Oracle: Sweet Temptation 🔥Oracle is moving dangerously close to the resistance line at $85.58, which would activate our alternative scenario. In that case, the stock would rise further into the green target zone between $85.45 and $92.50 to finish off the grey wave alt.I before sinking back into a correction. Primarily, we expect the course to drop into the green target zone between $72.66 and $63.46 to complete the grey wave II. After completion, we predict Oracle heading North in the longterm.
Technology
NASDAQ trend lines to watch in the new yearIt is important to step back and look at the big picture sometimes. The NASDAQ is testing the support of the green channel. May see a bounce here, but I think it is more likely that it tests the top of the blue channel in the coming month. Maybe more importantly the black trend line (around 9,500-10,000) looks like a good place to bottom in the near term. Let's hope that holds, else the blue channel center line is next support if dot com crash is anything to go by.
Weekly
Daily
Coal = Gold 3.0 - The New Paradigm Breakoutor this may be a 2B double top extension. (see Bitcoin Nov-2021 2B top, or see Gold-ounce double top from Ukraine tensions in Spring 2022)
I think that the coal new paradigm pump is a sell the news event, energy supply tensions are easing and in the USA the domestic stress of a Rail Workers Union strike will be resolved within weeks.
Strong Supply flows will dampen the heightened speculation about Coal companies going up forever (with their notably favorable P/E and P/FCF rates)
"Years ago, I recognized my kinship with all living things, and I made up my mind that I was not one bit better than the meanest on earth... While there is a lower class, I am in it, while there is a criminal element, I am of it, and while there is a soul in prison, I am not free..."
Is Apple about to be 'bitten'?Apple is one of the companies whose stock price is overvalued, and the company is facing several severe issues:
1. Big tech layoffs. If US tech is doing quite poorly and companies are laying off people, they probably won't buy new equipment or software. The fired tech workers probably won't be buying stuff for themselves either, and neither will those that see their colleagues fired.
2. Apple's production in China faces significant problems due to lockdowns or because the 'employees' are revolting. These disruptions hurt the reliability of Apple, as well as its image. Unfortunately, many employees are working and living in awful conditions, which is being exposed. Many ESG funds that hold Apple could end up having to dump their shares based on these concerns.
3. Some US politicians are increasingly worried about the connections between Apple and the CCP. With Apple 'threatening' to remove Twitter from its Appstore while supporting the CCP in an era where tensions between US and China aren't great, we could see Apple face more pressure to move away from China. That could increase their costs significantly while also disrupting production even further.
4. As retail consumers are affected by inflation and high-interest rates, they will spend less on buying new stuff, and many devices/apps aren't necessary. At the same time, Apple has been raising its prices due to increased costs (of production), which might further incentivize customers not to purchase their products/services. As if these weren't enough, some of its new products aren't that much of an upgrade to the previous versions.
5. As the world is moving closer toward open source and open technologies/marketplaces, the 30% tax on the Apple app store looks worse and worse by the day. Based on the above, the free market and politicians in the US might try to break Apple's monopoly, which could initially lower its revenue.
6. Current Apple valuation is 3.4x that of the entire crypto market (stablecoins excluded). This is just too large.
AAPL is trading below all its major moving averages, has broken its old uptrend, and has plenty of room to move down toward that major gap at 96$. Most major US companies have fallen more than 30% and have filled many significant gaps, yet Apple has not. Therefore it is possible to see the stock price go down to those levels in the next few months.
SQQQ Simple Chart AnalysisSQQQ - For those who don't have short play in your trading platform, you may actually consider this SQQQ to long. As long Nasdaq continue to fall, this chart will rise. Is a vice versa kind of chart.
