest Structure: A bullish breakout from resistance could trigger a rally toward the next target zone ($3,056 - $3,060). A possible higher low formation suggests market accumulation before an upward continuation. Trade Plan – How to Approach This Setup 📌 Entry Confirmation: Look for a bullish candle formation at support (~$3,027 - $3,030). A strong breakout and retest above ATH ($3,045) would provide further confirmation. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: Below support ($3,027) to limit downside risk. If price breaks below this zone, the bullish scenario gets invalidated. 📌 Take-Profit Targets: 1️⃣ First Target: $3,045 (ATH breakout confirmation) 2️⃣ Final Target: $3,056 - $3,060 (Major Resistance & TP Zone) Potential Market Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Breakout: If price breaks & retests resistance ($3,045), a rally toward $3,060 is likely. ❌ Bearish Breakdown: If price fails to hold support ($3,027), a drop to $3,020 - $3,015 could occur. 🚀 Final Thoughts: This setup presents a high-probability bullish opportunity, but confirmation is key! Wait for price action signals before entering. 📊 Do you agree with this analysis? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
TVC:GOLDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
NZDJPY: Bearish Movement Confirmed 🇳🇿🇯🇵 All Yen pairs look bearish after the early morning BoJ interest rate decision and press conference. NZDJPY formed an inverted cup & handle pattern on a 4H after a test of a key daily resistance. High momentum bearish candle indicates a strong bearish sentiment. I think that the price may drop at least to 86.2 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
Will Mixed Geopolitical News Limit the Downside of Oil Prices?Macro: - Oil prices continued their decline following an agreement between the US and Russia to halt attacks on energy infrastructure, though without implementing a complete ceasefire. - The market turned bearish amid expectations that Russian sanctions may be eased, potentially increasing the oil supply surplus. - Uncertainty lingered as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East sent mixed signals. While the possibility of increased supply pushed prices down, fears of conflict disrupting oil production kept some upward pressure. Technical: - USOIL retested its descending channel's upper bound before rejecting the boundary and forming a bearish Engulfing Candlestick, which may provide a hint that bears are in control. The price is below both EMAs, indicating persistent bearish momentum. - Breaking below the support at 65.80 may prompt another plunge to the 100% Fibonacci Extension at 64.00. - Closing above 68.40 and breaking the descending channel's upper bound may shift the current structure sideways before retesting the following resistance at 70.20. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by DatTong
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 19, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🏦 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 🏦: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, March 19, at 2:00 PM ET, followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 2:30 PM ET. The Fed is widely expected to maintain the federal funds rate at its current range of 4.25% to 4.5%. Investors will closely monitor the Fed's economic projections and Powell's comments for insights into future monetary policy, especially in light of ongoing trade tensions and global economic uncertainties. 🇯🇵💴 Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Decision 💴: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is set to announce its monetary policy decision on March 19. The BOJ is expected to keep interest rates steady, as policymakers assess the potential impact of U.S. trade policies on Japan's export-driven economy. The yen has remained stable ahead of the announcement, with traders awaiting the BOJ's guidance on future monetary policy. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Wednesday, March 19: 🏢 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏢:This report measures the annualized number of existing residential buildings sold during the previous month, providing insight into the strength of the housing market. Forecast: 5.50 million annualized units​ Previous: 5.47 million annualized units​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Europe Vs US Break Out!This chart suggests huge long-term implications after breaking for the 2nd time this 16-year downtrend. EU since Trump took office has outperformed the US by 23%! More than half of that has occurred since the ambush on Zeleneskyy in the Oval Office. While no new high has been made yet to confirm, it is noteworthy that money may be flowing toward the EU more than the US for a decade or more. EU has a much lower debt to GDO at 80% than the US at 125%. Stock valuations are much more attractive than in the US. So much so that I labeled the EU as a value trap. Not anymore! The biggest obstacle right now is how much would a US recession impact the EU. Even if it does, I expect the EU to perform much better than the US. As such this chart should continue to outperform. I have another post up you may want to follow.
