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Will the Yen Recover or Will the USD Continue to Rise?Hello everyone, let’s join Alisa in predicting the USD/JPY currency pair! The Japanese Yen (JPY) is struggling to recover against the USD, hovering near its lowest level since July 30, due to uncertainty about the Bank of Japan’s interest rate policies and the prevailing risk environment. Additionally, rising US Treasury yields, especially after the return of Donald Trump, are limiting the JPY. The sharp drop in the Yen has prompted intervention from the Japanese government, providing some support. Meanwhile, the USD remains strong, close to its highest level in 4 months, fueled by optimism about growth and inflation, which is supporting the USD/JPY pair ahead of the Fed's policy decision later this week. Based on technical chart analysis, the support level at 151.49 is helping maintain the upward trend for the USD/JPY pair. While the pair faces resistance at 154.58, any pullback would likely be supported at the previous resistance level of 152.41, providing a foundation for a potential recovery. If USD/JPY breaks through the 154.58 resistance, it could target new higher levels. Given the current technical and fundamental factors, what do you think the next move for USD/JPY will be? Will the Yen recover, or will the USD continue to strengthen?
by Alisa_Rokosz
Gold stays strong amid the US election and Fed rate cuts.Early on Tuesday morning, the latest developments surrounding the U.S. presidential election showed that former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in each of the seven swing states, although the margin is very narrow. A survey by AtlasIntel revealed that Trump holds the widest margin in Arizona, with 52.3% compared to Harris's 45.8%. This update seems to have helped the U.S. dollar halt its decline, keeping gold prices in USD at a low level. Furthermore, expectations of a less aggressive easing cycle from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) have also supported the dollar. Personal opinion: Gold prices remain steady, fluctuating between $2,730 and $2,748, with no catalyst pushing them outside this range. While the RSI still indicates bullish momentum, buying pressure seems to be easing. For continued gains, gold buyers need to reclaim the key $2,750 level, which could lead to a target of $2,790. However, a daily close below $2,750 could signal further weakness. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2715 - 2713 SL: 2708 Sell Zone: 2747 - 2749 SL: 2754 Sell Zone: 2761 - 2763 SL: 2768
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
1
USD/JPY May Experience Slight DeclineIn Tuesday's Asian trading session, the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against the US Dollar (USD), moving away from the one-week high reached the previous day. However, the decline in JPY may be limited as traders remain cautious amid the uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election, coupled with expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates in December. At the same time, the ongoing "Trump deal" and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates later this week have led to a decline in US Treasury yields, narrowing the interest rate differential between the US and Japan. This weakens the demand for USD, providing support for JPY. Additionally, a weaker risk sentiment could favor the Yen and limit significant upside moves in the USD/JPY pair. With resistance at 152.337, the USD/JPY pair may struggle to maintain strong upward momentum. If the price fails to break above this level, the likelihood of a downward correction increases, with the nearest support levels at 151.500 and 151.000. However, if the Yen continues to face pressure from macroeconomic factors such as US election uncertainty or expectations surrounding the BoJ’s monetary policy, the USD/JPY pair may still test the 152.337 resistance again.
by Alisa_Rokosz
Gold rebounds ahead of U.S. elections, market cautious on Fed.Gold prices have halted their adjustment from the record high of $2,790 set on Friday, as the U.S. dollar faces strong selling pressure. The gap opened lower following the latest poll results regarding the U.S. elections, which showed Kamala Harris surpassing Donald Trump in Iowa, marking a significant shift. The presidential race between the two candidates is intensifying, with Americans set to vote on Tuesday. Additionally, U.S. Treasury yields are also declining due to market caution and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, which has supported non-yielding gold prices. Personal opinion: Gold prices are heavily influenced by the U.S. elections and the economic situation. Kamala Harris leading in the polls might make investors feel more optimistic. The drop in bond yields also indicates that people are looking for safe places to invest, increasing gold's appeal during this uncertain time. Pay attention to price levels: Buy zone: 2727 - 2725 SL: 2720 Sell Zone: 2747 - 2749 SL: 2754 Sell Zone: 2760 - 2762 SL: 2767