- If Nasdaq fail to rebound strongly today at support, individual may consider this to long.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
Could NASDAQ fall 20% more by end of January?Here are my core channels and trendlines. NASDAQ looks to be losing support of the blue channel. If so, I see 2 support trend lines: green line around 9500 and the red line around 8750. If we see the same abc correction wave from earlier this year, that will put us right at 8750 and the red trend line.
iQIYI - an odd ball pending breakoutJust happened to screen and find that iQIYI appears to have had a recent good run and the short term weekly TDST has been broken out of, closing above with two more weeks to end the TD Setup.
Technical indicators are bullish, MACD is post-bullish divergence indication.
On a weekly scale, the yellow box is the range, from 2-5, being near the resistance currently.
Anything near 3.6-4.0 appears to be a good deal. Else, a breakout is likely to see 8-10.
Interesting odds for an odd ball...
Anyone else have (fundamental) comments or views on iQIYI ?
Please do share...
The Little Engine that Could--$RVSN Steadily Tracks UpwardsRailvision (NASDAQ: RVSN) is a machine vision company developing sensor and camera technology for use on trains and railway infrastructure. Like Mobileye (MBLY), RVSN was established in Israel, which is recognized as a global hub for autonomous vehicle and computer vision R&D. I added this ticker to my watchlist after seeing a November PR about a board change, and realized that KBX, a German-based railway manufacturing giant, is a strategic investor with ~35% stake in RVSN and significant sway on the board. So I took a closer look under the hood and am intrigued.
First a bit about RVSN; the company went public in March '22 and witnessed a steady slide in share price through October/November, where it bottomed out around $0.45. However since November 16th, price action has been consistently tracking an ascending support and has already bounced off numerous times, as the chart depicts. Since its November low, RVSN is up >100% albeit on low volume, suggesting a quiet accumulation of shares somewhere. Notwithstanding a dip over the past few days, RVSN is trading above said support, above its 20/50/100 SMAs, and MACD remains in the green.
The only two catalysts I was able to identify as potentially playing a role in this lowkey +100% run was a board swap-out on November 26th and Q3 financials released on December 6th. Neither intraday trading nor an uptick in volume really indicate that these NRs directly caused the recent gains.
So what's behind the triple-digit monthly percentage gains? Well, they finished a first POC of their autonomous rail tech in Australia with Rio Tinto (RIO), a global mining giant, that may be contributing to an uptick in demand. Things look quiet on the retail side, and institutional involvement seems pretty minimal at this stage. RVSN is still largely pre-revenue, so the promise of dividends or earnings aren't really in play either.
Regardless the source, RVSN has seen an impressive bounce back over the past month as NASDAQ and other equity markets continue to bleed. Judging by the MBLY IPO, there's robust demand behind machine vision tech and applications, not to mention the mega-potential for redevelopment of crumbling global railroad infrastructure. We're unlikely to see any big moves before the New Year so for now I'll be waiting and watching to see if RVSN continues this climb, and into 2023 will really start considering establishing at least a starter position.
NASDAQ MORE DOWNSIDE!I still see downside in 2023, the chart is showing a similar pattern to the DOTCOM BUBBLE.
I just see bear market rallies and some considerable time until we see a major trend reversal.
We have just finished the 2nd BUBBLE which was led by the creation of BITCOIN which was born out of the Financial Crash in 2008. The age of low interest rates are also over and the time of making easy money is over.
This is just for my own trading journey and pure speculation, if you enjoy please like and comment below.
Thanks
Intuit: Skyfall 🪂You better not be afraid of heights, since Intuit is dropping rapidly and we're expecting the course to sink all the way below the $339.36-mark to finish the green wave ideally around the $303.29-mark, before turning the trend back up. In case the stock refuses to sink into a correction and crosses the resistance line at $441.98, our alternative scenario will be activated.
Technology Simple Chart AnalysisTechnology Index - A reset button would be an ideally the strategy for the month cause Feds had just shut down a 2022 Christmas Rally unless there is a miracle from Santa. If individual have any tech sector holdings, you may want to look at a lower price cause these double top here will boost the bear strength to slump further until a strong support can be found.
