my view on the (tech) marketI still don't think it is over and it can get very bloody. There are a lot of companies affected by the still not perfect again working supply chain on one side and decreasing demand because of cost of living. This will affect the whole hardware and software industrie IMO, even cloud and advertisers (will happen later) and we can alright read that some manufacturers of consumer products have full stocks (graphic card manufacturers for example which get supplied by NV). I think this can take up to one year before we see this everywhere in the tech market. This little dip does not reflect the real impact. Just my point of view, no financial advice.
Technology
NASDAQ about ready to breakoutAn interesting week went by, one with ups and downs and all around. The week ended with a long lower tail in the weekly candlestick. This we know, indicates bullishness. The daily chart shows how this came about, with a doji on Wednesday, and then a higher low retest followed by a nice uptick on Friday. These moves bounced off a support level, as well as clock in a second higher low (after technical bounce was expected previously). The weekly technical indicators crossed up recently, and the daily technical indicators show mild bullish build in the MACD, and less so in the RPM.
Taken together, it appears that a bullish break out is imminent for the coming week. If this happens, then we are looking at a higher probability for July to close higher at about 13,500.
Watch the next few days, it should show hand...
VSBLTY Groupe VSBGF Continues Growing$VSBGF recently took a dip, not only because of the broader "risk-off" environment and economic headwinds... recently announcing 16.7 million shares at a $0.30 offering with a warrant for additional purchase of common stock at $0.50 as well as private sale of 10 mil units for $3 million USD.
Market response was bearish, on the surface this is seemingly bad as shareholders are diluted... however, peeling back the layers reveals Jay (CEO) and team are continuing to land big partnerships and agreements in the retail space.
DYOR and you'll find tremendous building tailwinds and a company delivering against a bullish impermanent plan and a very bright future.
Their tech is innovative and a significant value add to the market. Don't lose sight of what they're doing and don't fall asleep as the delivery begins yielding more revenue and in short order, profits.
Taiwanese Semiconductors: Piercing Line Visible on the WeeklyWe have a Textbook Confirmed Piercing Line Visible on the Weekly on the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company I was made aware of this a few days ago but opted to wait for the earnings report before taking action. We got a positive report so I am now taking action and my Bullish Target for TSMC will be around $100-$110 to fill the Gap Visible on the Daily Timeframe.
AGIX 34 FIB = A 481X :O- As you can see everyone, AGIX is sitting at: £0.03298
- 34 FIB extension has been hit on many crypto projects!
- $19 - £15.98
- £15.98 DIVIDED BY £0.03298 = 481
- So basically for every £100 you invest you could make back £48,100
- For every £200 you invest you could make back £96,200
- NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! - PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH :)
Novavax - Wassup?Novavax NVAX is actually lining up pretty well... from about 240, it tanked to 40, and on Friday, it gained 11% to close the week at 57.15.
This caught my attention as it cleanly broke out of trendlines, breaking out also from a bearish divergence, on BOTH the weekly and daily chart.
IMHO, it appears to be in technical and fractal alignment.
Weekly chart bounced off a major support two weeks ago, and the last week continued the previous week's bullish end. On the daily chart, Friday's close was the highest daily close in about 5 weeks. with a strong candle closing draws obvious bullish attention.
Target 80, then 125.
Support at 53 and 50.
$NVDA Nvidia TECH Chart has not shown any signs of reversal$NVDA Nvidia Tech Company has a similar chart to $MU and $AMD - $MU earnings revealed negative sentiment sending both $AMD & $NVDA downward on relation of fear that the chip market is slowing growth.
Nvidia has not shown any technical signs of reversal on the lower timeframes yet.
Above I've marked important levels on the weekly timeframe.
With the slowing growth of $ETH and other crypto currencies, tech stocks like Nvidia and Micron are directly related and effected by the mega drop in value as demand for graphic processors and mining decreases.
It's pretty obvious that $NVDA is a top tier company in graphic processors and this decline is mostly due to the decline in our economy. As we progress into the digital age NVIDIA has high probability to bounce back to new heights (of course this could take 12-18 months unless they expand rapidly into different avenues of technology).
I will update if I catch any technical chart indications of possible reversal.
NASDAQ - Not yetAs outlined in the S&P500 weekly analysis. the technical bounce appears delayed. At the least, it looks like a higher low is being made, and would take another week or two before a higher high is achieved.
In light of these, the projection and targets have been adjusted to the end of July.
Bursa Malaysia Technology IndexBursa Malaysia Technology Index
- 7 months of retracement since November 2021.
- At its Major Support for potential bottom without lower low price action.
- Will the Tech stocks after 7 months of retracement go for a range bound recovery trade?
- A bullish tech rally will only be seen once evidently proven the index rally past its midpoint for price action rally.