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
Stock Analysis: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) – October 30Technical Analysis and Price Targets Following AMD’s Q3 2024 earnings release on October 29, the stock is still positioned within a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential breakout. The updated earnings data, along with key technical indicators, provide a refined outlook on AMD’s likely price movement. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $170 could push the stock toward two main targets: Target 1: Around $186, aligning with previous resistance, would likely confirm buyer strength and signal renewed upward momentum. Target 2: Around $225.50, which would represent a multi-year high, indicating strong investor confidence in AMD’s growth potential within the AI and data center markets. Bearish Scenario: If AMD fails to hold support at $140, a breakdown could target lower levels: Target 1: Around $128.66, representing an initial support level that may signal sustained selling pressure. Target 2: Around $93.62, which would suggest a significant downtrend if broader tech market sentiment or sector-specific risks intensify. Key Technical Indicators Moving Averages: AMD’s 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day average, forming a “golden cross,” suggests a potential bullish trend. Confirmation, however, is needed through a breakout above resistance. RSI: The Relative Strength Index is at 43, suggesting neutral-to-slightly oversold conditions. This leaves room for a potential bullish move if positive sentiment gains traction. ADX: With an ADX of 17, the current trend lacks strong direction. A rising ADX following a breakout would confirm the strength of the next move. Q3 2024 Earnings Summary -AMD’s Q3 earnings exceeded Wall Street estimates, with revenue reaching $6.82 billion compared to the expected $6.71 billion​ SHACKNEWS -The revenue increase was largely driven by the data center segment, which recorded $3.5 billion in sales—a year-over-year growth of 122%​ MARKETBEAT -This performance highlights AMD’s successful expansion in high-growth areas, particularly with its EPYC server processors and products geared toward AI applications. Despite the strong earnings, AMD’s stock reaction was mixed. The stock rose by $6.33 during regular trading hours on October 29 but fell by over $10 in after-hours trading. This cautious response likely reflects broader market concerns, including rising interest rates, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical factors such as U.S.-China trade tensions that may impact supply chains and production costs for semiconductor companies​ Sector and Economic Context AMD’s data center success comes amid a semiconductor industry facing complex conditions. Demand for AI and high-performance computing continues to drive growth opportunities. However, recent U.S. restrictions on chip exports to China and efforts to relocate manufacturing to the U.S. add layers of uncertainty. While reshoring may benefit companies like AMD in the long term, it could also lead to near-term logistical challenges and added costs. Macro factors, including high interest rates and potential economic slowdowns, also pose risks to tech stocks. Growth stocks like AMD are often more sensitive to rate hikes, as higher borrowing costs reduce the appeal of future earnings. Investment Strategy For Bullish Traders: If AMD breaks above $170 with high volume, it could signal a buying opportunity, targeting $186 and potentially $225.50. Given the company’s recent performance in AI and data centers, such a move would reflect confidence in its strategic direction and growth potential. For Bearish Traders: A breakdown below $140 could indicate a bearish setup, targeting $128.66 initially, with a possible extension to $93.62 if selling pressure intensifies. This approach may be favorable for traders looking to capitalize on downside risks associated with economic uncertainty and sector-specific challenges. Long-Term Investors: Those with a long-term perspective may see AMD’s current price consolidation as an opportunity to accumulate shares at a reasonable price, especially given its strong positioning in AI and data center markets. A cautious, dollar-cost averaging approach could mitigate short-term volatility while taking advantage of AMD’s growth potential in the semiconductor industry. Conclusion AMD’s Q3 2024 earnings highlight the company’s strength in high-demand sectors, yet the stock’s mixed response indicates investor caution. The anticipated breakout from the current triangle pattern will be crucial in setting the next trend. As AMD navigates a rapidly evolving industry landscape, investors should stay vigilant for both technical signals and broader economic developments to inform their strategies.
