TSLA: Continues to form a Cup and Handle reversal patternHey folks,
Just a quick analysis of NASDAQ:TSLA on the daily chart. Compared to my last analysis, price has fallen a bit since, as a new flag (handle) continues to form following a cup pattern.
- Cup and Handle pattern forming. The handle would also count as a bull flag. This is known as
a cup and handle reversal pattern, after a downtrend. So yes, it is possible for a stock to
reverse its trend through the formation of a cup and handle reversal pattern (as you can see
in the chart).
- Major resistance at $366 which marks the peak of the flag (handle) pattern. This would have
to be broken in order for the cup and handle to be valid.
- Volume has also been decreasing during the formation of this pattern: this is typical amongst
Cup and Handle patterns, and generally a positive sign.
Note: Not financial advice.
Technology
Is C3.ai the Quiet Giant of Enterprise AI?C3.ai (AI), an enterprise artificial intelligence software provider, has operated somewhat under the radar despite its foundational role in delivering advanced AI solutions to large organizations. While the broader AI market has seen significant attention on hardware innovators, C3.ai has steadily scaled its platform usage and secured marquee contracts. The company's core strength lies in its sophisticated, patented C3 Agentic AI platform, developed through a multi-billion-dollar investment, which effectively tackles critical business challenges such as AI hallucinations, data security, and multi-format data integration.
A pivotal development underscoring C3.ai's growing influence is the expanded contract with the U.S. Air Force Rapid Sustainment Office (RSO). This agreement significantly increased its ceiling to $450 million through 2029, supporting the widespread deployment of C3.ai's PANDA predictive maintenance platform across the Air Force fleet. This substantial commitment not only provides a robust, long-term revenue stream but also serves as a powerful validation of C3.ai's technology at an unprecedented scale, potentially representing the largest production AI deployment within the U.S. Department of Defense.
Financially, C3.ai demonstrates compelling momentum. The company recently reported record Q4 earnings, with revenue reaching $108.7 million, a 26% year-over-year increase, driven by strong growth in both subscription and engineering services. Strategic alliances with industry giants like Baker Hughes, Microsoft Azure, and Amazon Web Services continue to accelerate new deal flow and expand market access, shortening sales cycles and enhancing overall reach. While profitability remains a near-term focus, C3.ai's solid liquidity and projected revenue growth of 15%-25% for fiscal 2026, coupled with an average analyst price target suggesting significant upside, position it for a compelling ascent in the enterprise AI landscape.
META : Old Peak can be TestedMeta platform has lost altitude from the channel it has formed since 2023, but has gained momentum and re-entered the channel. The possibility of testing the old peak contains a good RR rate.Of course, with a stop-loss close to the 200-period moving average.( Risk/Reward Ratio : 2.48)
Stop-Loss: 605.47
Target : 740.10
NVIDIA 1D — When “Head & Shoulders” Aren’t Just for the GymOn the daily chart, NVDA has broken out of the descending channel and reclaimed the 50-day moving average (MA50), triggering a classic inverted head and shoulders formation. Price is now holding above the key $113–$114.50 zone, confirming a structural shift. As volume picks up, buyers are eyeing the next levels of resistance.
Near-term upside targets: – $119.80 (0.5 Fibonacci) – $127.62 (0.382) – $137.28 (0.236) — primary resistance zone – Extended target — $152.91 (1.0 Fibonacci projection)
Technical setup: — Breakout from channel + above MA50
— Inverted head and shoulders pattern completed
— $114.50–$118.00 now acts as buyer support
— EMA and MA convergence supports trend reversal
— Increasing volume on rallies supports bullish momentum
Fundamentals: NVIDIA remains the AI and semiconductor sector leader. Growing demand for high-performance GPUs in AI and data centers positions NVDA as a core tech play. Expectations of strong earnings and continued institutional accumulation support the bullish narrative.
The confirmed breakout and inverted H&S setup mark a clear structural reversal. As long as price stays above $114.50, the path toward $127–$137 remains the primary target zone, with $152.91 in sight if momentum continues.
