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Technicalanalyst

EUR USD - trade updateHello Traders and Analysts, A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged long, due to purchasing further increments upon imbalances. Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities. Master Key for zones Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Orange = Daily Magenta = 8 Hour Grey = 4hour Pink = 1 hour See the original idea here: Updated idea here Euro USD monthly imbalances These zones have been highlighted due to the imbalance showing a strong pivotal reversion point where price has set a psychological level of 1.25 to be a structural level for the Euro against the Dollar. The monthly wicks also highlight a great opportunity where the imbalance is strongest within the wick zones around 1.235XX. Second to this, the monthly test occurring back in January 2021 created a lower high, informing to positional buyers that the sellers have taken over the monthly imbalance and have created a weekly imbalance zone where price will use as a discounted zone. Breakout traders will be looking for a quick scalp and also hedging traders will be in place here. Euro - Weekly imbalances The weekly and monthly imbalance are both here within the same zone, therefore the zone is marked with a monthly inefficiency zone. Looking at the weekly it is clear this zone is a strong imbalance zone where just like the USD JPY - the monthly zones have shown a great amount of respect. Subject to the weekly higher low which took place, the hammer signal here on the weekly indicates a great opportunity to understand that the sell off is beginning. EURO Daily and Weekly chart side by side Using the daily and weekly structure – the move was identified early – with reference to the price finding an inefficiency on the monthly time frame, referring to the high firstly at 1.254XX. Why will traders look to sell here? – It is a simple buy trap for retail traders and scalpers. Traders in the short term can win big and of course anything is possible in trading. The pattern which has clearly emerged though from my analysis shows I Price has placed a key weekly whipsaw effect from the initial formation of the price inefficiency. II The consequence of this pair being the most liquid is testing the previous imbalance upon the motion of a risk scenario where price becomes a controlled shift of price inefficiency. The monthly reference here shows four candles of interest whereby consecutive months have resulted in large wicks where price has created the imbalance required. snapshot US Bonds yield curve, accelerating the USD first U.S. bond yields gauging performance of the U.S. stock market, thereby reflecting the demand for the U.S. dollar in subsequence. Where investors move away from stocks and other high-risk investments, the new increased demand for “less-risky instruments” such as U.S. bonds and the safe-haven U.S. dollar pushes their prices higher against respective pairs. However, when it comes to the EUR USD - the Euro will show its weakness with the Remember: A rising bond yield is dollar appreciation. A falling bond yield is dollar devaluation snapshot Mirrors Edge EXY Vs DXY - looking here at the Euro Currency Index and the Dollar Currency Index, price has established some very defined levels - which have been marked in Purple - Refer to Master key for zone colours. With the impact of the DXY - the jaws are looking to close here, from a technical standpoint clear fresh movements are foreseeable with the probability of positional holds for Dollar buys and Euro sales based upon the chart. So long as price reverts back to a clear higher low formation on the EUR USD and respectively on the EXY with the DXY creating a defined point of higher lows, then the holds are clear to the imbalances stated. snapshot Correlation: USD CHF - Green Look closely on the weekly imbalances - where price has created two opportunistic weekly imbalances where profits will be taken . USD CHF will a an inverse trade, however taking this can double exposure so ensure one pair is traded here. snapshot Trade update: Probability for the next trade using the eight hour time frame. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 5+ years experience Focus on technical output not fundamentals Position and swing trades Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Short
by LupaCapital
1
USD/TRY Break uptrend? 10 cents by 2022? I am slowly getting into forex, Played with ti a little bit. When I went to turkey end of Jan exchange for tourists were still great but i went jan 31st and left feb 7th and When I got there it was around 1USD was 7.32 Turkish Lira. By the time I left (Feb 7th) it was nearing its bottom before the spike from from 6.92 to almost a full dollar more in less than a month to 1 USD $7.78! I see the power of FOREX and this will be the Next journey! Been doing some research. Lets go.. Money never stops!
Long
by ArmaanOG