NASDAQ:AMD
by alfredomares2019
Gold soared amid U.S. election instability and geopolitical riskSpot gold prices surpassed $2,770 on Wednesday as market participants sought safety ahead of significant data releases and the upcoming U.S. elections. The precious metal gained momentum before Wall Street opened, accelerating after the release of U.S. data. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose to 108.7 in October, up from 99.2 in September. The present situation index increased to 138.0, while the expectations index surged to 89.1, well above the 80 threshold that typically signals an impending recession. Personal opinion: XAU/USD has pulled back slightly from a new high but is still holding most of its gains for the day, trading around $2,766. The technical indicators on the daily chart still suggest that a further bullish trend could continue, indicating the possibility of another price increase in the near future. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2746 - 2744 SL: 2739 Buy Zone: 2760 - 2758 SL: 2753 Sell Zone: 2794 - 2796 SL: 2801
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
1
Gold prices slipped slightly this week amid strong USD demand.Gold prices (XAU/USD) faced pressure on Friday, erasing some of the previous gains due to USD buying amid a weaker dollar and expectations of less aggressive easing from the Fed. Positive sentiment in the stock market also reduced demand for gold. However, political uncertainty in the U.S. ahead of the November 5 presidential election, ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, and falling Treasury yields continued to support gold prices, leading to caution about whether XAU/USD has peaked. Personal opinion: The 2,640-2,645 range is becoming a strong barrier. If the price breaks above this level, the head and shoulders pattern will be invalidated, allowing gold to challenge the historical high around 2,658-2,659 that it reached earlier this week. If it continues to rise, XAU/USD could reach 2,770, which corresponds to the resistance level of the nearly four-month upward trend, before targeting the round number of 2,800. Attention to price range: Buy Zone: 2719 - 2717 SL: 2712 Sell Zone: 2748 - 2750 SL: 2755 Sell Zone: 2758 - 2760 SL: 2765
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
Gold needs to hit $2,740 to keep rising.Gold prices continued to rise in the Asian trading session on Friday, marking the second consecutive day of consolidation. Although it reached a record high of $2,759 on Wednesday, prices remained confined within a familiar range since the beginning of the week. The fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a less aggressive easing policy, along with uncertainties surrounding the presidential election and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, earnings reports from U.S. companies play a crucial role in shaping risk sentiment, which in turn affects the value of the U.S. dollar (USD) and gold prices. Personal opinion: To maintain a sustainable upward trend, surpassing the resistance level of $2,740 is really important. If successful, this will open up opportunities for gold buyers to continue targeting the psychological barrier of $2,750. If they can break through this level, the next goal will be the record high of $2,759. This indicates that the market is showing positive signs and could continue to grow, offering hope to investors. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2704 - 2702 SL: 2697 Buy Zone: 2713 - 2711 SL: 2706 Sell Zone: 2740 - 2742 SL: 2747
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
Gold prices edged up as U.S. yields fell and the dollar weakenedThe slight decline of the USD and U.S. Treasury yields may reflect stable market sentiment in Asia following a technology sell-off on Wall Street. U.S. stock futures rebounded as risk was re-established, thanks to strong earnings reports from Tesla Inc. Tesla reported adjusted earnings of 72 cents per share for the quarter, surpassing analysts' average estimates and ending a streak of four consecutive quarters of missed expectations. The company noted that the Cybertruck, delivered for the first time late last year, has started to turn a profit. Personal opinion: The price of gold is currently facing strong resistance at $2,723. This is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent record price increase, where the price rose from $2,604 on October 10 to an all-time high of $2,759. If it breaks above this level, buyers may find it easier to surpass the psychological barrier of $2,750. The next target will be the record high of $2,759. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2712 - 2710 SL: 2705 Sell Zone: 2759 - 2761 SL: 2766 Sell Scalp: 2736 - 2738 SL: 2743
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
1
Gold stays high despite rising U.S. yields and a stronger dollarGold prices (XAU/USD) reached a new record high on Wednesday, surpassing $2,750 in the European trading session. Risk-averse sentiment and the threat of escalating tensions in the Middle East have driven capital into the precious metal. Political instability in the U.S. and accommodative monetary policy have also supported gold prices. Despite the U.S. dollar rising to its highest level since early August, bullish sentiment remains strong. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates less and concerns about spending deficits following the presidential election have pushed U.S. Treasury yields to a three-month high, which could hinder further growth in XAU/USD amid light overbought conditions. Personal opinion: XAU/USD has faced resistance near the $2,750 level, followed by the $2,767 area, which is the upper boundary of a two-week upward channel. If this barrier is cleared, it’s likely that the price of gold will continue to grow. If that happens, we could see gold reaching the $2,800 mark. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2738 - 2736 SL: 2731 Buy Scalp: 2749 - 2747 SL: 2742 Sell Zone: 2767 - 2769 SL: 2774
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