AMEX:VGKLong
by RealMacro
3
NAS100 Potential Intraday Shorts (Technical Analysis)Technical Outlook: The price action since late February has been decisively bearish, characterized by a significant decline throughout March, indicating a clear mid-term distribution phase. We observed a recent rejection from a 4H and 1H supply zone (which fell within a pronounced drop-base-drop pattern). Notably, the most recent downward push failed to establish new lows. This follows a period of rapid decline with minimal bullish resistance. This suggests two possibilities: Bulls are strategically allowing sellers to exhaust themselves before a potential countermove. The prevailing bearish momentum is overpowering any attempts at bullish recovery. Trading Considerations: The daily candle has formed a bearish engulfing pattern, confirming strong selling pressure. My trading strategy involves waiting for a price retracement back into the identified supply zone. This pullback would serve to fill existing price imbalances and trigger resting orders above, providing an opportunity to enter short positions with improved risk-to-reward ratios on lower timeframes (LTFs). Currently, there are no indications of significant bullish manipulation. Therefore, I anticipate continued downward momentum this week. It's plausible that we might witness a final bearish surge coinciding with the FOMC announcement before a potential bullish reversal - a hypothetical scenario based on technical analysis. Final Notes: The previous instance of the price trading this far below the 200 EMA occurred in December 2022, marking the culmination of a year-long bearish trend. While we are currently only one month into this downward movement, it's crucial to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results. Although a bullish rally is possible, I will maintain a bearish bias and focus on short opportunities until a clear bullish reversal pattern emerges on the 4H and 1H timeframes. When such a reversal occurs, we will be ready to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend! ;)
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Apexfx_Alpha
S&P - Will we follow 2020/2021?The S&P has been trading in a rising pattern for over 700 days, similar to the rising pattern observed in 2020 and 2021. In that instance, the price of the S&P broke below the support trendline and lost all SMA support, while also making a lower low. This has not occurred since the start of the current pattern. Could a deeper correction follow? Blue line = 50-day MA Red line = 100-day MA Yellow line = 200-day MA Analysis of the 2020/2021 Price Action We can conclude the following five points: 1. The rising wedge lasted for nearly 700 days. 2. The price consistently made higher highs and higher lows. 3. The S&P found support on the SMAs and never broke below the 200-day MA. 4. After approximately 700 days, the S&P broke below the rising wedge, lost all key SMA support, and made a lower low. 5. During the retest of the rising wedge and key SMAs (which had turned into resistance), a bearish cross (50-day SMA below the 100-day SMA) occurred, leading to a downtrend. How Does the 2020/2021 Price Action Correlate to 2023/2024? We can conclude the following five points: 1. The rising wedge lasted for approximately 750 days. 2. The price continued making higher highs and higher lows. 3. The S&P found support on the SMAs and never broke below the 200-day SMA. 4. After around 750 days, the S&P broke below the rising wedge, lost all key SMA support, and made a lower low. 5. A bearish cross between the 50-day SMA and the 100-day SMA is currently forming. When we overlay the bar pattern of the 2021 bearish price action onto the current chart, it suggests that a revisit to 4,750 is possible. This level is both a technical support and the point where the S&P started its downtrend in 2021. Conclusion Will the S&P follow the 2021 price action, resulting in a sustained downtrend, or will it reclaim all lost SMA levels and continue its uptrend? The price action suggests that there is a real possibility of weakness in the coming months.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Youriverse
7
ARB/USDT – The zone is interesting for starting accumulation.Arbitrum - is an Ethereum layer-two (L2) scaling solution. It uses optimistic rollups to achieve its goal of improving speed, scalability and cost-efficiency on Ethereum. Arbitrum benefits from the security and compatibility of Ethereum. Another benefit is the higher throughput and lower fees compared to Ethereum. That is made possible thanks to moving most of the computation and storage load off-chain. Arbitrum’s native token is called ARB and is used for governance. Offchain Labs, the developers behind Arbitrum, announced the shift to a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) structure — the Arbitrum DAO. ARB holders can vote on proposals that affect the features, protocol upgrades, funds allocation and election of a Security Council. CoinMarketCap : #51 The hyped-up Arbitrum! 😂 📉 January - February - March 2024: Bloggers trapped a huge number of people, and now we’re seeing a massive -87% decline! Looking at the main trend, a large descending channel is forming. The price is currently at the support of the inner channel, and if the market makes a final liquidity grab with a downward wick, the price could head toward the support of the outer channel, targeting a -30% drop. In my previous trading idea, I marked the 1.1552 zone, which is exactly where the price reversed. Everything is marked on the chart—the potential profit is very solid, especially for spot trading. The price will react strongly to the resistance zones of both the inner and outer channels. 🚀 These are the moments to watch for position accumulation—when no one is interested and belief in growth is dead, not when everyone is screaming "BUY NOW!" at local tops! *I will update the trading idea as the trend develops.
Long
by KECapital
1