What Fuels Microsoft's Unstoppable Rise?Microsoft Corporation consistently demonstrates its market leadership, evidenced by its substantial valuation and strategic maneuvers in the artificial intelligence sector. The company's proactive approach to AI, particularly through its Azure cloud platform, positions it as a central hub for innovation. Azure now hosts a diverse array of leading AI models, including xAI’s Grok, alongside offerings from OpenAI and other industry players. This inclusive strategy, driven by CEO Satya Nadella's vision, aims to establish Azure as the definitive platform for emerging AI technologies, offering robust Service Level Agreements and direct billing for hosted models.
Microsoft's AI integration extends deeply into its product ecosystem, significantly enhancing enterprise productivity and developer capabilities. GitHub's new AI coding agent streamlines software development by automating routine tasks, allowing programmers to focus on complex challenges. Furthermore, Microsoft Dataverse is evolving into a powerful, secure platform for AI agents, leveraging features like prompt columns and the Model Context Protocol (MCP) server to transform structured data into dynamic, queryable knowledge. The seamless integration of Dynamics 365 data within Microsoft 365 Copilot further unifies business intelligence, enabling users to access comprehensive insights without switching contexts.
Beyond its core software offerings, Microsoft's Azure cloud provides critical infrastructure for transformative projects in highly regulated sectors. The UK's Met Office, for instance, successfully transitioned its supercomputing operations to Azure, improving weather forecasting accuracy and advancing climate research. Similarly, Finnish startup Gosta Labs utilizes Azure's secure and compliant environment to develop AI solutions that automate patient record-keeping, significantly reducing administrative burdens in healthcare. These strategic partnerships and technological advancements underscore Microsoft's foundational role in driving innovation across diverse industries, cementing its position as a dominant force in the global technology landscape.
DELL looks good for pump dailyI'm watching DELL for a breakout of the trendline and a cross above the 100 MA — targeting a move toward 108.22, followed by a retest of the breakout and further upside targets at 123.31 and 147.74.
Fundamentally, the company looks strong, and the next earnings report is expected on May 29.
If you like the analysis, hit that rocket 🚀
Axon's Ascent: More Than Meets the Eye?Axon Enterprise, a leader in public safety technology, anticipates a robust first quarter for 2025, with analysts projecting significant increases in revenue and earnings per share. This optimistic outlook builds upon the company's consistent track record of exceeding market expectations in previous quarters. Driving this performance are strong fundamentals, including sustained demand for core TASER products and cartridges, alongside substantial growth in the Software & Sensors division, fueled by expanding user networks, increased adoption of cloud services, and the successful launch of new hardware like the Axon Body 4 camera.
The company actively pursues strategic expansion, entering into key partnerships with entities such as Skydio for drone technology and Ring for community safety integrations. Recent acquisitions, including Dedrone for airspace security, further bolster Axon's comprehensive ecosystem, which is designed to enhance real-time public safety operations. These collaborations and acquisitions, coupled with the introduction of advanced AI-powered tools like Axon Assistant and Draft One, demonstrate Axon's commitment to innovation and its ability to capture new market opportunities, positioning it as a forward-thinking player in the sector.
Investor confidence remains high, evidenced by significant holdings from institutional investors and predominantly positive ratings from Wall Street analysts. This financial backing reflects belief in Axon's growth strategy and its improving profitability profile. While some fringe discussions have attempted to link Axon's trajectory to unrelated societal issues, the company's growth is demonstrably rooted in technological advancement, strategic business development, and meeting the evolving demands of public safety agencies globally. Axon's focus on responsible innovation and building integrated solutions underscores its genuine business drivers.
Is Europe's Decline Grounding Airbus's Ascent?Europe's economic situation presents a complex picture of modest growth juxtaposed with significant challenges, creating uncertainty for major players like Airbus. In 2024, the European Union's GDP growth was projected to be below 1%, with only a slight acceleration anticipated for 2025. This sluggish economic expansion, when coupled with persistent inflation and ongoing geopolitical tensions, lays an unstable foundation for sustained economic prosperity.
The cohesion of the European Union itself is increasingly in question, influenced by the rise of nationalist sentiments and the potential for increased trade protectionism. The EU faces structural challenges, including economic disparities, political divisions, and growing Euroscepticism, which could precipitate its disintegration. Should this occur, individual countries would be forced to navigate complex economic and geopolitical landscapes independently, generating significant implications for multinational corporations like Airbus.