Gold is rising back to $2,741 early Tuesday.The greenback has retreated from its highest level in nearly three months in Asian trading on Tuesday, as U.S. Treasury yields reinforced the previous price increase. The dollar's pause and rising yields have provided buyers with an opportunity after Monday's sharp drop from record highs. A moderate risk tone and uncertainty ahead of the U.S. presidential election have revived demand for gold as a safe haven. However, it's unclear whether gold prices will sustain their upward momentum and reach new record levels, especially as Chinese stocks show signs of recovery. Expectations for a less aggressive stance from the Fed may also limit the upward trend of this precious metal. Personal opinion: Gold prices are currently attempting to test the record high of $2,741. In this context, buyers are actively pushing back, trying to regain control of the market. The competition between buyers and sellers is intense, creating a lively atmosphere in gold trading. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2705 - 2703 SL: 2698 Buy Zone: 2716 - 2714 SL: 2709 Sell Zone: 2740 - 2742 SL: 2747 Sell Zone: 2750 - 2752 SL: 2757
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
Gold seems to be preparing for a correction from its record highThe US dollar (USD) maintains an adjustment regime, reflecting a decline in US Treasury yields. Chinese stocks have rebounded after the People's Bank of China (PBOC) lowered the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) from 3.35% to 3.10%. Although the market's initial reaction was not strong, there are still expectations for further stimulus measures from China. This optimism, combined with ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran, has supported gold prices. Personal opinion: The US dollar's adjustment regime reflects economic volatility. The PBOC's interest rate cut aims to boost China's growth, but the market's weak reaction shows caution due to geopolitical tensions, like those between Israel and Iran. This situation compels investors to tread carefully, especially with gold prices supported by these uncertainties. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2704 - 2702 SL: 2697 Buy Scalp: 2719 - 2717 SL: 2712 Sell Zone: 2748 - 2750 SL: 2755
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
1
The price of gold has reached an all-time high.Gold prices (XAU/USD) rose for the fourth straight day, surpassing $2,712 and reaching a new record high in Asian trading on Friday. Key factors include anticipated interest rate cuts from major central banks, tensions in the Middle East, and U.S. election uncertainties. Positive U.S. economic data on Thursday reinforced expectations for modest Fed rate cuts, boosting the dollar to its highest level since early August. Despite this, bullish sentiment around gold remains strong as prices trend upward this week. Personal opinion: The recent rise in gold prices is driven by geopolitical tensions and anticipated interest rate cuts, making it attractive for investors seeking a safe haven. It’s interesting to see how external events strongly influence the market. Gold seems well-positioned to continue attracting interest. Pay attention to the price range: Buy zone: 2690 - 2688 SL: 2683 Buy Scalp: 2702 - 2700 SL: 2695 Sell Zone: 2722 - 2724 SL: 2729
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
1
Gold is at a record high, and a rising USD may limit growth.Gold prices (XAU/USD) rose for the third consecutive day on Thursday, marking the sixth positive day in the last seven, as it tested an all-time high in Asian trading. Anticipated rate cuts from major central banks and geopolitical risks from the Middle East are driving interest in gold. Meanwhile, expectations of modest Fed rate cuts next year have kept the US dollar (USD) near its highest level since early August, limiting new bullish bets on gold. Traders are now focused on US macro data for momentum in the North American session. Personal opinion: Currently, there are positive signs that could push gold prices up to $2,700. If there are more buying transactions, this will create new momentum for optimistic traders, helping to extend the upward trend for several months. This outlook is further reinforced by the fact that daily chart fluctuations remain in the positive zone and are still far from being overbought. Pay attention to the price range: Buy zone: 2650 - 2652 SL: 2645 Buy zone: 2664 - 2666 SL: 2659 Sell zone: 2684 - 2686 SL: 2691 SELL ZONE: 2700
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
1
Gold reached a three-week high, capped by a rising dollar.Gold prices (XAU/USD) rose for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, reaching a three-week high around $2,677-$2,678 due to a downturn in the stock market and geopolitical risks. The flight to safety led to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields, supporting gold. However, expectations of less aggressive easing from the Federal Reserve and a strengthening U.S. Dollar may limit gold's upward momentum in the near term. Personal opinion: Any further price increases are likely to encounter resistance near the $2.685-$2.686 range or the all-time high reached in September. Following that is the round number of $2.700; a decisive breakout above this level would set the stage for a multi-month uptrend amid positive fluctuations on the daily chart. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2647 - 2645 SL: 2640 Buy Zone: 2660 - 2658 SL: 2653 Sell Zone: 2683 - 2685 SL: 2690
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
HSI significant pull back! FX:HKG33 Look at 1H chart movement together with the MACD & KDJ indicator, the histogram for MACD line & signal line is getting weaker (you can see both indicators curve seems lower than the previous wave). We should monitor. marked the time zone where the index turned bearish for the 1H chart. There was no re-entry position as trading in Asia time zone. The significant pull-back continues when market re-open here. It's 10% pull back this morning. Well, this is a good chance to look at for a better re-entry level. However, we should be cautious to avoid catching falling knives 🗡 what we see from the 1H chart MACD & KDJ both are on the downtrend level/bearish red zone. However, we can look at the support level at 21580. If the index stays above this level then the uptrend is still intact. Otherwise, we could expect a more significant pull-back (cross-check with longer tf chart 4H,8H). For shorter 1H tf swing trade check the 8H Chart for support/resistance level Find support level at 21500-21700 and resistance level 22000 -22300 It has been climbing too fast and taking a break now. Personal POV, prefer the movement slow and steady forming a stable staircase; more sustainable. Happy trading everyone! A pull-back is healthy for taking a breather.
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by ChenQianYu