- Bursa Malaysia Tech stocks that have in a consensus been through a 7 months of retracement are all showing good price action of sideways consolidated bottoming.
semiconductors climbing out of the holeright now major indices and the nasdaq especially is banking on semis carrying a significant bounce out of the giant hole they have dug for themselves and us all. it follows that if we can hold 15.80s breaking 16.80s and continue with TRAMA staying over VWMA with both averages rising together that we should hae the go ahead to close the gap around 18.60s (strange that the decimal and integer are inverted 🤔 for either target). should ve a mega green day if we just manage to keep oscillators headed toward overbought with the price making higher lows.
NASDAQ technical bounce as expectedPreviously, with a hit on target, a technical bounce was expected, and the end of last week... it happened!
The NASDAQ weekly is leading the charge with an overwhelming bullish candle for the week. MACD histograms are thinning out and weekly MACD are about to cross over.
Using the simple arrows, projections bring the NASDAQ to 13,600 where it should meet the weekly 55EMA.
The daily chart shows a clear break out to the HULL moving average, and has MACD crossed over already. The week ended with a bullish marubozu.
Bullish clearly...
NASDAQ - Pick your crash 30% 40% 55% or 70%Comparing trading channels to key price levels in the NASDAQ. Price has already hit 30% pull back. Given inflation and rate increases the NASDAQ is going down more, at least to the bottom of the green channel and probably touch the top of the black channel at around 40% loss. We should see strong support in this area as it is both channel support and Feb 2020 top. If inflation can't be tamed and we really do go into recession in 2023/2024, then the lower levels of 55% and 70% become a possibility, unlikely, but tell that to the investors of 2000 and 2008.
IMO, if the Fed created this bubble with tons of QE and low rates and now they are doing the exact opposite, then the obvious answer is that the market is going to go down accordingly. The question is just how far will the Fed need to go and is willing to go to get inflation under control versus propping up markets.
1W
1D
NASDAQ breaks down hard... and there is momentum indicating that there is more downside, extending beyond the last low.
Weekly chart ended the week with a marubozu type candlestick where the close is at or near the low, suggesting downward momentum is strong. This is seen in the daily chart where the breakdown occured on Thursday and strongly pushed down to then Friday very near the low. The increasing candlestick length suggests similarly as well.
While the weekly technical indicators are not as bearish yet, the daily technicals are indicating a down week to follow, extending beyond the last recent low, perhaps for a day or two.
11,000-11,200 becomes a critical support level for the next week.
Let's see how early next week turns out... whether there is more downside (as Monday reveals down) or a spike down and stall. Currently expecting the former, with space up to a further 10% downside.
Stay safe!
semiconductors likely have some continued downsidesoxl is pretty much plummeting if we get a significant gap down and cant set a higher low 4hr the 15 minute trend will continue downwards until the 4hr is bullishly diverged stoch, rsi a lot of people are covering, and that may lead to some squeeze, but the over all trend is down if we close gap from either direction, and it looks like it is setting a lower high 4hr i would continue to sell semis. if we close gap from either direction and it looks like the test was sucessfuly holding some higher low around the thursday close its more bullish intermediate term but id imagine this is finding a daily lower high even if it recovers some or corrects sharply only to fall again.
22.04, 21.74, 21, 20.76, 20.22 key levels right now SOXL.
NASDAQ move up to test 14000 or backdown to retest recent low?Here are my core trading channels and trend lines for the NASDAQ. NDQ is currently holding just under the midline of the down channel. You can see that we had a bounce off the support of the black channel and midline of the purple channel. NDQ is still looking pretty oversold, but at a clear decision point. IMO, a retest of the recent low for support is most probable and then a test of the resistance of both the red down channel and the purple channel around 14000. We could bounce right from here to that level as the other option. A new low is always an option if we get a retest and it fails, but it is not clear that the market is ready to fall that far yet after such a big sell off the last several months.
1D
Tech selling today?NASDAQ
Intraday - We look to Sell at 12850 (stop at 13035)
Buying pressure from 12410 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. The current move higher is expected to continue. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 12325 and 11490
Resistance: 12935 / 13380 / 13830
Support: 12380 / 11490 / 10675
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NASDAQ really fizzles?Two weeks ago, the NASDAQ jumped after bouncing off a support level and tested the 13K resistance... which appeared to have failed, given the Dark Cloud Cover candlestick ending to the week. The daily technicals do not yet tell of a down slope slip, but it should be following through. And if it does, then we have this Down Friday Down Monday thingy... means more downside to come.
The Weekly chart ended with a a candlestick that seem to stall the previous bullish candle. The weekly technicals are slightly bullish divergent.
Taken together, appears that we can expect some downside risk to the last low, probably see a higher low within the week, if at all.
The range is going to be a little wider than usual, until this consolidates out nicely and a new trend starts. So, let's see.