Concurrently, Airbus is navigating a highly competitive environment, most notably with its enduring rivalry with Boeing, which is actively seeking to overcome its recent operational and reputational hurdles. While Airbus has recently secured a larger market share, Boeing's inherent resilience, combined with the potential entry of new competitors, may challenge Airbus's current market dominance.
To sustain its competitive edge, Airbus must not only effectively manage the economic uncertainties and potential fragmentation within Europe but also maintain its commitment to technological innovation and efficient production. The company's ability to nimbly adapt to these multifaceted challenges will be crucial in determining its long-term success and continued leadership in the global aerospace industry.
QQQ - Your guess is as good as mineMarkets are all over the place. I know ground breaking info. I don't think there is any clear answer to what is next.
Even if Trump does reduce tariffs on China, they are still going to be some of the highest in recent history. However, it looks like Trump has flinched and China has the upper hand. That is just likely going to make Trump more erratic since his policies are emotional/ego driven and not strategic.
Overall, there are likely some short-term gains to be have as the market likes to always push up when not in an panic sell. For now, the worst of the news is over and the low from the other week is likely going to be the bottom for the near future. I expect stock to continue this up and down until the tariffs work there way through the system and we see the true effect on the economy.
We punched above the 20 day SMA yesterday and will likely test it for support today and tomorrow. If it holds, I wouldn't be surprised to see prices test the 200 day. Hard to know what crazy stuff Trump will do over the weekend, so we will have to see. Good luck and enjoy the ride.
TSLA Weekly Chart Analysis-Bearish Scenario. NFATSLA Weekly Chart Analysis-Bearish Scenario. NFA
-Weekly structure making bearish rising wedge
-This week's candle closed below 200Days SMA and also EMA9/21 cross down on weekly.
-Price rejected from weekly resistance zone(Red iFVG-W rectangle)
- if market continues to drop next week I am expecting Sellside($138ish) as next target
BULLISH RSI DIVERGENCE ON NINTENDO? SWITCH 2 RELEASE DATE BELOW!Nintendo (NTDOY), the Kyoto based home entertainment company known for games like Mario, recently announced the release date of its new video game console: the Nintendo Switch 2. According to Nintendo they hope to have the system released by June 5th 2025 for customers. A bullish divergence has formed on the 1 hour chart. Will this provide investors with a bullish opportunity, or will Trump Tariff's keep this stock's costs from rising?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
$AMD position trade idea LONG TERM weekly/monthlyNASDAQ:AMD has been weak for awhile on the weekly chart, but nothing lasts forever. This is a long position trade idea I have for myself, with the thesis that, long term, NASDAQ:AMD is reaching for $360ish over the next couple of years, based on fib projections from back when the bull market started years ago.
NASDAQ:AMD briefly touched a premium zone months ago (red shaded area), and with the current weakness NASDAQ:AMD has been pulling back and just reached a short term discount zone around $109 (green shaded area). My expectation is that NASDAQ:AMD might drop a bit more into this zone, perhaps sweep under the lows at $93.12, reach a couple of projected targets for the short interest (that I have marked in red and orange lines), and then find support and bounce aggressively from there.
This is all based on a pattern I frequently see where when a chart reaches the premium zone near the end of a move, it often pauses just shy of the target and feigns a reversal, falling back into the short term discount zone, often sweeping a low, and then aggressively pushing for the target that was intended all along. This serves to wash out any short term holders and deny them the full target, while offering good prices to the long term holders to reaccumulate before reaching their target.
Seek professional investment advice elsewhere, this is not trading or investment advice, this is my own observations and how I intend to approach NASDAQ:AMD in this current price area. I will not be blindly buying anything and I always manage my risk in case I'm wrong.