MI Simple Chart AnalysisI bought back MI to trade for a positive CPI data ahead.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
Frontkn Simple Chart AnalysisI bought back recently to trade for a positive CPI data ahead.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
VIX Simple Chart AnalysisVIX - Quite worry on this VIX double bottom here cause it will rebound higher if CPI is bad. Coming CPI forecast at 7.3% might be little too over confident as previous is only 7.7%. If is below 7.3% definitely a Christmas rally will spark off. Let's pray for this.
How about the audience thoughts? Free to comment & share.
Technology Index Simple Chart AnalysisTechnology index - More or less, we need to respect the main klse tech index also. If this area break, tech sector will continue its run. That's the reason I take profit most of my tech sector today & wait for another round.
Prove of selling source that I am earning Rm200k = USD45k can visit my link in my signature.
Winners and Losers in NASDAQ's November RallyIts been a poor year for American equity markets, and this is especially true for the tech-heavy NASDAQ exchange. For most of 2022, NASDAQ has been down double-digits, featuring a November 3rd bottom where the exchange was trading down nearly 40% YTD. That said, there has been some relief for tech watchers over the course of November as indications begin to emerge that the macroeconomic climate is shifting in a slightly more optimistic direction. Last week, Jerome Powell indicated a slowdown in rate hikes, with the next bump up to be 50 as opposed to 75 base points. A stabilization of the fluid situation in China, as well as initial signals that inflation is cooling down all contributed to a modest comeback for NASDAQ in recent weeks.
Directing our attention to the chart, I've taken a few of my blue chip tech holdings and measured their performance against the broader market trend. The big picture is that most of the companies are in the green over the past month--IBM, which was +8%, led the charge as this darling US computing stock continues a mult-month uptrend. The LVP of November was CRWD, which shed ~20% of its SP on November 30th following disappointing Q3 financials.
Mid-range gainers include RDWR (+5%), CHKP (+4%), INTC (+3%), and HUB.TA (+2%). One factor I cite as contributing to these gains is the US current prioritization of subsidizing the computing/cyber industry while it works to secure global supply lines and manufacturing hubs. US chip and cyber players, after a significant bout of Q2 volatility, are regaining their footing and beginning to witness gains. Another dark horse to keep an eye on is HUB.TA, which is in the final stages of a SPAC listing (RNER) for a likely Q1 '23 NASDAQ listing and simultaneous TASE delisting. Though I'm not holding onto much these days, PANW also had a very bullish November and is trading up some 15% from its YTD bottom on November 3rd.
In sum, despite the overall gloomy mood most equity investors have been in recently, there are still abundant opportunities for gains in the current NASDAQ/tech rally. Though I think we're yet to yet the bottom (eyes on Q1/2 '23), there are still bullish plays for the discerning trader. DYOR, this is not financial advice.
The Santa Rally Continues - Don't get stuck in Perma-Bear modeFar too many people got burned over the past 24 hours by betting the FARM on the Fed coming out Hawkish.
I was chatting with a guy on Twitter last week about his call for a deep selling phase (possibly reaching COVID lows) in the US markets. His followers got burned by today's move (some really badly).
You have to shift with the market trends and prepare for the unexpected.
My research kept my followers away from risks and has been pointing towards a Wave-5 rally setting up in the US markets for many months.
I use my Custom Indexes to get a better "feel" for how the markets are reacting to various inputs/outcomes.
My Rotational Modeling system has been cautious for more than 14+ months - off only -6% for 2022. Many other Hedge funds are off by at much as -40% to -60%.
Days like today, if you were lucky enough to survive them, will teach you a few lessons...
Don't get married to a trend
Protect capital at all times
READ THE DATA - not the emotions
Price can fool you - so protect your position.
Follow my research.. Or, at least, check out my content before you decide to place your trade.
Check out my SPY Cycle Pattern posts. Ask questions if you have them.
This move isn't over yet.