WILL APPLE (AAPL) BREAK SUPPORT ON 1 HOUR CHART? CRASH INCOMING?The California based AAPL is down nearly -18% since March. It appears to be approaching some key support trend lines. Will the support prices hold for this tech giant? Are Trump Tariff's fueling a sell off?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
BULLISH RSI DIVERGENCE ON REZOLVE AI (RZLV) 1D CHARTA bullish RSI divergence appeared to gather more strength on the 1 hour chart today. This could possibly signal a bullish up trend. The London based company provides AI solutions for commerce. Rezolve recently closed an acquisition of GroupBy, an ECommerce company, and has recently been featured favorably in articles by Nasdaq and others.
The Collaborative Edge: Pfizer's Innovation Secret? Pfizer's success in the biopharmaceutical industry hinges on its internal capabilities and a strategic embrace of external collaboration. This proactive approach, spanning diverse technological frontiers, fuels innovation across its operations. From partnering with QuantumBasel and D-Wave to optimize production planning using quantum annealing, to collaborating with XtalPi to revolutionize drug discovery through AI-powered crystal structure prediction, Pfizer demonstrates the tangible benefits of cross-industry partnerships. These initiatives showcase a commitment to exploring cutting-edge technologies to enhance efficiency and accelerate the identification of promising drug candidates, ultimately improving patient outcomes and strengthening Pfizer's competitive position.
The article highlights specific examples of Pfizer's collaborative endeavors. The Pfizer Healthcare Hub in Freiburg acts as a catalyst, connecting internal needs with external innovation. The successful proof of technology in production planning using quantum annealing resulted in significant time and resource savings. Furthermore, the partnership with XtalPi has dramatically reduced the timeframe for determining the 3-D structure of potential drug molecules, enabling faster and more efficient drug screening. These collaborations exemplify Pfizer's strategic focus on leveraging specialized expertise and advanced technologies from external partners to overcome complex challenges in the pharmaceutical value chain.
Beyond these specific projects, Pfizer actively engages with the broader quantum computing landscape, recognizing its transformative potential for drug design, clinical studies, and personalized medicine. Collaborations with technology giants like IBM and fellow pharmaceutical companies underscore the industry-wide interest in harnessing the power of quantum computing. While the technology is still in its early stages, Pfizer's proactive participation in this collaborative ecosystem positions it at the forefront of future healthcare breakthroughs. This commitment to synergy, from basic research to market research, underscores a fundamental belief in the power of working together to drive meaningful advancements in the pharmaceutical industry.
TESLA is up 47X vs the SPX. Can it do another 6.9X?An extraordinary unicorn enterprise, or a collection of companies and intellectual properties, led by the most prominent CEO in the history of public companies.
TESLA and ELON are impossible to overlook, and this chart has kept many observers on the sidelines for over 14 years. In the initial 6 to 9 years, Wall Street analysts and commentators failed to grasp the bigger picture, focusing excessively on the balance sheet and evaluating the company merely as an automaker. They completely missed the groundbreaking technologies being developed and advanced.
Today, we stand on the brink of fully autonomous vehicles becoming commonplace, artificial intelligence integrating into our everyday lives, and affordable space exploration becoming a reality, not to mention the myriad of other innovative technologies emerging from this remarkable company.
Individuals often enjoy predicting market peaks and labeling stocks as overvalued.
However, this chart comparing Tesla to the S&P 500 indicates that the stock may be gearing up for another surge to new heights.
Picture 10 million robotaxis cruising through our streets.
Envision a fleet of vehicles that not only generates income but also undergoes upgrade cycles, in contrast to traditional cars that face maintenance cycles, and are bogged down by Human operator's.
This development is poised to significantly transform the self-hailing ride-sharing market and the food delivery sector, potentially eliminating the role of human drivers.
In fact, Uber could very well become Tesla's largest client!
TESLA formed the new bottom and is going for $600.Tesla / TSLA is on the 2nd straight green 1week candle, crossing above the 1week MA50.
With the 1week RSI bouncing on the 2 year Rising Support, the Channel Up has technically formed its new bottom.
Both the current and the previous one were formed on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level after a -55% decline.
If the bullish wave is also as similar as the bearish waves have been, the price should reach as high as the -0.382 Fib extension.
Buy and target the top of the Channel Up at $600.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Eyes Off the Road, But On the Prize?While Tesla often dominates the autonomous driving narrative, the reality is far more nuanced. This article posits that Mobileye, with its recent significant collaboration with Volkswagen, stands as the only true competitor in this high-stakes technological race. Volkswagen's decision to integrate Mobileye's advanced camera, radar, and mapping technologies into its high-volume models underscores a growing industry trend: established automakers are increasingly relying on specialized technology providers to navigate the complexities of assisted and autonomous driving. This partnership not only validates Mobileye's technological prowess but also signals a potential shift in the autonomous driving landscape, moving beyond Tesla's proprietary approach.
Mobileye's strategic advantage lies in its comprehensive suite of technologies, notably the Surround ADAS platform powered by the EyeQ™6 High processor. This vertically integrated solution delivers sophisticated Level 2+ capabilities, including hands-free driving in specific conditions, and is designed for scalability across mass-market vehicles. Complementing this is Mobileye's innovative Road Experience Management™ (REM™) technology, a crowdsourced mapping system that leverages data from millions of vehicles to create and maintain high-definition maps globally. This approach offers near real-time updates and superior local accuracy, providing a critical foundation for future autonomous capabilities and contrasting with Tesla's reliance on its fleet data.
The fundamental difference in business models further distinguishes the two companies. Mobileye operates as a technology supplier, forging partnerships with over 50 automakers and integrating its solutions into numerous vehicle models. This strategy allows for a diverse and expansive collection of real-world driving data. In contrast, Tesla's vertically integrated model confines its autonomous driving technology primarily to its vehicles, potentially limiting its market reach and the breadth of its data acquisition. While Tesla champions an in-house approach, Mobileye's collaborative strategy positions it as a key enabler for the wider automotive industry's autonomous transition.
Ultimately, Mobileye's current focus on delivering robust and scalable Level 2+ systems, exemplified by the Volkswagen partnership, reflects a pragmatic evolution towards full autonomy. Coupled with positive analyst outlooks and a solid financial foundation, Mobileye is not just a contender but the most significant challenger to Tesla's autonomous driving ambitions, offering a compelling alternative path in the pursuit of a driverless future.
Meta Platforms (META): A Leading Force in AIKey Supporting Arguments
Deploying AI tools enhances user engagement, drives up ad revenue, and strengthens Meta’s profit margins.
Meta's in-house development of AI chips is poised to lower capital outlays associated with purchasing Nvidia chips and diminish the costs involved in developing proprietary AI models.
Meta's stock has approached a support level, suggesting a potential reversal in its price trajectory.
Investment Thesis
Meta Platforms (META) stands as one of the world’s largest technology companies, specializing in social media, digital advertising, and AI development. It owns major platforms like Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger, which together engage over 3.3 billion users daily. While advertising remains its primary revenue stream, the company is strategically investing in emerging areas such as generative AI and augmented reality.
Continued Commitment to AI Development as a Key Growth Driver. Meta is strategically channeling investments into AI, spearheading the development of open-source Llama models and deploying generative content across its social platforms. These advancements are anticipated to enhance targeting precision and bolster user engagement, subsequently driving a surge in advertising revenue. In 2025, the company intends to allocate up to $65 billion toward AI infrastructure, reinforcing its leadership stature in the competitive AI market.
Focus on Proprietary AI Chips to Lower Capital Costs and Enhance AI Model Development. Meta has initiated trials of its proprietary AI training chip, marking a significant move toward minimizing reliance on suppliers like Nvidia. This new chip is tailored for specific AI tasks, offering enhanced energy efficiency over conventional graphics processing units. By developing its own chips, the company stands to lower expenses and potentially capitalize on the burgeoning demand for AI processing by selling surplus capacity.
Stock May See a Rebound from Current Levels. Following the market correction triggered by concerns over a deteriorating macroeconomic landscape in the United States, the company's share price is stabilizing around the $600 mark. We anticipate that this threshold may establish itself as a significant support level, potentially serving as a springboard for the shares to rebound and continue their upward trajectory. Furthermore, the relatively modest forward P/E ratios, approximately 21-23x, underscore the oversold condition of Meta shares and suggest a possible reversal.
Our price target for META over a 2-month horizon is $685, accompanied by a "Buy" recommendation. We advise setting a stop-loss at $530.
18 Times, +2000%, 5800 Days - All About NASDAQ100 Corrections!Hi, all!
I need to repost some of my recent ideas on TradingView due to issues with the platform's moderation. Let's start! The most up-to-date post is coming right away - one that serves as a timely reminder during these interesting times: never forget history.
From November 2008 to February 2025, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index has grown by over 2000%! Yes, that’s a 20x increase! This tech giant, made up of the 100 leading technology stocks, has shown impressive strength.
For comparison, the S&P 500 has risen about 820% in the same period. A great performance but Nasdaq 100 leaves it far behind.
Has this been a straight-line rise? Not really. Looking back, it may seem like the perfect investment. But the road was not smooth. Nasdaq 100’s success came with painful drops, investor panic, and moments when it felt like the market would never recover.
From the outside, everything looks great. But would you sit through a 30% drop, while the news is screaming about the "end of the world"?
So, I decided to analyze every correction of 10% or more since the market bottom in 2008.
- How long do corrections and recoveries last?
- How often do they happen?
- What should investors know?
- Can this help you in any way?
DATA ANALYSIS - 18 corrections in Nasdaq 100 (2008–2025), -10% or more.
Retracement Stats:
- Average drop: -15%
- Median drop: -13%
- Biggest drop: -37.72%
- Smallest drop: -10%
Correction Length (17 completed corrections): How many days does a correction last from the peak to the bottom?
- Average: 60 days
- Median: 35 days
- Longest: 325 days
- Shortest: 14 days
Recovery Time: From bottom back to new highs.
- Average: 165 days (~5.5 months)
- Median: 119 days (~4 months)
- Longest: 752 days (over 2 years)
- Shortest: 42 days (~1.5 months)
Correction Frequency
If we take a rough estimate, in 5800 days, there were 18 corrections, which means a correction happens every 322 days (~10.5 months) on average.
Total Time Spent in Corrections vs. Rising Markets
- Corrections lasted 1016 days
- Recoveries lasted 2801 days
- Total time spent in "work mode": 3817 days
- Total "smooth uptrend" days: 1983 days (~5.4 years)
Basically, like a hardworking employee – the market spends more time struggling than rising!
What Can Investors Learn from This?
1. Accept Volatility
Knowing that market swings are normal, investors can keep a long-term perspective and avoid panic-selling during downturns.
2. Nasdaq 100 Has Always Recovered
In the long run, Nasdaq 100 has always bounced back to new highs. Each recovery has been different, but so far, making new all-time highs has never been a problem.
3. Make Better Decisions
Understanding psychological biases helps investors make rational choices and manage risks better.
4. Market Drops = Opportunities, Not Threats
Most big market rallies started when most investors were too scared to buy.
"A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." – Warren Buffett
Market drops always feel unique and scary but history shows they follow repeating patterns. And those who keep their emotions in check have the best opportunities.
"The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." – Baron Rothschild
Final Thoughts: Is the current retracement a buying opportunity? No one knows for sure but history suggests - stay calm!
So, that's all. Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀
Have great day,
Vaido
💬 Before you leave... What’s your take on the current Nasdaq 100 correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
Nextdoor Holdings | NEXT | Long at $1.75If you have ever been on Nextdoor NYSE:KIND , then you are aware of how many people are addicted to local news, drama, and crime watching. Add AI to this mix, and I only see growth with this company (if the company manages it correctly). While other social media platforms like X, Meta NASDAQ:META , Rumble NASDAQ:RUM , Reddit NYSE:RDDT , etc are focused on world news and drama, the niche with NYSE:KIND is unique. User growth will mean everything in the long-term (Q4, 2024 - total weekly active users was 45.9 million, which was an increase of 10% year-over-year).
I was hoping to enter after the most recent earnings call since I anticipated a major drop to close the large price gap below $2.00 (the company is developing the "Next" platform to enhance user growth and revenue (anticipated release is mid-2025) which will hit earnings). Maybe this platform will be a dud since the company has been hush about it, but it least shows a plan for growth and engagement.
At $2.75, NYSE:KIND is in a personal buy-zone. I'm prepared for a bumpy ride... the $1 zone or under isn't out of question - reason this is a "starter" position.
Targets:
$2.00
$2.25
$2.45